Sales Forecasting Using Regression Analysis

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SALES FORECASTING USING REGRESSION ANALYSIS

CASE 1

A Consumer Durable producer desires to build a practically implementable Sales Forecasting


Model that would enable the firm to forecast Sales of its products Territory-wise on a
monthly basis based on its Causative variables. For this purpose, they have conducted a
suitable research.Initialy, a preliminary research was conducted and a detailed set of
Territory specific parameters that could have an impact on Sales were identified. These
were :

a) Market Potential

b) Number of Dealers

c) Number of Sales Staff

d) Competitor Activity measured on a 5 point scale (1= V Low; 5= V High)

e) Number of Service Staff

f) Existing Customer Base.

Historical data was collected on Sales and the above variables month-wise and territory-
wise as attached. A data extract of this research is provided below for your analysis.

Case questions :

Draw a sales model for the upcoming quarter putting values as,

a) Market Potential = 140

b) Number of Dealers = 43

c) Number of Sales Staff = 13

d) Competitor Activity measured on a 5 point scale = 4

e) Number of Service Staff =21

f) Existing Customer Base. = 136


Data file

Comp_ac Cust_bs
Sales Mkt_potl Dlrs Slsstaff t Service_stf e
5 25 1 6 5 2 20
60 150 12 30 4 5 50
20 45 5 15 3 2 25
11 30 2 10 3 2 20
45 75 12 20 2 4 30
6 10 3 8 2 3 16
15 29 5 18 4 5 30
22 43 7 16 3 6 40
29 70 4 15 2 5 39
3 40 1 6 5 2 5
16 40 4 11 4 2 17
8 25 2 9 3 3 10
18 32 7 14 3 4 31
23 73 10 10 4 3 43
81 150 15 35 4 7 70

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