Lubricating Oil and Grease Manufacturing Plant
Lubricating Oil and Grease Manufacturing Plant
Lubricating Oil and Grease Manufacturing Plant
MANUFACTURING PLANT
PROMOTOR:
2024
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS ........................................................................... ii
LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES ........................................................ iv
LIST OF TABLES ....................................................................................................... iv
LIST OF FIGURES ..................................................................................................... iv
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS .....................................................................v
SUMMARY ............................................................................................... vii
1. BACKGROUND INFORMATION .......................................................1
1. 1. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................ 1
1. 1. 1. Literature Review ........................................................................................ 1
1. 2. THE CITY BENEFIT FROM THE INVESTMENT ............................................ 2
1. 3. OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY .......................................................................... 3
1. 4. METHODOLOGY AND APPROACH ................................................................ 3
1. 4. 1. Preliminary Assessment and Study Design .................................................. 3
1. 5. PRACTICAL DATA REVIEW OF LUBRICATING OIL AND GREASE......... 4
2. PRODUCT DESCRIPTION AND APPLICATION............................6
2. 1. Products Description of the Industry .................................................................... 6
2. 1. 1. Lubricating Motor Oils, Hydraulic and Brake Fluids ................................ 6
2. 1. 2. Grease ......................................................................................................... 7
2. 3. Recycle Lubricating Oil and Grease ..................................................................... 7
2. 2. Benefits of Recycling Used Oil ............................................................................ 8
3. MARKET STUDY AND PLANT CAPACITY .....................................9
3. 1. MARKET STUDY ............................................................................................... 9
3. 1. 3. Pricing and Distribution............................................................................ 10
3. 2. PLANT CAPACITY AND PRODUCTION PROGRAM .................................. 19
3. 2. 1. Plant Capacity ........................................................................................... 19
3. 2. 2. Production Program ................................................................................. 20
4. MATERIALS AND INPTUS ................................................................21
4. 1. RAW MATERIALS ........................................................................................... 21
4. 1. 1. Design of the Inputs of Lubricating Oil Production ................................. 21
4. 1. 2. Design of the Inputs of Lubricating Oil Production ................................. 21
4. 2. UTILITIES ......................................................................................................... 23
5. TECHNOLOGY AND ENGINEERING.............................................25
5. 1. TECHNOLOGY ................................................................................................. 25
5. 1. 1. Production Process of Lubricating Oil and Grease................................... 25
5. 1. 2. Source of Technology ................................................................................ 27
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5. 2. ENGINEERING ................................................................................................. 28
5. 2. 1. Machinery and Equipment ........................................................................ 28
5. 2. 2. Building and Civil Works .......................................................................... 29
5. 3. Environmental and Social Impact Assessment, ESIA ......................................... 30
6. HUMAN RESOURCE AND TRAINING REQUIREMENT ............32
6. 1. HUMAN RESOURCE REQUIREMENT .......................................................... 32
6. 2. TRAINING REQUIREMENT ............................................................................ 34
7. PROJECT ORGANIZATION AND MANAGEMENT .....................36
7. 1. PROJECT ORGANIZATION ............................................................................ 36
7. 2 IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE .................................................................... 38
7. 3. IMPLEMENTATION COST .............................................................................. 40
8. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS .....................................................................43
8. 1. TOTAL INITIAL INVESTMENT COST .......................................................... 44
8. 2. PRODUCTION COST........................................................................................ 45
8. 3. BANK LOAN REPAYMENT SCHEDULE...................................................... 46
8. 4. FINANCIAL EVALUATION ............................................................................ 47
8. 4. 1. Profitability ............................................................................................... 47
8. 4. 2. Ratios ........................................................................................................ 47
8. 4. 3. Break-even Analysis .................................................................................. 48
8. 4. 4. Pay-back Period ........................................................................................ 48
8. 4. 5. Internal Rate of Return, IRR ...................................................................... 48
8. 4. 6. Net Present Value, NPV ............................................................................ 49
8. 5. ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL BENEFITS ........................................................... 49
APPENDIX: FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF THE LUBRICATING OIL
AND GREASE MANUFACTURING PLANT BASED ON
COMFAR ...............................................................................................50
REFERENCES ..........................................................................................62
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LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES
LIST OF TABLES
TABLE 3. 1 : DISTRIBUTION OF THE LUBRICATING OIL AND GREASE PRODUCTS ..... 16
TABLE 3. 2 : PRODUCTION PROGRAMME OF THE ENVISAGED LUBRICATING OIL
AND GREASE MANUFACTURING PLANT ............................................................................... 20
LIST OF FIGURES
FIGURE 3. 1 : LUBRICANTS MARKET SIZE FROM 2023 TO 2034 ........................................... 9
FIGURE 3. 2: INCREMENT OF LUBRICANT PRICE IN THE WORLD.................................... 11
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LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
ABIQUIM : The Brazilian Chemical Industry Association
ADLI : Agricultural Development Led Industrialization
AGOA : African Growth and Opportunity Act
BCI : Brazilian Chemical Industry
CAGR : Compound Annual Growth Rate
COMFAR : Computer Module for Financial Analyses and Reporting
COMESA : Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa
CRGE : Climate Resilient Green Economy
CSA : Central Statistical Authority
DFQF : Duty Free and Quota Free
EBA : Everything But Arms
EEU : Ethiopian Electric Utility
EIC : Ethiopian Investment Commission
ERC : Ethiopian Railways Corporation
ERCA : Ethiopian Revenues and Customs Authority
ESA : Ethiopian Standard Authority
ESC : Ethiopian Sugar Corporation
EU : European Union
FDI : Foreign Direct Investment
GDP : Gross Domestic Product
GHG : greenhouse gas
GOE : Government of Ethiopia
GTP : Growth and Transformation Plan
IDS : Industrial Development Strategy
IMF : International Monetary Fund
IRR : Internal rate of return
Kg : Kilogram
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Km : Kilo meter
LDC : Least Developed Countries
Li : liter
LS : Lump sum
Ml : milliliter
m2 : Square meter
M3 : Cubic meter
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SUMMARY
The company envisages the establishment of a plant for the production of Lubricating Oil
and Grease from used oil with a capacity of 1,000. 00 tons and 800. 00 tons of
Lubricating Oil and Grease per annum within 46,904. 50 square meter of land at Girari
District, Kura Jida Sub-City, Sheger City Administration, ONRS.
Lubrication reduces friction and extends the lifespan of machinery and equipment,
playing a vital role across various industries and applications. Two primary types of
lubricants widely used to achieve optimal lubrication are lubricating oils and lubricating
greases.
Lubricating oil is thick fatty oil used to make the parts of a machine move easily and a
mixture of base oil, thickener and additives. Lubricating greases are also a lubricant for
smooth moving of machineries and a mixture of base oil, a thickener, and various
additives.
The country`s requirement of Lubricating Oil and Grease is met through local production
and import. The present (2024) demand for Lubricating Oil and Grease is huge including
import of high. The demand for Lubricating Oil and Grease is high as seen from local
and international studies.
As the raw materials required for the manufacturing of Lubricating Oil and Grease are
identified, the principal raw materials for Lubricating Oil and Grease are used oil from
vehicles and machineries, calcium, bleaching earth, animal fat and adhesives. All raw
materials have to be locally available from importers and local producers.
The total investment cost of the project including working capital is estimated at ETB
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137. 00 million. From the total investment, the highest share of cost is accounted by fixed
investment (ETB 122. 99 million or 89. 77%) followed by initial working capital cost
(ETB 8. 85 million or 6. 46%) and pre-operating cost (ETB 5. 16 million or 3. 77%).
There is a huge foreign currency for this project as the machines are available in abroad
from international companies. The required foreign currency of the project is about ETB
38. 10 million or 27. 81% of the initial investment of the project.
The project is financially viable with an internal rate of return (IRR) of 21. 14% and a net
present value (NPV) of ETB 51. 48 million, discounted at 12%. The industry paybacks
the initial investment within 5 years.
The break-even point for sales and capacity utilization are computed at ETB 859. 65
million and 52. 48% respectively, which are very attractive and has less risk for loss
making due to breaking even at low level of capacity utilization and sales.
The project can create employment for 142 persons in permanent basis and some
temporary staffs. The establishment of such factory will have a foreign exchange saving
effect to the country by substituting the current imports of Lubricating Oil and Grease.
The project will also create forward linkage with the service sector such as chemical,
industry, agriculture and others and backward linkage with the chemical, industry,
automobile, and others. The industry generates income for the Government in terms of
tax revenue and payroll tax. The industry will participate in income generating activities
of the societies.
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1. BACKGROUND INFORMATION
1. 1. INTRODUCTION
1. 1. 1. Literature Review
It is estimated that more than 30. 3 billion liters of used oil are produced every year. The
waste of lubricant oil is generated mostly from vehicles and engines. This lubricant waste
has a very high hazardous content from ash, carbon residue, asphaltenes, materials,
metals, water, and other dirty materials produced during lubricants inside the machine.
Used oils as hazardous wastes if disposed directly into the environment, especially rivers,
seas and lakes create problems, such as the problem of disposing of used oil into water
bodies not only contaminate water but also harmful to freshwater and marine life.
The waste of lubricant oil can be produced from various human activities such as
industry, mining, and workshop. Lubricating oil wastes is including B3 waste is
flammable so that if not handled the management and disposal will endanger human
health and the environment. Currently, this liquid waste has been dumped into the
environment and created many problems. Lubricating oil wastes are dumped on the
ground, under a ditch, or sent to a landfill, which is eventually absorbed into the ground or
floats on the water surface. The management of this lubricating oil wastes to make used
oil not pollute the environment and the nature of used oil becomes more harmless or even
can be used again as new oil. Lubricating oil wastes management also aims to create a
healthy environment for people's lives. Moreover, the handling of used oil well done, it
will be able to provide benefits for industries that reuse used oil as a lubricant of various
equipment, because used oil can still be used for lubricant again by way of different use
before.
This document was undertaken to show the Lubricating Oil and Grease Production
Investment profile in Girari Districty, Kura Jida Sub-City, Sheger City, ONRS. In
compiling the report, information from Ethiopian Investment Commission (EIC), trade
and industry development, Ethiopian Revenue and Customs Authority (ERCA), and
published sources have been augmented.
The Production of Lubricating Oil and Grease in Ethiopia is minimal compared to its raw
materials availability (huge used oil) in the country related to manufacturing industry and
automobiles industry. One of the main causes of this disparity is absence of potential
investor involved in the area.
The objective of the industry is in line with the national manufacturing and automobile
policies and strategies. The Ethiopian government has introduced multi-sectoral business
policies and strategies as part of its commitment to promote business, and achieve the
country‟s development goals.
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1. 5. PRACTICAL DATA REVIEW OF LUBRICATING OIL
AND GREASE
The challenges and prospects of the recycling of used oil in general and the lubricating
oil and grease manufacturing in particular all around the world have been accessed.
Recycling keeps oil out of our groundwater supplies, thus protecting drinking water
resources. Used motor oil can be reprocessed into fuel that can be used in furnaces for
heat, or in power plants to generate electricity for homes, schools and businesses.
The collection and recycling of used motor oil from our cars, trucks, motorcycles, boats,
RVs, or lawnmowers is the best way to protect the environment from this hazard and
conserve energy resources. A used lubricant is not ecologically safe, but by its technical
and physical properties corresponds to the requirements of beneficial reuse.
Used motor oil can also be re-refined into lubricating oils that meet the same API
specifications as virgin motor oil (American Petroleum Institute, www. recycleoil. org;
Pawlak, 2003). The recycling (reprocessing, re-refining) allows recovery of mineral base
oil, which is a valuable part in the production of lubricating oil used as a clean fuel and
to create many petroleum-based products. One gallon (3. 8 kg) of used oil can be re-
refined into 2. 3 kg of lubricating oil. For comparison, a 42-gallon (150 kg) barrel of
crude oil typically contains only 1/2 gallon (1. 9 kg) of lubricant-quality base oil (Lin
and Mendelssohn, 1998).
The prospect of the sector is wider for the developing and emerging economies due to
exponential growth of the population and the new consumption habits that has been
raised by the extensive industrialization for profitability and sustains life. The challenges
are also different both in the western developed world and the developing and
underdeveloped countries. Basically, the ageing workforce and dependence of import for
most Europeans, demographic structure for some northern hemisphere nations are the
major challenges of the chemical industry, particularly the Lubricating Oil and Grease
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market. In developing countries, poor administration and government concern, lack of
skilled man power and innovation are the biggest threats of the Lubricating Oil and
Grease industry sector in general, the Lubricating Oil and Grease sector in particular.
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2. PRODUCT DESCRIPTION AND
APPLICATION
2. 1. Products Description of the Industry
2. 1. 1. Lubricating Motor Oils, Hydraulic and Brake Fluids
Lubricating oil is a thick fatty oil used to make the parts of a machine move smoothly.
Lubricating oil creates a separating film between surfaces of adjacent moving parts to
minimize direct contact between them, decreasing heat caused by friction and reducing
wear. A lubricant is a substance that helps to reduce friction between surfaces in mutual
contact, which ultimately reduces the heat generated when the surfaces move. It may also
have the function of transmitting forces, transporting foreign particles, or heating or
cooling the surfaces. The property of reducing friction is known as lubricity.
In addition to industrial applications, lubricants are used for many other purposes. Other
uses include cooking, to reduce rusting and friction in machinery, through the use of
Motor oil and grease, bio-applications on humans, ultrasound examination, medical
examination, and sexual intercourse. It is mainly used to reduce friction and to contribute
to a better, more efficient functioning of a mechanism.
Lubricating oil prevents the metal surface from any type of corrosion and roughness. It
adds life to the machines and increases performance. It is extremely important to keep
the machines, engines, tools or other types of metal surfaces properly lubricated for
better efficiency and life. The content of thickeners in lubricating oil is about 10%-20%,
the content of base oils (most often petroleum fractions, called mineral oils) is about
75%-90%, and the content of additives is less than 5%. Vegetable oils or synthetic
liquids such as hydrogenated polyolefins, esters, silicones, fluorocarbons and many
others are sometimes used as base oils.
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2. 1. 2. Grease
Grease is a solid or semisolid lubricant formed as a dispersion of thickening agents in a
liquid lubricant. Grease generally consists of a soap emulsified with mineral or vegetable
oil.
A common feature of greases is that they possess high initial viscosities, which upon the
application of shear, drop to give the effect of an oil-lubricated bearing of approximately
the same viscosity as the base oil used in the grease.
Greases are applied to mechanisms that can be lubricated only infrequently and where
lubricating oil would not stay in position. They also act as sealants to prevent the ingress of
water and incompressible materials. Grease-lubricated bearings have greater frictional
characteristics because of their high viscosities.
Lubricant - just like grease- is used to lubricate systems or tools. The difference, however,
is that grease is a (semi) solid substance that becomes liquid when it starts 'moving' while
lubricant is already liquid. The oil penetrating the stuck parts to loosen. Grease and
lubricating oil are not the same. Grease is used when it is not practical or convenient to use
oil. Grease is a semi-solid lubricant that is made up of 70-95% base oil, 3-30% thickener
and 0-10% additives.
The industry can process waste machining oil, engine oil, lubricating oil, hydraulic oil,
gear oil, mixed oil, waste motor oil, all kinds of waste engine oil and other mineral
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lubricating oil to lubricating oil and grease.
Used oils such as engine lubrication oil, hydraulic fluids, and gear oils used in cars,
bikes, or lawnmowers can pollute the environment if they are not recycled or disposed of
properly. Used oil must be managed properly by local waste management authorities or
automotive repair shops to prevent contaminating the environment. Used oil filters pose
similar waste concerns. If properly drained, they can be safely recycled or disposed.
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3. MARKET STUDY AND PLANT CAPACITY
3. 1. MARKET STUDY
The global lubricant (lubricating oil and grease) market size was USD 145. 83 billion in
2023, accounted for USD 151. 66 billion in 2024, and is expected to reach around USD
224. 50 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 4% from 2024 to 2034. Europe held a
substantial revenue share in the lubricants market and is expected to experience a
significant compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in the forecast period. The European
Union (EU) automotive industry is one of the largest globally, playing a vital role in the
region's economy. During the first three quarters of 2023, the EU produced over 9
million cars, marking a 14% increase compared to the previous year. As seen in Figure 3.
1, the market size of the lubricants will increase smoothly for the next years.
As all local and international data shows that, the project will have unsatisfied demand
for the coming decades. The present (2024) demand for Lubricating Oil and Grease is
huge for instance Ethiopia has imports huge amount of Lubricating Oil and Grease The
demand for Lubricating Oil and Grease is high as seen from local and international
studies. The projected demand will continue to be positive in the next decades. It can be
clearly noted that there is a huge gap between supply and demand figures, which can
really be taken as the apparent demand-supply gap for Lubricating Oil and Grease in
Ethiopia. This is really the actual unsatisfied demand as imports have to be substituted
that also helps in saving the foreign currency outflow from the country. The unsatisfied
demands for Lubricating Oil and Grease for the next years are huge.
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FIGURE 3. 2: INCREMENT OF LUBRICANT PRICE IN THE WORLD
The product can be classified as a high consumer item. The end users of the product are
numerous industrials and automobiles sectors in day to day activities and widely
11
distributed throughout the country. Therefore, the factory has to appoint a number of
distributors in different locations of the country. The distributors will sell the products to
the retailers to reach the final consumers of the product.
The industry has been targeting both the local market and foreign market. As the demand
of the product national level, the main local destinations of the Company's products are
mainly Sheger, Addis Ababa, Adama, Hawasa, Dessie, and Bahir Dar.
3. 1. 3. 1. 1. Product Quality
Product quality is the basic and most important marketing mixes that affect the success
of a product. Product quality has two dimensions, i. e. , level and consistency. Level
means the producer must first choose a quality level that will be acceptable in the target
market and in a level that comply with the quality of competing products. Consistency
refers to the consistent delivering of one's established quality through strict quality
control measures.
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A consumer's view on the quality of a certain brand of Lubricating Oil and Grease is
influenced by a number of factors including the chemical and physical attributes of the
Lubricating Oil and Grease, its package type, the brand and the labeling.
The chemical and physical attributes of the Lubricating Oil and Grease are reflected in
the growth of plants, which on the other hand depends on many factors, is in the end the
decisive link in the chain of evaluations made by the consumer. Accordingly, in order to
get an insight about consumer's perception on the quality of products, a rapid market
survey was undertaken. During the survey, a sample of consumers was asked to express
their views on the quality of the products of many Lubricating Oil and Grease. The
parameters employed as a proxy to the measure the quality of the Lubricating Oil and
Grease products are starts from its production process. In organic wastes fermentation,
there are 5 factors affecting the final quality of the organic compost, which will directly
influence the final quality of the Lubricating Oil and Grease. They are Water,
Temperature, C/N ration, Ventilation and oxygen supplying, and pH, which are
environmental factors.
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of 90-millimeter thick high-density polyethylene (HDPE) or polypropylene. HDPE is more
widely used and is more often the lower priced option compared to polypropylene.
For the local market, the recommended size is 5 Li of plastic containers whereas the
international market needs larger size of packaging 1-10 Li of plastic containers. The
project is also recommended to adopt the same type of packing.
The Lubricating Oil and Grease products are packaged with carton and plaster until it
reaches to retailers shops. Labeling is also an important issue in the market. Different
countries have different labeling requirement. However, the most common labeling
requirements are: Brand name:
Accurate description of the Lubricating Oil and Grease,
Class and type designation: specific identity of the Lubricating Oil and Grease,
Name of producer and country of origin,
Net contents, and
Health warning statement to be clear about the content of heavy metals.
3. 1. 3. 1. 2. Distribution
Distribution refers to the distribution of the product to the consumers by the producer
while channel of distribution is the network of middlemen through whom the products
flows till it finally reaches to the hands of the actual users or consumers. It becomes
difficult for a producer to adequately follow market trends and serve target markets if a
proper distribution channel and organizational set up are not in place. Some markets are
excessively supplied, while others experience frequent shortages. These incidences can
occur even if a manufacturer employs a proper media to channel its products to all
market segments. Intermediaries often and deliberately introduce artificial shortages in
some brands to boost the marketability of a weaker brand.
Channel of distribution varies in its form and length from consumer goods to industrial
goods and within one class of goods; it varies from product to product. For a consumer
market a retailer is essential, whereas in the industrial market the retailer can be
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eliminated. For a perishable commodity, the producer prefers few and controlled levels
of distribution, while for durable and standardized goods a longer and diversified
channel may be necessary. Size and average frequency of customer's orders also
influence the channel decision.
Existing local producers of Lubricating Oil and Grease employs three types of
distribution arrangements. In Sheger city and its environs; the factories distribute the
products to retailers directly using their own vehicles and directly sell to retailers
(factories, garage etc) from factory premises. In other routes, they distribute through
agents.
Direct sale offers the greatest degree of control, but can be uneconomical where there are
a large number of customers for the product in question.
Distribution through wholesaler / agent has the advantage of reaching a majority of the
small retail outlets and few salespersons are needed by the manufacturer.
In view of the high costs associated with direct sales to the consumer, the proposed
channel of distribution is as given below.
For efficient and reliable distribution the project will open four distribution centers that
can cover most of the regions of the country. The four distribution centers are: -
Sheger - Cater Central markets (Sheger and its environs);
Jimma town - Caters South Western markets (Jimma, Illubabor and Gambella);
Mekele - caters all market segments in Tigray Region North Wolo and Gondar area
Adama - caters Eastern and South Eastern markets (SNNP Regions, Bale, Borena,
Dire Dawa city, Harari Region, and Somali Region).
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Regarding the export market, the envisaged project requires companies / distributer
in the destination markets for export items that described in TABLE 3. 1.
3. 1. 3. 1. 3. Pricing
Pricing a product is an important and critical activity since it is the major
factor in determining revenue. If a lower price is fixed, it will affect the profitability of
the company, and if a higher price is fixed, the product will not be able to stand in market
competition and may be forced out of the market. Therefore, the right price has to be
fixed.
In general, price setting is done by selecting one of the two frequently used pricing
approaches. The simplest method is cost-based approach (Cost-plus pricing), which
involves adding a standard mark-up to the cost of the product, and competition based
approach (going- rate pricing), which bases its price largely on competitors' prices.
At present, there are a number of local Lubricating Oil and Grease producers, which
means the project, has to work within a competitive environment. In a competitive
market, a straight cost plus pricing is not desirable as it is not sensitive to demand and
competitors' price. Furthermore, the Ethiopian market is, by-and-large, price conscious
and consumption demand is very much sensitive to price. Therefore, competition based
or going rate pricing is unavoidable as charging for a product more than the going rate
would not attract consumers and would eventually force the products out of the market.
Consequently, the envisaged project has to adopt a going rate pricing strategy.
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The current factory gate price of locally produced Lubricating Oil and Grease ranges
from ETB 130. 00 to 140. 00 per kg, while the wholesales / distributors price of imported
Lubricating Oil and Grease ranges from ETB 170. 00 to 190. 00 per kg depending on the
country of origin and brand, usually Lubricating Oil and Grease imported from India,
China etc. being on the lower side of the prevailing price and Lubricating Oil and Grease
imported from European countries being on the higher side of the prevailing price. In
general the price difference between locally produced and imported Lubricating Oil and
Grease and also among imported Lubricating Oil and Grease is due to the perceived
quality of the products and brand value.
Accordingly, after considering the above factors, the recommended factory gate prices
for the company in the local market are ETB 110,000. 00 and 90,000. 00 per ton of this
Lubricating Oil and Grease respectively.
With regard to export, price is one of the major instruments to enter into and establish in
a foreign market. In Ethiopia, products and services destined for export are exempted
from particular types of taxes levied on domestic sale. This will increases the
competitiveness of the envisaged project's products in the export market.
3. 1. 3. 1. 4. Promotion
One of the strategic objectives of a business is to implement effective marketing
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strategies to achieve its mission and specific objectives formulated in its business plan.
The business plan will propose several marketing tools for implementation. One of the
tools aims at promoting the products or the services of the business. The objective is to
communicate and make customers excited about the product or service of the business.
There are different types of tools to get the message of the business to its customers or
potential customers. Depending upon the product or service, customer life style, and cost
constraints, different techniques could be optimal.
In this connection, the survey has revealed that the promotional activities carried out by
company are minimal and inadequate.
The Lubricating Oil and Grease is allowed advertising in mass media such as TV and
Radio due to its low production per year. However, the mass media cost is high. As a
result, the following are the type of advertisements and promotional efforts made by the
factory.
Calendars, Pamphlets; and
Poster advertisement.
Initially, the objective of advertisement should concentrate in attracting attention for the
product. Once product acceptance has been achieved, advertisement usually concentrates
on building brand image and loyalty.
In calendar advertisement the project should focus not only on its attractiveness but also
on its fair distribution and wide coverage. Participation in exhibitions is also very
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important for advertising the products.
Human resource development of top and medium management level is also necessary to
optimize the export marketing activity of the company. Therefore, training in the
following areas is desirable.
Product development, product improvement, efficiency and / or effective measures in
production and communication with buyers regarding all technical aspects, including
quality control aspects;
Know-how (including cost aspects) about required customer formalities,
Shipping (including land transport) facilities and packaging to guarantee delivery with
contractual time requirements;
Financial capabilities including contract parts like delivery and payment procedures;
Export market orientation and export marketing know-how; and
Communication tools.
st nd rd th
SR. ITEM DESCRIPTION 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3 YEAR 4th-10
NO. YEAR
Capacity Utilization (%) 70. 00 80. 00 90. 00 100. 00
1 Production Of Lubricating
700. 00 800. 00 900. 00 1,000. 00
Oil (Ton)
2 Production Of Grease (Ton) 560. 00 640. 00 720. 00 800. 00
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4. MATERIALS AND INPTUS
4. 1. RAW MATERIALS
The principal raw materials required that might be used as possible inputs to produce
Lubricating Oil and Grease are used oil from vehicles and machineries, calcium,
bleaching earth, animal fat and adhesives.
The used oil is sufficient to manufacture one gallon of base oil and proceed to grease
lubricant. This makes recycling of used oil a fairly viable process for base oil
manufacturing as stated above. Grease is a semi-solid lubricant that is made up of 70-95%
base oil, 3-30% thickener and 0-10% additives. In this industry, the product designed to
have 80% base oil, 10% thickener and 10% additives in its production process.
Calcium is typically related to the detergent additive packages commonly used in engine
oils. Detergents are used in lubricants to aid in control of deposits and help keep
contaminants suspended in the oil so they can be carried to the filter and removed.
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The total annual cost of raw material at full capacity operation is estimated at ETB 52. 70
million. Annual requirement of raw and auxiliary materials at full capacity production of
Lubricating Oil and Grease is shown in TABLE 4. 1.
All raw materials have to be locally available from importers and local producers. Packing
material is the only auxiliary material required by the envisaged plant.
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2. 3 Bleaching Earth Ton 8. 08 23,240. 00 187. 80 187. 80
2. 4 Animal Fat Ton 8. 08 1,960. 00 15. 84 15. 84
1,058.
Additives Ton 80. 81 13,104. 00
2. 5 91 1,058. 91
2 AUXILIARY
MATERIALS FOR
LUBRICATING
OIL AND
GREASE
2. 1 Number,
5 Li
1,171,717.
Packing Material Plastic 4. 00
17
Contain 4,686.
er 87 4,686. 87
Grand Total Cost 52,704. 30
4. 2. UTILITIES
Electricity is the main utilities required by Lubricating Oil and Grease plant in large
amount to get quality products. The other utilities are fuel as transportation energy to
distributer the products and facilitate the marketing. The total annual cost of utilities is
estimated at ETB 4. 75 million. The annual quantities and cost of utilities are estimated as
shown in TABLE 4. 2.
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TABLE 4. 2 : ANNUAL UTILITY REQUIREMENT AND COST
24
5. TECHNOLOGY AND ENGINEERING
5. 1. TECHNOLOGY
5. 1. 1. Production Process of Lubricating Oil and Grease
The production of Lubricating Oil and Grease include: production of base oil from used
oil and blending unit.
1. Base Oil Production Process
Waste Oil to Base Oil Plant consists of the following systems;
1. Dehydration & Sedimentation System;
2. LGO Stripping System;
3. Fractionating & Reflux System; Thin Film Evaporation System; Short Path
Distillation System;
4. Heaters & Heat Exchangers;
5. Base Oil Poshing System;
6. PLC/Scada Control System;
There are three major heating methods which are commonly used in waste oil refineries.
Electrical heating, Boiler and Furnace. Electrical heater is more often to be used in small
scale of waste oil refineries. The advantage of electrical heater is that it does have a wide
range of heating temperature and it is an economic solution for using in small scale
refineries.
On another hand, Hot oil boiler can be used in either of medium to large scale of waste
oil refineries. Heating by boiled in heat exchangers are a very common way of heating in
petrochemical industry. It is safe, efficient and controllable. However, most of hot oil
boilers have a limit of heating temperature which is below 380-350℃.
The furnaces are usually used in large scale of waste oil refineries. It also has a wide
range of heating temperature and there‟s no requirement for thermal oil consumption
comparing with hot oil boiler. However the furnace is usually in 18-20 meters tall.
25
2. Lube Oil and Grease Blending Process
Lube Oil and Grease Blending Plant is consisted of the following Systems,
1. Automatic Dosing System;
2. Heating System;
3. Automatic Blending System;
4. Tanks & Pumps;
5. Pipings & Skid Mounted Frame;
6. PLC Control System;
A complete PLC based control system is also equipped for monitoring and controlling the
dosing, blending, heating, flowrate and other parameters of whole system.
The quality of lubricant oil and grease relies heavily on both the quality of the base oil and
the additives used. Additives can significantly enhance the performance of the products,
allowing it to meet the specific requirements of various industrial applications. Blending is
the final crucial step in the lubricant oil and grease production process. This involves
mixing different viscosity lubricant. Appropriate additives are introduced to the mixture to
achieve the desired performance characteristics. The selection of lube oil and grease
blending components and additives is tailored to the intended application.
Block diagram of treatment of lubricating oil waste to new lubricating oil and grease can
be seen in FIGURE 5. 1.
26
FIGURE 5. 1 : LUBRICATING OIL AND GREASE PRODUCTION PROCESS FLOW
SHEET FROM USED OIL
5. 1. 2. Source of Technology
The technology required can be obtained from European and Asian countries such as
Germany, China, India, and South Korea.
The machinery and equipment required can be obtained from the following address.
1. Pure Path Tech Company
Email: sales@purepathtech. com
WhatsApp: +86 15213363289
Mobile: +86 15213363289
Facebook: Purepathtech
Youtube: wasteoildistillationplant
27
Linkedin: PPGT
Address: Luohuang Industrial Park, Jiangjin District, Chongqing, China
5. 2. ENGINEERING
5. 2. 1. Machinery and Equipment
Most of the required machinery and equipment for the production of Lubricating Oil and
Grease production plant are imported. The total cost of machinery and equipment is
estimated to be ETB 41. 91 million. All the machineries are imported from abroad in
foreign currency. The list of machinery and equipment required for the envisaged plant is
given in TABLE 5. 1.
28
5. 2. 2. Building and Civil Works
Lubricating Oil and Grease processing plant requires land for open storage of raw
materials, a shed for storage of finished product, land for processing plant, for office
building and general purpose buildings. It is proposed that a total land area of 46,904. 50
square meters of land. The total construction cost of the project has described in below
only for the construction of the project within the compound of the factory. The total
building and other premises costs has described below in detail at Table 5. 2.
AREA
UNIT TOTAL
SR. (IN
DESCRIPTION QTY. COST COST (000
NO. M²)
(ETB) ETB)
UNIT
Land Clearing And
1 M² 30,000. 00 50. 00
Leveling 1,500. 00
29
Maintenance Workshop
9 M² 500. 00
And Garage -
IVTW1 M² 4,000. 00
Internal Road M²
-
M² -
Total Area -
Total
64,140. 00
30
jobs. It is important for individuals and communities to get involved in recycling and to
support policies and programs that promote sustainable waste management practices.
31
6. HUMAN RESOURCE AND TRAINING
REQUIREMENT
6. 1. HUMAN RESOURCE REQUIREMENT
Total human resource required is 142 persons in permanent basis and other temporary
staffs. The total annual cost human resource is estimated at ETB 48. 03 million. The
details of the human resource requirement and the estimated annual labor cost including
employees' benefit are given in TABLE 6. 1.
MONTHLY ANNUAL
SR.
POSITION NO. SALARY SALARY (IN
NO.
(ETB) 000 ETB)
1 Overhead Labor
1. 1 General Manager Office
32
1. 2. 5 Cost Accountant 3 25,000. 00 900. 00
1. 4 Commercial Department -
Total 68 - 15,852. 00
Employee‟s Benefit And
- 3,170. 40
Expense (20% Of Basic Salary)
Total Overhead Labour 68 - 19,022. 40
33
2 Direct Labour -
Production And Technical
2. 1 -
Department
6. 2. TRAINING REQUIREMENT
The production of Lubricating Oil and Grease involves chemical reaction that needs
34
special training during installation of the machineries. The company will arrange one
week training at the start of the project for all of its staffs.
The production of Lubricating Oil and Grease is passes through complex unit operations
that need special training. The process needs special training. The company will arrange
one day training at the start of the project for all of its staffs and inputs certification
process from its customers.
35
7. PROJECT ORGANIZATION AND
MANAGEMENT
7. 1. PROJECT ORGANIZATION
The first step to be taken in the implementation of the lubricating oil and grease
production project is the parts of a suitable project organization. The following key
phases are identified for the execution of project without any cost or time overruns.
These phases are not mutually exclusive and some degree of over lapping is envisaged.
These are
Appraisal of the feasibility report,
Financial closure;
Detailed planning;
Procurement packages including inspection and expediting;
Project management and cost control;
Construction phase; and
Commissioning and performance testing.
The project management team is headed by the Project manager assisted by legal
advisor, Auditor, financial and administrative team as support functions and shall have
the following core functional departments
Technical, Engineering and Project Quality Control Team: for the preparation of
designs, specification and bill of quantities; assistance in tendering and contracting
processes. Quality control involves inspection of any delivery and actual project
36
progress at planned intervals, checking completion of documentation, training,
commissioning and handover of all the various components of the project. The team
can be assisted by engineering and design consultant until completion of construction.
Procurement Supply Team: The project team will procure machinery, equipment,
production supplies and all other requirements for the implementation as per the
schedule developed and as per their availability from foreign and local sources with
optimized time and cost schedule.
Administration and Finance: this team will manages and control project activities
related financial transaction, security, personnel etc.
1. Project Management: Like all other management functions, the management of the
project involves planning, controlling, organizing and staffing activities. Time and
cost control will be the most important aspect of the project management. Since the
implementation of the project will involve several parties including the owner,
consultant, suppliers, contractors and government authorities. Therefore, adequate
mechanisms should be in place for coordinating the various project sectors.
37
3. Procurement and construction: Procurement and construction are at the center of
the implementation of the project as all other activities are meant to facilitate them.
The project team will procure machinery, equipment, production supplies and all
other requirements for the implementation as per the schedule developed and as per
their availability from foreign and local sources with optimized time and cost
schedule.
7. 2 IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE
The implementation schedule covers the activities starting from the project evaluation,
compensation payment to land owner, construction of the Lubricating Oil and Grease
Production premises, bid-purchase-trial run of machineries, and commissioning. It is
envisaged that the complete implementation program requires a total of 12 months as
seen in FIGURE 7. 1.
Months
SR. 10-
NO. ACTIVITY 1-3 4-5 6-7 8-9 11 12
1 Preparatory Period
1. 1 Approval Of The Study XX
38
1. 2 Financial Arrangement XX
Tender Document Preparation For
2 Machinery Supply XX
3 Tendering For Machinery Supply XX
Tender Evaluation, Negotiation And
4 Contracting XX XX
Design, Engineering And Manufacture
5 Of Machinery And Equipment XX
6 Equipment Delivery XX
7 Erection XX
8 Manpower Recruitment And Training XX
9 Trial Run And Commissioning XX
10 Start Operation XX
Machinery and Equipment: Tender document preparation for production machinery and
equipment will start days after project approval and will take 25 days period. Tender
floating will start 1 month after the approval of the project study and will be completed
within month. Tender evaluation, contract negotiation, signing and LC opening, which
will also start 14 days after the approval of the project, will be completed within 10 days.
Design, engineering and Lubricating Oil and Grease Production machinery and
equipment will start after 15 days from project approval and supply will be completed
within 1 days' time frame from contract is signed.
Erection of machinery and equipment will start after completion of the machinery and
equipment delivery and will take one month. Delivery of raw materials will be arranged
before of erection of machinery and equipment is completed.
39
Building and Civil Works: Finalizing of the remaining building and civil works
construction will commence after 12 days from approval of the project and will take 6
months for completion.
Recruitment and training of human resource will start 9 days after the project approval
and before the start of erection of machinery and equipment and will continue up to
commissioning and start up. The production will start commissioning 11 month after the
project approval and will be completed in 1 month. Similarly technology and knowhow
transfer will be conducted starting from together with the erection and commissioning
activities for one month duration.
Finally, the industry will start production at the end of 12th months from the approval of
the project and be operational then after. Moreover project activities will be handled by
project management tools so as to optimize time and project cost utilization towards
realization of the project on the ground with minimum project implementation cost and
time as per the planned duration. Many activities of the project may undertake ion
similar period if it does not needs sequential work plan.
7. 3. IMPLEMENTATION COST
The Lubricating Oil and Grease Production project implementation cost for which
comprises project office running and follow-up expenses, and erection and
commissioning is estimated at ETB 5. 16 million the breakdown of which is indicated in
TABLE 7. 1.
40
1. 1. 1 Project Coordinator 1 12 25,000. 00 300. 00
1. 1. 2 Executive Secretary 1 12 17,000. 00 204. 00
Finance And Administrative
1. 2 12 0. 00
Team
1. 2. 1 Accountant 1 12 18,000. 00 216. 00
Personnel And General
1. 2. 2 1 12 15,000. 00 180. 00
Service
1. 2. 3 Driver 1 12 25,000. 00 300. 00
1. 2. 4 Security Guards 2 12 15,000. 00 360. 00
Procurement And Supply
1. 3 12 0. 00
Team
1. 3. 1 Procurement Expert 1 12 18,000. 00 216. 00
Supplies And Store
1. 3. 2 1 12 16,000. 00 192. 00
Management Expert
1. 3. 3 Store Keeper 1 12 15,000. 00 180. 00
Engineering, Technical And
1. 4 12 0. 00
Quality Control Team
1. 4. 1 Chemical Engineer 1 12 20,000. 00 240. 00
1. 4. 2 Civil Engineer 1 12 22,000. 00 264. 00
1. 4. 3 Mechanical Engineer 1 12 22,000. 00 264. 00
Electrical And Automation
1. 4. 4 1 12 22,000. 00 264. 00
Engineer
Sub Total 3,660. 00
Ii Project Supplies And Office Running
Sr. No. Descriptions Qty. Unit U. Cost Amount
1 Fax 1 Pcs 23,000. 00 23. 00
2 Telephone 1 Pcs 23,000. 00 23. 00
3 Printer 1 Pcs 23,000. 00 23. 00
4 Office Furniture 10 Set 23,500. 00 235. 00
5 Office Running Cost 1 Set 365,000. 00 365. 00
41
Sub Total 669. 00
42
8. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
The financial analysis of the Lubricating Oil and Grease Manufacturing Plant is based on
the data presented in the previous chapters and the following assumptions as seen in
TABLE 8. 1.
43
8. 1. TOTAL INITIAL INVESTMENT COST
The total investment cost of the project including working capital is estimated at ETB
137. 00 million (see TABLE 8. 2). From the total investment, the highest share of cost is
accounted by fixed investment (ETB 122. 99 million or 89. 77%) followed by initial
working capital cost (ETB 8. 85 million or 6. 46%) and pre-operating cost (ETB 5. 16
million or 3. 77%). There is a huge foreign currency for this project as the machines are
imported from international manufacturers. The required foreign currency of the project
is about ETB 38. 10 million or 27. 81% of the initial investment of the project.
1. 1 Land-Compensation
Fee2 00. 00 00. 00 00. 00
1. 2 Building And Civil
64,140. 00 64,140. 00 46. 82
Work
1. 3 Machinery And
41,910. 00 41,910. 00 30. 59
Equipment
1. 4 Vehicles 11,420. 00 11,420. 00 8. 34
2
The compensation is already paid.
44
2 Pre-operation Cost
2. 2 Interest During
0. 00 00. 00 0. 00
Construction
Sub -Total 5,160. 00 5,160. 00 3. 77
TOTAL FIXED
128,150. 52 128,150. 52 93. 54
INVESTMENT
3 Working Capital 3* 8,854. 32 8,854. 32 6. 46
2*
: Pre-operating cost includes project implementation cost such as installation, start- up,
commissioning, project engineering, project management etc and capitalized interest
during construction.
3*
The total working capital required at full capacity operation is ETB 12. 64 million.
However, only the initial working capital of ETB 8. 85 million during the first year of
production is assumed to be funded through external sources. During the remaining years
the working capital requirement will be financed by funds to be generated internally (for
detail working capital requirement see Appendix 1).
8. 2. PRODUCTION COST
The annual production cost at full operation capacity is estimated at ETB 131. 27 million
(see TABLE 8. 3). The cost of raw material account for 40. 15% of the production cost.
The other major components of the production cost are direct labor, labor overheads, cost
of finance, renting cost for warehouse, depreciation, maintenance and repair, utilities,
administration, and marketing / distribution has been described in the following table.
Further detail production costs presented in Appendix 2.
45
TABLE 8. 3 : ANNUAL PRODUCTION COST AT FULL CAPACITY
46
Year 3 - 6,713. 24 46,992. 66 8,055. 88 14,769. 12
Year 4 - 6,713. 24 40,279. 42 7,048. 90 13,762. 14
Year 5 - 6,713. 24 33,566. 19 6,041. 91 12,755. 15
Year 6 - 6,713. 24 26,852. 95 5,034. 93 11,748. 17
Year 7 - 6,713. 24 20,139. 71 4,027. 94 10,741. 18
Year 8 - 6,713. 24 13,426. 47 3,020. 96 9,734. 19
Year 9 - 6,713. 24 6,713. 24 2,013. 97 8,727. 21
Year 10 - 6,713. 24 0. 00 1,006. 99 7,720. 22
Total 67,132. 37 67,132. 37 302,095. 68 55,384. 21 122,516. 58
8. 4. FINANCIAL EVALUATION
8. 4. 1. Profitability
Based on the projected profit and loss statement, the project will generate a profit
throughout its operation life. Annual net profit after tax ranges from ETB 24. 16 million
to ETB 39. 16 million during the life of the project. Moreover, at the end of the project
life, the accumulated net cash flow amounts to ETB 74. 76 million and grows to ETB 75.
78 million. For profit and loss statement and cash flow projection see Appendix 3 and 4,
respectively.
8. 4. 2. Ratios
In financial analysis financial ratios and efficiency ratios are used as an index or
yardstick for evaluating the financial position of a firm. It is also an indicator for the
strength and weakness of the firm or a project. Using the year-end balance sheet figures
and other relevant data, the most important ratios such as return on sales which is
computed by dividing net income by revenue, return on assets (operating income divided
by assets), return on equity (net profit divided by equity) and return on total investment
(net profit plus interest divided by total investment) has been carried out over the period
of the project life and all the results are found to be satisfactory.
47
8. 4. 3. Break-even Analysis
The break-even analysis establishes a relationship between operation costs and revenues.
It indicates the level at which costs and revenue are in equilibrium. To this end, the
break-even point for capacity utilization and sales value estimated by using income
statement projection are computed as followed.
BESV = Break- Even Sales Value = ((Fixed Cost + Financial Cost) / Variable
Margin ratio) (%)= ETB 859. 65 million.
BECU = Break -Even Capacity utilization = ((Break-even Sales Value) / Sales
revenue)* 100%= 52. 48%.
8. 4. 4. Pay-back Period
The pay -back period, also called pay - off period is defined as the period required for
recovering the original investment outlay through the accumulated net cash flows earned
by the project. Accordingly, based on the projected cash flow, it is estimated that the
project's initial investment will be fully recovered within 5 years i. e. 4 years and 9
months.
48
8. 4. 6. Net Present Value, NPV
Net present value (NPV) is defined as the total present (discounted) value of a time series
of cash flows. NPV aggregates cash flows that occur during different periods of time
during the life of a project in to a common measuring unit i. e. present value. It is a
standard method for using the time value of money to appraise long-term projects. NPV
is an indicator of how much value an investment or project adds to the capital invested.
In principle, a project is accepted if the NPV is non-negative.
Accordingly, the NPV of the project at 12% discount rate is found to be ETB 51. 48
million which is acceptable. For detail discounted cash flow sees in Appendix 5.
49
APPENDIX: FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF THE
LUBRICATING OIL AND GREASE
MANUFACTURING PLANT BASED ON
COMFAR
50
APPENDIX. 1: NET WORKING CAPITAL (IN 000' ETB)
Item Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Production Capacity 0. 7 0. 8 0. 9 1 1
Total Inventory 18,692. 46 21,362. 81 24,033. 16 26,703. 51 26,703. 51
Accounts Receivable 2,459. 53 2,810. 90 3,162. 26 3,513. 62 3,513. 62
Cash-In-Hand 3,689. 30 4,216. 34 4,743. 39 5,270. 43 5,270. 43
Current Assets 12,543. 62 14,335. 57 16,127. 52 17,919. 46 17,919. 46
Accounts Payable 3,689. 30 4,216. 34 4,743. 39 5,270. 43 5,270. 43
Current Liabilities 3,689. 30 4,216. 34 4,743. 39 5,270. 43 5,270. 43
Total Net Working Capital 8,854. 32 10,119. 23 11,384. 13 12,649. 03 12,649. 03
51
APPENDIX 1. 2: PRODUCTION COST (IN 000 ETB)
Item year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Raw Materials and Inputs 36,893. 01 42,163. 44 47,433. 87 52,704. 30 52,704. 30
Utilities 2,847. 78 3,797. 04 4,271. 67 4,746. 30 4,746. 30
Repair And Maintenance 10,305. 25 10,306. 25 10,307. 25 10,308. 25 10,309. 25
Direct Labour 9,357. 12 12,476. 16 14,035. 68 15,595. 20 15,595. 20
Overhead Labour 11,413. 44 15,217. 92 17,120. 16 19,022. 40 19,022. 40
Administrative Costs 2,450. 00 2,800. 00 3,150. 00 3,500. 00 3,500. 00
Marketing Costs 4,200. 00 4,800. 00 5,400. 00 6,000. 00 6,000. 00
Other Expenses 5,400. 00 5,400. 00 5,400. 00 5,400. 00 5,400. 00
Total Operating Costs 82,866. 60 96,960. 81 107,118. 63 117,276. 45 117,277. 45
Depreciation 10,304. 25 9,008. 54 7,898. 36 6,946. 28 6,128. 95
Cost Of Finance 10,069. 86 9,062. 87 8,055. 88 7,048. 90 6,041. 91
Total 103,240. 71 115,032. 23 123,072. 88 131,271. 63 129,448. 32
52
Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
52,704. 30 52,704. 30 52,704. 30 52,704. 30 52,704. 30
4,746. 30 4,746. 30 4,746. 30 4,746. 30 4,746. 30
10,310. 25 10,311. 25 10,312. 25 10,313. 25 10,314. 25
15,595. 20 15,595. 20 15,595. 20 15,595. 20 15,595. 20
19,022. 40 19,022. 40 19,022. 40 19,022. 40 19,022. 40
3,500. 00 3,500. 00 3,500. 00 3,500. 00 3,500. 00
6,000. 00 6,000. 00 6,000. 00 6,000. 00 6,000. 00
5,400. 00 5,400. 00 5,400. 00 5,400. 00 5,400. 00
117,278. 45 117,279. 45 117,280. 45 117,281. 45 117,282. 45
5,426. 51 4,822. 05 4,301. 19 3,851. 68 3,463. 09
5,034. 93 4,027. 94 3,020. 96 2,013. 97 1,006. 99
127,739.89 126,129.45 124,602.60 123,147.11 121,752.53
53
APPENDIX 1. 3: NET INCOME STATEMENT (IN 000 ETB)
Item Year0 Year1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Sales revenue - 127,400. 00 145,600. 00 163,800. 00 182,000. 00
Less variable costs 46,250. 13 54,639. 60 61,469. 55 68,299. 50
Variable Margin - 81,149. 87 90,960. 40 102,330. 45 113,700. 50
in % of sales revenue 63. 70 62. 47 62. 47 62. 47
Less fixed costs 137,004. 84 36,616. 47 42,321. 21 45,649. 08 48,976. 95
Operational Margin (137,004. 84) 44,533. 40 48,639. 19 56,681. 37 64,723. 55
in % of sales revenue 34. 96 33. 41 34. 60 35. 56
Financial costs 10,069. 86 9,062. 87 8,055. 88 7,048. 90
Depreciation 10,304. 25 9,008. 54 7,898. 36 6,946. 28
Gross Profit (137,004. 84) 24,159. 29 30,567. 77 40,727. 12 50,728. 37
in % of sales revenue 18. 96 20. 99 24. 86 27. 87
54
Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
182,000. 00 182,000. 00 182,000. 00 182,000. 00 182,000. 00 182,000. 00
55
APPENDIX 1. 4: CASH FLOW FOR FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT (IN 000 ETB)
Item year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Total Cash Inflow
Inflow Funds
Equity 69,872. 47
Bank Loan 67,132. 37
Inflow Operation - 127,400. 00 145,600. 00 163,800. 00 182,000. 00
Other Income - - - -
Sub Total 137,004. 84 127,400. 00 145,600. 00 163,800. 00 182,000. 00
Total Cash Outflow
Increase In Fixed Assets 122,990. 52 - - -
Pre-Production Costs 5,160. 00
Initial Working Capital 8,854. 32
Operating Costs - 82,866. 60 96,960. 81 107,118. 63 117,276. 45
Income Tax - - - 14,254. 49 17,754. 93
Financial Costs - 10,069. 86 9,062. 87 8,055. 88 7,048. 90
Loan Repayment - 4,475. 49 4,475. 49 4,475. 49 4,475. 49
Sub Total 137,004. 84 97,411. 95 110,499. 17 133,904. 50 146,555. 77
56
Net Cash Flow - 29,988. 05 35,100. 83 29,895. 50 35,444. 23
Cumulative Cash Balance 29,988. 05 65,088. 88 64,996. 32 65,339. 73
Net Cash Flow For NPV,
IRR (137,004. 84) 29,988. 05 35,100. 83 29,895. 50 35,444. 23
- - - - - -
57
18,393. 09 18,991. 04 19,554. 69 20,089. 09 20,598. 51 21,086. 62
6,041. 91 5,034. 93 4,027. 94 3,020. 96 2,013. 97 1,006. 99
4,475. 49 4,475. 49 4,475. 49 4,475. 49 4,475. 49 4,475. 49
146,187. 95 145,779. 91 145,337. 58 144,865. 99 144,369. 43 143,851. 55
35,812. 05 36,220. 09 36,662. 42 37,134. 01 37,630. 57 38,148. 45
71,256. 28 72,032. 14 72,882. 51 73,796. 43 74,764. 58 75,779. 03
35,812. 05 36,220. 09 36,662. 42 37,134. 01 37,630. 57 38,148. 45
58
APPENDIX 1. 5: DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW (IN 000 ETB) @12% DISCOUNT RATE
Item year0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Total Cash Inflow 137,004. 84 127,400. 00 145,600. 00 163,800. 00 182,000. 00
Total Cash Outflow 137,004. 84 97,411. 95 110,499. 17 133,904. 50 146,555. 77
Net Cash Flow - 29,988. 05 35,100. 83 29,895. 50 35,444. 23
Net Cash Flow for NPV & IRR
(137,004. 84) 29,988. 05 35,100. 83 29,895. 50 35,444. 23
Calculation
59
60
61
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