Dell Working Capital
Dell Working Capital
Dell Working Capital
Forecasted 1996 Balance Sheet (In USD M) 1995 Actual Y.E. Jan 29, 1995 % 0f 1995 Sales Current Assets: Cash ST Investments A/R, net Inventories Other Total Current Assets P, P & E, net Other Total Assets Addnl. Funding Needed Current Liabilities: A/P Accrued & Other Liabilities Total Current Liabilities Long Term Debt Other Liabilities Total Liabilities Stockholders' Equity: Preferred Stock Common Stock Retained Earnings Other Total Stockholders' Equity 43 484 538 293 112 1,470 117 7 1,594 1.24% 13.93% 15.48% 8.43% 3.22% 42.30% 3.37% 0.20% 45.87% 31.94%
18.76% 45.87%
As of 1995, Dell would be projected to be able to grow at 52% without increasing its leverage and Actual 1996 Balance Sheet Compared to Projections Y.E. Jan 28, 1996 Current Assets: Cash ST Investments A/R, net Inventories Other Total Current Assets P, P & E, net Other 29% Total Assets
Forecast for 1996 Fixed Liabilities 66 484 820 447 171 1,987 178 11 2,176
Addnl. Funding Needed Current Liabilities: A/P Accrued & Other Liabilities Total Current Liabilities Long Term Debt Other Liabilities Total Liabilities
354
Stockholders' Equity: Preferred Stock 6 Common Stock 430 Retained Earnings 570 Other -33 49 Total Stockholders' Equity 973 879 Common stock to employees 2,148 2,176 5.10% 45 227 Dell internally funded a 52% growth in sales largely by increasing its asset efficiency and profitab
2,176 Forecast for 1996 with Actual 1996 Sales Fixed Liabilities 66 484 820 447 171 1,987 178 11 2,176 354
1,692 582
879 2,176
Variance
Y.E. Jan 28, 1996 Proportional Liabilities -11 107 -94 -18 -15 (30) 1 1 (28) 55 542 726 429 156 1,957 179 12 2,148
94 (28)
ng its asset efficiency and profitability. Total Operating assets at 29% of Sales in 1996, as compared to projected 32%
1995 Actual Net Profit Margin Projected Net Profit for 1996
tual 1996 Sales Prop. Liabilities 66 484 820 447 171 1,987 178 11 2,176 (80)
582 (80)
211
879 2,176
Forecast for 1996 Variance Proportional Liabilities 66 484 820 447 171 1,987 178 11 2,176 -11 58 -94 -18 -15 -30 1 1 -28
-135
107
135
582 447
63 124
879 2,176
94 (28)
973
45
n Equity w/o 49
Addnl. Sales Addnl. Operating assets Actual 1996 Sales Gross Margin Forecasted 1997 Balance Sheet (In USD M) 1996 Actual
Y.E. Jan 28, 1996 Current Assets: Cash ST Investments A/R, net Inventories Other Total Current Assets P, P & E, net Other Total Assets Addnl. Funding Needed Current Liabilities: A/P Accrued & Other Liabilities Total Current Liabilities Long Term Debt Other Liabilities Total Liabilities Stockholders' Equity: Preferred Stock Common Stock Retained Earnings Other Total Stockholders' Equity 55 591 726 429 156 1,957 179 12 2,148
To fund the shortfall of 984 M through increased asset efficiency, Dell needs
Current CCC (Cach to Cash Cycle) 40 days CCC has to become negative to fund the shortfall of 984 M HOW? Savings from Hypothetical WC improvements DSI Q4 1996 Actual Hypothetical improvements 1997 Projected Hypothetical improvements * Daily Savings 31 -17 14 17 17.6
299.55 983
Improvement in Profitability in 1997 can also eliminate the shortfall of 984 M - 1% increase in margin will inc Margin improvements reduce the required working capital improvements as above - A combination of both seems to be the only reasonable alternative to fund the shortfall. Repurchase of Stock indicates under valuation in the market and leads to increase in value. Actual profit margin 1997
13
408 Projected 1997 Net Profit 5.1% 7,944 Projected 1997 Sales 7,944 1,601 1,601 Projected Gross Profit 22.1 45 Daily COGS 17.6 56 Forecast for 1997 with a 50% Sales Increase Debt repaid & $500 Equity Fixed Liabilities Prop. Liabilities Buyback 83 591 1,089 644 234 2,640 269 18 2,927 371 83 591 1,089 644 234 2,640 269 18 2,927 (161) 83 591 1,089 644 234 2,640 269 18 2,927 984
779
9% 9% 18% 2% 2% 22%
18% 41%
1,381 2,927
1,381 2,927
881 2,927
DPO 33 20 53 20 17.6
331.00 904
352.42
ll of 984 M - 1% increase in margin will increase net income by 79 M. ements as above - A combination of both profitability & WC improvements
leads to increase in value. 6.68% 7759 M sales, 518 M ST Inv. Increased to 1237 M from 591 M LT debt reduced to 18 M from 113 M Common stock reduced from 430 M to 195 M Inventories 251 M 903 M A/C Rec., 1040 M A/c payable 37 54 (4)