18.National Bulletin No 18-24Oct2024_1730IST
18.National Bulletin No 18-24Oct2024_1730IST
18.National Bulletin No 18-24Oct2024_1730IST
Subject: Severe Cyclonic storm “DANA” over northwest Bay of Bengal (Post
Landfall Outlook for Odisha and West Bengal coasts: Red Message)
The severe cyclonic storm “DANA” (pronounced as Dana) over northwest Bay of Bengal
moved north-northwestwards with a speed of 13 kmph during past 6 hours and lay centred
at 1730 hrs IST of today, the 24th October, over the same region, near latitude 19.8° N and
longitude 87.5°E, about 100 km east-southeast of Paradip (Odisha), 130 km south-
southeast of Dhamara (Odisha) and 210 km south-southwest of Sagar Island (West
Bengal).
It is very likely to move north-northwestwards and cross north Odisha and West Bengal
coasts between Puri and Sagar Island close to Bhitarkanika and Dhamara (Odisha) during
mid-night of 24th to morning of 25th October, 2024 as a severe Cyclonic Storm with a
wind speed of 100-110 kmph gusting 120 kmph.
The system is under continuous surveillance of the Doppler Weather Radar at Paradip
and Gopalpur.
Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:
Date/Time (IST) Position Maximum Category Of Cyclonic
(Lat. °N/ Long. °E) Sustained Surface Wind Disturbance
Speed (Kmph)
24.10.24/1730 19.8/87.5 105-115 gusting to 125 Severe Cyclonic Storm
24.10.24/2330 20.4/87.2 100-110 gusting to 120 Severe Cyclonic Storm
25.10.24/0530 20.8/86.8 100-110 gusting to 120 Severe Cyclonic Storm
25.10.24/1130 21.1/86.4 85-95 gusting to 105 Cyclonic Storm
25.10.24/1730 21.2/85.9 50-60 gusting to 70 Deep Depression
Adjoining areas of central Bay of Bengal: Gale wind speed reaching 80-90 kmph gusting to
110 kmph is prevailing and likely to continue till 24th Oct midnight. It is likely to decrease
gradually thereafter.
Along & off Odisha-west Bengal coasts: Gale wind speed reaching 60-70 kmph gusting to
80 kmph is prevailing. It would gradually increase becoming 100-110 kmph gusting to 120
kmph along & off north Odisha and east Medinipur district of West Bengal from 24th afternoon
till morning of 25th October and decrease gradually thereafter.
Gale wind speed reaching 60-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph is likely along & off south Odisha
and remaining districts of coastal West Bengal from 24th evening till 25th Oct morning and
decrease gradually thereafter.
Adjoining areas of northeast Bay of Bengal: Squally wind speed reaching 50-60 kmph
gusting to 70 kmph is likely to prevail till 25th morning and decrease gradually thereafter.
South Jharkhand: Squally wind speed reaching 40-50 gusting to 60 kmph is very likely to
prevail from morning of 25th till evening of 26th October.
(iii) Storm surge warning:
Storm surge of 1.0 to 2.0 m height above astronomical tide is very likely to inundate low lying
areas of Kendrapara, Bhadrak & Balasore districts of Odisha and East Medinipur districts of
West Bengal during the time of landfall.
Storm surge of 0.5 to 1.0 m height above astronomical tide is very likely to inundate low lying
areas of South 24-Parganas district of West Bengal and Jagatsinghpur district of Odisha
during the time of landfall.
(iv) Sea Condition:
Northwest Bay of Bengal: Sea condition is likely to be Very High till 25th morning and
improve gradually thereafter.
Adjoining areas of central Bay of Bengal: Sea condition is likely to be high till 24th October
midnight. It is likely to improve gradually thereafter.
Adjoining areas of northeast Bay of Bengal: Sea condition is likely to be Rough to Very
Rough till 25th morning and improve gradually thereafter.
Along & off Odisha-west Bengal coasts: High to Very High till 25th Oct forenoon and
improve gradually thereafter.
Next bulletin will be issued at 2330 hours IST of today, the 24th October, 2024.
(M. Sharma)
Scientist-D, RSMC & IMD, New Delhi
Radar Image from Gopalpur Radar at 1916 hrs IST of 24th Oct 2024
OBSERVED AND FORECAST TRACK ALONGWITH CONE OF UNCERTAINITY OF SEVERE
CYCLONIC STORM ‘DANA’ OVER NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL BASED ON 1200 UTC
(1730 Hrs. IST) OF 24th OCTOBER 2024
.
• Action may be taken based on ORANGE AND RED COLOUR warnings.
• Vulnerable regions likely urban and hilly areas action may be initiated for heavy rainfall
warning.
• As the lead period increases forecast accuracy decreases.
District-wise Warning of Odisha
District-wise Warning of West Bengal
Storm Surge warning graphics
Impact Based Forecast by Web-Based Dynamic Composite Risk Atlas &
Decision Support System (Web-DCRA & DSS)
24 HOURS OUTLOOK FOR THE FLASH FLOOD RISK