Brief Study On UPI Transactions Failure Rates

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Brief study on UPI transactions failure rates (Jan’20 to Oct’20)

1. Increase in transaction volume:


UPI volumes have increased significantly, post April’20 and the volumes in Oct’20
was 66% more than those observed in Mar’20.

VOLUME OF TRANSACTIONS (IN CRORE) 207.16


180.01
161.88
149.74
130.5 132.57 133.69
124.68 123.45
99.96

Jan'20 Feb'20 Mar'20 Apr'20 May'20 Jun'20 Jul'20 Aug'20 Sep'20 Oct'20

2. Total declines under UPI:


UPI declines or failures occur on both remitter side (debit side) as well as on
beneficiary side (credit side). The declines are further classified as Business declines (BD)
and Technical declines (TD). The total declines as a percentage of total transactions is as
follows:

% of total declines (Remitter/Beneficiery) TD+BD

12.07 11.72
10.91
9.14 9.47 9.41 9.17 9.63
9.04
8.37

Jan'20 Feb'20 Mar'20 Apr'20 May'20 Jun'20 Jul'20 Aug'20 Sep'20 Oct'20
3. Remitter side declines:
UPI declines occurring on remitter side ie initiating bank or debiting bank side is
significantly more than receiving bank side. Technical declines on remitter side have
increased significantly since Aug’20. This increase may be attributed to increase capacity
utilization of remitter side infrastructure as there has been a steep increase in 8%, 11% &
15% in transaction volume month over month during this period.

% DECLINES (REMITTER SIDE)


BD% (remitter) TD% (remitter)

1.85 2.67 2.32


0.92 0.45 0.99
1.01 1.13 0.93
0.57

7.42 7.93 7.26 7.73 7.45 7.48


7.09 6.89 6.84 6.99

JAN'20 FEB'20 MAR'20 APR'20 MAY'20 JUN'20 JUL'20 AUG'20 SEP'20 OCT'20

4. Bankwise analysis of Remitter side declines:


10 banks contribute to 77% of remitter side transactions:

% share of remitter side transactions

23%
28%

3%
3%
3%
9%
4%
4%
9%
7%
7%

SBI Axis HDFC PayTM ICICI PNB BoB BoI Canara Kotak Others
Bank BD TD
SBI 7.15% 2.38%
Axis 3.13% 0.49%
HDFC 4.88% 0.56%
PayTM 7.83% 0.05%
ICICI 5.46% 0.19%
PNB 7.78% 1.57%
BoB 8.89% 1.23%
BoI 7.23% 1.78%
Canara 13.95% 3.67%
Kotak 6.65% 1.31%

SBI and Canara have very high levels of Technical declines, whereas PayTM, BoB &
Canara have very high levels of Business declines during Jan’20 to Oct’20.

5. Beneficiary side declines:


UPI declines occurring on beneficiary side i.e. receiving or crediting bank side are less
than receiving bank side. Technical declines on beneficiary side have increased significantly
since Sep’20. This increase may be attributed to increase capacity utilization of receiving side
infrastructure as there has been a steep increase of 11% & 15% in transaction volume month
over month during this period.

% DECLINES BENEFICIERY SIDE


BD% (beneficiary) TD% (beneficiary)

1.10 1.02
0.34 0.38
0.31 0.41
0.33 0.30 0.18 0.16

1.04 0.95 0.90


0.71 0.72 0.82 0.85 0.80 0.84 0.85

Jan'20 Feb'20 Mar'20 Apr'20 May'20 Jun'20 Jul'20 Aug'20 Sep'20 Oct'20
6. Bankwise analysis of beneficiary side declines:
8 banks contribute to 78% of beneficiary side transactions:

% share of beneficiery side transactions

17%
22%

3% 15%
3%
6%

8% 13%
13%

SBI PayTm ICICI Yes Axis HDFC BoB PNB Others

Bank BD TD
SBI 0.66% 1.46%
PayTm 0.71% 0.04%
ICICI 0.58% 0.11%
Yes 0.12% 0.05%
Axis 0.50% 0.09%
HDFC 2.02% 0.10%
BoB 1.29% 0.34%
PNB 1.36% 0.94%
SBI and PNB have very high technical declines, whereas for HDFC, PNB & BoB
business declines are on a high side during Jan’20 to Oct’20.

7. Conclusion:
A detailed discussion with select banks will help in understanding the issues more
clearly, however based upon NPCI data and news reports the issues identified are as follows:
➢ High growth in volume of transactions is creating pressure on infrastructure
➢ Zero MDR leaves very little incentive to banks to upgrade and maintain infrastructure
➢ Concentration of transactions with few banks
➢ Absence of incentive and penalties to award / punish participants.
➢ PSBs have more share on remitting side in comparison to accepting side, thereby face
double whammy of flight of their funds, associated business risks and costs incurred
in maintenance of infrastructure.

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