Session 6. Bond and Stock Valuation H
Session 6. Bond and Stock Valuation H
Session 6. Bond and Stock Valuation H
Chapter 6
INTEREST RATE &
BOND VALUATION
Topics in this Chapter
• 6.1. Bond and Bond Valuation
• 6.2. Types of Bond
Outcome of Chapter
• 6.1. State the reason and importance
of the company's decision to invest in
bonds.
• 6.2. Methods of Bond Valuation
before investment decision making.
Note:
• In the previous chapter, we have learned the Discounted Cashflow
Valuation. In this section, we begin to study ways to apply in Bond
Valuation.
6.1
Bond and Bond Valuation
6.2
Types of Bond
4
BOND MARKET Bond
❖ A bond is normally an interest-only loan, meaning that the borrower will pay the interest
every period, but none of the principal will be repaid until the end of the loan
10
1. BONDS and BOND VALUATION 1.1. Bond feature and price
Bond’s Coupons The stated interest payment that the bond issuer
promise to pay
Coupon rate The annual coupon divided by the face value of a bond,
which disclose in percentage
Maturity date or
time to maturity
The number of years until the face value is paid
Issuer
The one who issue a bond in order to borrow loan
Yield (YTM)
The rate required in the market on a bond.
❖ A bond has a fixed coupon and face value hence according to fluctuation of the
market interest rate, the bond value will change in adverse.
To determine the value of a bond at a particular point in time, we can calculate the
present value of the cash flows as an estimate of the bond's current market value,
so we need to know:
❖ A bond value of the bond today is the present value of the bond’s cashflow,
hence equal to the total:
EXAMPLE
Suppose the Xanth issue a bond with 10 years
to maturity. The bond has an annual coupon of
$80. Similar bonds have a yield to maturity of
8 percent. Based on our preceding discussion,
the bond will pay $80 per year for the next 10
years in coupon interest. In 10 years, will pay
$1,000 to the owner of the bond. What would
this bond sell for?
14
1. BONDS and BOND VALUATION 1.2. Bond values and Yields
SOLVE:
First, at the going rate of 8%, the present value of the $1,000 paid in 10 years is:
Second, the bond offers $80 per year for 10 years; the present value of this annuity stream is:
We can now add the values for the two parts together to get the bond's value:
1. BONDS and BOND VALUATION 1.2. Bond values and Yields
16
1. BONDS and BOND VALUATION 1.2. Bond values and Yields
Bond Concepts
Bond prices and market interest rates move in opposite directions.
When coupon rate > YTM, When coupon rate < YTM,
When coupon rate = YTM, price > par value price < par value
price = par value
(premium bond) (discount bond)
17
1. BONDS and BOND VALUATION 1.2. Bond values and Yields
Discount Bond: the Bond that sold at the price lower than its Face/Par value
Example: The bond interest rates (coupon rate) < market rate
We have just calculated the bond value with an 8% coupon rate, 10 years times to maturity equal to its face value
of $1,000
Let’s assume, it has been 1 year since we have bought the bond, unfortunately the interest rate in the market rise
to 10%/year. How much value this bond worth now?
Premium Bond: the Bond that sold at the price higher than its Face/Par value
Example: The bond interest rates (coupon rate) > market rate
Let’s assume, it has been 1 year since we have bought the bond, but rather than increase by 2%, the interest
rate in the market drop to 6%/year. How much value this bond worth now?
The bond value is now higher then the face value (called
as premium bond), because the bond price is now
reflect the additional gain of coupon rate ($80-8%)
comparing to market interest rate ($60-6%)
The differentiation of 1,136-1000 = $136 can be denoted by the additional of coupon as follows:
1. BONDS and BOND VALUATION 1.2. Bond values and Yields
20
1. BONDS and BOND VALUATION 1.2. Bond values and Yields
The bond should sell for about $ 917.56. We say that this
semiannual bond, with its 14 percent coupon, is priced to
yield 16% percent at $917.56.
1. BONDS and BOND VALUATION 1.2. Bond values and Yields
1/ Khác với DCF chúng ta phải dùng EAR để chiết khấu dòng tiền. Khi định giá BOND,
chúng ta chỉ cần dùng APR-lãi suất danh nghĩa vì BOND không dễ để tái tục phần lãi như
khoản gửi tiết kiệm hay tái đầu tư vào BOND.
2/ Trường hợp muốn so sánh giá trị BOND bằng EAR, cần chuyển Payment và lãi suất chiết
khấu từ APR thành EAR (lãi hiệu dụng theo năm):
• Giá trị chênh lệch giữa coupon rate 14% và market rate 16%:
• The present value of $21.5 per year for 7 years at 16%-APR or 16.64%-EAR is:
3/ Nếu lãi suất thị trường tăng, giá trị của Bond sẽ giảm vì giá trị của Bond là Present value
của dòng tiền trong tương lai chiết khấu về. Và ngược lại:
1. BONDS and BOND VALUATION 1.3. Interest Rate Risk
Interest Rate Risk: the risk that arises for bond owners from fluctuating interest rates
How much interest rate risk a bond has depends on how sensitive its price is to
interest rate changes.
23
1. BONDS and BOND VALUATION 1.3. Interest Rate Risk
YTM is nothing but the internal rate of return (IRR) of a bond. However, the
investment must be held until maturity, and all the proceeds must be reinvested at a
constant rate.
26
1. BONDS and BOND VALUATION 1.4. Yield to maturity
27
1. BONDS and BOND VALUATION 1.4. Yield to maturity
28
1. BONDS and BOND VALUATION 1.4. Yield to maturity
29
1. BONDS and BOND VALUATION 1.4. Yield to maturity
A note:
- To find Bond intrinsic Value we use Coupon Rate
- To find Bond Price in term of holding to maturity and expected return we use YTM
- To find Bond value in term of current return of Bond we use Current Yield
1. BONDS and BOND VALUATION 1.4. Yield to maturity
$100
Current yield = = .0835, or 8.35%
$1,197.93
Price in one year, assuming no change in YTM = 1,193.68
( $1,193.68 – 1,197.93)
Capital gain yield = = –.0035, or –.35%
$1,197.93
YTM = 8.35% − .35% = 8%, which is the same YTM computed earlier
1. BONDS and BOND VALUATION 1.5. Other terms of Bond
33
1. BONDS and BOND VALUATION 1.5. Other terms of Bond
4. Collateral vs
5. Seniority: 6. Repayment:
Mortgage Bond: 7. Call Provision
(thứ tự thanh toán ưu tiên) (tất toán)
(Tài sản đảm bảo)
• Collateral is a general • Seniority indicates • Bond can be repaid at • An agreement giving
term that frequently preference in position maturity or may be the Bond issuer the
means securities (for over other lenders repaid in part or in option to repurchase a
example, bonds and entirety before bond at a specified
stocks) that are maturity. In order to price prior to maturity
pledged as security for repaid earlier, the
payment of debt. For bond issuer might • Call premium: The
example, collateral establish sinking fund amount by which the
trust bonds often which managed by the call price exceeds the
involve a pledge of Bond trustee. The par value of a bond.
common stock held by company will makes
the corporation. annual payments to
the trustee then the • Deffered call provision:
trustee will uses the a certain date that the
• Mortgage securities are bond are not allowed
secured by a mortgage funds to retire a
portion of the debt to be redeemed earlier
on the real property of
the borrower. The
property involved is
usually real estate-for
example, land or
buildings.
34
1. BONDS and BOND VALUATION 1.6. Bond Rating
The definitions of creditworthiness used by Moody’s and S&P (the 2 leading debt ratings) are
based on how likely the firm is to default and the protection creditors have in the event of a default.
35
Chapter 0utline
6.2 6.1
Types of Bond
Bond and bond
valuation
36
2. TYPES OF BOND 2.1. Government Bonds
When the government wishes to borrow money, it sells T-Bill (<1 year) or Treasury
notes (<10 years) and T-bonds to the public (>10 years).
State and local governments also borrow money by selling notes and bonds. Such
issues are called municipal notes and bonds. Unlike Treasury issues, Munis have
varying degrees of default risk, and, in fact, they are rated much like corporate
issues.
37
2. TYPES OF BOND 2.2. Zero Coupon Bonds
• A bond that makes periodic interest payments (coupon rate = 0%) and is thus Initially
priced at a deep discount.
• The entire yield to maturity comes from the difference between the purchase price and the
par value
• Cannot sell for more than par value
• Sometimes called zeroes, deep discount bonds, or original issue discount bonds (OIDs)
• Treasury bills and principal-only Treasury strips are good examples of zeroes
There are specific formulas for finding bond prices and yields on a spreadsheet.
39
2. TYPES OF BOND 2.2. Zero Coupon Bonds
EXAMPLE: You are looking at a bond that has 22 years to maturity. The coupon rate is 8
percent and coupons are paid semiannually. The yield-to-maturity is 9 percent. What is the
current price?
RATE 4.50% (9%/2)
NPER 44 (22*2)
PMT 4 (8%*100/2)
FV 100 (Using 100 par so that PV will give price as % of par)
Price $90.49 Formula: −PV(4.50%,44,4,100)
You are looking at a bond that has 22 years to maturity. The coupon rate is 8 percent and
coupons are paid semiannually. The current price is $960.17. What is the yield to maturity?
NPER 44 (22*2)
PMT 4 (8%*100/2)
PV −96.017 (Entered as a % of par and negative for sign convention)
FV 100
YTM 8.40% (Returns as a whole percent, format to get decimal places)
=2*RATE(44,4,-96.017,100)
Formula:
(Have to multiply by 2 because it returns a semiannual rate)
40
2. TYPES OF BOND 3. Floating – rate Bonds
With floating-rate bonds, the coupon payments are adjustable. The adjustments are tied to
an interest rate index such as the Treasury bill interest rate or the 30-year Treasury bond
rate
41
2. TYPES OF BOND 4. Other types of Bonds
Income bonds are similar to conventional bonds, except that coupon payments
depend on company income. Specifically, coupons are paid to bondholders only if
the firm's income is sufficient.
Convertible bond can be swapped for a fixed number of shares of stock anytime
before maturity at the holder's option.
Put bond allows the holder to force the issuer to buy back the bond at a stated
price. For example, International Paper Co. has bonds outstanding that allow the
holder to force International Paper to buy the bonds back at 100 percent of face
value if certain "risk“ events happen or change in credit rating.
Reverse convertible is a relatively new type of structured note. One type generally
offers a high coupon rate, but the redemption at maturity can be paid in cash at par
value or paid in shares of stock.
42
THANKS!
Any questions?
You can find me at [email protected] +84 83 456 1007
43
CORPORATE FINANCE
Lecturer: Long Tran Dinh
Outcome of Chapter
• 6.1. Define the rate of return when
investing in bond
The bond markets are so big as the number of bond issued far
exceeds the number of stock issued.
• First, a corporation would typically have only one common
stock issue outstanding (there are exceptions to this that we
discuss in our next chapter). However, a single large
corporation could easily have a dozen or more note and bond
issues outstanding.
• Second, federal, state, and local borrowing is simply enormous.
Because the bond market is almost entirely OTC (over the
counter - transaction by agreement outside the centralized listed
market), it has historically had little or no transparency.
Transactions are privately negotiated between parties, and there
is little or no centralized reporting of transactions.
However, transparency in the corporate bond market began to
improve dramatically. Under new regulations, corporate bond
dealers are now required to report trade information through
what is known as the Trade Reporting and Compliance Engine
(TRACE). 46
3. BOND MARKET 3.2. General characteristics of Bond
2/ by Guaranteed 4/ by additional
3/ by ownership
method conditions
Municipal Bonds
• Municipal bonds (Munis) are securities issued by state and local
governments
• to fund imbalances between expenditures and receipts
• to finance long-term capital outlays
• Attractive to household investors because interest is exempt from
federal and most local income taxes
• General obligation (GO) bonds are backed by the full faith and
credit of the issuing municipality
• Many GO bonds are insured by a third party to improve the
credit rating and liquidity
• Revenue bonds are sold to finance specific revenue generating
projects
3. BOND MARKET 3.2. General characteristics of Bond
Corporate Bonds
• Debentures and subordinated debentures
• Convertible bonds versus non-convertible bonds
icvb = incvb − opcvb
icvb = rate of return on a convertible bond
incvb = rate of return on a nonconvertible bond
opcvb = value of the conversion option
• Clean price: The price of a bond net of accrued interest; this is the price that is typically quoted.
• Dirty price: The price of a bond including accrued interest, also known as the full or invoice price.
This is the price the buyer actually pays.
For example: Suppose you pay $108k to buy a bond with a 9 percent annual coupon (APR), payable
semiannually, which is 9 months old (đã qua 1 kỳ coupon là 6 tháng và cộng thêm 3 tháng của kỳ
coupon dang dở kế tiếp).
=> The dirty price = $108k.
=> The clean price = dirty price – accrued interest
= $108k – 3/6 * $4,500 = $108k – $2,250 = 105.75k
9 months
4. INFLATION AND INTEREST RATES 1. Real interest rate vs Nominal interest rate
• Nominal rates are called "nominal" because they have not been
adjusted for inflation.
• Real rates are rates that have been adjusted for inflation.
58
4. INFLATION AND INTEREST RATES 2. The Fisher effect
In order to find the real rate with the known nominal and inflation rate, Fisher came up with the
equation as follows:
So as the previous example, we can easily compute the real rate as:
1 + 𝑁𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 (𝑅) 1 + 20%
r (Real rate) = 1 +𝐸𝑥𝑝𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑖𝑛𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 (ℎ) = 1 + 5% = 14.3%
59
5. INFLATION AND PRESENT VALUES
The basic principle: Either discount nominal cash flows at a nominal rate or discount real cash flows at a real rate. As
long as you are consistent, you will get the same answer.
Suppose you want to withdraw money each year for the next three years (nominal interest rate = 10%), and you want
each withdrawal to have $25,000 worth of purchasing power as measured in current dollars. If the inflation rate is 4
percent per year, then the withdrawals will simply have to increase by 4 percent each year to compensate. The
withdrawals each year will thus be:
2nd: discount by real rate (real rate đã cấn trừ inflation rate rồi nên xài trực tiếp vào công thức annuity)
6. DETERMINANTS OF BOND YIELDS 1. The Term structure of Interest rates
The relationship between nominal interest rates on default-free, pure discount securities and time
to maturity; that is, the pure time value of money.
“pure” means that they involve no risk of default and a single, lump sum future payment. In other
words, the term structure tells us the pure time value of money for different lengths of time
2/ The rate of inflation: the prospect of future inflation strongly influences the shape of the term structure.
The higher prospect of inflation mean that Investors’ future money will less
value. As a result, investors demand compensation for this loss in the form of
higher nominal rates. The compensated amount called inflation premium.
3/ The interest rate risk: longer-term bonds have much greater risk of loss resulting from the more volatility of
interest rates in long-term than shorter-term bonds.
Investors recognize this risk, and they demand extra compensation in the form of
higher rates for bearing it. The compensated amount called interest rate risk premium.
62
6. DETERMINANTS OF BOND YIELDS 1. The Term structure of Interest rates
• The Treasury yield curve and the term structure of interest rates
are almost the same thing. Hence, Treasury yields depend on the
same three components that underlie the term structure-the real
rate, expected future inflation, and the interest rate risk
premium.
Treasury notes and bonds have three important features that impact its’ yield curve:
1 − (1+𝑌𝑇𝑀)−10 1000
936 = 80 X +
𝑌𝑇𝑀 (1+𝑌𝑇𝑀)10
Replace randomly value of YTM
-> YTM = 9%
6. DETERMINANTS OF BOND YIELDS 2. Bond Yields and the Yield Curve
Solve
6. DETERMINANTS OF BOND YIELDS 2. Bond Yields and the Yield Curve
Solve
6. DETERMINANTS OF BOND YIELDS Clean Prices of Bonds
6-68
Example: clean price calculation
6. DETERMINANTS OF BOND YIELDS Accrued Interest on Bonds
(lãi suất cộng dồn bù đắp cho thời gian nắm giữ của chủ sở hữu trước do
chưa đến kỳ hạn nhận lợi tức)
⚫ The full (or dirty) price of a T-note or T-bond is the sum of the
clean price (Vb) and the accrued interest
6-70
6. DETERMINANTS OF BOND YIELDS Accrued Interest on Bonds
72
CORPORATE FINANCE
Lecturer: Long Tran Dinh
Chapter 6
STOCK MARKET
Topics in this Chapter
Outcome of Chapter
•
Note:
•
Capital Resources
76
Common stock
▪
▪
▪
▪
▪
▪
▪ a liquidation.
77
Common stock
▪
▪
▪
78
Common stock
Voting right
79
SHAREHOLDERS CANDIDATES BOD
A
LONG
LONG
HUY
HUY
B
VÂN
VÂN
LAN
ả ử ỏ ế ứ ử ị ổ
ắ ắ ư ậ ẽ ế ế
ố ể ượ
➔ ặ ổ ớ ư ế ầ ộ ế ầ
➔ ẽ ể ế ủ ườ ể ể ả ả ả ườ ề ế ầ ượ
➔ ẽ ắ ử ồ ế
Common stock
Voting right
Straight voting (bỏ phiếu trực tiếp)
• directors.
•
ả ử ớ ụ ướ ế ẽ ầ ầ ượ ừ ị ỗ ị
ẽ ố ế ầ ươ ứ ớ ượ ổ ầ ắ ữ ụ ể ẽ ế
ế ư ậ ẽ ẽ ể ồ
81
Common stock
Dividend
• Dividend paid
of directors
.
82
Preferred stock
Preferred Stock’s Feature
ổ ế ư ồ
Cổ phiếu ưu đãi
ổ ế ư ổ ượ
Cổ phiếu ưu đãi hoán đổi được
ổ ế ư ũ
ổ ế ư
83
Preferred stock
Preferred Stock’s Feature
84
Securities Market
85
Securities Market
SSC VNX
HNX HOSE
86
Securities Market
Functions
of Securities
Market
87
Securities Market
88
Issuers
89
Investors
90
Organizations providing products / services on the stock market
91
Related organizations
92
Securities Market
Classification
Bond market
based on
Stock market
Circulating Goods
Derivatives market
93
Securities Market
94
Securities Market
Primary Market
▪
▪
▪
▪
95
Securities Market
Secondary Market (Thị trường thứ cấp)
▪ ➔
▪ ➔
▪
96
Securities Market
97
Securities Market
Securities Listing
101
Market Orders; Limit Orders and Stop Orders
MARKET ORDERS: LIMIT ORDERS:
You specify ticker and quantity. You specify ticker, quantity, and price.
Immediate execution at best available price. The order will be executed only if trade can be
made at the limit price or better.
• Market buy will be executed at lowest ask.
• Limit buy can only be executed at limit price or
• Market sell will be executed at highest bid.
lower.
• Limit sell can only be executed at limit price or
higher.
102
THANKS!
Any questions?
You can find me at [email protected] +84 83 456 1007
103
CORPORATE FINANCE
Lecturer: Long Tran Dinh
Chapter 6
STOCK VALUATION
Topics in this Chapter
• Describe methods of valuing stocks
before making investment decisions.
• Determine the rate of return when
investing in stocks.
Outcome of Chapter
• How stock prices depend on future
dividends and dividend growth?
• How to value stocks using multiples?
Note:
•
I. COMMON STOCK VALUATION by DCF
Example: Imagine that you are considering buying a share of stock today. You expect
the stock will be worth $70 next year. You predict that the stock will also pay a $10
per share dividend at the end of the year. If you require a 25 percent return on your
investment, what is the most you would pay for the stock?
If you buy the stock today and sell it at the end of the year, you will have a total of $80 in
cash. At 25 percent:
Present value = ($10 + $70) / (1 + 0.25%) = $64
Therefore, $64 is the value you would assign to the stock today. 107
I. COMMON STOCK VALUATION by DCF
I.2/ Case 2: multiple periods with different dividend growth rate before sold
Giả sử thay vì 1 năm period như trường hợp 1, ta mua cổ phiếu với dự kiến sẽ bán cổ phiếu sau 3 năm
trong đó 3 năm đầu kỳ vọng cổ tức biến động.
Example: Imagine that you are considering buying a share of stock today. You expect the stock will be worth $70 in
next 3 years. You predict that the stock will pay dividend for the next 3 years in sequence of $10, $12, $15 per share. If
you require a 25 percent return on your investment, what is the most you would pay for the stock?
Solve: If you buy the stock today and sell it at the end of 3 year. At 25 percent
Therefore, $59.2 is the value you would assign to the stock today.
I. COMMON STOCK VALUATION by DCF
2 (1.08 )3 (1.04 )
$2 1.08 1.08
3 .12 − .04
P= 1− +
3
.12 − .08 1.12 3
1.12
$32.75
P = $54 1 − .8966 +
1.123
P = $5.58 + 23.31 $2.16 $2.33 $2.52 + 32.75
P0 = + + = $28.89
P = $28.89 1.12 1.122 1.123
I.4/ Case 4: eternity periods with equal growth rate dividend - Constant Growth
Giả sử ta mua cổ phiếu với dự kiến sẽ nắm giữ cổ phiếu để nhận cổ tức và không bao giờ bán. We
expect that the dividend will have an equal growth rate of 10% forever.
Chapt 4: Dòng tiền tăng trưởng đều vô hạn
Example: Imagine that you are considering buying a share of stock 5 years from today. The stock
is currently pay a $10 per share dividend and you expect the dividend will have a steady 10%
growth rate later on. If you require a 25 percent return on your investment, what will the most
you would pay for the stock after the next 5 years?
Solve:
Dividend of year 5: Note:
𝐃𝟓 = 𝐃𝟎 x (𝟏 + 𝐠)𝐭 = $𝟏𝟎 x 𝟏. 𝟏𝟓 = $16.1051 Nếu đề cho dividend không phải
The price of the stock in 5 years: năm nay mà năm sau là $10
𝐃𝟔 𝐃 𝐱 (𝟏+𝐠) $16.1051 𝐗 (𝟏+𝟏𝟎%)
thì mũ T phải trừ đi 1
𝐏𝟓 = 𝐑−𝐠 = 𝟓 𝐑−𝐠 = = $118.1
𝟐𝟓%−𝟏𝟎%
Therefore, $118.1 is the value you would assign to the stock 5 years later.
Nếu mua bây giờ - P0 ta tính bằng D1
I. COMMON STOCK VALUATION by DCF
I.4/ Case 4: eternity periods with unequal growth rate dividend - Nonconstant Growth
Giả sử ta mua cổ phiếu với dự kiến sẽ nắm giữ cổ phiếu để nhận cổ tức và không bao giờ bán. We
expect that the dividend will have different growth rate for the few beginning years before it goes
steadily.
Example: Imagine that you are considering buying a share of stock. You expect that the stock will
pay dividend for the next 3 year in sequence of $1, $2, $2.5 before it have a steady 5% growth
rate/year . If you require a 10% return on your investment, what is the most you would pay for
the stock?
As 𝐷1 = 𝐷2 =𝐷3 =….
𝑷𝟎 = 𝑃𝑛 = 0 as we will never sell the stock
Example: Imagine that you are considering buying a share of stock today and keep forever. You
expect that the stock will pay a $10 per share dividend at the end of each year to forever. If you
require a 25 percent return on your investment, what is the most you would pay for the stock?
Solve:
If you buy the stock today keep it to eternity. At 25 percent:
$10
Present value = = $40
25%
Tương tự Tương tự
Chapter 4 trường hợp 3
I. COMMON STOCK VALUATION by DCF
Example: Imagine that you are considering buying a share of stock today and keep forever. You
expect that the stock dividend will increase by 20% annually for the next 5 years and then
increase by 4% forever. If you require a 10% return on your investment, what is the most you
would pay for the stock? The dividend just paid was $2.
Solve:
We can start by calculating the stock price five years from now, 𝑷𝟓 :
We then plug this result into our two-stage growth formula to get the price today:
𝐷1 1+𝑔1 𝑡 𝑃𝑡
𝑃0 = x [1 − ( ) ]+
𝑅 − 𝑔1 1+𝑅 (1+𝑅)𝑡
𝐷 𝑥 (1+𝑔1 ) 1+𝑔1 𝑡 𝑃5 $2 𝑥 (1+20%) 1+20% 5 $85.26
= 0 x [1 − ( ) ]+ = x [1 − ( ) ] +
𝑅 − 𝑔1 1+𝑅 (1+𝑅)5 10% −20% 1+10% (1+10%)5
= $66.64
Therefore, $66.64 is the value you would assign to the stock today.
I. COMMON STOCK VALUATION 2. Required rate
Example: suppose we observe a stock selling for $20 per share. The next dividend will be $1 per share. You think that
the dividend will grow by 10 percent per year more or less indefinitely. What return does this stock offer if this is correct?
Solve:
Since now, we evaluate stock value mostly according to its cashflow from dividend and
capital gains, but how about stock pay no dividends?
A common approach is to make use of the PE ratio, which is the ratio of a stock's price
per share to its earnings per share (EPS) over the previous year. The idea here is to
have some sort of benchmark or reference PE ratio, which we then multiply by
earnings to come up with a price:
Note: When we investing in stock, what we focus on is the future value of the stock rather than
the historical recording from Financial report (PE trailing), hence we might consider PE forward
(A PE ratio that is based on estimated future earnings is called a forward PE ratio)
❖ Ngoài ra, nếu Doanh nghiệp trong giai đoạn chưa tạo ra lợi nhuận có thể dùng benchmark của
thị trường về Price/Sale, Price/Book value, Price/market share, Price/total customer...
I. COMMON STOCK VALUATION 4. Enterprise Value Ratios
The PE ratio focuses on equity, but what if we want the value of the firm?
Use enterprise value:
E V = Market value of equity + Market value of debt − Cash.
Like P E, we compare the value to a measure of earnings. From a firm level, this is
E B I T D A, or earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
E B I T D A represents a measure of total firm cash flow.
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I. COMMON STOCK VALUATION 5. Using Free Cash Flows
In Chapters 5 and 6 you learned that the value of a project (i.e., its NPV)
was the discounted value of the cash flows it generates.
The firm value is the consolidated present value of the cash flow from all
of its projects.
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Summary of Stock Valuation
Case 1: 1 year period Case 5: Infinite periods with steady dividend
Case 2: multiple periods with different dividend growth Case 6: Two-stages Growth
rate before sold & Case 4: eternity periods with unequal
growth rate dividend - Nonconstant Growth
𝑃0
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THANKS!
Any questions?
You can find me at [email protected] +84 83 456 1007
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