Evaluating Projects Based On Intuitionis
Evaluating Projects Based On Intuitionis
Evaluating Projects Based On Intuitionis
Research Article
Evaluating Projects Based on Intuitionistic Fuzzy
Group Decision Making
Copyright q 2012 Babak Daneshvar Rouyendegh. This is an open access article distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and
reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
There are various methods regarding project selection in different fields. This paper deals with
an actual application of construction project selection, using two aggregation operators. First,
the opinion of experts is used in a model of group decision making called intuitionistic fuzzy
TOPSIS IFT. Secondly, project evaluation is formulated by dynamic intuitionistic fuzzy weighted
averaging DIFWA. Intuitionistic fuzzy weighted averaging IFWA operator is utilized to
aggregate individual opinions of decision makers DMs for rating the importance of criteria and
alternatives. A numerical example for project selection is given to clarify the main developed result
in this paper.
1. Introduction
Project selection and project evaluation involve decisions that are critical in terms of the
profitability, growth, and survival of project management organizations in the increasingly
competitive global scenario. Such decisions are often complex, because they require
identification, consideration, and analysis of many tangible and intangible factors 1.
There are various methods regarding project selection in different fields. Project
selection problem has attracted great endeavor by practitioners and academicians in recent
years. One of the major fields that have been applied to this problem is mathematical
programming, especially Mix-Integer Programming MIP, since the problems comprise
selection of projects while other aspects are considered using real-value variables 2. For
instance, a MIP model is developed by 3 to conquer Research and Development R&D
portfolio selection.
Multicriteria decision making MCDM is a modeling and methodological tool for
dealing with complex engineering problems 4. Many mathematical programming models
2 Journal of Applied Mathematics
have been developed to address project-selection problems. However, in recent years, MCDM
methods have gained considerable acceptance for judging different proposals. The objective
of Mohanty’s 5 study was to integrate the multidimensional issues in an MCDM framework
that may help decision makers to develop insights and make decisions. They computed
weight of each criterion and then assessed the projects by doing technique for order
preference by similarity to ideal solution algorithm TOPSIS 6. To select R&D project, the
application of the fuzzy analytical network process ANP and fuzzy cost analysis has been
used by some researchers 7. In their studies, triangular fuzzy numbers TFNs are used to
prefer one criterion over another by using a pairwise comparison with the fuzzy set theory,
where the weight of each criterion in the format of triangular fuzzy numbers is calculated
7. The project selection problem was presented through a methodology which is based on
the analytic hierarchy process AHP for quantitative and qualitative aspects of a problem
8. It assists the measuring of the initial viability of industrial projects. The study shows that
industrial investment company should concentrate its efforts in development of prefeasibility
studies for a specific number of industrial projects which have a high likelihood of realization
8.
Multiattribute decision making MADM is the other applied approach in which
criteria are mostly defined in qualitative scale and the decision is made with respect
to assigned weights using some methods, such as PROMETHEE 9, 10. To have more
comprehensive study on MADM methods in this field, readers are referred to 11–15.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 provides materials and
methods, mainly fuzzy set theory FST and intuitionistic fuzzy set IFS. The IFT and
DIFWA are introduced in Section 3. How the proposed model is used in an actual example is
explained in Section 4. Finally, the conclusions are provided in the final section.
1
Ml(y) Mr(y)
0 l m u
Figure 1: A TFN M.
A fuzzy number can always be given by its corresponding left and right representation
of each degree of membership as in the following:
where ly and ry denote the left side representation and the right side representation of
a fuzzy number FN, respectively. Many ranking methods for FNs have been developed in
the literature. These methods may provide different ranking results, and most of them are
tedious in graphic manipulation requiring complex mathematical calculation 18.
While there are various operations on TFNs, only the important operations used in
this study are illustrated. If we define two positive TFNs l1, m1, u1 and l2, m2, u2, then
l1, m1, u1 l2, m2, u2 l1 l2, m1 m2, u1 u2,
l1, m1, u1 ∗ l2, m2, u2 l1 ∗ l2, m1 m2, u1 ∗ u2, 2.3
l1, m1, u1 k l1 ∗ km1 ∗ k, u1 ∗ k, where k > 0.
A x, µA x, vA x | x ∈ X , where µA x, VA x : X −→ 0, 1 2.4
0 ≤ µA x VA x ≤ 1. 2.5
4 Journal of Applied Mathematics
A third parameter of IFS is πA x, known as the intuitionistic fuzzy index or hesitation degree
of whether x belongs to A or not:
for all elements of the universe, the ordinary FST concept is recovered 60.
Let A and B be IFSs of the set X, then multiplication operator is defined as follows
19:
A B µA x · µB x, vA x vB x − vA x · vB x | x ∈ X . 2.9
µk πk µk / µk vk
l
λk l , where λk ∈ 0, 1, λk 1. 3.1
k1 µk πk µk / µk vk k1
operator Xu 62. In group decision-making process, all the individual decision opinions need
to be fused into a group opinion to construct AIFDM.
k
Let Rk rij m×n be an IFDM of each DM. λ {λ1 , λ2 , λ3 , . . . , λl } is the weight of DM.
Consider
R rij m×n
, 3.2
where
rij IFWAλ rij 1 , rij 2 , . . . , rij l λ1 rij 1 λ2 rij 2 λ3 rij 3 ··· λl rij l
l λ l λ l λ l λ 3.3
k k k k k k k k
1− 1 − µij , vij , 1 − µij − vij .
k1 k1 k1 k1
wj IFWAλ wj 1 , wj 2 , . . . , wj l λ1 wj 1 λ2 wj 2 λ3 wj 3 ··· λl wj l
3.4
l λk
l λk
l λk
l λk
k k k k
1− 1 − µj , vj , 1 − µj − vj .
k1 k1 k1 k1
R′ R W µ′ij , vij′ x, µij · µj , vij vj − vij · vj ,
3.5
πij′ 1 − vij − vj − µij · µj vij · vj .
R′ is a matrix composed with elements IFNs, rıj′ µ′ij , vij′ , πij′ i 1, 2, . . . , m; j 1, 2, . . . , n.
6 Journal of Applied Mathematics
∗ ∗ ∗ ∗ ∗ ∗ ∗
A∗ r1′ , r2′ , . . . , rn′ , rj′ µ′j , vj′ , πj′ , j 1, 2, . . . , n,
3.6
− − − − − − −
A− r1′ , r2′ , . . . , rn′ , rj ′ µ′j , vj′ , πj′ , j 1, 2, . . . , n,
where
∗
µ′j max µ′ij j ∈ J1 , min µ′ij j ∈ J2 ,
i i
vj∗ min vij′ j ∈ J1 , max vij′ j ∈ J2 ,
i i
∗
πj′ 1 − max µ′ij − min vij′ j ∈ J1 , 1 − min µ′ij − max vij′ j ∈ J2 ,
i i i i
3.7
−
µ′j min µ′ij j ∈ J1 , max µ′ij j ∈ J2 ,
i i
−
vj′ max vij′ j ∈ J1 , min vij′ j ∈ J2 ,
i i
−
πj′ 1 − min µ′ij − max vij′ j ∈ J1 , 1 − max µ′ij − min vij′ j ∈ J2 .
i i i i
S−i
Ci∗ , where 0 ≤ Ci∗ ≤ 1. 3.9
S∗i S−i
3.2. DIFWA
The DIFWA method, proposed by Xu and Yager 33, is a suitable way to deal with problem
in IFE. The procedure for DIFWA method has been given as follows.
to aggregate all the intuitionistic fuzzy matrix Rtk rij tk m×n k 1, 2, . . . , p into a
complex IFDM:
R rij m×n
, where rij µij , vij , πij ,
p
p
λtk λt
µij 1 − 1 − µrij tk , vij vrij tkk ,
k1 k1
3.11
p
p
λtk λt
πij 1 − µrij tk − vrij tkk ,
k1 k1
i 1, 2, . . . , n, j 1, 2, . . . , m.
Step 2. Define α α1 , α2 , . . . , αm T and α− α−1 , α−2 , . . . , α−m T as the IFPIS and the IFNIS,
respectively, where α 1, 0, 0 i 1, 2, . . . , m are the m largest IFNs and α− 0, 1, 0 i
1, 2, . . . , m are the m smallest IFNs. Furthermore, for convenience of depiction, we denote the
alternative xi i 1, 2, . . . , n by xi ri1 , ri2 , . . . , rim T , i 1, 2, . . . , n.
Step 3. Calculate the distance between the alternative xi and the IFIS and the distance
between the largest native xi and the IFNIS, respectively:
m
1 m
dxi , α wj d rij , αj wj µij − 1 vij − 0 πij − 0
j1
2 j1
1 m
1 m
wj 1 − µij vij πij wj 1 − µij vij 1 − µij − vij
2 j1 2 j1
m
wj 1 − µij ,
j1
m
1 m
d xi , α− wj d rij , α−j wj µij − 0 vij − 1 πij − 0
j1
2 j1
8 Journal of Applied Mathematics
1 m
1 m
wj 1 − µij − vij πij wj 1 µij − vij 1 − µij − vij
2 j1 2 j1
m
wj 1 − vij ,
j1
3.12
dxi , α−
cxi , i 1, 2, . . . , n. 3.13
dxi , α dxi , α−
Since
m
m
m
m
dxi , α d xi , α− wj 1 − µij wj 1 − vij wj 2 − µij − vij wj 1 πij ,
j1 j1 j1 j1
3.14
Step 5. Rank all the alternatives xi 1, 2, . . . , n according to the closeness coefficients cxi 1,
2, . . . , n, the greater the value cxi , the better the alternative xi .
4. Case Study
In this section, we will describe how an IFT method was applied via an example of
selection of the most appropriate projects. Criteria to be considered in the selection of
projects are determined by the expert team from a construction group. In our study, we
employ six evaluation criteria. The attributes which are considered here in assessment of
Pi i 1, 2, . . . , 6 are 1 C1 is benefit and 2 C2 , . . . , C6 are cost. The committee evaluates
the performance of projects Pi i 1, 2, . . . , 6 according to the attributes Cj j 1, 2, . . . , 6,
respectively. Criteria are mainly considered as follows
i net present value C1 ,
ii quality C2 ,
iii duration C3 ,
iv contractor’s rank C4 ,
v contractor’s technology C5 ,
vi contractor’s economic status C6 .
Journal of Applied Mathematics 9
Therefore, one cost criterion, C1 and five benefit criteria, C2 , . . . , C6 are considered.
After preliminary screening, six projects P1 , P2 , P3 , P4 , P5 , and P6 remain for further
evaluation. A team of four DMs such as DM1 , DM2 , DM3 , and DM4 has been formed to select
the most suitable project.
Now utilizing the proposed IFT to prioritize these construction projects, the following
steps were taken.
Degree of the DMs on group decision, shown in Table 1, and linguistic terms used for
the ratings of the DMs and criteria, as Table 2, respectively.
Construct the aggregated IFDM based on the opinions of DMs and the linguistic terms
shown in Table 3.
The ratings given by the DMs to six projects were shown in Table 4.
The aggregated IFDM based on aggregation of DMs’ opinions was constructed as
follows:
C1 C2 C3
⎡ ⎤
A1 0.80, 0.08, 0.12 0.69, 0.20, 0.11 0.76, 0.12, 0.12
A2 ⎢0.68, 0.20, 0.12 0.78, 0.11, 0.11 0.74, 0.13, 0.13⎥
⎢ ⎥
A ⎢0.82, 0.07, 0.11 0.79, 0.10, 0.11 0.79, 0.10, 0.11⎥
⎢ ⎥
R 3 ⎢ ⎥
A4 ⎢ 0.83, 0.16, 0.1 0.75, 0.14, 0.11 0.70, 0.19, 0.11⎥
⎢ ⎥
A5 ⎣0.55, 0.38, 0.07 0.42, 0.52, 0.06 0.64, 0.40, 0.06⎦
A6 0.75, 0.13, 0.12 0.69, 0.19, 0.12 0.75, 0.13, 0.12
4.1
C4 C5 C6
⎡ ⎤
A1 0.80, 0.09, 0.11 0.78, 0.11, 0.11 0.69, 0.20, 0.11
A2 ⎢0.78, 0.11, 0.11 0.69, 0.21, 0.10 0.75, 0.13, 0.12⎥
⎢ ⎥
A ⎢0.84, 0.05, 0.11 0.84, 0.05, 0.11 0.84, 0.05, 0.11⎥
⎢ ⎥
× 3 ⎢ ⎥.
A4 ⎢0.81, 0.08, 0.11 0.82, 0.07, 0.11 0.85, 0.05, 0.10⎥
⎢ ⎥
A5 ⎣0.55, 0.33, 0.12 0.54, 0.33, 0.13 0.40, 0.54, 0.06⎦
A6 0.75, 0.13, 0.12 0.85, 0.05, 0.10 0.78, 0.11, 0.11
The linguistic terms shown in Table 5 were used to rate each criterion. The importance
of the criteria represented as linguistic terms was shown in Table 6.
10 Journal of Applied Mathematics
The opinions of DMs on criteria were aggregated to determine the weight of each
criterion:
⎡ ⎤T
0, 71, 0.19, 0.10
⎢0, 90, 0.00, 0.10⎥
⎢ ⎥
⎢0, 65, 0.27, 0.80⎥
⎢ ⎥ 4.2
W{X1 ,X2 ,X3 ,X4 ,X5 ,X6 } ⎢ ⎥ .
⎢0, 78, 0.11, 0.11⎥
⎢ ⎥
⎣0, 80, 0.10, 0.10⎦
0, 67, 0.24, 0.9
After the weights of the criteria and the rating of the projects were determined, the aggregated
weighted IFDM was constructed as follows:
C1 C2 C3
⎡ ⎤
A1 0.57, 0.26, 0.18 0.62, 0.20, 0.18 0.49, 0.36, 0.19
A2 ⎢0.48, 0.35, 0.17 0.70, 0.11, 0.19 0.48, 0.37, 0.15⎥
⎢ ⎥
A ⎢0.58, 0.25, 0.17 0.70, 0.10, 0.19 0.51, 0.34, 0.14⎥
⎢ ⎥
R 3
′
⎢ ⎥
A4 ⎢0.59, 0.32, 0.09 0.70, 0.14, 0.19 0.45, 0.41, 0.14⎥
⎢ ⎥
A5 ⎣0.39, 0.50, 0.11 0.38, 0.52, 0.10 0.42, 0.56, 0.02⎦
A6 0.53, 0.30, 0.17 0.62, 0.19, 0.19 0.49, 0.36, 0.15
4.3
C4 C5 C6
⎡ ⎤
A1 0.62, 0.19, 0.19 0.62, 0.20, 0.18 0.46, 0.39, 0.15
A2 ⎢0.61, 0.21, 0.18 0.55, 0.29, 0.16 0.50, 0.34, 0.16⎥
⎢ ⎥
A ⎢0.66, 0.16, 0.19 0.67, 0.15, 0.18 0.56, 0.28, 0.16⎥
⎢ ⎥
× 3 ⎢ ⎥.
A4 ⎢0.63, 0.18, 0.19 0.57, 0.16, 0.18 0.57, 0.28, 0.15⎥
⎢ ⎥
A5 ⎣0.43, 0.40, 0.17 0.43, 0.40, 0.17 0.27, 0.65, 0.08⎦
A6 0.59, 0.23, 0.19 0.70, 0.14, 0.18 0.52, 0.33, 0.15
The net present value is cost criteria j1 {X1 }, and quality, duration, contractor’s
rank, contractor’s technology, and contractor’s economic status are benefit criteria j1 {X2 ,
X3 , X4 , X5 }.
Journal of Applied Mathematics 11
A∗ {0.59, 0.25, 0.16, 0.71, 0.10, 0.19, 0.51, 0.34, 0.15, 0.66, 0.15, 0.18,
0.68, 0.14, 0.18, 0.57, 0.28, 0.15},
−
4.4
A {0.39, 0.5, 0.11, 0.38, 0.5, 0.12, 0.42, 0.56, 0.02, 0.43, 0.4, 0.17,
0.43, 0.4, 0.17, 0.27, 0.65, 0.08}.
12 Journal of Applied Mathematics
Negative and positive separation measures based on normalized Euclidean distance for each
project and the relative closeness coefficient were calculated in Table 7.
Six projects were ranked according to descending order of Ci∗ ’s. The result score is
always the bigger the better. As visible in Table 6, project 3 has the largest score, and project
5 has the smallest score of the six projects which is ranked in the last pace. The projects were
ranked as P3 > P4 > P6 > P1 > P2 > P5 . Project 3 was selected as appropriate project among
the alternatives.
In the second part, we utilize the proposed DIFWA to prioritize these construction
projects, and the following steps were taken.
First, utilize the DIFWA to aggregate all the IFDM Rtk into a complex IFDM R:
C1 C2 C3
⎡ ⎤
A1 0.57, 0.26, 0.18 0.62, 0.20, 0.18 0.49, 0.36, 0.19
A2 ⎢0.48, 0.35, 0.17 0.70, 0.11, 0.19 0.48, 0.37, 0.15⎥
⎢ ⎥
A ⎢0.58, 0.25, 0.17 0.70, 0.10, 0.19 0.51, 0.34, 0.14⎥
⎢ ⎥
R′ 3 ⎢ ⎥
A4 ⎢0.59, 0.32, 0.09 0.70, 0.14, 0.19 0.45, 0.41, 0.14⎥
⎢ ⎥
A5 ⎣0.39, 0.50, 0.11 0.38, 0.52, 0.10 0.42, 0.56, 0.02⎦
A6 0.53, 0.30, 0.17 0.62, 0.19, 0.19 0.49, 0.36, 0.15
4.5
C4 C5 C6
⎡ ⎤
A1 0.62, 0.19, 0.19 0.62, 0.20, 0.18 0.46, 0.39, 0.15
A2 ⎢0.61, 0.21, 0.18 0.55, 0.29, 0.16 0.50, 0.34, 0.16⎥
⎢ ⎥
A ⎢0.66, 0.16, 0.19 0.67, 0.15, 0.18 0.56, 0.28, 0.16⎥
⎢ ⎥
× 3 ⎢ ⎥.
A4 ⎢0.63, 0.18, 0.19 0.57, 0.16, 0.18 0.57, 0.28, 0.15⎥
⎢ ⎥
A5 ⎣0.43, 0.40, 0.17 0.43, 0.40, 0.17 0.27, 0.65, 0.08⎦
A6 0.59, 0.23, 0.19 0.70, 0.14, 0.18 0.52, 0.33, 0.15
Journal of Applied Mathematics 13
Table 7: Separation measures and the relative closeness coefficient of each project.
Alternatives S∗ S− Ci ∗
P1 0.36 1.38 0.79
P2 0.42 1.35 0.77
P3 0.04 1.73 0.98
P4 0.23 1.54 0.87
P5 0.18 0.02 0.01
P6 0.3 1.46 0.83
α 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0T , α− 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0T , 4.6
5. Conclusion
The IFT and DIFWA have been emphasized in this paper which occurs in construction
projects evaluation. In the evaluation process, the ratings of each project, given with
intuitionistic fuzzy information, were represented as IFNs. The IFWA operator was used
to aggregate the rating of DM. In project selection problem the project’s information and
performance are usually uncertain. Therefore, the decision makers are unable to express their
judgment on the project with crisp value, and the evaluations are very often expressed in
linguistic terms. IFT and DIFWA are suitable ways to deal with MCDM because it contains
a vague perception of DMs’ opinions. An actual life example in construction sector was
illustrated, and finally the result is as follows Among 6 construction projects with respect
to 6 criteria, after using these two methods, the best one is project 3 and project 4, project
6, project 1, project 2, project 5 will follow it, respectively. The presented approach not only
validates the methods, as it was originally defined in Boran and Xu in a new application field
that was the evaluation of construction projects, but also considers a more extensive list of
benefit and cost-oriented criteria, suitable for construction project selection. Finally, the IFT
and DIFWA methods have capability to deal with similar types of the same situations with
uncertainty in MCDM problems such as ERP software selection and many other areas.
Acknowledgment
The author is very grateful to the anonymous referees for their constructive comments and
suggestions that led to an improved version of this paper.
14 Journal of Applied Mathematics
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