18.National Bulletin No 18-24Oct2024_1730IST

Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 16

India Meteorological Department

(Ministry of Earth Sciences)

NATIONAL BULLETIN NO. 18 (BOB/06/2024)

TIME OF ISSUE:2030 HOURS IST DATED: 24.10.2024

FROM: INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT (FAX NO. 24643965/24699216/24623220)

TO: CONTROL ROOM, NDM, MINISTRY OF HOME AFFAIRS (FAX.NO. 23093750)


CONTROL ROOM NDMA (FAX.NO. 26701729)
CABINET SECRETARIAT (FAX.NO.23012284, 23018638)
PS TO HON’BLE MINISTER FOR S & T AND EARTH SCIENCES (FAX NO.23316745)
SECRETARY, MOES (FAX NO. 24629777)
H.Q. (INTEGRATED DEFENCE STAFF AND CDS) (FAX NO. 23005137/23005147)
DIRECTOR GENERAL, DOORDARSHAN (23385843)
DIRECTOR GENERAL, AIR (23421105, 23421219)
PIB MOES (FAX NO. 23389042)
UNI (FAX NO. 23355841)
D.G. NATIONAL DISASTER RESPONSE FORCE (NDRF) (FAX NO. 26105912, 2436 3260)
DIRECTOR, PUNCTUALITY, INDIAN RAILWAYS (FAX NO. 23388503)
CHIEF SECRETARY, ODISHA (FAX NO. 0674-2536660)
CHIEF SECRETARY, WEST BENGAL (FAX NO. 033-22144328)
CHIEF SECRETARY, ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS (FAX NO. 03192-232656)
CHIEF SECRETARY, ANDHRA PRADESH (FAX NO. 0863-2441029)
CHIEF SECRETARY, TAMIL NADU (FAX NO. 044-25672304)
CHIEF SECRETARY, PUDUCHERRY (FAX NO. 0413-2334145)
CHIEF SECRETARY, JHARKHAND (FAX NO. 0651-2400240)
CHIEF SECRETARY, BIHAR (FAX NO. 0612-2205800)

Subject: Severe Cyclonic storm “DANA” over northwest Bay of Bengal (Post
Landfall Outlook for Odisha and West Bengal coasts: Red Message)
The severe cyclonic storm “DANA” (pronounced as Dana) over northwest Bay of Bengal
moved north-northwestwards with a speed of 13 kmph during past 6 hours and lay centred
at 1730 hrs IST of today, the 24th October, over the same region, near latitude 19.8° N and
longitude 87.5°E, about 100 km east-southeast of Paradip (Odisha), 130 km south-
southeast of Dhamara (Odisha) and 210 km south-southwest of Sagar Island (West
Bengal).

It is very likely to move north-northwestwards and cross north Odisha and West Bengal
coasts between Puri and Sagar Island close to Bhitarkanika and Dhamara (Odisha) during
mid-night of 24th to morning of 25th October, 2024 as a severe Cyclonic Storm with a
wind speed of 100-110 kmph gusting 120 kmph.

The system is under continuous surveillance of the Doppler Weather Radar at Paradip
and Gopalpur.
Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:
Date/Time (IST) Position Maximum Category Of Cyclonic
(Lat. °N/ Long. °E) Sustained Surface Wind Disturbance
Speed (Kmph)
24.10.24/1730 19.8/87.5 105-115 gusting to 125 Severe Cyclonic Storm
24.10.24/2330 20.4/87.2 100-110 gusting to 120 Severe Cyclonic Storm
25.10.24/0530 20.8/86.8 100-110 gusting to 120 Severe Cyclonic Storm
25.10.24/1130 21.1/86.4 85-95 gusting to 105 Cyclonic Storm
25.10.24/1730 21.2/85.9 50-60 gusting to 70 Deep Depression

(i) Rainfall Warning:


❖ Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places
and extremely heavy rainfall (≥ 21 cm) at isolated places over Baleswar, Mayurbhanj,
Bhadrak, Kendrapara, Jagatsingpur Kendujhar, Jajpur, Cuttack and Dhenkanal,
Khorda and Puri districts of Odisha on 24th & 25th October.
❖ Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few
places with extremely heavy rainfall at isolated places over South & North 24 Parganas,
East & West Medinipur, Jhargram, Howrah, Hooghly, Kolkata and Bankura districts of
Gangetic West Bengal on 24th & 25th October.
❖ Light to moderate rainfall at most places is likely over south Jharkhand with heavy rainfall
at isolated places on 24th and heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places on 25th
October.
❖ Light to moderate rainfall at most places is likely over South Bihar with heavy rainfall at
isolated places on 24th and 25th October.

(ii) Wind Warning:


Northwest Bay of Bengal: Gale wind speed reaching 105-115 gusting to 125 kmph is
prevailing. It is likely to increase gradually becoming 105-115 kmph gusting to 125 kmph from
24th Oct evening to mid-night and 100-110 kmph gusting to 120 kmph till morning of 25th
October.

Adjoining areas of central Bay of Bengal: Gale wind speed reaching 80-90 kmph gusting to
110 kmph is prevailing and likely to continue till 24th Oct midnight. It is likely to decrease
gradually thereafter.

Along & off Odisha-west Bengal coasts: Gale wind speed reaching 60-70 kmph gusting to
80 kmph is prevailing. It would gradually increase becoming 100-110 kmph gusting to 120
kmph along & off north Odisha and east Medinipur district of West Bengal from 24th afternoon
till morning of 25th October and decrease gradually thereafter.
Gale wind speed reaching 60-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph is likely along & off south Odisha
and remaining districts of coastal West Bengal from 24th evening till 25th Oct morning and
decrease gradually thereafter.
Adjoining areas of northeast Bay of Bengal: Squally wind speed reaching 50-60 kmph
gusting to 70 kmph is likely to prevail till 25th morning and decrease gradually thereafter.

South Jharkhand: Squally wind speed reaching 40-50 gusting to 60 kmph is very likely to
prevail from morning of 25th till evening of 26th October.
(iii) Storm surge warning:
Storm surge of 1.0 to 2.0 m height above astronomical tide is very likely to inundate low lying
areas of Kendrapara, Bhadrak & Balasore districts of Odisha and East Medinipur districts of
West Bengal during the time of landfall.
Storm surge of 0.5 to 1.0 m height above astronomical tide is very likely to inundate low lying
areas of South 24-Parganas district of West Bengal and Jagatsinghpur district of Odisha
during the time of landfall.
(iv) Sea Condition:

Northwest Bay of Bengal: Sea condition is likely to be Very High till 25th morning and
improve gradually thereafter.

Adjoining areas of central Bay of Bengal: Sea condition is likely to be high till 24th October
midnight. It is likely to improve gradually thereafter.

Adjoining areas of northeast Bay of Bengal: Sea condition is likely to be Rough to Very
Rough till 25th morning and improve gradually thereafter.

Along & off Odisha-west Bengal coasts: High to Very High till 25th Oct forenoon and
improve gradually thereafter.

(v) Fishermen Warning:


➢ Total suspension of fishing operations on 24th & 25th Oct over Central and North Bay of
Bengal.
➢ Fishermen are advised not to venture into
• Adjoining areas of central Bay of Bengal till 24th Oct.
• Northwest & adjoining northeast Bay of Bengal and along & off Odisha, West Bengal
and Bangladesh coasts till 25th October.
❖ Impact Expected over districts of Odisha (Baleswar, Bhadrak, Kendrapara, Jajpur,
Jagatsinghpur, Puri, Khorda, Mayurbhanj, Kendujhar, Cuttack, Dhenkanal) and West
Bengal (East & West Medinipur, South & North 24 Parganas, Jhargram, Howrah,
Hooghly, Kolkata, & Bankura)
➢ Major damage to thatched houses/ huts. Roof tops may blow off. Unattached metal sheets
may fly.
➢ Breaking of tree branches and uprooting of trees. Large dead limbs blown from trees.
➢ Damage to power and communication lines.
➢ Major damage to Kutcha and some damage to Pucca roads. Flooding of escape routes.
➢ Damage to vulnerable structure.
➢ Major damage to standing crops including banana, papaya, horticultural and vegetable
crops due to inundation and wind.
➢ Damage to embankments/ salt pans.
➢ Localized Flooding of roads, water logging in low lying areas and closure of underpasses
mainly in urban areas of the above region.
➢ Occasional reduction in visibility due to heavy rainfall.
➢ Disruption of traffic in major cities and roadways due to water logging in roads and poor
visibility due to heavy rain leading to increased travel time and incidents
➢ Localized Landslides/Mudslides/landslips/mud slips/land sinks/mud sinks.
➢ Likely disruption of marine and inland water transportation like small boats and trawlers.
➢ It may lead to riverine flooding in some river catchments (for riverine flooding please visit
Webpage of Central Water Commission)
❖ Action Suggested for districts of Odisha (Baleswar, Bhadrak, Kendrapara, Jajpur,
Jagatsinghpur, Puri, Khorda, Mayurbhanj, Kendujhar, Cuttack, Dhenkanal) and
West Bengal (East & West Medinipur, South & North 24 Parganas, Jhargram,
Howrah, Hooghly, Kolkata & Bankura)
➢ Total suspension of fishing operations during 24th to 25th Oct over Central and North Bay of
Bengal.
➢ Fishermen are advised not to venture into
✓ Adjoining areas of central Bay of Bengal till 24th Oct.
✓ Northwest and adjoining northeast Bay of Bengal and along & off Odisha, West
Bengal and Bangladesh coasts on 24th & 25th October morning.
➢ Movement in motor boats unsafe
➢ Coastal hutment dwellers to be moved to safer places.
➢ People in affected areas to remain indoors.
➢ Judicious regulation of onshore/offshore, Port and maritime activities including shipping.
➢ Judicious regulation of tourism activities in coastal areas.
➢ Judicious regulation of surface transports including railways and roadways.
➢ Check for traffic congestion on your route before leaving for your destination.
➢ Follow any traffic advisories that are issued in this regard.
➢ Avoid going to areas that face the water logging problems often.
➢ Avoid staying in vulnerable structure.

Next bulletin will be issued at 2330 hours IST of today, the 24th October, 2024.

(M. Sharma)
Scientist-D, RSMC & IMD, New Delhi

Copy to: ACWC Kolkata/ACWC Chennai/CWC Bhubaneswar/CWC Vishakhapatnam/Meteorological Centre Port


Plair/MC Ranchi/MC, Patna
Severe Cyclonic Storm “Dana”
19.8N/87.5°E
Radar Image from Paradeep Radar at 1922 hrs IST of 24th Oct 2024

Radar Image from Gopalpur Radar at 1916 hrs IST of 24th Oct 2024
OBSERVED AND FORECAST TRACK ALONGWITH CONE OF UNCERTAINITY OF SEVERE
CYCLONIC STORM ‘DANA’ OVER NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL BASED ON 1200 UTC
(1730 Hrs. IST) OF 24th OCTOBER 2024

Forecast DISTANCE (KM) AND DIRECTION FROM STATIONS


Date and Time (UTC) PARADIP (CWR) DHAMARA SAGAR ISLAND
24.10.24/1200 100, ESE 130, SSE 210, SSW
25.10.24/1200 130, NW 110, WNW 230, WSW
OBSERVED AND FORECAST TRACK ALONGWITH QUADRANT WIND DISTRIBUTION
OF SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM ‘DANA’ OVER NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL BASED
ON 1200 UTC (1730 Hrs. IST) OF 24th OCTOBER 2024

.
• Action may be taken based on ORANGE AND RED COLOUR warnings.
• Vulnerable regions likely urban and hilly areas action may be initiated for heavy rainfall
warning.
• As the lead period increases forecast accuracy decreases.
District-wise Warning of Odisha
District-wise Warning of West Bengal
Storm Surge warning graphics
Impact Based Forecast by Web-Based Dynamic Composite Risk Atlas &
Decision Support System (Web-DCRA & DSS)
24 HOURS OUTLOOK FOR THE FLASH FLOOD RISK

You might also like