Ross 7 e CH 04
Ross 7 e CH 04
Ross 7 e CH 04
CHAPTER
4
Net Present
Value
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Chapter Outline
4.1 The One-Period Case
4.2 The Multiperiod Case
4.3 Compounding Periods
4.4 Simplifications
4.5 What Is a Firm Worth?
4.6 Summary and Conclusions
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$10,500 = $10,000(1.05).
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C1
PV
1 r
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4.1 The One-Period Case:
Net Present Value
The Net Present Value (NPV) of an investment is the
present value of the expected cash flows, less the cost of
the investment.
Suppose an investment that promises to pay $10,000 in
one year is offered for sale for $9,500. Your interest rate
is 5%. Should you buy?
$10,000
NPV $9,500
1.05
NPV $9,500 $9,523.81
NPV $23.81 Yes!
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FV = C0(1 + r)T
$5.92 = $1.10(1.40) 5
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0 1 2 3 4 5
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PV $20,000
0 1 2 3 4 5
$20,000
$9,943.53
(1.15) 5
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$10,000
(1.10) T
2
$5,000
ln(1.10)T ln 2
ln 2 0.6931
T 7.27 years
ln(1.10) 0.0953
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$50,000
(1 r )
12
10 (1 r ) 101 12
$5,000
$70.93
(1 EAR) 3
$50
13
$70.93
EAR 1 .1236
$50
So, investing at 12.36% compounded annually is
the same as investing at 12% compounded
semiannually.
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m 12
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4.4 Simplifications
Perpetuity
A constant stream of cash flows that lasts forever.
Growing perpetuity
A stream of cash flows that grows at a constant rate forever.
Annuity
A stream of constant cash flows that lasts for a fixed number of
periods.
Growing annuity
A stream of cash flows that grows at a constant rate for a fixed
number of periods.
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Perpetuity
A constant stream of cash flows that lasts forever.
C C C
0 1 2 3
C C C
PV
(1 r ) (1 r ) (1 r )
2 3
Perpetuity: Example
What is the value of a British consol that promises to pay 15
each year, every year until the sun turns into a red giant and
burns the planet to a crisp?
The interest rate is 10-percent.
15 15 15
0 1 2 3
15
PV 150
.10
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Growing Perpetuity
A growing stream of cash flows that lasts forever.
C C(1+g) C (1+g)2
0 1 2 3
C C (1 g ) C (1 g ) 2
PV
(1 r ) (1 r ) 2
(1 r ) 3
Annuity
A constant stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity.
C C C C
0 1 2 3 T
C C C C
PV
(1 r ) (1 r ) (1 r )
2 3
(1 r )T
The formula for the present value of an
annuity is: C 1
PV 1
r (1 r )T
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Annuity Intuition
C C C C
0 1 2 3 T
An annuity is valued as the difference between two
perpetuities:
one perpetuity that starts at time 1
less a perpetuity that starts at time T + 1
C
C r
PV
r (1 r )T
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Annuity: Example
If you can afford a $400 monthly car payment, how much
car can you afford if interest rates are 7% on 36-month
loans?
$400 1
PV 1 36
$12,954.59
.07 / 12 (1 .07 12)
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PMT 400
FV 0
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What is the present value of a four-year annuity of $100
per year that makes its first payment two years from today if the
discount rate is 9%?
4
$100 $100 $100 $100 $100
PV1 t
1
2
3
4
$327.97
t 1 (1.09) (1.09) (1.09) (1.09) (1.09)
0 1 2 3 4 5
$327.97
PV $297.22
0 1.09
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F1 1
CF2 100
F2 4
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Growing Annuity
A growing stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity.
C C(1+g) C (1+g)2 C(1+g)T-1
0 1 2 3 T
T 1
C C (1 g ) C (1 g )
PV
(1 r ) (1 r ) 2
(1 r )T
The formula for the present value of a growing
annuity:
T
C 1 g
PV 1
r g (1 r )
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PV of Growing Annuity
You are evaluating an income property that is providing
increasing rents. Net rent is received at the end of each year.
The first year's rent is expected to be $8,500 and rent is
expected to increase 7% each year. Each payment occur at the
end of the year. What is the present value of the estimated
income stream over the first 5 years if the discount rate is
12%?
$8,500 (1.07) 2 $8,500 (1.07) 4
$8,500 (1.07) $8,500 (1.07) 3
$8,500 $9,095 $9,731.65 $10,412.87 $11,141.77
0 1 2 3 4 5
$34,706.26
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PV of Growing Annuity
Using TVM Keys
First, set your calculator to 1 payment per year.
N 5
1.12
I/Y 4.67 1 100
1.07
PV 34,706.26
8,500
PMT 7,973.93
1.07
FV 0
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Why it works
The Time Value of Money Keys use the
following formula:
PMT 1 FV
PV 1 (1 I / Y ) N (1 I / Y ) N
I /Y
Since FV = 0, we can ignore the last term.
We want to get to this equation:
C 1 g T
PV 1
rg 1 r
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We begin by substituting
PMT 1 r
for PMT and 1 for r
1 g
1 g
PMT 1
PV 1 (1 r ) N becomes
r
PMT
1 g 1
PV 1
1 r 1 r N
1 (1 1)
1 g 1 g
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We can now simplify terms:
PMT
1 g 1
PV 1
1 r 1 r
1 (1 1)
N
1 g 1 g
PMT 1
PV 1
1 r 1 r N
(1 g ) 1
1 g 1 g
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1 g
We continue 1
to simplify terms. Note that: 1 g
PMT 1
PV 1
1 r
N
1 1 r
(1 g )
1 g 1 g
PMT 1 g
N
PV 1
1 r 1 g 1 r
(1 g )
1 g 1 g
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We continue to simplify terms.
PMT 1 g
N
PV 1
r g 1 r
(1 g )
1 g
PMT 1 g
N
PV 1
r g 1 r
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Growing Annuity
A defined-benefit retirement plan offers to pay $20,000 per
year for 40 years and increase the annual payment by
three-percent each year. What is the present value at
retirement if the discount rate is 10 percent?
$20,000 $20,000(1.03)$20,000(1.03)39
0 1 2 40
$20,000 1.03
40
PV 1 $265,121.57
.10 .03 1.10
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N 40
1.10
I/Y 6.80 = 1 100
1.03
PV 265,121.57
PMT
20,000
19,417.48 =
1.03
FV 0
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Year: 1 2 3 4
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Year 0 1 2 3 4
Cash $1.50 $1.65 $1.82 $1.821.05
flow
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PV $32.8
of 1 1.82 1.05
P3 $38.22
cash .10 .05
flow
$1.50 $1.65 $1.82 $38.22
P0 2
3
$32.81
(1.10) (1.10) (1.10)
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C 1 g
T
Growing Annuity : PV 1
r g (1 r )
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Problems
You have $30,000 in student loans that call for
monthly payments over 10 years.
$15,000 is financed at seven percent APR
$8,000 is financed at eight percent APR and
$7,000 at 15 percent APR
What is the interest rate on your portfolio of debt?
Problems
Find the payment on each loan, add the payments to get your total
monthly payment: $384.16.
Set PV = $30,000 and solve for I/YR = 9.25%
I/Y 7 8 15 9.25
FV 0 0 0 0
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Problems
You are considering the purchase of a prepaid tuition plan for your
8-year old daughter. She will start college in exactly 10 years,
with the first tuition payment of $12,500 due at the start of the
year. Sophomore year tuition will be $15,000; junior year tuition
$18,000, and senior year tuition $22,000. How much money will
you have to pay today to fully fund her tuition expenses? The
discount rate is 14%
CF0 0
F1 9 F3 9 F4 1
F2 1 F4 1 NPV $14,662.65
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Problems
You are thinking of buying a new car. You bought you current car
exactly 3 years ago for $25,000 and financed it at 7% APR for
60 months. You need to estimate how much you owe on the loan
to make sure that you can pay it off when you sell the old car.
N 60 N 24 N 36
I/Y 7 I/Y 7 I/Y 7
PV 25,000 PV 11,056 PV 25,000
Problems
You have just landed a job and are going to start saving for
a down-payment on a house. You want to save 20
percent of the purchase price and then borrow the rest
from a bank.
You have an investment that pays 10 percent APR. Houses
that you like and can afford currently cost $100,000.
Real estate has been appreciating in price at 5 percent
per year and you expect this trend to continue.
How much should you save every month in order to have a
down payment saved five years from today?
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Problems
First we estimate that in 5 years, a house that costs $100,000 today
will cost $127,628.16
Next we estimate the monthly payment required to save up that
much in 60 months.
N 5 N 60
I/Y 5 I/Y 10
PV 100,000 PV 0