Gujarat Technological University

Seat No.: ________ Enrolment No.
___________
GUJARAT TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY

BE - SEMESTER–IV (NEW) EXAMINATION – WINTER 2023
Subject Code:2141703 Date:11-01-2024
Subject Name:Numerical Techniques & Statistical Methods
Time:10:30 AM TO 01:30 PM Total Marks:70
Instructions:
1. Attempt all questions.
2. Make suitable assumptions wherever necessary.
3. Figures to the right indicate full marks.
4. Simple and non-programmable scientific calculators are allowed.
Q.1 (a) Prove the following results. 03

(i) ∆∇= ∆ − ∇ (ii) 𝐸 = 1 + ∆
(b) A sample of 100 tyres is taken from a lot. The mean life of tyre is found to be 04
39350 km with a standard deviation of 3260. Could the sample come from a
population with mean life of 40000 km with 1% significance difference?
(c) Use Gauss-Seidel method to solve: 07
83𝑥 + 11𝑦 − 4𝑧 = 95
7𝑥 + 52𝑦 + 13𝑧 = 104
3𝑥 + 8𝑦 + 29𝑧 = 71
Q.2 (a) Determine the interpolating polynomial of degree three using Lagrange’s 03
interpolation for the table. Also find 𝑓(2).
𝑥 -1 0 1 3
𝑓(𝑥) 2 1 0 -1
(b) 1 04
State Trapezoidal rule and evaluate∫0 𝑒 𝑥 𝑑𝑥 with 𝑛 = 10.
(c) Using Newton’s divided difference formula, calculate the value of 𝑓(6) from 07
the following table:
𝑥 1 2 7 8
𝑓(𝑥) 1 5 5 4
OR
(c) Using Newton’s forward formula, find the value of 𝑓(1.6) if 07
𝑥 1 1.4 1.8 2.2
𝑓(𝑥) 3.49 4.82 5.96 6.5
Q.3 (a) Find the mean weight of 470 infants born in a hospital, in one year, from the 03
following table:
Weight 2.0-2.4 2.5-2.9 3.0-3.4 3.5-3.9 4.0-4.4 4.5-4.9
No of 17 97 187 135 28 6
infants
(b) 3 𝑑𝑥 04
Evaluate ∫0 1+𝑥 with 𝑛 = 6 by using Simpson’s 3/8 rule and hence calculate
log 2.
(c) Use Euler’s method to find 𝑦(2) from the differential equation 07
𝑑𝑦
= 𝑥 + 2𝑦, 𝑦(1) = 1
𝑑𝑥
OR
Q.3 (a) Find the standard deviation and variance of a group of data points: 101.8, 03
103.2, 104.0, 102.5 and 103.5.
(b) 1 𝑑𝑡 04
Evaluate ∫0 1+𝑡 by Gaussian Quadrature formula with one point and two
points.
(c) Use fourth order Runge-Kutta method to find 𝑦(0.2) with ℎ = 0.1, given that 07
𝑦′ = 2𝑥 + 𝑦, 𝑦(0) = 1
Q.4 (a) There are 3 true coins and 1 false coin with ‘head’ on both the sides. A coin is 03
chosen at random and tossed three times. If ‘head’ occurs all the three times,
what is the probability that the false coin has been chosen and used.
(b) During war, one ship out of 9 was sunk on an average in making a certain 04
voyage. Find the probability that exactly 3 out of a convoy of 6 ships would
arrive safely by binomial distribution.
(c) If a 1-gallon can of paint covers on the average 513.3 square feet with a 07
standard deviation of 31.5 square feet, what is the probability that the sample
mean area covered by a sample of 40 of these 1-gallon can will be anywhere
from 510.0 to 520.0 square feet? 𝑃(𝑧 < 1.34) = 0.9099, 𝑃(𝑧 < −0.66) =
0.2546)
OR
Q.4 (a) For the following distribution, find the mean and variance: 03
X -2 -1 0 1 2 3
P(X) 1/10 1/15 1/5 2/15 3/10 1/5
(b) If the amount of cosmic radiation to which a person is exposed while flying 04
by jet across the United states is a random variable having the normal
distribution with 𝜇 = 4.35 𝑚𝑟𝑒𝑚 and 𝜎 = 0.59 𝑚𝑟𝑒𝑚, find the probabilities
that the amount of cosmic radiation to which a person will be exposed on a
flight is
(1) Between 4.00 and 5.00 𝑚𝑟𝑒𝑚
(2) At least 5.50 𝑚𝑟𝑒𝑚
(𝐹(1.10) = 0.8643, 𝐹(−0.59) = 0.2776, 𝐹(1.95) = 0.9744)
(c) A basketball player traditionally makes 85% of her free throws. Suppose she 07
shoots 100 free throws during practice. Would it be unusual for her to make
less than 75? (𝑃(𝑧 ≤ −2.78) = 0.0027)
Q.5 (a) The mean produce of wheal of sample of 100 fields is 200 lb. per acre with a 03
standard deviation of 10 lb. Another sample of 150 fields gives the mean at
220 with a standard deviation of 12 lb. Assuming the standard deviation of the
mean field at 1 lb of the universe. Find at 1% level if the two results are
consistent.
(b) The life time of electric bulbs for a random sample of 10 from a large 04
consignment are selected. The mean life is 4.4 and standard deviation is 0.589.
Can we accept the hypothesis that the average life item of bulbs is 4000 hours
with 95% significant level? (t0.05=2.262)
(c) TATA is about to introduce a new products. One unit of product is produced 07
by assembling 1 unit of product-1 and 1 unit of product-2. Before production
begins on either product-1 or 2, raw materials must be purchased and workers
must be trained. Before product-1 and 2 can be assembled into product-3, the
finished product-2 must be inspected. A list of activities and their predecessors
and of the duration of each activity is given in below table:
Activity Predecessors Duration in days
A= trained workers ----- 6
B=purchased raw materials ----- 9
C=produced product-1 A, B 8
D=produced product-2 A, B 7
E=test product-2 D 10
F=assemble product 1 and 2 C,E 12
(1) Draw Network diagram.
(2) Find critical path and its length.
(3) Find total float and free float of all nodes.
OR
Q.5 (a) The mean life of a sample of 10 electric light bulbs was found to be 1456 hours 03
with standard deviation of 423 hours. A second sample of 17 bulbs chosen
from a different batch showed a mean life of 1280 hours with standard
deviation of 398 hours. Is there 95% significant difference between the mean
of the two samples? (t0.05=2.06)
(b) 200 digits are chosen at random from a set of tables. The frequencies of the 04
digits are as follows:
Digit 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Frequency 18 19 23 21 16 25 22 20 21 15
2
Use 𝜒 test to assess the correctness of the hypothesis that the digits were
distributed in equal numbers in the tables from which they were chosen.
(𝜒 2 0.05 = 16.22)
(c) Consider the following table 07
Activity Predecessors Optimistic Most likely Pessimistic
time (week) time (week) time (week)
A ---- 5 6 7
B ---- 1 3 5
C ---- 1 4 7
D A 1 2 3
E B 1 2 9
F C 1 5 9
G C 2 2 8
H E,F 4 4 10
I D 2 5 8
J H,G 2 2 8
(1) Construct the project network.
(2) Find the expected duration and variance.
(3) Find the critical path and expected project completion time.
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Seat No.: ________ Enrolment No.

GUJARAT TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY

Q.1 (a) Prove the following results. 03

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