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    NM-01 Lake Research For VoteVets (May 2018)

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    Daily Kos Elections
    This polling data from Lake Research Partners shows that the Democratic primary in New Mexico's 1st Congressional District is currently a tight race. The top three candidates - Damon Martinez, Deb Haaland, and Antoinette Sedillo-Lopez - are all polling within the margin of error. Martinez has gained momentum recently, pulling even with the other candidates after being farther behind in early polls. With nearly 30% of voters still undecided, there is potential for any of the candidates to win the nomination if they are able to effectively communicate their message to voters.

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    NM-01 Lake Research For VoteVets (May 2018)

    Uploaded by

    Daily Kos Elections
    381 views2 pages
    This polling data from Lake Research Partners shows that the Democratic primary in New Mexico's 1st Congressional District is currently a tight race. The top three candidates - Damon Martinez, Deb Haaland, and Antoinette Sedillo-Lopez - are all polling within the margin of error. Martinez has gained momentum recently, pulling even with the other candidates after being farther behind in early polls. With nearly 30% of voters still undecided, there is potential for any of the candidates to win the nomination if they are able to effectively communicate their message to voters.

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    NM-01 Lake Research for VoteVets (May 2018)

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    NM-01 Lake Research for VoteVets (May 2018)

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    This polling data from Lake Research Partners shows that the Democratic primary in New Mexico's 1st Congressional District is currently a tight race. The top three candidates - Damon Martinez, Deb Haaland, and Antoinette Sedillo-Lopez - are all polling within the margin of error. Martinez has gained momentum recently, pulling even with the other candidates after being farther behind in early polls. With nearly 30% of voters still undecided, there is potential for any of the candidates to win the nomination if they are able to effectively communicate their message to voters.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    381 views2 pages

    NM-01 Lake Research For VoteVets (May 2018)

    Uploaded by

    Daily Kos Elections
    This polling data from Lake Research Partners shows that the Democratic primary in New Mexico's 1st Congressional District is currently a tight race. The top three candidates - Damon Martinez, Deb Haaland, and Antoinette Sedillo-Lopez - are all polling within the margin of error. Martinez has gained momentum recently, pulling even with the other candidates after being farther behind in early polls. With nearly 30% of voters still undecided, there is potential for any of the candidates to win the nomination if they are able to effectively communicate their message to voters.

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    To: Interested Parties

    From: Celinda Lake, Joshua Ulibarri, and Meryl O'Bryan, Lake Research Partners
    Re: Polling Data Regarding the Democratic Primary in New Mexico’s 1st
    Congressional Districti
    Date: May 15, 2018

    A recent survey among likely June 2018 Democratic primary voters in New Mexico’s 1st
    Congressional District shows that the race is now dead even within the margin of error with
    as many voters undecided as supporting any candidate. Former U.S. Attorney Damon
    Martinez shows a lot of momentum, pulling even after being farther behind in early
    released polling. If Martinez is able to raise the resources to help communicate his
    message and for GOVT efforts, he will be in strong position to win the Democratic
    nomination.

    Initial Ballot
    25 27
    23 20

    5
    Martinez Haaland Sedillo-Lopez Undecided Someone Else

    Here are the key findings:


    Lake Research Partners
    1101 17th Street NW, • This is a competitive primary, and the Democratic primary candidates are
    Suite 301
    Washington, DC 20036
    currently tied within the margin of error. Twenty-three percent of voters vote for
    Damon Martinez, 20% vote for Deb Haaland, 25% vote for Antoinette Sedillo-Lopez,
    Tel: 202.776.9066 and 5% vote for someone else. The race is dead even, and with 27% of voters
    Fax: 202.776.9074
    currently undecided, there are plenty of votes available for any candidate to take
    Partners
    and win the nomination.
    Celinda Lake
    Alysia Snell • Martinez is showing a lot of momentum. Fifty-nine percent have recently seen,
    David Mermin heard, or read something recently about Martinez, and 66% of these voters say
    Dr. Robert G. Meadow
    that whatever they saw, heard, or read has made them more favorable towards
    Daniel Gotoff
    Joshua Ulibarri
    Martinez. This demonstrates that Martinez’s ads, including the ads released by
    VoteVets, have really broken through to voters.
    NM-01/Democratic Primary – May 2018 2

    In summary, this is currently a tie race, but given Martinez’s strong momentum, he is in
    strong position to win this race. Voters are seeing his ads, and they are reacting positively
    to them.

    ###

    To discuss these findings more, please contact Lake Research Partners’ Celinda Lake or
    Joshua Ulibarri at (202) 776-9066.

    i
    Methodology: Lake Research Partners designed and administered this IVR and live calling survey. It
    was conducted May 13 - 14, 2018. The survey reached a total of 390 registered voters (103 were
    reached by cell phone) in New Mexico’s 1st Congressional District. Telephone numbers for the sample
    were generated from a list of registered voters in New Mexico. The data were weighted slightly by
    gender, region, age, race, turnout score, and partisan score. The margin of error for the total sample
    is +/- 5% and larger for sub-groups.

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