Presentation For M. Phil. Proposal

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Presentation on the topic

“Financial development and


economic growth: Evidence from
Nepal”

PRESENTER: RITU RAJ BHATT, M.PHIL. SCHOLAR


FACULTY OF MANAGEMENT, FWU
Introduction……….

 The finance-growth relationship has been extensively


studied in the literature, and the majority of the data
points to the pr
 Economic growth is considerably impacted by financial
development.
 Better resource allocation results from increased financial
sector efficiency, which promotes economic expansion.
Contd…..

 Though there has been a significant increase in study on


the relationship between finance and growth for
Nepalese economy.
 thereis a dearth of empirical evidence using the new
financial indices that Svirydzenka (2016) proposed as
proxies of financial development to examine the finance-
growth relationship
 In order to stabilize the economy, this involved increasing
spending on financial sector development which include
financial institutions and financial markets.
Statement of the problem

 Over the past few decades, study of the finance-growth


nexus has been emerged as the main concerns of the
researchers.
.In the body of current literature, there is ample evidence
of a relationship between financial development and
economic growth basically in American, European and
developed Asian countries.
Contd……

 Although these conclusions apply to industrialized


nations, developing nations like Nepal do not have access
to such empirical data. It raises more questions, such as
whether these conclusions would hold true in the context
of the Nepalese economy.
Research Questions

a. How does financial market index effect on economic growth?

b. How does financial institution development index effect on economic growth?

c. How does financial development index effect on economic growth?

d. How do macroeconomic variables (Inflation, FDI, Trade Openness), effect on

financial development index and GDP?


Objectives

a. To examine the impact of financial market index on economic growth.

b. To examine the impact of financial institution index on economic growth.

c. To examine the impact of development index on economic growth.

d. To examine the impact of macroeconomic variables (inflation, FDI, Trade openness)


Conceptual Framework Dependent Variables
(Economic Growth)
Independent Variables Control Variables
(Financial Development) (Macro-Economic
Factors)

Financial Development
Index
Financial Institutions
Index
Financial Institutions
Access Index
GDP
Financial Institutions
Efficiency Index
Financial Institutions
Depth Index
Inflation
Financial Markets Index
Foreign Direct Investment
Financial markets access
Trade Openness
Index
Quality of Fiscal policy
Financial Markets
Efficiency Index
Financial Markets Depth
Index
Research Methodology

 Descriptive and casual comparative research design will be


used in order to address the basic problems related to
economic growth determinants in the Nepalese context. This
study will use a variety of statistical and econometric tools,
including correlation matrices, time trend analyses, multiple
regression analyses, and panel data analyses, to analyze data
from Nepal, totaling 20 observations for each variable from
the fiscal years 2002–2003 to 2021–2022.
 Nature and sources of data: secondary data from website
of world bank and IMF
 Descriptive statistics
 Inthis section a short descriptive statistic of the variable
will be calculated which includes mean, standard
deviation minimum and maximum values.
 Correlation analysis: To determine the direction and the relationship among the
variables, correlation analysis will be conducted.
 . Econometrics Models


To examine the impact of financial development index on economic growth, this study will

use multiple regression model. In addition, the impact of macro-economic factor on

independent variables and dependent variables will be analyzed by using regression analysis.


Following is the regression model for the study:
Econometrics Models

FDi = β1+ β2INFi + β3FODIi + β4OPENi + Ɛi

GDPi = β1+ β2INFi + β3FODIi + β4OPENi +Ɛi

GDPi = β1 + β2FIIi + β3FMIi + Ɛi


Definition of variables

 1. Financial Development
 The Financial Development (FD) is a independent
variable which comprises three financial development
indices derived from the IMF Financial Development
Index data base, which was proposed by Svirydzenka
(2016).
 2. Financial Development Index:
Contd…….

 Financial development index is the aggregate of financial


institutions index and financial market index. It is a
relative ranking of country on depth, access and
efficiency of its financial institutions and financial
markets.
 3. Financial institutions index (FII)
 Financial institution index is the ranking of country on the depth,
access and efficiency of its financial institutions.
 4. Financial institutions depth index (FID)
 Data on bank loans to the private sector as a percentage of GDP,
pension fund assets to GDP, mutual fund assets to GDP, and
insurance premiums—both life and non-life—to GDP are
compiled by the Financial Institutions Depth Index
Contd…..

 5. Financial institutions access index (FIA)


 The Financial Institutions Access Index gathers information on
the number of ATMs and bank branches per 100,000 adults.
 6. Financial institutions efficiency index (FIE)
 Data on the net interest margin, lending deposit spread, non-
interest revenue to total income, overhead costs to total assets,
return on equity, and return on assets are compiled by FIE for the
banking sector.
Contd….

 7. Financial market index (FMI)


 The sum of the financial market efficiency, depth, and access indices is
known as the financial market index.
 8. Financial market depth index (FMD)
 The Financial Market Depth Index gathers information on the
relationship between GDP and stock market capitalization, GDP and
stock trades, GDP and foreign government debt securities, and GDP
and total debt securities of financial and non-financial firms.
Contd…..

 9. Financial market access index (FIA)


 The Financial Market Access Index gathers information
on the percentage of market capitalization that is not
among the top ten largest companies as well as the total
number of domestic and foreign, non-financial and
financial corporations that issue debt per 100,000 adults.
Contd…..

 10. Financial markets efficiency index (FME)


 The financial markets efficiency index gathers
information on the ratio of stock transactions to
capitalization.
 11.
Base article

 Asteriou, D., Spanos, K., &Trachanas, E. (2024).


Financial development, economic growth and the role of
fiscal policy during normal and stress times: Evidence for
26 EUcountries. International Journal of Finance &
Economics, 29(2), 2495–2514. https://doi.org/10.
1002/ijfe.2793
Thank You

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