Researcher: Class: Roll No:: Tsering Dolma B. A. Programme, 2 Year 3412
Researcher: Class: Roll No:: Tsering Dolma B. A. Programme, 2 Year 3412
Researcher: Class: Roll No:: Tsering Dolma B. A. Programme, 2 Year 3412
Review of Literature:
There are various strands of literature
exploring various aspects of the link
between finance and economic
development. The first among them
pertains to the relationship between
financial structure and economic
development. Gurley and Shaw (1955)
view that at low levels of development
commercial banks are the dominant
financial institutions. Goldsmith (1969) he
evaluated the relative merits of bank-
based and market based financial systems
and their impact upon economic
development. Harvey (1989)he analyzed
the forecasting capacity of stock and bond
prices for GNP growth rate. He found that
information about economic growth can
be drawn from both bond market and
stock market variables. A large body of
cross country and country level studies
are made in this line following the seminal
works by King (1990) .And, most of them
concluded that financial market in general
and stock markets in particular positively
contributes to economic growth through
the provision of these services. Levine
(1991) studied the impact of stock
markets on economic activity through the
creation of liquidity. Berthemely and
Varovdakis (1994) made a novel attempt
to find out the reciprocal interaction
between financial and real sectors in the
economy in the context of multiple steady
state equilibrium. Obstfeld (1994)
examined the impact of risk diversification
through internationally integrated stock
markets on economic growth. Bencivenga
et al (1995) he studied the impact of the
efficiency of an economy’s equity market-
as measured by the cost transacting in
them, affects the economy’s efficiency in
producing physical capital and through
these channel final goods. Demirgiic -kunt
and Levine (1996) made a pioneering
study using data from both industrial and
developing countries. Their study supports
the study of Gurley and Shaw .Boyd and
Smith (1996) studied the co-evolution of
the real and financial sectors of the
economy as it develops. They argued that
financial innovation is a dynamic process
that both influences and is influenced by
the real sector. Fase and Abma (2003)
examined the empirical relationship
between financial development and
economic growth in South East Asia using
data for twenty five years. They found
that financial development matters for
economic growth and that causality runs
from financial structure to economic
development. Beck, Demirgiic-kunt and
Levine (2004) show that financial
development exerts a positive impact on
the poor and reduce income inequality.
Objectives of Study:
A. The central objective of the study
to empirically investigate the role
of Indian banks in capital
formation and economic growth.
B. To analyze the impact of Banks
deposit mobilization of capital
formation and economic growth
in India.
C. To determine the association
existing between capital
formation and economic growth
in India.
D. This study portrays how loans and
credit affect the GDP and
consequently the level of
economic growth in India.
E. The main objective of this study is
to assess the mechanism that
relates financial sector
development to economic
growth.
Analysis:
A. Manufacturing credit and
manufacturing GDP have a
long term co-integration
relationship. This relationship
is significant at the
5%level.Broader variables of
industrial credit and industrial
GDP however are not co-
integrated.
B. GDP leads credit for the
Industrial and manufacturing
sectors as per granger
causality test.
C. The overall GDP data at a
macro-level exhibits a
structural break at 1992.The
credit and GDP data has been
split into two series 1,(1951-
1992) and 2.(1993-2014)
D. The main aim of this study
was to investigate the role of
Indian banks in capital
formation and economic
growth.
ADVANTAGES OF BANKS:
1.Safety of public wealth
2.Availability of cheap loans.
3.Propellend of economy.
4.Development in rural areas.
5.Economies of large scale.
6.Global reach.
DISADVANTAGES OF BANKS:
1.Chances of bank going
bankrupt.
2.Risk of fraud and robberies.
3.Risk of public debt.
Conclusion:
The study tells us about the
relationship between credit
and GDP for different sectors
of the indian economy. An
attempt has been made to
estimate whether a long term
co-integration relationship
exists between credit and
GDP. The study also tries to
identify if a casual relationship
exist between credit and GDP
and the direction of the
causality. Johansen test and
Granger causality test was
used to study the relationship
between the variables.
However, a short term causal
relationship with GDP credit
exists for the sectorial as well
as overall data.
References:
Bencivenga et al (1995) –“The
determinants of stock market
in Ghana”