The document provides an overview of the IS-LM model, which is used to analyze macroeconomic equilibrium. It describes the IS and LM curves and how they intersect to determine equilibrium interest rates and income levels. It also discusses how monetary and fiscal policy can shift the curves to impact output and the price level.
The document provides an overview of the IS-LM model, which is used to analyze macroeconomic equilibrium. It describes the IS and LM curves and how they intersect to determine equilibrium interest rates and income levels. It also discusses how monetary and fiscal policy can shift the curves to impact output and the price level.
The document provides an overview of the IS-LM model, which is used to analyze macroeconomic equilibrium. It describes the IS and LM curves and how they intersect to determine equilibrium interest rates and income levels. It also discusses how monetary and fiscal policy can shift the curves to impact output and the price level.
The document provides an overview of the IS-LM model, which is used to analyze macroeconomic equilibrium. It describes the IS and LM curves and how they intersect to determine equilibrium interest rates and income levels. It also discusses how monetary and fiscal policy can shift the curves to impact output and the price level.
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IS-LM Model
Where macroeconomic equilibrium is
IS-LM the Definition • The intersection of the "investment–saving" (IS) and "liquidity preference–money supply" (LM) curves models "general equilibrium" where supposed simultaneous equilibrium occur in both the goods and the asset markets. Yet two equivalent interpretations are possible: • first, the IS–LM model explains changes in national income when price level is fixed short-run; • second, the IS–LM model shows why an aggregate demand curve can shift. IS-LM and AD curve • AD can shift with monetary and fiscal policy instruments to provide stability; • However the shift of AD is related with IS-LM. • It is important to understand the main theory on IS-LM to be more clear on the movements of AD. Characteristics of the IS-LM • The three critical exogenous, i.e. external, variables in the IS-LM model are liquidity, investment, and consumption. According to the theory, liquidity is determined by the size and velocity of the money supply. The levels of investment and consumption are determined by the marginal decisions of individual actors. • The IS-LM graph examines the relationship between output, or gross domestic product (GDP), and interest rates. The entire economy is boiled down to just two markets, output and money; and their respective supply and demand characteristics push the economy towards an equilibrium point. Velocity of the Money Supply • The velocity of money is a measurement of the rate at which money is exchanged in an economy. It is the number of times that money moves from one entity to another. It also refers to how much a unit of currency is used in a given period of time. Simply put, it's the rate at which consumers and businesses in an economy collectively spend money. • High money velocity is usually associated with a healthy, expanding economy. Low money velocity is usually associated with recessions and contractions. Velocity of the MS and Business Cycles • Economies that exhibit a higher velocity of money relative to others tend to be more developed. The velocity of money is also known to fluctuate with business cycles. When an economy is in an expansion, consumers and businesses tend to more readily spend money causing the velocity of money to increase. When an economy is contracting, consumers and businesses are usually more reluctant to spend and the velocity of money is lower. Example to Velocity of the Money Supply
• For example, assume a very small economy that has
a money supply of $100 and only two people. Bob sells pencils and Jane sells paper. Bob starts with the $100 and buys $100 worth of paper from Jane. Jane turns around and buys $100 worth of pencils from Bob. Bob and Jane's economy now has a "gross domestic product" of $200 even though the money supply is only $100. If Bob and Jane do the same two transactions every month, their "GDP" will be $2,400 per year, though the money supply is only $100. The Formula
• Velocity = GDP / Money Supply
• Velocity of the money for the example can be calculated like that.... • V = $2,400 / $100 • V = 24
• GDP = Money Supply x Velocity of Money
Why does velocity of money matter? • As the equation illustrates, GDP cannot be controlled through money supply alone. If money supply is increased, but velocity decreases, GDP may stay the same or even decline. If money supply is decreased but velocity increases, GDP could increase. Velocity is much more difficult to control than money supply, so be wary of macroeconomic analysis that equates an increase in money supply with an increase in GDP and/or inflation (and vice versa) without taking velocity of money into consideration. Velocity of Money examples from... • Eurozone countries has less than 1 velocity of money. • In US it is around 1.4 Back to IS-LM • The LM curve depicts the set of all levels of income (GDP) and interest rates at which money supply equals money (liquidity) demand. The LM curve slopes upward because higher levels of income (GDP) induce increased demand to hold money balances for transactions, which requires a higher interest rate to keep money supply and liquidity demand in equilibrium. f IS Curve • The IS curve is the set of combinations of interest rate r and national income Y that keep the goods market in equilibrium. If the interest rate r increases, business demand for investment will decline, and so (in most models) will consumer demand. That will create excess supply at the original value of national income; to restore equilibrium in the goods market, national income must fall. WHY IS curve is downward sloping • It slopes downward because a high price level, ceteris paribus, means a small real money supply, high interest rates, and a low level of output. • Investment is not constant. It depends primarily on two factors: • Production (+) • Interest rate (-): • the higher the interest rate, the more expensive it is to borrow in order to invest, the lower the level of investment. • Investment function: I = I (Y, i ) • AD = C (Y, T) + I (Y, i) + G LM Curve • The LM curve shows the combinations of interest rates and levels of real income for which the money market is in equilibrium. It shows where money demand equals money supply. For the LM curve, the independent variable is income and the dependent variable is the interest rate. • In the money market equilibrium diagram, the liquidity preference function is the willingness to hold cash. The liquidity preference function is downward sloping (i.e. the willingness to hold cash increases as the interest rate decreases). Two basic elements determine the quantity of cash balances demanded: The LM Curve • The LM curve, "L" denotes Liquidity and "M" denotes money, is a graph of combinations of real income, Y, and the real interest rate, r, such that the money market is in equilibrium (i.e. real money supply = real money demand). The Financial Market LM relation Two basic elements determine the quantity of cash balances demanded:
• 1) Transactions demand for money: this includes both (a) the
willingness to hold cash for everyday transactions and (b) a precautionary measure (money demand in case of emergencies). Transactions demand is positively related to real GDP. As GDP is considered exogenous to the liquidity preference function, changes in GDP shift the curve. • 2) Speculative demand for money: this is the willingness to hold cash instead of securities as an asset for investment purposes. Speculative demand is inversely related to the interest rate. As the interest rate rises, the opportunity cost of holding money rather than investing in securities increases. So, as interest rates rise, speculative demand for money falls. IS-LM and AD • Imagine a fixed IS curve and an LM curve shifting hard left due to increases in the price level. As prices increase, Y falls and i rises. Now plot that outcome on a new graph, where aggregate output Y remains on the horizontal axis but the vertical axis is replaced by the price level P. The resulting curve, called the aggregate demand (AD) curve, will slope downward, as below. The AD curve is a very powerful tool because it indicates the points at which equilibrium is achieved in the markets for goods and money at a given price level. • Because the AD curve is essentially just another way of stating the IS-LM model, anything that would change the IS or LM curves will also shift the AD curve. More specifically, the AD curve shifts in the same direction as the IS curve, so it shifts right (left) with autonomous increases (decreases) in C, I, G, and NX and decreases (increases) in T. The AD curve also shifts in the same direction as the LM curve. So if MS increases (decreases), it shifts right (left), and if Md increases (decreases) it shifts left. The IS-LM model - Fiscal policy • What happens when taxes increase? • Leftward shift of the IS curve. Why? • No shift of the LM curve. Why? • The increase in taxes shifts the IS curve. The LM curve does not shift, the economy moves along the LM curve. • When taxes increase: • Consumption goes down, leading to a decrease in output/income. • The decrease in income reduces the demand for money. Given that the supply of money is fixed, the interest rate must decrease to push up the demand for money and maintain the equilibrium. The impact of tax increase on IS-LM The IS-LM model - Monetary policy • What happens when the money supply increases? • No shift of the IS curve. Why? • Downward shift of the LM curve. Why? • The increase money supply shifts the LM curve. The IS curve does not shift, the economy moves along the IS curve. • When money supply increases: • To maintain the equilibrium, the demand for money should go up. For that to happen, the interest rate must decrease. • The decrease in the interest rate favor investment, demand for goods and equilibrium output. The effects of an increase in money supply The IS-LM model - Policy Mix • The combination of monetary and fisscal policies is called the policy mix. • Bigger impact on output Allows a change in the output level without a too large change in the interest rate. Policy mix for recession Questions • 1) According to the IS-LM model, what happens in the SR to the interest rate, income, consumption, and investment under the following circumstances? Be sure your answer includes an appropriate graph. • a.) The central bank increases the money supply. • b.) The government increases government purchases. • c.) The government increases taxes.