Technical Report 4th January 2012

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Technical Research | January 04, 2012

Daily Technical Report


Sensex (15939) / NIFTY (4765)
Yesterday, markets opened with a decent upside gap on the back of strong global cues. The positive momentum continued throughout the day and indices registered a massive 3% intraday rally. On the sectoral front, Metal, Capital Goods, Realty and Banking sectors contributed heavily in yesterdays rally. There was no sector in the negative territory. The advance to decline ratio was strongly in favor of gaining counters. (A=1863 D=860). (Source www.bseindia.com)

Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart

Formation
The 20 day EMA has now shifted to 15839 / 4743 level. On the Daily chart, we are witnessing a positive

crossover in momentum oscialltors viz., the RSI and the Stochastic. Also, 3 & 8 EMA and ADX (9) indicator has given a positive crossover.
Source: Falcon

Trading strategy:
As mentioned in our yesterdays report, indices opened firmly above the high of the Dragon Fly Doji candlestick pattern and the bullish implication was clearly seen. As a result, indices closed well above the 20 day EMA which is now placed at 15839 / 4743 level. We are now observing a positive crossover in few technical indicators, such as, RSI, Stochastic, 3 & 8 EMA and ADX (9). Looking at these technical tools and yesterdays strong closing above 20 day EMA, the possibility of breaking strong resistance zone of 16020 16070 / 4800 4820 is significantly high. The closing above 16070 / 4820 would also lead to a confirmation of Higher Top Higher Bottom formation on the daily chart. Therefore, we advise traders to trade with a positive bias if indices manage to sustain above 16070 / 4820 level. In this case, indices are likely to rally towards 16286 16421/ 4881 4920 levels. On the downside, 15640 - 15542 / 4675 4645 levels may act as support in coming trading sessions.

Actionable points:
View Expected Targets Support levels Positive Above 4820 4881 4920 4675 4645

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Technical Research | January 04, 2012

Bank Nifty Outlook - (8340)


Yesterday, Bank Nifty opened with an upside gap in line with our benchmark indices and continued to move higher to close near the highest point of the day. The index ended with 4.32% gains and above 8300 mark. Bank Nifty opened well above the Hammer (8028) mentioned in our previous report and surpassed all the intermediate resistances to test the 20 Day EMA placed near 8330 level. On the Daily chart, we are now witnessing a positive crossover in momentum oscillators viz. RSI and Stochastic, which suggest momentum on the upside is likely to continue. Going forward, Bank Nifty may test 8450 8600 levels once it crosses 8356 level. On the downside, 8180 8130 levels may now act as a strong support as these are the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels of the entire rise from 7888 8356 respectively. Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart

Actionable points:
View Expected Target Support Level
Positive Above 8356

8450 8600 8180 8130

Source: Falcon

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Technical Research | January 04, 2012

Positive Bias:

Stock Name Orient Bank EKC RCOM

CMP 204.4 26 74.3

5 Day EMA 202 26.3 71.8

20 Day EMA 226 31.4 71.1

Expected Target 214 31 80

Remarks View will change below 196.5 View will change below 24.5 View will change below 69.7

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Technical Research | January 04, 2012

Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks


SCRIPS SENSEX NIFTY BANKNIFTY ACC AMBUJACEM AXISBANK BAJAJ-AUTO BHARTIARTL BHEL BPCL CAIRN CIPLA DLF DRREDDY GAIL HCLTECH HDFC HDFCBANK HEROMOTOCO HINDALCO HINDUNILVR ICICIBANK IDFC INFY ITC JINDALSTEL JPASSOCIAT KOTAKBANK LT M&M MARUTI NTPC ONGC PNB POWERGRID RANBAXY RCOM RELCAPITAL RELIANCE RELINFRA RPOWER SAIL SBIN SESAGOA SIEMENS STER SUNPHARMA SUZLON TATAMOTORS TATAPOWER TATASTEEL TCS WIPRO S2 15,520 4,641 7,973 1,109 150 789 1,429 340 234 460 313 319 178 1,562 383 392 650 426 1,754 112 402 696 92 2,790 198 451 52 415 1,004 642 930 157 258 759 99 410 71 230 704 331 70 81 1,619 154 629 90 493 18 183 87 337 1,166 395 S1 15,730 4,703 8,157 1,126 152 814 1,462 349 241 467 321 324 185 1,584 388 398 658 432 1,791 114 405 711 94 2,827 199 469 54 432 1,032 653 941 159 260 781 100 418 73 239 714 342 71 83 1,662 159 648 92 496 18 189 90 349 1,182 406 PIVOT 15,850 4,738 8,256 1,143 156 828 1,483 355 246 472 326 327 189 1,598 391 402 663 437 1,838 115 408 720 95 2,857 200 481 54 443 1,049 667 953 160 262 793 101 423 74 245 721 348 72 83 1,686 162 659 93 499 19 192 91 357 1,196 412 R1 16,060 4,800 8,440 1,160 158 852 1,515 364 253 478 334 331 195 1,620 396 407 671 443 1,875 117 411 735 98 2,894 202 499 55 461 1,077 678 965 162 265 815 102 431 75 254 731 358 73 85 1,729 166 678 96 502 19 197 94 369 1,212 422 R2 16,180 4,835 8,540 1,176 162 866 1,536 370 259 483 339 334 199 1,634 399 411 676 448 1,922 118 415 744 99 2,924 203 511 56 471 1,093 691 976 163 267 827 102 436 76 259 737 364 74 85 1,753 169 689 97 504 19 200 96 376 1,226 428

Technical Research Team


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Technical ResearchTechnical04, 2012 | January Report

RESEARCH TEAM
Shardul Kulkarni Sameet Chavan Sacchitanand Uttekar Mehul Kothari Ankur Lakhotia Head - Technicals Technical Analyst Technical Analyst Technical Analyst Technical Analyst

For any Queries, Suggestions and Feedback kindly mail to [email protected] Research Team: 022-3952 6600 Website: www.angelbroking.com

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