Introduction To Managerial Economics (Module 1) : Muhammed Thahir P T
Introduction To Managerial Economics (Module 1) : Muhammed Thahir P T
Introduction To Managerial Economics (Module 1) : Muhammed Thahir P T
ECONOMICS
(Module 1)
MUHAMMED
THAHIR P T
What About Module 1
• Managerial economics: concept
definitions, scope and • Equi-marginal concept
importance
• Cost-Benefit analysis
• Business decision in
• Time perspective
managerial economics.
• Discounting principle.
• Uncertainty and Business
decisions. • Opportunity cost
• Classical approach:
• Assumes complete information is available.
• Utilizes rational decision-making frameworks like cost-benefit
analysis.
• Rarely applicable in high uncertainty due to lack of perfect
information.
• Modern approaches:
• Scenario planning: develop different future scenarios and
strategies for each.
• Real options approach: treat strategic decisions as a
series of options to adapt over time.
• Adaptive strategies: create flexible strategies that evolve
Definition of Risk:
• Quantifiable threats with probabilities attached.
• Risk can be managed using statistical tools, forecasting
models, and historical data.
• Definition of Uncertainty:
• When outcomes are unknown and not easily quantifiable.
• Uncertainty requires strategic judgment and decision-
making without full information.
• Key Concept: "All risks are uncertainties, but not all
uncertainties are risks."
Framework For Decision-making Under Uncertainty
• Key steps:
• Gather data: utilize both quantitative and qualitative data,
including market research, financial reports, and trend analysis.
• Develop scenarios: prepare for multiple potential outcomes
(best-case, worst-case, and most likely scenarios).
• Evaluate risk appetite: understand the organization’s
tolerance for risk.
• Create flexible strategies: design strategies that allow for
mid-course adjustments as situations evolve.
• Make decisions: use a combination of data, intuition, and
experience to make decisions under uncertainty.
Tools for managing uncertainty
• Key tools:
• SWOT analysis (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities,
threats): helps in identifying key internal and external factors
affecting the business.
• Pestle analysis (political, economic, social, technological,
legal, environmental): examines the macro-environmental factors
that might impact decisions.
• Decision trees: visual tools to evaluate decisions based on possible
outcomes, risks, and rewards.
• Monte carlo simulations: uses random sampling to assess the
impact of uncertainty on complex systems or processes.
• Sensitivity analysis: assesses how sensitive a decision is to
changes in key assumptions.
Strategies For Managing Uncertainty In Your Business
• Best practices:
• Diversify investments: don’t put all resources in one basket—
diversify products, markets, and revenue streams.
• Agility and adaptability: foster an organizational culture that
can pivot quickly when needed.
• Continuous monitoring: keep track of trends, market
conditions, and emerging risks to adapt strategies accordingly.
• Scenario planning: plan for various future states and be ready
with contingencies.
• Invest in innovation: uncertainty can be turned into
opportunity by investing in new technologies, products, or
Incremental Analysis
• Incremental analysis differs from marginal analysis only in that it
analysis the change in the firm's performance for a given
managerial decision, whereas marginal analysis often is generated
by a change in outputs or inputs.
• Incremental analysis is generalization of marginal concept. It refers
to changes in cost and revenue due to a policy change.
For example - adding a new business, buying new inputs,
processing products, etc.
• Change in output due to change in process, product or investment
is considered as incremental change. Incremental principle states
that a decision is profitable if revenue increases more than costs; if
costs reduce more than revenues;
Concept of Marginalism
• Microeconomic theories are based on the principle of
Marginalism.
• Marginal changes are assumed in the relevant phenomena.
• Marginal change refers to the addition of just a single unit more.
Thus, these are concepts like marginal utility, marginal cost,
marginal product, marginal revenue, etc.
• It, refers to a bit by bit change in the total variation. The
theories, imply equilibrium conditions in terms of margin, such
as a consumer equating marginal utility with price for the
maximisation of total satisfaction, a producer equating marginal
cost with marginal revenue for maximisation of profits, etc.
• Marginalism focuses on the additional or incremental changes
resulting from a decision.
• It helps firms make decisions by analyzing the marginal cost
(MC) and marginal benefit (MB) of an action.
1.Profit maximization:
1.Rule: A firm maximizes profit where MC = MB or MC = MR
(marginal revenue).
2.If MC < MB, the firm should increase production.
3.If MC > MB, the firm should decrease production.
2.Pricing decisions:
1.Marginal analysis helps firms set optimal prices by balancing
production costs with the potential revenue from additional
units.
3.Resource allocation:
1.Firms allocate resources efficiently by comparing the
Law of Equi-marginal Utility
• Law of equi-marginal utility explains the relation between the consumption of
two or more products and what combination of consumption these products
will give optimum satisfaction. Marginal utility is the additional satisfaction
gained by consuming one more unit of a commodity.
• Marshal introduced law of Equi Marginal Utility.
• MUX / PX = MUY / PY = MUZ / PZ
Introduction to cost-benefit analysis (CBA)