EOR Screening Part 2 Taber-Martin
EOR Screening Part 2 Taber-Martin
EOR Screening Part 2 Taber-Martin
Summary
Screening criteria are useful for cursory examination of many candidate reservoirs before expensive reservoir descriptions and economic evaluations are done. We have used our CO2 screening criteria to estimate the total quantity of CO2 that might be needed for the
oil reservoirs of the world. If only depth and oil gravity are considered, it appears that about 80% of the worlds reservoirs could qualify for some type of CO2 injection.
Because the decisions on future EOR projects are based more on
economics than on screening criteria, future oil prices are important.
Therefore, we examined the impact of oil prices on EOR activities
by comparing the actual EOR oil production to that predicted by earlier Natl. Petroleum Council (NPC) reports. Although the lower
prices since 1986 have reduced the number of EOR projects, the actual incremental production has been very close to that predicted for
U.S. $20/bbl in the 1984 NPC report. Incremental oil production
from CO2 flooding continues to increase, and now actually exceeds
the predictions made for U.S. $20 oil in the NPC report, even though
oil prices have been at approximately that level for some time.
Utilization of Screening Guides
With the reservoir management practices of today, engineers consider the various IOR/EOR options much earlier in the productive
life of a field. For many fields, the decision is not whether, but when,
to inject something. Obviously, economics always play the major
role in go/no-go decisions for expensive injection projects, but a
cursory examination with the technical criteria (Tables 1 through
7) is helpful to rule out the less-likely candidates. The criteria are
also useful for surveys of a large number of fields to determine
whether specific gases or liquids could be used for oil recovery if an
injectant was available at a low cost. This application of the CO2
screening criteria is described in the next section.
Estimation of the Worldwide Quantity of CO2 That Could Be
Used for Oil Recovery. The miscible and immiscible screening criteria for CO2 flooding in Table 3 of this paper and in Table 3 of Ref.
1 were used to make a rough estimate of the total quantity of CO2
that would be needed to recover oil from qualified oil reservoirs
throughout the world. The estimate was made for the IEA Greenhouse Gas R&D Program as part of their ongoing search for ways
to store or dispose of very large amounts of CO2 in case that becomes necessary to avert global warming. The potential for either
miscible or immiscible CO2 flooding for almost 1,000 oil fields was
estimated by use of depth and oil-gravity data published in a recent
survey.2 The percent of the fields in each country that met the criteria in Table 3 for either miscible or immiscible CO2 flooding was
determined and combined with that countrys oil reserves to estimate the incremental oil recovery and CO2 requirements. Assuming
that one-half of the potential new miscible projects would be carried
out as more-efficient enhanced secondary operations, an average recovery factor of 22% original oil in place (OOIP) was used, and 10%
recovery was assumed for the immiscible projects. A CO2 utilization factor of 6 Mcf/incremental bbl was assumed for all estimates.
This estimated oil recovery for each country was then totaled by region, and all the regions were totaled in Table 8 to provide the world
Copyright 1997 Society of Petroleum Engineers
Original SPE manuscript received for review 16 May 1996. Revised manuscript received 20
May 1997. Paper peer approved 6 June 1997. Paper (SPE 39234) first presented as part of
SPE 35385 at the 1996 SPE/DOE Improved Oil Recovery Symposium held in Tulsa, Oklahoma, 2124 April.
totals.3 The basis for the assumed incremental oil recovery percentage and CO2 utilization factors and other details are given in Ref. 3.
Economics was not a part of this initial hypothetical estimate. Although pure CO2 can be obtained from power-plant flue gases (which
contain only 9 to 12% CO2), the costs of separation and compression
are much higher than the cost of CO2 in the Permian Basin of the
U.S.3-5 For this study, we assumed that pure, supercritical CO2 was
available (presumably by pipeline from power plants) for each of the
fields and/or regions of the world. Table 8 shows that about 67 billion
tons of CO2 would be required to produce 206 billion bbl of additional
oil. The country-by-country results and other details (including separate sections on the costs of CO2 flooding) are given in Ref. 3. Although not much better than an educated guess with many qualifying
numbers, our estimate agrees well with other estimates of the quantity
of CO2 that could be stored (or disposed of) in oil reservoirs.3
Although this is a very large amount of CO2, when the CO2 demand is spread over the several decades that would be required for
the hypothetical CO2 flooding projects, it would reduce worldwide
power-plant CO2 emissions into the atmosphere by only a few percent per year. Therefore, more open-ended CO2 disposal methods
(such as the more-costly deep-ocean disposal) will probably be
needed if the complex general circulation models of the atmosphere
ever prove conclusively that global warming from excess CO2 is under way.6,7 However, from the viewpoint of overall net cost, one of
the most efficient CO2 disposal/storage systems would be the combined injection of CO2 into oil reservoirs and into any aquifers in the
same or nearby fields.3,8 By including aquifers, this potential for underground CO2 storage would be increased significantly, and the
quantity sequestered could have a significant impact on reducing
the atmospheric CO2 emissions from the worlds power plants.
Impact of Oil Prices on EOR
Major new EOR projects will be started only if they appear profitable. This depends on the perception of future oil price. Therefore,
the relationship between future oil prices and EOR was a major
thrust of the two NPC reports.9,10 These extensive studies used as
much laboratory and field information as possible to predict the
EOR production in the future for different ranges of oil prices. Now,
it is possible to compare the NPC predictions with actual oil production to date. These comparisons were made recently to see how oil
prices might affect oil recovery from future CO2 projects.3 We have
extended these graphical comparisons and reproduced them here as
Figs. 1 through 3. In general, the figures confirm that EOR production increases when prices increase and EOR production declines
when prices fall, but not to the extent predicted. There is a time lag
before the effect is noted. Figs. 1 and 2 show that total EOR production did increase in the early 1980s when oil prices were high. This
was in response to an increase in the number of projects during this
period when prices of up to U.S. $50/bbl or more were predicted.
Although the rate of increase slowed in 1986 when oil prices
dropped precipitously, EOR production did not decline until 1994,
after several years of low oil prices (i.e., less than U.S. $20/bbl).11
The 1984 predictions were made while oil prices were high
([U.S. $30/bbl), but they were not nearly as optimistic as those
made in 1976 when oil prices were lower. However, the 1984 predictions benefited from experience gained from the field projects
conducted in the interim. The only price common to both NPC reports is U.S. $20/bbl. The 1976 U.S. $20/bbl prediction would be off
the scale by 1990 if plotted on the 1984 graph of Fig. 2. However,
the U.S. $20/bbl prediction of 1984 is close to the U.S. $10/bbl value
of 1976. Note that the actual oil production does track predictions
199
Recommended
>35
<0.4
High percentage of light hydrocarbons
38 to 54 (miscible)
0.07 to 0.3
>40
59 to 80
Sandstone or carbonate with few fractures and high permeability streaks
Relatively thin unless formation is dipping
Not critical
>6,000
10,000 to 18,500
Not critical for screening purposes, even though the deep reservoirs required to accommodate the high
pressure will have high temperatures.
Limitations
Developed miscibility can only be achieved with light oils and at very high pressures; therefore, deep reservoirs are needed. A steeply dipping reservoir
is desired to permit gravity stabilization of the displacement, which has an unfavorable mobility ratio. For miscible or immiscible enhanced gravity drainage, a dipping reservoir may be crucial to the success of the project.
Problems
Viscous fingering results in poor vertical and horizontal sweep efficiency. The nonhydrocarbon gases must be separated from the saleable produced
gas. Injection of flue gas has caused corrosion problems in the past. At present, nitrogen is being injected into large successful projects that formerly
used flue gas.
Recommended
>23
<3
High percentage of light hydrocarbons
24 to 54 (miscible)
0.04 to 2.3
>30
30 to 98
Sandstone or carbonate with a minimum of fractures and
high-permeability streaks
Relatively thin unless formation is dipping
Not critical if uniform
>4,000
4,040 to 15,900
Temperature can have a significant effect on the minimum miscibility pressure (MMP); it normally raises the
pressure required. However, this is accounted for in the deeper reservoirs that are needed to contain the high
pressures for the lean gasdrives.
Limitations
The minimum depth is set by the pressure needed to maintain the generated miscibility. The required pressure ranges from about 1,200 psi for the LPG
process to 4,000 to 5,000 psi for the high-pressure gasdrive, depending on the oil. A steeply dipping formation is very desirable to permit some gravity
stabilization of the displacement, which normally has an unfavorable mobility ratio.
Problems
Viscous fingering results in poor vertical and horizontal sweep efficiency. Large quantities of valuable hydrocarbons are required. Solvent may be
trapped and not recovered in the LPG method.
200
>22
27 to 44
<10
0.3 to 6
High percentage of intermediate hydrocarbons (especially C5 to C12)
>20
15 to 70
Sandstone or carbonate and relatively thin unless dipping.
Not critical if sufficient injection rates can be maintained.
For miscible displacement, depth must be great enough to allow injection pressures
greater than the MMP, which increases with temperature (see Fig. 7 of Ref. 1) and for
heavier oils. Recommended depths for CO2 floods of typical Permian Basin oils follow.
Oil Gravity, API
Depth must be greater than (ft)
For CO2-miscible flooding
>40
2,500
32 to 39.9
2,800
28 to 31.9
3,300
22 to 27.9
4,000
<22
Fails miscible, screen for immiscible*
For immiscible CO2 flooding (lower oil recovery)
13 to 21.9
1,800
<13
All oil reservoirs fail at any depth
At <1,800 ft, all reservoirs fail screening criteria for either miscible or immiscible flooding with supercritical CO2.
Limitations
A good source of low-cost CO2 is required.
Problems
Corrosion can cause problems, especially if there is early breakthrough of CO2 in producing wells.
*All reservoirs with oils with gravities greater than 22_API can qualify for some immiscible displacement at pressures less than the MMP. In general, the reduced oil recovery will be proportional to the difference between the MMP and flooding pressure achieved. [These arbitrary criteria have been selected to provide a safety margin of approximately 500 feet above typical
reservoir fracture depth for the required miscibility (MMP) pressures, and about 300 psi above the CO2 critical pressure for the immiscible floods at the shallow depths. Reservoir temperature is included and assumed from depth. See Fig. 7 of Ref. 1 and text for the depth/temperature/MMP relationship.]
>20
<35
Light intermediates are desirable for micellar/polymer. Organic acids needed to achieve lower
interfacial tensions with alkaline methods.
>35
Sandstones preferred
Not critical
>10
<about 9,000 ft (see Temperature)
<200
Limitations
An areal sweep of more than 50% on waterflood is desired. Relatively homogeneous formation is preferred. High amounts of anhydrite, gypsum, or
clays are undesirable. Available systems provide optimum behavior over a narrow set of conditions. With commercially available surfactants, formation-water chlorides should be <20,000 ppm and divalent ions (Ca++ and Mg++) <500 ppm.
Problems
Complex and expensive systems. Possibility of chromatographic separation of chemicals in reservoir. High adsorption of surfactant. Interactions between surfactant and polymer. Degradation of chemicals at high temperature.
201
Wide-Range Recommendation
>15
<150 (preferably <100 and >10)
Not critical
14 to 43
1 to 80
>50
Sandstones preferred but can be used in carbonates
Not critical
>10 md**
<9,000 (see Temperature)
<200 to minimize degradation
50 to 92
10 to 15,000
1,300 to 9,600
80 to 185
Marmul
Oerrel
Courtenay
Daqing
9.4
114
39
50
15
120
75
76
3
460
25
4.9
1.1
27
115
15,000
[92
1
1,000
373
25***
1.2
461
136
2,000
81.5
4
1,500
162
[13
[1.4
[230
86
2,000
78
8
900
520
30
0.96
499
113
870
71
10
1,000
271
11
0.57
155
Limitations/Problems
See text for limitations and recommendations for overcoming problems.
***These screening guides are very broad. When identifying polymer-flood candidates, we recommend the reservoir characteristics and polymer-flood features be close to those of
***the four successful projects at the bottom of table.
***In reservoirs where the rock permeability is less than 50 md, the polymer may sweep only fractures effectively unless the polymer molecular weight is sufficiently low.
***IOR over primary production for this case only. For the others, IOR is incremental over waterflooding.
of U.S. $10/bbl for 1976 and U.S. $20/bbl for 1984 in Figs. 1 and
2. Because oil prices were at or below U.S. $20/bbl for much of the
period since 1986, the NPC predictions have merit. The impact of
the lower oil prices since 1986 was finally felt in 1994 when EOR
production (except for CO2 flooding) dropped for the first time owing to fewer projects. The number of EOR projects has been declining steadily since 1986, the year that oil prices fell. However, Table
9 shows that the profits from EOR projects did not decline during
the recent years of low oil prices. For most EOR methods, Table 9
shows that there was an increase in the percentage of projects that
were profitable, presumably because the less-efficient projects were
discontinued. Also note on Figs. 1 and 2 that the EOR production
rate started to increase again in 1996.12
The optimism that came from the much higher oil prices in the late
1970s and early 1980s was probably very fortunate for the CO2
flooding industry in the U.S. During this period, the large natural
CO2 sources were developed and pipelines were built. The inexpensive, supercritical CO2 has been flowing into the Permian Basin
ever since. The pipelines are being extended, and more projects are
being started as CO2 flooding efficiencies continue to increase.13,14
Fig. 3 shows that (after the long incubation period) CO2 flooding
has now exceeded the NPC prediction for oil prices of U.S. $20/bbl.
This is in spite of the fact that oil prices were near or less than U.S.
$20/bbl for much of the time since 1986.
Future Technical and Economic
Improvements Expected
Even with the low oil prices, there are many technological advances
that should continue to improve the outlook for EOR and IOR.
202
10 to 27
<5,000
Some asphaltic components to aid coke deposition
10 to 40
6 to 5,000
>50
Sand or sandstone with high porosity
>10
>50
<11,500
>100
62 to 94
Crude Oil
Gravity, API
Viscosity, cp
Composition
Reservoir
Oil saturation, % PV
Type of formation
Net thickness, ft
Average permeability, md
Depth, ft
Temperature, F
85 to 4,000
400 to 11,300
100 to 22
Limitations
If sufficient coke is not deposited from the oil being burned, the combustion process will not be sustained; this prevents the application for high-gravity
paraffinic oils. If excessive coke is deposited, the rate of advance of the combustion zone will be slow and the quantity of air required to sustain combustion will be high. Oil saturation and porosity must be high to minimize heat loss to rock. Process tends to sweep through upper part of reservoir so that
sweep efficiency is poor in thick formations.
Problems
Adverse mobility ratio. Early breakthrough of the combustion front (and O2-containing gas mixtures). Complex process that requires large capital investment and is difficult to control. Produced flue gases can present environmental problems. Operational problems, such as severe corrosion caused
by low-pH hot water, serious oil/water emulsions, increased sand production, deposition of carbon or wax, and pipe failures in the producing wells as a
result of the very high temperatures.
TABLE 7STEAMFLOODING
Description
The steamdrive process or steamflooding involves continuous injection of about 80% quality steam to displace crude oil toward producing wells. Normal
practice is to precede and accompany the steamdrive by a cyclic steam stimulation of the producing wells (called huff n puff).
Mechanisms
Steam recovers crude oil by (1) heating the crude oil and reducing its viscosity; (2) supplying the pressure to drive oil to the producing well; and (3) steam
distillation, especially in light crude oils
Technical Screening Guides
Crude Oil
Gravity, API
Viscosity, cp
Composition
Reservoir
Oil saturation, % PV
Type of formation
Net thickness, ft
Average permeability, md
Transmissibility, md-ft/cp
Depth, ft
Temperature, F
Recommended
8 to 25
<100,000
Not critical but some light ends for steam distillation will help
8 to 27
10 to 137,000
>40
Sand or sandstone with high porosity and permeability preferred
>20
>200 md (see Transmissibility)
>50
<5,000
Not critical
35 to 90
63 to 10,000
150 to 4,500
60 to 280
Limitations
Oil saturations must be quite high, and the pay zone should be more than 20 ft thick to minimize heat losses to adjacent formations. Lighter, less-viscous
crude oils can be steamflooded but normally will not be if the reservoir responds to an ordinary waterflood. Steamflooding is primarily applicable to
viscous oils in massive, high-permeability sandstones or unconsolidated sands. Because of excess heat losses in the wellbore, steamflooded reservoirs should be as shallow as possible as long as pressure for sufficient injection rates can be maintained. Steamflooding is not normally used in carbonate reservoirs. Because about one-third of the additional oil recovered is consumed to generate the required steam, the cost per incremental barrel of oil
is high. A low percentage of water-sensitive clays is desired for good injectivity.
for help on the figures, and Liz Bustamante for valuable assistance
in the preparation of this manuscript.
References
1. Taber J.J, Martin, F.D., and Seright, R.S.: EOR Screening Criteria Revisited: Part 1Introduction to Screening Criteria and Enhanced Recovery Field Projects, SPERE (August 1997).
SPE Reservoir Engineering, August 1997
2. Worldwide production falls as market plays its wild cards, Oil & Gas J.
Worldwide Production Report: O&G J. Special (27 December 1993) 37.
3. Taber, J.J.: A Study of Technical Feasibility for the Utilization of CO2
for Enhanced Oil Recovery, The Utilization of Carbon Dioxide from
Fossil Fuel Fired Power Stations, P. Reimer (ed.), IEA Greenhouse Gas
R&D Programme, Cheltenham, England (1994) Appendix B, 134204.
4. Taber, J.J.: Environmental Improvements and Better Economics in
EOR Operations, In Situ (1990) 14, No. 4, 345.
203
TABLE 8SUMMARY OF ESTIMATED WORLDWIDE CO2 DEMAND/UTILIZATION AND POTENTIAL OIL RECOVERY
Potential Oil Production by CO2 Injection*
Oil-Producing Region
Middle East
Urgency, Timing
or Regional
Adjustment
Potential CO2
Utilization
(%)
(billion tons)
(billion bbl)
(billion tons)
(billion tons)
141.04
26.28
49.39
12
43.47
Western Hemisphere
28.78
5.36
10.08
+ 10
11.09
Africa
13.18
2.46
4.62
4.39
10.85
2.02
3.80
3.80
Asia-Pacific
8.59
1.60
3.01
2.86
Western Europe
3.52
0.65
1.23
+ 15
205.96
38.37
72.14
World Totals
1.42
[7]**
67.03
5. Martin, F.D. and Taber, J.J.: Carbon Dioxide Flooding, JPT (April
1992) 396.
6. Its Official: First Glimmer of Greenhouse Warming Seen, Science (8
December 1995) 270, 1565.
7. 1995 the Warmest Year? Yes and No, Science (12 January 1996) 271,
137.
8. Ribeiro, J. and Henry, B.: Carbon Dioxide Disposal and Storage
Technologies: Part I: Current Status; Part II: Prospective Study towards
the Year 2020 and Beyond, Inst. for Prospective Technological Studies,
European Commission Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy (January 1995).
9. Haynes, H.J. et al.: Enhanced Oil Recovery, Natl. Petroleum Council,
Industry Advisory Council to the U.S. Dept. of the Interior (1976).
10. Bailey, R.E. et al.: Enhanced Oil Recovery, Natl. Petroleum Council, Industry Advisory Committee to the U.S. Secretary of Energy, Washington, DC (1984).
Fig. 2Sensitivity of U.S. EOR production to the crude price predicted in 1984 NPC report (extended from Ref. 3, data from Refs.
10 through 12.)
11. Moritis, G.: EOR Dips in U.S., but Remains a Significant Factor, Oil
& Gas J. (26 September 1994) 51.
12. Moritis, G.: New Technology, Improved Economics Boost EOR
Hopes, Oil & Gas J. (15 April 1996) 39.
13. CO2 Activity Picks up in W. Texas, New Mexico, Oil & Gas J. (17
July 1995) 26.
14. Hsu, C-F., Koinis, R.L., and Fox, C.E.: Technology, Experience Speed
CO2 Flood Design, Oil & Gas J. (23 October 1995) 51.
15. Taber, J.J. and Seright, R.S.: Horizontal Injection and Production Wells
for EOR or Waterflooding, paper SPE 23952 presented at the 1992
SPE/DOE Symposium on Enhanced Oil Recovery, Tulsa, Oklahoma,
2224 April.
Fig. 3Sensitivity of U.S. CO2 production to crude oil price predicted by 1984 NPC report (extended from Ref. 3, data from Refs.
10 through 12).
204
Method
1982
1988
1990
1994
Steam
Combustion
Hot water
CO2
Hydrocarbon
Nitrogen
Flue gas
Polymer
Micellar/Polymer
Alkaline or alkaline/surfactant
86
65
21
50
100
100
72
0
40
95
78
89
66
100
100
100
92
0
100
96
88
78
81
100
100
100
86
0
*
96
80
100
81
100
100
100
0
100
*One success.
Table updated from Refs. 4 and 11.
SPERE
Joseph J. Taber was the first Director and is now Director Emeritus
of the Petroleum Recovery Research Center (PRRC), a division
of the New Mexico Inst. of Mining and Technology, where he
continues his study of advanced recovery methods. He pre
viously was a professor of petroleum engineering and chemistry
at the U. of Pittsburgh and Senior Project Chemist with Gulf R&D
Co., where he worked on new oilrecovery methods, especially
horizontal wells for EOR and waterflooding. His recent work has
dealt with CO2 and EOR as they relate to environmental issues.
He holds a BS degree from Muskingum (Ohio) College and a
PhD degree from the U. of Pittsburgh. Taber was a 198990 Distin
guished Lecturer on EOR and was named a Distinguished Mem
Taber
Martin
Seright
205