Pakistan'S Fiscal Defecit: History, Causes and Effects

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PAKISTAN’S FISCAL DEFECIT

HISTORY, CAUSES

AND EFFECTS
Introduction
 A sound fiscal position is an essential pre-requisite for
achieving macroeconomic stability, which is increasingly
recognized as a critical ingredient for promoting strong and
sustained economic growth and lasting poverty reduction.
 A prudent fiscal management can mobilize domestic savings
increase the efficiency of resource allocation and help meet
development goals.
 A lax fiscal policy on the other hand, can lead to higher
inflation, higher interest rates and crowding out of private
investment, all of which Hamper growth and poverty
reduction.
Introduction
 The problem of Fiscal Deficit is one of the major causes for the stunting of
economic growth in many developing countries around the world. These
countries’ inability to deal with crippling deficit leads to debt financing,
which leads to an inability to mobilize domestic resources, a relatively
narrow tax base, and an inflexible tax structure.

 Like most developing countries, a large and growing fiscal deficit in


Pakistan is one of its major outstanding economic problems. It is held
responsible for high inflation, low growth, a current account deficit and
crowding out of private investment and consumption.
HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE
Following table and bar diagram provide an intuitive insight into the issue of budget
deficit.

Fiscal Deficit as a percentage of GDP from the year 1990 to 2017 is used to construct
the table and the diagram.

One intuitive insight by just taking a look at the chart is the ups and downs in the
deficit relative to GDP that suggest among other factors gross inconsistencies in
fiscal policies over the course of different fiscal years.

However the deficit is hinting on a downward trend during the last four years
implying that the government is giving in to the IMF regime requirements, though,
more on the cost of cutting down on development instead of austerity measures.
Fiscal Indicators as Percent of GDP
Year Deficit Exp Rev
1990 8.8 25.7 16.9
1991 7.5 26.7 19.2
1992 8.1 26.2 18.1
1993 5.9 23.4 17.5
1994 5.6 22.9 17.3
1995 6.5 24.4 17.9
1996 6.4 22.3 15.8
1997 7.7 23.7 16.0
1998 6.1 22.0 14.9
1999 5.4 18.7 13.5
2000 4.3 17.2 13.3
2001 4.3 18.3 14.0
2002 3.7 18.5 14.8
2003 2.4 16.7 14.3
2004 3.3 17.2 13.8
2005 4.2 18.5 14.2
2006 4.0 17.1 13.1
2007 4.1 19.5 14.0
2008 7.3 21.4 14.1
2009 5.2 19.2 14.0
2010 6.2 20.2 14.0
2011 6.5 18.9 12.3
2012 8.8 21.6 12.8
2013 8.2 21.5 13.3
2014 5.5 20.0 14.5
2015 5.3 19.6 14.3
2016 4.6 19.9 15.3
2017 3.8 19.8 16.0
Deficit As Percentage of GDP
10

9 8.8 8.8

8.1 8.2
8 7.7
7.5
7.3
7 6.5 6.4 6.5
6.1 6.2
5.9
6 5.6 5.5
5.4 5.3
Percentage

5.2
5 4.6
4.3 4.3 4.2
4 4.1 4.1
4 3.7
3.3
3
2.4

Year

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