Artificial Intelligence and Expert Systems

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Chapter 11

Artificial Intelligence
and Expert Systems
Artificial Intelligence (AI)

The ability to mimic or duplicate the functions


of the human brain
AI Systems: The people, procedures,
hardware, software, data, telecommunications,
& knowledge needed to develop computer
systems & machines that demonstrate the
characteristics of intelligence

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Intelligent Behavior

Learn from experience


Apply knowledge acquired from experience
Handle complex situations
Solve problems when important information is
missing
Determine what is important
React quickly & correctly to a new situation
Understand visual images
Process & manipulate symbols
Be creative & imaginative
Use heuristics
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Major Branches of AI (Figure 11.2)

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Expert Systems

Can explain their reasoning or suggested decisions


Can display intelligent behavior
Can draw conclusions from complex relationships
Can provide portable knowledge

Expert System Shell: A collection of software


packages & tools used to develop expert systems

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Limitations of Expert Systems
Not widely used or tested
Limited to relatively narrow problems
Cannot readily deal with “mixed” knowledge
Possibility of error
Cannot refine own knowledge base
Difficult to maintain
May have high development costs
Raise legal & ethical concerns
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Expert Systems’ Capabilities (Figure
11.5)

Explore impact of strategic


goals

Impact of plans on
resources
Integrate general design
principles & manufacturing
limitations
Provide advise on decisions

Monitor quality & assist in


finding solutions
Look for causes & suggest
solutions
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When to Use Expert Systems

Provide a high potential payoff or significantly


reduced downside risk
Capture & preserve irreplaceable human expertise
Provide needed expertise (consistently) at a number
of locations at the same time or in a hostile
environment that is dangerous to human health
Provide expertise that is expensive or rare
Develop a solution faster than human experts can
Provide expertise needed for training & development
to share the wisdom of human experts with a large
number of people
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Expert Systems’ Components (Figure
11.7)

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More Definitions

Fuzzy Logic: Mathematics/computer science area


that allows shades of gray & does not require
everything to be simply yes/no, or true/false
Rule: A conditional statement that links given
conditions to actions or outcomes
Backward Chaining: A method of reasoning that
starts with conclusions & works backward to the
supporting facts (deductive)
Forward Chaining: A method of reasoning that
starts with the facts & works forward to the
conclusions (inductive)
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Yet More Definitions

Explanation Facility: Allows a user or decision


maker to understand how the expert system
arrived at its conclusions/results
Knowledge Acquisition Facility: Provides a
convenient, efficient means of capturing & storing
the components of the knowledge base
Domain: The limited area of knowledge addressed
by the expert system

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Expert Systems Development
(Figure 11.10)

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Participants in Expert Systems
Development & Use (Figure 11.11)

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Evolution of Expert Systems
Software (Figure 11.12)

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Advantages of Expert Systems

Easy to develop and modify


The use of satisficing
The use of heuristics
Development by knowledge engineers & users

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Expert Systems Development
Alternatives (Figure 11.13)

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Applications of Expert Systems & AI
Granting credit
Information management & retrieval
AI & expert systems embedded in products
Plant/facility layout
Hospitals & medical facilities, including diagnostic tools
Help desks & assistance
Employee performance evaluation
Loan analysis
Virus detection
Repair & maintenance
Shipping
Marketing
Warehouse optimization

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Chapter 11 Case

Use of fuzzy logic to predict length of patient


hospital stay, page 514

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