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    02 - Probability of Compound Events

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    Ylliw Mercado Aredin
    The document discusses compound probability events, which involve two or more simple events, and distinguishes between independent events, where the outcome of one event does not affect the other, and dependent events, where the outcome does affect the other. It provides examples of calculating probabilities for compound events such as rolling dice multiple times or drawing cards from a deck. Key terms like outcome, sample space, and complementary events are also defined.

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    02 - Probability of Compound Events

    Uploaded by

    Ylliw Mercado Aredin
    93 views30 pages
    The document discusses compound probability events, which involve two or more simple events, and distinguishes between independent events, where the outcome of one event does not affect the other, and dependent events, where the outcome does affect the other. It provides examples of calculating probabilities for compound events such as rolling dice multiple times or drawing cards from a deck. Key terms like outcome, sample space, and complementary events are also defined.

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    02_Probability of Compound Events

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    The document discusses compound probability events, which involve two or more simple events, and distinguishes between independent events, where the outcome of one event does not affect the other, and dependent events, where the outcome does affect the other. It provides examples of calculating probabilities for compound events such as rolling dice multiple times or drawing cards from a deck. Key terms like outcome, sample space, and complementary events are also defined.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as ppt, pdf, or txt
    93 views30 pages

    02 - Probability of Compound Events

    Uploaded by

    Ylliw Mercado Aredin
    The document discusses compound probability events, which involve two or more simple events, and distinguishes between independent events, where the outcome of one event does not affect the other, and dependent events, where the outcome does affect the other. It provides examples of calculating probabilities for compound events such as rolling dice multiple times or drawing cards from a deck. Key terms like outcome, sample space, and complementary events are also defined.

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    Probability

    of Compound
    Events
    Probability of Compound Events
    Objective:
    (1) Students will be able to find the probability
    of a compound event.
    (2) Students will be able to understand the
    distinction between simple events and
    compound events.
    Essential Question:
    (1) How do I find the probability of a compound
    event?
    (2) How can I distinguish between a simple and
    compound event?
    Probability of Compound Events
    Vocabulary:
     Outcome – one possible result of a probability.
     Sample Space – the list of possible outcomes
    for a probability event.
     Random – outcomes that occur at random if
    each outcome is equally likely to occur.
     Compound Event – a specific outcome or type
    of outcome.
     Complementary Events – the events of one
    outcome happening and that outcomes not
    happening are complimentary; the sum of the
    probabilities of complementary events is 1.
    Probability of Compound Events

    What is a PROBABILITY?
    - Previously we looked at probability
    for simple individual events

    - If a simple event involves one,


    independent event, compound events
    include two or more simple events
    Probability of Compound Events

    What is a PROBABILITY?

    number of favorable outcomes


    P(event) =
    number of possible outcomes

    Examples that use Probability:


    (1) Dice, (2) Spinners, (3) Coins, (4) Deck
    of Cards, (5) Evens/Odds, (6) Alphabet,
    Etc.
    Probability of Compound Events

    What is a PROBABILITY?
    0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

    0 ¼ or .25 ½ 0r .5 ¾ or .75 1

    Impossible Not Very Equally Likely Somewhat Certain


    Likely Likely
    Probability of Compound Events
    Real World Example:
    Best Buy is having an IPOD giveaway. They put
    all the IPOD Shuffles in a bag. Customers may
    choose an IPOD without looking at the color.
    Inside the bag are 4 orange, 5 blue, 6 green,
    and 5 pink IPODS. If Maria chooses one IPOD
    at random and then her sister chooses one
    IPOD at random, what is the probability they
    will both choose an orange IPOD?
    Probability of Compound Events
    Real World Example:
    Best Buy is having an IPOD giveaway. They put
    all the IPOD Shuffles in a bag. Customers may
    choose an IPOD without looking at the color.
    Inside the bag are 4 orange, 5 blue, 6 green,
    and 5 pink IPODS. If Maria chooses one IPOD
    at random and then her sister chooses one
    IPOD at random, what is the probability they
    will both choose an orange IPOD?

    P(orange,orange) = 4/
    20 x 3/19 = 3/95 or 3.2%
    Probability of Compound Events
    What are COMPOUND EVENTS?
    - There are (2) types of compound
    events:
    (1) Independent Events – involves two or more
    events in which the outcome of one event
    DOES NOT affect the outcome of any
    other events
    Examples: roll dice, coin flip, problems with
    replacement
    P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B)
    Probability of Compound Events
    What are COMPOUND EVENTS?
    - There are (2) types of compound
    events:
    (2) Dependent Events - involves two or more
    events in which the outcome of one event
    DOES affect the outcome of any other
    events
    Examples: deck of cards, selecting item from
    container, problems without replacement
    P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B following A)
    Probability of Compound Events
    Example 1: Roll a dice.
    What is the probability of rolling back to
    back sixes?

    P(6,then 6) =
    Probability of Compound Events
    Example 1: Roll a dice.
    What is the probability of rolling back to
    back sixes?
    1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1
    1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2
    1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 3
    1 4 2 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 6 4
    1 5 2 5 3 5 4 5 5 5 6 5
    1 6 2 6 3 6 4 6 5 6 6 6

    1 1 1
    P(6,then 6) = x =
    6 6 36
    Probability of Compound Events
    Example 2: Roll a dice.
    What is the probability of rolling back to
    back evens?

    P(even,then even) =
    Probability of Compound Events
    Example 2: Roll a dice.
    What is the probability of rolling back to
    back evens?
    1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1
    1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2
    1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 3
    1 4 2 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 6 4
    1 5 2 5 3 5 4 5 5 5 6 5
    1 6 2 6 3 6 4 6 5 6 6 6

    3 3 9 1
    P(even,then even) = x = =
    6 6 36 4
    Probability of Compound Events
    Example 3: Flip a coin.
    What is the probability of flipping back
    to back heads?

    P(head,then head) =
    Probability of Compound Events
    Example 3: Flip a coin.
    What is the probability of flipping back
    to back heads?

    Flip 1:

    Flip 2:

    Outcomes: TT TH HT HH

    P(head,then head) = ½ x ½ = ¼
    Probability of Compound Events
    Example 4a: Deck of Cards.
    What is the probability of drawing 2
    hearts (without replacement)?
    Hint: (1) how many cards are in a deck
    (2) how many hearts are in a deck
    (3) if you draw a heart how many card are left
    and how many of those cads are hearts
    Probability of Compound Events
    Example 4: Deck of Cards.
    Probability of Compound Events
    Example 4a: Deck of Cards.
    What is the probability of drawing 2
    hearts (without replacement)?
    Hint: (1) how many cards are in a deck (13)
    (2) how many hearts are in a deck (52)
    (3) if you draw a heart how many card are left
    and how many of those cads are hearts (12 and 51)

    P(heart,then heart) = 13 x 12 = 1
    52 51 17
    Probability of Compound Events
    Example 4b: Deck of Cards.
    What is the probability of drawing 2
    hearts (with replacement)?
    Hint: (1) how many cards are in a deck
    (2) how many hearts are in a deck
    (3) if you draw a heart how many card are left
    and how many of those cads are hearts

    P(heart,then heart) =
    Probability of Compound Events
    Example 4: Deck of Cards.
    Probability of Compound Events
    Example 4b: Deck of Cards.
    What is the probability of drawing 2
    hearts (with replacement)?
    Hint: (1) how many cards are in a deck (13)
    (2) how many hearts are in a deck (52)
    (3) if you draw a heart how many card are left
    and how many of those cads are hearts (13 and 52)

    P(heart,then heart) = 13 x 13 = 1
    52 52 16
    Probability of Compound Events

    Guided Practice: Questions.


    (1) Wyatt has four $1 bills in his wallet and three
    $10 bills in his wallet. What is the probability he
    will reach into his wallet twice and pull out a $10
    bill each time? (Assume he does replace the first
    bill)

    (2) A bag contains 3 green and 2 purple marbles.


    What is the probability of drawing two purple
    marbles in a row from the bag if the first marble
    is not replaced?
    Probability of Compound
    Events
    Guided Practice: Answers.
    (1) $1 $1 $1 $1 $10 $10 $10

    3 3 9
    P($10,then $10) = x =
    7 7 49

    (2)

    P(purple,then purple) = 2/5 x 1/4 = 2/20 = 1/10


    Probability of Compound
    Events
    Independent Practice: Questions.
    (1) Wyatt has four $1 bills in his wallet and three
    $10 bills in his wallet. What is the probability he
    will reach into his wallet twice and pull out a $1
    bill each time? (Assume he does not replace the
    first bill)

    (2) A bag contains 3 green and 2 purple marbles.


    What is the probability of drawing two green
    marbles in a row from the bag if the first marble
    is replaced?
    Probability of Compound
    Events
    Independent Practice: Answers.
    (1) $1 $1 $1 $1 $10 $10 $10

    4 3 12 2
    P($1,then $1) = x = =
    7 6 42 7

    (2)

    P(purple,then purple) = 2/5 x 2/5 = 4/25


    Probability of Compound Events

    Summary: The difference between


    simple and compound events:

    (1) simple event – a specific outcome


    or type of outcome.

    (2) compound event – events which


    consist of two or more simple events.
    Probability of Compound
    Events
    Summary: The difference between
    independent and dependent events:
    (1) independent event – two or more simple
    events in which the outcome of one event
    DOES NOT affect the outcome of other
    event(s)
    (2) dependent event – two or more simple
    events in which the outcome of one event
    DOES affect the outcome of other event(s)
    Probability of Compound Events

    Real World Example:


    Joanna had 3 roses, 4 tulips, and 1 carnation in
    a vase. She randomly selected one flower,
    took a photo of it, and put it back. She then
    repeated the steps. What is the probability
    that she selected a rose both times?

    3 3 9
    P(rose,then rose) = x =
    8 8 64
    Probability of Compound Events

    Homework:

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