Trading in Financial Markets

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Trading in Financial

Markets
Chapter 5

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

Financial Markets (pages 89-90)


Exchange

traded

Traditionally exchanges have used the open-outcry system,


but electronic trading has now become the norm
Contracts are standard; there is virtually no credit risk

Over-the-counter

(OTC)

A network of dealers at financial institutions, corporations,


and fund managers who trade directly with each other
Contracts can be non-standard; there is some credit risk

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

Clearing Houses

Clearing houses stand between traders in the exchangetraded market.


Clearing houses require traders to post cash or
marketable securities as collateral (referred to as
margin) and clearing house members contribute to a
guarantee fund
The margin is set to be sufficiently high that exchange is
unlikely to lose money if it has to close out a trader
This combined with the guaranty fund means that traders
are subject to virtually no credit risk

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

Alternatives for Clearing OTC


Trades
Bilaterally

Usually Involves an ISDA Master Agreement


Transactions between two participants netted
May require collateral to be posted

Through

CCPs

CCP behaves like an exchange clearinghouse and


stands between two sides
It required initial and variation margin
All transactions with CCP netted

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

Regulatory Changes for OTC


Derivatives

Standard OTC derivatives in the U.S. must be traded on


electronic platforms known as SEFs. (In Europe the
electronic platforms are referred to as organized trading
facilities, OTFs)
Standard derivatives traded between financial institutions
must be cleared through CCPs
Non-standard derivatives traded between financial
institutions can be cleared bilaterally but more collateral
than before has to be posted
Trades have to be reported to a central trade repository

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

Short Selling (Pages 90-92)


Short

selling involves selling


securities you do not own
Your broker borrows the securities
from another client and sells them in
the market in the usual way
At some stage you must buy the
securities back so they can be
replaced in the account of the client
Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

Short Selling (continued)


You must pay dividends and other benefits
the owner of the securities receives
The cash flows from a short position that is
entered into at time T1 and closed out at
time T2 are the opposite of those from a long
position where asset is bought at time T1
and sold at time T2, except that there may be
a small fee for borrowing the asset

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

Derivatives
Forwards
Futures
Swaps
Options
Exotics

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

Growth of Derivatives Markets


(Figure 5.1)

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

Forward Contracts
A

forward contract is an agreement to buy


or sell an asset at a certain price at a
certain future time
Forward contracts trade in the over-thecounter market
They are particularly popular on
currencies and interest rates
Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

10

Foreign Exchange Quotes for GBP


June 17, 2014 (See page 93)

Spot

Bid
1.6961

Offer
1.6965

1-month forward

1.6957

1.6962

3-month forward

1.6950

1.6955

1-year forward

1.6919

1.6925

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

11

Profit from a Long Forward Position


Profit

Price of Underlying
at Maturity

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

12

Profit from a Short Forward Position


Profit

Price of Underlying
at Maturity

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

13

Futures Contracts (page 95)


Agreement

to buy or sell an asset for a


certain price at a certain time
Similar to forward contract
Whereas a forward contract is traded
OTC, a futures contract is traded on an
exchange

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

14

Futures Contract continued


Contracts

are settled daily (e.g., if a


contract is on 200 ounces of December
gold and the December futures moves $2 in
my favor, I receive $400; if it moves $2
against me I pay $400)
Both sides to a futures contract are
required to post margin (cash or marketable
securities) with the exchange
clearinghouse. This ensures that they will
honor their commitments under the
contract.
Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

15

Swaps
A swap is an agreement to
exchange cash flows at specified
future times according to certain
specified rules

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

16

An Example of a Plain Vanilla


Interest Rate Swap
An

agreement to receive 6-month


LIBOR & pay a fixed rate of 5% per
annum every 6 months for 3 years on
a notional principal of $100 million
Next slide illustrates cash flows

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

17

Cash Flows for one set of LIBOR rates


(See Table 5.4, page 99)

Date
Mar.5, 2010
Sept. 5, 2010
Mar.5, 2011
Sept. 5, 2011
Mar.5, 2012
Sept. 5, 2012
Mar.5, 2013

---------Millions of Dollars--------LIBOR FLOATING FIXED


Net
Rate
Cash Flow Cash Flow Cash Flow
4.2%
4.8%
+2.10
2.50
0.40
5.3%
+2.40
2.50
0.10
5.5%
+2.65
2.50
+0.15
5.6%
+2.75
2.50
+0.25
5.9%
+2.80
2.50
+0.30
6.4%
+2.95
2.50
+0.45

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

18

Typical Uses of an
Interest Rate Swap

Converting a liability from


fixed rate to floating rate
floating rate to fixed rate

Converting an investment from


fixed rate to floating rate
floating rate to fixed rate

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

19

Quotes By a Swap Market Maker


(Table 5.5, page 100)
Maturity

Bid (%)

Offer (%)

Swap Rate (%)

2 years

6.03

6.06

6.045

3 years

6.21

6.24

6.225

4 years

6.35

6.39

6.370

5 years

6.47

6.51

6.490

7 years

6.65

6.68

6.665

10 years

6.83

6.87

6.850

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

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Other Types of Swaps sand


Related Instruments
Floating-for-floating interest rate swaps,
amortizing swaps, step up swaps, forward
swaps, constant maturity swaps,
compounding swaps, LIBOR-in-arrears
swaps, accrual swaps, diff swaps, cross
currency interest rate swaps, equity
swaps, extendable swaps, puttable swaps,
swaptions, commodity swaps, volatility
swaps..
Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

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Options
A

call option is an option to buy a


certain asset by a certain date for a
certain price (the strike price)
A put option is an option to sell a certain
asset by a certain date for a certain
price (the strike price)
Options trade on both exchanges and in
the OTC market
Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

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American vs European Options


An

American option can be exercised at


any time during its life
A European option can be exercised only
at maturity

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

23

Intel Option Prices: June 17, 2014;


Stock Price=29.97 (See Table 5.6; page 101)
Strike
Price

Aug14
Call

Oct14
Call

Jan15
Call

Aug14
Put

Oct14
Put

Jan15
Put

18

2.30

2.45

2.80

0.30

0.66

1.13

19

1.45

1.76

2.17

0.60

0.99

1.53

20

0.84

1.20

1.62

1.04

1.43

2.04

21

0.41

0.82

1.22

1.60

2.02

2.64

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

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Options vs Futures/Forwards
A

futures/forward contract gives the holder


the obligation to buy or sell at a certain
price
An option gives the holder the right to buy
or sell at a certain price

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

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Hedging Examples
A

US company will pay 10 million for


imports from Britain in 3 months and
decides to hedge using a long position in
a forward contract
An investor owns 1,000 shares currently
worth $28 per share. A two-month put
with a strike price of $27.50 costs $1. The
investor decides to hedge by buying 10
contracts
Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

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Options vs Forwards
Forward

contracts lock in a price for a


future transaction
Options provide insurance. They limit the
downside risk while not giving up the
upside potential
For this reason options are more attractive
to many corporate treasurers than forward
contracts
Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

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Interest Rate Options


Caps

and floors
Swap options
Bond options

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

28

Nontraditional Derivatives (pages


107-111)
Weather

derivatives
Energy derivatives
Oil
Natural gas
Electricity

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

29

Exotic Options (pages 111-113)


Asian

options
Barrier option
Basket options
Binary options
Compound options
Lookback options

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

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Example of the Use of Exotic


Options (Business Snapshot 5.3, page 112)
If

a company earns revenue month by


month in many different currencies, Asian
basket put options can provide an
appropriate hedge

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

31

Structured Products
Products

created to meet the needs of

clients
A bizarre structures product is the 10/30
deal between Bankers Trust and Procter
and Gamble (See Business Snapshot 5.4)
The payments by P&G were

max 0,

5 yr CMT %

30
yr
TSY
price

5.78%

100

98.5

Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

32

Types of Traders
Hedgers
Speculators
Arbitrageurs

Some of the largest trading losses in


derivatives have occurred because
individuals who had a mandate to be
hedgers or arbitrageurs switched to being
speculators (See for example SocGen,
Business Snapshot 5.5, page 114)
Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4e, Chapter 5, Copyright John C. Hull 2015

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