Currency Derivatives
Currency Derivatives
Currency Derivatives
OBJECTIVES
- Arbitrage possibilities.
FORWARD MARKET
Arbitrage — If the forward rate was the same as the spot rate, arbitrage would be
possible.
FORWARD MARKET
FORWARD MARKET
Movements in the Forward Rate over Time — The forward premium is influenced by the
interest rate differential between the two countries and can change over time.
Using Forward Contracts for Swap Transactions — Involves a spot transaction along
with a corresponding forward contract that will ultimately reverse the spot transaction.
Non-deliverable forward contracts (NDF) — Can be used for emerging market currencies
where no currency delivery takes place at settlement; instead, one party makes a payment to
the other party.
FUTURES MARKET
Currency futures contracts are contracts specifying a standard volume of a
particular currency to be exchanged on a specific settlement date. Similar to
forward contracts in terms of obligation to purchase or sell currency on a
specific settlement date in the future.
Contract Specifications: Differ from forward contracts because futures have
standard contract specifications:
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FUTURES MARKET
Trading platforms for currency futures: Electronic trading platforms facilitate the trading
of currency futures. These platforms serve as a broker, as they execute the trades desired.
Currency futures contracts are similar to forward contracts in that they allow a customer to
lock in the exchange rate at which a specific currency is purchased or sold for a specific date
in the future.
FUTURES MARKET
Comparing Futures to Forward Contracts
Currency futures contracts are similar to forward contracts in that they allow a customer to
lock in the exchange rate at which a specific currency is purchased or sold for a specific
date in the future.
Pricing Currency Futures — The price of currency futures will be similar to the forward
rate
On January 10, Tacoma Co. anticipates that it will need Australian dollars
(A$) in Marchwhen it orders supplies from an Australian supplier.
Consequently, Tacoma purchases a futures contract specifying A$100,000
and a March settlement date (which is March 19 for this contract). On
January 10, the futures contract is priced at $.53 per A$. On February 15,
Tacoma realizes that it will not need to order supplies because it has
reduced its production levels. Therefore, it has no need for A$ in March. It
sells a futures contract on A$ with the March settlement date to offset the
contract it purchased in January. At this time, the futures contract is priced
at $.50 per A$. On March 19 (the settlement date), Tacoma has offsetting
positions in futures contracts.
FUTURES MARKET
Speculation with Currency Futures
Currency futures contracts are sometimes purchased by speculators
attempting to capitalize on their expectation of a currency’s future movement.
Currency futures are often sold by speculators who expect that the spot rate
of a currency will be less than the rate at which they would be obligated to
sell it.
EXAM PLE
Teton Co. orders Canadian goods and upon delivery will need to send
C$500,000 to the Canadian exporter. Thus, Teton purchases Canadian dollar
futures contracts today, thereby locking in the price to be paid for Canadian
dollars at a future settlement date. By holding futures contracts, Teton does
not have to worry about changes in the spot rate of the Canadian dollar over
time.
Source of Gains from Buying Currency Futures
FORWARD MARKET
Speculation with Currency Futures (cont.)
Efficiency of the currency futures market
If the currency futures market is efficient, the futures price should reflect all
available information.
Research has found that the currency futures market may be inefficient.
However, the patterns are not necessarily observable until after they occur,
which means that it may be difficult to consistently generate abnormal profits
from speculating in currency futures.
CURRENCY OPTIONS MARKETS
CURRENCY OPTIONS
Options Exchanges
1982 — Exchanges in Amsterdam, Montreal, and Philadelphia first allowed
trading in standardized foreign currency options.
2007 — CME and CBOT merged to form CME group.
Exchanges are regulated by the SEC in the U.S.
Over-the-counter market — Where currency options are offered by
commercial banks and brokerage firms. Unlike the currency options traded on
an exchange, the over-the-counter market offers currency options that are
tailored to the specific needs of the firm.
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CURRENCY CALL OPTIONS (1 OF 5)
CURRENCY OPTIONS
If the spot rate rises above the strike price, the owner of a call can exercise the
right to buy currency at the strike price.
CURRENCY OPTIONS
Factors Affecting Currency Call Option Premiums
Spot price relative to the strike price (S – X): The higher the spot rate relative to the
strike price, the higher the option price will be.
Length of time before expiration (T): The longer the time to expiration, the higher the
option price will be.
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Potential variability of currency (σ): The greater the variability of the currency, the
CURRENCY CALL OPTIONS (3 OF 5)
CURRENCY OPTIONS
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CURRENCY CALL OPTIONS (4 OF 5)
CURRENCY OPTIONS
Speculating with Currency Call Options
Individuals may speculate in the currency options based on their expectations of the
future movements in a particular currency.
Speculators who expect that a foreign currency will appreciate can purchase call options
on that security.
The net profit to a speculator is based on a comparison of the selling price of the currency
versus the exercise price paid for the currency and the premium paid for the call option.
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CURRENCY CALL OPTIONS (5 OF 5)
CURRENCY OPTIONS
Speculation by MNCs.
Some institutions may have a division that uses currency options to speculate on future
exchange rate movements.
Most MNCs use currency derivatives for hedging and not speculation.
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CURRENCY PUT OPTIONS
Grants the right to sell a currency at a specified strike price or exercise price within
a specified period of time.
If the spot rate falls below the strike price, the owner of a put can exercise the right
to sell currency at the strike price.
The buyer of the options pays a premium.
If the spot exchange rate is lower than the strike price, the option is in the money. If
the spot rate is equal to the strike price, the option is at the money. If the spot rate is
greater than the strike price, the option is out of the money.
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CURRENCY PUT OPTIONS (2 OF 8)
Length of time until expiration (T): The longer the time to expiration, the greater the put
option premium.
Variability of the currency (σ): The greater the variability, the greater the probability that
the option may be exercised.
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CURRENCY PUT OPTIONS (3 OF 8)
Some put options are deep out of the money, meaning that the prevailing exchange rate is
high above the exercise price. These options are cheaper (have a lower premium), as they are
unlikely to be exercised because their exercise price is too low.
Other put options have an exercise price that is currently above the prevailing exchange rate
and are therefore more likely to be exercised. Consequently, these options are more expensive.
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CURRENCY PUT OPTIONS (4 OF 8)
Speculators can attempt to profit from selling currency put options. The seller of such
options is obligated to purchase the specified currency at the strike price from the owner
who exercises the put option.
The net profit to a speculator is based on the exercise price at which the currency can be
sold versus the purchase price of the currency and the premium paid for the put option.
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CURRENCY PUT OPTIONS (5 OF 8)
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CURRENCY PUT OPTIONS (6 OF 8)
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EXHIBIT 5.6 CONTINGENCY GRAPHS FOR
CURRENCY CALL OPTIONS
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EXHIBIT 5.6 CONTINGENCY GRAPHS FOR
CURRENCY CALL OPTIONS
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EXHIBIT 5.7 CONTINGENCY GRAPHS FOR
CURRENCY PUT OPTIONS
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EXHIBIT 5.7 CONTINGENCY GRAPHS FOR
CURRENCY PUT OPTIONS
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CURRENCY PUT OPTIONS (7 OF 8)
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COMPARISON OF CONDITIONAL AND BASIC
CURRENCY OPTIONS
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CURRENCY PUT OPTIONS (8 OF 8)
They do not offer as much flexibility; however, this is not relevant to some
situations.
If European-style options are available for the same expiration date as American-
style options and can be purchased for a slightly lower premium, some corporations
may prefer them for hedging.
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