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    Price Monitoring and Analysis Country Brief: Bangladesh

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    Jinia Shoukot Progga
    Food prices in Bangladesh have been trending upward for the past year and have stabilized at high levels, with rice prices exceeding 2008 highs. Despite good harvests in 2010, some areas still experience food shortages and access issues, leaving vulnerable communities food insecure. A recent cold wave further impacted people's ability to work and food security. The government plans to import supplies and continue food distribution programs to support vulnerable populations.

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    Price Monitoring and Analysis Country Brief: Bangladesh

    Uploaded by

    Jinia Shoukot Progga
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    Food prices in Bangladesh have been trending upward for the past year and have stabilized at high levels, with rice prices exceeding 2008 highs. Despite good harvests in 2010, some areas still experience food shortages and access issues, leaving vulnerable communities food insecure. A recent cold wave further impacted people's ability to work and food security. The government plans to import supplies and continue food distribution programs to support vulnerable populations.

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    Food prices in Bangladesh have been trending upward for the past year and have stabilized at high levels, with rice prices exceeding 2008 highs. Despite good harvests in 2010, some areas still experience food shortages and access issues, leaving vulnerable communities food insecure. A recent cold wave further impacted people's ability to work and food security. The government plans to import supplies and continue food distribution programs to support vulnerable populations.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    26 views2 pages

    Price Monitoring and Analysis Country Brief: Bangladesh

    Uploaded by

    Jinia Shoukot Progga
    Food prices in Bangladesh have been trending upward for the past year and have stabilized at high levels, with rice prices exceeding 2008 highs. Despite good harvests in 2010, some areas still experience food shortages and access issues, leaving vulnerable communities food insecure. A recent cold wave further impacted people's ability to work and food security. The government plans to import supplies and continue food distribution programs to support vulnerable populations.

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    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    of 2

    Food Security Information for Decision Making

    European Union

    www.foodsec.org

    Price Monitoring and Analysis Country Brief


    Key Messages

    Bangladesh
    January-April 2011

    Food prices have shown an upward trend in the last year and are now stabilizing but remain at high levels. Nominal rice price has exceeded the highest levels observed in 2008. Despite the 2010 good harvests, localized food supply shortages and market access difficulties persist, with vulnerable communities continuing to experience food insecurity. Food security conditions were affected by a cold wave that hit the country constraining people s ability to work. The government plans to build stocks with imports and support people by continuing food distribution.

    Background
    In Bangladesh the total population is estimated to reach about 162 million with an annual growth rate of 1%. Although the rural population is 72%, the agricultural value addedd to GDP is around 18%. The proportion of undernourishment is 27%.
    Economic Indicators Total Population (millions) - 2009 (WB) Population growth rate - 2009 (WB) GNI per capita, $ PPP - 2009 (WB) Population below 1$ PPP per day - 2005 (MDGI) Rural population - 2009 (WB) Agriculture, value added (% of GDP) - 2009 (WB) View Data 162.221 1% 1550 49% 72% 18% Food Consumption Undernourished Population - 2005/2007 (FAO) Cereal share in total dietary energy consumption - 2007 (FAO) Meat share in total dietary energy consumption Health Indicators Pop. with sustainable access to improved sanitation - 2008 (WHO) Life expectancy at birth (years) both sexes - 2008 (WHO) Pop. with access to improved drinking water sources - 2008 (WHO) Prevalence of HIV among adults aged >= 15 years - 2009 (WHO) 53% 65 80% 0.05% 27% 78% n.a.

    Prices
    In Dhaka, rice prices in March/April were stable at around 34 Taka/Kg decreasing by 4% from January/February 2011. Wheat prices were at 24.6 Taka/Kg in April after a 15% decrease from January prices (28.8 Taka/Kg). However, this price is 42% higher than the corresponding levels of one year ago. In March, rice prices in Dhaka (476.08 USD/T) were 11% higher compared to the international prices of Rice Thai A1 Super (429 USD/T).

    Food Security Situation Assessment


    The food security situation of vulnerable groups could further deteriorate with the continuing escalation of staple food prices. People affected by Cyclone Aila in May 2009, amounting to some 3.9 million people in western Bangladesh, are the most vulnerable to food insecurity. The international community is providing them with food and agricultural inputs to help them recovering and rebuilding their lives. The FAO Hunger Map estimates high levels of undernourishment and IFPRI reports the situation of hunger as alarming.

    CURRENT EMERGENCY ASSESMENT

    Exceptional shortfall Widespread lack of in aggregate food access production supplies

    Severe localized food insecurity

    FAO/GIEWS CPFS 2010

    Bangladesh is not covered by FEWSNET. FEWSNET coverage is limited 14 African countries 1 Caribbean (Haiti) and 1 Central Asia (Afghanistan). Food security status is given for different parts of the country in each case.
    SCALE OF HUNGER (% of Undernourishment)

    FEWSNET

    Very high (>= 35%)

    High (25-34%)

    Moderately Moderately high (15-24%) low (5-14%)

    Very low FAO (< 5% under.) Hunger Map

    FAO Hunger Map classifies all countries of the world into five based on % of population undernourished.

    Extremely alarming

    Alarming

    Serious

    Moderate

    Low

    IFPRI/2010 GHI

    Source: GIEWS Country Briefs

    Food Security Information for Decision Making


    European Union

    www.foodsec.org

    Bangladesh
    Vegetation Condition
    Normal to very good vegetation conditions are observed in the major part of the country. The general indicator of vegetation condition provided below is the relative difference between the NDVI for April 2011 and the average of the last 10 years, calculated on the agricultural zones derived from the GLOBCOVER 2005 database (ESA).

    Food Balance Sheet


    The Aman paddy crop harvested in Nov-Dec is estimated at a record level of 18.8 mlnT. The three seasons total harvest accounts for a 2010 annual paddy production of 50.3 mlnT, 4% higher than the 2009 record crop. The 2010 winter wheat crop was estimated at about 0.9 mlnT, 6% above the previous year. The 2010/11 imports are expected to decline to 3.2 mlnT from the 4.2 mlnT of 2009/10.

    Source: JRC MARS FoodSec

    Source: GIEWS Country Briefs

    Crop phase in the reference period Sowing Growing Harvesting Rice (Aus) - Rice (Boro) - Wheat Potatoes - Rice (Boro) - Wheat Potatoes - Wheat

    Government Policies
    The Government has started to increase food distributions through its various Public Food Distribution Channels. It is helping the poor and ultra poor with subsidised rice distributions and ration cards.
    Consumer and market oriented measures Producer oriented measures Trade policy measures Safety net (increased or introduced)
    Different sources

    Natural Disasters, Drought and Conflicts


    The recent cold wave that hit the country has deteriorated the food security situation of many communities; the harsh weather could affect agriculture, fisheries and other natural resources, which will have a longer-term impact on the economic situation of already vulnerable communities.
    Refugees and IDPs Total in the country Total outside the country 2007 27626 17580 2008 28392 16809 2009 228586 12258

    Maintain stocks; Price control n.a. n.a. OMS; VDG; VGF; GR; EP

    Source: UNHCR Statistical Online Population Database, United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), Data extracted on 01/12/2010.

    Current events to watch


    No News Found

    (Click to see the full report)

    Disaster Type (last year) Earthquake Earthquake Flood

    Date 2010-09-10 2009-02-22 2010-10-01

    Location Chittagong Khulna Brahmanbaria District

    Alert 1/3 1/3 2/3

    For more information, contact: [email protected] Website: www.foodsec.org


    Powered By the GIEWS Workstation The Programme on Linking Information and Decision Making to Improve Food Security is funded by the European Union and implemented by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. * For a further analysis of prices in Bangladesh please see: Annex

    Source: Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System - 3 = 1000 or more people killed or 800000 or more people displaced. 2 = 100 or more people killed or 80000 or more displaced.

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