probability بنك اسئلة

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Question 1: Suppose you conduct a series of independent experiments, each

with a success probability of 0.3. If you perform 10 trials, what is the


probability of getting exactly 3 successes?

Question 2: A fair six-sided die is rolled 5 times. What is the probability of


obtaining exactly 2 fours?

Question 3: In a factory, 95% of products are of standard quality. If 10


products are randomly selected, what is the probability that exactly 8 of them
are of standard quality?

𝐶815 × 0.958 × 0.057

Question 4: A basketball player has a 70% free-throw shooting accuracy. If


she takes 20 free throws, what is the probability of making exactly 15 of
them?

Question 5: A coin is flipped 8 times. What is the probability of getting at


least 3 heads?
Question 5:

If n = 10 and p = 0.3 in a binomial distribution, what is the standard deviation of


the distribution?

a. 1.5
b. 2.1
c. 1.4
d. 3.0

Question 6:

What is the probability mass function (PMF) of a binomial distribution?

a. f(x) = nCx * p^x * (1 - p)^(n - x)


b. f(x) = λe^(-λx)
c. f(x) = (1/σ√2π) * e^(-(x - μ)² / (2σ²))
d. f(x) = x / (a + bx)

Question 7:

In a binomial distribution, what does the term "nCx" represent?

a. Permutation
b. Combination
c. Multiplication
d. Division

Question 8:

What is the condition for a random variable to follow a binomial distribution? a. The
trials are independent
b. The probability of success is constant
c. Each trial has two possible outcomes: success or failure
d. All of the above

Question 9:

If n = 8 and p = 0.6, what is the probability of getting exactly 5 successes in a


binomial distribution?

a. 0.088
b. 0.278
c. 0.250
d. 0.266

9- It is suitable to use Binomial Distribution only for ___________


a) Large values of ‘n’
b) Fractional values of ‘n’
c) Small values of ‘n’
d) Any value of ‘n’

10 In a Binomial Distribution, if p = q, then P(X = x) is given by?


a) nCx (0.5)n
b) nCn (0.5)n
c) nCx p(n-x)
d) nCn p(n-x)

This set of Probability and Statistics Multiple Choice Questions & Answers
(MCQs) focuses on “Poisson Distribution”.

11. In a Poisson Distribution, if ‘n’ is the number of trials and ‘p’ is the
probability of success, then the mean value is given by?
a) m = np
b) m = (np)2
c) m = np(1-p)
d) m = p

12. If ‘m’ is the mean of a Poisson Distribution, the standard deviation is


given by ___________
a) √m
b) m2
c) m
d) m⁄2

13. Poisson distribution is applied for ___________


a) Continuous Random Variable
b) Discrete Random Variable
c) Irregular Random Variable
d) Uncertain Random Variable

14. If ‘m’ is the mean of Poisson Distribution, the P(0) is given by ___________
a) e-m
b) em
c) e
d) m-e

15. For a Poisson Distribution, if mean(m) = 1, then P(1) is?


a) 1/e
b) e
c) e/2
d) Indeterminate

17. If the probability that a bomb dropped from a place will strike the target
is 60% and if 10 bombs are dropped, find mean and variance?
a) 0.6, 0.24
b) 6, 2.4
c) 0.4, 0.16
d) 4, 1.6

18. If P(1) = P(3) in Poisson’s distribution, what is the mean?


a) √2
b) √3
c) √6
d) √7

19. If P(6) = λP(1) in Poisson’s distribution, what is the mean?(Approximate


value)
a) 4
b) 6
c) 5
d) 7
20. Find f(2) in normal distribution if mean is 0 and variance is 1.

21. If the values taken by a random variable are negative, the negative values
will have ___________
a) Positive probability
b) Negative Probability
c) May have negative or positive probabilities
d) Insufficient data

22. If f(x) is a probability density function of a continuous random variable,


then ∫f(x)dx=?
a) 0
b) 1
c) undefined
d) Insufficient data

23. The variable that assigns a real number value to an event in a sample
space is called ___________
a) Random variable
b) Defined variable
c) Uncertain variable
d) Static variable

24. A random variable that assumes a finite or a countably infinite number of


values is called ___________
a) Continuous random variable
b) Discrete random variable
c) Irregular random variable
d) Uncertain random variable

25. A random variable that assume a infinite or a uncountably infinite


number of values is called ___________
a) Continuous random variable
b) Discrete random variable
c) Irregular random variable
d) Uncertain random variable

26. Suppose you have developed a spam filter for emails. You know
that 3% of all emails are spam. Your spam filter is 95% accurate in
identifying spam emails and 90% accurate in identifying non-spam
emails. If an email is flagged as spam by your filter, what is the
probability that it is actually spam?

Solution:

Let's denote the events as follows:

• A: The email is spam.


• B: The spam filter flags the email as spam.

We are asked to find P(A | B), the probability that the email is spam
given that the filter flags it as spam.

Using Bayes' Theorem:

P(A∣B)=P(A) P(B∣A)/P(B)

The probability of the filter flagging a spam email correctly (true


positive) is P(B∣A)=0.95.

The probability that an email is spam is P(A)=0.03.

The probability that the filter flags an email as spam (true positive
plus false positive) is given by:

P(B)=P(B∣A)⋅P(A)+P(B∣¬A)⋅P(¬A)

P(B)=0.95⋅0.03+(1−0.90)⋅(1−0.03)

P(B)=0.0285+0.097=0.1255

Now, we can plug these values into Bayes' Theorem:

P(A∣B)= (.95)(0.03)/0.1255 ≈0.227


So, the probability that an email is spam given that the filter flags it
as spam is approximately 0.162 or 22.7%.

27. The standard normal random variable Z is symmetric about its mean.
This
means that P(Z <-5) is equal to: (a) 0 (b) 1 (c) 0.5
(d) 0.25
28. The maximum ordinate of a normal random variable (X) is at:
(a) x = μ (b) x = μ + σ (c) x = μ - 2σ (d) x = 0
29. If X has Poisson distribution with parameter 𝜆 = 10, then E(3 X+1) is
a) 22 b) 31 c) 20 d) 19

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