National Bulletin No 32-30aug2024 - 2330IST

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India Meteorological Department

(Ministry of Earth Sciences)

NATIONAL BULLETIN NO. 32 (LAND/02/2024)

TIME OF ISSUE: 0130 HOURS IST DATED:31.08.2024

FROM:INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT (FAX NO. 24643965/24699216/24623220)

TO: CONTROL ROOM, NDM, MINISTRY OF HOME AFFAIRS (FAX.NO. 23093750)


CONTROL ROOM NDMA (FAX.NO. 26701729)
CABINET SECRETARIAT (FAX.NO.23012284, 23018638)
PS TO HON’BLE MINISTER FOR S & T AND EARTH SCIENCES (FAX NO.23316745)
SECRETARY, MOES (FAX NO. 24629777)
H.Q. (INTEGRATED DEFENCE STAFF AND CDS) (FAX NO. 23005137/23005147)
DIRECTOR GENERAL, DOORDARSHAN (23385843)
DIRECTOR GENERAL, AIR (23421105, 23421219)
PIB MOES (FAX NO. 23389042)
UNI (FAX NO. 23355841)
D.G. NATIONAL DISASTER RESPONSE FORCE (NDRF) (FAX NO. 26105912, 2436 3260)
DIRECTOR, PUNCTUALITY, INDIAN RAILWAYS (FAX NO. 23388503)
CHIEF SECRETARY, ODISHA (FAX NO. 0674-2536660)
CHIEF SECRETARY, WEST BENGAL (FAX NO. 033-22144328)
CHIEF SECRETARY, ANDHRA PRADESH (FAX NO. 0863-2441029)
CHIEF SECRETARY, TELANGANA (FAX NO. 040-23453700)
CHIEF SECRETARY, MAHARASHTRA (FAX NO. 022- 22028594)
CHIEF SECRETARY, GUJARAT (FAX NO. 079-23250305)
CHIEF SECRETARY, DAMAN & DIU (FAX NO. 0260-2230775)
CHIEF SECRETARY, DADRA & NAGAR HAVELI (FAX NO. 0260-2645466)
CHIEF SECRETARY, GOA (FAX NO. 0832-2415201)

Sub: (a) Cyclonic Storm “ASNA” (pronounced as As-Na) over northeast Arabian Sea
off Pakistan coast and (b) Well Marked Low Pressure Area over Westcentral & adjoining
Northwest Bay of Bengal.

(a) Cyclonic Storm “ASNA” (pronounced as As-Na) over northeast Arabian Sea off
Pakistan coast
The Cyclonic Storm “ASNA” (pronounced as As-Na) over northeast Arabian Sea off
Kachchh and adjoining Pakistan coasts moved westwards with a speed of 14 kmph during past
6 hours and lay centered at 2330 hours IST of 30th August, 2024 over the same region near
latitude 23.6°N and longitude 66.4°E, 250 km west of Naliya (Gujarat), 160 km south-southwest
of Karachi (Pakistan) and 350 km east-southeast of Pasni (Pakistan)
It is likely to continue to move nearly west-northwestwards over northeast Arabian Sea away
from Indian coast during next 24 hours and west-southwest wards subsequently.
Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:
Date/Time(IST) Position Maximum sustained surface Category of cyclonic
(Lat. 0N/ long. 0E) wind speed (Kmph) disturbance
30.08.24/2330 23.6/66.4 65-75 gusting to 85 Cyclonic Storm
31.08.24/0530 23.7/65.6 70-80 gusting to 90 Cyclonic Storm
31.08.24/1130 23.8/64.8 70-80 gusting to 90 Cyclonic Storm
31.08.24/1730 23.8/64.0 60-70 gusting to 80 Cyclonic Storm
31.08.24/2330 23.7/63.2 55-65 gusting to 75 Cyclonic Storm
01.09.24/1130 23.4/61.8 50-60 gusting to 70 Deep Depression
01.09.24/2330 23.1/60.3 40-50 gusting to 60 Depression

Warnings:
(i) Wind warning:
o Squally wind speed reaching 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph is prevailing along & off Pakistan
and adjoining Saurashtra & Kachchh coasts. It is likely to decrease becoming squally wind
speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph from 31st August night. It will further decrease
thereafter.
o Gale wind speed reaching 65-75 kmph gusting to 80 kmph is prevailing over northeast &
adjoining eastcentral Arabian Sea. It is likely to increase becoming 70-80 kmph gusting to 90
kmph from morning to evening of 31st August and decrease gradually becoming squally wind
speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph from morning of 1st September.
o Squally wind speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph is prevailing over northwest
Arabian Sea off Pakistan coast and likely to increase gradually becoming Gale wind speed
reaching 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph from morning of 31st August morning. Thereafter, the
winds would gradually decrease becoming squally wind speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting to
70 kmph from morning and 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph by evening of 1st September.
o Strong wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph is likely to prevail over adjoining
central Arabian Sea till 2nd September morning and along and off Gujarat & north Maharashtra
coasts till 31st August.

(ii) Sea condition:


o Squally weather with Rough to very rough sea conditions is very likely to prevail along & off
Gujarat & adjoining north Maharashtra Coasts till 31st August.
o Squally weather with Rough sea conditions is likely along & off Pakistan coast till 1st September.
o Very rough to high sea condition is likely to prevail over northeast Arabian Sea off Pakistan coast
during 31st August and improve thereafter.
o Very rough to high Sea condition is likely to prevail over northwest Arabian Sea off Pakistan and
southeast Iran coasts from 31st August till 1st September, Rough sea condition on 2nd September
and improve thereafter.

(iii) Fishermen warning:


Fishermen are advised not venture into
o Northeast & adjoining Eastcentral Arabian Sea and along & off Gujarat & adjoining north
Maharashtra Coasts till 31st August.
o Northeast & adjoining eastcentral Arabian Sea off Gujarat coast and along & off Pakistan coasts
during 31st August to 1st September.
o Northwest & adjoining westcentral Arabian Sea and along & off Pakistan coast from 31st August
till 2nd September.
(b) Well Marked Low Pressure Area over Westcentral & adjoining Northwest Bay of Bengal
The well marked low pressure area over westcentral & adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal off north
Andhra Pradesh & South Odisha persisted and lay over the same region at 2330 hours IST of 30th
August, 2024.
It is likely to move further west-northwestwards towards north Andhra Pradesh and adjoining south
Odisha coasts, intensify into a depression over westcentral and adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal
during next 24 hours.
Warnings:
(i) Rainfall Warning:
Odisha: Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated
places on 31st August. Light to moderate rainfall at most places with isolated heavy rainfall likely on
1st September.

Coastal Andhra Pradesh: Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy rainfall at isolated
places during 31st August to 1st September and heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places on
31st August.

(ii) Wind warning:


o Squally weather with wind speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph is prevailing over
Westcentral and adjoining Northwest Bay of Bengal and likely to increase becoming 45-55 kmph
gusting to 65 kmph on 31st August.
o Squally wind speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph is likely to prevail along & off North
Andhra Pradesh & south Odisha coasts on 31st August.

(iii) Sea condition:


o Rough sea condition is very likely to prevail over Westcentral and adjoining Northwest Bay of
Bengal till 31st August.
o Rough sea condition is very likely to prevail along & off North Andhra Pradesh & south Odisha
coasts on 31st August.

(iv) Fishermen warning:


Fishermen are advised not venture into
o Westcentral & adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal till 31st August and along & off south Odisha
and north Andhra Pradesh Coasts on 31st August.

 Impact Expected
 Localized Flooding of roads, water logging in low lying areas and closure of underpasses
mainly in urban areas of the above region.
 Occasional reduction in visibility due to heavy rainfall.
 Reduction of visibility over sea area due to sea spray induced by strong wind and heavy
rainfall.
 Disruption of traffic in major cities due to water logging in roads leading to increased travel
time.
 Minor damage to kutcha roads.
 Possibilities of damage to vulnerable structure.
 Localized Landslides/Mudslides/landslips/mud slips/land sinks/mud sinks.
 Damage to horticulture and standing crops in some areas due to inundation.
 It may lead to riverine flooding in some river catchments (for riverine flooding please visit Web
page of CWC)
 Action Suggested
Fishermen are advised not venture into
o Northeast & adjoining Eastcentral Arabian Sea and along & off Gujarat & adjoining north
Maharashtra Coasts till 31st August.
o Northeast & adjoining eastcentral Arabian Sea off Gujarat coast and along & off Pakistan coasts
during 30th August to 1st September.
o Northwest & adjoining westcentral Arabian Sea and along & off Pakistan and southeast Iran
coasts from 31st August till 2nd September.
o Westcentral & adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal till 31st August and along & off south Odisha
and north Andhra Pradesh Coasts on 31st August.
 Judicious regulation of offshore/onshore Operations
 Judicious regulation of surface transports including railways and roadways.
 Check for traffic congestion on your route before leaving for your destination.
 Follow any traffic advisories that are issued in this regard.
 Avoid going to areas that face the water logging problems often.
 Avoid staying in vulnerable structure.

 Agromet Advisories for Heavy Rainfall likely over Gujarat, Odisha and Andhra Pradesh due
to both systems
 Make provision for draining out excess water from crop fields to avoid water stagnation in
Gujarat State, Odisha and Andhra Pradesh.
 Provide mechanical support to horticultural crops and staking to vegetables.

Next bulletin will be issued at 0530 hours IST of 31st August, 2024.

(Akhil Srivastava)
Scientist-D, Cyclone Warning Division,
IMD, New Delhi

Copy to: ACWC Kolkata/ACWC Mumbai/RMC Mumbai/CWC Ahmedabad/MC Jaipur/RMC,


Nagpur/MC, Bhopal//CWC Bhubaneswar/MC, Goa/MC, Ranchi
Cyclonic Storm ASNA
(23.6 °N/66.4 °E)

WELL MARKED LOW


PRESSURE AREA
Weather Warning Graphics
 Action may be taken based on ORANGE AND RED COLOUR warnings.
 Vulnerable regions likely urban and hilly areas action may be initiated for heavy rainfall warning.
 As the lead period increases forecast accuracy decreases.
District wise Warning Graphics
Gujarat

30/08/2024 31/08/2024

Flash Flood Guidance


24 hours Outlook for the Flash Flood Risk
(FFR) till 1730 IST of 31-08-2024 :

Low flash flood risk likely over few


watersheds & neighbourhoods of
Saurashtra & Kutch - Kachchh
district.

Surface runoff/ Inundation may occur


at some fully saturated soils & low-
lying areas over AoC as shown in map
due to expected rainfall occurrence in
next 24 hours.

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