Power Point Quantative Method - 3

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Chapter Five: THE TRANSPORTATION

MODEL
 The transportation model deals
? with a special class of linear
programming problem in which the objective is to transport a
homogeneous commodity from various origins or factories to
different destinations or markets at a total minimum cost
(Murthy, 2007)
 In using transportation model the following major assumptions are
made.
1. The Homogeneity of materials to be transported. The materials or
items to be transported by road, sea, air or land must be the same
regardless of their specific source or specified locations.
2. Equality of transportation cost per unit. The transportation cost per
unit is the same irrespective of which of the materials is to be
transported.
3. Uniqueness of route or mode of transportation between each source
and destination.
continued ...
 In using the transportation model it is essential that the following
information are made available
 The list of each source and its respective capacity for supplying
the materials
 The list of each destination and its respective demand for that
period.
 The unit cost of each item from each source to each destination.
Continued ---
Theoretical Consideration
 Suppose we have a transportation problem involving movement of
items from m sources (or origins) to n location (destination) at
minimum cost.
 Let Cij be the unit cost of transporting an item from source i to
location j;
 ai be the quantity of items available at source i and
 bj the quantity of item demanded at location j.
 Also, let xij be the quantity transported from ith source to j
 the location then total supply = ∑aij,
 while total demand = ∑ bij This problem can be put in tabular form as
shown below:
continued
1 2 3 …. n supply

1 C11 C12 C13 ….n a1

2 C21 C22 C23 ….n a2

3 C31 C32 C33 ….n a3

.. .. .. .. ..
.. .. .. .. ..
m Cm1 Cmn am

Demand b1 b2 b3 ..bm
Continued ---
 when ∑mi=1 aij = when ∑ni=1 bij then we have the balanced case
 The linear Programming model can be formulated as follows
∑mi=1 ∑ni=1 Cij subject to the constraints :
∑mi=1 ai = …. i= 1,2,3…m
∑mi=1 bi = …. i= 1,2,3…n
Xij ≥ 0
continued
General Procedure for Setting up a Transportation Model
1) Convert statement of the problem into tabular form showing the total
supply and total demand for each of the sources and destinations.
2) Check that total number of supply equals the total number of demand
to know whether the transportation model is of the balanced or
unbalanced type.
3) Allocate values into the necessary cells using the appropriation
techniques for the method of allocation of quantities that you have
selected.
 We expect the number of allocated cells to be m + n-l where m is
the number of rows and n is the number of columns otherwise
degenerating occurs.
4. Compute the total cost of transportation
Continued
Solution of transportation problem comes up in two phases namely:
 The initial feasible solution
 The optimum solution to the transportation problem
Developing an Initial Solution
 When developing an initial basic feasible solution there are different
methods that can be used. We shall discuss three methods used
namely;
1. The North West Corner Method
2. The Least Cost Method
3. Vogel’s Approximation Method
 It is assumed that the least cost method is an improvement on the
North West Corner method, while the Vogel’s approximation method
is an improvement of the least cost method.
Continued ---
The North West Corner Method
 This is the simplest and most straight forward format of the method of
developing an initial basic feasible solution.
 To explain how to use this method, we present an illustrative data of a
transportation problem in the example below:
Continued ---
Table .1 Supply and demand of cows

source X Y Z supply

A 90 85 70 600

B 175 110 95 1400

C 205 190 130 1000

Demand 1600 1050 350


Continued---
 Suppose the table above gives us the supply of cows from three
sources and the demands by three locations .
 The quantities inside the cell represent the unit costs of transporting
one cow from one source to one location.
 Use the North West Corner method to allocate the cows in such a way
as to minimize the cost of transportation and find the minimum cost.
Solution
 We observe that the total demand = 1600 + 1050 + 350 =3000 and
total supply = 600 + 1400 + 1000 = 3000.
 Since demand supply we have a balanced transportation problem
continued ...
 To use the North West Corner method to allocate all the cows
supplied to the cells where they are demanded, we follow this
procedure:
a. Starting from the North West Corner of the table allocate as many
cows as possible to cell (1, 1).
 In this case it is 600. This exhausts the supply from
 A leaving a demand of 1000 cows for X.
Continued ...

source X Y Z supply

A 90 85 70 600
600
B 175 110 95 1400

C 205 190 130 1000

Demand 1600 1050 350


1000
Continued ---
b. Allocate 1000 cows to cell (2, 1) to meet X demand leaving a supply of
400 cows in B. Cross out the 1000 in column 1 where the demand has been met
source X Y Z supply

A 90 85 70 600
600
B 175 110 95 1400
1000 400
C 205 190 130 1000

Demand 1600 1050 350


1000
Continued ---
c. Allocate 400 cows to cell (2, 2) to exhaust the supply from B leaving a
demand of 650 in Y. Cross out the 1400 in row 2 which has been
. source X Y Z supply

A 90 85 70 600
600
B 175 110 95 1400
1000 400 400
C 205 190 130 1000

Demand 1600 1050 350


1000 650
Continued ---
d. Allocate 650 cows to cell (3,2) to satisfy the demand in Y

source X Y Z supply

A 90 85 70 600
600
B 175 110 95 1400
1000 400 400
C 205 190 130 1000
650 350
Demand 1600 1050 350
1000 650
Continued ….
e. Allocate 350 cows to cell (3, 3) to satisfy the demand in Z and exhaust
the supply in C. Cross out the 350..
source X Y Z supply

A 90 85 70 600
600
B 175 110 95 1400
1000 400 400
C 205 190 130 1000
650 350 350
Demand 1600 1050 350
1000 650
Continued ---
 This completes the allocation.
 We observe that out of the 9 cells only 5 cells have been allocated.
 If m is the number of rows. n is the number of columns the total
number of allocated cells in this case is m + n — 1 i.e 3+ 3 — 1 = 5.
 The transportation cost is found by multiplying unit cost for each
cells by its unit
 allocation and summing it up. i.e. C =∑ (unit cost x cell allocation)
= (600 x 90) + (l000x 175) + (110 x 400) + (190 x 650) + (130 x 350)
= 54000 + 175000 x 44000 + 123500 + 45500
= 442000
Continued ---
 This can be summarized in tabular form as follows

cell quantity Unit cost cost

(1,1) 600 90 54000

(2,1) 1000 175 17,500

(2,2) 400 110 4,400

(3,2) 650 190 123,500

(3,3) 130 350 45,500

442,000
Continued ---
2 .The Least Cost Method
 This method is also known as the minimum cost method.
 Allocation commences with the cell that has the least unit cost and
other subsequent method of allocation is similar to the North West
Corner method .
Example 2 : Solve the above example using the Least Cost method
Solution
 We observe that the total demand = 1600 + 1050 + 350 = 3000 and
total supply = 600 + 1400 + 1000 3000. Since demand = supply we
have a balanced transportation problem.
 We note that the least cost per unit in this problem is 70 in cell (1, 3).
We do the allocation as follows:
Continued ---
Step 1: Allocate 350 to cell (1, 3) to satisfy the demand at Z and leaving
a supply of 250 cows at A Cross out column3 that has been satisfied.
source X Y Z supply

A 90 85 70 600
350 250
B 175 110 95 1400

C 205 190 130 1000

Demand 1600 1050 350


Continued ---
Step 2: Allocate 250 cows to cell (1, 2) that has the next smallest unit
cost of 85 to complete the supply from A leaving us with demands of
800 cows at Y. Cross out exhausted row one.

source X Y Z supply

A 90 85 70 600
250 350 250
B 175 110 95 1400

C 205 190 130 1000

Demand 1600 1050 350


800
Continued ….
Step 3: Allocate 800 cows to cell (2, 2) with the next least cost leaving
110 to satisfy demand at Y, leaving us with supply of 600 at B cross
out satisfied column 2.
source X Y Z supply

A 90 85 70 600
250 350 250
B 175 110 95 1400
800 600
C 205 190 130 1000

Demand 1600 1050 350


800
Continued ---
Step 4: Allocate 600 cows to cell (2, 1) which has the next least cost of
175 thereby exhausting supply from B, leaving 1000 cows demand in
X. Cross cut exhausted row 2.
source X Y Z supply

A 90 85 70 600
250 350 250
B 175 110 95 1400
600 800 600
C 205 190 130 1000

Demand 1600 1050 350


1000 800
Continued ---
• Step 5: Allocate the remaining 1000 cows to cell ( 3, 1) to exhaust the
supply from C. This completes the allocation.
source X Y Z supply

A 90 85 70 600
250 350 250
B 175 110 95 1400
600 800 600
C 205 190 130 1000
1000

Demand 1600 1050 350


1000 800
Continued ---
 The minimum cost of transportation is given by:
 (85 x 250) + (70 x 350) + (175 x 360) + (110 x 800) + (205 x 1,000)
=2 1,250 + 24,500 + 105,000 + 88,000 + 205,000 = 443,750

cell quantity Unit cost cost


(1,2) 250 85 21,250
(1,3) 350 70 24500
(2,1) 360 175 105000
(2,2) 800 110 88000
(3,1) 1000 205 205000
443,750
Continued ---
Example .3 In the table below, items supplied from origins A, B, C and
D and those demanded in locations 1, 2, 3 and 4 are shown. If the
figures in the boxes are the unit cost of moving an item from an
origin to a destination, use the least cost method to allocate the
material in order to minimize cost of transportation.
origin 1 2 3 4 supply

A 29 41 25 46 1250

B 50 27 45 33 2000

C 43 54 49 40 500

D 60 38 48 31 2750

Demand 3250 250 1750 1250


Continued ---
Solution:
 We check the total demand and supply. In this case both totals are equal to
6500. It is balanced transportation problem. We set up the allocation as
follows;
Step 1 :Look for the least cost. It is 25 in cell (1, 3) Allocate 1250 to cell (1, 3)
and thus exhaust the supply by A while leaving a demand of 500 in column
three. Cross out the 1250 in A and the other cells on row 1.
Step 2 :Look for the least cost among the remaining empty cells. This is 27 in
cell (2,2) Allocate all the demand of 250 to that cell. Cross out the 250 in
column 2 and the 2000 supply in row 2 becomes 1750. Cross out the empty
cells in column 2.
Step 3:Once again identify the cell with the least cost out of the remaining
empty cells. This is 31 in cell (4, 4). Allocate all the 1250 in column 4 to this
cell to satisfy the demand by column 4. This leaves a supply of 1500 for row
D. Cross out all the other cells in column 4
Continued ---
Step 4. Identify the cell having the least cost among the remaining cell.
This is 43 in cell (3, 1). Allocate all the 500 supply to this cell and
cross out the 500 in satisfied row 3 as well as any empty cell in that
row. Also cross out the 3250 row and replace with 3250 — 500 =
2750.
Step 5 Identify the cell with the least cost among the empty cell. This is
45 in cell (2,3). Since column 3 needs to exhaust 500 we allocate this
to cell (2, 3). Cross out the 500 and any empty cell in that column.
Row 2 needs to exhaust 1250 quantity.
Step 6 Examine the remaining empty cells for the cell with the least cost.
This is cell (2, 1) with N50. Allocate all the 1250 into this cell. Cross
out 2750 in column 1 and write the balance of 1500.
Step 7 The last cell remaining is (4, 1). Allocate the remaining 1500 to
this cell thus satisfying the remaining demands of row 4 and the
remaining supply of column 1.
Continued ---
3. Vogel’s Approximation Method (VAM)
 This technique of finding an initial solution of the transportation is an
improvement on both the least cost and North West corner methods. It
involves minimization of the penalty or opportunity cost.
 This penalty cost is the cost due to failure to select the best
alternatives.
 This technique can thus be regarded as the penalty or regret method.
 The steps for using the VAM method can be presented as follows.
 Check the row and column totals to ensure they are equal.
 Compute the row and column parallels for the unit costs. This
is done by finding the difference between the smallest cell cost
and the next smallest cell cost for each row and column.
 . Identify the row or column with the highest penalty cost.
Continued ---
 Identify the row or column with the highest penalty cost.
 Allocate to the cell with the least cost in the identified cell in step
3 the highest possible allocation it can take.
 Cross out all the redundant cell.
 Re compute the penalty cost and proceed to allocate as done in the
previous steps until all the cells have been allocated.
 Check for the m + n — 1 requirement.
 Compute the total cost.
 Example 4 Solve example 3 using the Vogel’s
Approximation Method
Continued ---
Solution
(i) The first step is to check the row and column totals and since both
totals equal 6500, it is a balanced transportation problem.
(ii) Next we compute the row and column penalty costs denoted by d1!
and d1 respectively and obtain the following table:
Continued ---

origin 1 2 3 4 suppl d1
y
A 29 41 25 46 1250 4
B 50 27 45 33 2000 6
C 43 54 49 40 500 3
D 60 38 48 31 2750 7
Demand 32 250 1750 1250
50
d1 14 11 20 2
continued ---
(iii) The highest penalty cost is 20; we allocate to the least unit cost in
that column the highest it can take. The least is 25 and is allocated
1250 as shown below.
(iv) The next step is to re-compute the penalty costs, d2! and d2 for the
unbalanced cells in both rows and column. The results obtained are as
follows.
(v) The highest penalty cost is 11. We allocate the maximum allocation for cell
(2,1). which has the least cost of 27 which is 250. Row 2 has a balance of
1750 to be exhausted while column 2 is satisfied.
(vi) Next we compute penalty costs d3! and d3 for the unallocated cells and
obtain the following. The highest penalty cost is 17 and the unit cost is 31.
We give the cell with unit cost of 31 its maximum allocation of 1250 thereby
exhausting the demand in column 3 and leaving a balance of 1500 in row 4.
(vii) We re-compute the penalty cost d4! and d4 and then fill up all the other
cells
Continued ---
 The highest penalty costs is 12, we allocate cell (4, 3) having the least
unit cost of 48 maximally with 500 to exhaust row 3. All the
remaining cells in column 3 are given 0 allocations since column 3
has now been exhausted.
(viii) We then allocate the remaining empty cells as follows: cell (2, 1) is
given the balance of 1750 to exhaust the supply of row 2. Cell (3, 1)
is given supply of 500 to exhaust the supply of row 3 while cell (4, 1)
is allocated to the balance of 1000.
(ix) A total of 7 cells have been allocated satisfying m + n — 1 criterion.
We then compute the minimum cost of allocation in the transportation
model and obtain the following;
Continued ---
The Unbalanced Case
 Suppose the total number of items supplied is not equal to the total
number of items demanded.
 When this happens then we have an unbalanced transportation
problem.
 To solve this type of problem we adjust the transportation table by
creating a dummy cell for source or demand column or row to balance
the number.
 The dummy cells created are allocated zero transportation unit cost
and the problem is solved using appropriate method as before.
 We have two cases, namely
(1)the case when supply is greater than demand (SS>DD)
(2) the case when the demand is greater than the supply (DD >SS).
Continued --
Example 5 : The table below shows us how some items are transported
from five locations A,B,C,D to four location P,Q,R,S with the unit
cost of transportation in them being shown in the box. Determine the
initial feasible solution by finding minimum cost of transportation
using the North West Corner method.
Continued ---
P Q R S supply
A 150 120 135 105 2000

B 90 140 130 104 8000

C 120 100 120 150 7000

D 180 140 200 162 3000

E 110 130 100 160 2500

Demand 1000 4000 8500 4500


Continued ---
 The total from the supply is 2000 + 8000 + 7000 + 3000 + 2500 =
22500.
 The total quantity demanded is 1000 + 4000 + 8500 + 4500 = 18,000.
 Since the supply is more than the demand.
 We then create out a new dummy variable, with column T to take care
of the demand with value of 22500 - 18000 = 4500.
 We now have a table with five rows and time columns.
Continued ---
P Q R S T supply

A 150 120 135 105 0 2000

B 90 140 130 104 0 8000

C 120 100 120 150 0 7000

D 180 140 200 162 0 3000

E 110 130 100 160 0 2500

Deman 1000 4000 8500 4500 4500


d
Continued ---
Example 6 :Find the minimum cost of this transportation problem using
the North West Corner method.
1 2 3 Demand

A 10 8 12 150

B 16 14 17 200

C 19 20 13 300

Demand 300 200 400


Continued ---
Solution :Total for demand = 300 + 200 + 400 = 900 Total for supply is 150 +
200 + 300 = 650
 Here Demand is greater than Supply. According to Lee (1983) one way of
resolving this is to create a dummy variable to make up for the 900 — 600 =
250 difference in the supply and to assign a value of 0 to this imaginary
dummy variable. We then end up with 4 x 3 table as shown below:
Continued ---

1 2 3 Demand

A 10 8 12 150

B 16 14 17 200

C 19 20 13 300

D 0 0 0 250

Demand 300 200 400


Continued ---
Improving the Initial Feasible Solution through Optimization
 After the feasible solutions have been found using the North West
Corner Method, the Least Cost Method and the Vogel’s
Approximation Method (VAM) we move on to the next and final
stage of finding the minimum transportation cost using optimization
technique on the obtain feasible solution.
 Various methods have been proffered for finding this optimum
solution among which are the following:
1) The Stepping Stone Method
2) The Modified Distribution Method (MOD1) which is an improvement
on the stepping stone method and is more widely accepted.
Continued ---
1. Determination of The Optimal Transportation Cost Using the
Stepping Stone Method
 The optimal solution is found due to need to improve the result obtained by the,
the Least Cost Method since North West Corner Method is not efficient method
and the Vogel’s Approximation Method is more efficient
 The stepping stone method is used to improve the empty or unallocated cells by
carefully stepping on the other allocated cells.
 The method was pioneered by Charnes. A and Cooper W. W, and is based on the
idea of the Japanese garden which has at the center stepping stones carefully laid
across the path which enables one to cross the path by stepping carefully on the
stones.
 The criterion of m + n - 1 number of occupied cells must be satisfied to avoid
degeneracy
 To find the optimum solution we assess a stepping stone path by stepping on
allocated cells in order to evaluate an empty cell. The set of allocated cells that
must be stepped on in order to evaluate an unallocated cell is known as the
stepping stone path.
Continued ---
 The following steps are essential in using the stepping stone method:
 Identify the stepping stone path for all the unallocated cells.
 Trace the stepping stone paths to identify if transportation of one unit
will incur a difference in total transportation cost. One may need to skip
an empty cell or even an occupied cell when tracing the path. We usually
represent increase with a positive sign and a decrease with negative sign.
 Using the traced stepping stone paths analyze the unit transportation cost
in each Compute the Cost Improvement Index (CII) for each empty cell.
 Select the cell with the largest negative CII for allocation, bearing in
mind the need to ensure that the demand and supply are both kept
constant and calculate the cost of transportation. Recompute the CII for
the new table. if all the CIls are positive then we have reached the
optimum allocation otherwise the procedure is iterated until we get
positive values for all the CIIs in the transportation table.
Continued ---
The following points should be noted when using the stepping stone
method:
 It will be observed that if iteration is necessary the transportation cost
in cacti of the subsequent table will reduce until we obtain the
optimum solution.
 Only sources transport goods to destinations. Re-allocation is done
using horizontal movements for rows and vertical movement
columns.
 Every empty cell has a unique stepping stone path.
 The stepping stone path consists of allocated cells.
Continued ----
 Example 8 You are given the following transportation table. Find
(a) the initial basic feasible solution using the Least Cost Method
(b) the optimum solution using the Stepping Stone.
A B C Supply

I 6 7 9 70,000

J 5 8 7 10,000

K 7 9 6 150,000

Demand 130,000 90,000 110,000


Continued ---
Solution
 This is a case of unbalanced transportation problem since the total
demand is 330,000 while the total supply is 230,000.
 We therefore create a dummy row of 100,000 to balance up.
 The result obtained by the Least Cost Method is shown in the table
below
Continued ---

A B C Supply

I 6 7 9 70,000
70000
J 5 8 7 10,000
10000
K 7 9 6 150,000
50000 100000
dummy 0 0 0 100000
90000 10000
Demand 130,000 90,000 110,000
--- continued
Cell Quantity Unit Cost Cost

(1,1) 70,000 6 420000

(2,1) 10,000 5 50,000

(3,1) 50,000 7 350,000

(3,3) 100,000 6 600,000


(4,2) 90,000 0 0
(4,3) 10000 0 0

1,420,000
Continued ---
 We now find the optimum solution using the result obtained by the
Least Cost Method.
 We first identify the empty cells in the table of initial feasible
solution. The cells are Cell (1,2), Cell (1, 3), Cell (2,2), Cell (2,3) and
Cell (4,1)
 Next we evaluate empty cells to obtain the stepping stone path as well
as the Cost
 Improvement indices (CII) as follows:
---continued
(b) We now find the optimum solution using the result obtained by the
Least Cost Method.
 We first identify the empty cells in the table of initial feasible
solution.
 The cells are Cell (1,2), Cell (1, 3), Cell (2,2), Cell (2,3),(3,2) and Cell
(4,1)
 Next we evaluate empty cells to obtain the stepping stone path as well
as the Cost Improvement indices (CII) as follows:
 Cell (1,2): The Stepping Stone Path for this cell is
+ (1,2) - (4,2) + (4,3) - (1,1)+(3,l) - (3,3)= +7 – 0 + 0 – 6 + 7 = +8
 Cell (1,3) The Stepping Stone Path for this cell is +(1,3) — (1,1) +
(3,1) — (3.3). = +9 – 6 + 7 – 6 = +4
Continued---
 Cell (2,2) the stepping stone path for the cell is
+(2,2) – (4,2) + (4,3) – (3,3) + (3,1) – (2,1)= +8 – 0 + 0 – 6 + 7 – 5 = +4
 Cell (2, 3) the stepping stone path is
+ (2, 3) – (3, 3) + (3,1) – (2,1)= +7 - 6 + 7 – 5 = +3
 Cell (3, 2) the stepping stone Path is
+(3,2) – (4,2) + (4,3) – (3,3)= +9 – 0 + 0 – 6 = +3
 Cell (4, 1) the stepping stone Path is
+(4,1) – (3,1) + (3,3) – (4,3).= +0-7+6-0=-1
 Because cell (4,1) its value is negative it requires reallocation. Which
is given by:
--- continued
A B C Supply

I 6 7 9 70,000
70000
J 5 8 7 10,000
10000
K 7 9 6 150,000
40000 110000
dummy 0 0 0 100000
10000 90000
Demand 130,000 90,000 110,000
Continued ---
 chuck again the empty cells stepping path is non negative
 The empty cells are Cell (1,2); Cell (1,3); Cell (2,2); Cell (2,3); Cell
(3,2) and Cell (4,3)
 For Cell (1,2) The Stepping Stone Path is
+(1,2) - (4,1) + (4,2) - (1,1). =+7 – 0 + 0 – 6 =+1
 For Cell (1,3)The Stepping Stone Path is
+(1,3)-(1,1)+(3,1) - (3,3) =+9 – 6 + 7 - 6 =+4
 For Cell (2,2) The Stepping Stone Path is
+ (2,2) - (4,2) + (4,1) - ( 2,1) =+8 – 0 + 0 - 5= +3
 For Cell (2,3) The Stepping Stone Path is
 +(2,3) - (3,3) + (3,1) - (2,1) = +7 – 6 +7 – 5 = +3
 For Cell (3,2) The Stepping Stone Path is
+(3,2) — (4,2) + (4,1) — (3,1) = 9-0-0-7=2
--- continued
 For Cell (4,3) The Stepping Stone Path is
 + (4,3)— (3,3) + (3,1) — (4,1) =+0—6+7-0=1
 Since the results are all positive an optimal solution has been found in
the last table
 Therefore the result would be
= 70,000 x 6= 420,000
= 10,000 x 5 = 50,000
= 40,000 x 7 = 280,000
= 110,000 x 6= 660,000
= 10,000 x 0 = 0
=90,000 x 0= 0
1,410,000
 We observe that the minimum cost of 1, 410, 000 which is found through
feasible is also optimal
Continued ---
The Modified Distribution Method
This method is usually applied to the initial feasible solution obtained by the
North
West Corner method and the Least Cost method since the initial feasible
solution
obtained by the Vogel’s Approximation Method, is deemed to be more accurate
than these two. To use this method we take the following steps:
Step 1: Using the obtained feasible solution, compute the row dispatch unit cost
r1
and the column reception unit cost cij at location j for every cell with
allocation
using
--- continued
2. The Modified Distribution Method
 This method is usually applied to the initial feasible solution obtained by the Least Cost method
 since the initial feasible solution obtained by the Vogel’s Approximation Method, is deemed to
be more accurate than these two.
 To use this method we take the following steps:
Step 1: Using the obtained feasible solution, compute the row dispatch unit cost r 1 and the column
reception unit cost Cij at location j for every cell with allocation using
Cij = r i+ Cj
Conventionally, ri= 0

.
continued ---
 Note that ri is the shadow cost of dispatching a unit item from source
to cell kij
 while cj is the shadow cost of receiving a unit of the item from
location j to cell kij
 and cij is the cost of transporting a unit of the item from source i to
location j in the corresponding cell kij.
 If we have a 3 x 3 cell we obtain r1, r2, r3, C 1, C2 and C3 respectively.
Step 2
 Compute the unit shadow costs for each of the empty unallocated
cells using the various obtained ci and ri.
Continued ---

Step 3
 Obtain the differences in unit costs for the unallocated cells using
C1ij =Cij – (ri + Cj)
 Obtain all the values of Cij for unoccupied cells by applying the formula
for unoccupied cell.
 If these differences are all positive for the empty cells the minimum
optimum solution has been obtained.
 If we have one or more records of any negative difference then it implies
that an improved solution can still be obtained and so we proceed to step
Step4
 If Cij values are > 0 then, the basic initial feasible solution is optimal.
 If Cij values are =0 then, the multiple basic initial feasible solution exists.
.
.
Continued ---
 If Cij values are < 0 then, the basic initial feasible solution is not
optimal.
 then select the cell with the highest negative value of Cij.
 If more than one of them have the same negative Cij (i.e. the unit
shadow cost is greater than the actual cost), that is a tie occurs we
select any one of them arbitrarily for transfer of units
Continued ---
Procedure for shifting of allocations
 Select the cell which has the most negative Cij value and introduce a
positive quantity called ‘q’ in that cell.
 To balance that row, allocate a ‘– q’ to that row in occupied cell.
Again, to balance that column put a positive‘q’ in an occupied cell
and similarly a ‘-q’ to that row.
 Connecting all the‘q’s and ‘-q’s, a closed loop is formed.
 Two cases are represented
 If all the q allocations are joined by horizontal and vertical lines, a
closed loop is obtained.
Continued ---
Conditions for forming a loop
(i) The start and end points of a loop must be the same.
(ii) The lines connecting the cells must be horizontal and vertical.
(iii) The turns must be taken at occupied cells only.
(iv) Take a shortest path possible (for easy calculations).
Remarks on forming a loop
(i) Every loop has an even number of cells and at least four cells
(ii) Each row or column should have only one ‘+’ and ‘–’ sign.
(iii) Closed loop may or may not be square in shape. It can also be a
rectangle or a stepped shape.
(iv) It doesn’t matter whether the loop is traced in a clockwise or anti-
clockwise direction.
Continued --
Step 5
 Transfer to the empty cells the minimum value possible from an
allocated cell, taking care that the values of the demand and supply
are unaffected by the transfer and that no other empty cell is given
allocation
Step 6
 Develop a new solution and test if it is the optimum solution
Step 7
 If it is not, repeat the procedures by starting from step 1 until the
optimum solution is obtained.
--- continued
In the transportation table given below:
(a)Find the initial feasible solution using the least cost method
approximation method.
(b)Use the modified Distribution method to find the optimum solution
using the initial feasible solution obtained by the Least Cost Method.
1 2 3 Supply

X 9 11 15 400

Y 15 7 17 500

Z 11 5 7 600

Deman 500 450 550


d
Continued ---
Solution :We use the least cost method to obtain this table

1 2 3 Supply

X 9 11 15 400
400

Y 15 7 17 500
100 400

Z 11 5 7 600
450 150

Deman 500 450 550


d
Continued --
The Least Cost value is (400 x 9) + (100 x 15) + (450 x 5) + (400 x 17)
+ (550 x 7) = 3600+1500+2250+6800+1050= 15200
Minimum cost by least cost = 15200
continued ----
Solution :
 Using the Modified Distribution Method on the Least Cost Risk (c)
We now use the Modified Distribution method on the initial solution
obtained by the Least Cost Method We follow the steps allowed as
shown below
Step 1
 Reproduce the obtained feasible solution by least cost method
continued ---
1 2 3 Supply

X 9 11 15 400
400

Y 15 7 17 500
100 400

Z 11 5 7 600
450 150

Deman 500 450 550


d
Continued---
 Minimum cost by least cost = 15200
 We then compute the unit shown costs for each of the allocated cells
as follows
 By convention r1 =0
 In cell (1,1) r1+c1=9 ….. c1=9
 In cell (2,1) r2+c1=15 :.r2 = 15 – 9 =6
 In cell (2,3) r2+c3= 17 :.c3 = 17 – 6 =11
 In cell (3,3) r3+c3 =7 :.r3 = 7 – 11 =-4
 In cell (3,2) r3 + c2 = 5 :.c2 = 5 - (-4) = 9
We summarise as follows
r1 = 0 c1=9
r2 = 6 c2=9
r 3 = -4 c3=11
Continued ---
 Steps 2 and 3
 We compute the difference in unit cost for the unoccupied cells as
follows
 For cell (1,2) c12 = 11 - (r1 + c2) = 11 - 9 = 2
 For cell (1,3) c13 = 15 - (r1+c3) = 15 - 11= 4
 For cell (2,2) c22 = 7 - (r2+c) = 7 – 15 = -8*
 For cell (3,1) c31 = 11 - (r3+c1) = 11 – 5 = 6
 Step 5
 The negative value in asterisk implies we have to do some transfer to
cell (2,2) while ensuring that the supply and demand quantities are
kept constant and no other empty cell expect (2,2) is given allocation.
 We must also ensure that the m + n — 1 criterion is maintained to
avoid degeneracy.
continued ----
 We obtain the table below.
1 2 3 Supply

X 9 11 15 400
400
Y 15 7 17 500
100 400
Z 11 5 7 600
50 550

Deman 500 450 550


d
Continued---
 Cost =(400x9)+(100x15)+(400x7)+(50x5)+(550x7)
= 3600 + 1500 + 2800 + 250 + 3850 = 12000
 Which is less than 15200.
 However, we need to check if this is an optimum value
continued
Step 6
 This is done by computing the c1ij and c1ij or the new table.
 If none of the cij is negative then it Is the optimum value.
 As before we get
For allocated cells
r1=0, 1+c1=9 :.c1=9
r2+c1=15 :.r2=15 – 9 = 6
r2+c2=7 :,c2=7-6 =1
r3+c2=5 :.r3=5-1=4
r3+c3=7 :.c3=7-4=3
Continued
 We summarize and get the following
r1=0 c1=9
r2=6 c2=1
r3=4 c3=3
For unallocated cells we have the following
 For cell (1,2) we have c12 = 11 - (r1 + c2) = 11 - 1 = l0
 for cell (1,3) we have c13 = 15 - r1÷c3)=15 - 13=2
 For cell (2,3) we have ci 23 = 17 - (r2 + c3) = 17 - (6+3) = 17 - 9 = 8
 For cell (3,1) we have ci 31 = 11 - (r3 + c1)= 11(4 + 9) = 11 - 13 = -2*
 Since (3,1)has negative ci 31 value of -2 we do some transfer to (3,1)
in the usual member together
1 2 3 Supply

X 9 11 15 400
400
Y 15 7 17 500
50 450
Z 11 5 7 600
50 550

Deman 500 450 550


d
Continued ---
Cost= (400x9)+(50x15)+(50x11)+(450x7)+(550x7)
=3600+70+550+3150+3850= 11,900
 We check if this is the optimum solution by computing the differences
in the unit costs an unit shadow costs cij in the usual way.
For allocated cells
r1=0, 1+c1 = 9 .: c1 = 9
r2 + c1 = 15 .: r2 = 15 – 9 = 6
r2 + c2 = 7 .: c2 = 7 – 6 = 1
r3+c1= l1 .: r3 = 11 – 9 = 2
r3+c3 = 7 .: c3 = 7 – r3 = 7 – 2 = 5
Continued ---
We summarize and get
r1= 0 c1=9
r2=6 c2=1
r3=2 c3=5
For unallocated cells
(1,2) we have c12 = 11 - (0+1) = 10
for(1,3)we have c13 =15 - (0+5)=10
for (2,3) we have c23=17 - (6+5)=6
for cell (3,2) we have c32 = 5 - (2 + 1) = 2
 Since all these values are positive then the last table is the optimum
assignment.
 The optimum cost is 11,900
WAITING MODEL (QUEUING THEORY)
 Queuing theory deals with problems that involve waiting (or
queuing). It is quite common that instances of queue occurs everyday
in our daily life.
 Examples of queues or long waiting lines might be
Waiting for service in banks and at reservation counters.
Waiting for a train or a bus.
Waiting for checking out at the Supermarket.
 Waiting at the telephone booth or a barber's saloon.
 Whenever a customer arrives at a service facility, some of them
usually have to wait before they receive the desired service.
 This forms a queue or waiting line and customer feel discomfort
either mentally or physically because of long waiting queue.
Continued---
Note
1. Customers need not be people; other possibilities
include parts, vehicles, machines, jobs.
2. Queue might not be a physical line; other possibilities
include customers on hold, jobs waiting to be printed, planes
circling airport.
Continued ---
 We infer that queues form because the service facilities are inadequate.
 If service facilities are increased, then the question arises how much to
increase? For example, how many buses would be needed to avoid queues?
 How many reservation counters would be needed to reduce the queue?
 Increase in number of buses and reservation counters requires additional
resource.
 At the same time, costs due to customer dissatisfaction must also be
considered.
 In designing a queuing system, the system should balance service to
customers (short queue) and also the economic considerations (not too many
servers).
 Queuing theory explores and measures the performance in a queuing
situation such as average number of customers waiting in the queue, average
waiting time of a customer and average server utilization.
Continued ---
 Queues arise when the short term demand for service exceeds the
capacity
– Most often caused by random variation in service times and the
times between customer arrivals.
– If long term demand for service > capacity the queue will explode!
• Capacity problems are very common in industry and one of the main
drivers of process redesign
– Need to balance the cost of increased capacity against the gains of
increased productivity and service
• Queuing and waiting time analysis is particularly important in service
systems
– Large costs of waiting and of lost sales due to waiting
Queuing Applications
 Commercial Queuing Systems
– Commercial organizations serving external customers
– Ex. Dentist, bank, ATM, gas stations, plumber, garage …
 Transportation service systems
– Vehicles are customers or servers
– Ex. Vehicles waiting at toll stations and traffic lights, trucks or ships waiting to
be loaded, taxi cabs, fire engines, elevators, buses …
 Business-internal service systems
– Customers receiving service are internal to the organization providing the
service
– Ex. Inspection stations, conveyor belts, computer support …
 Social service systems
– Ex. Judicial process, the ER at a hospital, waiting lists for organ transplants or
student dorm rooms …
CHARACTERISTICS OF QUEUING SYSTEM
1. The Arrival Pattern
 The arrival pattern describes how a customer may become a part of
the queuing system.
 The arrival time for any customer is unpredictable.
 Therefore, the arrival time and the number of customers arriving at
any specified time intervals are usually random variables.
 A Poisson distribution of arrivals correspond to arrivals at random.
 In Poisson distribution, successive customers arrive after intervals
which independently are and exponentially distributed.
 The Poisson distribution is important, as it is a suitable mathematical
model of many practical queuing systems as described by the
parameter "the average arrival rate".
Continued ---
2. The Service Mechanism
 The service mechanism is a description of resources required for
service.
 If there are infinite number of servers, then there will be no queue.
 If the number of servers is finite, then the customers are served
according to a specific order.
 The time taken to serve a particular customer is called the service
time.
 The service time is a statistical variable and can be studied either as
the number of services completed in a given period of time or the
completion period of a service.
Continued ---
3. The Queue Discipline
 The most common queue discipline is the "First Come First Served" (FCFS)
or "First-in, First-out" (FIFO).
 Situations like waiting for a haircut, ticket-booking countersfollow FCFS
discipline.
 Other disciplines include "Last In First Out" (LIFO) where last customer is
serviced first,
 "Service In Random Order" (SIRO) in which the customers are serviced
randomly irrespective of their arrivals.
 "Priority service" is when the customers are grouped in priority classes based
on urgency.
 "Preemptive Priority" is the highest priority given to the customer who enters
into the service, immediately, even if a customer with lower priority is in
service.
 "Non-preemptive priority" is where the customer goes ahead in the queue, but
will be served only after the completion of the current service.
Continued ---
4 The Number of Customers allowed in the System
 Some of the queuing processes allow the limitation to the capacity or
size of the waiting room,
 so that the waiting line reaches a certain length, no additional
customers is allowed to enter until space becomes available by a
service completion.
 This type of situation means that there is a finite limit to the
maximum queue size
Continued ---
5. The Number of Service Channels
 The more the number of service channels in the service facility, the greater
the overall service rate of the facility.
 The combination of arrival rate and service rate is critical for determining
the number of service channels.
 When there are a number of service channels available for service, then the
arrangement of service depends upon the design of this system's service
mechanism.
 Parallel channels means, a number of channels providing identical service
facilities so that several customers may be served simultaneously.
 Series channel means a customer go through successive ordered channels
before service is completed.
 A queuing system is called a one-server model, i.e., when the system has
only one server, and a multi-server model i.e., when the system has a
number of parallel channels, each with one server.
Continued ---
6. Attitude of Customers
 Patient Customer: Customer arrives at the service system, stays in
the queue until served, no matter how much he has to wait for service.
 Impatient Customer: Customer arrives at the service system, waits
for a certain time in the queue and leaves the system without getting
service due to some reasons like long queue before him.
 Balking: Customer decides not to join the queue by seeing the
number of customers already in service system.
 Reneging: Customer after joining the queue, waits for some time and
leaves the service system due to delay in service.
 Jockeying: Customer moves from one queue to another thinking that
he will get served faster by doing so.
Mitigating Effects of Long Queues

1. Concealing the queue from arriving customers


– Ex. Restaurants divert people to the bar or use pagers, amusement
parks require people to buy tickets outside the park, banks broadcast
news on TV at various stations along the queue, casinos snake night
club queues through slot machine areas.
2. Use the customer as a resource
– Ex. Patient filling out medical history form while waiting for
physician
3. Making the customer’s wait comfortable and distracting their attention
– Ex. Complementary drinks at restaurants, computer games, internet
stations, food courts, shops, etc. at airports
4. Explain reason for the wait
5. Provide pessimistic estimates of the remaining wait time
– Wait seems shorter if a time estimate is given.
6. Be fair and open about the queuing disciplines used
Queuing System Costs
1. Cost of providing service
2. Cost of not providing service (waiting time)
Revisiting Characteristics of a
Queuing System
The queuing system is determined by:
 Arrival characteristics

 Queue characteristics

 Service facility characteristics

Arrival Characteristics
• Size of the arrival population – either infinite or limited
• Arrival distribution:
– Either fixed or random
– Either measured by time between consecutive arrivals, or arrival
rate
– The Poisson distribution is often used for random arrivals
Poisson Distribution
 Average arrival rate is known
 Average arrival rate is constant for some number of time
periods
 Number of arrivals in each time period is independent
 As the time interval approaches 0, the average number of
arrivals approaches 0
λ = the average arrival rate per time unit
P(x) = the probability of exactly x arrivals occurring
during one time period
P(X = k)= tk
e- t

k!
Continued ---

Where
 = mean arrival rate per time unit.
t = the length of the interval.
e = 2.7182818 (the base of the natural logarithm).
k! = k (k -1) (k -2) (k -3) … (3) (2) (1).
Continued --
Example1 : Customers arrive at X store is according to a Poisson
distribution. Between 8:00 and 9:00 A.M. an average of 6 customers
arrive at the store. What is the probability that k customers will arrive
between 8:00 and 8:30 in the morning (k = 0, 1, 2,…)?
• Input to the Poisson distribution
= 6 customers per hour.
t = 0.5 hour.
t = (6)(0.5) = 3.

P(X = k(3)= t


 e- t(3)

k !(3)

= 0.224042
Continued ---
• Example 2: In a factory, the machines break down and require service
according to a Poisson distribution at the average of four per day.
What is the probability that exactly six machines break down in two
days?
• Solution: Given λ = 4, k = 6, t =2
• P(n, t) = P(6, 4) when λ = 4
• we know, P(K, t) = t k
e- t

k!
p(6,4) = e-
6!
= e
720
= 0.1221
Continued ---
Example 3: On an average, 6 customers arrive in a coffee shop per hour.
Determine the probability that exactly 3 customers will reach in a 30
minute period, assuming that the arrivals follow Poisson distribution.
The Waiting Line Characteristics
• Factors that influence the modeling of queues

– Line configuration – Priority


– Balking – Tandem Queues
– Reneging – Homogeneity
– Jockeying
Line Configuration
 A single service queue.
 Multiple service queue with single waiting line.
 Multiple service queue with multiple waiting lines.
 Multistage service system
Balking, Reneging, Jockeying
 Balking occurs if customers avoid joining the line when
they perceive the line to be too long
 Reneging occurs when customers abandon the waiting line
before getting served
 Jockeying (switching) occurs when customers switch lines
once they perceived that another line is moving faster
Priority Rules

 These rules select the next customer for service.


 There are several commonly used rules:
– First come first served (FCFS - FIFO).
– Last come first served (LCFS - LIFO).
– Estimated service time.
– Random selection of customers for service
Multistage Service
 These are multi-server systems.
 A customer needs to visit several service stations
(usually in a distinct order) to complete the service
process.
 Examples
– Patients in an emergency room.
– Passengers prepare for the next flight
Continued ---
 A homogeneous customer population is one in
which customers require essentially the same type
of service.
 A non-homogeneous customer population is one in
which customers can be categorized according to:
– Different arrival patterns
– Different service treatments.
The Service Process
 In most business situations, service time varies
widely among customers.
 When service time varies, it is treated as a random
variable.
 The exponential probability distribution is used
sometimes to model customer service time.
Exponential Distribution
μ = average service time
t = the length of service time (t > 0)
P(t) = probability that service time will be greater than t
P(t) = e- μt

  = the average number of customers who can be served per time


period.
 Therefore, 1/ = the mean service time
 The probability that the service time X is less than some “t.”
P(X t) = 1 - e-t
The probability that service is completed
within t time units
P(X t) = 1 - e-t
Continued ---
Example1 : A person estimates the average service time to be 1/ = 4
minutes per customer. Service time follows an exponential
distribution. What is the probability that it will take less than 3
minutes to serve the next customer?
• The mean number of customers served per minute is
¼ = ¼(60) = 15 customers per hour.
• P(X < .05 hours) = 1 – e-(15)(.05) = 0.5276
• Where 3 minute = .05 hour
Continued ---
Example 2: A manager of a fast food restaurant observes that, an average of 9
customers are served by a waiter in a one-hour time period. Assuming that the
service time has an exponential distribution, what is the probability that
(a) A customer shall be free within 12 minutes.
(b) A customer shall be serviced in more than 25 minutes.
Solution
a) Given, μ = 9 customers / hour
t = 12 minutes = 0.2 hour
Therefore, p (less than 12 minutes) = l – e -μt
= 1– e-9x.2
= 0.8946
(b) Given, μ= 9 customers / hour
t = 25 minutes = 0.4166 hour
Therefore, P (more than 25 minutes) = l – e -μt
= 1– e-9x0.4166= 0.0235
The Exponential Distribution - Characteristics
• The memoryless property (Markov)
– No additional information about the time left for the
completion of a service, is gained by recording the time elapsed
since the service started.
– For the above examle, the probability of needing more than 3
minutes is (1-0.52763=0.47237) independent of how long the
customer has been served already.
– P(T≥s+t / T≥s) = P(T≥t)
• The Exponential and the Poisson distributions are related to one
another.
– If customer arrivals follow a Poisson distribution with mean
rate , their interarrival times are exponentially distributed
with mean time 1/
Performance Measures
• Performance can be measured by focusing on:
– Customers in queue.
– Customers in the system.
• Performance is measured for a system in steady
state
• The transient period occurs at the initial time of
operation.
• Initial transient behavior is not indicative of long
run performance
Continued ---
• The steady state period follows the transient period.
• Meaningful long run performance measures can be calculated for the
system when in steady state
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Steady State Performance Measures
 The symbols and notations used in queuing system are as follows:
n= Number of customers in the system (both waiting and in service).
 = Average number of customers arriving per unit of time.
μ=Average number of customers being served per unit of time.
 / μ = P, traffic intensity.
C = Number of parallel service channels (i,e., servers).
Ls = Average or expected number of customers in the system (both waiting and
in service).
Lq = Average or expected number of customers in the queue.
Ws = Average waiting time in the system (both waiting and in service).
Wq= Average waiting time of a customer in the queue.
Pn = Time independent probability that there are n customers in the system
(both waiting and in service).
Pn (t) = Probability that there are n customers in the system at any time t(both
Little’s Formulas
 Little’s Formulas represent important relationships
between L, Lq, W, and Wq.
 These formulas apply to systems that meet the
following conditions:
– Single queue systems,
– Customers arrive at a finite arrival rate and
– The system operates under a steady state condition
– L =W Lq =  Wq L = Lq + 

For the case of an infinite population


Continued
• Queuing system can be classified by:
– Arrival process. Example M
– Service process. Example M
– Number of servers. Example 6
– System size (infinite/finite waiting line). Example 10
– Population size. Example 20
• Notation
– M (Markovian) = Poisson arrivals or exponential service time.
– D (Deterministic) = Constant arrival rate or service time.
– G (General) = General probability for arrivals or service time.
Continued
Name
(Kendall Notation) Example
Simple system Customer service desk in a
(M / M / 1) store
Multiple server Airline ticket counter
(M / M / s)
Constant service Automated car wash
(M / D / 1)
General service Auto repair shop
(M / G / 1)
Limited population An operation with only 12
(M / M / s / ∞ / N) machines that might break
MM1 Queuing System - Assumptions
– Poisson arrival process.
– Exponential service time distribution.
– A single server.
– Potentially infinite queue.
– An infinite population.
Continued ---
The evaluation of Model I is listed below:
1. Expected number of customers in the system,
Ls = ( – )
2. Expected number of customers in the queue,
Lq = 2 [( – )]
3. Average waiting time in the system,
Ws = 1 ( – )
4. Average waiting time in the queue,
Wq = [( – )]
5. Average waiting time for a customer,
W( w / w >0) = 1 ( – )
Continued ---
6. Expected length of non-empty queue
L(M/M>0) =( – )
7. Probability that there is nobody in the system,
P0 = 1 – ()
8. Probability that there are n The
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Pn = [1 – ()]()n “t”
“t” isisP(X>t)
P(X>t) ==ee-( - )t
-( - )t

9. Traffic intensity,
= 
10. Probability that there is at least one customer or queue is busy,
Pb = 1- P0
Continued ---
Example 1: Customers arrive at Shoes center every 12 minutes on the
average, according to a Poisson process. Service time is exponentially
distributed with an average of 8 minutes per customer. Management is
interested in determining the performance measures for this service system.
Solution :Input
 = 1/12 customers per minute = 60/12 = 5 per hour.
= 1/ 8 customers per minute = 60/ 8 = 7.5 per hour.
Performance Calculations
– P0 = 1 - () = 1 - (57.5) = 0.3333 Pw = =0.6667
– Pn = [1 - ()]()n = (0.3333)(0.6667)n = =0.6667

– Ls = ( - ) = 2
– Lq = 2[( - )] = 1.3333
– Ws = 1( - ) = 0.4 hours = 24 minutes
– Wq = ( - )] = 0.26667 hours = 16 minutes
Continued ---
Example 2: Consider a situation where the mean arrival rate (l) is one
customer every 4 minutes and the mean service time (m) is 2½ minutes.
Calculate the average number of customers in the system, the average
queue length and the time taken by a customer in the system and the
average time a customer waits before being served
Example 3: Trucks at a single platform weigh-bridge arrive according to
Poisson probability distribution. The time required to weigh the truck
follows an exponential probability distribution. The mean arrival rate is
12 trucks per day, and the mean service rate is 18 trucks per day.
Determine the following:
(a) What is the probability that no trucks are in the system?
(b) What is the average number of trucks waiting for service?
(c) What is the average time a truck waits for weighing service to begin?
(d) What is the probability that an arriving truck will have to wait for
service?
Continued ---
Example 4: A TV repairman finds that the time spent on his jobs has a
exponential distribution with mean 30 minutes. If he repairs TV sets
in the order in which they come in, and if the arrivals follow
approximately Poisson distribution with an average rate of 10 per 8
hour day, what is the repairman's expected idle time each day? How
many jobs are ahead of the average with the set just brought in?
Example 5: Auto car service provides a single channel water wash
service. The incoming arrivals occur at the rate of 4 cars per hour and
the mean service rate is 8 cars per hour. Assume that arrivals follow a
Poisson distribution and the service rate follows an exponential
probability distribution. Determine the following measures of
performance

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