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    Week 5 Reliability Assessment in Risk Analysis (Part 1)

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    Tamil Alagan
    The document discusses reliability assessment methods for engineering components and systems. It introduces analytical models based on strength-and-load performance functions that can be used to determine failure rates and hazard functions. These include the First Order Second Moment method, Advanced Second Moment method, and Monte Carlo simulation. Empirical reliability analysis using life data is also discussed. The objective is to assess reliability in the form of probabilities of meeting performance requirements over time under various conditions.

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    Week 5 Reliability Assessment in Risk Analysis (Part 1)

    Uploaded by

    Tamil Alagan
    24 views70 pages
    The document discusses reliability assessment methods for engineering components and systems. It introduces analytical models based on strength-and-load performance functions that can be used to determine failure rates and hazard functions. These include the First Order Second Moment method, Advanced Second Moment method, and Monte Carlo simulation. Empirical reliability analysis using life data is also discussed. The objective is to assess reliability in the form of probabilities of meeting performance requirements over time under various conditions.

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    Reliability assessment

    Original Title

    EMM5622 Lecture w6a

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    The document discusses reliability assessment methods for engineering components and systems. It introduces analytical models based on strength-and-load performance functions that can be used to determine failure rates and hazard functions. These include the First Order Second Moment method, Advanced Second Moment method, and Monte Carlo simulation. Empirical reliability analysis using life data is also discussed. The objective is to assess reliability in the form of probabilities of meeting performance requirements over time under various conditions.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    24 views70 pages

    Week 5 Reliability Assessment in Risk Analysis (Part 1)

    Uploaded by

    Tamil Alagan
    The document discusses reliability assessment methods for engineering components and systems. It introduces analytical models based on strength-and-load performance functions that can be used to determine failure rates and hazard functions. These include the First Order Second Moment method, Advanced Second Moment method, and Monte Carlo simulation. Empirical reliability analysis using life data is also discussed. The objective is to assess reliability in the form of probabilities of meeting performance requirements over time under various conditions.

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    EMM 5622

    Week 5
    Reliability Assessment
    in Risk Analysis
    (Part 1)

    Introduction
    Reliability is theoretically defined as the probability
    of failure or the frequency of failures.
    The reliability of an engineering system can be
    defined as its ability to fulfill its design purpose
    defined as performance requirements for some time
    period and environmental conditions.
    The theory of probability provides the fundamental
    bases to measure this ability.

    Introduction (contd)
    The objective of this chapter is to introduce reliability
    assessment methods for components and systems that
    are based on analytical models and empirical data.
    The reliability assessment methods are needed to
    determine failure rates and hazard functions, which can
    be applied to other decision and problem-solving
    techniques; such as engineering, economic and tradeoff
    studies.
    Reliability assessment also can be fed into risk analysis
    and management process to be used to define the
    failure probabilities of risk measures.

    Introduction (contd)
    The reliability of a component or system can be
    assessed in the form of a probability of meeting
    satisfactory performance requirements according to
    some performance functions under specific service
    and extreme conditions within a stated time period.
    Random variables with mean values, variances,
    and probability distribution functions are used to
    compute probabilities.

    Introduction (contd)
    The reliability assessment methods can be based
    on:
    1. Analytical strength-and-load performance
    functions, or
    2. Empirical life data.
    They can also be used to compute the reliability for
    a given set of conditions that are time invariant or
    for a time-dependent reliability.

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions
    Many methods are available for reliability
    assessment purposes that are based on strengthand-load performance functions, such as:
    1) First Order Second Moment (FOSM) Method,
    2) Advanced Second Moment (ASM) Method, and
    3) Computer-Based Monte Carlo Simulation
    (CBMCS)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)

    Analytical strength-and-load
    performance functions (contd)
    Exercise Problem

    Empirical Reliability Analysis


    Using Life Data

    Empirical Reliability Analysis


    Using Life Data (contd)

    Empirical Reliability Analysis


    Using Life Data (contd)

    Empirical Reliability Analysis


    Using Life Data (contd)

    Empirical Reliability Analysis


    Using Life Data (contd)

    Empirical Reliability Analysis


    Using Life Data (contd)

    Empirical Reliability Analysis


    Using Life Data (contd)

    Empirical Reliability Analysis


    Using Life Data (contd)

    Empirical Reliability Analysis


    Using Life Data (contd)

    Empirical Reliability Analysis


    Using Life Data (contd)

    Empirical Reliability Analysis


    Using Life Data (contd)

    Empirical Reliability Analysis


    Using Life Data (contd)

    Empirical Reliability Analysis


    Using Life Data (contd)

    Empirical Reliability Analysis


    Using Life Data (contd)

    Empirical Reliability Analysis


    Using Life Data (contd)

    Empirical Reliability Analysis


    Using Life Data (contd)

    Empirical Reliability Analysis


    Using Life Data (contd)

    THE END

    Thank You

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