Reference Case: (Quadrillion Btu Per Year, Unless Otherwise Noted)
Reference Case: (Quadrillion Btu Per Year, Unless Otherwise Noted)
Reference Case: (Quadrillion Btu Per Year, Unless Otherwise Noted)
Reference case
Table A1.Total energy supply, disposition, and price summary
Total energy supply, disposition, and price summary
(quadrillion
BtuBtu
perper
year,
unless
otherwise
noted)
(quadrillion
year,
unless
otherwise
noted)
Table A1.
Reference case
Supply, disposition, and prices
2012
2013
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
Annual
growth
2013-2040
(percent)
Production
Crude oil and lease condensate ............................
Natural gas plant liquids ........................................
Dry natural gas ......................................................
Coal1 ......................................................................
Nuclear / uranium2 .................................................
Conventional hydroelectric power ..........................
Biomass3................................................................
Other renewable energy4 .......................................
Other5 ....................................................................
Total ...................................................................
13.7
3.3
24.6
20.7
8.1
2.6
4.0
1.9
0.8
79.6
15.6
3.6
25.1
20.0
8.3
2.5
4.2
2.3
1.3
82.7
22.2
5.5
29.6
21.7
8.4
2.8
4.4
3.2
0.9
98.7
21.5
5.7
31.3
22.2
8.5
2.8
4.6
3.4
0.9
100.9
21.1
5.7
33.9
22.5
8.5
2.8
4.6
3.6
0.9
103.7
19.8
5.6
35.1
22.5
8.5
2.8
4.7
4.1
0.9
103.9
19.9
5.5
36.4
22.6
8.7
2.8
5.0
4.6
1.0
106.6
0.9%
1.7%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
0.4%
0.7%
2.7%
-1.0%
0.9%
Imports
Crude oil ................................................................
Petroleum and other liquids6 ..................................
Natural gas7 ...........................................................
Other imports8........................................................
Total ...................................................................
18.7
4.2
3.2
0.3
26.4
17.0
4.3
2.9
0.3
24.5
13.6
4.6
1.9
0.1
20.2
14.9
4.5
1.7
0.1
21.3
15.7
4.4
1.6
0.1
21.7
17.7
4.3
1.5
0.1
23.6
18.2
4.1
1.7
0.1
24.1
0.3%
-0.2%
-1.9%
-5.2%
-0.1%
Exports
Petroleum and other liquids9 ..................................
Natural gas10 ..........................................................
Coal .......................................................................
Total ...................................................................
6.5
1.6
3.1
11.2
7.3
1.6
2.9
11.7
11.2
4.5
2.5
18.1
12.0
5.2
2.9
20.1
12.6
6.4
3.3
22.4
13.3
6.8
3.4
23.4
13.7
7.4
3.5
24.6
2.4%
5.9%
0.8%
2.8%
Discrepancy11 ..........................................................
0.4
-1.6
-0.1
0.0
0.2
0.3
0.3
--
Consumption
Petroleum and other liquids12 ................................
Natural gas ............................................................
Coal13.....................................................................
Nuclear / uranium2 .................................................
Conventional hydroelectric power ..........................
Biomass14 ..............................................................
Other renewable energy4 .......................................
Other15 ...................................................................
Total ...................................................................
35.2
26.1
17.3
8.1
2.6
2.8
1.9
0.4
94.4
35.9
26.9
18.0
8.3
2.5
2.9
2.3
0.4
97.1
37.1
26.8
19.2
8.4
2.8
3.0
3.2
0.3
100.8
36.9
27.6
19.3
8.5
2.8
3.2
3.4
0.3
102.0
36.5
28.8
19.2
8.5
2.8
3.2
3.6
0.3
102.9
36.3
29.6
19.0
8.5
2.8
3.2
4.1
0.3
103.8
36.2
30.5
19.0
8.7
2.8
3.5
4.6
0.3
105.7
0.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.2%
0.4%
0.7%
2.7%
-0.7%
0.3%
113
96
2.79
109
98
3.73
79
73
4.88
91
85
5.46
106
99
5.69
122
116
6.60
141
136
7.85
1.0%
1.2%
2.8%
40.5
37.2
37.9
40.3
43.7
46.7
49.2
1.0%
2.01
2.63
10.0
1.84
2.50
10.1
1.88
2.54
10.5
2.02
2.71
11.0
2.18
2.84
11.1
2.32
2.96
11.3
2.44
3.09
11.8
1.0%
0.8%
0.6%
A-1
Reference case
2013
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
Annual
growth
2013-2040
(percent)
112
94
2.75
109
98
3.73
90
83
5.54
112
105
6.72
142
133
7.63
180
171
9.70
229
220
12.73
2.8%
3.0%
4.7%
40.0
37.2
43.0
49.7
58.6
68.6
79.8
2.9%
1.98
2.59
9.8
1.84
2.50
10.1
2.14
2.88
11.9
2.48
3.33
13.5
2.92
3.81
14.8
3.41
4.35
16.6
3.96
5.00
19.2
2.9%
2.6%
2.4%
A-2