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Investments

and Portfolio
Management

Azerbaijan State
University of Economics
Lecturer: Isgandarbay
Huseynov
Market efficiency
Organization and structure of the market

1. Factors influencing market efficiency

2. Market anomalies

3. Forms of market efficiency


A market is an
economic institution
based on the
relationship of buying
and selling goods and
services.
Market is a set of processes and
procedures that ensure the
exchange of individual goods and
services between buyers
(consumers) and sellers
(suppliers).
Market efficiency
refers to how well a
market works or
functions.
Market efficiency
means that prices of
goods, services, or
assets (like stocks) in
a market are fair and
reflect all the
information available.
If a market is efficient, it
means that no one can easily
predict whether the prices
will go up or down because
all relevant information is
already factored into those
prices. It's like saying that the
market is working well and
fairly for everyone involved.
Market efficiency is
influenced by various
factors, and it can
vary from one market
to another. Some of
the key factors that
influence market
efficiency include:
Information Availability: The
availability and accessibility of
information play a crucial role
in market efficiency. In more
transparent and information-
rich markets, prices are more
likely to reflect all available
data accurately. In contrast,
markets with limited
information may be less
efficient.
Market Liquidity: Liquidity refers to
how easily assets can be bought or
sold without significantly affecting
their prices. Markets with high
liquidity tend to be more efficient
because there are more buyers and
sellers, making it less likely for one
party to influence prices.
Transaction Costs:
Transaction costs, such as
brokerage fees and taxes, can
affect market efficiency.
Higher transaction costs can
discourage trading and may
lead to less efficient markets.
Investor Behavior: The
behavior of investors can
impact market efficiency. If
investors are rational and make
decisions based on available
information, markets are more
likely to be efficient. However,
behavioral biases and
emotional responses can
sometimes lead to price
distortions.
Technology and Information
Dissemination: Advances in
technology and
communication have made it
easier for information to flow
quickly to market participants.
This can improve market
efficiency by reducing
information asymmetry.
Market anomalies are like unexpected or strange things that
sometimes happen in financial markets. These anomalies are
situations where prices of stocks or other assets don't behave
the way they're supposed to based on normal rules or
information.

In simpler terms, market anomalies are when something odd


happens in the stock market.
For example, a stock might
suddenly go up a lot in price for no
clear reason, or a strategy that
usually doesn't work well suddenly
starts making a lot of money. These
anomalies are interesting to
investors and researchers because
they can sometimes be used to
make extra money or because they
show that markets aren't always as
predictable as we think.
There are several other financial
metrics and investment
multipliers used in the investment
sphere to evaluate the
attractiveness of investments and
make informed decisions.
NPV - "Net Present Value“

it's a way to figure out if


something is a good investment.

It's like a financial tool that helps


you decide whether a project or
an investment will make you
more money in the long run or if
it's not such a good idea.
Positive NPV: If the NPV is positive, it means that the investment or project is expected to
generate more money in the future than it costs today. In other words, it is a profitable
opportunity. You should consider proceeding with the investment because it is expected to
increase your wealth or the value of your business.

Negative NPV: If the NPV is negative, it means that the investment or project is not
expected to generate enough money in the future to cover its initial cost. In this case, it is
generally not a good financial decision to proceed with the investment because it could
result in a loss of money.

Zero NPV: If the NPV is zero, it means that the investment is expected to exactly break
even, generating just enough money to cover its initial cost. While this doesn't result in a
profit, it also doesn't result in a loss.
Scenario: Imagine you have an opportunity to invest in a small business
project. You have to decide whether it's a good investment or not.

Information:
1.Initial Investment: You need to invest $10,000 to start the project.
2.Expected Cash Flows: Over the next three years, you expect the project
to generate the following cash flows:
1.Year 1: $4,000
2.Year 2: $5,000
3.Year 3: $6,000
3.Discount Rate: You want to use a discount rate of 10% to account for the
time value of money.
Calculating NPV:
Step 1: Calculate the present value (PV) of each cash flow.
•Year 1 Cash Flow PV = $4,000 / (1 + 0.10)^1 = $3,636.36
(rounded to two decimal places)

•Year 2 Cash Flow PV = $5,000 / (1 + 0.10)^2 = $4,132.23


(rounded to two decimal places)

•Year 3 Cash Flow PV = $6,000 / (1 + 0.10)^3 = $4,620.73


(rounded to two decimal places)
Calculating NPV:
NPV = (Year 1 Cash Flow PV + Year 2 Cash Flow PV + Year 3)- Initial Investment PV

NPV = ($3,636.36+ $4,132.23+ $4,620.73 ) – $10,000 = $1,389.32

•A positive NPV ($1,389.32 in this case) indicates that the investment is expected to
generate more cash over its life than the initial investment of $10,000. Therefore, it is still a
potentially profitable investment.
•In this scenario, you would likely decide to proceed with the project because it is expected
to generate a return greater than your initial investment, even after considering the time
value of money and including the initial investment as a negative cash flow.
Task 1: Calculate the NPV of a Project
Example: You are considering investing $50,000 in a project.

Over the next five years, you expect the project to generate the
following cash flows:

$10,000 in Year 1
$12,000 in Year 2,
$15,000 in Year 3

The discount rate is 8%. Calculate the NPV of the project.


Task 2: Investment Decision Based on NPV
Example: You have two investment opportunities. Project A
has an NPV of $40,000, and Project B has an NPV of
$60,000. If you can only choose one project to invest in,
which one should you choose based on NPV?

Solution:
You should choose Project which has a higher NPV

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