Rural Home Defense - A Cop's Gui - Don Shift
Rural Home Defense - A Cop's Gui - Don Shift
Rural Home Defense - A Cop's Gui - Don Shift
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Introduction
Lessons from Rhodesia
Rural Threat Review
Self-Defense Legalities
Force Multiplying Technology
The Perimeter
Defensive Positions
Booby Traps
Hardening the Rural Home
Groups
Defensive Operations
Patrolling
CQB and Building Searches
Vehicles
Roads
Crop and Stock Defense in a Famine
Ideal rural living
Postures and Procedures
In Terms of Catastrophic Events
Dealing With Fear
4473: A Short Story
About the Author
Introduction
Note: This book is best read as a part of a series. Despite the
titles, concepts presented in Suburban Defense and Suburban
Warfare are applicable to rural living. Much beneficial knowledge for
the rural resident can be taken from those works.
If you are living an urban life and are thinking of moving to a rural
area, stop and consider why. Are you moving just because it “seems”
safer? Not necessarily so. Real experience from countries that
experienced an economic collapse has been that as long as cities
weren’t engaged in open warfare, cities were actually better from a
security standpoint.
Why? Safety in numbers. Suburban neighborhoods had more
people to engage in security duties than in rural areas. Security
guards could be hired by the neighbors in a pool to protect the area.
Supplies were also more plentiful in the city as the bulk of deliveries
went there. On the contrary, self-sufficiency was harder and in a
worst-case scenario, like the Siege of Sarajevo, cities were
deathtraps.
Running away to an isolated retreat is not wise if you don’t
have the friends or relatives to man it. Someone living way out in the
sticks must be fairly independent and should be able to handle minor
repairs. Self-sufficient living, even semi-self sufficient, is difficult.
Isolation can be a huge factor and being so far away from friends
and families put a strain on a relative’s marriage.
Leaving the city doesn’t work out like a fantasy. I would
suggest to any city slickers that instead of finding a cabin in the
woods they look at semi-rural areas on the outskirts of town
(unincorporated areas). These are larger lots more suited to
gardening and making defensive changes than a suburb. The
developments are often large neighborhoods in layout but with
country charm and greenery instead of cookie-cutter houses as far
as the eye can see.
What is “rural?”
Exodus
Lessons
Crime threats
Logistics
Produce deliveries into the city (or from the city) are prime
targets. Semi-trucks making deliveries to cities and
distribution centers may need heavy armed (and armored)
convoys with police/military escorts to avoid hijacking.
It’s long been predicted that when cities become unsafe truckers
won’t accept shipments or pickups there. It may be too perilous to
transport anything into your rural area too. Forget about mobs for a
second and think of Wild West stagecoach robbery or Indian raids on
wagon trains. Country roads can be narrow, full of curves, and may
have concealment growing right up the shoulders. Trucks will be
robbed, stolen, and hijacked.
Home delivery is going to go by the wayside as conditions
deteriorate. Fuel alone may preclude the level of service we expect
from Amazon, FedEx, and UPS. Even special deliveries at exorbitant
costs might not be made due to the risk of hijacking. Are these
delivery companies really going to let their drivers be armed or
employ security for them? Armed guards for armored cars are
trained to give up the money rather than fight, so why would the guys
in the brown shorts be any different?
Business or centralized location delivery will become the norm.
You’ll have to pickup at a store, shipping office, or the Post Office.
The trucks that bring goods to these locations may be at risk as well.
We will certainly see an increased incidence of truck hijackings by
bandits and lonely roads in the country would be vulnerable areas to
operate.
The third-order effects of this are increased costs of goods in
your area or none at all. Suppliers will go to cities and towns that are
safer, forcing you to drive to them. Shortages will be more acute.
Your effective price for goods will climb, regardless of what the price
tag says, due to fuel costs and the wasting of your time. Wide
selection and availability of products will dwindle without the
abundant and quick ecommerce of today that the delivery guys make
possible.
For those in farm country, in a famine food storage locations
will be the new heist targets. Perhaps whenever Grand Theft Auto VI
debuts one of the missions will be to steal a bunch of potatoes on
their way to McDonalds instead of gold. What could once be left
unguarded in the middle of nowhere will turn into a criminal’s
potential cash cow overnight. Grain silos are going to have to be
guarded.
As with everything else, security costs will go up. Farmers,
companies, co-ops, and associations will have to hire security
guards to defend their facilities. These costs will be passed on to the
customer.
Terrorism
Seeks to drive the owner off the land and not necessarily to
possess it.
May be political or racially motivated in a spirit of revenge,
i.e. ethnic cleansing.
Low probability of destroying production capacity for
destruction’s sake, though crop sabotage may occur, like
burning grain fields.
Sniper attacks from outside the perimeter to harass or kill
with little risk to the attacker.
Intimidation of farm workers to harm the property owners or
provide intelligence.
Raids
Incidental or unorganized
Intentional or organized
Takeovers
Agricultural crimes
Organized crime
Company towns
Unlikely threats
I don’t regard an organized civil war like the first one was as
something probable. Training, equipping, and organizing men is way
too hard. Existing military forces (Army, Marines, and National
Guard) would have to be mobilized and they would fracture if forced
to take a side in a domestic conflict. Besides, if actual armies are
forming up with proper organization, the only way you are surviving
is though your own army or luck; not this book.
The same goes for an invasion by China or Russia (unlikely). A
foreign invasion all the way across the Pacific would require such
effort and resources that it would be nearly impossible. Even then,
even a decimated US Navy could render the invasion fleet toothless.
The only way foreign troops are entering the US is through an
invitation from, say, a communist California.
The “rifle behind every blade of grass” statement would be
true as Americans would fight a guerilla war that would make the
invasion unpalatable at home. Instead, a destabilized and
domestically devastated America would probably be stripped for
resources, by Americans, eager to take foreign money.
Now a guerilla war against a tyrannical government is more
possible than the other two. things might get bad enough that while
the country is no longer governable, the authorities can still wield
elements of traditional military power against their political
opponents. However, this is a defense series so you’ll have to get
your guerilla warfare stuff from somewhere else.
I don’t see a communist uprising that targets the rural land
owner as likely, but that doesn’t mean that political killings won’t
occur. Whatever the reason, there still could be assassinations and
terror killings over X cause, which could be anything divisive from
politics to race. This would include retaliation, directly for a wrong or
indirectly, such as class envy. Or, to encourage the others: foster
forced compliance through killing over minor offenses to set an
example that “you could be next” if you step out of line with the
demands of the dominant group.
Enclaves
An enclave is a community that is either physically closed to entry
by outsiders or actively excludes them from entry. In normal times,
only private property and gated communities can legally do this.
Social exclusion is another factor but it is not legal to prohibit
someone who is not like you from buying private property and
moving in. Note that ostracization of outsiders or those that don’t fit
in are a real problem for those looking to relocate.
Small towns may be great places if you are a native or have
integrated, but as a newcomer you may not be trusted. Some
examples of places that are or will become quite restrictive to
commerce, passage through, or any association with non-members
are:
Military bases.
Predominately Hispanic agricultural communities (see
above).
Areas with high densities of a single, fringe religious group
(Mormon fundamentalists, Mennonites, cults).
Indian reservations may exclude outsiders from even
passing through on public highways.
Prepper communities like the million-dollar bunker facilities.
Resort or gated communities.
Organic: those in an easily closed-off area united by
geography may choose to exclude outsiders for their
defense.
Risky people
Note: Portions of this chapter are excerpted from the same titled
chapter from Suburban Defense. Please see that chapter in full. The
material here as been condensed and revised for a rural context.
No trespassing
WROL
Best practices
Communications
UHF: Usually in the 400 MHz range and often found in the non-
ham radios commonly available in stores (GMRS and FRS). For
hams, this includes the 70cm AKA 440 MHz band (Technician-level
amateur operator license required at minimum). GMRS requires a
$35 license without a test. Some GMRS radio models are also
somewhat customizable. This is for short range (<5 miles)
communication.
VHF: Usually in the 30-200 MHz range for civilian radios. The 2m
band requires a Technician-level amateur operator license at a
minimum. MURS (Multi-Use Radio Service) is unlicensed. This is for
short range (<5 miles) communication.
HF/shortwave: Usually 26.965-27.405 MHz for CB (unlicensed)
and 28.000-29.700 for the 10m amateur band. You will need a
General or Amateur Extra-level amateur license for this generally or
use CB. This is for medium range (10-30 mile) communication.
Maximum legal wattage is 4 watts, which won’t reach far, but if you
buy illegal amplifiers, you can increase power to a CB radio base
station to reach out around 30 miles or so under the right conditions.
Repeaters
Distress calls
Night vision
The first and most common type of night vision device is the
infrared image intensification unit. This is the traditional green tube
which uses light sensitive tubes to brighten up what you are seeing.
A variation of this is digital intensification which is far cheaper, but
also inferior. These are basically digital camera sensors with a
screen. I wouldn’t waste the money on these and a better solution for
similar money to top of the line digital sensors (Sionyx brand) exist;
see below.
You can’t wear a PVS-14 monocular and put your head
behind the “night vision compatible” red dot scope. If you are using
worn night vision devices like goggles or a monocular, mount a
laser/illuminator on your weapon to aim with. In rural areas, the
ambient lighting will be lower and a quality long-distance illuminator
is required for proper target illumination at a distance in a way that a
separate IR flashlight can’t do. I specifically mean buy the civilian
PEQ-15 (EoTech ATPIAL-C), B.E Meyers MAWL-C, or Steiner DBAL
with IR illuminator.
Buy once, cry once. Someone I know made the mistake of
buying a laser only unit and while it’s adequate for neighborhood
use, they can’t use it to throw an IR spotlight on stuff. Having an
additional dual mode visible/IR flashlight on a rifle is great, but they
created a buy twice/cry twice trap for themselves. Live and learn.
Adversaries equipped with night vision will be more common in
rural areas because the extra effort required to get there and attack
there will tend to self-select the more prepared thugs. You may not
be facing raiders, but groups who prepared just enough to target
your rural property and take it over as their base. I wrote just such a
scenario in Hard Favored Rage.
There are several countermeasures for this. The first is thermal
imaging (sometimes called FLIR, a brand name) which also can be
cheaper. Thermal imaging also operates in the infrared spectrum of
light but is not a light intensifier. Instead it displays heat signatures,
which can make it easier to identify someone moving behind
concealment like tree cover. In wooded country I would have one of
these. You see identifiable shapes instead of having to figure out if
the green shadow is just a trick of the light or actually is a bad guy.
Various models exist from pocket sized imagers to weapon
sights and worn googles/monoculars. For a cheap option, a small
imager can be had for less than $1,000 and can tell you if someone
is creeping around in the dark. I’d buy these over a cheap image
intensifier if I was on a budget. At least you can tell if someone is out
there or not.
If you want to be able to shoot in the dark passively, a thermal
rifle sight is great and probably better than a night vision monocular
mounted on a rail in-line with a NV compatible sight. Image
intensifiers have to be focused for whatever range you intend to
shoot at if you are shooting passively. Neither type of weapon sight
can be used to navigate with; holding up a rifle and looking through it
just to see where you are going doesn’t work.
Personally I would recommend using a PVS-14 monocular, a
weapon mounted IR laser/illuminator, and a small thermal scope for
area scanning. If you have the money, use a thermal scope on your
rifle or set up a second gun for that just in case bad guys with night
vision goggles are running around out there.
Returning to countermeasures for adversaries who are at
parity with you, minimalization of infrared emissions is paramount.
They can see the IR lasers and spotlights from your weapon and
target you. You can do the same to them. Using passive modes (just
the scope part) for observation is the answer. If you must shoot with
the laser, the laser should be activated using the momentary mode
on the remote switch only when you are ready to fire. After the shot,
the switch needs to be immediately released and move your position
to evade return fire. They may not see the IR beam but they will see
the muzzle flash.
Drones
Awareness
Motion sensors/alarms
Cameras
Game cameras
At first, game cameras seem like an ideal way to keep watch over
property. They are camouflaged, weatherproof, easily mounted, and
motion triggered. First understand that traditional game cameras are
static devices and you must recover the SD card to see what was
captured. This will not provide any real time warning.
Cellular models that do provide real time alerts direct to your
smartphone are dependent upon the cellular network. These are all
well and good for deer season but useless in a grid-down event. By
the way, who hunts where there is cell coverage? Maybe it’s
expanded a lot where you are or maybe you people on the East
Coast are just used to hunting close to civilization. In the hunting
grounds I know you’re lucky to get enough signal to make an old
fashioned call while standing on top of your truck.
Wi-Fi models are not dependent on the cellular network and
would only require access to your home Wi-Fi network. The problem
is that an Internet connection may be required to route the email or
data to a server. You can power your home Wi-Fi network grid-down,
but there will be no Internet to connect to unless your internet
provider is operating.
You would need to find a model that comes with a screened
device (tablet) that can receive images and video directly from the
camera itself with no Internet intermediary, preferably to a
smartphone app via your own local network with no Internet relay.
The drawback is poor Wi-Fi reception without boosters and special
antennas and high power draws.
Lights
Lights are partially for identification and partially for denying the
concealment that darkness offers. Naturally intruders will want to use
darkness and shadow to hide their approach. Lights take this
advantage away and can create a dead zone or canalize the bad
guy to where you want them. Even if the lights do not deter the
intruder, an illuminated intruder offers a great target.
Not all lights deter criminals. Many of them know that motion
lights are often ignored because of false alarms. Cameras linked to
the lights have changed this somewhat. In addition to the preceding
purposes, lights can serve as an alert as cameras do at a fraction of
the cost but you must be willing to investigate the activation.
Bright light can also be used to blind and disorient attackers.
Night adjusted eyes looking into bright spotlights shining from all
around a house will sting and have trouble picking up targets within
the light. Cops use spotlights and takedown lights to blind you.
These “trouble” lights should be extremely powerful and activated in
all directions at the flip of a switch. If possible, aim them into the tree
line or spots where people may be hiding to both illuminate that area
and shine directly into the eyes of an intruder.
In Rhodesia, the lights were mounted behind bulletproof
enclosures or a simple reflector was made. The lamp itself was
placed behind sandbags or some other bulletproof shielding. It was
then aimed at a stainless steel reflector, polished like a mirror, which
would then angle the light beam out. The light couldn’t be shot out
easily and the steel would remain reflective even after being shot.
Handheld spotlights can be used to identify and intimidate
individuals, but the light can be fired upon, so it becomes a liability.
Area lighting may be considered instead but each item is a different
tool available in one’s tool box.
Off-property
Intelligence collection
Talking to neighbors
Listening to radio/scanner traffic
Sending out recon patrols
Observation including by drone
Identify potential warning indicators
Identify potential approaching threats
Monitor the movements of hostile actors
Perimeter (on-property)
Men
Physical defenses
No trespassing signs;
Video cameras;
Lights;
A barking dog;
Fences; and,
Sharp or thorny landscaping.
Canalize
Ditches
Anti-vehicle barriers
In addition to ditches, popular anti-vehicle barriers are boulders.
The easiest solution is rocks about six inches to a foot high weighing
more than a hundred pounds. They may not stop a vehicle at high
speed, but they will damage it. Enough damage can be caused to
deter someone who doesn’t want to hurt their car or give a good shot
at ripping out vital underbody components, like the oil pan. These
are often called “sump busters” in Europe when used as an
intentional feature.
To severely damage most vehicles, including heavy pickup
trucks, larger boulders need to be used. These will be two feet in
diameter or larger. Any rock that has to be moved by equipment will
do, but obviously the bigger the better. Boulders should be placed no
more than six feet apart and five would be the best. Smaller ones
can be placed against each other or in layers, perhaps in a
staggered pattern, to increase their effectiveness.
Rocks and walls can be “crawled” by properly set up Jeeps and
trucks driven by skilled drivers. The anti-vehicle barricade will slow
these vehicles down and give you an opportunity to shoot at the
vehicle. Remember, an obstacle is removeable or negotiable by the
enemy if you can’t enforce it by fire.
Other options are poured concrete “dragon’s teeth” that are
basically just pyramids or squares of concrete set at an angle. These
should be set into the ground and spaced as above. Concrete
barriers have the additional benefit of being able to mount hasps into
the pour and link very heavy chain between them. Concrete median
barrier sections, K-rail or Jersey barriers are an option but much
more expensive.
The classic Czech hedgehog of intersecting steel beams like
a three-dimensional X work against tanks. This is an option if you
have access to girders or railroad track and can weld. Some have
set steel beams or pipes deep into concrete. Please note that any
barrier you install could potentially be a liability if a vehicle collides
with it, so consult an attorney regarding homeowner’s liability before
engaging in any installation.
A strong steel cable can be stretched across a roadway at
radiator height to stop vehicles. This needs to be mounted or
wrapped in such a way that a vehicle traveling at whatever speed is
possible down a driveway won’t easily rip it free. A field of rocks that
can’t be driven over can be spread across a driveway too. Scullies,
or small concrete blocks with rebar sticking out of the top can wreck
or jam up a vehicle’s undercarriage.[10]
Strong, metal netting with something sharp entwined like
claws to grab tires can wrap around wheels and axles. Homemade
tire deflating spikes can be cut from steel and welded into a girder.
This can then be buried or laid in the road. I argue against caltrops
because these can be easily forgotten and cause damage later on or
be stumbled upon by friendlies.
Hedgerow/defensive landscaping
Pyracantha (firethorn)
Bamboo
Bougainvillea
Roses
Wire obstacles/fences
Electric fences
Wooden fences
For ordinary post and slat type yard fencing, see Suburban
Defense “Hardening the Home.” Your rural backyard will be a lot like
suburban backyards. For perimeters, you may be using or want to
use a wooden fence. These look good and totally normal.
The nice thing about wood fences is that if done right, they can
be very tough barriers. Thick posts set in concrete and with rails that
are bolted in place, not nailed, can stop some cars, or at least
seriously mess them up. Such a fence will not be cheap. It can be
further hardened with thorny plants or have barbed wire added in an
emergency.
Fun fact: those picturesque white wooden fences that you see
in countless commercials as a car drives through a rural, hilly
community with oak trees? Yeah, that’s almost certainly filmed on
Potrero Road in Hidden Valley, just south of Thousand Oaks,
California. It’s a millionaire’s and billionaire’s ranch playground less
than thirty miles from Hollywood and ten miles from Malibu.
It’s not Texas or wherever they’re playing it off of. I’ve been
stuck responding to emergency calls and CHP has had the road
closed for some filming on more than one occasion. Some people
grew up in Hollywood. I grew up in commercial country.
Note: Whether you have a fence or a wall, cut down any trees
within 15-30 feet of the fence/wall so no one can climb them and
jump over. Also cut off any branches that extend over the fence line
as well.
Specialty barriers
Approach angles
Gates
This should go without saying but get a strong gate for your
driveway. It must be mounted on stout supports because a gate is
only as strong as what holds it up. These supports shouldn’t be so
large that a person can hide behind it. Decorative gate walls or
pillars are perfect hiding places for people to lie in wait for you.
Gates should not be easily bent or broken. They should absorb
some impact energy and the weak points should be any locking or
hinge mechanisms, rather than the gate posts or the material itself.
The metal should fail before anything supports are knocked out of
the ground. Potentially weak posts can be reinforced by placing
concrete or stone barriers (or buried bollards) in front of them to
deter ramming. When possible, gates should be secured into the
ground with cane bolts or something similar, creating an additional
point of resistance.
A gate is also worthless if it can be easily gotten around. For
vehicle defense, a gate alone that closes off a driveway may be
sufficient if a car can’t otherwise negotiate the entry, such as
crossing a deep ditch. Against foot borne intruders, there must be a
credible fence capable of stopping a man from easily getting
over/through or else why bother having a gate?
Portable anti-vehicle barricades can be placed in front of or
behind the gate. Gates should be closed immediately after use and
kept closed at all times. Gates should be motorized, remotely
activated, and open and close quickly. You should be able to get the
gate opening as you approach the last few yards to minimize time
spent waiting. The less time you wait, the less time you are a target
or that a bad guy has to sneak in.
If your driveway crosses a culvert, ensure that the ditch has
no grass or weeds that could hide a person there. Preferably the
ditch should be wide and shallow for better visibility. The pipe itself
should be as small as possible so a human can’t fit in there to hide.
Instead of one larger pipe, try multiple smaller ones. Bar large
openings and clean any accumulated debris frequently.
Layered defense
SADFAR
Stealth: Be entirely unseen, go unnoticed, or appear
unremarkable. Do not arouse any interest in your existence.
Awareness: Monitor suspicious activities, detect intrusions, and
observe adversaries’ actions to better coordinate your defensive
response. Get alerts of an incursion so you are not taken by
surprise.
Deterrence: Make it too difficult to assault, too uninviting to
infiltrate, and too costly to bother with.
Fortification: Construct your physical perimeter and facilities so
that they can delay attackers, withstand weapons fire, and keep
them out of your home.
Assistance: Friends or neighbors can provide backup or
counter-attack any assailants, or, failing that, the ability to conduct
retaliatory reprisals against the adversary.
Resistance: Have a credible capability to fight for your home and
your family; skills, weapons, and the will to prevail.
Outer ring
The outer ring is the most important. This is what keeps
people out in the first place or puts your response at the advantage.
Inner ring
Cops and many concealed carriers all know about the 21 foot
rule and Tueller Drill. Many of us have been horrified by the “Survive
the Streets” videos talking about the dangers of knife attacks. It’s like
“Red Asphalt” but for cops. Infantrymen know that close air support
and artillery can’t be used if the enemy gets closer than 200 yards,
“danger close.” What I’m getting at is that close range fighting is
dangerous.
Close Quarters Battle in defense of your home means that
you screwed up in the earlier stages of defense. Hopefully you were
bested by a better adversary and not just asleep or negligent. Close
in, it’s easier for the enemy to make his shots count. If your
defenders are all neutralized, there is less time for the innocents
inside to escape or prepare for a last stand. Concealment and cover
work for and against both of you.
Fighting here is a matter of skill and luck. What you can do
ahead of time is limit the hiding places near the house. Trim
shrubbery and keep fencing to something that can be seen through
like chainlink. Any hiding places should be very close in and work
only for someone on the house side (so someone inside the house
can kill an attacker who takes that position).
Escape
Fortifications
Fighting positions
Berms
Build a berm around the house, not just the perimeter. This
creates a vehicle barrier, bullet stop, or fighting position. Tall walls
around farmhouses in Rhodesia were popular. Not only could they
stop bullets but RPGs as well. A six foot wall may be a bit much, but
even three feet of earth over ground level can provide protection for
people ducking on the floor inside or fighters outside the house.
A quick berm can be mounded up by excavating the
surrounding terrain with even just a Bobcat in lieu of heavier
earthmovers. Any excavations should be done on the house side so
you can fight from them. Lacking barbed wire to string? Line the
outer side of the berm with sharpened sticks set at an angle, known
as an abatis, to discourage anyone from trying to get up the slope
unless they want to be stabbed.
A disadvantage of a berm is that the opposite side can be
used for cover by any attacker. With any kind of excavated fighting
position, the low point where someone could hide behind, called the
scarp or reverse slope side, should be closest to the house so you
can use it for cover, not the enemy. You want a clear shot against an
enemy who has nothing to take cover behind.
One feature is known as a ha-ha or a sunken fence. It is a
retaining wall where on one side the ground slopes down to the wall
(or is excavated) and on the other the ground (the forward slope)
reaches to the top of the wall at a level height. In landscape
architecture, this creates a visual effect of there being no wall until
you reach it, sort of like an infinity pool. From inside the house or
from the perimeter, one might never know there is a fighting position
there until they arrive at the obstacle. Earthworks can be built to
overcome this problem.
A short berm can be closer to the house, ideally three to four
feet high. Average counter height in the US is 3’6” or a little more
than a meter high. This is a good height to take cover and fight
behind. Anyone sleeping or ducking inside the house should be
shielded from incoming fire from the perimeter as the bullets cannot
go lower than the berm top. The taller a berm is, the further away
from the house it should be. The base will be wider, occupying more
space, and the taller berm will block light and the view. You should
be able to see as far as possible from the house while someone on
the outside can’t easily see in.
Berms should be compacted and preferably planted with
grass to limit erosion. Construction should be carefully done to
ensure that the berm is stable and that drainage does not become a
problem. You do not want to create a dam around your house that
keeps the water in. Retaining walls may need to be added. A berm
can be planted with a garden or additional shrubbery to create
concealment.
For well over one hundred years, sandbags have formed the
cornerstone of fighting positions. Sandbags are portable dirt when
you need it somewhere a hole won’t do. The bag is a container and
a frame that keeps the dirt or sand compressed into a useful shape
and somewhat dense to aid ballistic resistance. They are cheap: as
of this writing, Uline sells standard 14" x 26" bags for $39 per 100.
Sandbags are commonly found in polypropylene (plastic) and
burlap (cloth). Polypropylene is broken down by the UV radiation in
sunlight and outdoors the bags will degrade in three to six months of
heat and sun. Indoors at room temperature they will have an
indefinite lifespan and are more likely to fail from accidental
punctures than the material "rotting" away. If the bags are protected
from sunlight, such as being indoors or covered, they can last
indefinitely.
The bag is not filled up to the top. The top end needs to be left
unfilled and loose because it will be cinched up and tied closed. The
typical fill is one-half to 2/3rds full. A sandbag that is 2/3rds full will
weigh about 30-40 pounds, depending on your exact fill, and the
density and moisture content of the earth used. 30 bags will weigh
about a half ton. Fill with soil or sand; it will hurt less to be hit in the
face with a spray of sand/dirt than a face full of high-speed gravel.
Sandbags are slow to fill with a rate of 20 bags per hour by an
average person using old-fashioned methods. This needs to be
planned upon and a two-man team (one to shovel, one to hold the
bag open) is best. Sandbags can always be pre-filled and staged
somewhere until they are actually needed to stack up.
A quick fill idea involves a ladder and traffic cones. The ladder
is supported horizontally on blocks a few feet from the ground. Traffic
cones are then inserted upside down through the rungs of the ladder
to form a funnel. Turn the base of the cone around to form a
diagonal shape to be supported by the ladder. Place the empty
sandbag around the cone-funnel and shovel sand into the cone,
which will then neatly fall into the bag.
Sandbags do not need to be tied but can have the open end
folded over. Keep in mind that tied bags are easier to handle
because they are less likely to spill. You may need to make a time
verses easy or tidiness decision when building sandbag shelters. A
tied bag may be preferable if you are building indoors.
You will need approximately 60 standard sandbags for every
10 linear feet and one vertical foot. Note that walls will taper as they
climb and must be thicker at the base to support the weight. Stack
them in an interlocking manner like bricks, overlapping as you go
around corners and up levels, but always laid on their long ends.
Note that if sandbags are stacked vertically, they will need to
have a triangular cross-section with a base that is wider than the top.
The stack should be twice as wide as it is tall. This is to support the
weight of the bags without them toppling over. Wooden frames or
support from a building wall can be used if you need to cheat but
ensure something prevents the bags from toppling onto anyone
taking shelter. Temporary indoor shelters only need to have walls
high enough to protect those who are lying, sitting, or crouching
behind them—not full-height walls.
The preferred ratio per the Army Corps of Engineers is 1:3; for
each vertical foot there is three feet of width. Three feet is the
maximum preferred height with five being their absolute safety
maximum. In this case, this is for flood defense and you will probably
need to cheat on the exact dimensions, which is doable as long as
the bags are braced and supported against collapse.
Alternatives to sandbags are containers filled with earth, sand,
and rocks. These are known as gabions. Gabions can be
constructed out of anything that can make a box which is then filled
in. Pre-modern militaries used large woven baskets. Today we use
HESCO barriers which are large wire frame cages with a durable
fabric liner.
Homemade gabions can be constructed using rock or bricks
in a frame of strong wire mesh as is used in fencing or as concrete
reinforcement. The sections of mesh can be wired or welded into an
open topped box and then filled with rock or bricks that are larger
than the mesh openings. This basically takes a pile of rocks or
rubble and holds it in a useful shape.
Gabion material can often be found in rural construction
supply stores. Farms and ranches also have lots of useful things that
can be used to make them, like barrels. Anything that won’t shatter
and spill its contents when hit with gunfire can be used. Another
alternative is building a wooden mold, inserting wire reinforcement,
and pouring concrete.
Emplacement
Trip alarms
Light
Glow stick (Cyalume) surface trip flares are easily available. This
is a frame with a glow stick mounted so that when tripped, it is
broken. They are reusable once the glow stick is replaced. The light
then alerts the sentinel of intrusion without too obviously giving away
what just happened.
The glow stick could be positioned in concealment, such as in
a can with the opening facing away from the path of intrusion, so at
first only the sentinel sees the light. The visible light glow stick could
be replaced with an infrared stick so that even if the intruder turns
around or looks for the light, they fail to see it without night vision.
More difficult to source are pyrotechnic trip flares that burn
brightly at ground level for about a minute. These present a major
fire hazard and glow sticks or strobe lights are better. Pen flare
launchers, or even flare guns, can be modified to fire vertically upon
a trigger wire pull to send visual signals over a long distance. Rocket
or parachute flares would then be visible as they ascend and then
fall from several hundred feet. Some models for ground
emplacement do exist, but they are hard to come by, so modification
of other devices maybe necessary. Traditional road flares are a poor
choice because they need friction to strike the tip for ignition, plus
the inherent fire hazard.
Airsoft grenades
Trip wires are just that; pieces of taught wire that when
tugging at a foot make a person fall down and go boom. Hopefully
the person makes a lot of noise falling, grunts, or swears. It is also a
psychological deterrent that the property is defended/prepared or to
lower morale because falling sucks and is embarrassing in front of
your friends.
Tanglefoot obstacles are collections of usually wire strung in
patterns like a net to catch feet. They trip people and wrap up their
foot/feet. It takes more time to unravel one’s foot from tanglefoot
than just standing up after a spill due to the multiple strands that
often become tangled on each other or the foot. Caution should be
used around animals because they are not intelligent enough to
escape the trap and instead just panic and pull, often injuring
themselves.
These obstacles are best employed in chokepoints, densely
vegetated areas, or wooded areas. Long stretches of approach
avenues, like lawns or paths, could have these strung up to trip an
attacker who might be running through a dead zone. If they fall, it not
only slows them down but makes them a better target for defenders.
Eye, chest, or head level lines are called “clotheslines” or “trail
wires.” Strong enough wire or cable lines that are taught can
decapitate a motorcyclist or snowmobiler who are moving fast
enough. Slack lines tend to pull or knock people down as they have
some give to them. Taught lines are more like hitting a fixed edge.
These are not advised as they can cause death or serious injury and
incur the landowner serious penalties.
Green paddle wire, often used by florists, is relatively strong,
cheap, and unobtrusive amongst green florae. Commo wire,
paracord, and high tensile fishing line are other popular choices.
Netting large enough to allow legs or parts of feet to get through
could also be used to ensnare intruders.
Remember to install multiple trip wires. Just imagine how
embarrassing and frustrating it would be to fall over again after being
tripped once. Morale aside, slowing down and checking for trip lines
and booby traps is a proven tactic to delay the enemy.
A wire entanglement is a section of barbed wire or razor wire
that an enemy gets caught in or has to cut his way across. Think of
the spools of concertina wire in no-man’s land that tore up clothes
and skin. The wire was placed where it was to enable easy killing of
the enemy who was caught in the open. Consider placing any wire
entanglements in a place where you have a clear field of fire to them
from your defensive positions, such as the edge of the woods as an
enemy would reach your cleared yard.
Command traps
Psychological
Nothing says you can’t make a sign that says “Danger—
Mines,” not that it would really be believable. Random “danger” signs
or an unconcealed or non-functional trap might get the attention of
intruders who spend time looking for things that aren’t there. Fake
alarm signs and “beware of dog” signs are all used in the suburbs.
They aren’t guarantees but can’t hurt anything.
Motion activated deer sprinklers are a nice surprise. They can
startle people and do no harm whatsoever. It’s activation may alert
you as well. I highly recommend these for gardens to not only get rid
of deer but to surprise pilfering humans.
Remove all street signs, directional signs, and house numbers
from the streets in your area. Let the bad guys get lost. Of course
this only works in a total collapse situation because everyone will get
mad as deliveries get lost and the government freaks out. Leave up
warning and traffic control signs though. Stop signs save lives.
Hardening the Rural Home
Start by going back to Suburban Defense and reading the
“Hardening the Home” chapter. The basic security advice like using
security screen doors, etc. applies for the rural home as well. There’s
no need to completely rehash what’s already been written.
Family
The vast majority of crimes that are visited upon rural defenders
will be burglaries and violent forced entry robberies like today.
Sleeping families will be surprised when a burglar wakes them. The
front door will be shattered open with no warning because the TV
was up too loud. All of this can be prevented or slowed down by
using traditional means to reinforce entry points to the home or
technology to alert/discourage attackers.
Hardening a rural home is not much different than hardening a
suburban home as I outlined in Suburban Defense. The further a
rural resident is from a town, the more uncommon mobs, protests,
and riots will be so in that respect much of the advice on keeping
people off a postage stamp sized lawn is unnecessary. Fences and
other psychological measures to delineate private from public space
can be replaced with physical barriers.
Keeping unwanted people from approaching the house is still
important. Most readers will be living on a few acres with neighbors
nearby. Visitors and solicitors are not uncommon. The wooded
couple acres type neighborhoods are still neighborhoods and the
white picket fence in the front yard might be the best equivalent of
the two hours from civilization guy’s barbed wire fence.
The immediate yard surrounding the house should be fenced
in (discussed in more detail in the “Perimeter” chapter). In Rhodesia
this was often a six-foot chainlink fence which probably is not
practical or desirable for most people. You may want to fence your
backyard to keep the kids or dogs in or exclude deer from the
garden. In neighborhoods where there are no yard fences, yards
should be divided up to prevent interlopers from simply trudging
across lawns to bypass roads.
Outbuildings and tool sheds have to be secured as well as the
house. This means lights over entrances, locking the doors, and
reinforcing windows. A thief should not be able to get into an
outbuilding except through destructive entry and preferably setting
off an alarm in the process. Cars, whether parked in a garage or
outside, should always be locked. Consider removing the batteries
from cars that aren’t needed to prevent auto theft.
Rural residents have more land so having tools around is more
common than in the suburbs. Remove any ladders or tools from
outdoors and store those items indoors. I don’t care if you live so far
away from people that no one is going to steal the ax sitting in the
wood chopping stump. Don’t give bad guys any help getting in.
Doorways should have motion lights to identify anyone who
comes to the door at night. A constantly burning light at the door may
be contra-indicated by energy conservation or OPSEC/stealth
needs. Utilize cameras and automated doorbells while these
products are useable.
For window protection, suburban homes are limited by HOAs,
code enforcement, and what the neighbors might think, so while 3M
security film is great for everybody and attractive too, you can do
better. Security film will stop people from breaking windows easily. It
will not stop an intended intrusion (or bullets). Use bricks, plywood,
or sheet steel if you have it.
Chicken wire and chainlink over windows, screwed or tacked into
the frame, prevents blunt objects from going through provided it is
done right. There has to be some give to the mesh but not enough
for the baseball bat, rock, etc. to make contact with the glass. If hand
grenades become a danger, this kind of protection will be necessary
to keep frag grenades from landing inside the house.
Specialty bullet-resistant curtains (“bulletproof blinds”) exist
that can be hung inside a window unobtrusively. Steel shutters are
an option but usually have to be pre-hung from outside. Plywood has
to be nailed up and is not light permeable. Window bars are ugly but
will provide the greatest intrusion resistance and can be made
grenade resistant.
Safe rooms
Bedrooms
Safe havens
Interior defense
Bad guys need to be stopped before they get into the house.
Once the fight is indoors, odds are it is probably already lost. A home
invasion robbery or a burglary can be successfully repelled by a
prepared armed resident but a determined enemy unit probably
won’t run the same way two thugs from the ghetto will when faced by
resistance.
Will a bad guy burn the house down with you inside? Probably
not; let’s consider their goals. In almost every case you will be
attacked because the bad guy wants to live there or wants the stuff
you have inside. Burning the house down makes as much sense as
a bank robber throwing the money bags in an incinerator. Even
vindictive enemies would probably try and wait you out rather than
lose the prize. This calculus changes somewhat if the attacker is on
a homicidal mission as a part of terror tactics, warfare, or genocide.
Benefits of organization
I suggest two groups: one, a general force of all locals who are
willing and able to fight; the second a more experienced and
specialized force. This first group I will call the response group. The
second is the Rapid Reaction Force (RRF) or Quick Reaction Force
(QRF). Both will operate a lot like volunteer firefighters.
Selection
You, the reader, are clearly interested in this topic so you and
the people you do find like you will serve as the nucleus of any
group. Like how the Green Berets go to guerilla movements and
train people, you can do something similar.
Your nucleus will be the training and organizing cadre of the
latecomers. Everyone should be well-read on the topic of SHTF
defense and have some tactical or technical ability to bring to the
table. For instance, in my group I’m intelligence oriented. Another
three guys are very into radios so our communication expertise is
there. One is an ex-Army Ranger and we have an EMT as well to
cover the medical angle. All of us are avid shooters and practice in
dynamic events like IDPA.
Rural areas will likely have more people with military
experience than in the city, although the concentration of them will
be smaller. You also aren’t going to meet these people during normal
interactions in the neighborhood unless you have years to do it
simply because lower home density means lower interactions. You
will have to seek comrades in arms out in places where likeminded
people will gather.
For all of us organization will be a use what you’ve got
situation. As time goes by and the need and desire for banding
together goes up, so will your available pool of resources. It will be
increasingly easy to find ex-servicemen, technicians, and medical
types with the skills you need. Some may even have abilities
superseding yours, so it’s important you view that as a good thing
not as a deprecation of yourself or your efforts. Survival is the goal,
not self-appointing yourself as Colonel of the Mayberry Militia.
Not everyone is going to be a leader or specialist. Nor is
everyone suited to be tip of the spear trigger pullers. Every army
needs privates to fight the battles that win wars. Most of the people
you will recruit into your defensive force will be ordinary trigger
pullers. Some men will be more able and eager to fight. Your able
and eager fighters will be fewer than regular Joes willing to take the
field. I’ll call the former veterans and the latter Joes.
For Joes, no experience is necessary as long as they are
reasonably fit enough to fight, can competently handle a rifle, and
are willing to shoot bad guys. There will be time for training and
learning tactics. They will be the ones manning roadblocks, standing
watch, reinforcing perimeters, and fighting bad guys. Since quality,
bravery, and dedication may vary, I would not send these people into
delicate or very violent situations as a first choice. Just because
somebody’s dad bought a plate carrier and looks the part doesn’t
mean he’s ready to be the tip of the spear.
Force makeup
Women
RRF/QRF
The Rapid Reaction Force (RRF/QRF[17]), should be a more
committed group of defenders who have the ability, willingness, and
skills to act as a “SWAT team” for your neighborhood defenders.
These men should be able to respond rapidly when called like
Revolutionary War minutemen; they should not have to waste time
convincing their wife that they are leaving or are the types who will
only go if their friends are fighting. They will have to deal with the
tougher challenges and fights.
Ideally this is where you’d put your infantry and special forces
veterans because they would have the best fighting skills and be
sent to the hottest situations. The RRF/QRF would be the tip of the
spear, followed by less-capable defenders, and finally by the second
line of guys. In your case, your QRF might be your only real fighting
force. Sure, the old men of the neighborhood might bring their rifles
out and keep watch over the road, but they aren’t going to be able to
wheedle the bad guys out of the barn where they holed up.
Select only military veterans or SWAT cops for your
RRF/QRF. Studies have shown high numbers of soldiers will not
actually fire to hit enemy troops. This number will probably be borne
out or even increase in the case of random civilians. Your neighbors
might fire in direct self-defense only. You can’t expect that if you get
100 good ol’ boys with rifles turned out that 100 men will actually try
to kill bad guys. At least with vets and cops, the higher level of
training, experience, and familiarity with potentially killing will ensure
that they do actually fight.
Duties
Personnel
Job roles
General staff
You may be the one starting and organizing all of this, but you
aren’t necessarily the leader type. If a natural leader emerges, let
them be boss as long as they are not incompetent or evil. A good
leader should be knowledgeable, worthy of respect, have
organizational skills, and capable of gaining consensus. A dash of
charisma doesn’t hurt either.
Qualifications are secondary to qualities. Your Navy SEAL
neighbor may have been a jerk of an officer whereas the 35 year old
former PFC 11B (that’s a basic US Army infantryman) grew up to be
an admirable leader. Be wary of the people who want to be in
charge.
Note that a civilian leader is more of a director than a military
commander. You can’t order people around and treat them as
subordinates without the weight of official military discipline. Playing
Patton with the neighbors is a sure way to get cooperation to die and
people to refuse orders, just like a director who might yell at an actor.
You don’t want your fellow defenders to walk off the set. Orders are
for winning battles, not getting your way.
Battle coordinator
This person is responsible for tracking the incident,
coordinating responders, processing information into intelligence,
and given direction as needed. This would be an ideal position for an
experienced radio operator who cannot go in the field anymore. The
candidate would need to have excellent listening skills and reading
comprehension, be familiar with the area, possess good radio
operating habits, and have working tactical knowledge.
The battle coordinator can work the radio himself or have a
dispatcher (see below) do that. He can and should employ helpers
as manpower allows, such as a tactical intelligence section.
Dispatcher
A dispatcher who can optionally monitor radio traffic, send out
emergency muster calls, and coordinate the response is a good
asset to have. Volunteers can fill this role with the right equipment,
namely quality, high-powered radios, an external antenna, and 1-2
scanners. See “Radio system” below for further information.
You do not need official sanction and if things are bad enough
you won’t bother with it. Unless your community is organically
moving in that direction with a cooperative chief/sheriff, I wouldn’t
involve law enforcement at all. Police are subject to politics and legal
pressures that may preclude full participation from them or force
them to take actions against you.
Some individuals in law enforcement will come around as the
situation deteriorates and the rule of law collapses. By then, mass
deputization is moot. Everyone has the power to make an arrest or
use force to defend another. Posses under official cover are helpful,
but not necessary. Law enforcement should be regarded as a
potential asset, not a savior. Your best bet is to befriend deputies
and officers on a personal level. Read more in Suburban Defense
and Suburban Warfare on how police may react during SHTF.
I don’t buy this “constitutional sheriff” nonsense. A sheriff is
not mentioned in the US Constitution and probably not in many, if
any, state constitutions. That’s great if he says he’s going to abide by
the constitution, but I will guarantee you he does what the Supreme
Court says is constitutional rather than what the black letter law in
the Bill of Rights says. Also how many of these so-called
constitutional sheriffs have arrested federal agents or supported
citizens against Antifa? Never put your faith in politicians.
Small towns don’t make better cops. Unfortunately, a lot of
rural areas don’t pay well so they attract less than stellar candidates
to do the job. Your small town police department may be full of
retirees from other agencies, guys who couldn’t hack it anywhere, or
mall ninjas who write tickets to pump revenue for the city. All the
while Podunk can brag that it has its own police department.
My observation of small town/county cops is that their
departments can be beholden to local interests, such as wealthy
business owners or influential citizens more than in more populous
jurisdictions. This can backfire if a malevolent influence is present
within local law enforcement. “Plata or plomo”[18] (money or a bullet),
is a powerful incentive for official interference or ignorance in the
third world. If things go pear shaped don’t assume your local cops
are above playing dirty or being deliberately incompetent.
While I wrote a couple novels as encouragement to police to
take on a citizen-centric, old fashioned approach should SHTF
happen, I’m not optimistic. Without being paid, cops aren’t coming to
work. They are also human and many aren’t warriors. In the best
case scenario, a sheriff and his department could serve as the
nucleus of defense efforts. They have the ability to dispatch people,
coordinate responses, train, and mediate. They may be able to staff
a “tip of the spear” response group with SWAT qualified officers.
Equipment
Communications
If the grid is up, everyone in a defensive group should be on an
encrypted app like Signal for messaging. No confidential information
would be passed on this group; it would be simply for coordination.
Grid down, as outlined in the “Communications” section, a radio
band needs to be agreed upon. For the basic group members, it is
probably best if this is GMRS. For the more advanced RRF/QRF, this
can be VHF/UHF bands. Since all of these radios are unencrypted
and GMRS is especially vulnerable, radio discipline and
communications security (COMSEC) have to be maintained.
Movement orders and plans should always be passed face-to-face,
via runner, or in code when done over the air.
Weaponry
Rifles will be the primary means of defense in any rural area.
On a rural lot, shots can range from 100 yards to the effective range
of most weapons and shooters, 800-1,000 yards. Pistols are only
effective to about 50 yards and much of that depends on the
accuracy of the shooter. Rifles in this day and age need to have
sights, even a red dot sight helps. Your eyes aren’t getting younger.
Low-power magnification is great in areas with sightlines over 200
yards.
In an urban environment, shots within 100 yards are common
and over 300 yards are uncommon. In rural and natural
environments, shots out to the effective distance of the rifle are
possible (most likely 800-1000 yards). Minimal magnification will
make distant targets more visible and increase the hit probability.
The venerable ACOG x4 is a viable choice but 1-6x variable power
scopes are increasingly affordable choices.
A semi-automatic magazine fed rifle is mandatory. Shotguns
become ineffective at 75 yards or more. Bolt action rifles, except for
snipers, are obsolete. As for caliber, that’s up to you. I do
recommend sticking with common calibers, so 5.56mm or 7.62mm
NATO for ease of purchase and standardization.[19] You may want
7.62mm if you are going to be taking longer shots.
One weapon discussed in Suburban Warfare is the Civilian Light
Support Weapon. This would be a long barreled AR-15 equipped
with a variable power optic that can serve as a marksman’s rifle or
an ersatz squad automatic. If you have a bumpfire stock that you
didn’t turn in/destroy or a binary/rapid fire trigger, this is the weapon
for it. Or perhaps after the rule of law totally collapses you obtain full-
auto capabilities.
Full-auto/bumpfire could provide an analogue to a machine
gun that may provide a huge advantage against massed groups in
dire circumstances. Concentrated, rapid fire may discourage an
enemy who is not expecting heavy firepower. Likewise,
unsuppressed shots are psychologically more intimidating than
suppressed ones. If you can afford the five figure costs of a real
machine gun, buy one and apply for the tax stamp ASAP.
Grenade launchers are not viable. Yes, they can be
purchased and NFA registered but manufacturers won’t sell you the
ammunition for them. Various flare and smoke shells can be used
with these grenade or similar flare launchers; see the Suburban
books. It’s the same story with Claymore mines and hand grenades;
legal with the right steps but practically impossible for civilians to
purchase.
Gear
Uniforms may be hard to standardize on once a supply chain
crisis or black swan collapse happens, but you can decide on
general color schemes. Dark or earth tones are suitable for blending
in with the environment. Camouflage would be more useful and
standout less in the country than the city, however. Everyone should
be identified with colored armbands or something that can be easily
seen in a fight.[20]
Load bearing equipment (LBE) is necessary. You can’t run
into a fight with only one magazine jammed into a pocket. Even an
old fashioned LC-2 harness with pouches will work. High-speed
chest rigs and plate carriers are unnecessary. Body armor may be
contraindicated because it’s hot and heavy. Moving and fighting even
in a soft vest sucks. Many out-of-shape defenders will be unable to
move on foot wearing body armor, so this may be something not
worn on patrol to increase endurance and mobility.
Activation
Radio system
Morning and evening roll call to make sure no one has been
attacked.
Pre-arranged duress codes to signal a hostage situation.
Arranged communications plans to shift bands/frequencies
if there is jamming.
Dispatcher/control
1. Pass on alarms;
2. Share emergency information;
3. Coordinate the emergency response; and
4. Tell people who are chattering on the guard frequency to
change channels.
That’s it. The basic skill of being able to pay attention, quickly
write down information, and speak clearly and calmly are good
qualifications. Anyone who can do that can do the job and lots of
people are capable. A pool of volunteers who are scheduled is the
best way to avoid fatigue and burnout; the larger the pool and the
shorter the shifts the better.
For major incidents, there should be an experienced and
dedicated net controller. This person should have experience using
radios and perhaps is/was a real dispatcher at one point in their life.
An experienced amateur operator (ham) is another good choice.
They need to be able to do more than just pass information but think
on their feet and perhaps even battle track a little. This person could
also be the battle coordinator.
Dedicated net control will keep track of unit movements,
assignments, and needs. They can then allocate resources based on
this information. By listening to the radio traffic, scanner feeds, and
utilizing other information, they can paint an intelligence big picture
that the guys in the fight may not have time to do.
As for alerting others, this can be done via broadcasting alarm
tones or repeating the mayday call until enough responders hear
what’s going on. The muster calls, in addition to being over the radio,
could be using the local volunteer firefighter/tornado siren or
someone could install something similar. Range of an outdoor alarm
would be limited to just a few miles in a noisy environment, however.
Phone calls should utilize a phone tree as long as the
telephone system is working. For instance, the dispatcher calls two
specific people, like patrol leaders. Those leaders each call two
designated people and the two people they call ring up two more
people that they’ve been assigned to call. This way, the dispatcher
doesn’t need to call each person individually and the word can
spread fast.
Distress calls
Mayday response
If a “mayday” is transmitted:
Response procedures
Resources
Victorious armies often succeed with few resources, but many
battles and wars were lost for a deficit of them. A defense, especially
your defense, will be about resource allocation so be smart about
using what you have to maximum effect. What resources win fights?
Men: the more men you have, the more enemies you can
fight and the greater share of land you can control. Most importantly
with more men you can sustain more casualties as there is someone
to replace a fallen warrior. Having reinforcements that can counter-
assault will probably turn the tide in any rural defense.
Land: space can equal time. The more ground an enemy has
to cross or subdue between their jumping off point and you, the
longer it will take him to get to you, giving you time to wear him down
or prepare your defense. However, this can come at a great cost as
Russian experience shows.
Supplies (or logistics): the food, ammo, and fuel you have
to fight with literally sustains fighters and fights. If you can’t sustain
men or their guns, the fight is over. A better prepared enemy with the
manpower can wait out and grind down a poorly supplied enemy.
Skill
In combat, the human body is going through a fight or flight
response. Adrenaline trashes your fine motor skills and the brain is
focusing on survival at any cost, not winning the fight. It takes
experience in dangerous spots to overcome that natural,
subconscious reaction.
Perhaps you heard your CCW/shooting instructor tell you that
in a fight, you will default to the lowest level of your training. That’s
entirely correct. The more experienced, better trained side will win
with the tables of luck turning in the other direction. Hopefully you
and your friends are a bunch of veterans, cops, and civilian shooters
against idiots with guns. For those who have not learned how to
gunfight, get yourself some training courses. Civilian training courses
far exceed what is the standard curriculum for military and law
enforcement.
Luck
What more can be said about luck? You can do everything right
and still fail. Often survival in combat is more of a situation
approximating luck rather than planning or skill. Superior preparation
and planning only maximizes the opportunity for luck. If you are in
the position of everything going wrong that can go wrong, you will
have to lean deeply upon your skills and resources to overcome that.
Likewise, those same skills and resources, properly utilized, can
make hell for your enemy who is having his unlucky day.
Defenders
Manpower
Assaults
Attack types
Indirect: Snipers can shoot from outside the perimeter or
mortars/artillery/drones (UCAVs) can be used to attack you without
sending someone forward. This may also include sabotage or killing
of animals. RPG attacks from a distance were popular in Rhodesia.
A sniper can bottle you up, which suppresses you, allowing other
forces to approach closer. Harassing fires from snipers can also be
timed to keep you from engaging in chores as the sniper threat has
to be addressed first. Hours could elapse before it is “safe” again
while the sniper is long gone.
Avenues of attack
Defensive fighting
Engagement
Determining intent is difficult but important. In rural areas
legitimate foot-borne home visitors tend to be less but no one except
the crazy wants to accidentally light up a missionary. Here are some
indicators of potential hostile intent:
Weapon in evidence;
Not familiar to the area and no indications of a legitimate
purpose;
Not walking up obvious pathways (sidewalks, driveways, or
through open space);
Attempting to hide or move behind concealment;
Does not respond to your challenges or runs away when
confronted; and,
Making verbal threats.
Threat progression
Rules of engagement
Call law enforcement if possible.
Move family to safety and activate immediate
action drill.
Challenge the intruder from behind cover.
"Stop and identify yourself! What is your business
here?"
"Stop or I'll shoot."
If they fail to respond, utilize warning devices to get their
attention.
Call for mutual assistance from neighbors.
Consider use of less-lethal weapons.
Open fire when:
Violence is initiated.
Hostile intent can be articulated.
Entry to the residence is attempted.
Types of patrols
Combat patrol: you know bad guys are out there and you want
to find and engage them.
Reconnaissance patrol: you want to gather information on the
enemy, on the terrain, or on the populace.
Security patrol: you want to detect any enemy activity or confirm
there is none. If you encounter enemies you deal with them.
Presence patrol: you want to be visible as reassurance to your
neighbors and a deterrent to any bad guys who may see you (also
called “show of force”). These can also be static, as at a checkpoint.
Combat patrols are offensive in nature and not within the
preview of my work. There will be times that men qualified for this
kind of thing need to go out and break stuff, however, that is beyond
my skillset to share and this is a defense series, after all. These kind
of operations should be left to your local military veterans who have
done this thing for real.
Reconnaissance is low-key expeditions to see what’s going
on. These are intelligence gathering operations. You could do this as
a “gray man” blending in with other people or traffic, not just
sneaking through the woods with your buddies wearing camo.
Recons can be more than gathering intelligence on events, activities,
and life outside your perimeter.
Reconnaissance and security patrols meld a bit. For instance,
a patrol down the valley to check to see if the local pumping station
has been looted for copper wire gives you the opportunity to see
what’s happening in the valley. Both patrol types will bring back
information about what’s happening and could result in contact with
an enemy. These patrols do need to be treated like combat patrols.
Security patrols help establish and maintain control and
dominance of an area. Territorial dominance is maintaining the
integrity and security of your area through a visible presence as well
as challenging troublemakers operating in your area of influence.
Failure to control your own surroundings will allow any interlopers or
challengers to depredate the area unmolested.
Intrusion attempts, hostile surveillance, or impending attacks
have to be detected and you need to be in a position to do
something about it. On the small scale, this could be checking your
property line or the terrain that surrounds your immediate area. A
perimeter inspection would check for intrusion attempts, booby traps,
or other enemy activity, such as surveillance or sniper hides.
On a larger scale, this could be sending out vehicle patrols to
outlying areas to make sure no bandits have captured isolated
homes. Lines of drift will also need to be examined up close for signs
of covert infiltration. Maybe there is a good hiding spot used by cattle
rustlers in the 1880s and you think someone could use that little
hollow again today for the same purpose. Check it out and don’t be
taken by surprise.
All patrols of whatever type need to be prepared for enemy
contact. Go out equipped for, and expecting, the worst. You cannot
expect that you will find the spoor of some nefarious activity and then
the director orders a quick cut to a debate at the town hall. You must
be prepared to actually stumble upon armed men who will kill you or
to be able to initiate contact and prevail.
Patrols can discourage clandestine movement or occupation
of your land or area of operations (AO) without direct confrontations.
Bad guys can see you and scatter. Word also gets around. Modern
policing is a combination of security and presence patrols. Police
look for crime and try to disrupt it. Failing that, they want to be visible
to the public as reassurance and a reminder to criminals that the
police are watching. It doesn't always work but you can never
quantify the crimes that don't occur because a criminal knew he
couldn't get away with it.
It’s been a year since the apocalypse started. Things have been
blessedly calm in your rural valley, an hour from a medium size city.
One morning before dawn the neighbor’s daughter runs to your door,
barefoot and only in her nightgown. Raiders broke into her house,
killed her father, and are beating up her mother to find out where the
valuables are hidden. You have no law enforcement and even in
normal times the sheriff’s deputies were half an hour away. It’s up to
you to rescue your neighbors.
Situations like this will happen and that means that citizen
defenders will have to engage in Close Quarters Battle (CQB). CQB
is almost always fighting done indoors. It is a specialty of SWAT
teams and Tier 1 military forces the world over. It is a highly
dangerous way to fight and demands special tactics be used. Speed,
surprise, dynamic entry, and violence of action are hallmarks of
CQB.
Some examples of when you may need to employ it post-SHTF
would be:
Hostage rescue/kidnapping;
Barricaded subject (no hostages) such as recapturing a
house;
Sniper inside a building; and,
Active shooter.
Negotiate;
Smoke them out;
Siege and snipe them; and/or,
Direct assault.
The discussion in this chapter may help you in dealing with these
situations.
Equipment
Breaching shotgun
Prybars (crow bar, Halligan tool)
Axe
Sledgehammer
Bolt cutters
Bullhorn
Ladders and short ladder/stools
Flashbang, smoke, pepper spray, and sting grenades
A five to six man team is ideal; these are called “stacks.” Any
smaller and you won’t have enough people to be effective and safe.
Too large and you will be unwieldy. Split larger groups into multiple
stacks. Stack composition would be:
Team leader
1-3 shooters and arrest/control men
Breacher
Less-lethal
Breaching
Manual entry
Breaching shotgun
A breaching shotgun is a valuable tool that can provide faster
entry than manually prying or beating down a door. These typically
are stockless and short-barreled weapons with a special crenelated
muzzle device to ensure proper standoff of the muzzle from the door.
Only pump-action weapons are used because many breaching
rounds lack the power to properly cycle a semi-automatic action.
Until recently, many of these weapons were legally Short
Barreled Shotguns (SBS) under the National Firearms Act (NFA) and
required a lengthy background check and an extra tax for barrels
under 18”. These new “firearms” that are manufactured in a way to
take advantage of loopholes in federal laws to essentially create
pistol-gripped shotguns with 14” barrels. These are known as the
Mossberg Shockwave and Remington TAC-14. Currently they are
available the same way as any other firearm is in most states.
Should they be legally registered as a SBS or in a WROL situation,
they can be fitted with stocks.
Note that muzzle devices have to be added by a gunsmith in
some cases. Choke style devices are also available but they may not
fit all guns. Purpose made 18” barrel shotguns with these devices
with and without pistol grips are fairly common. These devices can
also help with flash suppression to preserve night vision and help
control recoil.
A special shotgun for breaching purposes should be used
rather than mixing shells in a shotgun meant to shoot humans. Note
that ordinary birdshot and buckshot rounds should not be used;
death or injury could occur. Breaching rounds are specially made to
be fired at close range. The most common variant is powdered steel
with a wax binder. These are commercially available. Other types are
made of copper or other frangible materials and a soft binder.
Note that while frangible shells are intended to not be lethal or
even particularly injurious a few feet away, this is after they’ve
disintegrated against a barrier. Without hitting a barrier, many of
these payloads essentially act like slugs as they haven’t hit anything
to break them apart. In some respects, this is similar to a birdshot
cut-shell slug. Breaching rounds need to be treated the same as
lethal shot.
The shot is designed to physically break the door material and
the latch mechanism. Unlike the movies, shooting at the knob or lock
itself does not work and can cause ricochets. Once the frangible
shell material hits the door, it breaks up and tears through the wood
or steel. The intent is to so severely weaken the door material that
the latch bolt is no longer capable of resisting any force or that the
bolt itself is blown away. Note that some doors are hardened and
may take extra shots.
Before
The breach
Failed breach
Procedures
Negotiations
Negotiation is about offering a safe way out for the bad guy
and convincing him that whatever he seeks to gain is now pointless.
Assure the bad guy that you will not hurt him if he surrenders. Your
goal is to convince him that he needs to talk his way out of this
because that is his only way to survive unharmed. Raider-types who
are cornered probably want to survive and escape rather than just
die in place, so allow them the hope of getting out alive.
A negotiator should be someone who has the gift of gab,
tends to make friends easily, and can usually diffuse a tense
situation. We all have a friend who is likeable, funny, and quick
witted. These people often make good negotiators as long as they
stay calm and a negotiator should always stay calm. A negotiator
should never be a friend or relative of the adversary or any hostages
but yet still able to empathize somewhat with the suspect.
Only one person should be talking to the suspect and never
negotiate face-to-face. Given the circumstances civilians may be
facing, you might have to yell but don’t walk up and have a
conversation. Always stay behind cover and a safe distance away.
Establish a rapport with the suspect. Give him your first name
and use his first name often. Steer the conversation to gain
additional information on him, his motives, any plans, and
information your tactical elements may need.
Take your time. Usually time is on the side of the negotiator.
Use time, hunger, and sleep deprivation to wear down the bad guy’s
resolve. Keep him talking so he is unable to plot, reflect, or rest and
remains distracted. Don’t allow him to set deadlines for you.
Never make trades with a suspect unless it benefits you (i.e.
you’ll send in food if he releases a hostage). Good guys should not
be traded for hostages even as noble as it seems. Don’t make
promises you can’t keep, such as not actually being able to deliver
on that pizza you promised for a hostage. Any lies should be
carefully crafted and recorded so the suspect doesn’t catch you in a
lie.
Do not place importance on a hostage (in your negotiations)
because then the suspect will attempt to use leverage through his
hostage. Always make the situation about the hostage taker and how
you are trying to work things out safely for him. If the suspect makes
demands, don’t directly refuse it but stall and delay.
Killing hostages is usually a movie thing because it takes
away leverage from the suspect. Most suspects who are not suicidal
choose to fight things out. You may hear shots fired. This, in
combination with threats to kill hostages, can be done in an attempt
to affect you or the hostages. Should a hostage be killed, continue
negotiations as a distraction while an assault begins immediately.
If the suspect surrenders, make them throw away any
weapons that they have. Hostages should be sent out next. Only
then, when they are disarmed and any hostages are safe, should the
suspect be ordered out. Suspects should be ordered to come out
backwards, one at a time, hands in the air. They should have to lift
up their shirts and turn in a circle to show they have no weapons.
They move to the arrest team, not the other way around. When one
suspect is in custody, he is taken away before the next suspect is
told to come out.
Once the decision to assault has been made, stop calling for
the enemy to surrender. Don’t issue demands/instructions that
conflict with your intents. Once the operation begins, see it through.
If there is a spontaneous surrender, accept it and restrain all
suspects.
Lights
Flashbangs
Before you go
Ambush
Make a right-angle turn and use any road, alley, or trail that
can accommodate your vehicle. Put a building between you
and the ambushers. This is best when ambushed from an
oblique angle or approximately 90°. Turn in the opposite
direction from the ambush. Note that any obvious turn-off
might have a secondary ambush waiting.
Stop and reverse out of the kill zone or make an immediate
U-turn and speed away.
If you must accelerate through the kill zone, duck. Get low
and go through as fast as possible.
Armor
IEDs
Damaged vehicles.
Signs of digging, holes in the road, potholes, concrete
removal, or puddles.
Boxes along the roadside.
Wires on the road surface.
Evidence of vegetation disturbance.
Disturbances in previous tire tracks.
Differences in plant growth, such as wilting or dead foliage.
Irregularities in color or texture of the ground.
Signs warning local populace.
Brush and other traffic obstructions placed on roadways.[27]
Homebrew technical
Armored vehicles, armed vehicles, and gun buggies would be
wonderful things to have at the end of the world. Mobility and
firepower are things that win battles. In much of the world, ill-regular
and even regular military forces can’t obtain purpose-made fighting
vehicles, so they have to modify civilian ones. We’ve all seen the
images of a Toyota in Africa with a gun in the bed; these are
technicals. A technical is different from a gun truck as the technical is
more about the weapon than men, though both are a variation of the
same idea.
Actually constructing a technical is not difficult; the main task
is welding a weapon mount to the truck itself. The problem is that
there are precious little proper machine guns to use and it is even
harder to source the proper mounts. While welding weapon mounts
and bed rails so the gunner doesn’t go flying out isn’t hard, the
pieces of specialty equipment will become hard to source if we go
grid-down or Ebay ceases to exist. One can’t count on National
Guard armories to empty out either.
Here are a few of the main problems:
Gun trucks
A gun truck is a dragoon (soldiers that arrive via horse and
fight on foot) whereas technicals are the cavalry (fight from the
horse). A gun truck does two things; provides an armored platform
for fighters to shoot from (on the move, if necessary) and serves as a
delivery vehicle for your troops. What differentiates a gun truck from
a technical is that a gun truck is carrying men, who will fight from the
truck bed or on foot, using rifles. As said earlier, the problem will be
sourcing weapons that can be mounted, so we’re using the humans
as the gun mounts.
The easiest way of making a gun truck is putting several guys
in the bed of a pickup truck. They can shoot from there and then
jump out to fight. An unmodified pickup bed will require your men to
be seated so they don’t fall out. This limits their arcs of fire and the
number of men who can safely fit. Three men should be sufficient to
cover both sides and the rear of the vehicle.
With a heavy-duty truck, some steel, and fabricators the
possibilities increase. Probably the best vehicle to have to break up
an ambush or provide serious fire support against a bad guy’s attack
would be an armored vehicle. One of those roaring out of the
darkness and opening fire with machine guns, grenade launchers,
and even cannons would be a gamechanger. It is a mobile defensive
position that can go where help is needed.
Like as a technical is a substitute for a military fighting vehicle, a
gun truck is a substitute for an armored personnel carrier. Obtaining
an APC is not going to happen for most. What you can do is create a
gun truck to not just transport a number of shooters but allow them to
fire on the move and with relative safety.
Gun trucks are non-passenger vehicles filled with guns and
shooters used to provide a base of fire and increase the firepower
available to defenders. Being a truck, it’s mobile and can move from
locations quickly while shooters are firing or it can participate in a
convoy. Gun trucks are usually flatbed vehicles modified to support
shooters in the cargo area. In a civilian context, shooters firing rifles
in the truck bed are going to be more common than mounted crew-
served weapons.
These really took off in Vietnam when supply convoys were
ambushed. Modified 2.5-ton or 5-ton cargo trucks could quickly
advance down a convoy column and return fire into the thick of it.
These trucks had armored plating added on. Many farm trucks can
be similarly modified to provide light armor protection and a good
platform for shooting out of the cargo area. Mexican cartels do this to
make their own improvised APCs and gun trucks, called
“Monstrosos” or monsters.
Tactics
Dragoons are mounted troops that got off their horses to fight,
unlike the cavalry that fought from horseback. Pretty much all your
fighters will be on foot. Whether people arrive via auto, ATV, or
horseback, they will have to park their cars somewhere. This place
should be behind cover and you will need someone to guard the
vehicles. For example, cops always have vehicle guards at riots and
when breaking up large parties. An unguarded vehicle is theft,
vandalism, or sabotage waiting to happen.
If gun trucks or technicals are used in a convoy, deploy them
where their firepower makes the most sense. This may be the
center, the front, or the rear depending on variable factors. These
are the ideal vehicles to stop and provide overwatch at a potential
ambush point as the rest pass.
Up close, armored vehicles have poor visibility and weapons
traverse. While this is a problem with traditional military vehicles, it is
not so much for civilian vehicles unless they are so armored that
visibility and firing angles are impaired. Typically, tanks and such are
always accompanied by dismounted soldiers who can protect
against enemies getting too close and deploying mines, “sticky
bombs,” or rocket launchers.
Roads
For roads passing through your area of operations, there are
many concerns that have to be examined to make traffic safe on it
and avoid the highways being exploited to attack you. one thing that
is important is regular traffic. A constant passing stream of cars
denies anonymity and the chance to do nefarious deeds unseen.
True, many drivers aren’t paying attention as they drive, but many
criminals don’t want to take the chance that they are being seen.
Whenever possible, maintain regular vehicle traffic or have local
security elements patrol the roads.
Facilitation of travel
Roadsides
Bridges
Checkpoints
Bypasses
Telling people “no” often makes them angrier than anything else.
Roadblocks, bypasses, and diversions have to be carefully
managed. For someone accustomed to driving where they please,
shutting down a road and totally denying them entry could cause
friction. Tempers may flare when a bunch of locals tell a commuter,
refugee, or someone with legitimate business they can’t come
through.
To diffuse this, your area should have not less than two through
roads; i.e. one that goes directly through town and another that goes
around. Make the bypass the more desirable route to take for
anyone who doesn’t need to go down the main route.
The idea is to setup a cone pattern to force traffic to take the
alternate route that bypasses the area you want to exclude people
from. This could be a “soft” closure that just has signs and cones or
delineators out or a hard closure with physical barricades. Detour
signs should be installed so to an uncritical mind the diversion
doesn’t arouse too much suspicion.
A second option is to create an artificial terrain hazard like
dumping rocks and earth to simulate a landslide. Trees could be
pushed over to look like they fell in the wind or something. In any
case, if someone goes around the closure and meets the “hard”
closure with K-rails and armed men, it’s a little harder to get angry
when the proverbial or literal warning signs were there.
Demolition
Organized crime
Defenses
Sacrifices
Starvation
There are three phases of starvation. First, the body produces
glycogen by breaking down fat and muscles. The second phase is
ketosis, which takes about a week, and the body begins to burn fat in
earnest while muscle breakdown is slowed. The length of the fat
burning stage depends on how fat someone is to begin with. When
all the stored body fat has been burned, muscles are then rapidly
broken down.
Death occurs because of imbalances in the body produced by
malnutrition. For instance fatal heart rhythm disorders can occur. A
weakened immune system can lead to a fatal infection. Organs
themselves begin to breakdown as cells are starved of the protein
they need to function. In the late stages, recovery may be
impossible. Eventually the stomach will be unable to digest food.
Without careful medical observation of refeeding using special, easy
to digest foods, a late-stage starving person will die from trying to
eat.
Malnutrition isn’t just starvation. It can be from a deficiency of
proper foods. Scurvy, or Vitamin C deficiency, is the most well-known
form. Bizarre diseases like kwashiorkor and marasmus can occur.
Kwashiorkor is the characteristic belly-swelling condition seen in
famous famine photographs that is caused by a lack of protein, but
otherwise adequate consumption of food. Marasmus is a severe
wasting caused by inadequate calorie intake. It is recognized by
severe emaciation and is what happened to concentration camp
survivors.
Severe hunger weakens the body and makes it more susceptible
to infection and disease than when healthy. Other common
symptoms are severe temperature intolerance, anemia, heart rhythm
disorders, and exhaustion. Exhaustion is physical and mental. Many
famine survivors report having few memories about their experience
or little to no emotions while hungry. Mental states may be degraded
or altered, ranging from depressed to euphoric. Many late stage
starving people will lose all motivation to survive and lay down to die.
Desperation drives criminal behavior beyond normal morality.
Parents murdered their children instead of watching them starve to
death. Emotional intemperance brought on by hunger caused some
to kill their children when they cried from hunger pains. Resentment,
anger, and violent fear needs to be respected as a major danger the
starving can present. Deprivations bordering on evil, beyond just
theft and robbery, can occur as a person’s humanity is impaired by
hunger.
During the Holodomor, food theft among Ukrainians was
widespread. The starving condoned it. Starvation straps strength,
mental fitness, and emotion. Normal morality went out the window as
the only thing that mattered was survival. There wasn’t enough
energy to feel things like guilt. It was everyman for himself; if one’s
actions meant someone else starved, so be it. Parents would refuse
to feed their children and children refuse to give food they found to
their parents.
Starving Irish tenants who were evicted during the Great
Famine shot (and sometimes killed) their landlords. Starving people
have killed farmers for resisting crop thefts to say nothing of thieves
who will murder farmers willingly to profit. Ukrainian food guards
would shoot anyone who tried to glean the fields. Neighbors
murdered each other for stealing food from gardens. Vigilantism and
retaliation were common.
Famines will turn people into animals. The Bible has stories of
starvation. Remember the mothers that killed and ate one’s baby the
first day but on the second the other mother hid her surviving child?
In Ukraine, during the 1930s Holodomor, Soviet authorities had to
remind people not to eat their children. During the siege of
Leningrad, black market sale of meat was banned to prevent human
carrion from being sold. Cannibalism is real.
Ukrainian peasants found themselves subjected to intrusive
food searches and sadistic missions to not just confiscate but
deprive them of food. Communist searchers were often drafted by
force to join the searches. Others volunteered because they
themselves were starving. Friends and neighbors turned each other
in for “hoarding” because in many cases it meant the informer would
receive some of the food. Hunger was used as a weapon.
In some areas, whether led by gangs or “police,” food hunts for
“hoarders” will happen. Any government agency or other group
coming to “search” or confiscate food under some legal or political
pre-text must be violently resisted. There is no use in attempting to
comply; they simply will come back. If they take your food, you will
starve. It is better to die on your feet than to get down on your knees
to live just to starve to death another day.
Do not under estimate what starving people will do. Women
selling themselves (or their children) for food is at the tame end of
what is possible. Imagine starving people willing to commit horrible
crimes on different political classes or property owners in exchange
for food. Entities with power and the ability to supply food will use
this as leverage to get what they want done. On the individual level,
people will do whatever it takes, regardless of the cost to others, to
survive. Trust no one who is starving.
Bury caches of food, weapons, and ammunition on your
property. Ukrainian communist units literally tore homes apart in
search of hidden food. Search teams would return up to three times
to ensure nothing was brought out of hiding. Your house is not safe.
No building is, so burying food and things is probably the only way to
keep it totally undiscovered.
Anything buried needs to be in a purpose made container that
is water and animal resistant. It has to be crushproof as well.
Whatever you bury, dig it up after a year as an experiment to see
that it’s still okay. Take the time to research underground caching
methods and ways of sealing things against the elements.
Wildfire defense
Strengths:
Weak points:
Defensive preparations
Hard target
Keep all doors and windows closed and locked at all times,
even when just going outside "for a second” to get in the
security mindset and develop good habits.
Check the function of all lights, cameras, and detectors.
Attack expected (elevated threat)
WROL
Disaster
Prison break
.
In Terms of Catastrophic Events
End-of-the-world scenarios are far from the actual end.
Only with the Dark Ages following the Fall of Rome (a vast
oversimplification of facts and time) did we see a relatively stable
Europe fall into a dystopian nightmare and much of that is through
the compressing lens of history. We even recovered from the Black
Death. Overnight catastrophes that ruin the whole world is stuff of
the Bible and our fertile imaginations.
Rome was a slow-motion collapse that eventually ended
when the Ottomans invaded the Byzantine capital of Constantinople
in 1453. I’m sure that many of the people in what had been the
Eastern Roman Empire weren’t happy about becoming slaves of the
Turks; their daughters sold to harems and their sons taken as
Janissary soldier-slaves. Even the conquering of North America
didn’t spell total disaster for the Native American tribes, though over
the centuries it took millions died, their nations fell, and most of them
interbred or assumed into other populations.
These events were large scale, long duration events.
Relatively small scale, short duration events are things like disasters,
as rough as they may be in the short term. The nuclear bombings of
Hiroshima and Nagasaki killed over 120,000 people and destroyed
the cities. Today, both have been rebuilt and repopulated. Hurricane
Katrina was the largest scale long-term disaster the United States
has seen in recent memory and was as near as an “SHTF” event as
has happened, yet New Orleans has been reoccupied.
Disasters are often localized. Pompeii was wiped off the map
for the better part of two millennia, but the rest of Italy was fine. In
Japan, the tsunami killed thousands and destroyed cities and
suburbs, but Japan was not written off, even after the nuclear
disaster at Fukushima. Chernobyl did not depopulate all of Ukraine
or Belarus as horrible as that was.
Even if it isn’t local, it takes a lot to end the world. The
Spanish Flu killed 50 million people, a third of the world’s population,
but you and I are alive today because our ancestors survived. Our
favorite fiction about the end of the world shows a complete disaster
in which almost everyone dies or there is a total collapse of
normality. It’s not very entertaining if the drama is waiting an
additional 10 minutes for a police car to show up to take a burglary
report. Hollywood rarely takes us to the darkest places, so
its disasters and end-of-the-world isn’t. We see human reactions
degenerate during a massive region-wide blackout over several
days, but the power comes back on. The hero diverts the flood,
convinces the town to evacuate before the volcano kills everyone,
and the nuclear crisis is averted at the last minute. We want to leave
the theater happy, so the director usually gives us a happy ending of
sorts. Happy endings are not necessities in real-life.
Clean-cut resolutions to emergencies are rare too. After the
huge blackout, the lights don’t just come back on and the air
conditioner starts humming merrily away. No, the food is rotting in
the fridge, the shelves in the pantry are still empty, your neighbors
are still hungry and dangerous. After the flood waters retreated in
New Orleans, the city was still uninhabitable and chaotic.
What kind of disasters are we going to face?
.
Dealing With Fear
Exploring fear through fiction
Few people know that the United States already had gun
registration, but because of one of the few true victories of the NRA,
that registry was stuck in the 1970s. Millions of records were held on
paper and microfilm in a fenced and guarded building on the grounds
of a VA facility in Martinsburg, West Virginia. It held the records of
every gun dealer (FFL) in the country who had gone out of business,
retired, or simply no longer wanted to store the forms.
Federal law prohibited a digital gun registration database, so
all gun tracing had to be done manually, which was incredibly time
consuming considering the volumes of paper records that had to be
flipped through and the microfilms that had to be read. Decades ago
no one would have complained but since the 1990s ATF officials had
been quietly nudging “somebody” to “do something.”
Trace requests came to the National Tracing Center (NTC)
from all over the country and the world. Many of the requested were
routine law enforcement queries. Murder weapons found at crime
scenes were traced to try and identify the shooter. Staff would comb
through the records like a page flipping through a card catalog to find
out where a gun originated from and what others hands it might have
been in, as long as it went through a dealer.
To accommodate all the requests, the ATF had a bunch of old
ladies who were into genealogy working out of the West Virginia
warehouse working these ancient microfilm machines because
younger people these days thought they were props from the original
Star Trek series. The best job qualification for the civilian staff was
“librarian.”
This analog collection of files was a lot of trouble and the
powers that be at the NTC were finally rejoicing at finally completing
the puzzle. In the year 202_, a bipartisan Congress, with a couple of
squishy GOP crossovers and the Democrats, finally modernized
America’s gun registry and brought it into the digital age. The
Firearm Acquisition, Sale, or Transfer Security Audit Filing Enterprise
(FAST-SAFE) Act was just what a growing ATF needed.
When the project was complete, agents across the country
could instantly identify and track the sale and transfer of a gun, the
buyers, or the sellers. Law enforcement loved it because there would
be no delay or waits on traces. Detectives had visions of arresting
suspects the same day based on gun traces. Dispatchers could run
individuals through the database to see if they ever bought a gun
and advise officers before they ever arrived.
Digitalization, for all its benefits, would not be without its
hurdles. Middle management's consumption of antacids and anti-
anxiety medication, the pill or liquid forms, skyrocketed in
anticipation of the herculean task of scanning and data entry that
was coming. The little old ladies were already stretched thin and now
they needed who knows how many people to run the scanning
machines. At least the FBI would handle the temporary employee’s
background checks.
Preparations were made as soon as the legislation was
proposed. Advanced Optical Character Recognition (OCR) software
had been written to scan the 4473 forms and translate the
handwriting. Women who worked at the NTC told their friends and
family to expect jobs to be posted. An ugly tilt-up building was placed
on an empty lot in front of the VA water-tower and surrounded by an
even uglier chainlink fence. West Virginia National Guardsmen had
already been deployed outside the center at the VA complex
because of threats to burn down the heavily secured building.
The Act allowed the ATF to dispose of the paper records—it
was dubbed a “paperwork reduction measure”—as long as they
uploaded them to a secure database. All of the benefits were sold to
the public and the news media dutifully reported it along. Who could
say no to safer police officers and faster criminal investigations?
Besides, millions of precious tax dollars would be saved!
Everyone ignored the “gun nuts” who were saying it was a
registration database and the gun control advocates got the media to
simply hit on the paperwork reduction thing. They filmed a scene of
the agent in charge of the warehouse tripping over a fallen stack of
forms. That segued into a few minutes about the 1973 National
Personnel Records Center fire that destroyed everyone’s
grandfather’s military records.
The morning the Act went into effect, the center was ready to
go. Cart loads of microfilm and forms were wheeled across a rough
asphalt path to the new building. Inside, it was a cold, drab affair
where boxes were unpacked and forms fed into scanners in batches.
These batches were verified for correctness, shredded, then stuffed
into a trash compactor to be recycled. An average laborer’s day
consisted of stuffing forms or film into a scanner, moving it to the
“shred” pile, then swapping out with some hauling files from the old
building.
For the most part, files could be fed into a scanner which
would send the file to a computer program. The program would then
use Optical Character Recognition (OCR) of the most sophisticated
variety to recognize the handwriting on the forms. It was the same
type of software that the optical system at the post office used to
decipher handwritten addresses, but vastly more powerful. The only
human interaction would be checking forms that the computer
flagged as difficult to read or possibly erroneous.
Manually reading forms and entering each entry would make
the task impossible. Using 100 of the sophisticated scanners, it was
estimated that feeding the machines an unknown amount of forms
would take up to two years. At least an additional 250 employees
were hired to work two shifts, but the cost was well worth it. In eight
months’ time, virtually every gun sold or transferred by a dealer in
the last few decades would be in an instantly searchable database.
Trucks from all over the country started to roll in. FedEx and
UPS arranged special shipments directly from regional centers to
West Virginia. Residents at the veterans’ home complained about
the traffic that lasted from about five in the morning to ten at night.
Physical therapy clinics in the area began seeing an uptick in carpal
tunnel syndrome. Those weren’t the only “side effects.” Gun dealers
around the country were getting arrested for non-compliance or
destroying their records.
The goal wasn’t to identify who owned what…yet. No, the
guns probably changed hands too often over the years. People died.
It was estimated that crime guns were swapped among criminals too
many times after two years for that kind of registration to really be
useful. In fact, in earlier times all the center could really do was give
an investigation into a gun’s origin a start.
Field agents would have to track down the original buyer,
anyone he might remember selling it to, and perhaps get lucky if the
suspect bought it themselves. It was all a process that started with
an idea in the 1930s of tracking what dealers broke their gentleman’s
agreement with Colt and Thompson not to sell machine guns to
gangsters. All tracing really did was identify what, if any, crimes were
committed in transferring the gun into the hands of the criminal. One
homicide cop compared it to tracking a DUI driver’s used car back
down to the original car lot.
What the FAST-SAFE Act did was give police and federal
agents a way to identify gun owners. More software would compare
various state and local databases to give the identified owners a
notice that they were to comply with the new gun regulations. It was
a veiled threat that the government knew they owned guns and had
a pretty good idea of exactly what they owned. It was also a good
way to start the tracking process of a privately sold gun, if the sellers
kept a record of who they sold it to. By this tracking of transfers,
maybe in another 30 years they would have a working real-time
database of all the guns and their owners in the country.
One could no longer simply claim that they had sold the gun.
Proof was needed. Many people dimed out their friends, family
members, co-workers, neighbors, and gun club buddies. Others
turned over bills of sale, photos of IDs and CCWs, and emails from
the buyers. Sometimes the proof was thin, but it put the necessary
fear of God in people. The ATF could never prove a case against a
guy who sold a gun anonymously face-to-face at a gun show if a
house search came up empty, but that guy would know the ATF had
his name and number. If that gun turned up in his hands again, there
would be hell to pay.
More accurately an indictment for perjury, making false
statements to a federal agent, and violation of the Act. It was the
same way for so-called “lost” or “stolen” guns. Reports of unverified
boating accidents surged, as did burglaries and vehicle thefts (often
of entire collections). All it took was one burglar or looter to be
ventilated by that “lost” shotgun for federal time to apply. Guilty pleas
were easy as long as the fines were kept low. No jail time, probation,
a couple grand taken in easy monthly payments, and a lifetime ban
on gun ownership. Lots of guns dug up from the yard that way.
People said that registration would lead to confiscation. They
never talked about registration being part of confiscation. Once
again, the hoplophobes out flanked the gun nuts. Too many people
dreamt up ways to save their hides rather than pour time, money,
and effort into politics. “I don’t own any assault weapons,” only works
when there is no record of you ever purchasing one. It wasn’t a
flawless plan, but it was a pretty good idea, nonetheless. One of the
few, small complications were the recalcitrant liberty-minded dealers.
One of those recalcitrant types was Ned Ferguson. He looked
carefully at the Banker's Boxes lined up along the back wall. Each
box was labeled with a date, the first one, in the lower left hand
corner marked July 1998. Nineteen boxes in all, stacked seven deep
and three high, marked his nearly twenty years as an FFL. All in all,
close to 50,000 ATF Form 4473s sat in those boxes. It had been a
long career and it would soon be over.
The Form 4473 was properly called the Firearm Transaction
Record—Over the Counter, intended to track each sale or transfer of
a firearm that a dealer made to a customer. Industry sales,
wholesale or off to another dealer, were done separately. For anyone
who has bought a gun from a dealer, they have filled out a 4473,
detailing all the relevant personal information to identify them. Buying
two or more handguns in a five-day period from the same dealer will
result in a Form 3310.4 reporting the sale, including the particulars of
the gun. Even more odious, copies of the form were required to be
sent to state or local law enforcement.
In theory, that information was only used by the government
once to run the initial Brady Background Check. Then poof! the date
disappears off the computer screen and into the virtual wasteland to
be recycled into other bits and bytes. Ferguson told anyone who
bought a gun through a dealer to assume that the government knew
about the purchase. Even if the person only bought one gun through
a dealer, it was a safe assumption that the person had bought
another privately or had more that the Feds didn't know about.
Federal law mandated that FFLs maintain their copy of the
4473 for twenty years, ostensibly in case the ATF needs to trace a
firearm and to prove that the dealer is complying with the
background check requirement. At the end of the twenty years since
the sale the dealer may destroy the records, but if he goes out of
business before then, the dealer must turn the forms over to the ATF.
Computers and the Internet eventually brought electronic
forms. The data could be saved electronically to avoid storage
problems like Ned had. Big box stores like Walmart loved it. Even
with electronic reporting, millions of forms remained uncollected and
un-scanned, sitting under counters, in filing cabinets, or stacked in
the backroom of a gun store. Plenty of dealers just plain refused to
join the e-form crowd for one reason or another.
Over the years, FFL conventions featured the equivalent of
campfire stories where one dealer or another complained about an
ATF Industry Operations Investigator scanning files or 'borrowing'
them for a few days during a 'routine' compliance check. The dealers
knew that if they objected to the investigator removing the files or
scanning them, which they could not ordinarily do, the dealer's
license would be in jeopardy.
Ferguson's 4473 boxes sat on a thick base of cinderblock and
2x4s to bear the weight of the paper. Security and fireproofing were
not his concern. If the files were stolen, well, then space along the
wall would be freed up. If the forms accidentally burned, so much the
better. Water damage was his only worry, hence the cinderblock and
wood platform. Heavy, wet boxes filled with soggy paper was not
something he wanted to deal with. He could care less if the forms
somehow became useless to the ATF.
But what to do with the boxes? He’d be damned if he would
pay the shipping bill just to rat out his customers to the feds.
Ferguson had gotten past the point of rage. Getting angry rarely led
to productive thinking. The dealer bit off the tip of his cigar and spat it
into his wastebasket before lighting the end. Stupid city code
inspector had smelled the cigar smoke in his office and made a
smart-ass comment about smoking indoors not being worth the fine
or the potential fire damage.
He would miss his little office, he reflected as he leaned back
into his chair. The small room, hardly 40 feet square, was his cigar-
smoke filled fortress of solitude. The tiny quarters, if not the smell of
two decades of smoking, kept most guests out. Some nights he
stayed late, claiming to be catching up on gunsmithing or paperwork,
when in reality the man wanted an evening away from his wife to
smoke cigars, drink bourbon, and eat greasy food in peace.
Photos and technical bulletins hung from the occasional free
spots on the wall. The rest was cabinets and bookshelves, filled with
obscure publications, technical manuals, and binders of tediously
kept data and records. A few nights he had caught himself dozing off
in his chair with his still burning cigar drooping from his lips. The
beer-bellied retailer woke with a start each time, feeling foolish for
having drifted off like that. Usually, he took the cue to go home then.
How badly would a fire in here screw me? He chuckled at the
thought of himself snoring away in his recliner chair, flames climbing
the wall and turning years of research into ash. The thought struck
him like a thunderbolt.
No, it wasn't to burn his records. He had thought of that years
ago. Leave the back door unlocked, turn off the camera, and apply a
match. Undoubtedly the Feds would drag him into court, but if he did
things right, he might get off on reasonable doubt. Better to do it in a
way that would keep him from going to trial altogether. The ATF
would investigate anyway, but he could hardly help that.
Acting on the impulse, he rose from his chair and got to work
before he came to his senses and chickened out. Standing
backwards on the top rungs of a latter, his head almost twenty feet
above the concrete floor, Ferguson knew he would have to be
careful. That was an understatement. Looking down or around gave
a slight feeling of vertigo due to the awkward way he stood,
supported only by his free hand.
The work had to be done just right too, or else he would get a
sprinkler head in the face along with a lot of rusty water. The wrench
had to be lifted slowly and cautiously into position. If he accidentally
hit the head with it too hard, the glass bulb inside might shatter and
start the water works. Same thing with twisting it too hard and
causing it to slip off the fitting and go banging around. He found that
he could not work the adjustment knob on the pipe wrench and had
to use his 'free' hand.
Ferguson tightened the wrench to the fitting and balanced on
just his feet. It was tight enough to hang on the pipe by itself. He was
grateful to grab back on to the rafter. With his right hand, he slowly
started turning the wrench. It took a lot of pressure, far more than he
felt comfortable applying.
Ever so slowly, the fitting gave, partially due to the pre-
soaking of WD-40 he had given it. Within half a turn, he was able to
twist the head freely around the fitting. He kept turning the wrench
slowly until water began to seep out. He stopped, waited a moment,
then kept turning incrementally, then waiting, until enough water
leaked to form a steady drip. Perfect.
Once the ladder was back in its place Ferguson poured himself a
drink. He chuckled thinking about all the hell he was going to get
from his wife for this. Can’t tell her the truth, neither. Oh well, it’s for a
good cause. With a raise of the Styrofoam cup, he toasted his
success.
Despite being heavily intoxicated, Ferguson still felt
apprehensive about his plan. Dropping a lit cigar into a basket full of
oil and gunpowder soaked rags? It was inherently dangerous and his
stomach, full of fatty fast food and alcohol, rebelled at the thought.
Around 11:30 PM, he let the almost extinguished cigar fall into the
pile of rags. After smoldering for a minute, the whole bundle began
to combust. Soon the flames were licking upward, following the trail
of ATF technical bulletins and dealer memo's scotch taped to the
wall.
He began to cough from the acrid smoke composed of fabric,
paper, gun oil, and burned smokeless powder. A faint haze was
already collecting at the ceiling. Once the rags really got going, the
heat was intense. His skin felt like it had been scalded. Just a little bit
longer, a little bit longer. Sweat was beading up on his forehead and
under his arms. The smell was terrible!
The drywall was black now. The years of paper on the wall
was almost all burned up, fire now starting in on the mounds of other
papers and books stacked haphazardly on the shelves and
cabinetry. The fire was spreading. A few surprises, like a bottle of
highly flammable solvent, purchased in the late 1990s, sat tucked
into a corner. Hopefully that would explode before the fire
department arrived.
Now the ceiling was obscured by black smoke. Ferguson
coughed incessantly, feeling like his lungs were filling with sand.
Now, he thought. He rose from his chair and turned the knob, not
burning his hand on the metal, but feeling the heat it had absorbed
from the fire. Blackness attacked the fringes of his vision as he
stumbled towards the door towards the show floor. No, wait. He
remembered that the security grate was down and he had to go out
through the emergency exit.
His last view of inside the building came as he saw flames
shooting out the door of his office in a spray of exploding solvent. He
collapsed on a grass strip in the parking lot, alternatively coughing
and sucking in the cool night air. It took him a minute before he could
recover sufficiently to dial 911 on his cellphone. By then, the fire
alarm had already sounded.
The temperature inside the warehouse area rose quickly
immediately after Ferguson opened the office door. The solvent
explosion was all it took to set the entire office ablaze, causing all the
paper goods, gunpowder, and ammunition to quickly ignite. Flames
began to attack the drywall and the drop ceiling tiles. The
temperature sensors of the fire alarm system triggered notifying the
fire department and also activating the fire sprinklers.
Contrary to popular belief, most sprinkler systems only
activate the sprinklers immediately above the fire, not the entire
room. However, since this was a multi-tenant commercial building,
local fire regulations for a gun store holding significant quantities of
ammunition required a deluge system that activated all sprinklers in
the warehouse area.
The intent was to soak any ammunition and prevent it from
exploding in a fire. Exploding cartridges don’t have the ability to
propel a bullet, but the flying shrapnel from the brass cases can
cause injuries. Firefighters will generally not enter any structure
where ammunition is cooking off for that reason, often causing a total
loss of the building.
Safety wasn’t the only reason that Ferguson was required to
install a deluge system. Fires in gun stores are very rare things,
considering that modern smokeless powders and cartridges are
incredibly stable. A congressman who signed the 1994 Assault
Weapons Ban did not want gun stores to open in his town, so he
convinced a councilman to amend the municipal and fire codes to
make it expensive and difficult to open a gun store. Ferguson
persisted mainly out of spite and ate the cost of the requirements,
considering it the price of self-satisfaction.
When the sprinkler system went off, it was as if a downpour
began inside. In mere seconds, an inch of water was on the floor.
The loosened sprinkler head, under 75 pounds of pressure, blew off
the fitting and left a dent in the cinderblock wall. 250 gallons per
minute began pouring down, directly on to the boxes containing
years of Form 4473s.
There was no sprinkler head in the office, which was still
blazing merrily, even though the sprinklers had kept the fire from
extending much further. Eight minutes after receiving the alarm at
dispatch, the first fire engine arrived. The paramedic found Ned lying
semi-conscious in the grass. A paramedic began administering
oxygen while the captain and two firefighters made ready to attack
the fire.
It took another five minutes for the popcorn sound of the
ammunition Ferguson had stashed in the office to stop. By the time
Ferguson left in the ambulance, the sprinkler system flooded the
boxes and back room. When the firefighters finally went in, they
made quick work of what was left of the flames. The office was a
wet, charred remnant of its former self. Smoke and water damage
affected the rest of the backroom area. Only a small hole had to be
cut in the showroom ceiling to confirm no extension into the ceiling
there.
An arson inspector was sent over in the morning and called
the ATF, surprised that a dispatcher hadn’t done it overnight. The
agent knew that Ferguson somehow sabotaged his records but
faced the age old police dilemma—he couldn't prove it yet. If only a
cop's instinct could be distilled down to something quantifiable he
would be in business. While Ned’s story was sound, the sheer
coincidence and the totality of destruction pointed to it being
deliberate.
Poor rehabilitation work by the fire crew damaged the records
further. Concerned with fire, they had spread the pile of soggy boxes
and papers on the floor to soak in the water while any hotspots were
managed. Evidence protection has never been a defining quality of
fire-fighting. The building manager dewatered the building with the
help of a restoration company, who only made more of a mess by
piling the records back up after the pulpy remains clogged the de-
watering hose intakes.
The ATF agent was stumped on what to do with the records, and
so was his supervisor. The weekend came and still the records sat.
No one wanted to deal with them. In the National Personnel Records
Center fire, a specialized military decompression chamber was used
to freeze-dry all the service records, but the ATF had no access to
such a facility. In the end, dithering, apathy, and the actions of
several people to personally avoid having to try to salvage the forms
cost the investigation dearly. The restoration company had no
problem shoveling the sodden mess into wheelbarrows to a
dumpster. West Virginia saw not a single form that had been through
Ned’s gun shop.
Indian Raid and American Frontier
Lessons for SHTF
Note: Many of the individual accounts this analysis is based on
are taken from the raids of the Comanche and Kiowa tribes and the
observations made from them (and others) generalized.
Wagon trains
Terrorism
Raids
Settler defenses
Discussion