Hamas and The Transformation(s) of Political Islam in Palestine
Hamas and The Transformation(s) of Political Islam in Palestine
Hamas and The Transformation(s) of Political Islam in Palestine
13
movement both before and since the current uprising.3 While certain key dynamics within the
movement (engaging in patterns of social accommodation) have remained relatively unchanged, others (the strengtheningand dominanceof the PA,
and the weakening and silencing of the Islamists)
are being replaced with altogether new dynamics
that portend equally damaging consequences for
Palestinian society and for a political resolution to
the PalestinianIsraeli conflict.
POLITICAL
which had failed and was costly, but through mobilizing people at the sociocultural level and allowing
the social part of the movement to define, pragmatically and nonviolently, the Islamic and Islamist
agenda for some time to come. Although it was not
smooth or quick, the transformation from militancy
to accommodation was taking place.
POLITICAL
ISLAMS REASCENDANCE
The start of the second Palestinian Intifada on
September 28, 2000, coupled with the impact of
September 11, dramatically changed the environment in the West Bank and Gaza.5 Preexisting political arrangements have been severely disrupted,
economic conditions have deteriorated, and key
social structures and mediatory institutions have
weakened. Within this context of desperation and
hopelessness, the Islamist opposition, notably
Hamas, has reasserted itself.
Several political factors have contributed to the
reascendance of the Islamists. Among the most
important is the abnegation of any leadership or
command role by the PA during the uprising, and
the emergence of a younger generation of more
militant Fatah cadres who assumed leadership of
the uprising early on. The resulting militarization
of the Intifada not only marginalized the role of
Palestinian civil society, but discredited and
eclipsed the function of the older generation of
PA/PLO elites. Fatah, however, has not been able to
exert control over the PA, the Islamists, or other factions, partly because of its own internal divisions.
The internal political splits within the Palestinian
national movement and the strengthening of armed
and cross-factional militias seeking political power
and an end to occupation through violent confrontation, coupled with the overall militarization
of the uprising, created the time and space for
Hamas to rebuild its political-military infrastructure and pursue a form of militancy that went
beyond Fatahs (which confined operations to the
occupied territories). By attacking civilian targets
inside Israela strategy subsequently followed by
Fatah and othersHamas not only succeeded in
gaining support from an increasingly desperate
population, it also undermined the PAwhich was
blamed for the attacksand the diplomatic initiatives it was pursuing.
5Some points in this section are raised and discussed in
greater detail in Mouin Rabbani and Sara Roy, Palestinian
Politics and September 11th: Critical Changes in Policy and
Structure, Middle East Policy, December 2002; and Mouin
Rabbani, The Costs of Chaos in Palestine, ms., 2002.
in 1996, and support for Fatah declined to 37 percent after having reached an unprecedented 55 percent in 1996 (when Palestinian support for the
peace process reached 80 percent and support for
violent attacks against Israeli targets dropped to 20
percent). Almost one year into the current Intifada,
Arafats popularity plummeted to 33 percent and
Fatahs to 29 percent.
Popular desertion of the secular nationalist forces
did not translate into support for the Islamists;
instead, people remained uncommitted (the popularity of the Islamists rose only from 15 percent in
1996 to 17 percent in 2000). This changed during
the Intifada, however, when loyalties began to shift
to the Islamists in the context of growing desperation
and political failure. According to Shikaki, by July
2001 the Islamist factions claimed 27 percent of
polled support, which represented an 80 percent
increase from 1996. Furthermore, during this period,
support for the opposition, both Islamist and nationalist, reached 31 percent, which exceeded that of
Fatah and its associates at 30 percent. Yet, simultaneously, a December 25, 2001 poll by the Center for
Policy and Survey Research in Ramallah showed that
while 61 percent of Palestinians believed that armed
confrontations with Israel had helped achieve
national rights where negotiations had failed, 71 percent supported an immediate return to negotiations
and 73 percent supported reconciliation with the
Israelis after the establishment of a Palestinian state
recognized by Israel. A year later, in the context of
dramatic economic decline and political disintegration, a Bir Zeit University poll revealed that 42 percent of Palestinians favored an Islamic state, a finding
that was totally unprecedented.
Internal dynamics
With the Intifada, the Palestinian political environment underwent dramatic changes. First was the
restoration of the resistance component and militancy to the Palestinian struggle, embraced by all factions, not just the Islamist opposition. Second was
the attempt by the nationalist forces to accommodate
the demands of the Islamists for the sake of maintaining national unity and an internal political consensus. Third was the effort by the Islamists to
normalize their relationship with the PA, without conceding to its political conditions.
For the PA, compromise meant remaining silent on
calls for international protection, the application of
the Geneva Conventions, and cooperation with the
Israeli peace movement, all of which the Islamists
reject. For the nationalist factions, compromise also
THE
FUNDAMENTAL ISSUE
While an Islamist alternative still remains unacceptable to most Palestinians, the Islamists, notably
Hamas, increasingly have become a vocal and institutionalized part of the Palestinian political landscape;
as such, they will need to be incorporated intonot
marginalized fromany future political arrangement.
Despite its militant extremism, the Islamist movement
has shown that it can be pragmatic.
The political transformations of Hamas and the
Islamic movement generally derive from a combination of internal and external factors that have only
been touched on here. As for the PalestinianIsraeli
conflict, the greatest threat to peace is not
extremismIslamic or secularbut the context
that produces and nurtures it: occupation. The fundamental problem among Palestinians is that the
majority of people have no options, power, or future.
Radical Islam emerged not because people were
opposed to political and economic change but
because they were continuously denied it. Palestinians are a secular people seeking their political rights
and national liberation, but this could change if their
misery deepens and their possibilities end.