Wikipedia

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of New Mexico, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
← 2016 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020 →
All 3 New Mexico seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 2 1
Seats won 3 0
Seat change Increase1 Decrease1
Popular vote 400,702 262,714
Percentage 58.25% 38.20%
Swing Increase2.24% Decrease5.79%

The Democratic party gained the 2nd Congressional seat, gaining unitary control of New Mexico's Congressional (House and Senate) delegation for the first time since 2008 and improving the advantage in the House delegation for New Mexico from 2–1 in favor of Democrats to 3–0.

Overview

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Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico by district:[1]

District Democratic Republican Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 147,336 59.13% 90,507 36.33% 11,319 4.54% 249,162 100% Democratic hold
District 2 101,489 50.93% 97,767 49.07% n/a 199,256 100% Democratic gain
District 3 148,501 60.64% 76,427 31.21% 13,265 5.42% 244,893 100% Democratic hold
Total 404,026 58.27% 264,701 38.18% 24,584 3.55% 693,311 100%

District 1

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2018 New Mexico's 1st congressional district election
 
← 2016
2020 →
     
Nominee Deb Haaland Janice Arnold-Jones
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 147,336 90,507
Percentage 59.1% 36.3%
 
 
Haaland:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Jones:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Michelle Lujan Grisham
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Deb Haaland
Democratic

See also: New Mexico's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is centered around the Albuquerque metropolitan area. Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham, who had represented the district since 2013, was reelected to a third term with 65% of the vote in 2016. Lujan Grisham did not run for reelection and instead successfully ran for Governor of New Mexico.[2]

New Mexico's 1st district was one of 36 Democrat-held House districts targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.[3]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Declared
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Withdrew
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Declined
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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Pat
Davis 		Deb
Haaland 		Damian
Lara 		Damon
Martinez 		Paul
Moya 		Antoinette
Sedillo-Lopez 		Other Undecided
Albuquerque Journal[17] May 20–24, 2018 395 ± 4.9% 5% 19% 4% 22% 3% 17% — 29%
Lake Research Partners (D)[18][A] May 13–14, 2018 390 ± 5.0% — 20% — 23% — 25% 5% 27%
Public Policy Polling (D)[19][B] April 13–15, 2018 508 ± 4.4 11% 15% — 7% — 15% — 43%

Endorsements

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Deb Haaland

Debate

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2018 New Mexico's 1st congressional district democratic primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Annie Chavez Pat Davis Dennis Dinge Deb Haaland Damian Lara Antoinette Sedillo Lopez Damon Martinez Paul Moya
1 May. 20, 2018 KOAT-TV
Albuquerque Journal 		Doug Fernandez [31] N P N P P P P P

Pre-primary convention results

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Candidates for the Democratic nomination needed to either receive the votes of 20% of the delegates at the convention on March 10, or collect and submit signatures to the secretary of state to have made it to the June 5 primary.

Candidate Percentage of delegates won Automatically on ballot
Pat Davis 13.55%  N
Deb Haaland 34.80%  Y
Damian Lara 12.09%  N
Damon Martinez 10.81%  N
Paul Moya 3.66%  N
Antoinette Sedillo-Lopez 25.09%  Y

Results

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Democratic primary results[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Deb Haaland 25,444 40.6
Democratic Damon Martinez 16,182 25.8
Democratic Antoinette Sedillo Lopez 12,919 20.6
Democratic Paul Moya 3,691 5.9
Democratic Pat Davis (withdrawn) 2,385 3.8
Democratic Damian Lara 2,063 3.3
Total votes 62,687 100.0

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared
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Declined
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Results

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Republican primary results[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Janice Arnold-Jones 19,316 100.0
Total votes 19,316 100.0

Libertarian primary

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Candidates

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Declared
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  • Lloyd Princeton, business consultant[34]

Results

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Libertarian primary results[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Lloyd Princeton 244 100.0
Total votes 244 100.0

General election

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Forum

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2018 New Mexico's 1st congressional district candidate forum
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican Libertarian
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Deb Haaland Janice Arnold-Jones Lloyd Princeton
1 Sep. 20, 2018 KENW (TV)
KNME-TV
KRWG-TV 		Gene Grant
Lorene Mills 		[35] P P P

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Deb
Haaland (D) 		Janice
Arnold-Jones (R) 		Lloyd
Princeton (L) 		Undecided
Research & Polling, Inc.[36] October 26 — November 1, 2018 419 ± 4.8% 50% 38% 5% 7%
Carroll Strategies[37] October 29, 2018 452 — 51% 43% 3% 2%
Emerson College[38] October 24–26, 2018 327 ± 5.7% 51% 41% — 6%
Research & Polling, Inc.[39] September 7–13, 2018 410 ± 4.8% 49% 41% 3% 8%
Carroll Strategies[40] June 15–16, 2018 419 — 47% 43% 4% 6%

Results

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New Mexico's 1st congressional district, 2018[41]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Deb Haaland 147,336 59.1
Republican Janice Arnold-Jones 90,507 36.3
Libertarian Lloyd Princeton 11,319 4.5
Total votes 249,162 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

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2018 New Mexico's 2nd congressional district election
 
← 2016
2020 →
     
Nominee Xochitl Torres Small Yvette Herrell
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 101,489 97,767
Percentage 50.9% 49.1%
 
 
Torres Small:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Herrell:      50-60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
U.S. Representative before election

Steve Pearce
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Xochitl Torres Small
Democratic

See also: New Mexico's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district is very expansive, covering rural Southern New Mexico, including Alamogordo, Las Cruces, and Roswell. Republican Steve Pearce, who had represented the district since 2011 and previously represented the district from 2003 to 2009, was reelected to a fourth consecutive and seventh total term with 63% of the vote in 2016. Pearce did not run for reelection and instead ran unsuccessfully for Governor of New Mexico.

New Mexico's 2nd district was one of the 80 Republican-held seats that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee was targeting in 2018.[42] It was successfully picked up by the Democrats.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Declared
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Withdrew
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Disqualified
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Declined
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Forum

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2018 New Mexico's 2nd congressional district democratic candidate forum
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
David Baake Madeline Hildebrandt
1 Dec. 12, 2017 KRWG-TV Fred Martino [58] P P

Pre-primary convention results

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Candidates for the Democratic nomination needed to either receive the votes of 20% of the delegates at the convention on March 10, or collect and submit signatures to the secretary of state to have made it to the June 5 primary.

Candidate Percentage of delegates won Automatically on ballot
Xochitl Torres Small 65.75%  Y
Madeline Hildebrandt 34.25%  Y

Results

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Democratic primary results[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Xochitl Torres Small 25,395 72.6
Democratic Madeline Hildebrandt 9,577 27.4
Total votes 34,972 100.0

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared
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Withdrew
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Endorsements

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Yvette Herrell
  • House Freedom Fund[64]
Monty Newman
  • Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas and presidential candidate in 2016[65]

Results

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Republican primary results[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Yvette Herrell 16,023 49.0
Republican Monty Newman 10,474 32.0
Republican Gavin Clarkson 4,060 12.4
Republican Clayburn Griffin 2,143 6.6
Total votes 32,700 100.0

General election

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Yvette
Herrell (R) 		Xochitl
Torres Small (D) 		Undecided
Research & Polling, Inc.[36] October 26 — November 1, 2018 413 ± 4.8% 46% 45% 9%
Carroll Strategies[37] October 29, 2018 338 — 47% 42% 11%
Emerson College[38] October 24–26, 2018 278 ± 6.1% 47% 47% 6%
NYT Upshot/Siena College[66] October 19–23, 2018 522 ± 4.6% 45% 44% 11%
The Tarrance Group (R)[67][C] September 30 — October 2, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 49% 45% 6%
NYT Upshot/Siena College[68] September 13–18, 2018 503 ± 4.9% 45% 46% 10%
Research & Polling, Inc.[69] September 7–13, 2018 405 ± 4.9% 48% 41% 11%
Carroll Strategies[40] June 15–16, 2018 334 — 49% 35% 17%
DCCC Targeting & Analytics (D)[70][D] June 6–11, 2018 456 ± 4.6% 45% 43% —

Results

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New Mexico's 2nd congressional district, 2018[41]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Xochitl Torres Small 101,489 50.9
Republican Yvette Herrell 97,767 49.1
Total votes 199,256 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 3

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2018 New Mexico's 3rd congressional district election
 
← 2016
2020 →
       
Nominee Ben Ray Luján Jerald McFall Chris Manning
Party Democratic Republican Libertarian
Popular vote 155,201 76,427 13,265
Percentage 63.4% 31.2% 5.4%
 
County results
McFall:      50-60%      60–70%
Lujan:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
 
Precinct results
Lujan:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
McFall:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Ben Ray Luján
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ben Ray Luján
Democratic

See also: New Mexico's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district covers Northern New Mexico, including the capital Santa Fe, as well as Farmington, Las Vegas, and Taos. The district also expands into parts of rural Eastern New Mexico, taking in Clovis and Portales. Democrat Ben Ray Luján, who had represented the district since 2009, was reelected to a fifth term with 62% of the vote in 2016.

New Mexico's 3rd district was one of 36 Democrat-held House districts targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.[3]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Declared
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Results

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Democratic primary results[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ben Ray Luján (incumbent) 63,909 100.0
Total votes 63,909 100.0

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared
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  • Jerald McFall, farmer and former ski instructor[71]

Results

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Republican primary results[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jerald Steve McFall 20,480 100.0
Total votes 20,480 100.0

Libertarian primary

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Candidates

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Declared
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  • Christopher Manning, auditor[71]

Results

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Libertarian primary results[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Christopher Manning 201 100.0
Total votes 201 100.0

General election

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Ben
Ray Luján (D) 		Jerald
McFall (R) 		Christopher
Manning (L) 		Undecided
Carroll Strategies[37] October 29, 2018 410 — 57% 33% 4% 6%
Emerson College[38] October 24–26, 2018 331 ± 5.7% 54% 37% — 5%
Carroll Strategies[40] June 15–16, 2018 446 — 58% 30% 5% 7%

Results

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New Mexico's 3rd congressional district, 2018[41]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ben Ray Luján (incumbent) 155,201 63.4
Republican Jerald Steve McFall 76,427 31.2
Libertarian Christopher Manning 13,265 5.4
Total votes 244,893 100.0
Democratic hold

References

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  1. ^ Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.
  2. ^ Boyd, Dan (December 13, 2016). "U.S. Rep. Michelle Lujan Grisham announces 2018 gubernatorial bid". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved December 13, 2016.
  3. ^ a b "NRCC Announces Initial Offensive Targets For The 2018 Cycle - NRCC". February 8, 2017. Retrieved June 6, 2018.
  4. ^ Shepard, Maggie (April 20, 2017). "Sedillo Lopez launches run for 1st Congressional District". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved April 21, 2017.
  5. ^ Oxford, Andrew (May 2, 2017). "Haaland, former Dem Party state chairwoman, running for Congress". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved May 5, 2017.
  6. ^ McKay, Dan (May 30, 2017). "Fifth democrat joins race to replace Lujan Grisham". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved May 31, 2017.
  7. ^ Boyd, Dan (July 10, 2017). "Ex-U.S. attorney enters race for ABQ-based congressional seat". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved July 10, 2017.
  8. ^ "Albuquerque city councilman running for U.S. House". The Santa Fe New Mexican. April 4, 2017. Retrieved April 5, 2017.
  9. ^ KOB Web Staff (May 29, 2018). "Democrat Pat Davis drops out of congressional race, endorses Haaland". KOB. Archived from the original on May 29, 2018. Retrieved May 29, 2018.
  10. ^ Oxford, Andrew (May 8, 2017). "N.M. physicist announces run for Lujan Grisham's seat". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved May 9, 2017.
  11. ^ "Security Check Required". www.facebook.com. Retrieved November 13, 2017.
  12. ^ Boyd, Dan (July 27, 2017). "8th Dem candidate enters race for congressional seat". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved July 28, 2017.
  13. ^ McKay, Dan (October 2, 2017). "Chavez drops out of congressional race due to health concerns". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved October 3, 2017.
  14. ^ a b c d e f g Lyman, Andy (December 14, 2016). "Here's who's considering running to replace Lujan Grisham in Congress". New Mexico Political Report. Retrieved January 19, 2017.
  15. ^ a b c d e f g McKay, Dan (December 14, 2016). "Lujan Grisham's run shaking up politics". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved January 19, 2017.
  16. ^ Terrell, Steve (July 19, 2017). "State Sen. Padilla will run for lieutenant governor". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved September 1, 2017.
  17. ^ Albuquerque Journal
  18. ^ Lake Research Partners (D)
  19. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  20. ^ "Historic Endorsement for New Mexico's First Congressional District Campaign". Greater Diversity News. January 15, 2018. Retrieved November 9, 2023.
  21. ^ Clark, Carol (February 21, 2018). "National Organization For Women PAC Endorses Deb Haaland For Congress". Los Alamos Daily Post. Retrieved November 9, 2023.
  22. ^ "President Obama endorses Deb Halaand for Congress". KRQE. August 1, 2018. Retrieved November 9, 2023.
  23. ^ "Tom Perez on Twitter". Retrieved July 22, 2018.
  24. ^ "Terry McAuliffe on Twitter". Retrieved July 22, 2018.
  25. ^ Martin Heinrich. "For too long, our native communities have been underrepresented and undervalued in Washington. This November, we have the chance to make progress by electing the first Native American woman to Congress. @Deb4CongressNM #IndigenousPeoplesDay2018". Twitter.
  26. ^ a b "Deb Haaland on Twitter". Retrieved July 22, 2018.
  27. ^ "Deb Haaland on Twitter". Retrieved June 6, 2018.
  28. ^ a b "Ex-Lt. Gov. Denish endorses Haaland for Congress". The Santa Fe New Mexican. October 24, 2017. Retrieved November 9, 2023.
  29. ^ Michael Coleman - Journal Washington Bureau. "NM candidates for Congress win high-level endorsements from D.C." www.abqjournal.com. Retrieved June 6, 2018.
  30. ^ "Rep. Gwen Moore (WI-4) endorses Deb Haaland". YouTube. February 17, 2018. Retrieved November 9, 2023.
  31. ^ YouTube
  32. ^ a b c d e f g h "New Mexico Election Results". New Mexico Secretary of State. June 6, 2018.
  33. ^ Terrell, Steve (June 19, 2017). "Republican enters race for 1st Congressional District seat". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved June 20, 2017.
  34. ^ "Congressional race in New Mexico gets Libertarian candidate". Albuquerque Journal. January 8, 2018.
  35. ^ YouTube
  36. ^ a b Research & Polling, Inc.
  37. ^ a b c Carroll Strategies
  38. ^ a b c Emerson College
  39. ^ Research & Polling, Inc.
  40. ^ a b c Carroll Strategies
  41. ^ a b c "Official Results 2018 General [Election] November 6, 2018". New Mexico Secretary of State. November 27, 2018. Archived from the original on June 24, 2022.
  42. ^ DCCC Announces Battlefield Expansion
  43. ^ Oxford, Andrew (June 11, 2017). "All eyes on Pearce's next step". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved June 19, 2017.
  44. ^ "Las Cruces water attorney Xochitl Torres Small to seek seat being vacated by Pearce". Las Cruces Sun-News. January 17, 2018.
  45. ^ "Democrat Baake to run for Pearce seat". Las Cruces Sun-News. June 29, 2017. Retrieved July 2, 2023.
  46. ^ a b "Three Candidates Remain In Race For Democratic Nomination In New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District". KRWG-TV. January 20, 2018. Retrieved July 2, 2023.
  47. ^ a b Haussamen, Heath (July 18, 2017). "Dunn will run for U.S. House instead of land commissioner". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved July 2, 2023.
  48. ^ Oxford, Andrew (July 4, 2017). "Endorsements gaining steam". The Albuquerque Journal. Archived from the original on October 18, 2017. Retrieved July 5, 2017.
  49. ^ Oxford, Andrew (July 24, 2017). "Former Las Cruces fire chief jumps into race for 1st Congressional District". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved July 24, 2017.
  50. ^ a b Haussamen, Heath (October 2, 2017). "Dunn drops out of 2nd Congressional District race". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved October 3, 2017.
  51. ^ "Angel Peña announces bid for New Mexico Congressional District 2". Las Cruces Sun-News. December 22, 2017. Retrieved July 2, 2023.
  52. ^ "Angel Peña disqualified from New Mexico congressional race". Las Cruces Sun-News. February 12, 2018. Retrieved July 2, 2023.
  53. ^ "Angel Peña to challenge disqualification from congressional race". Las Cruces Sun-News. February 14, 2018. Retrieved July 2, 2023.
  54. ^ McKay, Dan (February 27, 2018). "Judge upholds Angel Peña disqualification from congressional race". Las Cruces Sun-News. Retrieved July 2, 2023.
  55. ^ Oxford, Andrew (June 11, 2017). "All eyes on Pearce's next step". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved June 14, 2017.
  56. ^ Peters, Joey (July 7, 2017). "Las Cruces legislator cites budget, jobs crisis for why he's running for governor". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved July 10, 2017.
  57. ^ "Morales will not run for Pearce seat". Las Cruces Sun-News. August 22, 2017. Retrieved September 17, 2017.
  58. ^ YouTube
  59. ^ D'Ammassa, Algernon. "Gavin Clarkson says he is the candidate to keep NM congressional seat Republican". The Deming Headlight. Archived from the original on November 14, 2020. Retrieved April 1, 2021.
  60. ^ "Former Gary Johnson campaign worker Clayburn Griffin to run for Pearce's seat". Las Cruces Sun-News.
  61. ^ Barbati, Duane (July 11, 2017). "Yvette Herrell running for Congressional seat vacated by Pearce". Alamogordo Daily News. Retrieved July 11, 2017.
  62. ^ D'Ammassa, Algernon (August 14, 2017). "Former Hobbs Mayor runs for Congress". Deming Headlight. Archived from the original on August 15, 2017. Retrieved August 14, 2017.
  63. ^ Oxford, Andrew (July 18, 2017). "NM Land Commissioner Aubrey Dunn announces bid for Congress". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved July 18, 2017.
  64. ^ The Associated Press. "Freedom Caucus fund endorses New Mexico candidate". The Seattle Times.
  65. ^ Monty Newman. "I look forward to working with @TedCruz on legislation that will improve the lives of New Mexicans. #nmpol". Twitter.
  66. ^ NYT Upshot/Siena College
  67. ^ The Tarrance Group (R)
  68. ^ NYT Upshot/Siena College
  69. ^ Research & Polling, Inc.
  70. ^ DCCC Targeting & Analytics (D)
  71. ^ a b Halasz Graham, Sarah (October 19, 2018). "District 3 challengers say unseating Luján will be an arduous task". Santa Fe New Mexican.

Notes

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Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored for Damon Martinez.
  2. ^ Poll sponsored for Pat Davis.
  3. ^ Poll sponsored for Yvette Herrell.
  4. ^ Poll sponsored for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.
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Official campaign websites of first district candidates

Official campaign websites for second district candidates

Official campaign websites for third district candidates

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