American bookmakers estimate Trump’s chances to win at 64%, Harris at 30%. Unlike MSM, these guys put their money where their mouth is.

If Zelensky is president, I’m the Pope. He expired back in May, now he is an illegitimate usurper, nothing more.

A lot of commenters in various languages now ask whether Biden knows that he quit. I’d say a more important question is, does he need to know?

That’s because she isn’t the confirmed candidate yet. After the DNC it will probably improve to 40% or more.

So there is a 40% chance that the freak show will go on? Not very good for US reputation.

Instead of expanding to Ukraine to try to destroy Russia the Washingtonians could fix the stuff close to home…We know, you told us (many times) ‘but ‘mericans have so many appliances!’, but still…

So there is a 40% chance that the freak show will go on?

There is 100% chance that the freak show will go on. The only difference is which freak will play the role of a president.

Not very good for US reputation.

The US reputation is damaged beyond repair. Banana republic level of fraud in 2020 drove the last nail into its coffin. But there will be always people spouting BS about “muh democracy”, “changeable leaders”, “elected officials”, etc., in the US and abroad. Remember, Bush Jr approval rating at the end of his second term was above 20%. Thus, more than a fifth of the US population is hopeless.

American bookmakers estimate Trump’s chances to win at 64%, Harris at 30%.

That’s because she isn’t the confirmed candidate yet. After the DNC it will probably improve to 40% or more.

Doubtful. 100 – 64 – 30 = 6%. There will be some money on RFKjr and other low probability outliers. She has to shave points off Trump to make big gains.

Her future numbers will be burdened by what Biden’s have been. She owns a share of the regime’s mistakes plus active participation in covering up Biden’s deteriorating condition. Both of these are meaningful negatives.

Despite being the right color, she has a serious religion problem with the DNC base. Her husband is Jewish. Writing off the genocidal Hamas wing of the party makes sense nationally, but it could easily lose Michigan. This will also factor into calculating the numbers.

Once people focus on Kamala, she is likely to go down in the polls and thus the betting odds.

PEACE 😇

You should make an AI deep fake trump harris debate. No way youtube would let you post it but rumble or odyssey might pass it. Aren’t there some places where it’s actually illegal to do that?

…There is 100% chance that the freak show will go on…

The US reputation is damaged beyond repair.

I don’t disagree, but the meltdown has been quite sudden and seemingly unnecessary. None of the key decisions were inevitable. Simply staying normal, as they were largely before, was all they had to do.

– Why go full ‘financial’ and disembowel the real economy?
– Why open borders to swamp the West with people not needed and piss off the natives?
– Why attack Russia openly and stupidly in its home region with no hope of winning? (Even Obama said: ‘Russia will always have escalation dominance in Ukraine‘.)
– Why feed irrational hate propaganda against Russia that inevitably backfires?
– And stay out of ‘gender’ issues, how did ‘trans’ triviality become so important?

As if something broke psychologically and they lost any sense of balance or normalcy. Maybe it did, or the system is so f..ed up financially that distractions and marches-to-nowhere are needed to buy time.

With Trump it would stabilize for a while. Not because he would do much – he can’t and doesn’t really want – but because the clean-up and new start would be a relief after this freak-show. His own freaky instincts and inactivity would take some time to bring it down again.

Once people focus on Kamala, she is likely to go down in the polls and thus the betting odds.

Just a couple of weeks ago I said that Biden would have to drop out, reading what I was reading on the leftist media, and you insisted that that was impossible using lawyerly arguments about party rules and stuff. Obviously, there couldn’t be any rules that forced the Dems to go to the elections with a mentally unfit candidate and it’s turned out to be very easy to get rid of him. Constant pressure and leaks to the media that even a stubborn, senile man was unable to ignore. The kind of “leaks” that CNN, NBC and all the rest were putting out last Friday always turn out to be true.

You should realize that any prediction you make now is seriously compromised. But at this point in time predicting Kamala’s future is more difficult than Biden’s was. All I can say is that the same leftist media are talking too much about other possibilities for her candidacy to be a done deal. Biden’s withdrawal is very bad news for Trump though. No matter what polls show now, the massive number of anti-Trump voters will go for Kamala or any other candidate capable of tying sentences together. If the Dems can avoid engaging in an ugly internecine war, they’re still in the game.

Biden’s withdrawal is very bad news for Trump though. No matter what polls show now, the massive number of anti-Trump voters will go for Kamala or any other candidate capable of tying sentences together.

There could be a similar phenomenon of what just happened in France – when Le Pen’s party came so close to winning, and the liberal part of public freaked out so much about how “radical” that change could be that they came out and voted to keep her down.

Many in the US are probably genuinely afraid of Trump. But the level of polarization is probably the most worrisome thing.

I think few people will vote for Kamala. It is now obvious that Biden is not a real president and equally obvious that Kamala will not be a real president. This was pretty obvious in 2020 but it was easy for Dems to stay the course and vote for him anyway since he is a long-time DC figure. If Harris gets the nomination Trump will win, but the RFKjr and write-in totals will be substantial.

Unless the people counting the votes have other plans.

the massive number of anti-Trump voters will go for Kamala or any other candidate capable of tying sentences together

Judging by her public appearances, Kamala is incapable of composing a grammatically correct sentence, or of saying anything meaningful. If she ends up being DNC nominee, she is going to get the votes of crazed never Trumpers and deranged libtards, i.e., the same votes Minnie Mouse would get if nominated by Dems.

Thank you for agreeing with me.

What I correctly stated was that convention delegates pledged to Biden would guarantee his nomination *if and only if* he stayed in the race. This is why it was important for the DNC operators to obtain a voluntary withdrawal before the convention.

As he has dropped out, all of the convention delegates are free agents. IMHO it is unlikely the DNC can arrange a switch, but the smoke filled back rooms of Chicago are notorious. The fundraising elites do not want her, but it remains hard to see an alternative.

Yours predictions are seriously flawed: (1)

No matter what polls show now, the massive number of anti-Trump voters will go for Kamala or any other candidate capable of tying sentences together. If the Dems can avoid engaging in an ugly internecine war, they’re still in the game.

Kamala is a co-conspirator in the current regime’s mideeds. She was the “Border Czar” and completely failed. Why do you think that everyone would suddenly ignore her record? It is a deranged assertion that only a zealous #NeverTrump cultist, such as yourself, would make. Why are you so wrapped up in personality rather than reality?

You should realize that any prediction you make now is seriously compromised by your unhinged, emotional, and less than objective attempts at analysis.
___

By the way are you still all-in on whites paying reparations to blacks?

That is a key platform plank for your precious Che RFKjr Guevara.

PEACE 😇

If the Dems can avoid engaging in an ugly internecine war, they’re still in the game.

https://rajivsethi.substack.com/p/an-all-pay-auction

It’s a business. The Democratic party is a big money business and the big money donors have to agree on how to split it up. It’s much more possible than that blogger who is an economist with dogmatic faith in his homo economicus models thinks, but it’s still a long shot.

Kamala Harris is an utter ditz who cannot string two sentences together. If you listen to her it is obviously the one sentence over and over and over. They have put this right into Trump’s wheelhouse. Any campaign they construct will be a house of cards that he can blow over with one of his quips.

It’s Donald the Fat’s to lose. Also a possibility. Anybody who thinks they know how this will shake is deluded.

Judging by her public appearances, Kamala is incapable of composing a grammatically correct sentence, or of saying anything meaningful.

They need a convincing orator who can hold together a pyramid of conflicting special interest groups.

The DNC is fracturing. (1)

Pro-BDS group defends counterprotest of ‘Pride’ parade, blames HRC for ‘pinkwashing’

Columbia University’s Apartheid Divest Coalition posted a series of statements on Instagram to bring greater awareness to ‘Palestinian liberation’ following the conclusion of ‘Pride Month.’

‘There is no pride in genocide, no queer liberation without Palestinian liberation,’ the group also wrote.

Does anyone think that Kamala has sufficient leadership gravitas to make these factions fall into line?

If she ends up being DNC nominee, she is going to get the votes of crazed never Trumpers and deranged libtards, i.e., the same votes Minnie Mouse would get if nominated by Dems

I agree.

Crazed #NeverTrump voters like Mikel will support her. However that is only ~30% and over concentrated in safe red states like California. She lacks the skills and character to win over moderates and independents in swing states.

The Dems are counting on something blowing up in the Trump-Vance campaign. Some hideous story about Vance (true or more likely fabricated) is something they are likely to try.

PEACE 😇
__________

(1) https://www.campusreform.org/article/pro-bds-group-defends-counterprotest-pride-parade-blames-hrc-pinkwashing/25928

the same votes Minnie Mouse would get if nominated by Dems.

Not exactly. Let’s remember that Biden was still polling in the high 30s last week, after the debate and the Trump assassination attempt. Those are the real “Minnie Mouse” voters who weren’t voting for Biden but against Trump. However, in any election you always have plenty of independents and “undecideds”. I reckon most of them don’t like Trump but couldn’t vote for a visibly unfit candidate either. Now that the dementia factor is gone, they can be convinced to vote Dem. But the Democrats have lost a tremendous amount of credibility. They need to stop making mistakes and show a unified front fast.

Now that the dementia factor is gone

Kamala is stupid, verging on clinical. Unlike Biden, she does not have an excuse of dementia. Dems cannot afford a debate with her, as her mental incompetence will come out (not to mention her idiotic giggles).

I am not a fan of Trump, but even he is way better than Kamala. With Trump at least some of crazy libtard pet issues will be gone, like umpteen sexes, or going to girls’ bathroom with male equipment. Trump presidency won’t stop the march to the cliff, but it will slow it down.

convention delegates pledged to Biden would guarantee his nomination

No, they wouldn’t necessarily. You were wrong even on the lawyerly part because you were ignoring the ‘good conscience” clause. But it’s OK. We don’t read your comments for your prediction skills. What we all appreciate is the entertainment value of your bizarre ideas.

convention delegates pledged to Biden would guarantee his nomination

No, they wouldn’t necessarily. You were wrong even on the lawyerly part because you were ignoring the ‘good conscience” clause.

When has the “good conscience” clause been actioned in a contested convention or court? Lets see… Never:

• There is every reason to believe that hand picked Biden delegates would have voted for Biden. They were put on that slate for their loyalty to the chosen one.

• If there had been an insurrection, it would have been challenged in a judicial process as an “unconscionable” act. How many weeks would that have taken? And, how would that have interacted with ballot access provisions?

Your #NeverTrump cult extremism led you to a bad assumption, simply because it was favorable to your desperately desired outcome. Your emotional distress does not be assure your result.
___

Please keep your profoundly non-serious & comedic string of errors on display. Remember:

=============================
    No one is laughing with you.
     We are all laughing at you.
=============================

PEACE 😇

If Zelensky is president, I’m the Pope. He expired back in May, now he is an illegitimate usurper, nothing more.

It’s in their constitution that elections are not held during martial law
https://www.journalofdemocracy.org/online-exclusive/ukraine-cant-hold-elections-during-the-war-does-it-matter/

It is normal for Europeans to delay elections when under invasion.

Of course that isn’t mentioned on the pro-Putin blogs or Russian State TV.

Putin’s media defenders prefer a closed format just like leftists.

Both leftists and Putin defenders find it aggravating to allow White men to talk freely.

Your #NeverTrump cult extremism led you to a bad assumption, simply because it was favorable to your desperately desired outcome. Your emotional distress does not be assure your result.

Shall we go back and look at the posts where you called me clueless and an idiot for saying there is no reason to assume that Biden will be the final candidate?

Your orange felon’s best chance was against Mr. Magoo.

Better hope that the Democrats run Harris. But in a brokered convention she can be defeated even if the DNC and media back her.

The polls show that Trump loses against practically any non-name moderate Democrat.

“Polls are just MSM BS, you’re indoctrinated”

– Trump Tribe in the last election when I pointed out that he was losing independents.

In 2020 Democratic primaries dropout Harris was at the very bottom, and that is her rating from the die hard “Democrats”.

…Kamala Harris is an utter ditz who cannot string two sentences together. If you listen to her it is obviously the one sentence over and over and over.

Kamala is almost 60 and childless – all women with that profile become ditzy. And Kamala was already ditzy and unserious, how can she get any worse?

Somebody should stop the circus before US is a complete laughing stock. Put her on meds to control the twitchy laughter and silliness, damn the side effects, this is a horror show.

Maybe the process is not done and there will be a switcheroo to get her out. More likely the Dems are throwing the election. It won’t make much difference, the harder war will be abandoned (it was lost anyway), Izrael unleashed but still achieve nothing, Europe fu..ed, and some dudes banned from girls’ showers.

Instead of 10 million migrants walking in, there will be 5 million flying in. Trump will probably welcome them at airports – he is a devotee of the enterpreneural-migrant cult and old men tend to go wobbly anyway.

The polls show that Trump loses against practically any non-name moderate Democrat.

You cherry picked one poll over a year ago. Your mouth frothing #NeverTrump zealotry was unconvincing at the time and remains so today.

Here is a collection of multiple recent Trump/Harris polls (1). Nationally — Trump is ahead in 9, Harris 2, tie 1.

The key battlegrounds, other than MI, are generally more favorable than the national for Trump over Biden. It will take several weeks for a wide array state polls to occur with Harris, but there is every reason to believe that she is in the same Electoral College hole as her boss. Tied or behind in every swing state.
____

Didn’t you say the documents case was going to be a bombshell that would send Trump to jail this year? Have you noticed that it has been effectively dismissed due to the illegal nature of the prosecution? Your prediction 100% failed.

I have to give credit where credit is due. Your prognostication is vastly worse (and funnier) than Mikel’s. That requires special talent and utter obliviousness to reality.

===============
   You keep lying
We keep laughing
===============

PEACE 😇
__________

(1) https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

The talk is cheap…over bloated and over the top…yes the Olympic circus is back in it’s efforts to project a happy, celebration of humans best athletes.

Clubs and societies are all about who is excluded compared to who is allowed, the Olympic circus allows Israel while excluding Russia?

Why is China attending since the U.S and Europe has huge influence over entry to the club…is China showing its subservience?

Israel should be hooted and booed at every event it competes in, silence should greet its announcement at the opening ceremony.

We are judged by actions not words…the BRICS countries have taken a step back by attending this Olympics above previous episodes.

If you don’t walk the talk then nobody takes you seriously…I won’t watch a second of this five ring circus…I know of one asshole who are the four other assholes of the five rings?
Is it the five eyes?

The polls show that Trump loses against practically any non-name moderate Democrat.

You cherry picked one poll over a year ago. Your mouth frothing #NeverTrump zealotry was unconvincing at the time and remains so today.

Here is a poll from June 3rd:
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/majority-independents-double-haters-trump-end-2024-campaign/story?id=110778206

Overall, 72% of Republicans, 6% of Democrats and 23% of independents have a favorable view of Trump following his conviction.

Independents simply don’t like Trump. The Democrats would win with any no-name moderate.

Once again we have Trump Tribe members projecting their felony crush onto everyone else instead of facing his loss of support from independents. I pointed this out in the last election but Trump Tribe was certain that he would win. I was told that I must support Biden. A lack of faith of course.

Trump lost and exit polls showed a drop from independents and swing voters. COVID was cited as a common reason.

Ignoring the data sure worked wonders.

Here is a collection of multiple recent Trump/Harris polls (1). Nationally — Trump is ahead in 9, Harris 2, tie 1.

I’ve never said that Harris would win against Trump. She is not a no-name moderate.

Harris would be a terrible pick. Better hope they go with her now that Magoo is out. Trump polls best against the incompetent and only barely. Harris is terrible. I have no idea why so many Trump fans are thrilled that Biden is quitting. That was their best chance. Trump polls best when independents are forced to pick between a felon and Magoo.

Didn’t you say the documents case was going to be a bombshell that would send Trump to jail this year?

I said it was the worst case and that he would be found guilty. I also said he would need a miracle or loophole to get out of it. Getting a judge to delay the case so he can pardon himself would fall into that category.

Are you proud to back someone that is trying to delay the case through a pro-Trump judge so he can pardon himself?

He hasn’t locked that delay down so you might want to wait before celebrating.

Even if he tries to take America to another moral low with a “self-pardon” that would end up in court. A long trail of court cases seem to follow this guy.

I have to give credit where credit is due. Your prognostication is vastly worse (and funnier) than Mikel’s.

I’m on record stating that there is no reason to assume Biden will be the final candidate. I put it at a coin toss. You however went on a big rant about how I don’t understand the system and it’s too late for a new candidate. Should we pull that rant?

Trump’s odds are only 64%? That is free money if you are inclined to gamble

The last Olympics had its moments. My favorite was ladies’ badminton. The Chinese ladies were doing negro touchdown dances every time they won a point. Maybe they call those slam dunk dances in China where they love basketball?

One of the funniest comments I ever read on UR.

WTF, Musk actually signed papers for his son to get puberty blockers?!!!!!

Somebody should stop the circus before US is a complete laughing stock.

It should have been done prior to Dubya.

I stopped taking US seriously after 9-11.

We know that Jeb Bush stole the election for his brother from Al Gore and then 9-11 made any investigation into the results impossible.

At least US used to produce great comedy…🙂

For real?

American bookmakers estimate Trump’s chances to win at 64%, Harris at 30%. Unlike MSM, these guys put their money where their mouth is.

Trump’s odds are only 64%? That is free money if you are inclined to gamble

He probably means Trump has a 64% chance to win which means you would lose money. Vegas doesn’t pay out on favored odds.

The latest odds have Trump at 1/2 and Harris at 11/4.

You cherry picked one poll over a year ago. Your mouth frothing #NeverTrump zealotry was unconvincing at the time and remains so today.

Here is a collection of multiple recent Trump/Harris polls (1). Nationally — Trump is ahead in 9, Harris 2, tie 1.

Here is a poll from June 3rd:

You were called out for cherry picking a single poll… Now you try to counter by #NeverTrump cherry picking another single poll. Your complete lack of self awareness is truly entertaining. ROTFLMAO

Here is a multi-poll analysis that is resistant to the manipulation you were attempting. Alas the images are embedded in a manner that prevents me from easily inserting them: (1)

The problem with this explanation is that Harris doesn’t poll much better than Biden against Trump. In fact, if you include minor party candidates, she actually polls worse against Trump. Trump was leading Biden by 3.7% in the RealClearPolitics average,

And he was leading Kamala Harris by 5%.

There is zip, zero, nada, zilch evidence that there will be a rush to the current regime’s VP. She is either worse or tied… No amount of your fact free #NeverTrump cult dogma will impact the real world. All you are doing is embarrassing yourself and being laughed at.

Didn’t you say the documents case was going to be a bombshell that would send Trump to jail this year?

I said it was the worst case and that he would be found guilty. I also said he would need a miracle or loophole to get out of it.

There was neither a miracle nor a loophole. The illegal counsel brought an illegitimate case. Thus the bogus, tampered with evidence from the illicit searches is not admissible. Everyone serious realized the persecution was corrupt from day 1.

You would be much better off if you admitted you were wrong. However, please feel free to humorously flop about if you so desire.

PEACE 😇
___________

(1) https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2024-07-22/why-they-forced-biden-ticket

With Trump it would stabilize for a while.

Ir will slow down the decline, but won’t stop it. To actually make America great again the US needs a leader of Putin’s caliber.

if you are inclined to gamble

I do not gamble because I know math. Bookmakers make money, just like hotel owners in Las Vegas. Thus, it is 100% clear who wins.

The latest odds have Trump at 1/2 and Harris at 11/4.

Odds from where?

You need to provide a citation to back up such a bold #NeverTrump fabrication assertion.
____

Moving back to reality (1), the worst odds at this moment are Trump 57 and the average is 59.4.

PEACE 😇
__________

(1) https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

Yes, but it happened a few years back. His son Xavier. Originally, I thought it was the mother acting alone because he was an absent father, which is bad enough, but he actually signed the papers. He says he was “tricked” and told that suicide might be the result if he didn’t sign.

This falls into the same category as J.D.Vance’s slut mama.

Family trauma is for your therapist. Nobody else wants to hear about it. A lot of people have their own shit going on and they would far rather not have you shoving yours into their space.

Jerry Springer or Oprah Winfrey might tell you they want to hear about it. They are LYING!

Well, that might explain why he’s now speaking against wokeness. And yeah, the mother of his son should be seen as a very sick person to trick him into signing these papers as well as subjecting her boy to this disgusting treatment. Some women are truly swayed by fashion and fades. They are pathetic and can cause so much harm.

Worst idea ever (mildly NSFW)

PEACE 😇

You were called out for cherry picking a single poll… Now you try to counter by #NeverTrump cherry picking another single poll. Your complete lack of self awareness is truly entertaining. ROTFLMAO

Why can you not respond to a poll like a normal person? You really seem unhinged. The #nevertrump hash tag is from 2016. I remember it because I supported Trump in 2016. In 2020 I was concerned that he was losing independents and I had members of Trump Tribe tell me I was wrong for following the polls. That is in my history.

So here we are again with someone from Trump Tribe that is upset by merely pointing out a poll that shows his consistently weak area which is independents.

If you don’t think a poll is accurate or is missing something then simply provide your reasoning. Take a deep breath and describe why I should ignore a poll if you don’t agree with the result. You’ll sound less like an obnoxious drunk at a party where everyone else is using an indoor voice tone.

Do you think most independents like Trump? Can you provide a poll showing that even 33% of independents view Trump favorably?

There is zip, zero, nada, zilch evidence that there will be a rush to the current regime’s VP. She is either worse or tied… No amount of your fact free #NeverTrump cult dogma will impact the real world

You didn’t respond to me. That wasn’t my quote. Please try again. I’m not sure who is in your blockquote.

There was neither a miracle nor a loophole. The illegal counsel brought an illegitimate case. Thus the bogus, tampered with evidence from the illicit searches is not admissible. Everyone serious realized the persecution was corrupt from day 1.

So you believe that Trump did not commit any felonies in the documents case?

You would be much better off if you admitted you were wrong.

Wrong about what? The documents case? Feel free to quote me. You keep projecting as if I represent all critics. I said he would be found guilty if it goes to trial and he could reach a deal whereby he stays out of politics. I also said he could get prison time as it is one of many possible outcomes. I said his only hope was to somehow avoid the trial by getting lucky or through a loophole or technicality. Meaning he has zero chance in a fair trial and I think he knows that as seen by his insistence on delaying the trial. Thus far he has been able to avoid the trial through delay tactics but the year isn’t over. But keep counting your lucky felony stars and try to work a bit harder on quoting me.

The latest odds have Trump at 1/2 and Harris at 11/4.

You need to provide a citation to back up such a bold #NeverTrump fabrication assertion.
____

Moving back to reality (1), the worst odds at this moment are Trump 57 and the average is 59.4.

I guess you don’t understand how Vegas odds work. It’s given as a fraction. It isn’t the same as a poll nor is it entrely based on polls. They will take polls into consideration but the final calculation is determined for the purpose of making a profit.

Donald Trump 1/2

Kamala Harris 11/4

https://www.vegasinsider.com/odds/us-presidential-election/

Maybe stop throwing around your silly hashtag and simply ask for a source. Are you drunk half the time when you post?

I do not gamble because I know math. Bookmakers make money, just like hotel owners in Las Vegas. Thus, it is 100% clear who wins.

Oh God not another person that thinks he has outsmarted everyone in Vegas.

You think everyone gambling in Vegas isn’t aware that the house has the advantage?

How could it work otherwise?

It’s a tiny minority that actually thinks lady luck can lift them above the odds.

It’s just entertainment and poker in fact draws a lot of people that have an interest in statistics. Same for sports gambling. You have to understand math to make most of the bets,

Some people spend a few hundred on a Brittney Spears concert. Some people spend 5-6 hundred on the tables. Some people spend a few hundred dollars on a dinner.

I’ve had one of those high end dinners and I thought it was a bigger waste of money than gambling. I didn’t have to pay and I was honestly embarrassed to be there. It just felt like a huge waste of money even though it wasn’t mine. A crass celebration of greed that I’d happily skip for a dirty casino.

She wasn’t running against Trump in the primaries.

Why do you keep replying to the Stooge? He’ll always answer back, and not just because he’s one of those people that has to get the last word in. He probably gets paid by the word and you make his job easier.

https://thenewkremlinstooge.wordpress.com/2024/07/20/but-if-you-try-sometimes-you-just-might-find-you-get-what-you-need-or-alternatively-what-you-deserve/comment-page-1/#comment-99649

I received a reply from Kit Klarenburg, author of the piece which underpins this post; the second paragraph contains additional details of which I was also unaware, and I thought you might be, too.

“One striking nugget I didn’t include was in 2020, after Zelensky proposed creating a consulting group with representatives of the DPR/LPR during Minsk talks, a coalition of Western-funded NGOs and assets in Ukraine wrote an open letter effectively ordering the government not to do so (https://uacrisis.org/uk/75229-pryamij-dialog-ordlo). This amply reinforces that the West wanted war with Russia over Ukraine, and consistently overruled its citizens and government to achieve that goal. Minsk designating Russia a “mediator” to the conflict, rather than a “party” (ie peacemaker vs active belligerent) was a crucial legal distinction the US/Britain were very unhappy about and sought to undermine at every turn. This wasn’t just a delaying tactic – as I write in this investigation, I am certain the purpose was to gain legal grounds for sparking all-out proxy war. The totally ignored ICJ ruling on cases brought by Kiev against Moscow amply confirms that view – https://www.mintpressnews.com/failed-icj-case-against-russia-backfires-paves-way-for-genocide-charges-against-ukraine/287028/.”

Judging by her public appearances, Kamala is incapable of composing a grammatically correct sentence, or of saying anything meaningful

You are too reliant on tendentious internet sources for your information. While Kamala may be the least intelligent major candidate in a long time (and in terms of VP only Sarah Palin has been dumber), she is capable of speaking coherently when she needs to.

She did finish law school and pass the bar, so she has whatever minimal brains are necessary to do that. I’d guess an IQ in Beckow’s neighborhood of around 115 or so.

Here she is speaking coherently:

VP: I was a courtroom prosecutor. In those roles I took on perpetrators of all kinds. Predators who abused women. Fraudsters who ripped off consumers. Cheaters who broke the rules for their own gain. So hear me when I say I know Donald Trump's type. pic.twitter.com/eRpjxwJlOc

— Acyn (@Acyn) July 22, 2024

Honestly, I’d like to know more about it. Like, who was around him? Was he talking to Jared Kushner, and he advised him to sign? (I think Kushner might)

Musk says he knew his son was gay since he was 4. While I believe gayness has a lot to do with development in the womb, that seems pretty young, and it seems like something unnatural in the environment he was exposed to, that he manifested indicators at such an early stage. Maybe, modern TV.

Of course, Musk has a lot of children, and this one’s potential to have children was probably somewhat minimal, but a tranny is a super-gay, and IMO, it is a bad thing for both society and the individual to allow a gay to turn into a super-gay.

And yeah, the mother of his son should be seen as a very sick person to trick him into signing these papers

could be wrong, but I got the vague impression that he was talking about being given a medical opinion by some kind of quakdoctor. (Maybe, the one with a financial interest in the project?). And he bowed to credentialism.

Certainly, the mother is a crazed, evil loon, though.

Why do you keep replying to the Stooge? He’ll always answer back, and not just because he’s one of those people that has to get the last word in.

The stupidity needs to be exposed so that no one follows.

Let us examine his failure in correctly interpreting the betting markets.

• The aggregator I have been pulling from is RCP. It reports numbers as contracts. At 58¢, the contract would return $1 if successful. A net gain of 42¢.

This technique is useful as market arbitrage will tend to pull the net of all contracts towards $1. Thus, a 58¢ contract also implies ~58% chance of success. Contract prices can be effectively presented along polls as they intuitively read in a very similar manner.

• JJ clearly believed Vegas 1/2 odds were worse for Trump than the number I reported. I could not follow that, and thus pushed him for more information.

His own citation explains how the quote works, which is quite helpful.

How to Read the Odds:
Ex. Bet $100 on Donald Trump (1/2) to win $50

Presumably, JJ read 1/2 as equivalent to a 50¢ contract. However, that is not how the math plays out.

To obtain that same return in contract form would be 150 contracts @ 66.6667¢. Bet $100 on Donald to receive $150 (winning $50). Thus, Vegas is giving Trump ~67% chance to win at this moment.

The citation he provided actually helped my case. He is not reading what he is linking, not understanding it, or a combination of both.

He probably gets paid by the word and you make his job easier.

Given his lack of effectiveness. Who would pay JJ?

Perhaps there is some sort of cult thing? Competing for the number of #NeverTrump zealot posts? Mindless regurgitation of dogma above quota may yield perceived status among similar brainwashed acolytes. If so, it is a very sad way to live.

PEACE 😇

It would be interesting to hear how Musk got “tricked”. This sounds a bit unlikely.

Always remember Musk is pushing AI as hard as anyone while simultaneously stating it is the most dangerous thing ever.

In this clip she is reading the script correctly and with approximately correct intonation. That is a very low bar for someone in her position.

I assume everything about Kamala’s career has been gamed through family connections, affirmative action or political maneuvering. She seems like a low watt bulb.

Is there a connection between Kushner and Musk?

Don’t know how deep it is, but they were photographed together at the 2022 World Cup Final in Qatar.

She is going to have to convince big donors one on one to donate. She will pass the test or she will not.

I’m guessing not. P~.8.

How true is this apocalyptic amren article saying that they have bulldozed the school parks in Vienna to make way for container-classrooms of migrants? And that 70% of schoolchildren there don’t even speak German at home?
https://www.amren.com/news/2024/07/austria-teachers-flee-vienna-schools-over-mass-migration-with-20-teachers-quitting-on-a-peak-day/

If this subject interests you there are great books written by good writers. Musk might be good at lobbying for money but I think he sucks as a storyteller. His sob story is not worth paying any attention to.

This one is good:

https://www.amazon.com/Betrayal-Trauma-Logic-Forgetting-Childhood/dp/067406805X

There is an inexhaustible supply of misery in our world. Job and Ecclesiastes also are very well written.

Why?

It is God’s will over our pay grade.

In the first chapter or even in the first paragraph these books will also inform you about unreliable narrators. Musk can’t even tell you the truth about his messed up personal life.

These South African origin Paypal investors Musk, Sacks and Thiels, are connected to J.D. Vance, according to the media.

Who knows, but this could indicate they are not so close in relation to Trump, as they seem to feel they need Vance, as a closer friend in the White House than Trump.

Musk and Sacks have both telephoned Trump, to say they support Vance.

–

After Vance is chosen, a lot of other investors including outside the Paypal group, were saying they are supporting Trump.

For example, the day after Vance is chosen, the “Ben and Marc show” say they support Trump. It could look like, Vance has a lot of friends and support among some of these groups of investors beyond just the Paypal/South Africa origin group .

He knew his son was somewhat effeminate, perhaps that influenced his decision. And the fact that he divorced Xavier’s mom could also lead to resentment from both the kid and the mother. Then if the mother is somewhat unhinged and the kid is somewhat autistic and effeminate, the step to take to do a radical change of gender, at the same time signaling a radical rejection of the father and the male identity is probably somewhat easier. BTW, given that a « third sex » existed in many cultures at different periods in history (it is still in existence in the subcontinent, even it’s Islamic part and of course South Eastern Asia with the lady boys), it would be naive to ignore that some people « fall in between two categories » of maleness and femininity. Therefore, I am of the Ayatollahs’ opinion on the issue: transitioning is sometimes inevitable to experience a more balanced identity, but this transitioning should only be done by adults after a consultation with psychologists, hormonal therapists, MDs and finally surgeons if nothing else works. And this transitioning should be final without any ambiguity about the gender identity of the person. That way it would be a treatment for an adult psychosocial illness and not a fashion for crazy people to indulge in at the expense of immature children.

https://qz.com/889548/everyone-treated-me-like-a-saint-in-iran-theres-only-one-way-to-survive-as-a-transgender-person

JJ clearly believed Vegas 1/2 odds were worse for Trump than the number I reported. I could not follow that, and thus pushed him for more information.

What do you mean “I believed”? I sourced Vegas odds for Trump as you requested.

Were you hoping that I made those numbers up?

You are mentally unstable.

His own citation explains how the quote works, which is quite helpful.

So as confirmed you didn’t understand Vegas numbers and went on some unhinged rant. You somehow made it this far in life without bothering to understand what an oddsmaker fraction represents.

Presumably, JJ read 1/2 as equivalent to a 50¢ contract. However, that is not how the math plays out.

And why would you make such a presumption? A 50 cent contract? What are you talking about?

I provided Vegas numbers and then sourced them as you asked. Did you forget that?

Trump met with Musk prior to picking Vance. Maybe Trump was pressured to choose Vance (who is probably owned by these Paypal guys) in exchange for Musk’s generous funding.

If Trump doesn’t complete his term this leaves the USA in the hands of Musk, Thiel, Sacks. Unless he turns on them…

Worth stating that pro-Russians would do well to restrain any hopes about a Trump presidency regarding the Ukraine War. Trump relented on the Ukraine aid bill and could possibly escalate anti-Russian actions despite the vice president pick of Vance (as that weird article by that O’Brien guy about escalating the war against Russia and sending the entire US Marine Corps to the Asia-Pacific for war against China shows).

Perhaps it makes no difference from the “Biden administration” (what should it even be called though he’s technically still president???) where admittedly there has been a sober awareness of the risks of nuclear risks and escalations insofar as there have been some delays and limitations on approving Ukraine doing deep strikes in Russia.

Then again, a lot of things about Trump have proven unpredictable or surprising, with perhaps one of the few reliable predictions being that Israel will be much more likely to invade Lebanon with greater armament support after US elections (possibly regardless of who becomes president anyway, since support for Israel is institutional in the entire US government with it even possible to go so far as to say that Christian Zionism is the unofficial state ideology of the USA).

There’s something to be said about the ultimate superiority of the Kingdom of Heaven over the worldly kingdom.

What good is all the wealth in the world (Elon Musk is the richest man in the world?) if one can’t save their own progeny from having their genitals and psyche mutilated?

(Of course, wealth accumulation is usually good and recommended for most people since money can solve or massively help many problems anyone may have, but some things are simply beyond the realm of being fixable by money and technology.)

And this too … (Although to be fair Elon has made some noises).

70% of schoolchildren there don’t even speak German at home

IIRC the stats are for public schools, not private ones where many natives send their kids.

I spent a week in Vienna in 2019. My impression was that the visible non-European population was similar to Moscow’s – around 10-15% or so. In Vienna’s case this was mostly Arabs, with a few Africans.

However, many of Vienna’s Muslims are secular Bosniaks and Albanians who dress like Europeans. These would blend in with natives. There are also a lot of Serbs and Croats in Vienna (in some respect Austria is for the former Yugoslavia what Poland is for Ukraine). If you add up all of these people, plus recent Ukrainian refugees, it is possible that 70% of Viennese public schoolchildren aren’t native German-speakers.

Also, many Viennese natives have Czech or Croatian ancestors from 100+ years ago, they are not fully ethnic German, which in terms of physical appearance makes them less distinguishable from Croats.

In this clip she is reading the script correctly and with approximately correct intonation.

Look on the bright side: that’s proof positive that she can read. If she can also count to ten, she has qualifications to be the US president. At least as much as demented Joe.

For example, the day after Vance is chosen, the “Ben and Marc show” say they support Trump. It could look like, Vance has a lot of friends and support among some of these groups of investors beyond just the Paypal/South Africa origin group .

Oops I watched it now. It seems like Marc and Ben’s support is not related to Vance. It doesn’t seem to be related to the Paypal people who are Vance’s friends. So, ignore this part of my earlier comment.

–

If you watch at 53:30

Marc saying Trump said in a three hour dinner with them, he wouldn’t regulate AI so much, they feel like he would help to increase the investments in the military applications.

At 1:04:00 they say they are worried about the Biden proposal to tax structure to unrealized capital gains on over $100 million.* Marc is mainly worried about the effect of this on small tech investments.

In 1:19:30 Ben is saying they are mainly friends with Trump family because of Jared and Ivanka (Trump’s oldest daughter and her husband).

At 1:27:00 they are saying their experience of the Biden administration has been negatively surprising for them.

Ben says they had a good relation with Clinton “on cryptography” (I guess maybe he is talking about cyber investments related to the government).

At 1:30:00 Ben is saying they will become socially unpopular for not supporting Democrats now.

–

*It is possibly also why some of the larger company owners like Zuckerberg were also seeming like they are going to support Trump.

Worth stating that pro-Russians would do well to restrain any hopes about a Trump presidency regarding the Ukraine War.

Anyone who pays attention knows that the US foreign policy does not change with the change of the figurehead in the White house. Those who actually rule the country make sure that this never happens.

Musk and Sacks are also seeming like they support Vivek, as they hosted him on their podcast last year.

I don’t have time to watch the Musk/Sacks podcast with him. But if someone is a Vivek fan, like Bashibuzuk? I post if someone wants to watch the Musk/Sacks podcast (maybe on 2x speed).

From the previous thread:

We’ve had more than enough MH-11s, Chepigas, Novichoks, mysterious cyberattacks and all of that.

WOW! You appear a smart guy, so it’s simply incredible that NATO vermin full-spectrum propaganda brainwashing BS dominance is that extreme in the west, you would be coerced into thinking “Russian agents poisoned ” the Skripals even though:

1. Salibury is home of main training base of UK army
2. Salisbury is home of main Chemical Weapons facility of the UK
3. Salisbury is full of persons of interest in military, espionage, military tech etc
4. “coincidentally” the Skripals were “rescued” …….by the the top military nurse in the UK who was just walking past the bench that the Skripals were on
5. The completely inexplicable death “by Novichok” of this homeless woman. Again NATO scum propaganda just relies on mass repetition of slogans as “Russians”, “spies” “Novichok” to connect to the “poisoning” of this woman – even though its implausible and nonsensical. If anything it should be confirmation that its such a lie, that the British must have performed the entire thing

How your 1st reaction wouldn’t be that the traditional British liars are trying to setup Russia, is a mystery of logic.

Those 1st 3 points are suitable to explain motive of why Chepiga & Petrov were there not to “poison” the Skripals- there is about a million other things they could have been doing for intelligence. Just as with the homeless woman death – Chepiga & Petrov can’t be placed at or near Skripals house, on his road or having met him. Because of the 1st 3 points, them coming all the way from Russia isn’t strong enough to link to murder. For the homeless woman, the lazy british scum don’t even make any effort to link Chepiga/Petrov to the location.

Anglo-American NATO retards know nothing about Russia, so it would not surprise me if these lazy bums turned to Hollywood to concoct their BS. In the Anglo film about their special military unit, the SAS, called “Who Dares Wins” a woman uses a perfume bottle to kill a spy on the bus a sprayed substance that I think is Novichok. Good film, actually.

I don’t know about you, but my chemical and medical knowledge is near non-existant/forgotten – so I have no idea if the “Novichok” is supposed to kill in 1 second or whatever, but its claimed lethality does not look to be supported by what happened there or with Navalny.

And even if Chepiga/Petrov was there to meet Skripal they are STILL highly unlikely to have poisoned him . We know from the Litvinenko issue that he was openly meeting with FSB colleagues ( former for him) in popular London hotels/bars/restaurants. For a guy claiming long before this as a “political refugee”, who had defected, working for criminal oligarch fugitive and who was frequently making accusations against the Russian government in public – it seems incredible or extremely stupid and disrespectful to his British masters to be doing this………..Except for the fact I think this practise is encouraged by the British Intelligence. They want the contacts maintained.

Same thing with Skripal, or it very plausibly could have been doing some shadowish business deal with them. That’s not murder

Skripal’s mother is alive in her 90’s, but sick and immobile. Thats more than enough motivation to try and do something for the benefit of Russian government to allow him to return. I think his daughter was engaged also. She could have been co-operating with the 2 of them

Its so near zero chance this Novichok BS, that I think even the insane Chepiga-Petrov as well-manicured fags gaying eachother in Salisbury Cathedral has more plausibility to it – and even explanation for them being forced as punishment to do the silly sports supplements/tourists interview.

Whatever isn’t known or seems very inconsistent, then with our own biases we explain by the opposite sides “incompetence” – as the Anglo-EU-American trash do with the mountain of inconsistencies in their accusations. My thought is if she , the daughter, travelled directly from Moscow to London to meet her father then I think impossible , our intelligence services didn’t know that……and I think absolutely ZERO chance they would have tried to kill Skripal, particularly poison him, with her visiting if they knew . Maybe she was travelling via transit through another country as Turkey or EU state? We don’t know.

Navalny you didn’t mention – again no knowledge to talk about the so-called Novichok itself, but everything about how he was acting, the situation at the airport ( phoned in bomb-alert before landing, so all emergency services there, for what was a DIVERTED plane to the airport), how he was then sent to Germany, ‘recovered” , made another hysterical BS video with German co-operation, they allowed him Lenin-style to return to Russia, he insanely returned to Russia knowing he is going to be arrested, jailed and despite doing the BS claim they tried to poison him………appears ridiculous. Why would they send him back, and why would we send him there if we attempted “assassinate by Novichok”?

Again – he could just be another psycho liberast that have plagued Russia over the centuries, but I think that like most of us ( not ukronazis of course) he loves his own family. Do some stupid stunt, be a prisoner for a few years with your children guaranteed a rich and prosperous life forever……..and we get you released after a few years as we have abducted a few Russian guys to exchange you for anyway and Russia have some Americans we want back. Plausible the Americans could have told him.

MH17

Plenty on the technical side suggests it was a deliberate Ukrainian operation. It annoys me that our policy is entirely counter-reaction. Nothing proactive. Even with all the NATO lies about MH17, we have not put out our official version of what happened. Only put information out that Su-24’s were flying directly there, and counter claims about the warhead of missile not being compatible with claims from NATO side.

But again – why there would not be a high suspicion of khokhol conspiracy is a mystery

mysterious cyberattacks

Bizarre statement. Surely these attacks are accepted as mutual? I needed to do something important for me on state agency website 2 months ago but it was inaccessible that day because of Nato/Banderastan DDoS attack. Most of the BS accusations are based not on anything firm but on some use of the Russian language by the hackers- nations with large number of scammers and people with Russian language skills such as Banderastan or Romania could be responsible for many of these attacks.

Again – I can’t understand why this is your natural response when we all know they said the same definite lies about ” Russian hacking” the Clinton Teams e-mails, and Hunter Bidens laptop. These lies have probably had an influence in the SMO occuring – that is the selfish and satanic nature of these people.

Then there is the Syrian gas attack. Or the Ukronazis shooting down plane in Belgorod with their own POW’s about to be exchanged ( ironic , as that probable strike from Patriot system was likely what they were referring to when saying “we have fired American missiles into Russia anyway, so allow us to do it). Or the Ukronazis HIMARS attack on their own POW’s held at Olenovka…and plenty of others

We’ve had more than enough MH-11s, Chepigas, Novichoks, mysterious cyberattacks and all of that.

Here I think the opposite. There is no tiresome accumulative effect. If NATO side is lying on one of these things, then they must be lying on all of them is my view. Normally the reaction should be to judge each case on their merits , which would be exhausting …….but the NATO propaganda and actions are so intense and similar for all these events that there is no option but to think if 1 is wrong, then they must all be wrong.

Of course Jordan Peterson couldn’t help interrupting Musk’s personal story several times in his strident voice (dressed as a trans himself btw). How did this clown become so popular?

… a lot of things about Trump have proven unpredictable or surprising

Trump’s goals are approximately the same as of the liberal over-class but his executive style is more bold and creative – that comes across as surprising or volatile. But Trump is fully in support of the current economic system including open borders, globalism, running the economy with virtual money – financialization that inevitably leads to un-payable debts. All he wants is a “smarter way” and US getting better deals and smarter migrants.

Socially Trump is a traditional liberal of the older type who finds some of the recent liberal excesses like dudes-in-girls-showers too much. But he is about as liberal as they come. The flag waving and uber-patriotism is probably sincere but mostly irrelevant, anyone can do that.

Trump’s one bright spot is his genuine aversion to stupid wars – and by that he means wars that US eventually loses. He may also be offended by all the Slavs being killed (two of his wives had that background). So he would push for peace, but given his unbound ‘creativity’ that could make it worse. In general US can only influence what will happen in Ukraine so much – it is too far, US is unwilling to actually fight, and Russia simply has local superiority. So it may not matter much.

Can she count backwards by 7 starting at 100?

He is not in a tranny costume.

He is in a negro pimp costume. You need a couple more classes to get full cultural assimilation. Do you ever watch NFL football?

Pre crime department and illegal in the EU.

Machine Learning Can Predict Shooting Victimization Well Enough to Help Prevent It

https://www.nber.org/papers/w30170

I wonder if their model predicts that opposition political candidates have likelihood of being shot. I only read the abstract so far.

Can she count backwards by 7 starting at 100?

It would sound like this:

The numbers….they go in many directions….the numbers….we support the numbers….we know the numbers…..seven is a good number…..there are many sevens…in 100…..I support a woman’s right to choose.

You appear a smart guy, so it’s simply incredible that NATO vermin full-spectrum propaganda brainwashing BS dominance is that extreme in the west,

Propaganda works so well only because most people choose self-deception for various reasons. You can never convince someone who voluntarily deceives him/herself.

Intentionally starving and carpet-bombing civilians in their own homes, schools, shops, hospitals, places of worship and refugee camps is evil and needlessly cruel and ungodly — and that doesn’t change if homosexuals or anyone else agrees.

It’s not “self-defense”, nor even legitimate proportional retaliation, nor legitimate preemption of an imminent attack. That’s not changed by perverts (“pride month”) reaching the same conclusion.

Terrorizing and dehumanizing innocent human beings and laughing about it, is the height (or depth) of vile cruelty. Homosexuals or leftists having the sense and decency to notice that, doesn’t undermine this conclusion.

But we notice your attempt to taint the morally and legally righteous movement against the genocide, by association with movements that most of us here don’t like.

Stop murdering children on purpose.
Stop murdering women on purpose.
Stop murdering old people and handicapped people and doctors, nurses and patients on purpose.
.
Stop targeting hospitals and schools and refugee camps.
Then get the fuck out off the Palestinians’ land and leave forever — or decent people will make sure you do.

How Israel Was Created:

FREE PALESTINE.
Disarm and disband “israel.”

…most people choose self-deception for various reasons

There is an old saying that it always takes two to lie…

That insight about how lies work and the answer to the question “how bad had to be the guy who lost the election to Hitler?” are never allowed in the West. A bit of a one-dimensional society if you ask me, but I am told they have great appliances…

“Israelis” “defending” themselves by mauling a terrified men with Down Syndrome using a dog, then leaving him to die a slow, agonizing death by blood loss and starvation, ALONE.

Another similar incident:

“israelis” “defending themselves” by mauling an old lady with a dog:

It must be alright, though, because homosexual activists and other people we don’t like say it’s wrong.
Right, A123?

FREE PALESTINE.

Pretend-“moderate” white christian guy like Kentucky’s Bashear, plus a Spanish-speaking white-ish Hispanic (probably a woman) for Veep. And the Dems could actually squeak out a win without having to engage in massive vote fraud.

How did this clown become so popular?

like a lot of things, I think it was because the establishment promoted him, since they thought his message was useful to them.

In his case, because he spoke out in favor of individualism and against a group identity for Europeans. Naturally, his message for Israel was different

Anyone who pays attention knows that U.S. foreign policy does change when a non-figurehead reaches the White House. SJW Globalist elites who think they rule the country cannot prevent it from happening.

Four clear examples from Trump’s 1st term:

-1- He abandoned the Erdogan/Obama “Assad Must Go” doctrine. IIRC in year 3 of his term. It took his team a bit to figure out that the moderate resistance concept inherited from Obama was not viable.

-2- He pulled American troops out of the kill sack between Syrian and Turkish forces thus preventing their loss from being used as a provocation. “Protecting Oil” was a cover story than no one on any side believed then or since.

-3- He effectively discontinued the Afghanistan mission and was working on an orderly withdrawal plan centered on the securable Bagram military airfield. He was even going to compensate some of the more reliable Taliban elements for their convoy protection assistance. Possibly not pretty, but certainly effective.

-4- He refused 4 years of Sociopath Khamenei’s provocations. He did not put boots on the ground in Iran.

All of these Trump foreign policy victories were brutal losses for the establishment elites.

As I have said many times before — One does not obtain 100% of absolutely everything instantly. The ideal end state for #2 and #3 would have been full withdrawals. However, that means that should be referred to as “large successes” instead of “complete successes”.
___

The Veggie-In-Chief also successfully changed foreign policy in a manner that the establishment did not want. He walked into the Afghanistan withdrawal trap that Gen. SJW Milley and others had set to ensnare Trump’s administration. Obstinate senility delivered a result.

PEACE 😇

IMO, Iran is somewhat hobbled by geography. A lot of its Gulf islands are seen as being military-strategic, and so it doesn’t necessarily have a good place to exile gays, like Indonesia might – if it wanted to.

these books will also inform you about unreliable narrators

I was vaguely interested in this Indian story, as I thought it might be interesting sociologically, until I learned it was a novel.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Goat_Life

The genocidal Hamas, October 7 Jihad attack was ungodly.

Indigenous Palestinian Jews have the right and moral duty to rescue hostages held by Muslim colonists. By placing these hostages among civilians, Hamas butchers their coreligionists by using them as human shields.

• How should Jews recover hostages from Muslim war criminals?
• Do you not see that righteous Jews, in the service of God, must go where degenerate Islamists hold their victims?

Muslims need to stop murdering children on purpose.
Muslims need to stop murdering women on purpose.
Muslims need to stop murdering old people and handicapped people and doctors, nurses and patients on purpose.

Stop targeting pizzerias, schools, and peace concerts.

Muslim colonists need to get the fuck off of Jewish & Christian Palestinian land, and leave forever — or decent Judeo-Christian people will make sure you do.

FREE PALESTINIAN CHRISTIANS AND JEWS
Disarm and disband the Islamic occupation.

PEACE 😇

Watch this SU-25 get taken out by a MANPAD:

Pretend-“moderate” white christian guy like Kentucky’s Bashear, plus a Spanish-speaking white-ish Hispanic (probably a woman) for Veep.

That would do it.

For VP I’d look at the Democrats that voted against Biden on immigration.

If Vance is being lined up to replace Trump, all I can say is, “Watch your ear, Don.”

I just realized this classic clip could be the inspiration for last Saturday; punch line at 3:06 🙂

In Walter Kaufmann Shakespeare to Existentialism he has an illustration of his point that sometimes truths expressed in fictional works can’t ever be done in non-fiction. This isn’t verbatim as I don’t have the book handy and the terms are too common to search the internet but it’s a memorable thought experiment. Like I can remember it now and I read it fifteen years ago.

Compare: in the afterlife the spirit of Napoleon gets his hand on twenty books about Napoleon. He happily concludes, “my secret is safe”.

In the afterlife the spirit of the real life inspiration of Natasha Rostov gets her hand on a copy of War and Peace. She cries out in horror “oh my god everybody knew.”

She seems like a low watt bulb.

Biden’s wattage was barely enough to illuminate a small room in 2020 and he won.

Kamala may have problems with some demographics that Biden, as a white family man and well known figure in politics, didn’t have but one shouldn’t forget that the Democrats have very big advantages and don’t really need a brilliant candidate to beat Trump: the MSM and 90% of Big Tech are with them, the years-long demonization of Trump has created a visceral opposition to his figure in large parts of the electorate and Trump has obvious flaws of character that put off even people that are generally sympathetic to his ideas.

I think that the Republicans are making a mistake by calling for Biden’s resignation. Their best bet was for Biden to carry on til November and now they should try to keep him in the limelight for as long as possible, just to remind voters of what a disaster the Democrats were trying to push on them. Making senile Joe disappear from the scene gives the Dems plenty of months to memory hole the whole incident with help from the media and build a solid enough campaign to win.

Just my humble opinion. I may be wrong but surely not as wrong as the people here who made optimistic predictions that failed a couple of weeks later.

It could feel like CNN is not training professional journalists.

Read these two of the main articles on the website today.

https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/22/entertainment/charli-xcx-kamala-harris-brat-meme/index.html

https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/23/style/brat-summer-green-explained/index.html

–

It seems kind of uninteresting marketing without real content, which they hire from bots for an app in Beijing, but CNN report like the content of the marketing is exciting and real.

At least he was promoted more subtly than Konstantin Kisin, or Lex Friedman.

Kamala may have problems with some demographics that Biden, as a white family man and well known figure in politics, didn’t have

She has gigantic issues with critical swing demographics including independents and Hispanics: (1)

She has ratings slightly lower than Mr. Biden’s. In the last HarvardCAPS/Harris poll, her personal ratings stood at 38% favorable and 52% unfavorable. (Mr. Biden’s were 39% and 55%, respectively.) Her negatives are particularly high with men (56%), seniors (61%), whites (60%), independents (58%) and Hispanics (45%).

She will make the argument Mr. Biden had planned to make—that the administration is on the right path on the issues. That means there will be no daylight between Mr. Biden’s policies and Ms. Harris’s nor any expectation that she will make a game-changing shift to the center and bring on a Republican or Joe Manchin as her running mate.

Trust in the Fake Stream Media is at an all time low. The 2020 bag of deception and crime is no where near enough to steal 2024.

Big tech is already pivoting towards Trump. He is more favourable to them on some key issues, most notably crypto currencies as a competitor to the Fed.

I think that the Republicans are making a mistake by calling for Biden’s resignation. Their best bet was for Biden to carry on til November and now they should try to keep him in the limelight for as long as possible

These two positions are not necessarily contradictory.

I agree that having him stay is better for Trump. However, calling on him to go and encouraging Dems and Harris to defend Biden is the optimum.

IMHO too risky, but forcing him out does have a theoretical upside. Congress does not have to approve a new VP. It would make Speaker Johnson one heartbeat away from the Presidency.

PEACE 😇
__________

(1) https://www.wsj.com/articles/harris-swap-leaves-a-similar-race-close-poll-numbers-similar-issue-on-record-16586cbd

(no paywall) https://archive.is/zmNuj

Biden’s wattage was barely enough to illuminate a small room in 2020 and he won.

Democrats have very big advantages and don’t really need a brilliant candidate to beat Trump: the MSM and 90% of Big Tech are with them

You are correct that they don’t need a brilliant candidate.

But they do need a candidate that can take swing states and on that basis Harris is a terrible choice.

Newsweek is one of the few outlets that did an honest take on the numbers:
https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-polling-blow-joe-biden-democrats-election-2024-swing-states-1926440

You don’t run a candidate that is viewed unfavorably by independents.

It’s completely idiotic.

The Democrat faithful would vote for anyone. You don’t pick a candidate based on their DEI feelies. It’s terrible strategy and even if you really want a minority or woman then you find someone else. Harris not only associated with Biden but is viewed as a low quality candidate.

I rip on Trump and his fans but Democrats are out of their damn minds. Too many White people are going insane from White guilt. If Harris was a red-headed scotch-irish then this would not be happening. This is White guilt and affirmative action at work. It’s turning Whites into complete idiots.

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/harris-leads-trump-44-42-us-presidential-race-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2024-07-23/

“What is important is not how they vote, but who counts the votes”

Comrade Stalin.

“What is important is not how they vote, but who counts the votes”

It is equally important who conducts the poll. Before 2016 elections all libtard-conducted polls suggested that Killary wins by a landslide. Thank goodness, this did not happen.

But what if “it’s her (Kamala’s) time?”

I mean how can anyone progressive be against the first Black female president?

Being against it is in itself a form of bigotry.

🙂

Already debunked due to atrociously inappropriate sampling: (1)

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll has found that Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in the national poll (with a 3% margin of error).

Yet, there’s a catch. As we noted in the 2016 and 2020 elections, pollsters had their thumb on the scale by oversampling Democrats.

Well, they’ve done it again – sampling 426 Democrat voters vs. 376 Republicans and 341 Independents.

The Nazi-crats are desperate and flailing. The crime of fraud is based on exploiting plausibility. The crazy, gonzo, phweet propaganda that the fascists are trying to push is too absurd. The malfeasance is blown as it crosses the starting line.

PEACE 😇
__________

(1) https://www.zerohedge.com/political/reuters-shock-poll-finds-jump-support-kamala-theres-just-one-catch

The witty phrase “late Soviet America” was coined by the Princeton historian Harold James back in 2020. It has only become more apposite since then as the cold war we’re in—the second one—heats up.
I first pointed out that we’re in Cold War II back in 2018. In articles for The New York Times and National Review, I tried to show how the People’s Republic of China now occupies the space vacated by the Soviet Union when it collapsed in 1991.
This view is less controversial now than it was then. China is clearly not only an ideological rival, firmly committed to Marxism-Leninism and one-party rule. It’s also a technological competitor—the only one the U.S. confronts in fields such as artificial intelligence and quantum computing. It’s a military rival, with a navy that is already larger than ours and a nuclear arsenal that is catching up fast. And it’s a geopolitical rival, asserting itself not only in the Indo-Pacific but also through proxies in Eastern Europe and elsewhere.
But it only recently struck me that in this new Cold War, we—and not the Chinese—might be the Soviets. It’s a bit like that moment when the British comedians David Mitchell and Robert Webb, playing Waffen-SS officers toward the end of World War II, ask the immortal question: “Are we the baddies?”
I imagine two American sailors asking themselves one day—perhaps as their aircraft carrier is sinking beneath their feet somewhere near the Taiwan Strait: Are we the Soviets?

https://www.thefp.com/p/were-all-soviets-now

(Yeah, it’s Niall Ferguson. Sorry for that. 🙄)

CNN and the New York Times and everybody is totally behind her. Until they aren’t. Which may happen really really fast. Seven days ago she was totally behind Biden.

Have you ever read those stories about the last 72 hours of Lehman Brothers? They are a hoot. I forget who it was that stuck the dagger into them exactly. Goldman Sachs? It was a trusted partner going back generations. When you play Game of Thrones you win or die.

Have never really read Ferguson, but I suspect, having himself married a Somali, he doesn’t really touch on the race communism.

I mean, the individuality thing isn’t exactly false, but it doesn’t seem to cover all the bases, if one looks at rhetoric or actual systems. And the purpose of a system is what it does.

At least he was promoted more subtly than Konstantin Kisin, or Lex Friedman

From my perspective, JBP was the most heavily promoted of that group. I can’t even begin to put a number on the amount of JBP videos, autoplay used to try to send me to.

Kisin I would guess might be more promoted in the UK.

Lex I have honestly never really heard promoted outside of this thread. But my experience might be atypical. It is strange to think how he gets all his guests.

Do you think that Kamala is smarter than Michelle Obama is?

Anatoly Karlin blocked me on multiple platforms because I linked to his Rational Wiki article on a subreddit for Russians.

I was trying to show the direct quotes, not the commentary.

Are the direct quotes on his Rational Wiki (or RatWiki) article inaccurate and/or misleading?

https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Anatoly_Karlin

For clarification:

https://akarlin.com/rationalwiki/rationalwiki-2019/

I have the impression that what you and Tolik are going through is an example of the Law of negation of the negation.

And I find it very surprising that you guys have come to this, given that both of you are now in the same LGBTQ – friendly team.

🙂

Here’s the specific Subreddit where this was linked to:

What are your thoughts on Anatoly Karlin?
by inAskARussian

TBH, linking to it might have been a mistake, but at the same time, I also don’t think that it’s worth ruining a 7-year online friendship over *that*!

So why did you feel the need to post that Rational Wiki publication about him on that thread?

Especially that you did it several times?

Just your autism playing tricks on you again?

And just so you know, for a non-autistic person, there is no such thing as online friendship. Friends can only be people you have personally met IRL. The online friends are nothing but friendly strangers, whose opinion about you doesn’t matter.

BTW, given that we can’t be friends, because you are a pervert, and I can’t be friends with perverts, my opinion about you matters even less than the one of your supposed online friend Karlin.

So basically, never mind my opinions about you. And never mind your opinion about Tolik or his about you.

🙂

> So why did you feel the need to post that Rational Wiki publication about him on that thread?

Because of the huge collection of direct quotes from him on it about various topics.

> Especially that you did it several times?

I did it twice.

Aren’t you the OP who posted the link to Rational Wiki thrice in a discussion of about only a dozen comments?

BTW, some of the comments were pretty funny.

🙂

If only there were sea monsters big enough to sink that navy ship named after Harvey Milk

Is

долбоёб мечущийся из крайности в крайность

which google claims is

idiot rushing from one extreme to another

really a saying in Russia?

Also the anglicization of what they say is idiot

mechushchiysya

looks a lot like Yiddish for lunatic.

This translation is somewhat mild, the original is more insulting.

mechushchiysya = adjective pertaining to agitatedly and rapidly moving from a place to another.

dolboyob = dumbf**k / retard.

Idiot in Russian is the same word = idiot.

долбоёб

That’s not a saying, but a good example of Russian usage.

There are many Russian words google would translate as “idiot”, but each has a different flavor. The word “долбоёб” is not just an idiot, but a hopelessly dumb person doing idiotic things or failing to understand elementary things. Because of its obscene root, it is not a word you’d use in front of the ladies (or ladies would use in front of the gentlemen). At least not in a society pretending to be polite and civilized.

There was a request for a chart reading for JD Vance. I don’t feel like doing his natal chart, we basically know who the guy is, but I do think it is worth looking at his solar return chart.

Vance’s solar return begins on August 2nd. His chart features two instances of important conjunctions with Behenian fixed stars: His MC conjuncts Vega and his moon conjuncts Sirius. Both of these aspects signify gaining power. These aspects cannot be referring to him being named Trump’s running mate because that already has happened before the solar year in question has begun. So we have a very powerful indication that he is going to be Vice President.

Aries rising so the chart is ruled by Mars. Mars is in a somewhat weak placement in the 2nd house: this indicates family problems, harsh speech and gains via immoral/aggressive means. This is tempered by having Jupiter also in the 2nd house, however. Jupiter in the 2nd house indicates domestic harmony and also gains from the government (lol). Basically Vance will become VP but he will deal with some familial strain.

Like Trump’s solar return chart, Vance also has moon in the 3rd house, indicative of successful campaigning.

Venus in the 5th indicates a great year for Vance’s children and his relationship with them.

Extremely strong sun in the 5th indicates power and domination.

Saturn in the 12th indicates success and destruction of enemies. It is retrograde, though, so that would also indicate some setbacks. Saturn is trining the moon so the setbacks/hardships should be on the campaign trail. It won’t be an assassination attempt, probably just ends up being a grind that really takes a lot out of him. For the record, Vance already is the most unpopular VP nominee in history so that is likely at least part of what this aspect is referring to.

As for Shapiro, it ain’t 2000 anymore: the Dems CANNOT nominate a Jew, that is not gonna fly with the current iteration of the Democratic party. When Kamala picks her running mate, I’ll do that person’s solar return chart then.

It’s probably gonna be Mark Kelly. Shapiro is Jewish and Whitmer, Pritzker and Newsom want no part of this ticket.

Judging by her schools she is probably smarter than Kamala.

Saying “The Democrats would win with any no-name moderate”… instead of “The Democrats WILL win with any no-name moderate” signify your weak tenet.

Harris is smarter in what? One cannot learn intelligence. Regardless, she got zero chance of winning the US presidency, because Obama took her “affirmative action” advantage. On the other hand, H. Clinton was in a much better position to beat Trump on the other “affirmative action” and lost. Harris is the most insignificant VP.

Neocon Flipped

Re: https://nationalinterest.org/feature/ending-war-ukraine-potential-roadmap-peace-211993

The Collective West could and should still value ties with Russia just enough to be more flexible in its demands. As discussed in this article,

https://www.eurasiareview.com/01072024-nato-proxy-war-ongoing-biden-new-york-times-deceit-oped/

Zalmay Khalilzad repeats the ongoing calculated lie that Russia has suffered more armed combatant casualties than Ukraine.

The longer the NATO proxy war continues, the more likely the Kiev regime loses more territory. A practical route for ending the armed conflict is the following settlement:

– Kiev regime and international recognition that Crimea, Zaporozhe, Kherson, Lugansk and Donetsk are Russian territory
– Ukraine is geopolitically neutral with a limited military and no NATO membership
– Sanctions against Russia and Russians, including the hypocritically bigoted one in sports come to a prompt end.

As long as these conditions are honored, Russia will not have any further territorial claims on Ukraine’s Communist drawn boundary. Don’t like this settlement? The armed conflict likely continues with the Kiev regime losing more.

Brandon said he wanted a woman and/or person of color for Veep. Were it not for that, Harris would be zilch. The Dem establishment favored her in 2020. Much like how the Repub establishment was for Jeb Bush in 2016. Like, Jeb, she flopped miserably in the primaries, dropping out early.

The Asiatic mode of production.

Have never really read Ferguson, but I suspect, having himself married a Somali, he doesn’t really touch on the race communism.

The last interview I saw with him he was saying that one of the big problems in the culture is that enough time isn’t spent in schools discussing the Third Reich and the Holocaust, and if this was done it would be easier to fight wokeness. He has written some good books but this made me think that he was somehow out of touch with current trends.

About Konstantin Kisin, he seems to be in the IDW zone and a cheerleader for 1990s Western liberalism, which makes him a relatively fringe figure and a possible white supremacist. I get some notifications on YT for his videos but I still occasionally watch episodes of Triggernometry. Kisin and Francis Foster used to be stand up comedians but got cancelled and became unable to perform in any mainstream venues so I think they fell back on becoming classical liberal or old left (in Foster’s case) commentators.

(The Goat Life film may still be worth it, for the title alone).

It’s just how the algorithm works and the preferences stored on the cache on the app on your television.

If they recommend JBP (Joe Budden Podcast?) it must be because you have watched one of the videos.

They store information about how long you watch the video for, if you pause it, how interested you seem in the video.

This is then matching with a lot of information about what the background people with your preference or demographics are watching.

–

It’s not artificial, but it’s going to recommend the influencers’ who make the most “clickbait” interactions. These are usually the influencers with a lot of fans across different platforms, which produce clickbait and which have the social media managers and people doing a professional search engine optimization for them.

Generally, the higher quality of content, doesn’t have many views. Because it’s not clickbait and doesn’t receive the clicks and interactions.

Best photo from the article posted by Bashi.

Was that Nick Cave getting arrested in Iran?

they recommend JBP (Joe Budden Podcast?) it must be because you have watched one of the videos.

Jordan B. Peterson. I won’t say I never watched one of his videos, but, for the most part, I did not find him interesting other than some initial curiosity to find out who he was, and why he was being promoted.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zyzz

[MORE]

One of Yevardian’s people.

Petey has a good, forthright lecture or two on the influence of intelligence on a person’s life course. I think he believes IQ data is sound across races. I would like to hear what he says about African and African-American intelligence and any social implications of the data.

I never followed him but some of his practical life advice is simply a counterweight to the woke tranny BS. Not perfect but better than nothing. He did his part.

He is apparently one of the those lively, apparently sane people who seems to be on the borderline of madness (sane but looks crazy). What came out over time is that he is actually one of those insane people who is on the borderline of sanity (crazy but looks sane–sometimes). It is worth recognizing there are many people like this.

In contrast, I once listened to a History Guy podcast about Magellen, where he said he hadn’t realized Magellen died on his journey,

If you ever have a chance to chat with a Pinoy, it’s a great conversation starter along with Sky Flakes and Balut.

The last interview I saw with him he was saying that one of the big problems in the culture is that enough time isn’t spent in schools discussing the Third Reich and the Holocaust, and if this was done it would be easier to fight wokeness.

Wow, seems like a very strange assertion for him to make, as I feel like the education on this in Germany is obviously more intense – I have myself seen seventh graders bused to a work camp. But Germany doesn’t seem to have less problems in this area.

I wish Mr. Hack would do me a solid and review it here for us, but the last Indian film I tried to get him to watch was every action-orientated (RRR) and I couldn’t seem to interest him in it.

You have a very good memory. It’s really hard for me to get interested in Indian films. A caste of thousands dancing and singing in synchronized fashion around a plot of boy/girl unrequited love for two hours or more, is just…a bit too much for me. You need to look for somebody a bit more immersed in the culture to be able to decipher the vagaries and nuances of this sort of thing. I’d much rather listen to you tell us more about your own personal experience of seeing people being shipped to “work camps”. I think that it was you who made a statement like this, although to be honest, I’m having a difficult time in relocating this comment?…

It’s really hard for me to get interested in Indian films.

And I noticed Hack, that its VERY hard for you to get interested in khokhol/”Ukrainian” films……….except the snuff ones of course,and any those of any other perversions.

In 404 Dovzhenko is now very much thought of as a nationalist, I would guess in your Nazi-diaspora-UPA circles in Anerica they blinded themselves with their anti-sovietism to the point they thought he must have been “too Soviet” and never watched him films, and so never revised their backwards thinking ?

You a re normally an excellent source of the cultural/historical stuff that the diaspora likes (much prefer when you do this compared to the delinquent cartoons), so it is noticeable that you don’t appear to go near ukrop cinema.

Jordan Peterson is a one hit wonder. His rise was specifically when he was the first (and only for a few months) person to say out loud this N different gender identities and custom pronoun thing was bullshit.

If you can name one other specific memorable thing ever other than making a fool of himself I would be very surprised.

I was asked to review an Indian film. I do enjoy Indian cuisine, does that make me a traitor to the Ukrainian cause?

I do miss our culinary discussions with Karlin, who also had an appreciation for spice in his faire. It’s too bad that he appears to have gone over to the far side. It’s even worse that he hasn’t pulled you over there with him too! 🙂

You don’t like my choice of political cartoons?
Think of the yarns that Bashibuzuk could weave to accompany this colorful conspiracy theory one? 🙂

I’ve been to the Magellan Cross in Cebu. The locals are quite proud of both the fact that the great explorer stopped there and erected a cross and that a local chieftain killed him in a battle. I also learned there that Magellan had a Malay navigator guide who actually directed the navigation through that region. The Malay converted from Islam to Catholicism, got an European name (that I don’t remember). If you ever go to Cebu, try the roasted pork, it’s really delicious.

What came out over time is that he is actually one of those insane people who is on the borderline of sanity (crazy but looks sane–sometimes

Human zoo is certainly an interesting aspect of the internet.

I have been mildly amused by JBP at various times when he was acting strangely. Most recently there was him calling Fuentes a rat, which I think is interesting on various levels. Firstly, because of the clear political bias – it is okay to call certain people that but not others. Then because he is a clinician and psychological language contains many abstractions or labels, but sometimes they are just thin veneers for these base insults.

There are times when I am inclined to almost agree with the scientologists that most of these psychologist people are popped-up psychopaths who want to drug people because they themselves are crazy druggies.

Interesting analysis of an interview with Richard Grenell, by Gilbert Doctorow, of what a peace deal could look lie.

https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2024/07/22/what-a-ukraine-peace-treaty-brokered-by-trump-might-look-like/

There are times when I am inclined to almost agree with the scientologists that most of these psychologist people are popped-up psychopaths who want to drug people because they themselves are crazy druggies.

Asked a shrink lady once whether they had a functional theory of Consciousness. She replied no. Asked how can they work with the problems of human Consciousness if they don’t have a clear understanding of what exactly that is. Got an interested look in response… 🙂

The internet needs a long form discussion Jordan P and Robert Sapolksy on the subject of their favorite laboratory rat traits.

A caste of thousands dancing and singing in synchronized fashion around a plot of boy/girl unrequited love for two hours or more, is just…a bit too much for me.

There is an exotic quality which verges on the alien.

I don’t get the musical part of Korean wave.

Can enjoy some of the films, and I appreciate that the girl groups are supposed to be eye candy, but the music is totally lost on me, or I just haven’t really listened to it long enough hear anything good.

Equally, I haven’t really listened to older Japanese or HK pop, but I feel like it is better, or at least the older stuff. Maybe, not the stuff from today.

Asked how can they work with the problems of human Consciousness if they don’t have a clear understanding of what exactly that is.

Fortunately, having a full understanding of human consciousness is not necessary to be able to alleviate human psychological suffering and brain malfunctions. Some shrinks, therapists and drugs do quite a good job. Would you prefer them to stop doing the best they can until that (perhaps impossible) full understanding is achieved?

We’re very far away from having a full understanding of how biological mechanisms work too. They’re wildly complicated systems. But that doesn’t prevent me from visiting a doctor when I have some health issue and so far they’ve managed to keep me alive and disease free (which a century and a half ago was a rare event for people over 50, most had actually died by then).

Interesting analysis of an interview with Richard Grenell, by Gilbert Doctorow, of what a peace deal could look lie.

Not bad.

IMHO the current line is more likely than all of 2 oblasts:

• A proper “land bridge” requires parts of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts.
• Dnieper access for fresh water is 100% non-negotiable necessity.
• Giving up ZNPP seems exceedingly foolish.

Sacrificing lightly or uninhabited parts of Donetsk and Lugansk oblasts would be undesirable for Russia. However, these are not strategic necessities like the parts of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts associated with the land bridge.

PEACE 😇

Reversing his previous position, Ukrainian foreign minister Kuleba stated in China that Ukraine is ready for talks with Russia. It looks like Russia is in no hurry to talk, though. Russian troops keep advancing, strengthening its position in putative negotiations with every passing day.

Putin’s spokesperson Peskov said that the RF will achieve its goals, either via negotiations or by the continuation of SMO. He pointed out that, while negotiations would be preferable, there are two obstacles to talks:

1. The law prohibiting negotiations with the RF remains in force in Ukraine.

2. It is unclear who can legally negotiate and sign any possible agreements on the Ukrainian side. Zelensky’s mandate ended May 20. Ukrainian law stipulates that the mandate of the Rada (parliament) can be extended in case of war, but does not have a provision for extending presidential mandate. Thus, from May 21 on Zelensky is not legitimate (notwithstanding what his puppeteers and their other puppets claim), which makes his signature legally null and void.

It is unclear who can legally negotiate and sign any possible agreements on the Ukrainian side. Zelensky’s mandate ended May 20.

Zelensky and Ukraine won’t do exactly whatever Washington tell them?

It looks like Russia is in no hurry to talk, though. Russian troops keep advancing, strengthening its position in putative negotiations with every passing day.

Russia is running out of tanks. They are not using motorcycle squads as an homage to Mad Max.

Putin already offered to walk with the current lines and share Crimea.

Putin’s spokesperson Peskov said that the RF will achieve its goals, either via negotiations or by the continuation of SMO.

Oh well if someone in the Russian government says so then it must be true.

This war started with Lavrov yelling at the UN on how it was a training exercise and no invasion would happen.

Scott Ritter in fact wrote an article for Russian State Media on how he knows Russia and that they won’t attack because it isn’t in their nature.

He should just give handjobs at Russian truck stops for a living. Would be more honest than his propaganda work.

Thus, from May 21 on Zelensky is not legitimate (notwithstanding what his puppeteers and their other puppets claim), which makes his signature legally null and void.

The constitution allows for delaying elections while under martial law.

Most European countries have a similar statute.

may have been some process like, so you enjoy political

You need to reset the app or delete the cache in the YouTube, log out the user.

They still know things like your language and location, but this will give more general recommendations for people in your area.

Then when you watch the first videos again, you need to be careful in the beginning, as this early videos will put you like on railway track for all the recommendations that will follow a kind of path from those.

Try to watch some higher quality videos in the beginning. Hopefully, you will lose the JBP recommendations. But anyway, tell us what happens.

–

Their recommends on the app uses two neural networks. They have a candidate generation network, its output funnels to a ranking network.

Outside of location, individualized input for both the networks are things like your viewing behavior, which videos you watch, how long you watch on the outputs, your searches and then things you add like age and gender.

For the ranking network, which inputs hundreds of videos and outputs only dozens, it is serving the videos by what is their expected probability of watchtime.

from that content and to the more moderate, individuality-promoting Jordan B. Peterson.

After their ReLU layers, their candidate generation network has a layer of the outputs from the most similar users to you, which is another kind of collaborative filtering.

So, for the original candidate pool of videos, you can partly blame what other users, which they believe are similar to you, are watching. Although for the output from the ranking network, it’s your own fault.

–

One of the interesting things about YouTube is how much improvement they get from just including users’ search history.

For example, the improvement from including search history is larger than the improvement from introducing nonlinearity to the model.

And this is “free improvement”, while if you’re adding more ReLU layers are relatively “expensive” improvements in this sense you’re increasing latency, or the “inference time” in the model.

So, we can see for YouTube to get more information from the users gets you the “cheap” improvement, while adding more layers is “expensive” improvement from both sides as it increases latency from inference time.

Google seems very political on the surface. They had a Google doodle one day that celebrated the guy who became the first tranny in Weimar and died of organ rejection.

I watched some interviews with the owners of Google. They are kind of centrist, liberals. Their main interest is automation. They have some kind of religious beliefs about increasing knowledge and enlightenment, which could seem political though.

–

But, as they begin to employ younger workers, like all companies, it’s possible some aspects could move increasingly politically left, as the Generation Z a lot more left than the previous generation of employees. Even when the company owners can be more centrist, the low level employees also add some pressure in the culture.*

Basically, the corporate world isn’t an island separated from wider generational trends. Most of the company owners are relatively conservative compared to the younger generation of the population in the West.

This is one of the things the older investors on the Ben and Marc show are sounding a little scared about. They know a lot of their employees are going to be angry with them, now they are supporting Trump.

–

* In Google, there were firing some of them recently, when some low level workers were protesting about Israel. Google is a popular employer so they can fire you easily. .

Zelensky and Ukraine won’t do exactly whatever Washington tell them?

With continuing misfortunes at the front, destroyed power generation, difficulties in getting enough cannon fodder to replace losses (Ukie field commanders say that out of 100 forcibly conscripted no more than 10 actually fight; Ukie estimates suggest that the population has already paid ~$2 billion in bribes to avoid draft or run away from Ukraine), and possible change of guard in Washington politburo, the clown is at the end of his tether. Cornered rats are not only dangerous, but also unpredictable.

Considering the RF stance, the puppeteers might decide to change puppets in Kiev, like they did in DNC.

Zelensky and Ukraine won’t do exactly whatever Washington tell them?

Of course not, don’t be silly:

• The Veggie-In-Chief cannot formulate logical directives. All his team does is pass thru policy papers that originate from European power centers (e.g. Berlin, Paris, Davos).

• Once Trump cuts off 80-90% of the money, Führer Zelensky will have no reason to listen. Although it would be entertaining if Trump’s 2nd term administration sold arms to Putin.

Remember, for some time it has been the European Empire driving Kiev aggression. Merkel single handedly killed Minsk. Scholz & BoJo made sure the Istanbul deal never came to fruition. Macron has been agitating for European offensive troops.

PEACE 😇

The Yiddish vocabulary sometimes has origin from Polish/Ukrainian/Russian languages. Words like “oy”.

In the other direction a lot of old mafia and criminal origin words in Russia are from Yiddish. So, words like “koresh”, “blatnoy”, “frayer”, “lokh”, “shakher-makher”

–

Nowadays prisoner language is probably changing all the time and maybe they invent new words. I’ve heard some groups of people saying mysterious words, which are feeling like prisoner slang, you should walk to the safety of the other side of the road.

The Yiddish vocabulary sometimes has origin from Polish/Ukrainian/Russian.

To the best of my knowledge, most Yiddish is corrupted German.

People online, at least in our forum, also flip between being friendly and unfriendly, very fast, in a way which would be mentally ill behavior for real life people.

Like Songbird, one of my oldest “online friends”, was last thread writing “agree” on some hostile comments about myself. If Songbird can do this, then I’m now expecting the same from even my older and more loyal “online friends” Mr Hack and Gerard.

This is normal in the forum, and it’s probably result of the political format. We are all flipping to unfriendly, from friendly naturally as part of the discussion

But, if you imagine being a professional influencer like Karlin, it could be quite confusing for him, as the internet is like his office. That’s probably one of the stresses for the influencers.

–

Bashibuzuk wasn’t here, but in 2022 Karlin was suddenly very angry with everyone on the forum. He was writing aggressive comments to almost all of us. It was because he abandoned the forum for many months. He was somehow surprised we had criticized him after he abandoned the forum, even though he was actually the person who had abandoned the forum.

People online, at least in our forum, also flip between being friendly and unfriendly, very fast, in a way which would be mentally ill behavior for real life people.

Frankly, I don’t see in in terms of friendly-unfriendly. I don’t know how typical this is, but I think I am emotionally neutral. I have my opinions about intelligence of particular commenters, the quality of their opinions, etc., but I try to be polite regardless (try does not necessarily mean succeed). Disclaimer: this applies to people, does not apply to trolls.

Around 50% of the blatnaya fenya Vor thieves’ cant is derived from Yiddish and Hebrew. The word Blat itself comes from Yiddish/German (Yiddish being a German dialect after all). Examples of Yiddish/Hebrew terminology in the Vor jargon are way to numerous to innumerate here, but it points out the self-evident fact that many people spoke Yiddish during the formative period of the Russian organized crime, which was late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. The so called Russian mafia was at the time quite kosher.

The most important locations for the genesis of the Blatnoy way of life were Odessa (called Odessa mama in some Blatnoy songs) and Rostov on Don (called Rostov papa in the Blatnoy songs). Funnily enough, one of the most famous Blatnoy songs, “On Deribasovskaya street there was an opening of a beer pub” (На Дерибасовской открылася (sic) пивная) was actually written in Rostov and in the early days referred to Rostov street names. It was later adapted by the Jewish mobsters of Odessa to their own locality and it became a Russian mafia classic chanson.