The author argues in this paper that, in spite of the past performance and the lack of a permanent agreement among the riparians of the Euphrates-Tigris System, there is hope and reason for optimism for a mutually beneficial framework....
moreThe author argues in this paper that, in spite of the past performance and the lack of a permanent agreement among the riparians of the Euphrates-Tigris System, there is hope and reason for optimism for a mutually beneficial framework.
The paper starts with a brief historical account of riparian relations in the Euphrates-Tigris Basin and the efforts by external parties to mediate. The difficulties encountered are categorized in a broader perspective in the bilateral and multilateral relations of the riparian countries. Existing setting and recent developments are explained and potential modalities are elaborated. The paper concludes by describing a new, unofficial initiative of riparian scholars and professionals emphasizing the value of civil society involvement in the process.
Official mechanisms, or Track 1 avenue, include early talks among the riparians that eventually led to the establishment of a Joint Technical Committee to discuss the issues regarding the flows in this river system. This Committee held 16 meetings until the First Gulf War and has not met since then. Although Track 1 efforts did not produce a permanent solution to the issue, they provided a channel for communication and offered a basis when the political climate would be opportune.
The ‘hydronationality’ in the riparian countries that can be ignited over relatively insignificant events also played a negative role.
The interdependence of water issues to broader problem areas and the failure to either resolve the latter or isolate the former delayed the discussion of alternatives with a potential of mutually acceptability. A lack of contact on water related issues ‘froze’ the positions of the parties and prevented new paradigms from being agenda items for consideration. These include benefit-sharing arrangements and cooperation around mutually acceptable broader frameworks, such as regional social and economic development.
In spite of an unfavorable setting for cooperation, the riparians of the Euphrates-Tigris System have managed to stay away from violent conflict over water and have kept one another relatively informed.
The current conjuncture in the region also presents opportunities that can work for a renewed and improved dialogue over water and water related issues.
The author argues that once the ‘zero-sum’ nature of the current framework is properly recognized, Track 1 avenue could progress more smoothly than it has in the past. Both regional development at large, and benefits from water can be uniting as all of the riparian countries do need social and economic development which can bring about synergy, economies of scale, and external financing if and when planned, implemented and managed in a cooperative or joint manner.
Track 2 initiatives and other developments can substantially help enhance mutual understanding and dialogue, as well as help riparians see the broader picture and multi-faceted benefits that do not correspond to the zero-sum nature of water-sharing. These can potentially benefit from the recent progress in Turkish-Syrian relations and the developments in Iraq and the imminent return of Iraq to the international community as a fully functioning state.
The objective, program, and the activities of a recently established riparian Track 2 initiative, ETIC, or the Euphrates-Tigris Initiative for Cooperation, of which the author is a founder, are described in the final section. The initiative is unlike other, earlier unofficial initiatives in that it comes from inside the basin, does not focus on water, and is not prescriptive. It has, in its first year of existence, already catalyzed tri-lateral gatherings of unofficial nature, conducted multi-riparian training programs, and established linkages in the riparian countries of the basin. ETIC has benefited from partnership with UNESCO and cooperation protocols are pending with international and U.N. organizations.