Afgri Presentation FINAL
Afgri Presentation FINAL
Afgri Presentation FINAL
Agenda
Highlights
Revenue HEPS (continuing operations) Interim dividend
Retain 2x dividend cover
24.8%
(17.3) %
18.45 cps
Trading conditions
Challenges for the period
Grain Management Animal Protein General margin pressure in Foods segment
Lower silo volumes + Price and input cost pressure in Foods = HEPS decline
Working capital
Financial Services Procurement process (strategic sourcing) Cost control
Operational overview
Chris Venter
69
59
62
35
308 283 287 252 2011 2008 2009 2010 2011
2008
2009
2010
Retail and Equipment: High maize price contributed to enhanced earnings Improved retail conditions in Australia Grain Management: Significant volume reduction in silos
3,577 2,907
2,000
863 309 2006 2007 1,024 791 302 426 687 237 2009
1,130
821 513 220
354
1,000
Sales value of AFGRI tractors sold in South Africa: 2011 (interim) 2010 (interim) R250 million R174 million Current market share of 31% (27% - 2010)
In process of negotiating an additional two John Deere agencies in Africa Supporting 24 farmers in Congo Brazzaville
10
1,700,000
1,500,000 1,300,000 1,737,000 1,489,000 1,719,700 1,418,300 1,590,200 2012 2012 1,100,000 900,000 700,000 500,000 2008 2009 2010 2011
1,000,000
960,000 938,500 954,000 920,000 880,000 840,000 2008 2009 2010 2011
11
1,040,000
1,062,000
1,022,700
12
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
500,000
Dec-03 Mar-04 Jun-04 Sep-04 Dec-04 Mar-05 Jun-05 Sep-05 Dec-05 Mar-06 Jun-06 Sep-06 Dec-06 Mar-07 Jun-07 Sep-07
December Drought conditions & low plantings
Dec-07
Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10
Sep-10
Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11
Source: AFGRI
2,500,000
2,259,000 1,928,000 1,967,000 1,668,000
2,000,000 Tons
1,838,000
1,691,000
1,500,000
1,460,000
1,231,000 1,090,000 915,000
1,000,000
500,000
Mar-11 Jul-11 Oct-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Jul-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 May-11 Nov-10 Aug-10 Aug-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jun-10 Apr-11
13
14
2,900.00
900.00
SAFEX, Jul 12
Import parity
SAFEX
Source: SAFEX
2-Jan-08 1-Feb-08 2-Mar-08 1-Apr-08 1-May-08 31-May-08 30-Jun-08 30-Jul-08 29-Aug-08 28-Sep-08 28-Oct-08 27-Nov-08 27-Dec-08 26-Jan-09 25-Feb-09 27-Mar-09 26-Apr-09 26-May-09 25-Jun-09 25-Jul-09 24-Aug-09 23-Sep-09 23-Oct-09 22-Nov-09 22-Dec-09 21-Jan-10 20-Feb-10 22-Mar-10 21-Apr-10 21-May-10 20-Jun-10 20-Jul-10 19-Aug-10 18-Sep-10 18-Oct-10 17-Nov-10 17-Dec-10 16-Jan-11 15-Feb-11 17-Mar-11 16-Apr-11 16-May-11 15-Jun-11 15-Jul-11 14-Aug-11 13-Sep-11 13-Oct-11 12-Nov-11 12-Dec-11 11-Jan-12 10-Feb-12
15
000 tons
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 0 May-10
Jun-10
Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11
Mar-11
Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11
16
R / ton
1300
1500
1700
1900
2100
2300
2500
2700
2900
3100
1100
900 02/11/2007 02/01/2008 02/03/2008 02/05/2008 02/07/2008 02/09/2008 02/11/2008 Year 02/01/2009 02/03/2009 02/05/2009 02/07/2009 WMAZ 02/09/2009 02/11/2009 02/01/2010 YMAZ 02/03/2010 02/05/2010 1 844 Yellow maize White maize 2011 1 201 Average for the year 1 263 1 425 1 537 1 830 1885 1895 2010 2009 2008 2012 (Jan) 2738 2764
02/07/2010
02/09/2010 02/11/2010 02/01/2011 02/03/2011 02/05/2011
02/07/2011
02/09/2011 02/11/2011 02/01/2012
339
214 201
27
2008
2009
2010
2011
2008
2009
2010
2011
GroCapital Restructure in 2009 demonstrates positive trend Strategic direction well entrenched with proven results AFGRI Capital Position for fee income rather than interest income
17
400
200 2009 2010 2011
18
2009
2010
2011
2012
19
How is AFGRI experiencing the relationship with the Land Bank? Is AFGRI still of the opinion that this transaction was the correct one?
20
Foods segment
Revenue (Rm)
Oil, Milling & Protein 1,581 1,287 1,390 55 33 260 296 264 379 13 12 19 11 2011 Animal Protein 1,780 68
2008
2009
2010
2011
2008
2009
2010
Yellow maize milling integration Margin pressure on Foods segment as a result of high raw material prices
21
Foods segment
Animal Protein
External market factors
Increased raw material price - therefore increased margin
AFGRI Board
pressure
Year - year increase of 33% NSV increased by 18% Imports continued at 39%
Nick Wentzel Independent Non-Executive Director AFGRI Poultry
22
23
R / kg 10 12 13 15 16
14
11
Jan-07 Mar-07
May-07
Jul-07 Sep-07 Nov-07 Jan-08 Mar-08 May-08 Jul-08 Sep-08 Nov-08 Jan-09 Mar-09 May-09 Jul-09 Sep-09 Nov-09 Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jul-10 Sep-10 Nov-10 Jan-11
Broiler pricing
Total sales realised of frozen broilers
Mar-11
May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Nov-11
Foods segment
Oil, Milling and Protein
One month inclusion of yellow maize milling business revenue
24
Financial overview
Jan van der Schyff
26
Change
24.8% (34,9)% 1,0% (9,7)% (12,2)% (5,9)% (17.9)% 22.9% (15.7)%
Discontinued operations
Profit for the period Diluted weighted average number of shares in issue (m) Diluted EPS (cents)
(12)
147 356.5 40.9
(100)%
(8.8)% (9.3)%
34.5
41.2
(16.3)%
27
Segmental overview
Revenue - 31 December 2010 Revenue - 31 December 2011
44%
50%
47%
49%
6%
4%
31% 42%
51% 27%
27%
28
Segmental overview
PBIT - 2010 PBIT - 2011
31% 42%
21%
Agri Services Financial Services 52% 27% Foods
27%
PBT 2010
PBT 2011
18% 34% 55% 11% Agri Services Financial Services Foods Agri Services Financial Services Foods 68%
14%
29
65
60
55 50 45 40
57.4% 77.1%
4.2%
3.3%
27.3%
500
0 2011 2010
PBT (R'm)
35
35 30
Description R million
Change
Revenue (R'm)
Analysis of PBT
Normalised Sale of assets Total 44 18 62 35 0 35 25.7% 77.1%
30
0.8%
4.6% (0.9)% 3.1%
1.8%
2.9% (2.6)% 2.2%
31
* Other operating income (including capital profits), other services and Africa
287 132
140
120
100 80 60 40 20 0 2011
Revenue (R'm)
Total tonnage received (million) Opening stock (million) Average storage period (months)
250 240
230 2010
PBT (R'm)
Notes
Low opening stock Impact of volumes and storage period on HEPS (R48 million) Offset by: - Handling out - Trading - Grain sales
32
Financial Services
Business Results
Description R million Total revenue PBIT PBT 6 months to 31 Dec 2011 201 109 35 6 months to 31 Dec 2010 214 125 32 Change (6.1)% (12.8)% 9.4%
214
2.7%
2.6%
3.8%
32
195
190 2011
Revenue (R'm)
2010
PBT (R'm)
Notes
Sale of debtors book Cash collateral deposit releases Fee income improved Good capital profits Reduction in OPEX
33
(91)
3 3 12 (73)
(102)
3 13 12 (74)
39
3 (31)
40
4 (30)
34
Equity
Debt: Equity ratio
1 598
2.53 30 Jun 2011
1 739
1.85 30 Jun 2011 30 Jun 2011 30 Jun 2011
Before = Before sale of farming lending book After = After sale of farming lending book
35
Animal Protein
Business Results
Description R million Total revenue PBIT PBT 6 months to 31 Dec 2011 1 780 67 33 6 months to 31 Dec 2010 1 390 120 83 Change 28.1% (44.2)% (60.2)%
2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0
1,780 1,390
90 83 80 70 60 50 40
33
30
20 10 0 2011
Revenue (R'm)
2010
PBT (R'm)
Notes
Animal Feeds
Lower margins
Broilers
Higher feed costs Lower NSV High cost per unit
36
379
19 264
20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0
2011
Revenue (R'm)
2010
PBT (R'm)
Notes
Lower volumes Reduced margins Offset by lower OPEX
37
Goodwill
Other intangible assets Investments in associates Available-for-sale financial assets Financial receivables Deferred income tax assets Current assets Inventories Biological assets Trade and other receivables Trade receivables financed by banks Derivative financial instruments Current income tax assets Cash and cash equivalents and cash collateral deposits Assets of disposal groups classified as held-for-sale Total assets
48
41 164 116 4 310 1 227 47 630 1 895 44 22 445 7 7 035
36
42 161 122 5 656 934 64 509 3 290 64 2 793 17 7 869
33.3%
(2.4)% 1.9% (4.9)% (23.8)% 31.4% (26.6)% 23.8% (42.4)% (31.3)% 1 000% (43.9)% (58.8)% (10.6)%
38
Retained earnings
Non-controlling interest Total equity Liabilities - Non-current liabilities Borrowings Deferred income tax liabilities Provisions for other liabilities and charges Liabilities - Current liabilities Trade and other payables Derivative financial instruments Current income tax liabilities
1 739
770 572 183 15 4 526 1 393 44 7 1 187 1 895
1 598
1 016 832 184 5 255 1 164 79 15 674 3 323
8.8%
(24.2)% (31.3)% (0.5)% (13.9)% 19.7% (44.3)% (53.3)% 76.1% (43.0)%
5 296
7 035
6 271
7 869
(15.5)%
(10.6)%
39
31 Dec 2010
Rmillion 279
259
-340
-554
-27
Taxation
-12
-282
Investments made
-122
287
-400
-200
200
400
(103)
(93) 1 528 (2) 1 330
Net movement in overdraft Movement in guarantee deposits Movement in debt to finance debtors Movement in borrowings (incl short term) Movement in net debt
(548)
(23) 572 (554) (553)
40
Foods
Corporate Total
41
Prospects
Chris Venter
AFGRI DNA
Production
Grain Management
Industrial Processing
Grain value chain will always remain embedded in the AFGRI DNA
43
GroCap Tobacco
Production
Grain Management
Industrial Processing
Insurance
44
Retail
Mechani -sation LabWorld
Tobacco
GroCap
Insurance Partrite
Farmer Lending
45
Investment case
Vision
To be the leading agricultural services and food company If correct calibre is not in place replace Brand equity Sustainable Food security
People
Assets
AFGRI main asset group has an average RONA of 30% + Strengthening exercise remains focus
Liquidity
AFGRI will continue to strive for a balance of growth through capex spend, acquisition and other organic growth
46
Investment case
Key: Group Agri Services Financial Services Foods Daybreak abattoir extensions completed Focus on efficiencies in Poultry Establish additional bunker and collateral management sites Strong operations and board members appointed to assist in Foods strategy development Benefits across GP, parent, broiler and abattoir operations will improve Nedan expansion completed with intention of doubling capacity Increased capacity for DOC and slaughter birds Daybreak and Delmas abattoir production to increase Continue to expand Grain Management footprint across Africa
Expansion of Milling
Benefit of Africa
Purchase of Rossgro and Pride Milling to bolster Foods division Successful restructure of balance sheet
Benefit of new Financial Services structure fee income Focus on increased ROE and value added services
Implemented new SAP system - extraction of value continues with the benefit of the procurement initiative
2009 - 2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 onwards
47
Prospects
Price expectation
Current external environment Price expected to remain strong Margin pressure on Poultry will remain Expect good crop in AFGRI area
R1,800 R2,600 R1,800 R2,600 R2,700 R3,100 R4,100 R4,700 R3,100 R3,600
48
Appendix
2 886
3 965
(27.2)%
2.7%
2.6%
3.8%
51
(3 483)
(4 036)
(553)
(4 539)
(3 209)
1 330
52