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Title
The chernobyl accident and its consequences.
Author(s)
Saenko, Vladimir A.; Ivanov, V. K.; Tsyb, Anatoly F.; Bogdanova, Tatjana
I.; Tronko, Mykolo; Demidchik, Yuryi U.; Yamashita, Shunichi
Citation
Clinical Oncology, 23(4), pp.234-243; 2011
Issue Date
2011-05
URL
http://hdl.handle.net/10069/25077
Right
Copyright © 2011 The Royal College of Radiologists Published by
Elsevier Ltd.
This document is downloaded at: 2020-06-13T15:25:54Z
http://naosite.lb.nagasaki-u.ac.jp
Overview of the Chernobyl accident and its consequences
V. Saenko *†, V. Ivanov †, A. Tsyb †, T. Bogdanova ‡, M. Tronko ‡, Yu. Demidchik §,
S. Yamashita*
* Nagasaki University Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, 1-12-4 Sakamoto, Nagasaki
852-8523, Japan
†
Medical Radiological Research Center of Russian Academy of Medical Sciences, 4 Korolev
str., Obninsk 249036, Russia
‡
Institute of Endocrinology and Metabolism of the Academy of Medical Sciences of Ukraine, 69
Vishgorodskaya str., Kiev 04114, Ukraine
§
Belarusian Medical Academy for Postgraduate Education, 3 P.Brovki str., Minsk 220013,
Belarus
Address for correspondence
Vladimir Saenko
Department of International Health and Radiation Research, Nagasaki University Graduate
School of Biomedical Sciences, 1-12-4 Sakamoto, Nagasaki 852-8523, Japan
E-mail:
[email protected]
Tel.: +81-95-819-7122
Fax: +81-95-819-7169
1
Searches
We searched, along with our own peer-reviewed data and personal files, PubMed for Englishlanguage articles, references of relevant articles and textbooks published during the period from
the Chernobyl accident, 1986, including those appeared in the former Soviet Union official
sources, through October, 2010, with the search terms “Chernobyl and thyroid”, “thyroid
cancer”, “radiation-induced thyroid cancer”, “liquidators and Chernobyl”, “radiation risk”, and
“radiation dose and 131I and Chernobyl”. We also searched websites of the international
organizations including the WHO, UNSCEAR, IAEA, UNICEF, UNDP and IARC. In addition,
we used Russian or country-specific language sources such as published articles, proceedings of
the official scientific conventions, textbooks and websites of the government-owned institutions
in Belarus, Russia and Ukraine.
Conflict of Interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
2
Abstract
The accident at Chernobyl nuclear power plant (CNPP) was the worst industrial accident
of the last century that involved radiation. The unprecedented release of multiple different
radioisotopes led to radioactive contamination of large areas surrounding the accident site. The
exposure of the residents of these areas was varied and therefore the consequences for health and
radioecology could not be reliably estimated quickly. Even though some studies have now been
ongoing for 25 years and have provided a better understanding of the situation, these are yet
neither complete nor comprehensive enough to determine long term risk. A true assessment can
only be provided after following the observed population for their natural lifespan.
In this article, we review technical aspects of the accident and provide relevant
information on radioactive releases that resulted in exposure of this large population to radiation.
A number of different groups of people were exposed to radiation: workers involved in the initial
clean-up response, and members of the general population who were either evacuated from the
settlements in the CNPP vicinity shortly after the accident, or continued to live in the affected
territories of Belarus, Russia and Ukraine. Through domestic efforts and extensive international
cooperation, essential information on radiation dose and health status for this population has
been collected. This has permitted the identification of high-risk groups and the use of more
specialized means of collecting information, diagnosis, treatment and follow-up. Since radiationassociated thyroid cancer is the one of the major health consequences of the Chernobyl accident,
a particular emphasis is placed on this malignancy. The initial epidemiological studies are
reviewed, as are the most significant studies and/or aid programs in the three affected countries.
Key words: Chernobyl, radioactive contamination, radiation thyroid dose, thyroid cancer,
radiation risk of thyroid cancer
3
Introduction
The accident at Chernobyl nuclear power station (CNPP) that occurred 25 years ago on
26th April 1986 was the worst industrial accident involving radiation in the 20th century. Before
this, the only experience of radiation exposure to a large population was the atomic bombings of
Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945. The nature of the radiation exposure after Chernobyl was very
different from that in Japan: protracted versus acute single dose, mostly internal versus external
irradiation, involvement of different spectra of isotopes, irregular and patchy radioactive
contamination of the environment, and radiation exposure of a population on millions of people
of all ages. That is why many consequences, both related to health and society, could not be
anticipated from what had been learnt from the radiation exposure to the Japanese population in
1945.
In this article we review some technical aspects of the accident and provide information
on the radioactive releases that caused contamination of large areas in the former Soviet Union
countries, Belarus, Russia and Ukraine, particularly those in the immediate vicinity of the
accident site. We also describe the major groups of the population affected by the accident and
consider the information available on the radiation dose received by this population. In a separate
subsection we highlight epidemiological and medical studies from the early stages to
demonstrate the importance and necessity of international cooperation in large-scale disasters.
Accident and radioactive releases from CNPP
The Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant is located in the north of Ukraine close to the
junction of the borders of three states, Ukraine, Belarus and Russia. The accident at Reactor
Number 4 took place shortly after midnight on April 26, 1986. A number of accounts of the
accident, some giving a minute by minute sequence, have been published. According to
USCEAR [1], the course of events could be summarized as follows. Due to some reactor design
4
flaws and human error during experimental operations immediately preceding the accident,
overheating of the fuel rods and fragmentation in the active zone led to the rapid transfer of
excessive heat to the coolant water and induced a shock wave breaking the primary coolant
system pipeline joints. The leaking water instantaneously turned to steam - this first explosion
caused displacement of the reactor core during which the remaining cooling water was driven out
of the system. Without coolant, part of the nuclear fuel vaporized as a result of the increased
temperature and this eventually resulted in a large explosion that destroyed the reactor and the
building surrounding it dispersing reactor debris and radioactive materials to the CNPP, the
immediate vicinity and more widely into the environment. The initial fires that occurred after the
major explosion were brought under control by the end of the night of the accident. However,
fuel materials remaining at the meltdown site grew hot, ignited combustible products formed in
the disrupted core milieu and caused an explosive fire. Tremendous efforts were made to
extinguish it, including dumping of various fission- and fire-control materials from helicopters,
but the radioactive releases continued for approximately 10 more days [2,3].
There were 7 deaths during the first night of the accident: two staff members and five
firemen involved in fire fighting actions. Among 237 firemen and CNPP employees examined
within several next days for acute radiation sickness, manifestations of varying degrees of
severity were found in 134 individuals. Despite the intensive therapy provided, including 13
bone marrow transplantations, 28 patients died within 4 months after the accident for various
causes of death. Myelosuppression was the major cause of death, but 19 more deaths were
registered up to 2004, and in these cases bone marrow failure was unlikely the underlying cause
[4].
The estimated release of radioactivity from the destroyed reactor reached a total of
approximately 13 EBq (1EBq = 1018 Bq) [1,5,6]. The main radionuclides released are listed in
Table 1; 131І and 137Cs are most significant for dose received by the exposed population.
5
Radioactive emissions from CNPP were characterized by a wide spectrum of
physicochemical forms and composition: gaseous, steam aerosol, aerosol mixtures, fuel particles,
mineral particles with entrapped radionuclides, aggregates of different mineral particles, and
organic compounds. The composition varied from monoelement noble gases and atomic iodine
or ruthenium, to multi-element compounds and aggregates, fuel components, graphite, silicates
and others, each with different radionuclide proportions [5].
Over 90% of 90Sr, 141,144Ce, and isotopes of Pu and 241Am were released in the form of
fuel particles measuring 10 μM and less [5]. 75% of 137Сs contamination within the exclusion
zone (the 30-km zone around CNPP) could also be attributed to this physical form. At longer
distances, contamination of the territories in European countries was due to steam-aerosol and
gaseous mixtures, and to the particles of submicron size, containing 103,106Ru, 131,133I, 132Te,
134,137
Cs and radioactive noble gases. The same isotopes were also detected in Pacific and
Atlantic Oceans, and even in the Americas and Asia, emphasizing the global scale of the
accident. Following the completion of a sarcophagus around the destroyed reactor and building
in November 1986, active emissions into the environment were no longer observed [1,2].
Radioactive contamination of territories
The dynamic meteorological conditions, including the wind, cloudiness, temperature,
humidity and precipitations together with varying physicochemical characteristics of the
radioactive materials released at different times after the reactor destruction defined the
heterogeneous pattern of the ground contamination [7,8,9]. Figure 1 demonstrates reconstructed
plume traces over the part of Europe.
Further monitoring of the territories permitted a contamination pattern to be established
based on average 137Cs deposition densities (this isotope is easy to measure, has a long half-life
and is radiologically significant) as shown in Figure 2, for the territories around Chernobyl, and
6
for the whole of Europe in Figure 3. The highest density of contamination is observed in the
vicinity of the CNPP. However the levels exceeding the expected background could be detected
as far as up to 3000 km from the accident site.
Territories of Belarus, Russia and Ukraine were affected by the accident most heavily, as
specified in Table 2. From the total 137Cs activity of about 64 TBq (1.7 MCi) deposited in Europe
in 1986, Belarus received 23%, Russia - 30% and Ukraine - 18% resulting in radioactive
contamination of approximately 3% of the European part of the former Soviet Union [10]. There
were also contaminated areas in Austria, Finland, Germany, Norway, Romania and Sweden
(Figure 3).
The radioactive isotopes of iodine (131,132,133,135I) which are short-lived radionuclides
belonging to the group of light volatile substances played a key role in the contamination of the
environment. It is worth mentioning, however, that only 131І has a high radiological significance.
Among other isotopes, only 133,135І increased the general exposure dose, especially for the
thyroid, but due to their short half-lives their effect is restricted to the areas within the immediate
vicinity of the CNPP.
Because of the rapid decay of 131I, collection of a large number of samples for detailed
analysis was difficult [11]. However, the results of model calculations based on the limited
number of measurements and determinations of 131I to different radionuclides ratios, especially
137
Cs (which varied 5-60-fold in different measurements), allowed reconstruction of
contamination density maps [1,5,12]. The most contaminated areas are in Belarus, the 3 regions
in the east and south-east: Brest, Gomel and Mogilev; in Russia the 4 south-western regions:
Bryansk, Kaluga, Tula and Orel; and in Ukraine the 6 northern regions: Cherkassy, Chernigov,
Kyiv, Rovno, Volyn and Zhitomir regions (refer to Figure 1). The refined 131I contamination
maps are expected to be published by UNSCEAR in 2011. This will enable the more accurate
7
estimation of thyroid dose that are essential for radiation epidemiology and public health
assessment of the health consequences of the accident.
Most radionuclides released by the accident have already decayed. Attention over the next
few decades is most likely to be centered on 137Cs and 90Sr; the latter being more important in the
areas closest to the CNPP [5].
Groups radiologically affected by the accident
There are three major groups of individuals for whom estimation of radiation health
effects after Chernobyl is particularly important. These are the workers involved in the actions
during the accident or in the mitigation of the aftermath, those individuals who lived close to the
CNPP site and were evacuated following the accident, and those who continued to reside in the
contaminated areas further from the CNPP. All were exposed to radiation at different times after
the accident, under different circumstances and to different spectra and amounts of radioactive
elements. Thus, accumulated effective doses are quite different among the groups and
furthermore there are large uncertainties in dose estimates.
Liquidators
The first category is further subdivided into those who were at CNPP during the first day
of the accident and took part in emergency measures, and those who were engaged in recovery
operations from 1986 to 1990. In the literature the second group is often referred to as
“liquidators”, the term officially introduced by the former Soviet Union. There were about 600
emergency workers at CNPP during May 26, and about 600,000 liquidators including both
civilians and servicemen until 1990. Estimated external doses in the 134 emergency workers
with symptoms of acute radiation sickness ranged between 0.8-16 Gy, being markedly higher
than internal doses calculated to be between 0.021 and 4.1 Gy for the thyroid in the 23 firemen
who died of bone marrow failure [13]. It was suggested that the lower thyroid doses might have
8
been brought about due to the stable iodine pills taken by emergency workers. Among the
liquidators, the average effective doses ranged from 15 mSv to 170 mSv with individual
variations from <10 mSv to >500 mSv in 1986-87 [1]. Internal exposures to the thyroid may
have ranged from < 0.15 Gy to 3 Gy with an average of 0.21 Gy in those who took part in the
activities in and around CNPP during the first few months after the accident [14]; the short-lived
radioiodine isotopes decayed rapidly after that.
Evacuated residents
There was mass evacuation of residents of the settlements nearest to the CNPP,
depending on the radiological situation and their distance from the power plant [15-18]. On April
27, about 50,000 people were evacuated from the town of Pripyat located 3 km from the CNPP.
This is where most employees at the CNPP and their families resided before the accident. During
the 10 days after the accident, through May 7, 1986, a similar number of people who lived inside
the 30-km zone surrounding CNPP were evacuated from areas in Ukraine and Belarus. Active
evacuations continued until September, 1986 and involved a total of about 116,000 people,
mostly from areas in Ukraine and Belarus. Estimates of external effective doses reconstructed for
approximately 30,000 residents of the 30-km zone indicate the dose range have been from 0.1
mSv to 380 mSv with an average of 17 mSv [19]. Mean thyroid doses from 131I, based on about
5,000 direct measurements and about 10,000 questionnaires collected from Ukrainian evacuees
were 0.11-3.9 Gy in children, 0.066-0.39 Gy in adolescents and 0.066-0.40 Gy in adults [20,21].
In Belarusian evacuees the estimates are 1-4.3 Gy, 1 Gy and 0.68 Gy, respectively [22]. These
investigations demonstrated an important inverse correlation between thyroid dose and age at
exposure.
General population
Reconstructed maps of soil contamination with 137Cs (Figure 2) taken together with
9
demographic data for Belarus, Russia and Ukraine indicate that the population of contaminated
territories (i.e. with 137Cs levels exceeding 37 kBq/m2) was above 5 million at the time of
accident, comprising around 1 million children (<15 years old) and approximately 200,000
adolescents. Since the number of residents of contaminated territories is substantially greater
than in the two categories of clean-up workers described above, and also because the residents
include individuals of all ages who might have been exposed to diverse radiological conditions at
different geographical locations, dose estimates in them are more complicated and are
intrinsically associated with large uncertainties. This is of particular note in the differences
observed in the estimates of average collective and individual doses. Models of accumulated
dose from external sources are based on soil 137Cs contamination levels and are normalized to
isotope deposition density. Estimates of external dose range from 11 μSv/kBq/m2 to 24
μSv/kBq/m2 in 1986 for contaminated territories of the three countries; the doses were higher in
rural and lower in urban areas [1]. Study of external doses in one contaminated settlement in
Russia in 1987 found individual doses to be within 2-13 mGy range with a mean of 5 mGy [23].
Internal doses for the thyroid rely on direct thyroid measurements (several hundred thousand
were taken cumulatively after the accident), individual questionnaires and computer modeling.
Estimates indicate that the doses varied in a wide range from <0.05 mGy to >2 Gy in Belarusian,
Russian and Ukrainian individuals of all age groups with averages of <0.3-0.7 Gy in children and
individual doses up to 10 Gy [24-30]. Thyroid doses exceeding 2 Gy were observed almost
exclusively in younger children aged less than 4 years [30] and they usually were higher in the
residents of rural than in urban areas with similar contamination level [29].
It is worth noting that organized administration of prophylactic or thyroid-blocking doses
of stable iodine was not common. According to some surveys, from1% to about 25% of the
residents of contaminated territories reported taking KI pills shortly after the accident but the
recall rate was low [29,31]. In part this was due to poor preparedness for large-scale accidents
10
such as one that happened at CNPP, and in part to inappropriate information from the authorities.
An official announcement in the mass media appeared only on April 28th, i.e. two days after the
reactor was destroyed. The delay was caused initially by insufficient understanding of the scale
of the accident as well as apprehension of possible massive panic within the exposed population.
It might be expected that if clear instructions on essential safety measures had been delivered
swiftly and timely (e.g. taking KI pills, not consuming fresh milk and vegetables grown in the
open plots, not going outside, etc.), health consequences, at least for the residents of
contaminated territories, would be less dramatic. Cost-benefit analysis performed in Belarus for
2,566 thyroid cancers in children and adolescents diagnosed and treated during 1990-2005
showed that if potassium iodide prophylaxis had been provided, budget expenditures would have
decreased by $400,000 per 100,000 of population [32].
It is also of note that after the Chernobyl accident, several laws regulating the
dissemination and handling of ecological information were brought in within the former Soviet
Union countries. In Russia, for instance, information on emergencies and ecological,
meteorological, demographic and sanitary-epidemiologic data of importance for safe industrial
operations and for individual and public safety have been decreed to be open and non-restricted
[33].
Major medical and epidemiological studies of the Chernobyl accident
The scale of the accident and the number of people affected by it were unprecedented;
therefore initially it was very difficult to predict possible health consequences. In 2002,
S.Nagataki, evaluating state of knowledge about Chernobyl, designated the major post-accident
periods as follows: 1986-1989 information difficult to obtain; 1990-1991 exchanges with other
countries initiated; 1992 case reports: childhood thyroid cancer; 1992-1994 period of
11
ascertainment; 1995 ascertainment and search for causes; 1996-present investigations carried out
that will continue into the future [34].
The first health screenings in the most contaminated areas around Chernobyl were started
shortly after the accident, mostly organized through local medical authorities. Only from 1990,
after the request from the Government of the former Soviet Union in October 1989, were
international efforts initiated that still persist today.
The first important collaboration was the International Chernobyl Project coordinated by
IAEA. During 1990-91, 200 experts from 25 countries examined the health status of the
population, including hematological, cardiovascular and thyroid disease, radiogenic cataract,
cancer prevalence, fetal abnormalities and mental health for possible radiological consequences.
The study involved a total of 825,000 people from 2,225 settlements in the three affected states
[35]. One of the purposes was also to evaluate the mitigation measures undertaken and to
develop health-related advice for the population residing in contaminated areas. The major
findings of this project generally confirmed the previously established surface contamination
levels; the whole body lifetime doses were estimated not to exceed 160 mSv and were several
times lower than initial estimates of about 350 mSv. Actual thyroid doses were difficult to
confirm. Stress and anxiety in the population were significant but apparently not radiationrelated; no increase in leukemia or solid cancers was observed at that time and thyroid dose
estimates in children were suggestive of the possible increase in thyroid cancer incidence in the
future. The extent of population evacuation that had occurred, and the foodstuff restrictions that
had been put in place appeared to be sometimes excessive.
In February 1990, the Government of the former Soviet Union appealed to the Sasakawa
Memorial Health Foundation (SMHF) of Japan to provide assistance, specifically to the
population of the contaminated territories. SMHF in collaboration with the Japan Shipbuilding
Industry Foundation (now the Nippon Foundation) created a 5-year program initially entitled the
12
“Chernobyl Sasakawa Health and Medical Cooperation Project”. According to the report of
experts who evaluated the situation in the areas close to Chernobyl, the major concerns were fear
and anxiety among the residents, poor dissemination of information, and insufficient
understanding of health problems in the population. Therefore, the provision of a direct health
examination, particularly in children, was identified as the highest priority task [36]. In May
1991, health examination of children began in five centres established in Gomel and Mogilev
(Belarus), Kiev and Zhitomir (Ukraine), and Bryansk (Russia) with a special focus on direct
thyroid dose measurement, thyroid examination and blood tests (also including hormone and
antibody measurements) according to an agreed, unified protocol. To implement the project,
SMHF donated to each centre five mobile units equipped with whole body counters, ultrasound
machines and blood analyzers, 10 buses for patients’ transportation as well as other medical and
diagnostic equipment, computers, supplies and medicines. 158,995 children aged 0-10 years at
accident had been examined by April 1996. The project also supported training in Japan and onsite, visits of experts to the five centers, and educational materials and lectures for the residents.
Among 120,605 screened patients, 585 (4.85%, range 1.01-17.69) patients with thyroid nodules
and 63 (0.52%, range 0.22-1.92) with thyroid cancer were identified, with the highest rate to be
among the residents of the most heavily contaminated Gomel region in Belarus who were aged
0-3 years at accident [37]. The prevalence of goiter was 18-54% but there was no correlation
with whole body 137Cs count or the level of 137Cs contamination at the settlement of residence
[38]. The frequencies of hematopoietic malignancies, abnormal hematological parameters and
thyroid autoimmunity also did not correlate with whole body 137Cs count or the level of 137Cs
contamination [39]. The results of the project, which was the most reliable study at the time,
indicated a link between thyroid cancer in children and the Chernobyl accident, and pointed at
the need for further investigations.
13
In view of a high importance of the results obtained in 1991-96, SMHF extended the
project for 5 more years focusing on Gomel region of Belarus. A comparative study of thyroid
diseases in children born before and after the accident was designed to involve 21,601 persons
screened between February, 1998 to December, 2000 using the approaches established during the
first project. [40]. A total of 32 thyroid cancers (equating to 0.15% of the children screened)
were diagnosed of which 31 were in the group of 9,720 children born before the accident, one in
a child born during April 27 - December 31, 1986 (i.e., possibly exposed in utero) while no
thyroid cancers were detected in the group of 9,472 children born after the accident. The
estimated odds ratios of the frequency of thyroid cancer in the group born before the accident
compared to in utero exposed group were 11 and 121 compared to those born after the accident.
The conclusion regarding the likelihood of a causal link between direct external or internal
exposure to short-lived radionuclides including 131I and 133I was drawn.
The extended SMHF project provided a good opportunity for collaboration with the
Belarus/Russia/EU/IARC epidemiological case-control study (reviewed in another paper by
Hatch and Cardis in this Special Edition) aimed to evaluate of the risk of thyroid cancer after
exposure to 131I, and to identify any risk-modifying factors. In a united effort, which initially
included all individuals aged less than 15 years at the time of accident from Gomel and Mogilev
regions of Belarus and from Bryansk, Kaluga, Tula and Orel regions of Russia (a total of 276 at
the end of study) and at least four closely matched population-based controls (1,300 persons)
were analyzed. Individual thyroid doses were reconstructed and used to estimate dose-response
relationship. It was found to be significant and linear up to 1.5-2 Gy [41]. The odds ratio for
thyroid cancer varied from 5.5 to 8.4 for a dose of 1 Gy according to different risk models; this
was generally comparable with risk estimates for external exposures [42]. Importantly, a strong
modifying effect of iodine deficiency was observed: relative risk for developing cancer was 3.2
in iodine deficient areas whereas a dietary supplementation with KI reduced the risk
14
approximately 3-fold (relative risk of 0.34). This study was the largest population-based
investigation in young people living in Chernobyl areas; it provided a strong definitive evidence
of causal association between the risk for thyroid cancer and internal exposure to radioiodine at
young age. The major route of 131I ingestion by residents was its incorporation into the food
chains of pastured cattle, mostly cows, and consumption of fresh milk as well as from vegetables
and fruits grown in open soil. Incorporation of 137Cs may have contributed to dose formation.
This is why both 131I in the thyroid and in milk, and 137Cs in soil, food and in the body are
considered for dose reconstruction [43].
The World Health Organization (WHO) also played an active role in studying and
managing health consequences of Chernobyl. One of the largest projects was the International
Project on the Health Effects of the Chernobyl Accident (IPHECA) launched in May 1991 and
completed in 1996, with international budgetary support primarily from the Government of
Japan and with a contribution from the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Switzerland and Finland [44].
IPHECA included a number of pilot projects: brain damage in utero, an epidemiological registry,
haematology, medical and psychological rehabilitation of Chernobyl liquidators, oral health,
radiation dose reconstruction, and the effects on the thyroid. In collaboration with the SMHF
project, over 210,000 children were examined. The findings were in line with the earlier SMHF
projects: by the end of 1994, 565 children (333 in Belarus, 24 in the Russian Federation, 208 in
Ukraine) who lived in contaminated regions were diagnosed for thyroid cancer but no significant
increase in the incidence of leukemia or other blood disorders were observed [45].
In February 1999, the WHO and SMHF started the Chernobyl Telemedicine Project
whose aim was to improve early diagnosis, treatment, and follow-up of patients with thyroid
cancer, primarily in Gomel region of Belarus. A satellite-based telematic system was established
that allowed an exchange of thyroid ultrasound and cytology images, and of related information
on the patients between Thyroid Oncology Center in Minsk, the Research Center for Radiation
15
Medicine in Gomel and Nagasaki University School of Medicine with synchronized databases
[46-49]. By September 2000, information on 330 cases was entered into the database and
reviewed independently thus improving diagnosis.
Another important project was the establishment of the Chernobyl Tissue Bank (CTB) in
October 1998 based on funding from the European Commission, WHO, SMHF and the U.S.
National Cancer Institutes and approved by the Governments of Belarus, Russian and Ukraine
[50]. This is also reviewed in a paper in this Special Edition by Thomas et al.
Even at present, when major causes of health consequences of the CNPP accident, at least
with regard to thyroid cancer, are clarified, international activities continue. One of them is the
Chornobyl Thyroid Diseases Study Group of Belarus, Ukraine, and the USA [51]. The study
follows-up a cohort of 25,161 individuals (11,918 in Belarus and 13,243 in Ukraine) born
between April 26, 1968 and April 26, 1986, with direct thyroid measurements available shortly
after the accident to improve individual dose estimates and to collect health-related information
based on bi-annual (or annual) screenings. The project was started in December 1996 in Belarus
and in April 1998 in Ukraine.
During the first screening in 1998-2000, 45 thyroid cancers were detected in Ukraine [52].
An approximately linear dose-response relationship was found with excess relative risk estimate
of 5.25 per 1 Gy. The older age tended to associate with the decreased risk of thyroid cancer. A
fraction of cancers attributed to radiation was estimated to be 75% (95% CI 50-93%).
Reconstruction of thyroid doses in Belarus is now ongoing for the newly evaluation of the
risk of radiation-associated thyroid cancer [53]. In Ukraine, there are extensive risk analyses of
thyroid cancer and of other thyroid diseases among individuals exposed in utero to 131I from
Chernobyl fallout [54] as well as of that of non-cancer thyroid neoplasms [55] and autoimmune
thyroiditis [56]. The results of this large-scale project are expected to further refine conclusions
of the earlier, concurrent and ongoing studies.
16
In April 2009, a new Chernobyl program was launched by four UN agencies, IAEA,
UNDP, UNICEF and WHO with financial support from the UN Trust Fund for Human Security.
The objectives, primarily set in Belarus, are translation-oriented, i.e. to develop effective
practical advices for the residents of contaminated territories based on the results of
investigations around Chernobyl obtained so far.
Discussion
In this article we overviewed the major aspects of the accident at the CNPP, the initial
response to the accident, both locally and with the involvement of international bodies, and its
radiological and health consequences with a particular focus on thyroid cancer.
As a result of the large release of radioactivity, large groups of the population received
radiation doses. These included clean-up workers and the general population that was either
evacuated from the settlements in the vicinity of CNPP shortly after the accident, or continued to
live in the territories of Belarus, Russia and Ukraine which were contaminated by fallout. Health
consequences were initially difficult to forecast. Aside from the effects of acute exposure to
ionizing radiation in firemen, information about the contamination levels of the affected
territories, spectrum of pollutant radionuclides and doses accumulated by the residents were hard
to come by. That is why, after the initial years of domestic effort, large scale international
collaborations were initiated,, involving many governmental and non-governmental
organizations from a number of countries and from the world-wide community. Through
cooperative investigations, the health status and dosimetric data were obtained to provide
grounds for assessing the consequences. First reports about the increase of thyroid cancer
incidence in children and adolescents in Belarus and in Ukraine [57,58] were met cautiously by
the experts because of doubts in the accuracy of diagnosis, too short period of latency (which
would expected to be about 10 years as seen from A-bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki) and
17
insufficient evidence of link between Chernobyl radiation and cancer outbreak. With time,
however, essential proof was found and the efforts of both health authorities in the three most
affected countries and of the international parties could be better focused on the high-risk groups
and using more specialized means. These still continue today.
A number of lessons have been learnt from the accident at the CNPP, for example, that a
disaster in one country may affect other, that appropriate handling of vital information about the
accident, and better preparedness for accidents that involve radioactive releases may result in less
adverse consequences; that international collaboration even on delicate issues could be
established and it can be effective. In the medical arena, a wealth of experience has been
accumulated, including the recognition that there may be a relatively short period of latency for
thyroid cancer after internal exposure to radioiodine, coupled with advances in the diagnosis and
treatment of young patients with thyroid cancer.
Although issues of non-thyroid cancer, somatic diseases and mental consequences
remained beyond of the scope of this review, these should not be forgotten too. The
psychological effects of the accident are reviewed in another paper in this Special Edition by
Bromet et al.
In conclusion, while the major health effects of the Chernobyl accident have become
clearer over the past 25 years, we are still far from understanding all the consequences. Studies
are still required to investigate whether the clinical course and the long-term effects of treatment
of radiation-induced diseases are the same as or different from the same disorders of sporadic
etiology. Investigations similar to that of the Life Span Study of Japanese A-bomb survivors and
focused follow-up of patients diagnosed and treated after Chernobyl and in high-risk groups may
provide essential answers to improve quality of life of those exposed to fallout from the accident,
as well as to optimize radiation safety and public health systems worldwide.
18
Acknowledgements
We would like to thank V.Shpak (IEM AMSU, Kiev, Ukraine), M.Maksioutov, K.
Tumanov, S. Chekin, V. Kashcheev, A. Korelo, O. Vlassov, N. Shchukina (MRRC RAMS,
Obninsk, Russia) and T.Rogounovitch (Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan) for their
assistance in preparing materials for this article. This work was supported in part by Nagasaki
University Global COE program and Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 22256004 (to S. Y.)
from the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science.
19
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26
Table 1. Principal radionuclides released due to the Chernobyl accident*
Radionuclide
Half life
Activity released, PBq
Noble gases
85
Kr
Xe
133
129m
Te
132
Te
131
I
133
I
134
Cs
136
Cs
137
Cs
89
Sr
Sr
103
Ru
106
Ru
140
Ba
90
95
Zr
Mo
141
Ce
144
Ce
239
Np
238
Pu
239
Pu
240
Pu
241
Pu
242
Pu
242
Cm
99
10.72 y
5.25 d
33
~6,500
Volatile elements
33.6 d
3.26 d
8.04 d
20.8 h
2.06 y
13.1 d
30.0 y
240
~1,150
~1,760
~2,500
~47
36
~85
Elements with intermediate volatility
50.5 d
~115
29.12 y
~10
39.3 d
>168
368 d
>73
12.7 d
240
Refractory elements (including fuel particles)
64.0 d
84
2.75 d
> 72
32.5 d
84
284 d
~ 50
2.35 d
400
87.74 y
0.015
24,065 y
0.013
6,537 y
0.018
14.4 y
~2.6
376,000 y
0.00004
18.1 y
~0.4
* Decay corrected to 26 April 1986
Data are inferred from refs. [2,8,16,19]
27
Table 2. European countries contaminated by Chernobyl fallouts in 1986*
Area with 137Cs deposition density range (per km2)
Russian Federation
Belarus
Ukraine
Sweden
Finland
Austria
Norway
Bulgaria
Switzerland
Greece
Slovenia
Italy
Republic of Moldova
37-185 kBq/m2
49800
29900
37 200
12000
11500
8600
5200
4800
1300
1200
300
300
60
185-555 kBq/m2
5 700
10200
3200
-
555-1480 kBq/m2
2100
4 200
900
-
> 1480 kBq/m2
300
2200
600
-
* Based on refs. [1,9]
28
Figure 1
Calculated plume formation according to meteorological conditions for radioactive releases on
corresponding dates just after the Chernobyl accident [7].
29
Figure 2
Ground deposition of 137Cs in Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia around the accident site [1].
30
Figure 3
Ground deposition of 137Cs in Europe after the Chernobyl accident [9].
31