Agha, N. & Taks, M. (2019). Economic impact of minor sporting events and minor league teams. In P.
Downward, B. Frick, B. R. Humphreys, T. Pawlowski, J. E. Ruseski, & B. P. Soebbing (Eds.) The SAGE
Handbook of Sports Economics, SAGE.
Economic Impact of Minor Sporting Events and Minor League Teams
A considerable amount has been written on mega sporting events, large events, and
professional sports, despite the fact that there are many more minor events and minor league
teams (development teams) across the globe. To illustrate the scope of minor events, nearly
every sizeable city in North America has a convention and visitor’s bureau (CVB), a destination
management organization (DMO), or sport authority whose purpose is to bring these, mostly
minor, sporting events or teams to the city.
Since many more minor events and teams exist compared to professional teams and mega
events, one would expect a greater focus on these minor teams and events to better understand
their economic effects. The tourism, leisure, and recreation literature is replete with studies in the
context of traditional minor events such as soccer tournaments, hockey championships, and swim
meets (e.g. Cela, Kowalski, & Lankford, 2006; Veltri, Miller, & Harris, 2009; Wilson, 2006).
These studies are mostly ex ante using the direct expenditure approach (DEA; Davies, Coleman,
& Ramchandani, 2013) or input-output models, only look at benefits, and do not subtract out
costs. On the other hand, research on minor events in the economics literature is rare and when it
focuses on small stadiums and arenas (Colclough, Daellenbach, & Sherony, 1994; Hodur,
Bangsund, Leistritz, & Kaatz, 2006) and minor events (Ryan & Lockyer, 2001) it often takes the
same DEA or ex ante, benefit-only approach. An exception to this approach is Taks, Késenne,
Chalip, Green, & Martyn (2011), who contrasted and compared the outcomes of a DEA with a
Cost Benefit Approach (CBA) for a medium-sized international sport event. For teams, the only
exception is Agha (2013) who used an ex post regression approach to identify the effect of Minor
League Baseball teams.
The dearth of research on minor events and teams in the economic literature can be
explained in various ways. To begin, there is less motivation to conduct the studies because
minor sports are assumed to have smaller significance (Marsh, 1984) and generally lack status or
prestige that draws attention and interest (Agha & Coates, 2013). In addition, economists
generally prefer the ex post approach to economic impact as it more naturally controls for net
effects (e.g. Agha, 2013) but data is harder to obtain for smaller events (Coates, 2012). Baade,
Baumann, and Matheson (2008) pointed out that it is tough to find the effect of a large
championship in a large economy due to normal fluctuations in the regional economic activity.
By extension, it would be hard to find an effect of a small event in a small economy. Figure 1
illustrates not just the difficulty of identifying impact in the ex post approach, but also helps to
explain why so little research has been conducted on smaller events and teams.
[INSERT FIGURE 1 about here]
Despite these reasons to overlook inquiry on minor sports in the economic literature,
there has been a long history suggesting that minor events are likely more beneficial than major
sports (e.g. Coates, 2012; Daniels & Norman, 2003; Marsh, 1984; Matheson, 2006; Walo, Bull,
& Breen, 1996; Taks, 2013). In part due to both increased data availability and a shift towards
cost-benefit analysis (CBA) approaches (e.g. Késenne, 2005; Késenne, 2012), recent efforts to
develop theory specific to minor events (e.g. Agha & Rascher, 2016; Agha & Taks, 2015) and to
conduct studies on minor events (Taks et al., 2011) and teams (Agha, 2013) using more robust
approaches occur in the literature. Thus, we focus for the remainder of the chapter on the more
recent theoretical and empirical contributions that take either the CBA or the ex post approach
for both minor sport events and minor teams. We start by defining minor sport events and teams
followed by an explanation of the different approaches to measuring impact. We then present
theoretical models and provide empirical examples of economic impact of minor sport events
and leagues. We end the chapter with recommendations for future research.
Defining Minor Sporting Events and Teams
It is easy to distinguish minor league teams from their major league counterparts, simply
based on their labeling (i.e., minor league versus major league). Similarly, there is consensus that
the summer Olympic Games and the FIFA World Cup are mega events. Researchers, however,
do not agree if other large events like the Commonwealth Games, EURO Football Cup, and
Winter Olympics are mega sport events (e.g., Getz, 2012) with them sometimes referred to as
“second tier events” (Grix, 2014). It is less clear what is understood by a minor sporting event
and, thus far, the classification has generally been up to the researcher. Researchers refer to the
following events as “small” events: the Giro d’Italia, Windsurf World Cup, and Ski Jumping
World Cup (Kwiatkowski, 2016); a North Dakota State University football game with 5,100
spectators (Hodur et al., 2006); the Cooper River Bridge Run/Walk and the National Softball
Association Girls Fastpitch World Series (Daniels & Norman, 2003).
Several definitions of small events exist. Saayman and Saayman (2014) defined events
based on seven variables one of which is size. Higham (1999) suggested they could be “regular
season sporting competitions (ice hockey, basketball, soccer, rugby leagues), international
sporting fixtures, domestic competitions, Masters or disabled sports, and the like” (p. 87). This
expansive definition spans from local to international events and from regular season games to
one-off events. Gratton and Taylor (2000) proposed a typology of four different types of events
(Types A, B, C and D) specifically for economic impact purposes; the smaller Type C and Type
D events also include an extremely broad range of events. Wilson (2006) extended the model and
suggested a smaller Type E category to cover regional and local events. Based on this,
Ramchandani (2014) classified Type A events as “Mega”, Type B and C events as “Sub Mega”
(National and International), Type D and E as “Domestic”. Unfortunately, these typologies do
little to help us understand what is minor and major because they focus on event outcomes
(media coverage or assumed impact) instead of the event features. Taking a different approach,
Daniels and Norman (2003) studied seven small events and found the unifying features of minor
events were a lack of government investment and a reliance on existing infrastructure.
Ultimately, none of these typologies and suggested definitions are based on economic
theory. To address this problem, Agha and Taks (2015) developed a definition based on resource
demands. They defined Event Resource Demand (ERD) as the continuum of resources needed to
stage an event. Specifically, events require investments of three resource types: human (e.g.,
employees, volunteers), financial (e.g., private or government investments), and physical (e.g.,
venues, accommodation, transportation). As a result, events are operationalized by the
multivariate combination of demanded resources where “large” events are defined as those with
high ERD and “small” events as those with low ERD. There are an infinite number of events
falling on the ERD continuum between the largest and smallest events.
To put this definition into context, Lamla, Straub, and Girsberger (2014) investigated the
UEFA EURO 2008 football competition which hosted over 1 million game attendees in four
stadiums in Austria and four stadiums in Switzerland. For this pan-continental championship, no
new stadiums were built and no new hotels were necessary to host the event (suggesting a small
ERD in terms of physical resources). In addition, the host cities were common tourism
destinations with available employees in the hospitality sector (suggesting a small ERD in terms
of human resources). On the other hand, the financial resource demand was large, with Swiss
taxpayers alone responsible for over $130 million USD (SwissInfo, 2005). Given the ERD
continuum, the EURO football championship was not the largest or smallest event, but
somewhere in between (see Figure 2).
[INSERT FIGURE 2 about here]
While the prior discussion focused on events, it is worth noting that minor league teams
have traditionally been defined very differently – simply as those teams not at the highest level
of competition. It would be incredibly useful to apply the ERD definition to development teams
to accurately capture the resource demands they place on host cities. While there are generally
low human resource demands of minor league teams, a new minor league baseball stadium can
have a large ERD if it places large financial demands on the local government to produce the
physical resources. For instance, Ramapo, NY, a small town of 127,000 inhabitants, issued $25
million in bonds to build a minor league baseball stadium in 2011 that ultimately cost the city
$60 million (Klopott, 2013).
Approaches to Measuring Impact
Minor sporting events create an impact if they are out of the ordinary (i.e., not part of the
regular season), thus create a temporary ‘shock’ in the economy (Taks, Chalip, & Green, 2016).
Generally, they require a whole range of resources, including products, services, and facilities for
a very short period of time, thus increasing consumption in the local economy. As mentioned
previously, a DEA measures this increased demand by focusing on the new money coming in to
the local economy. While a DEA occasionally corrects for leakages (i.e., money not spent
locally), it generally neglects the cost, and completely neglects the opportunity cost (e.g.,
diverting investments from other projects, crowding out regular tourists, etc.). By only taking
into account the positive impacts while ignoring the negative impacts, the standard DEA
constantly overestimates the ‘economic benefits’ (Késenne, 2012). This overestimation is found
by comparing ex post to DEA results (e.g. Baade & Matheson, 2001), however, no such ex post
challenge of DEA has been conducted in minor events because no ex post research exists for
minor events.
Sport economists reliance on ex post regression began with Baade and Dye (1990) and is
based on externalities. If events and teams produce positive production externalities in a local
economy they will, theoretically, manifest themselves through pecuniary effects. These effects
have been operationalized and observed through standard economic variables such as spending,
sales tax collections, income, and employment. These pecuniary effects are then identifiable,
measurable, and econometrically testable. The bulk of economic research to date relied on this
approach, but focused entirely on larger and medium-sized events with the exception of Agha
(2013) who studied minor league teams. One benefit of an ex post regression approach is it more
easily captures net effects, especially since costs, leakages, and crowding out are very difficult to
identify and measure with a DEA. In part, this explains the stark differences between ex ante and
ex post estimates of impact (e.g., Baade & Matheson, 2001). Ex post analysis also makes sense
for major events and teams because they are the most likely to have production externalities.
Smaller events have smaller production externalities and when organized in larger cities it
becomes close to impossible to find the impact of smaller events ex post (e.g., a swim meet in a
city of 1 million people – a tiny event, which will hardly make a difference in a large city). Thus,
in general, ex post analysis makes little sense for minor events.
More recently, calls for alternative methods of measuring economic impact of events
such as CBA (e.g., Késenne, 2005) or computable general equilibrium (CGE; e.g., Dwyer,
Forsyth & Dwyer, 2010) were made which revealed more realistic (and often negative) outcomes
(e.g. Taks et al., 2011). A CBA is concerned with net benefits for the local population (i.e.,
welfare economics), whereby the best option to improve the efficiency of resource allocation is
the one in which the marginal social benefit exceeds the marginal social cost by the largest
amount. CBA identifies which money flows in a standard economic impact study should be
considered a cost and which are a benefit. It also identifies the value of intangible social benefits
and social costs not reflected in market prices such as consumer surplus (e.g., Falconieri &
Palomino, 2004), public good value (e.g., Johnson & Whitehead, 2000), and opportunity costs
(e.g., Késenne, 2012). Opportunity costs represent foregone earnings from spending public
money on sport events. For example, money spent on sport facilities could have alternatively
have been used to build a school or a hospital. The return on investments (ROI) on these
alternative projects could be higher than the ROI of the sport facility. It is very challenging to
estimate the ROI of all possible alternatives, thus, CBA estimates opportunity costs on the basis
of crowding-out effects (e.g., regular tourists, local businesses) and all government expenditures
related to the event (Taks et al., 2011).
In criticizing the CBA approach to impact, Davies et al. (2013) stated, “…CBA is
arguably too data intensive from a practitioner perspective, especially for medium-sized Type C
and D events, and given increasing constraints with public sector funding across many countries,
is unlikely to be adopted by event organisers and local governments as a regular tool for
evaluation” (p. 34). While data collection is a challenge for any attempt to measure impact
(Wilton & Nickerson, 2006), we note that as soon as events do not require public subsidies,
which is more likely the cases with small events, there are technically speaking no opportunity
costs. There still might be leakages and crowding out effects if the local economy is at full
capacity, and technically they should be identified, calculated, and subtracted from the benefits.
In the absence of public subsidies, no data must be collected to calculate opportunity costs based
on taxpayers’ dollars. Therefore, the overall economic impact is highly likely to be positive. In
contrast to Davies et al. (2013), we argue the CBA is a better approach than both DEA and
regression based ex post analysis for small events with no government subsidies,.
Theoretical Impact of Minor Sporting Events and Teams
A typical DEA or ex ante approach to economic impact requires hundreds or thousands
of variables. Simplistic examples include the number of visitors, how long they stay, the amount
spent in different industries, and an organizing committee’s budget. In taking a CBA approach,
Agha and Taks (2015) noted these variables could be simplified and categorized into ten
economic impact drivers: five that increase and five that decrease economic impact (see Figure
3). While a DEA generally focuses on B1 (and occasionally captures B2-B5 and C4) a CBA
accounts for all ten Drivers.
[INSERT FIGURE 3 about here]
Note that some drivers are a function of the type of event (e.g. B1, New spending spent
locally by visitors) while others are a function of city characteristics such as normal tourism rates
and the available hotel stock (e.g. C1, Crowding out other visitors). Seeing the necessity of
defining cities in the same terms as events, Agha and Taks (2015) extended the idea of ERD by
defining City Resource Supply (CRS) as the resources available in the host city to stage the event
including the human resources (supply of labor and volunteers), financial resources (public and
private investments), and physical resources (infrastructure such as transportation, venues, and
accommodation). Defining a city in terms of supply allows for local economic conditions and the
reality that cities with excess capacity will benefit more than fully productive economies (Baade
& Sanderson, 1997). Traditional city characteristics like population or GDP are less relevant in
this multivariate continuum of CRS because it is possible for a city with a smaller population to
have better transportation, lodging, and venue options than one with a larger population (e.g., a
small city which is a popular tourism destination). Similarly, some cities are well off financially
and may have financial surpluses, regardless of their population size. In this conceptualization of
cities, “large” cities have high CRS and “small” cities have low CRS in the context of events. An
infinite number of cities fall on the CRS continuum between largest and smallest city.
Economic impact is then a function of the interaction of the ERD and the CRS. In short,
it is often the relative size of the event as a function of the city (or better, the city’s resources)
that matters most. Wilson (2006) in the context of swim meets in the U.K., Coates and Depken
(2011) in terms of American college football games, and Coates and Agha (2015) in the context
of Minor League Baseball support this point.
We can see this idea of relativity expressed as the interaction of ERD and CRS in Figure
4. Whereas the demanded resources for event 1 (E1) exactly match the resource supply of city 1
(C1), city 2 (C2) actually has a surplus of resources to host event 1. On the other hand, Agha and
Taks (2015) introduced the idea of resource deficiency to illustrate that the lack of local
resources often leads to a realization of zero or negative impact, as when event 2 (E2) is held in
city 1 (C1). Because CRS is a multivariate measure, the deficiency (D1) could be too few hotel
rooms for visitors, too few venues, or a lack of financial resources. Regardless of the specific
deficiency, there will be a local cost to obtain them which decreases economic impact. Thus,
only an equilibrium between ERD and CRS will lead to an optimal economic impact as in points
O1 and O2 in Figure 4.
[INSERT FIGURE 4 about here]
Using the concept of resource deficiency, and bringing local economic conditions into the
analysis, Agha and Taks (2015) demonstrated that theoretically: (1) no city has the resources
required to host a mega event and will therefore never achieve the optimal economic impact; (2)
smaller events have a higher potential for maximum optimal economic impact compared to
larger events; and, (3) smaller events have positive impacts in many more cities than larger
events.
To see this interplay between ERD and CRS in action, we return to the example of
EURO 2008. Given the definition of ERD, EURO 2008 demanded eight football stadiums of
which all eight were locally available. Given the strong tourism infrastructure in Europe no new
hotels were necessary although there was not necessarily slack in those establishments in the
summer months leading to a resource deficiency, the result of which was crowding out of other
visitors which decreases impact. Lamla et al. (2014) found hotels and restaurants reported lower
sales due to crowding out. The financial ERD of over $130 million had real opportunity costs for
the host cities. The deficiencies in some of the resources and the presence of clear cost drivers
suggest a non-optimal economic impact. One could imagine EURO 2008 located at point D1 in
Figure 4.
Contrast the resource deficiency of EURO 2008 with the International Tennis Federation
(ITF) women’s professional tennis tournament, the 2013 GDF-Suez Open in Seine-et-Marne,
France. Despite its status as an international event, Schut and Pierre (2016) reported the use of an
existing tennis facility and hotel complex suggesting an optimal level of physical resources.
Little to no crowding out occurred because 91% of spectators lived in the local area and “stayed
there for a few hours” (Schut & Pierre, 2016, p. 77). In terms of financial demands, the Seine-etMarne Department Council paid €50,000 to subsidize the event. With unemployment in France
near 10%, there is supply to match the demand for human resources. Thus, the overall ERD
seems likely to be below the CRS and closer to the optimal point (O1) than EURO 2008.
Looking at the interaction of ERD and CRS in the context of minor league teams, we see
a similar pattern whereby some minor teams can exceed the capacity of their cities even though
they are small. Returning to the example of Ramapo, NY, the financial demand of the team for
the stadium was in excess of the CRS. The per capita cost of $472 to build the stadium vastly
exceeded the average per capita MLB stadium cost of $79 (Agha & Coates, 2015). The city of
Ramapo is now fiscally stressed and Moody’s issued a negative outlook on the debt (Klopott,
2013). This is illustrated by point D1 in Figure 4. In contrast, the San Jose Giants are a minor
league baseball team (Class A) located in San Jose, CA, a city with a population over 1 million
inhabitants. The team employs 25 full-time personnel year round, about 265 part-time seasonal, 4
full-time paid interns, and no unpaid volunteers (C. Seike, 2017, personal communication, May
10, 2017). The stadium requires approximately $100,000 in annual maintenance, and the few
out-of-town visitors are easily accommodated in existing hotels. Given the CRS, the team is best
represented by point S1 in Figure 4.
Application and Outcomes for Small Events
All of the theories and concepts discussed thus far relate equally to major and minor
events including CBA, the economic impact drivers, and the ERD/CRS framework. Although the
theories apply equally to all events, the impacts for minor events and teams are more consistently
positive than those of major events and teams. There are a variety of reasons for this, some of
which extend naturally from the ERD/CRS framework. Simply by the nature of their ERD and
the number of cities with available CRS, minor events have a lower likelihood of exceeding local
capacity (Agha & Taks, 2015) including a lower likelihood of public subsidies for infrastructure
(Agha & Rascher, 2016; Higham, 1999), security (Matheson, 2006), and bidding costs (Higham,
1999) (driver C5). Available capacity also means minor events have a lower likelihood of
crowding out (Agha & Rascher, 2016; Matheson, 2006) (drivers C1, C2, and C3), a result that
runs contrary to major events. Taks et al. (2011) and Matheson (2006) state minor events are less
likely to influence changes in normal business activity (including both positive changes in driver
B2 and negative changes in driver C3) and thus less likely to affect competing industries,
multipliers, and exchange rates.
Whereas the primary explanations for neutral and negative effects of major teams are
substitution and leakages (e.g. Siegfried & Zimbalist, 2000), Agha and Rascher (2016) suggested
minor league teams have lower leakages (driver C4) and higher propensity for new visitor
spending to be captured locally (driver B1; what Ryan and Lockyer (2001) refer to as retained
expenditures). Overall, the theoretical explanations for the differences are consistent with
empirical findings of both minor teams and events.
Empirical Examples of Minor Sporting Events and Teams
Despite Matheson’s (2006) call for more ex post analysis of “less prominent sporting
events,” (p. 194), little work has been done, in part because, as Figure 1 indicates, it is not an
easy task to identify the effect. In this section we provide details of two empirical studies.
Minor Events
Taks et al. (2011) compared the outcomes of a standard economic impact analysis (EIA
based on DEA and input-output modeling) with a CBA for the Pan American Junior Athletic
Championships. While one-off, and international in nature, this event is considered a non-mega
sport event. The 2005 edition was hosted in Windsor, Ontario, a medium-sized city in Canada of
approximately 250,000 inhabitants. Thirty-five countries were represented by 443 athletes and
144 coaches. Most of the 600 volunteers were residents. The event attracted a substantial amount
of local media attention, as if the Olympic Games were in town. It drew 16,000 spectators to the
stadium over the course of the 4-day event. Most of the spectators were residents, while the
competitors and participants were almost exclusively non-locals. This event is a rare example of
a non-mega sport event for which a new $9.5 CND stadium was built (on University premises).
Private funds covered 75% of the cost and the remainder through increased student fees. The
results are presented in Tables 1 and 2.
The DEA of the event indicated $11,023,162 in new spending (visitors: $971,759;
capital: $9,506,883; and, operational spending: $544,521). After correcting for leakages (i.e.,
some of this money was re-spent locally, while the rest was re-spent outside the host region), the
net increase in economic activity in Windsor was estimated to be $5,617,681. Furthermore, the
event generated a total of 75.8 Full Time Job Equivalents for the city. The total impact from
wages and salaries was estimated to be $3,396,524. The example clearly demonstrates that even
when standard EIA are corrected for leakages, the outcome is always positive, because it does
not take into account the costs for hosting the event (Table 1).
[include Tables 1 & 2 about here]
The benefit side of the CBA includes the non-local visitor spending, the revenue of the
local organizing committee (LOC), the consumer surplus, and the public good value. The cost
side consists of opportunity costs, which included: (1) the costs for building the stadium (labor
costs, the cost of borrowing); (2) imports; and (3) ticket sales to locals. Money spent on building
the new stadium, crowds out other projects. The imports are considered a cost, as money flows
out of the local economy because of the event (the numbers were retrieved from the standard
EIA which provided numbers on imports). Ticket sales to locals crowds out local businesses
(e.g., movie theatre, bars, restaurants). This is particularly problematic in cases where the
organizing committee takes its profits outside the host community (e.g., the IOC in the context of
Olympic Games, or the FIFA in the context of the World Cup Soccer; Késenne, 2005). When
subtracting the overall costs of approximately $4.5 million from the overall benefits of
approximately $2.1 million, the outcome is a negative net benefit of $2.4 million (Table 2). What
is important here, is how the positive signs from the standard EIA revert into a negative sign
when a CBA is executed for the same event, from an estimated net increase in economic activity
in the City of $5,617,681, to a negative net benefit of $2.4 million; a discrepancy of about $7
million.
Minor Teams
In order to investigate the effect of minor league baseball teams and stadiums on local per
capita income, Agha (2013) relied on an ex post approach taken by Coates and Humphreys
(1999) on major league teams and stadiums. To find the effect of smaller teams, she pooled data
on 238 different metropolitan areas over 27 years. The bulk of the team and stadium effects for
each classification were insignificant, which aligned with decades of results at the major league
level. There were two important differences though. First, whereas there were known negative
effects in major league results, there were no significant negative effects at the minor league
level. Second, positive effects were found in four cases: teams at the AAA and A+ classifications
and stadiums at the AA and rookie classifications. The results were particularly surprising
because, as the first ex post investigation of any type of minor league team, the a priori
expectations were that the results would be negative. Teams are small businesses that have
shorter seasons, more frequent moves between cities, seasonal employees, and no national media
exposure. Furthermore, the leagues in which the teams play have no national revenue sharing and
they fold with much higher frequency than do major leagues. Agha (2013) concluded, “Although
these are undeniable features of minor league baseball, they are simply descriptive features of the
product. It is faulty to assume they are sufficient to explain the relationship between the presence
of a team and per capita income” (p. 245). Instead, the reasons given for these positive results
included little or no crowding out, low leakages, and a higher likelihood of retained expenditures
– explanations that align with the ERD/CRS framework.
Conclusions and Future Research
When events do not exceed the resource capacity of their host cities there is greater
potential for a host of other benefits as evidenced by the lengthy literature on the social benefits,
quality of life, and network effects of minor events (e.g. Taks at al., 2016). As Walo et al. (1996)
stated, “enhancement of the host population’s way of life, economy, and environment is possibly
the most significant difference between local special events and large-scale events” (p. 104). If
crowding out is one reason why economic impact of large events is non-positive, then multiple
smaller events will likely bring greater benefits than one large event (Matheson, 2006). This
comment is consistent with the literature on optimizing event outcomes with strategic planning
of an event portfolio (e.g., Ziakas & Costa, 2011).
There is more to learn about minor events and teams. We encourage more comparative
studies using a CBA approach rather than a DEA approach to better understand the features of
events that increase their likelihood of benefiting an economy. CBA is especially recommended
for minor events when there is no government investments, as this voids the need to calculate an
important opportunity cost.
More research is also necessary on minor league teams in sports beyond baseball (e.g.
hockey, soccer, lacrosse) to capture the resource demands they place on host cities. This research
area is increasingly important in the context of relativity as minor league facility costs can have
major impacts on small cities. In addition, minor league teams affect thousands of cities across
the globe compared to only a few hundred major league cities.
Looking at the drivers of economic impact (Figure 3), there has been considerable
attention paid to all the benefit drivers except for B2, increased spending (spent locally) by
residents and businesses. Although we see claims that this occurs, the evidence thus far seems to
suggest that increased local spending is simply time shifted (Agha & Taks, 2016). If major
events do not affect B2 then it is even less likely for minor events, a point in alignment with
Higham (1999) that minor events should have negligible impacts on residents. More inquiry is
also necessary on the crowding out effects (drivers C1, C2, and C3).
In conclusion, calculating the economic impacts of events and teams remains a challenge
and is often incomplete. In this contribution, we stressed the importance of going above and
beyond direct expenditure by taking costs into account. Consistent with other sports economists,
we strongly recommend performing CBA over DEA. Moreover, instead of defining event sizes
in terms of outcomes, we defined events (and teams) in terms of resources needed (ERD), and
combined this with the resource capacity of the host city (CRS) to better understand how events
(or teams) can achieve optimal economic impact in the city where they are being hosted. There
are no absolute sizes of events; instead it is the equilibrium of resources an event demands
relative to the resources a city can supply that determines economic outcomes. Any event
operating within the existing resource capacity of the host city will have low opportunity costs,
higher community benefits, and more optimal economic impact. We demonstrated the greater
likelihood for minor sporting events and minor league teams to operate within those parameters
compared to their major counterparts.
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Figure 1
Potential to find impact of events/teams using the ex post regression method
Large City
Small City
Large
-
Hard to find
Multiple ex post attempts
have been made
-
Likely can find
Small
Event/
Team
-
Likely cannot find
-
Hard to find
One ex post attempt
has been made
Figure 2
Event Resource Demand (ERD) Continuum
Figure 3
Economic Impact Drivers (Source: Agha & Taks, 2015, p. 203)
Figure 4.
Optimum economic impact where Event Resource Demand (ERD) equals City Resource Supply
(CRS) (based on Agha & Taks, 2015, p. 210)
Table 1:
Results from the Standard Economic Impact Analysis of the 2005 Pan American Junior Athletic
Championships (adapted from Taks. et. al, 2011, p. 193): Economic Impact Summary –
Combined Total (Visitor – Operational –Stadium) for the City of Windsor in $ CDN (Results
from the STEAM model; Canadian Sport Tourism Alliance, 2006)
Initial expenditure:
Visitor spending
Organization
Construction
GDP
Employment (Full-year jobs)
Wages and salaries
$ 971,759
$
544,521
$ 9,506,883
$ 11,023,162
$ 5,617,681
75.8
$ 3,396,524
Table 2:
Results from the Cost-Benefit Analysis (in $ CDN) of the 2005 Pan American Junior Athletic
Championships (adapted from Taks. et. al, 2011, p. 195)
BENEFITS
Non-local Visitor Spending
971,759
COSTS
Opportunity Cost of Labor
LOC-Revenue
564,878
Opportunity Cost of Borrowing
2,500,000
Consumer Surplus
39,944
Imports (indirect)
1,948,368
Public Good Value
530,000
Total-Benefits (B)=
2,106,581
Net benefit (B-C) =
Ticket Sales to Locals
Total-Costs (C)=
- 2,421,676
0
79,889
4,528,257