Arbitrage and Law of One Price

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What is arbitrage?

Arbitrage is the practice of taking advantage of a pricing discrepancy between two or more markets in which the same good is traded at different prices, in which case the Law of One Price does not hold, and riskless profits are available for investors.
A person who engages in arbitrage is called and arbitrageur. An anbitrageur exploits the pricing discrepancy in the markets by buying a good at a low price and selling the same good at a high price in different markets, with the profit being the difference between the market prices.

Arbitrage Example
Assume an iPhone is selling for $800 in the US and 500 in the UK, and the current exchange rate is 1 = $2. A simple conversion will tell us that an iPhone is worth more in the UK, since 500 = $1,000, which is more than $800. With the presence of such mispricing, an investor can seek to take advantage of such a situation by adopting the following strategy: 1) Buy an iPhone in the US for $800. 2) Sell it in the UK for 500. 3) Convert 500 into $1,000. Arbitrage profit of $1,000 - $800 = $200 per iPhone. If one were to follow this strategy for 500 iPhones, the profit would be 500 x $200 = $100,000. It is important to note that factors as transaction costs affect the arbitrage profit significantly.

Principle: When there is a difference in pricing in 2 or markets, investors attempt to buy in the cheaper market and sell in another market with higher prices.

Basically, triangular arbitrage is the act of exploiting an arbitrage opportunity resulting from a pricing discrepancy among three different currencies in the foreign exchange market.
When there is no pricing discrepancy (no arbitrage opportunity) , the basic relationship among 3 different currencies: A, B an C, is:

A/B x C/A = C/B


When the equation above does not hold, an opportunity for triangular arbitrage arises. A typical triangular arbitrage strategy involves three trades:

1) exchanging the initial currency for a second 2) trading second currency for a third 3) and the third currency for the initial.

Arbitrage Opportunity
Suppose the current exchange rates for , GBP and USD are as follows: EUR/USD: 1.1837, EUR/GBP: 0.7231 and GBP/USD: 1.6388 Applying the basic relationship formula to the exchange rates: EUR/USD x GBP/EUR = GBP/USD 1.1837 x 1/0.7231 = 1.6370 1.6388 Since the equation does not hold in this case, a chance to perform triangular arbitrage occur. In such a scenario, a FX trader could perform a triangular arbitrage by adopting the following steps: 1) Buy 10,000 Euros for $11,837 USD. 2) Sell the 10,000 Euros, for 7,231 British pounds (GBP). 3) The 7,231 GBP in turn could then be sold for $11,850 USD. This would yield a profit of $11,850 - $11,837 = $13 per trade for the trader. This can be performed until the pricing discrepancy is traded away.

As a matter of fact, triangular arbitrage opportunities do actually exist in the forex trading market. However, it is important to note that these opportunities are very rare and often exist only for a few seconds. Why? One has to realize that these arbitrage opportunities will not last forever. Once people start to engage in these profit taking activities, the market will correct itself and bring the foreign exchange rate to the equivalent level. Furthermore, with the presence of several high-frequency-trading (HFT) firms today, which uses advance and complicated computer programs to execute trades automatically, the time for the market to correct itself is made a lot faster as compared to a century ago. These complex computer soft wares are programmed to specifically sift out such arbitraging opportunities and will profit from these imbalance at the very split second that these opportunities present themselves.

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