Unec 1699694085
Unec 1699694085
Unec 1699694085
and Portfolio
Management
Azerbaijan State
University of Economics
Lecturer: Isgandarbay
Huseynov
Market efficiency
Organization and structure of the market
2. Market anomalies
Negative NPV: If the NPV is negative, it means that the investment or project is not
expected to generate enough money in the future to cover its initial cost. In this case, it is
generally not a good financial decision to proceed with the investment because it could
result in a loss of money.
Zero NPV: If the NPV is zero, it means that the investment is expected to exactly break
even, generating just enough money to cover its initial cost. While this doesn't result in a
profit, it also doesn't result in a loss.
Scenario: Imagine you have an opportunity to invest in a small business
project. You have to decide whether it's a good investment or not.
Information:
1.Initial Investment: You need to invest $10,000 to start the project.
2.Expected Cash Flows: Over the next three years, you expect the project
to generate the following cash flows:
1.Year 1: $4,000
2.Year 2: $5,000
3.Year 3: $6,000
3.Discount Rate: You want to use a discount rate of 10% to account for the
time value of money.
Calculating NPV:
Step 1: Calculate the present value (PV) of each cash flow.
•Year 1 Cash Flow PV = $4,000 / (1 + 0.10)^1 = $3,636.36
(rounded to two decimal places)
•A positive NPV ($1,389.32 in this case) indicates that the investment is expected to
generate more cash over its life than the initial investment of $10,000. Therefore, it is still a
potentially profitable investment.
•In this scenario, you would likely decide to proceed with the project because it is expected
to generate a return greater than your initial investment, even after considering the time
value of money and including the initial investment as a negative cash flow.
Task 1: Calculate the NPV of a Project
Example: You are considering investing $50,000 in a project.
Over the next five years, you expect the project to generate the
following cash flows:
$10,000 in Year 1
$12,000 in Year 2,
$15,000 in Year 3
Solution:
You should choose Project which has a higher NPV