parámetros

4.1 Interv!"# $e %"n&n' (r ! )e$*

4.+ Interv!"# $e %"n&n' (r ! vr*n'
4., Interv!"# $e %"n&n' $e (r"("r%*"ne#
4.4 Interv!"# $e %"n&n' (r !#
$*-eren%*#
ESTADISTICA Y PROBABILIDAD
APLICADA AL CAMPO PETROLERO
ING. MARY CARMEN BACA GUTIERRE
GARCIA ANTONIO ROSA ANEL
GARCIA
TORRES PIÑA JENIFER DALLAN
GRUPO 1 4ºSEMESTRE
INGENIERIA PETROLERA
 Introducción

 En e! )")ent" $e t")r $e%*#*"ne# e! %"n"%*)*ent" $e !"# (r/)etr"# $e

("0!%*n e# $e v*t! *)("rtn%*2 t! %"n"%*)*ent" 3ener!)ente #e (e$e
tener ! e#t*)r e! v!"r $e $*%"# (r/)etr"#2 #*n e)0r3"2 ! e#t*)%*n e#
)e6"r %n$" #e $ n )r3en $e %"n&n' 7 n" $e err"r2 #*en$"
*)("rtnte ! %"rre%t e#t*)%*n $e $*%"# (r/)etr"#  trv8# $e !
%"n#tr%%*n $e *nterv!"# $e %"n&n' 9e (e$n ##tentr ! t") $e
$e%*#*"ne# $e )ner e&%*ente.

 E:*#ten $"# t*("# $e e#t*)%*"ne# (r (r/)etr"#; Pnt!e# 7 ("r

Interv!".
 Intervaos de con!an"a para a
media

 Un *nterv!" $e %"n&n' #e %!%! #*e)(re #e!e%%*"nn$" (r*)er" n n*ve! $e

%"n&n'2 9e e# n )e$*$ $e! 3r$" $e %"n&0*!*$$ en e! *nterv!".
 En e! %"nte:t" $e e#t*)r n (r/)etr" ("0!%*"n!2 n *nterv!" $e %"n&n' e# n
rn3" $e v!"re# <%!%!$" en n )e#tr= en e! %! #e en%entr e! ver$$er"
v!"r $e! (r/)etr"2 %"n n (r"00*!*$$ $eter)*n$.
 C")" #0e)"# ! )e$* e# *ntere#nte %")" )e$*$ $e %entr!*'%*n %n$" !
$*#tr*0%*n $e ! )*#) e# )# " )en"# n"r)!2 *n%!#" ("$e)"# %er e#t*)%*"ne#
n9e !# )e#tr# #en (e9e>#2 %"n #"!" ver*&%r#e 9e ! $*#tr*0%*n $e !
vr*0!e e# n"r)!2 7 9e ! $*#tr*0%*n $e! e#t*)$"r e# %"n"%*$ $e -"r) e:%t
%")" $*#tr*0%*n t?#t$ent. En %!9*er %#" #* !# )e#tr# #"n 3rn$e2 n9e !
$*#tr*0%*n $e !"# $t"# n" #e n"r)!2 ! )e$* %")" en e! %#" $e !# (r"("r%*"ne#
$e $*#tr*07e $e )ner (r":*)$)ente n"r)!.
 E#empo $

 Se en%entr 9e ! %"n%entr%*n (r")e$*" $e '*n% $e n )e#tr $e ,@ %ere!e# e#

$e +.@ 3r)"# ("r )*!*3r)". En%entre !"# *nterv!"# $e %"n&n' $e 5 7 
(r ! %"n%entr%*n )e$* $e '*n% en e! %ere!. S("n3 9e ! $e#v*%*n e#t/n$r
$e ! ("0!%*n e# .,.
 SOLUCION
L e#t*)%*n (nt! $e  e# E! v!"r $e ! )e$* $e ! )e#tr=. E! v!"r $e (r n
n*ve! $e %"n&n' $e! 5 e# 1.@2 ("r !" tnt";
Pr n n*ve! $e %"n&n' $e  e! v!"r $e ' e# $e +.55 ("r !" 9e e!
*nterv!" #er/ )/# )(!*"
 E#empo %

 L# vent# $*r*#2 en er"#2 en n $eter)*n$" %")er%*" #*3en n $*#tr*0%*n

N<52+=. C!%! ! (r"00*!*$$ $e 9e !# vent# $*r*# en e#e %")er%*"
 A= #(eren !"# 1+ er"#.
 B= E#t8n entre  7 1 er"#.
SOLUCION
 Intervaos de con!an"a para a
varian"a
 S* tene)"# n )e#tr $e t)>" n t")$ $e n ("0!%*n n"r)!2 ("$e)"#
"0tener n *nterv!" $e %"n&n' $e! n*ve! $$" <2 52 2 et%= (r ! vr*n'
#0*en$" 9e e! v!"r $e %* %$r$ e# (r e#te %#"



E! %! e# n vr*0!e !et"r* 9e t*ene n $*#tr*0%*n C* %$r$ %"n n ?1
3r$"# $e !*0ert$. P"r !" tnt"2 ("$e)"# e)(!er e#t $e&n*%*n (r e#t*)r n
*nterv!" $e %"n&n' 7 9e !" 9e ne%e#*t)"# e# 9e

 D"n$e e# e! v!"r $e C* %$r$ (r !"# 3r$"# $e !*0ert$ 7 n*ve! $e %"n&n' <1 ?
H= e#(e%*-*%$".
 E#empo $

 Pr $eter)*nr n e#t*)$" $e *nterv!" $e ! vr*n' ("0!%*"n! $e !# %nt*$$e#

$e !!en$"2 re%er$e 9e ! )e#tr e# $e + env#e# 9e (re#ent n vr*n' $e
 .+5. C"n n t)>" $e )e#tr $e + 2 !"# 3r$"# $e !*0ert$ #"n $e 1. #e
$eter)*n 9e ree)(!'n$" !"# v!"re# en ! e%%*n
tene)"# 9e


 O #e 9e e! *nterv!" #e en%entr $entr" $e !"# !*)*te#

 E#empo %

 L vr*n' $e ! re#*#ten%*  ! r"tr $e , %0!e# (r"0$"# -e $e ,+. !!e n

*nterv!" $e %"n&n' $e! 2 (r ! vr*n' $e ! re#*#ten%* $e t"$"# !"# %0!e#
$e e#t )r%.
SOLUCION
L"# v!"re# $e (ertene%en  n $*#tr*0%*n $e %*?%$r$" %"n +
3r$"# $e !*0ert$. C")" (e$e "0#ervr#e en ! &3r e! /re 9e 7 ("r $e06" $e 

K+ e# 25 ("r !" tnt"  121 7 e! /re 9e 7 ("r $e06" $e e# 25 ("r
!" tnt" 4+25@.

Ree)(!'n$" ! e%%*n "0tene)"#

P"r r'"ne# $e t*!*$$ #e !! e! *nterv!" $e %"n&n' (r ! $e#v*%*n e#t/n$r2
#%n$" ! r' %$r$ $e !"# !*)*te#2 ("r !" tnt"

E! (r")e$*" $e vr*%*n " $*#(er#*n $e ! r"tr $e %0!e# $e $*% )r%2 e#t

entre 15 7 +,, L0 %"n n %"n&0*!*$$ $e! .
 Intervaos de con!an"a de
proporciones

 Un e#t*)$"r (nt! $e ! (r"("r%*n P en n e:(er*)ent" 0*n")*! e#t/ $$" ("r !

e#t$#t*% PKN2 $"n$e  re(re#ent e! n)er" $e 8:*t"# en N (re0#. P"r tnt"2 !
(r"("r%*n $e ! )e#tr (:Kn #e t*!*'r/ %")" e#t*)$"r (nt! $e! (r/)etr" P.
S* n" #e e#(er 9e ! (r"("r%*n P $e#%"n"%*$ e#t8 $e)#*$" %er% $e   $e 12 #e
(e$e e#t0!e%er n *nterv!" $e %"n&n' (r P ! %"n#*$err ! $*#tr*0%*n
)e#tr! $e (r"("r%*"ne#.

 C"n#*$ern$" e! v!"r ' (r ! $*#tr*0%*n $e (r"("r%*"ne#

 S* *ntent)"# $e#(e6r e! v!"r $e P n"# en%"ntr)"# %"n 9e

Per" %)" ("$e)"# en%"ntrr P #* t)0*8n e#t/ $e! !$" $ere%" $e ! e%%*n L" 9e
re)"# e# (r":*)r ! (r"("r%*n $e ! ("0!%*n ("r ! $e ! )e#tr2 e# $e%*r ##t*t*r P
("r ! (r"("r%*n $e ! )e#tr ( #*e)(re 7 %n$" e! t)>" $e )e#tr n" #e (e9e>".

Cn$" n e# (e9e> 7 ! (r"("r%*n $e#%"n"%*$ P #e %"n#*$er %er%n     12 e!

(r"%e$*)*ent" $e! *nterv!" $e %"n&n' 9e #e e#t0!e%e 9 n" e# %"n&0!e 7 9e
re!)ente #e $e0er e)(!er ! $*#tr*0%*n 0*n")*!2 ("r tnt"2 n" #e $e0e t*!*'r.

Pr e#tr #e3r"#2 #e $e0e re9er*r 9e n( 7 n<1?(= #e )7"r " *3!  5. E! err"r $e
e#t*)%*n #er/ ! $*-eren%* 0#"!t entre ( 7 P2 7 ("$e)"# tener e! n*ve! $e %"n&n'
$e 9e e#t $*-eren%* n" e:%e$er/ e! v!"r $e
 E#empo $
 En n e#t$*" $e , %%*$ente# $e t")v*! en n %*$$ e#(e%&%2 @ tv*er"n
%"n#e%en%*# -t!e#. C"n 0#e en e#t )e#tr2 %"n#tr7 n *nterv!" $e! 5 $e
%"n&n' (r (r":*)r ! (r"("r%*n $e t"$"# !"# %%*$ente# t")"v*!#t*%"# 9e
en e# %*$$ t*enen %"n#e%en%*# -t!e#.
SOLUCION
 E#empo %

 T")$ ! 'r n )e#trn $e 5 (er#"n# en %*ert %")n*$$ tn")2 #e

en%"ntr 9e ++ !en !3n (er*$*%" 0*t!)ente. C!%!2 %"n n n*ve! $e
%"n&n' $e! 5 e! *nterv!" en e! 9e #e en%"ntrr ! ver$$er (r"("r%*n $e
!e%t"re# $e (er*$*%".
SOLUCION
De0e)"# (!*%r ! -"r)!

Pr"("r%*n )e#tr! $e !e%t"re#

Interv!" $e %"n&n' (r P <(r"("r%*n $e ("0!%*n 9e !eer/ (er*$*%"#.
 Intervaos de con!an"a para as
di&erencias

 En e#t #e%%*n #e ver/ e! %#" en $"n$e #e t*enen $"# ("0!%*"ne# %"n )e$*# 7
vr*n'# $e#%"n"%*$#2 7 #e $e#e en%"ntrr n *nterv!" $e %"n&n' (r !
$*-eren%* $e $"# )e$*# )1?)+.

 S* !"# t)>"# $e )e#tr# n1 7 n+ #"n )7"re# 9e ,2 ent"n%e#2 (e$e e)(!er#e
e! *nterv!" $e %"n&n' $e ! $*#tr*0%*n n"r)!. S*n e)0r3"2 %n$" #e t")n
)e#tr# (e9e># #e #("ne 9e !# ("0!%*"ne# $e *nter8# e#t/n $*#tr*0*$# $e
)ner n"r)!2 7 !"# *nterv!"# $e %"n&n' #e 0#n en ! $*#tr*0%*n t.
S*2 7 #"n !# )e$*# 7 !# vr*n'# $e $"# )e#tr# !et"r*# $e t)>" n1 7 n+2
re#(e%t*v)ente2 t")$# $e $"# ("0!%*"ne# n"r)!e# e *n$e(en$*ente# %"n vr*n'#
$e#%"n"%*$# (er" *3!e#2 ent"n%e# n *nterv!" $e %"n&n' $e! 1<1?= ("r %*ent"
(r ! $*-eren%* entre )e$*# e#

En $"n$e

E# e! e#t*)$"r %")0*n$" $e ! $ev*%*n e#t/n$r %")n $e ! ("0!%*n %"n n1 Q n+

?+ 3r$"# $e !*0ert$.
 E#empo $

 Un rt%!" (0!*%$" $*"  %"n"%er !"# re#!t$"# $e n n/!*#*# $e! (e#" $e %!%*" en
%e)ent" e#t/n$r 7 en %e)ent" %"nt)*n$" %"n (!")". L"# n*ve!e# 06"# $e %!%*"
*n$*%n 9e e! )e%n*#)" $e *$rt%*n $e! %e)ent" 9e$ 0!"9e$" 7 e#t" (er)*te
9e e! 3 t9e vr*# (rte# $e n e#tr%tr $e %e)ent". A! t")r $*e'
)e#tr# $e %e)ent" e#t/n$r2 #e en%"ntr 9e e! (e#" (r")e$*" $e %!%*" e# $e 
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