Faen 302 Exams Questions-2022-2023
Faen 302 Exams Questions-2022-2023
Faen 302 Exams Questions-2022-2023
y 1 3 5 7
P(Y=y) a 3b 2a b
i. Find a and b. [4
MARKS]
ii. Calculate Var(Y). [3
MARKS]
r -2 3
P(R=r) a 1-a
How might this data be used to allocate a taxi for the job? Rank the taxis in order of
preference and give reasons for your choices. [6
MARKS]
Q2.
a) Engineers make certain components for aeroplanes. A certain aeronautics
engineering company believes that the time taken to make a particular type of
component may be modelled by a normal distribution with a mean of 90 minutes
and a standard deviation of three minutes. Assuming the company’s beliefs to be
true, find the probability that the time taken to make one of these components,
selected at random, was:
i. over 95 minutes [3
MARKS]
ii. under 87 minutes [3
MARKS]
iii. between 87 and 95 minutes [3
MARKS]
b) The life span of scientific calculators have a normal distribution with a mean of 58
months and a standard deviation of 10 months. A company that manufactures
scientific calculators gives a warranty of 36 months to replace any defective
calculator with a new one. Suppose the company makes 1 million calculators per
year, how many calculators may be replaced? [6
MARKS]
[4 MARKS]
Q3.
a) A continuous random variable X has the following probability density function
(pdf):
1
(x + 1) -1 < x < 1
2
f(x) =
0 elsewhere.
f(t) = 0 otherwise.
c) The Royal Beverage Bottling Company has designed a machine that fills cola cans
so that the contents are uniformly distributed with a minimum of 11.8 ml and a
maximum of 12.2 ml. If one can is randomly selected, find the probability that the
amount of cola is
i. at least 12.0 ml [2 MARKS]
ii. between 11.9 ml and 12.1 ml [2
MARKS]
d) All manufacturing devices and machines fail to work sooner or later. Suppose that
the failure rate is constant and the time to failure (in hours) is an exponential r.v.
X with parameter λ.
i. Measurements show that the probability that the time to failure for
computer memory chips in a given class exceeds 10 4 hours is e-1 (≈ 0.368).
Calculate the value of the parameter λ.
[3 MARKS]
ii. Using the value of the parameter λ determined in part (i), calculate the
time x0 such that the probability that the time to failure is less than x 0 is
0.05.
[3 MARKS]
Q4.
a) The voters in a large city are 40 % white, 40 % black, and 20 % Hispanic. A black
mayoral candidate anticipates attracting 30 % of the white vote, 90 % of the black
vote, and 50 % of the Hispanic vote.
i. Draw a tree diagram with probabilities for the race (white, black, or
Hispanic) and vote (for or against the candidate) of a randomly chosen
voter.
[3 MARKS]
ii. What percent of the overall votes does the candidate expect to get?
[2 MARKS]
b) The Clemson University Fact Book for 2007 shows that 123 of the university’s
338 assistant professors were women, along with 76 of the 263 associate
professors and 73 of the 375 full professors.
i. Construct a tree diagram from the data given; [3
MARKS]
ii. Use the tree diagram to calculate the probability that a randomly chosen
Clemson professor is a woman; [2
MARKS]
iii. What percent of women who are Clemson academics are full professors
according to the Fact Book for 2007? [2
MARKS]
c) Two boxes containing marbles are placed on a table. The boxes are labeled B1
and B2. Box B1 contains 7 green marbles and 4 white marbles. Box B2 contains 3
green marbles and 10 yellow marbles. The boxes are arranged so that the
probability of selecting box B1 is 1/3 and the probability of selecting box B2 is
2/3. Kathy is blindfolded and asked to select a marble. She will win a color TV if
she selects a green marble.
i. What is the probability that Kathy will win the TV (that is, she will select a
green marble)? [2
MARKS]
ii. If Kathy wins the color TV, what is the probability that the green marble
was selected from the first box? [2
MARKS]
d) All tractors made by a company are produced on one of three assembly lines,
named Red, White, and Blue. The chances that a tractor will not start when it rolls
off of a line are 6%, 11%, and 8% for lines Red, White, and Blue, respectively.
48% of the company’s tractors are made on the Red line and 31% are made on the
Blue line.
i. What fraction of the company’s tractors do not start when they roll off of
an assembly line? [2
MARKS]
ii. What is the probability that the part came from the Red assembly line,
given that the tractor will not start? [2
MARKS]
iii. What is the probability that the part came from the White assembly line,
given that the tractor will start? [3
MARKS]
a) A doctor has a choice of seven small but different bandages, six medium but
different bandages, and five large but different bandages. She chooses five
bandages, and her choice includes at least one of each size. How many different
selections could she have made? [4
MARKS]
i. the books with each particular philosopher in the title must all stand
together. [2
MARKS]
ii. only the books with Plato in the title must be in the first position on the
shelf whilst the others must also always be together but not in the first
position.
[3 MARKS]
iii. all the other titles can be arranged anyhow except the books with Socrates
in the title. [3
MARKS]
c) A red die is rolled with result R and a green die is rolled with result G. Let RG be
the random variable indicating the product of the numbers that appear.
i. List the sample space for all the possible outcomes. [2
MARKS]
ii. Use this to find P(RG is a square number). [2
MARKS]
iii. Find P(RG is even given that it is a square). [2
MARKS]
iv. Find P(RG is odd given that it is a square). [2
MARKS]
v. Calculate the expectation and variance of this distribution. [5
MARKS]
Q6.
a) A scientist is looking at the number of limpets (a type of shellfish that clings to
rocks) on a beach. He finds that there are on average 3 limpets in every 25 cm 2
area. Assuming that the number of limpets in a 25 cm 2 area follow a Poisson
distribution,
EXAMINER: P. OKAE, PHD Page 6 of 9
i. find the probability of there being exactly 5 limpets in a randomly
chosen 25 cm2 area. [1
MARK]
ii. find the probability of there being at least 1 limpet in a randomly
chosen 25 cm2 area.
[2 MARKS]
iii. find the probability there are at least 2 limpets in a randomly chosen
50 cm2 area. [4
MARKS]
b) A die is loaded in such a way that the probability of the face with j dots turning
up is proportional to j for j = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. In 6 independent throws of this die,
what is the probability that a six turns up exactly twice? [5
MARKS]
c) Suppose that a die is biased (or loaded) so that 3 appears twice as often as each
other number but that the other five outcomes are equally likely. What is the
probability that an odd number appears when we roll this die? [3
MARKS]
e) A lake contains 600 fish, eighty (80) of which have been tagged by scientists. A
researcher randomly catches 15 fish from the lake.
i. Find a formula for the probability mass function (pmf) of X, the number
of fish in the researcher's sample which are tagged. [2
MARKS]
ii. Find the probability that at least 2 tagged fish is caught by the researcher.
[3 MARKS]
n ∑ xy−( ∑ x )(∑ y )
√ ∑ x 2)−( ∑ x )2 √n (∑ y 2)−( ∑ y )2
r = n(
n( ∑ xy )−( ∑ x )( ∑ y)
b1 = n( ∑ x 2 )−( ∑ x )2
−b ± √ b2−4 ac
The quadratic formula: x=
2a
The mean of a continuous distribution with pdf ƒx(x) is given by
∞
∫x
μ=E(x) = −∞ ƒx(x)dx
The variance of a continuous distribution with pdf ƒ(x) is given by
OR
The mean or expected value of a discrete random variable with pmf p(x) is
OR
Var(X) = ∑ x 2
p (x)−μ
2