Ndia S Rade Olicy: Foreign Trade Balance of Payments Trade Policies Foreign Trade Policy (FTP)

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INDIA’S TRADE POLICY

• Foreign Trade
• Balance of Payments
• Trade policies
• Foreign Trade Policy (FTP)
VOLUME OF FOREIGN TRADE
Year Exports (Including Imports Trade
Re exports) Balance
1950-51 606 608 -2
1960-61 642 1122 -480
1970-71 1535 1634 -99
1980-81 6711 12549 -5838
1990-91 32553 43198 -10645
2000-01 203571 230873 -27302
2006-07 571779 840506 -268727
2008-09 840755 1374436 -533681
2009-10 845543 1363736 -518202
2010-11 1142649 1683467 -540818
2011-12 1024707 1651240 -626533
Year Exports Imports Terms of Trade

Value Volume Unit Value Volume Unit Net Income


Value Value

2001-02 -1.6 0.8 1.0 1.7 5.8 2.8 -2.1 -1.3

2004-05 30.8 11.2 14.9 42.7 16.0 18.9 -3.5 7.3

2005-06 23.4 15.1 6.1 33.8 9.8 14.0 -6.0 8.2

2007-08 29.0 7.9 5.1 35.5 20.7 1.9 2.6 10.7

2009-10 -3.5 -1.1 1.0 -5.0 9.9 -10.0 12.3 11.1

2010-11 40.5 43.2 -5.1 28.2 10.1 11.2 -14.3 22.7


Trade Deficit
Causes of Trade Deficit In India

Large increase Others


Rising in
Large size in
imports of
(fertilisers and
Developmental pearls, precious
Imports Imports
petroleum
stones)

Modest Import
Disintegration Low world restrictions in
growth of of Soviet union Demand Foreign
Exports countries

Cost and High cost Low quality


Growing
Competition
Quality
MEASURES TO CORRECT DEFICIT IN
BALANCE OF TRADE

Import •Licensing of Imports


•Tariff Restrictions
Substitution •Quantitative Restrictions
and
Restriction

•Setting up Export processing Zones


•Devaluation of currency in 1991
Export •Income tax concessions to exporters
Promotion •Setting up EXIM Bank
COMPOSITION OF TRADE

Composition of exports

S . No Commodity Group Year 2010-11 ( in %age)


1 Agriculture and allied products 9.9
2 Ores and minerals ( excluding coal) 4.0
3 Manufactured Goods 68.0
4 Crude and petroleum products( Including 16.8
coal)
5 Other and unclassified items 1.2
Total 100.0
 Source : Economic Survey 2011-12
Composition of Exports
1%

10%
17%
4%
Agriculture and allied products

Ores and minerals(excluding coal)

Manufactured Goods

Crude and petroleum products (including coal)

Other 68%
and unclassified items
COMPOSITION OF IMPORTS

S. Commodity Year
N Group 2010-11 Composition of Imports
o
1 Food and allied 2.9
products 3% Food and allied
products
2 Fuel 31.3
Fuel

3 Fertilisers 1.9 32% Fertilisers

4 Paper Board, 0.6 49%


Paper Board
manufacture
and newsprint Capital Goods

5 Capital Goods 13.1 Others


1% 2%
6 Others 47.7 13%

Total 100.0
BALANCE OF TRADE AND BALANCE OF PAYMENT
Balance of Trade refers to difference in the export and import of
goods.

Balance of Payment refers to systematic record of all economic


transactions between the residents of a country and rest of the world
in a year

S. No. Balance of Trade Balance of Payment


1 It records transactions It records transactions relating to
relating to trade of goods both goods and services.
only
2 Balance of trade account BoP account records transactions
does not record transactions of capital nature also.
of capital nature
3 It is a part of current It is more comprehensive and has
account of the balance of three accounts of which BoT is a
payments. part.
Current Account to GDP in India is reported by the Ministry of Finance,
Government of India. The Current account balance as a percent of GDP provides
an indication on the level of international competitiveness of a country. Usually,
countries recording a strong current account surplus have an economy heavily
dependent on exports revenues, with high savings ratings but weak domestic
demand. On the other hand, countries recording a current account deficit have
strong imports, a low saving rates and high personal consumption rates as a
percentage of disposable incomes. This page includes a chart with historical data
for India Current Account to GDP.
CAPITAL ACCOUNT
1) Foreign Investment
• Foreign Direct Investment
• Portfolio Investment

2) Loans
• External Assistance
• External Commercial Borrowings

3) Banking Capital
• Non Resident Indian Deposits
• Debt Liabilities
TRENDS IN INDIA’S BALANCE OF PAYMENTS

Stage V: 2002-03
till date

Stage IV: 1990-


91 to 2001-02

Stage III: 1980-


81 to 1989-90

Stage II:
1976-77 to
1979-80

Stage I :
1951-52 to
1975-76
STAGE I : 1951-52 TO 1975-76
This period covers the first four five year plans.

1. First Plan : Deficit in BoP on Current Account of Rs. 42 Cr.


2. Second Plan: Deficit in BoP rose to Rs. 1725 Cr.
3. Third Plan: Deficit in BoP increased Rs. 1951 Cr.
4. Three Annual plans wherein deficit rose to Rs. 2015 Cr.
5. Fourth Plan: BoP favourable to the extent of Rs. 100 Cr.

First Plan: Third Plan: Fourth Plan:


Huge deficit Second Plan: Large imports (a) Rise in
because of Heavy imports of military exports and fall
poor equipment on in imports.
of machines,
governance raw materials, account of Indo (b) Considerable
and foodgrains etc China and rise in receipts
backwardness Indo-Pak war. from invisibles
items.
Stage II : 1976-1977 to 1979-80
(A decade of comfort)

It was because of : It reduced:


Golden period Gain on
for India’s (a) Green revolution (a) Oil Imports
balance
foreign trade of (b) High remittances from Indians
working in Gulf countries. (b) Restricted Gold
with current payment Smuggling
account rose to (c) Tourists Attraction
surplus of 0.6 3082 (d) Rise in Domestic production of (c) ensured continuous
% of GDP. crores. oil, electric motors, machine tools and smooth flow of
etc. foreign aid
STAGE III: 1980-81 TO 1989-90
India’s BoP was in Current Account Deficit
disequilibrium and Indian became 1.3 % of GDP in
economy was in a state of
crisis. the sixth plan.

India became the third


Current Account Deficit largest indebted country
became 2.4 % of GDP in
seventh plan. in the world after Mexico
and Brazil.

This is was on account of :


(a) Oil shock of 1979-80 that the price
of oil increased drastically.
(b) Remittances declined.
(c) Inflation grew.
(d) Fiscal Deficit grew.
(e) Political instability increased.
(f) Foreign aid reduced
STAGE IV 1991-92 TO 2001-02

1991 : Eighth plan 2000: ninth plan

 Foreign Exchange Crisis  First four years of the


plan recorded deficit of
 Unfavourable BoP 69,434 crores.
 Devaluation, decontrol,  Last year recorded
liberalisation were surplus of 6719 crore.
introduced.  Reasons for good
performance:
 Main reasons for the
(a)Dynamic export
deficit were: performance
(a)Import of Capital Goods (b)Increase in software
services
(b)Increase in price of
crude oil (c) Reduced non-oil import
demands
Stage V : 2002-03 till date

Year Balance of Balance of Total Balance of


Payments on Payment on Payments ( Current +
Current A/C Capital A/C Capital A/C)

1990-91 -17,366 +12,895 -4,471


2000-01 -11,431 +39,093 +27,662
2004-05 -12,174 +1,28,081 +1,15,907
2005-06 -43,737 +1,09,633 +65,896
2006-07 -44,383 +2,08,017 +1,63,634
2008-09 -1,27,600 +30,500 -97,100
2009-10 -1,79,700 +2,43,900 +64,200
2010-11 -2,10,100 +2,69,600 +59,500
2011-12 -1,48,600 +1,74,200 +25,600
Pre 1991 Trade Policy

In eighties, Export
promotion
schemes were
In 1960’s and implemented-
70’s, imports Export Promotion
were partly Council, The trade
Second Year liberalised with Fair Authority of
Plan- Highly several India, cash
Inward Looking Restrictive conditions. compensatory
Development Policy. schemes etc.
Strategy- Import
Substitution
Strategy
1991 CRISIS

India was paying


National Income
30,000 crores
growing at 0.8 %.
interest charges.

Inflation reached Fiscal deficit more


the height of 16.8 %. than 7.5 %.

BoP crisis to the


extent of 10,000 Deficit Financing
crores. was 3 %
THE 1991 TRADE POLICY

Liberalisation of imports and exports

Liberal Exchange Rate Management

Rationalisation of tariff structure.

Changes in the system of export incentives.


EXIM POLICY 1997-2002
Features
New duty entitlement passbook scheme was started.

Special incentives to software exports were provided.

Custom duties were reduced.

A number of restricted items were made freely importable.

Special incentives to agricultural products were given.

Scope of Export Promotion Capital Goods (EPCG) scheme was widened.

EOUs and EPZs were given more incentives.


EXIM POLICY 2002-07

Special Growth Duty


Economic Oriented Neutralisation
Zones Instruments
Strategic package Advance License:
OBU’s (Offshore for status holders. Duty Exemption
banking units) to Implementing duty Entitlement
be set up. nuetralization Certificate
instruments. abolished.

OBU’s exempt Nuetralizing High


from Cash reserve Fuel Cost.
rate and Statutory Diversification of
Liquidity Ratio markets
EMPLOYMENT ORIENTED MEASURES :
EXIM 2002-07
Agriculture
•Removal of quantitative restrictions on
agricultural products.
•Transport Subsidy

Cottage Sector and handicrafts


• KVIC could take funds under MAI
• Duty free Import up to 3% on f.o.b prices
• Export House Status at lower average export
performance

Small Scale Industry


•Entitlement of Export House status at Rs.5
cr.
•Entitled to EPCG scheme
MERITS OF EXIM POLICY 2002-07

Encouragement to Small, Cottage and Handicraft Industry.

Growth oriented.

Incentive for Agricultural Exports.

Setting up of Agri- Export Zones.

Overseas Banking Units.

Encouragement for Hardware Industry.

Boost to jewellery industry.

Boost to industrial growth.


SHORT TERM OBJECTIVES

Arrest and reverse the declining


trend of exports

Additional support to those


sectors which have been hit
badly by recession

By 2014, the objective is to


double India’s exports of goods
and services
LONG TERM OBJECTIVE

To double
India’s
share in
global trade
by 2020.

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