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349-99188_Rothfels_ch01_3P.indd 6
Medicine
without Meds
•
Transforming
Patient Care with
Digital Therapies
•
DE AN HO
YOANN SAPANEL
AG ATA BL ASIAK
A catalog record for this book is available from the British Library.
Special discounts are available for bulk purchases of this book. For more information,
please contact Special Sales at specialsales@jh.edu.
Acknowledgments 257
Appendix A. AI and Its Potential Use in DTx: A Brief Overview of Frequently
Asked Questions 259
Appendix B. How to Translate Evidence-Based Theories to the Design of Digitally
Delivered M
ental Health Interventions 270
Bibliography 277
Index 305
vi Contents
vii
viii Foreword
Foreword ix
349-99188_Rothfels_ch01_3P.indd 6
Preface
Traditional health care has a new ally. Patients with sleep disorders,
back pain, and diabetes are now being prescribed app-based treat-
ment in place of a drug. Algorithms are helping cancer patients to
manage their symptoms. Video games are improving the attention
span of children diagnosed with ADHD.
A new class of medicine, called digital therapeutics (DTx), is gain-
ing traction and transforming the way patients engage with the health
care system. Yet, as a patient, you may have never heard of this bur-
geoning field.
In this book, we speak to innovation and business leaders from all
corners of the health care universe who are involved in designing and
building tomorrow’s DTx. They include clinicians, researchers, engi-
neers, patients, startup founders, and corporate executives. We share
their insights on how DTx can deliver value beyond the technology, ad-
dress the challenges of implementation in existing health care mod-
els, and propose a way forward by revolutionizing care delivery.
Through a learning lens, we also take a look at DTx innovations to date
and analyze the key factors for their successes as well as their failures.
It is time to realize the potential of DTx, and we are bringing all
stakeholders along on this journey that w ill ultimately bring re
imagined health care to all.
xi
349-99188_Rothfels_ch01_3P.indd 6
MED I CINE W I T H O U T MED S
349-99188_Rothfels_ch01_3P.indd 6
• Introduction
The Context
You know that discomfort you feel in your lower back e very once in a
while? Or that sharp pain shooting down your leg when you stand up
too quickly? You have probably experienced low back pain at some
point in your life, which is similar to over 80% of the population.1 How
have you dealt with it? For 56-year-old Simon, a “slight discomfort”
(as he described it) did not stop him from his daily activities at first,
so he didn’t really pay attention to it. Over the years, though, the pain
became more present, persistent, and sharp—evolving from a dull
ache to chronic pain. Eventually he even had to take time off from
work. Walking the dog became difficult. Playing with his kids was a
struggle. Lifting grocery bags was impossible. painkiller
Despite remarkable advances in medicine, a common health prob
lem such as low back pain is still mainly treated with analgesics. Sadly,
they are effective in relieving the symptoms but not the underlying
cause, which often remains unknown and therefore unaddressed. To
complicate m atters, Simon doesn’t remember when the pain started
or what triggered it. He simply knows, as his doctor had repeatedly told
him, that he should move more, lose some weight, and lead a more active
lifestyle. But do we all always follow our doctor’s advice?
1
• Exercise: tailored to alleviate his pain and keep his body active;
• Relaxation: mindfulness, breathing, and progressive muscle
relaxation techniques; and
• Knowledge: general pain and back pain–specific education
modules to control the perception of pain.
Guided by the app, Simon received this regimen that adjusted itself to
match his progress. For instance, when the app detected his motiva-
tion waning, a dedicated coach “intervened” in an attempt to reener-
gize him through interactive question and answer sessions.
After three weeks of daily use, Simon began to notice improvements
as he gradually learned how to take control of his pain. This motivated
him to finally start making adjustments to his sedentary lifestyle and
in four months, Simon was pain-f ree for the first time in 20 years.
Today, he no longer needs his pain medication—what a relief! If life is
better without painkillers, it is much better without any pain at all.
Low back pain is the leading cause of activity limitation and absen-
teeism from work, resulting in significant medical burden and eco-
nomic cost.2 Consequently, it has become a major global public health
Introduction 3
Introduction 5
Introduction 7
• If you “speak” health care, you may be a clinician, nurse, serv ice
lead, or hospital administrator. As such, you understand patients’
needs and frustrations, as well as the infrastructural challenges
of providing quality patient care under the status quo. You
could envision a new DTx solution to benefit your patients (and
potentially your practice). The next steps you w ill need to
address is how you develop a DTx technology that embodies
your idea while also ensuring viability in practice.
• If you “speak” technology, you may be a software developer,
engineer, data specialist, or chief technology officer. As such,
Introduction 9
Introduction 11
Fabien SOUILLARD
Type 1 diabetes patient, France
Addressing Unmet Stakeholder Needs, page 43
Fabien Souillard was diagnosed with type 1 diabetes when he was
13 years old. Ten years l ater, a fter countless consultations with endo-
crinologists and other physicians, he still struggles with daily finger
pricks, carbohydrate counting, and trying his best to have the sem-
blance of a “normal” life. He often needs to visit hospitals and man-
age his hemoglobin A1c, stomach cramps, and other complications that
arise from his condition.
Introduction 13
Christopher HARDESTY
Partner, Pureland Venture, Singapore
Paths to Commercialization, page 191
Christopher Hardesty specializes in building early-stage medical in-
novations for scale-up in Asia and beyond. He has lived and worked in
more than 50 countries to design public-private health system finan-
cial schemes, including for the creation of pathways for adoption of
medical innovations. He is also a member of KPMG’s Global Health-
care & Life Sciences Centre of Excellence and engages in adjunct lec-
turing, research/writing, and startup/fund advisory so as to be a stew-
ard of innovation acceleration across the health care ecosystem.
Finally, this book has also been shaped by input from 70 DTx and
digital health CEOs, entrepreneurs, innovators, clinicians, payers, and
industry experts across 15 countries in America, Asia, and Europe. We
acknowledge the contributions of:
Introduction 15
Notes
1. Rubin, “Epidemiology and Risk F actors for Spine Pain.”
2. Kaplan at al., Priority Medicines for Europe and the World: 2013 Update.
3. Wu et al., “Global Low Back Pain Prevalence and Years Lived with Disability
from 1990 to 2017.”
Introduction 17
19
349-99188_Rothfels_ch01_3P.indd 6
• Chapter 1
Digital health and digital therapeutics are popular terms that are often
used interchangeably, yet critical distinctions between the two exist.
“Digital health,” as an umbrella term, encompasses all technologies,
platforms, and systems across the wellness and health care industries
that engage consumers for lifestyle, wellness, and health-related pur-
poses.1 It includes all trackers and “quantified self” apps, platforms, or
solutions, from such consumer wearables as sleep trackers and fitness
apps (e.g., Apple watch, Fitbit’s range of fitness products, and the Oura
Ring for sleep and activity tracking) to clinically evaluated cardiac
health monitors and cloud infrastructures (e.g., BioTelemetry, Coala
Heart Monitor, and Philips VitalHealth). U nder this concept of digital
health, we identify three categories of digital health solutions: well-
ness and support, diagnostic and monitoring, and digital therapeutics
(table 1.1).
21
Overview Products that capture, store, Products that measure Products that deliver
and transmit health data and/or intervene therapeutic interventions
directly to patients
Clinical evidence Not typically required Required Required
Real-world Not typically required Not typically required Required
outcomes
Regulatory Varies depending on the Required Required
oversight intended use and function of
the solution
Examples Lifestyle apps and fitness Digital diagnostics, digital Digital cognitive therapy,
trackers, telehealth platforms, biomarkers, remote patient digital behavioral therapy,
health information technology, monitoring, medication digital physical therapy
consumer health information, adherence tools, ingestible
enterprise support sensors,1 connected drug
delivery devices
Source: Adapted from Digital Therapeutics Alliance, Ensuring Appropriate Quality, Access, and
Utilization of Digital Therapeutics .
1
What about wearables and sensors? Additional functionalities, digitally delivered or not, may be
required to optimize further patient care and health outcomes, such as wearables and sensors,
ingestible or not. T hese functionalities could be import ant to the physicians to assess and optimize
overall therapy (e.g., clinical decision support system or face-t o-face education and training). On their
own, t hese components c an’t be considered DTx, but they could be import ant elem ents to the DTx’s
overall value proposition and market success.
Companies and
therapeutic areas DTx solutions Selected outcomes
(continued)
Companies and
therapeutic areas DTx solutions Selected outcomes
derstanding how DTx can deliver value above and beyond conventional
therapies and other digital health applications.
349-99188_Rothfels_ch01_3P.indd 6
• PART II
39
You should be able to answer all of t hese questions once you have a
clear view of the problem your DTx technology aims to address. A
problem well defined is a problem half-solved, right? Using your
problem definition as your true north during every stage and pivoting
along your organization’s strategy is the most direct way to success.
All too often, though, developers and entrepreneurs operate in
reverse: they have a solution looking for a problem, obviating whether
the solution is actually needed. Indeed, the absence of a clearly defined
market need has always been one of the main drivers of startup failure
in any industry, not just in health care.2
Our interviews with entrepreneurial health care academics and
physicians have yielded key barriers to innovation success. For exam-
ple, it was noted that health care innovators tend to underestimate
early on how a pipeline program and its objectives may adversely
impact the viability and scalability of their technology and organ
ization l ater on. They recognized that major curveballs can often
come from erroneous assumptions or insufficiently thought-t hrough
Ensuring business
viability
? Problem
Statement
Figure Part II.1. Identification of the (right) problem. Source: From the authors
Notes
1. Humphreys, “Checklists Save Lives.”
2. CB Insights, “The Top 12 Reasons Startups Fail.”
Fabien was diagnosed with type 1 diabetes when he was 13 years old.
The concern that something was wrong started when he began to feel
frequently tired and was constantly thirsty. As a result, he began to
refuse to go outside his house to play with friends. His f amily became
increasingly worried and were prompted to bring him to the hospital,
where the diagnosis was made. At first Fabien didn’t comprehend fully
what it all meant and how it would impact his lifestyle, but from that
point on his life changed. He was started on daily insulin injections
and studied how to monitor his blood glucose and carbohydrate intake.
Ten years later, after countless consultations with endocrinologists
43
TS
Digital
therapeutics
PA R T N E
ICIA N S
• Charities, social enterprises, • Allied health professionals
ecosystem
and voluntary groups • Hospital administrators
• Education/research community • Nurses/care teams
YS
RS
• Investors • Primary care physicians
PH
• Large tech companies • Pharmacists
• Small and medium-sized enterprises • Providers
• Pharma/medtech companies P L AYE R S • Specialists
• Policymakers
• Potential competitors and
alternative solutions,
complementary or not (e.g., drugs,
DTx, digital health solutions, etc.)
Figure 2.1. The 5Ps in the DTx stakeholder ecosystem. Source: From the authors
have different roles and objectives. With the rapidly evolving ecosys-
tem at the intersection of health care and technology, DTx teams must
be much more externally focused than any other organization and not
overlook the needs and goals of any stakeholder group, as they could
later turn out to be key catalysts for entrepreneurial success as well as
impact to the patient and health care system.
T here are numerous ways to slice and dice the stakeholder ecosys-
tem to gain a deeper understanding of how the diff erent agents inter-
act and depend on each other. Key f actors for t hese stakeholders to
consider when assessing a pending ecosystem include, but are not
limited to,
• evaluating each stakeholder’s potential impact;
• understanding their awareness about and interest in adopting
DTx solutions;
• the stakeholders’ level of influence over o
thers who might
adopt the solution; and
• the ability of DTx innovators to influence these stakeholders.
Challenges Faced by P
eople Living with Diabetes
Delay in Diagnosis
Diagnosing diabetes is relatively simple in theory. Depending on
country-specific guidelines, a single blood test—either an HbA1c test,
a fasting plasma glucose test, or an oral glucose tolerance test—could
confirm a diagnosis. Singapore is frequently cited as having one of
the most efficient health care systems worldwide.4 Nonetheless, 50%
of diabetes cases in Singapore remain undiagnosed, mirroring global
estimates of 45.8% undiagnosed, ranging from 24.1% to 75.1% across
geog raphical regions.5 Increasing awareness of screening locations,
improving access to and compliance with clinician follow-up appoint-
ments, and harnessing technology are just a few of the many ways to
address this issue.6 Diabetes, including its diagnosis, is a global prob
lem of pandemic proportions, posing challenges to even the most well-
funded and efficient health care systems.7 It is imperative to overcome
this barrier to diagnosis b ecause diabetes tends to be the starting point
for many other health complications, and if not properly diagnosed and
managed, it can lead to cardiovascular, vision, renal, neurological,
gastrointestinal, and oral health disorders, to name just a few. In a
nutshell, its impact on patient quality of life can be pervasively
devastating.
Financial Burden
Individuals with diabetes tend to cover a substantial amount of out-
of-pocket costs, which can range from US$143 to US$2,210 per year.11
T hese costs include payment for consultations, medications that may
include insulin and insulin delivery devices such as insulin pumps, and
blood glucose monitoring equipment such as testing strips or glucose
sensors. T hese costs can impede or even preclude access to treatment,
which can subsequently lead to suboptimal patient outcomes.
The financial burden of diabetes extends beyond direct health care
costs, too. Indirect costs such as those caused by increased absentee-
ism, reduced productivity at work, or inability to work as a result of a
disease-related disability add to the burden, both for the person with
diabetes and for society at large.
Therapy Nonadherence
Despite a physician’s best efforts, people with diabetes may not con-
sistently follow their advice. Therapy nonadherence encompasses
skipping prescribed medication, forgoing necessary testing, and not
making recommended lifestyle changes. It is estimated that approxi-
mately 50% of patients do not take medications as prescribed.15 The
Diabetes Attitudes, Wishes, and Needs Study in 2001 showed that ad-
herence among type 2 diabetes patients was at 78% for medications,
64% for self-monitoring of blood glucose, 37% for diet, and 35% for
exercise.16 T here is a high correlation between nonadherence and low
socioeconomic status, low education levels, being a member of an eth-
nic minority, and depression, pointing to issues of inequality and in-
equity in diabetes management. Importantly, these are also factors to
consider in the context of DTx development.
The reported average adherence to long-term chronic illness ther-
apy in developed countries is 50%, implying a similar percentage for
nonadherence, according to the World Health Organization.17 It’s re-
ported that about 40% to 50% of diabetes patients in the United States
abandon treatment during insulin initiation or intensification, a per-
centage that can go as high as 70% to 80% in self-pay markets such as
India. In all cases, abandoning diabetes treatment contributes to worse
health outcomes.18
We know that therapy adherence is a key determinant of the effec-
tiveness of a treatment, but it can also have a positive economic im-
pact.19 In one example, the estimated cost savings of the US health care
system associated with improving medication adherence for diabetes
patients ranged from $661 million to $1.16 billion.20
Behavioral Change
The insights from patient and physician have raised a clear point:
Behavioral change is at the foundation of a strong arsenal against
diabetes.
Instead of viewing diabetes as a constant battle with wins and
losses, Fabien has learned to live with it. Ideally, he wants to feel well
without his condition overwhelming his daily routines or requiring
drastic changes to his lifestyle. Unfortunately, standard treatment re-
quires substantial effort on the part of the patient. This reality is un-
likely to satisfy his needs and his personal diabetes goals, resulting in
a mismatch of expectations between physician and patient. All things
considered, the decisive factor is still Fabien’s commitment to adher-
ing to his treatment plan. T hose living with type 1 and type 2 diabe-
tes share this struggle.
Numerous studies have defined and assessed different behavior
change techniques, but identifying which specific techniques or com-
binations thereof are potentially effective for a given individual and
selected behavior presents a major challenge because behavior itself
is not a constant.21 A patient on Monday morning may be physiologi-
cally diff erent, feeling and acting differently, than the same patient on
Friday evening. Dynamically managing patient care at scale, then, is
currently an enormous challenge, even though studies show that there
is a clear correlation between patient behavior change and clinical out-
comes, particularly in diabetes.22
Pointer
For a 360° view of the DTx ecosystem, including perspectives other than those of
patients and clinicians, consider also understanding the perspectives of new
groups of relevant stakeholders, such as health care administrators, policymakers
(e.g., government and local authorities), payers (e.g., health system organizations,
employers, and insurers), academic researchers, investors, or industry players (e.g.,
biopharmaceutical and medtech organizations).
This first JTBD definition can lead to a solution, digital or not, that
aims to minimize the burden of self-management by simplifying the
treatment regimen (e.g., by delivering brief educational “nuggets” on
how to prevent blood sugar spikes). For Fabien to feel more empow-
ered, such a solution may take on many forms. Examples include dig-
itally delivered continuous feedback that gives him visibility into how
he’s d
oing in terms of therapy adherence, and perhaps positive rein-
forcement when he’s hitting all his goals. Obviously, the solution need
not be delivered only during Fabien’s regular outpatient visits to the
hospital. They can also follow him home, allowing him to stay con-
nected, see tangible results (and reasons) for him to be compliant, and
maybe even share his progress with friends or online peers to enable
community-driven adherence modalities.
Now notice how this next example can lead to a diff erent, more clin-
ically focused solution:
What kind of problem are you trying to solve and in what specific circum-
stance are you trying to solve it?
Fabien: The long-term side effects of years of uncontrolled diabetes have
started to manifest as oral health problems and, more recently, diabetic
neuropathy—a type of nerve damage, according to my physician. Coming
back to more acceptable glycemic levels is my top priority. In fact, it has always
been. I must be successful at managing my diet, exercise, regularly checking
my blood sugars, and giving my insulin while maintaining an active life-
style [remember he is only 25 years old] without having access to solu-
tions that have been proven to be effective for me or other patients, such as
the pump.26
From this extract of our discussion with Fabien, his glycemic variabil-
ity is clearly a short-term problem he is trying to solve. But if you w ill
be having this discussion in the f uture with a patient community, more
patient-provided specifics w ill be needed to better understand the con-
text and the reasons why, when, and how it is easier (or not) to man-
age their blood sugar.
For Fabien, these are critical moments of the day where he is constantly
reminded of the need to take a test or simply take care of himself. Un-
derstanding these moments, which are unique to each patient, is an
opportunity to send the right notification or nudge at the right time—
which we w ill explore in more detail later.
Despite established routines and reminders to comply with diabetes
management protocols, missed steps are a common reality when living
with diabetes. This is where compensatory behaviors come in. Compen-
satory behaviors are actions patients take to make up for something
they should have done—behaviors meant to compensate for something
else, a workaround. Fabien knows he is not g oing to test himself as much
as his physician has requested, so he focuses on his food intake and has
learned over time how to listen to his body—which is not a perfect solu-
tion. Patients with long-standing diabetes may start to lose some of the
warning signs of low blood sugar (hypoglycemia) or lose the ability to
predict when they are having a hypoglycemic episode, which in turn can
result in a more severe episode. Therefore, solutions that provide action-
able blood glucose readings without Fabien consciously having to check
would be welcome and eliminate the guesswork.
What functional, social, and emotional criteria do you use to evaluate what
is right for you? Conversely, what functional, social, or emotional f actors
would take a potential solution “off the table” for you?
Fabien: I was initially against the insulin pump. Then I considered what I
would gain and found that it promised much more flexibility for meals (partly
Utility levers
Risk – Anything that reduces stakeholder physical,
reduction emotional, or financial risk
Fun and – Anything that creates exceptional utility in terms of tangible
image Lack of immediate results or intangible aesthetic look, feel, attitude, or style
leads to discouragement and
Legend: pain points to be defined and addressed lack of motivation, which in
turn leads to nonadherence
Figure 2.2. Pulling the right levers to deliver utility. Source: Adapted from the Buyer Utility Map in Kim and Mauborgne, Blue
Ocean Strategy; for illustration purposes only
14/06/23 12:45 PM
therapeutics, b ecause it provides a s imple yet powerful framework to
test the desirability of a therapeutic while taking user centeredness
into consideration.
Once the pressure points are defined, the solution can be framed
around the findings and address each point one by one, as organized
by the utility levers. Using this framework in the postmortem analy
sis of Exubera, Pfizer’s rapid-acting inhaled insulin formula, we can
begin to appreciate why it failed to unlock exceptional utility for Fa-
bien and other diabetes patients. From a breakthrough novelty stand-
point, Exubera seemed to hold g reat promise because it potentially
meant that people with diabetes could move away from the inconve
nience and stigma of needle injections. Nevertheless, the shortcom-
ings were evident from a utility point of view.
• Lack of knowledge, familiarity, education, and • Low awareness of the availability of such
training on insulin pumps for GDM, leading to a technology.
limited awareness and knowledge among • Poor self-testing.
physicians. • Affordability, high upfront cost, and
• Lack of experience and conviction that insulin recurring cost of consumables (e.g.,
pumps are appropriate for managing GDM. infusion sets and reservoirs/cartridges).
• Time-consuming education and hand-holding for There is also concern about what
patients during the initial introduction to insulin happens to the insulin pump after GDM.
pump therapy. • Fear of needles/cannula going under
• Relatively high upfront and recurring costs of the skin.
insulin pumps to patients. • The dislike of having a device attached at
• Patients may not turn up for the regular all times.
follow-ups that are needed in managing GDM, • Steep initial learning curve to understand
which requires close monitoring and titration of how to operate the pump and trouble-
insulin doses with each trimester. shoot in a short t ime frame.
Conclusion
In this chapter we took a closer look at traditional diabetes manage-
ment to demonstrate the critical importance of assessing stakeholder
needs and its impact on the medical and commercial outcomes of a new
health care endeavor such as DTx. Commercial use cases demonstrated
the different ends of the spectrum that are achievable as a result of
addressing t hese needs. DTx organizations should build on these learn-
ings to successfully develop solutions that can turn invention into in-
novation, catalyzed by optimally serving the stakeholders involved.
We believe indeed that the most successful organizations are t hose
that solve problems at the intersection of patient and physician jobs-
to-be-done and unmet needs, with the solutions also meeting the re-
quirements of stakeholders further downstream. Visionary founders
and developers ask questions, listen, and study carefully the challenges
key stakeholders face to find and define their intersection because they
know that delivering value to both patients and physicians is the way
to develop a solution that w ill be a dopted. The patient-physician
perspectives outlined in this chapter serve as examples of experiences
Notes
1. Martino, Hollis, and Teichert, “Pharma’s Biggest Flops.”
2. Gallagher, “GP Appointments Should Be at Least 15 Minutes in Future.”
3. Wientraub, “Pfizer’s Exubera Flop.”
4. Chen and Wong, “Singapore Beats Hong Kong in Health Efficiency.”
5. Singapore Ministry of Health, “National Health Survey 2010”; National
Medical Research Council, Diabetes Taskforce Report.
6. Institute of M ental Health, “Singapore Residents Show a High Recognition
of Diabetes.”
7. World Health Organization, “Diabetes: Key Facts.”
8. Toh and Wong, “The Big Read: Apathy, Complacency—the Worst Enemies in
Singapore’s War against Diabetes.”
9. King et al., “Perceptions of Adolescent Patients of the ‘Lived Experience’ of
Type 1 Diabetes.”
10. American Diabetes Association, “Insulin Myths and Facts.”
11. Davis, Burgen, and Chen, “Out-of-Pocket Costs for Patients with Type 2
Diabetes Mellitus.”
77
Table 3.1. Total number of contacts with general practice for people with one
or more chronic diseases (2014)
Disease 1 2 3 4 ≥5
Source: Van Oostrom et al., “Multimorbidity of Chronic Diseases and Health Care Utilization
in General Practice.”
Conclusion
The five questions outlined in this chapter are intended to guide DTx
innovators and entrepreneurs in defining and prioritizing deficiencies
in the current delivery and practice of health care, with an eye toward
identifying which of these gaps digitization and technology are uniquely
equipped to address. In this process, identifying the therapeutic areas
Notes
1. Academy of Neurologic Music Therapy, “Academy Affiliate Roster by Name
and Residence,” accessed November 17, 2022, https://nmtacademy.co/findannmt. The
Academy for Neurologic M usic Therapy is an organi zation whose mission is to
disseminate, advance, and protect the practice of neurologic music therapy worldwide.
2. Rossignol and Jones, “Audio-Spinal Influence in Man Studied by the H-Reflex
and Its Possible Role on Rhythmic Movements Synchronized to Sound”; Trimble
and Hesdorffer, “Music and the Brain: The Neuroscience of Music and Musical
Appreciation.”
3. Verghese et al., “Quantitative Gait Markers and Incident Fall Risk in Older
Adults.”
4. From an interview with the authors, December 8, 2020.
5. Van Oostrom et al., “Multimorbidity of Chronic Diseases and Health Care
Utilization in General Practice.”
6. World Health Organization, Global Strategic Directions for Strengthening
Nursing and Midwifery 2016–2020.
7. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Health at a
Glance 2011: OECD Indicators.
Please note that the “Financing Your Venture” section of this chapter
was written with contributions by Benjamin Belot, partner at Kurma
Partners, a European-based venture capitalist specializing in health
care, including having two funds focused on therapeutics as well as on
diagnosis and digital health.
91
Ho_Meds_int_3pgs.indd 93
How many headcounts are required? How many sites/ them (3.5M) have persistent walking
clinics? How scalable is the solution? deficits and do not have access to
How profitable can each revenue stream be? Total population
physical therapy or insurance
How diversified are the current revenue 1.4M coverage. We assume that 40% of
streams? How diversified should they be? Annual # of patients
these patients (1.4M) may be willing
What would it take to triple the revenues? 8,700 to consider a new method for
Stroke Revenues Penetration addressing their walking deficits.
US$13M Price per session 0.6%
ANNUAL REVENUES US$100 Estimated average cost of a physical
US$2OM Chronic Pain therapy cost, assuming completely To reach $5M in annual profits,
Revenues Average # of out of pocket/ without insurance it requires capturing over 0.6% of
US$7M sessions/ patient all stroke survivors in the US with
ANNUAL PROFITS Estimated average gait-training walking deficits who would want
15 sessions/patient to consider a new solution.
US$5M
* COGS (cost of goods sold) refers to the direct costs of producing the goods sold by a company.
** Overhead costs refer to everything except for direct labor, direct materials, and direct expenses.
*** SG&A costs are the selling, general, and administrative expenses not directly tied to making a product or performing a service.
Figure 4.1. An example of a reverse income statement for the hypothetical company Newco Inc. (for illustration purposes
only). What needs to come true for Newco to reach $5 million in annual profits by year five? Source: From the authors
14/06/23 12:45 PM
company Livongo3 and 60% for both telehealth company Teladoc4 and
medtech company Medtronic.5) Continue to work backward on the re-
verse income statement and assume Newco Inc. has two main serv ice
lines coming from stroke survivors with walking deficits (revenue
stream #1) and from persons with chronic pain (revenue stream #2).
At some point we arrive at the near f uture, where we can compare the
inferred state of your business with what is realistically achievable.
The reverse income statement forces you to make assumptions, de-
fine what success would look like, and therefore define the basic eco-
nomics of the business. Essentially you need to ask yourself, “What
needs to happen to achieve the outcomes I am (or my investor is) seek-
ing?” It could be a series of interim goals in terms of the number of
users, the number of providers, the potential uptake of a new solution,
or other factors for your venture to be v iable. Finally, link these de-
sired outcomes to what might drive them.
The more assumptions you make, the more complex your reverse
income statement w ill be. Stress test each assumption with a what-if
scenario in order to visualize how situations outside your control—
such as economic changes to the health care system, new health care
regulations, or current events (e.g., global pandemics)—might impact
your plan. We also recommend attaching corresponding activities and
milestones that you would need to reach for those assumptions to come
true. For example, if you are concerned about your ability to reach a
certain number of clinics that serve a certain number of patients in a
given year, it may help to define what would it take to secure a single
clinic in terms of resources (e.g., manpower and marketing efforts re-
quired), success ratio (i.e., for one clinic you may need to engage 10
other clinics), lead time (i.e., how long would it take you to convert a
single clinic from a prospect to a customer, gaining their willingness
to prescribe your solution), and so on. In short, have a detailed plan.
Working through the hypothetical example in figure 4.1, one would
conclude that reaching the target gross profit margin of $5 million by
year five would require serving over 700 stroke survivors with walk-
ing deficits every month, in addition to the pain management patients
• Pro forma operations specs, which lay out the operations needed
to produce, sell, serv ice, and deliver a serv ice to an end user—
in other words, the activities required to run the business;
• Key assumptions checklist, which aids to ensure that assump-
tions are checked and validated; and
• Milestone planning chart, which specifies the assumptions to be
tested at each project milestone.6
Notes
1. Total addressable market (also called total available market) refers to the
total revenue opportunity available for a product or serv ice. Serv iceable available
market is the total market demand for a product or serv ice, the part of the total
addressable market that can actually be reached. Serv iceable obtainable market,
also referred to as the share of market, is the estimated portion of revenue within
a specific product segment that you are able capture.
2. McGrath and MacMillan, “Discovery-Driven Planning.”
3. Livongo Health, “Livongo Reports Third Quarter 2020 Financial Results.”
4. Teladoc Health, “Teladoc Health Reports Third-Quarter 2020 Results.”
5. “Medtronic Profit Margin 2006–2021,” Macrotrends.
6. McGrath and MacMillan, “Discovery-Driven Planning.”
7. Dilution of control refers to the decrease in existing shareholder-ownership
percentages of a company, also known as equity dilution, which often translates to
At this stage, you may have more questions than answers, more sup-
positions than confirmations, about potential therapeutic areas of fo-
cus, the profile of your would-be customers and their motivations,
the price to put on your DTx, and the exact structure of your DTx busi-
ness model. For this reason, it is important as a DTx innovator and
entrepreneur to embrace a culture of “test and learn” from day one.
Commit to refining your envisioned solution and its potential appli-
cation as you gain new insights and user1 feedback.
While you may already have a plan to test, validate, and optimize
the assumptions you have made during the discovery stage, t here are
more steps needed to achieve success in this space. Leading a DTx ven-
ture includes being prepared to face the unknowns (i.e., address gaps or
blind spots in your assumptions that you may not have expected) and
to pivot strategically when required. As business author Leon C. Meg-
ginson says, “It is not the most intellectual of the species that survives;
it is not the strongest that survives, but the species that survives is the
one that is able best to adapt and adjust to the changing environment
in which it finds itself.”2 In other words, the species that survive are
those that are most flexible and responsive to change. If we regard DTx
101
The AEvice team obtained thousands of data points from the po-
tential users through the online A/B testing. It also interviewed some
of the individuals who had provided their email addresses. As Adrian
Ang, the cofounder of AEvice said, “None of us are marketing trained.
It was our first step toward d oing market research. T hese experi-
ments helped us refine our targeted customer profiles and their mo-
7
As the examples from Google, AEvice, and the dementia case study
in Japan show, for any of the tests mentioned here, and for product
development overall, a recommended practice is to develop and test
the assumptions with the would-be end users. Designing a product
that is wanted by its user base can then be built using the test-and-
learn approach and the following best practices:11
Conclusion
When piloting DTx solutions in day-to-day care, it is critical to con-
tinuously test and validate the solution itself and its business model
with evolving use contexts. The tools, behavioral models, and tech-
niques presented in this chapter should be a starting point to help
your organization overcome some of the most common challenges
faced by DTx organizations at this stage and get you on track to move
from pilot to production.
Notes
1. We prefer the term user, or end user, over patient to refer to the person who is
ultimately going to use the DTx as it could be patients themselves or caregivers,
physicians, or any health care professionals.
2. Megginson, “Lessons from Europe for American Business.”
3. Young, “Improving Library User Experience with A/B Testing.”
4. There are risks inherent in launching any venture. They can be risks related
to the product, your business model, the team you are going to hire, investors you
are to let join the board, and so on. Being involved in a DTx venture w ill come with
specific risks and uncertainties related to the nature of the technology evolving in
113
Implementation Science
As we stated earlier, our innovation ethos is that technology alone
cannot transform health care. Beyond the ideation and validation of
promising technologies, t here remains a critical need to develop a
road map toward successful deployment of t hese ideas into clinical
practice to catalyze broad adoption across providers through patient
communities. A fter all, highly innovative, evidence-backed technolo-
gies that cause inconveniences to clinical workflows may end up not
being a dopted. This is where domains such as implementation
science (IS), defined as the scientific study of methods to promote
the systematic uptake of research findings and other evidence-based
Notes
1. Greenhalgh et al., “Beyond Adoption: A New Framework for Theorizing and
Evaluating Nonadoption, Abandonment, and Challenges to the Scale-Up, Spread,
and Sustainability of Health and Care Technologies.”
2. Frequently used as a measure to determine the quality of care.
3. Guidelines are used for clinical decision-making and reduce practice
variation to ultimately improve patient outcomes.
4. McGlynn et al., “The Quality of Health Care Delivered to Adults in the
United States.”
5. Braithwaite et al., “Quality of Health Care for Children in Australia, 2012–2013.”
6. Greenhalgh and Papoutsi, “Spreading and Scaling up Innovation and
Improvement.”
117
The key to avoiding unpleasant surprises is to read the terms of any license
agreement in detail before proceeding to access the dataset (easier said than
done, as so many of us are used to clicking through stuff online, but this is
really important). The upside of carefully reading license agreements is that if
you consider the cost or terms to be excessive, but you still find the data
valuable for your project, you can try to negotiate by reaching out to the data
Privacy Threats
A key first step t oward protecting privacy by design is identifying the
threats. “Even if you have the best intentions in mind, if the data is
attractive, it is under threat,” says Professor Reza Shokri, a researcher
of data privacy and trustworthy machine learning from National
University of Singapore’s School of Computing. The risk of privacy
threats can be divided into direct and indirect information leakages.
Direct information leakage occurs within an organization, for exam-
ple, by breaking contextual integrity (using the data for a different
application than what the data donor consented to). Indirect data
leakage occurs when, based on the DPP or on data introduced into the
system with an adversarial objective, one can reconstruct and deiden-
tify the underlying dataset.
Want to Go Further?
Data security and privacy preservation are rapidly and dynamically evolving fields.
As the scholarly publications on these topics are frequently updated, we recom-
mend following the work and educational resources of open-source communities,
such as OpenMined, and leading organizations in the field, such as the Simons
Institute at the University of California, Berkeley. It may also be helpful to explore the
latest updates at key scientific and industry meetings, such as the Healthcare
Information and Management Systems Society Global Health Conference, the
Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems, and the Conference on
Computer and Communications Security, among others.
Key Takeaways
1. Datasets can be obtained from a range of sources. Whichever source or
sources you choose to drive the development of your DTx platform should
be carefully vetted since it w
ill form the foundation of your innovation.
2. Data ownership and rights to the data processing product must be consid-
ered as early as possible in the innovation road map.
Notes
1. National University Health System, one of the three public health care
clusters in Singapore, is composed of several hospitals, national specialty centers,
and polyclinics. More from Dr. Ngiam on the stakeholder expectation can be found
in chapter 9.
2. From an interview with the authors, December 10, 2020.
3. From an interview with the authors, January 12, 2020.
4. Precedence Research, “Digital Therapeutics Market Size to Hit US$ 11.82 Bn
by 2027.”
5. Pichai, “Privacy Should Not Be a Luxury Good.”
6. Chan and Saqib, “Privacy Concerns Can Explain Unwillingness to Download
and Use Contact Tracing Apps when COVID-19 Concerns Are High.”
Clinical Validation
Unique Challenges and Novel Approaches
128
Clinical Validation 129
Clinical Validation 131
Clinical Validation 133
Clinical Validation 135
Clinical Validation 137
N-of-1 Trials
As we mentioned earlier, controlled clinical trials—and RCTs in
particular—are considered the gold standard of realizing and validat-
ing evidence-based medicine. However, many would-be trial partici-
pants are often unable to participate in studies due to inclusion and
exclusion criteria. Since trial findings are largely based on a treatment’s
population-w ide effects instead of individual outcomes, this is likely
an opportunity to further enhance treatment efficacy and even pin-
point more responders to treatment compared to outcomes from tra-
ditional trial designs. Additionally, although a lack of comprehensive
data precludes reliably calculating average RCT costs, it is indisputable
that conducting RCTs can be a very expensive process.10
Clinical Validation 139
Clinical Validation 141
CONSORT
To improve the reporting of RCT outcomes and to optimally commu-
nicate a trial’s design, conduct, analysis and interpretation, the CON-
SORT (Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials) Group launched
the CONSORT 2010 Statement, an evidence-based guideline with a set
of minimum recommendations to produce high-quality, standardized
clinical evidence. Subsequently, the group developed the CONSORT ex-
tension for N-of-1 trials (CENT 2015), a framework to facilitate and
standardize the reporting of N-of-1 trials.13 The CENT 2015 guidelines
highlight methodological considerations that differ from traditional
Clinical Validation 143
Clinical Validation 145
Clinical Validation 147
Clinical Validation 149
Conclusion
Developing a DTx solution requires the ability to prove its efficacy
through clinical validation, which is a complex process. It requires the
interdisciplinary efforts of engineers, ethicists, clinicians, and health
care decision-makers to address DTx-specific challenges arising from
Key Takeaways
• Clinical validation is a necessary step toward DTx market introduction,
whereby safety and efficacy are assessed through established controlled
trial design principles, often a randomized clinical trial (RCT).
• DTx clinical t rials may employ digital endpoints (safety and efficacy assess-
ment criteria that are digitally collected and analyzed) that increase the
accuracy and objectivity of the final analysis, but which also need to be
validated. The Digital Medicine (DiMe) website includes a collaboratively
sourced database of validated digital endpoints.
• DTx trials can circumvent the absence of consensual standard of care with
multiarm designs testing standard of care, standard of care plus DTx, and
DTx alone.
• It is important for DTx platforms to be validated across cultures, demograph-
ics, and stakeholders through mixed quantitative-qualitative methods in
order to realize broadly actionable insights into effectiveness and safety.
• DTx are well suited for N-of-1 trials, which provide the highest-grade evidence
for individualized treatment effect.
• DTx t rials may be easily adapted to decentralized and hybrid trial designs,
which can improve recruitment, retention, and therapy adherence while
reducing costs.
• DTx platforms can generate vast amounts of trial data that can in turn lead to
substantially enhanced analytical insights compared to conventional trial
designs, provided the right infrastructure is available.
• In the context of a digitally delivered therapeutic, real-world evidence can be
equally or more relevant than controlled clinical trial outcomes.
Clinical Validation 151
Clinical Validation 153
This chapter was cowritten with Dr. Robyn Mildon, Founding Executive
Director of the Centre for Evidence and Implementation with offices
in Australia, Singapore, and the United Kingdom. Dr. Mildon is an
internationally recognized leader in the fields of implementation
science, evidence synthesis, and knowledge translation, as well as
policy evaluations in health, education, and h uman services.
154
Source: Jamie et al., “Factors That Influence the Implementation of e-H ealth.”
1
Outer setting refers to the economic, politic al, and social contexts where the organization
resides (e.g., policies, financing, stakeholder relationships).
2
Inner setting refers to the structural, politic al, and cultural contexts where the implemen-
tation takes place.
Conclusion
Google’s study not only provided many important insights to their
team but also serves as an example to the DTx community of some of
key factors to consider when designing their implementation strate-
gies. The success of health-related technologies does not rest solely on
their technical accuracy; it also rests on their ability to fit into the
deployment context to ultimately improve patient care.11
Notes
1. Garavand et al., “Factors Influencing the Adoption of Health Information
Technologies.”
2. Garavand et al., “Factors Influencing the Adoption of Health Information
Technologies.”
3. Jacob, Sanchez-Vazquez, and Ivory, “Social, Organizational, and Technologi-
cal F
actors Impacting Clinicians’ Adoption of Mobile Health Tools.”
4. mHealth is a subcategory of e-health defined as “medical and public health
practice supported by mobile devices, such as mobile phones, patient monitoring
devices, personal digital assistants, and other wireless devices” (Jacob, Sanchez-
Vazquez, and Ivory, “Social, Organizational, and Technological Factors Impacting
Clinicians’ Adoption of Mobile Health Tools”).
5. Klonoff and Kerr, “Overcoming Barriers to Adoption of Digital Health Tools
for Diabetes.”
6. Jacob, Sanchez-Vazquez, and Ivory, “Social, Organizational, and Technologi-
cal F
actors Impacting Clinicians’ Adoption of Mobile Health Tools.”
7. Arnhold, Quade, and Kirch, “Mobile Applications for Diabetics.”
8. Beede et al., “A Human-Centered Evaluation of a Deep Learning System
Deployed in Clinics for the Detection of Diabetic Retinopathy.”
9. Beede et al., “A Human-Centered Evaluation of a Deep Learning System.”
10. Beede et al., “A Human-Centered Evaluation of a Deep Learning System,” 10.
11. Shah, Milstein, and Bagley, “Making Machine Learning Models Clinically
Useful.”
162
Technology Interoperability
Integrating DTx into day-to-day clinical care requires thinking across
multiple dimensions by understanding the perspective of each of the
stakeholders involved: physicians, patients, and health care adminis-
trators. While physicians will rightfully scrutinize the clinical evidence
behind the DTx and patients its effectiveness and ease-of-use, admin-
istrators w ill be particularly concerned about its deployment within
existing infrastructure. The end goal is making care delivery more
seamless (and safe), rather than adding a new layer of complexity to
existing solutions that all too often are already working in silos. Stan-
dardized billing and product codes will be necessary for electronic pre-
scribing procedures, in addition to security requirements. Overall,
modifications in electronic health record (EHR) and workflow integra-
tion are complex, depending on how DTx w ill be reimbursed through
the different distribution channels.
P
A D Very small-scale test of change
using plan-do-study-act (PDSA) cycle
S
P
A D Follow-up tests and
iterative refinement
S
P Widespread
implementation Changes that result in
A D
with local improvement at scale
S tailoring
Figure 9.1. Rapid cycle test of a change model of spread used in implementation
science, drawing on insights and a previous diagram in a review by Pierre Barker.
Sources: Greenhalgh and Papoutsi, “Spreading and Scaling Up Innovation and Improvement;
Barker, Reid, and Schall, “A Framework for Scaling Up Health Interventions: Lessons from
Large-Scale Improvement Initiatives in Africa”
Conclusion
Testing, implementing, and ultimately scaling up DTx are not easy
tasks. The implementation of DTx solutions does not conclude with a
going-live announcement or with a press release, as we see too often.
It should be considered a comprehensive process, not an event.
Following an IS approach and taking the implementation process
through a sequence of activities (such as involving health care system
managers early on) and appropriate support mechanisms w ill facili-
tate the adoption of interventions and empower the solution to work
at its full potential in a specific context. DTx solutions, like any other
innovation that aspires to be sustainably adopted over time, w ill need
to adapt to their unique local environments dynamically. As a result,
the DTx implementation strategy must be monitored and modulated,
and the underlying technology evaluated, on an ongoing basis to
Notes
1. NUHS is a group of Singapore health care institutions composed of several
hospitals, national specialty centers, and polyclinics.
2. Mathews and Yadron, “Health Insurer Anthem Hit by Hackers.”
3. Plsek, “Redesigning Health Care with Insights from the Science of Complex
Adaptive Systems.”
4. Implementation outcomes such as acceptability, adoption, costs, or penetra-
tion are indicators of implementation success but not of treatment effectiveness.
They should therefore only be considered as “intermediate outcomes,” which serve
as necessary preconditions for attaining subsequent desired changes in patient’s
clinical outcomes.
5. Ross et al., “Factors that Influence the Implementation of e-Health.”
6. Jacob, Sanchez-Vazquez, and Ivory, “Social, Organizational, and Technologi-
cal F
actors Impacting Clinicians’ Adoption of Mobile Health Tools.”
7. Greenhalgh et al., “Beyond Adoption.”
The reality is that many of the envisioned solutions in health care are
not widely adopted or scalable (enough) to put into practice, and any
proposed changes to current practices—like a new technology—has
multiple barriers to overcome. W ill things be different for DTx? W
ill
this increasingly prevalent approach smoothly implement itself? Given
its intended role in transforming the delivery and administration of
medical care, this is unlikely. DTx organizations need to be proactive
in their implementation efforts and take learnings from other tech-
nologies that are being implemented and adopted (or not) in health
care. In this chapter, we provide two perspectives, those of health pro-
fessionals and t hose of patients, for how DTx can achieve buy-in. The
two often go hand in hand, in a virtuous cycle. We share here what
we believe are the key considerations and factors—often beyond the
technology itself—to enter that cycle to catalyze and sustain DTx
adoption.
173
Insomnia is common and debilitating, yet despite 10% prevalence there is no gold
standard treatment in the UK that is readily available for prescription or referral
in the NHS [National Health Service]. There is a massive treatment gap that
physicians want to solve. At Big Health, we provided physicians with Sleepio, a
DTx for insomnia, backed by 12 randomized controlled trials—the gold
standard when it comes to scientific evidence. We also partnered with organ
izations to provide physicians with sleep and DTx education—how to assess for
insomnia, which patients are indicated for our DTx solution, how to support
patients, and when to follow up. The DTx has to be embedded into existing
clinical pathways, rather than being introduced as an “app.” —Dr. Charlotte
Lee, UK Director, Big Health, a DTx company that develops solutions for
mental health.3
Strengthening Relationships
In a health care context, DTx solutions should strengthen
relationships—the relationship between a patient and physician and
the relationship between the patients and their own health. T hese rela-
tionships play a vital role in driving and sustaining DTx adoption, and
reinforcing these relationships involves understanding the emotional
aspects that underlie the decisions patients make in consultation with
their doctors and on their own. For example, patients signing up for a
digital health program through a physician referral, an employee assis-
tance program, and an app store may have different expectations and
motivations. As Dr. Lee shared with us, “Patients first need to acknowl-
edge that they have a concern or a problem before deciding that they
need to see a physician. When this is acted upon, their motivation to
accept the recommended solution by their physician—be it a drug, an
app, or a referral to a different service—is high. The two elements,
trust and authority, are critical in this patient-physician relationship.
The challenge for DTx, such as Big Health, is how to take this motiva-
tion and transform it into something scalable and accessible.”
Trust is central to DTx uptake, as can be observed when would-be
users hesitate to embrace a technology if they feel it is “faceless” or
Nudge Me Right!
uman nature does not always produce the rational decision-makers
H
we may hope to be. When it comes to managing even our own health,
we don’t always have the willpower to stay the course on a treatment
regimen, exercise, or diet plan. Rigorous cost-benefit analyses and
trade-offs between immediate gratification and future health out-
comes often go out the window when we face the option of d oing some-
thing that puts a physical or psychological burden on us, as one might
find with trying to adhere to a workout plan or a demanding daily ther-
apy. Luckily, t hese natural biases in the decision-making process can be
turned into an advantage by encouraging health-enhancing behaviors
through the use of “nudges.”
The word nudge was popularized when the Cameron government in-
troduced the Behavioural Insights Team in the UK—also known as
the Nudge Unit—to investigate how desirable behavior could be en-
couraged. In a nutshell, nudging attempts to subtly lead people toward
making the right decision. It can be used to encourage behaviors that
Changing Individuals prefer sticking to existing or standard behaviors rather than doing
defaults something different or involving an effortful choice.
Example: Opt-in vs. opt-out strategies for organ donation.
Hyperbolic Individuals prefer short-term rewards, do not like uncertainty and w ill try to reduce
discounting it whenever possible, and tend to undervalue less concrete f uture rewards.
Example: Rewarding an increase in steps, logging blood glucose, and light
exercise vs. an HbA1c reduction after three months.
Loss and risk Individuals are reluctant to take risks and accept potential losses, unless this
aversion can be compensated by potential important rewards. In other words, they do not
mind not having something, but they do mind losing something.
Example: Whenever attempting to change patient behaviors, health care
professionals need to be able to explain the benefits and gains to their patients,
and contrast it with the losses, so that t hese can be tangibly assessed.
Framing Decision-making is perceived as easier when a few options are available, but at
the same time, having too many options can be counterproductive.
Example: Choices should always be framed in ways that help patients and staff
understand what their preferences are.
Reciprocity Individuals strive to reciprocate commitments. They are more likely to change
their behaviors if they feel that they owe someone e
lse something.
Example: Studies that applied this principle to health care issues found that
organ donations could be increased significantly after a campaign containing
the message “If you needed an organ transplant would you have one?”
Social norms Individuals tend to base their behaviors on what they perceive others are doing,
and feedback comparing themselves and what they think they are expected to do in order to
(or peer conform to the norm. Feedback on how individual performance evolves over
pressure time can help while also improving behaviors.
influence) Example: Instead of saying “Please arrive on time,” state that “80% of patients in
this clinic arrive on time for their appointments.” Communicating the percentage
of patients who arrive on time for their appointment has been showed to
decrease no-shows by as much as 30%.
Conclusion
As more data emerge on user engagement with DTx, it is critical for in-
novators to take these into account and respond adaptively by remov-
ing, adding, or improving upon features that lead to better motivation,
sustained use, and clinical outcomes. To achieve this, it is important to
involve physicians and patients as early as possible, where appropriate,
in the development and deployment of DTx. This cocreation approach
to explore existing problems and potential solutions holistically can
substantially improve the likelihood of a DTx platform being a dopted.
Put simply, people support what they have helped create.
Notes
1. Greenhalgh et al., “Beyond Adoption.”
2. Miliard, “AMA Sees Surge in Health IT Adoption, ‘Rise of the Digital-Native
Physician.’ ”
3. From an in interview with the authors, October 26, 2021.
4. Wenger et al., “Allocation of Internal Medicine Resident Time in a Swiss
Hospital”; Sinsky et al., “Allocation of Physician Time in Ambulatory Practice.”
5. Greenhalgh et al., “Beyond Adoption.”
6. Aref-Adib et al., “Factors Affecting Implementation of Digital Health Interven-
tions for People with Psychosis or Bipolar Disorder, and Their Family and Friends.”
7. Trzeciak and Mazzarelli, Compassionomics: The Revolutionary Scientific
Evidence that Caring Makes a Difference; Derksen, Bensing, and Lagro-Janssen,
“Effectiveness of Empathy in General Practice.”
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• PART IV
PATHS TO COMMERCIALIZATION
191
Overall average new DTx Average number of new DTx per category
per year of first mention for each period per year of first mention for each period
Neuropsychiatric
25
Other
20
80
15
Neurologic
44 10
Musculoskeletal/Pain
5 Cardiovascular/Metabolic
13 Respiratory
Dermatologic & Wound
0
2012-2015 2016-2019 2020 2012-2015 2016-2019 2020
Figure Part IV.1. Proliferation of DTx products. Source: McCarthy, “Looking Back &
Ahead at the Digital Therapeutics Industry”
192 Paths to Commercialization
Paths to Commercialization 193
Notes
1. Precedence Research, “Digital Therapeutics Market Size to Hit US$ 11.82
Bn by 2027.”
2. Bridge Point Capital, “Advancement of Digital Therapeutics Leads to a Huge
Market with Enormous Potential.”
3. McCarthy, “Looking Back & Ahead at the Digital Therapeutics Industry.”
194 Paths to Commercialization
Paths to Commercialization 195
349-99188_Rothfels_ch01_3P.indd 6
• Chapter 11
Channel Partnerships
The Ultimate Commercialization Strategy
197
As you can see, the B2C model is a common way of introducing the
company and the product to the market. However, while some level
of direct selling may still be feasible at scale, true scalability across
geographies, customer bases, and payment archetypes typically re-
quires strategic partnerships with third parties. The good news is
that identifying such entities may be easier now than it was before
the pandemic. In the post-COVID-19 era, one often gets the impres-
sion that “every” business is pivoting into the health care industry,
and whether that is justified or not, the positive artifact is that the
universe of potential channel partners for DTx innovation is grow-
ing wider (table 11.1).
Each of t hese potential partners brings diff erent assets, capabilities,
and expertise. While some may be more suited to assist a DTx organ
198 Paths to Commercialization
Channel Partnerships 199
200 Paths to Commercialization
Channel Partnerships 201
202 Paths to Commercialization
Channel Partnerships 203
204 Paths to Commercialization
Channel Partnerships 205
206 Paths to Commercialization
Channel Partnerships 207
208 Paths to Commercialization
Channel Partnerships 209
210 Paths to Commercialization
Channel Partnerships 211
212 Paths to Commercialization
Channel Partnerships 213
214 Paths to Commercialization
Channel Partnerships 215
216 Paths to Commercialization
Channel Partnerships 217
218 Paths to Commercialization
Channel Partnerships 219
220 Paths to Commercialization
Channel Partnerships 221
222 Paths to Commercialization
Channel Partnerships 223
224 Paths to Commercialization
Channel Partnerships 225
226 Paths to Commercialization
• Is the partner’s portfolio of offerings and data • Can the partner provide the necessary
complementary to yours? front-office resources (e.g., sales, marketing,
• Is t here an alignment with the partner in the access, pricing, regulatory, and medical)?
markets (demographic or geographic) being • Can the partner provide the necessary
targeted? supply and distribution channels?
• Is t here a clear, mutually aligned, and • Is the partner able to influence end users,
measurable definition of success for clinicians, and administrators? In other
partnership? words, does it have sufficient experience in
health care or in the therapeutic area of
interest to the DTx venture?
• Is t here alignment on the monetization model • Do both parties share a common vision and
and flexibility therein? mission for health care?
• Does the partner have access to sufficient • Does the partner have an acceptable risk and
capital resources and incentives? timeline tolerance?
• Are both parties clear on how the partnership • Does the partner place emphasis on people
could evolve (e.g., mergers and acquisitions)? and innovation development?
Channel Partnerships 227
228 Paths to Commercialization
Key Takeaways
• As DTx innovators prepare to take their solution to market, the scalability and
sustainability of the company’s commercialization efforts will likely require
channel partnerships.
• There is a variety of channel partnership models available, traditional as well
as novel, and companies must analyze which modality is most compatible
with their product, end user, and business objectives.
• While DTx is a new and evolving space within health care, there are already
sufficient real-world examples of both successes and failures that can serve
as guideposts for entrepreneurs and help them avoid costly mistakes.
Notes
1. Staton, “The Top 10 Patent Losses of 2015.”
2. Sanofi, “Sanofi and Abbott Partner to Integrate Glucose Sensing and Insulin
Delivery Technologies to Help Change the Way Diabetes Is Managed.”
3. Singapore News Center, “Zuellig Pharma Shapes the Future of Healthcare with
the Cloud.”
4. Akili Interactive, “Akili and Shionogi Announce Strategic Partnership to
Develop and Commercialize Digital Therapeutics in Key Asian Markets.”
5. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, “Employment
Rate.”
6. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, “Workplace Health Promotion:
Depression Evaluation Measures.”
7. Boersma, Black, and Ward, “Prevalence of Multiple Chronic Conditions among
US Adults, 2018.”
8. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Diabetes Statistics
Report 2020: Estimates of Diabetes and Its Burden in the United States.
9. Whaley et al., “Reduced Medical Spending Associated with Increased Use of a
Remote Diabetes Management Program and Lower Mean Blood Glucose Values.”
Channel Partnerships 229
230 Paths to Commercialization
231
Minimum requirements
Source: Hoult, “Key F actors to Obtaining Reimbursement for Digital Therapeutics in the US.”
the health care industry. Payers, which may be public or private, are
entities that w ill cover the cost of the serv ice provided by the DTx to
the end users. DTx innovators should explore all possible reimburse-
ment pathways that may be available to them through both types of
the payers while also seeking to understand the range of engagement
models for each payer (table 12.1).
The first step t oward developing a value-based offering is to define
what “value” is and how it w ill be measured. DTx organizations should
collaborate with their channel partners to reach an alignment in this
area as each stakeholder has its own incentives and metrics by which
it assesses value and makes decisions. DTx platforms that simulta
neously satisfy multiple parties have a higher chance of achieving
commercial success.
Providers typically consider something to be of value based on the
appropriateness of care and effective, evidence-based interventions.
Meanwhile, patients value health services or interventions if they lead
to clinical improvement and better functional health and provide user
experiences that are as seamless and minimally invasive (both surgi-
cally and practically) as possible with minimal or no disruption to their
personal, professional, and social lives. From health care managers’
perspectives, value could also be defined as the clinical benefits and
232 Paths to Commercialization
234 Paths to Commercialization
236 Paths to Commercialization
ere we turn our attention to how DTx can align their pricing models
H
with the value they provide to patients, other health care stakehold-
ers, and the health care system in general.
238 Paths to Commercialization
Pricing Models
When pricing their solution, innovators sometimes mistakenly believe
that mimicking a pricing model for another technology-driven niche
of the market, however successful (e.g., software as a service, or SaaS),4
w ill also catapult this new innovation to commercial success. Trans-
porting pricing and sales models from other sectors wholesale, how-
ever, rarely works in health care b ecause of the myriad unique biological
and organizational factors that characterize it.
In the course of our research for this book, we came across a vari-
ety of pricing model archetypes that could serve as an inspiration for
DTx innovators in their discussions with private channel partners.
They each have their merits relative to the industries and business con-
texts in which they are commonly used and, as mentioned, must be
tailored not only to health care’s singular context but also to the channel
Subscription Maintenance
240 Paths to Commercialization
242 Paths to Commercialization
Value-Based Care
Discussing DTx pricing models implies exploring value-based pricing
as well. It is a closely related concept and underlying philosophy for
many pricing models. Value-based pricing agreements pay providers
and DTx organizations based on the quality of care they offer, focus-
ing on improving patients’ clinical outcomes (quality) rather than the
volume of health care serv ices supplied or patients treated (quantity).
Although we do not attempt in this book to explain the intricacies of
value-based pricing in infinite detail, as health care becomes increas-
ingly outcome-driven, we do feel it is important for DTx innovators to
understand them in broad strokes. We raise the point as well b ecause
value-based pricing has evolved beyond the classical understanding
of value-based care, which shifted the focus from fee-for-service to health
outcomes over cost.
The contemporary definition of “value” is not just derived from mea
suring health outcomes against the cost of delivering the outcomes,
but it also considers f actors such as the appropriateness of care given
the social and individual context in which it is provided (figure 12.1).
Outcomes
= X
Appropriateness
Added value
for patients
Cost over the
full cycle of care
Figure 12.1. Defining value in health care from a patient’s perspective. Source:
Heuvel et al., Pathway to Success in Outcome-Based Contracting
Germany
France Canada Australia
4 Japan United Kingdom
Spain
Italy
2
Future Markets Developing Markets
Mexico China
Brazil
1 2 3 4 5
Country experience with outcomes-based contracts
Figure 12.2. Country health expenditure (per capita) and experience with
outcomes-based contracts (on a scale of 1 to 5, with 1 being the least experienced
countries and 5 being the most experienced). Source: Heuvel et al., Pathway to Success in
Outcome-Based Contracting, 12 (citing original figure data sources as OECD, the World Bank,
Navigant, and KPMG Payer primary market research)
244 Paths to Commercialization
Conclusion
DTx pricing is the monetary reflection of its perceived (and demon-
strated) value in the eye of the beholder. While the FDA focuses on
such areas as DTx safety, insurers may be interested in how DTx de-
ployment may impact claims, and patients may be interested in how
the DTx solutions might help them live a healthier life for any associ-
ated out-of-pocket cost.
Earlier we emphasized the importance of demonstrating DTx safety
and effectiveness alongside robust health care economics outcomes,
which are collectively at the foundation of bridging innovation with
commercial success. Insufficiently accounting for all of these factors,
even with a powerful channel partner in place, may substantially im-
pede or even preclude commercializing DTx platforms in the compet-
itive health care landscape. Increasingly, evidence of effectiveness and
safety in the form of real-world evidence (RWE) may be required in
order for DTx platforms to be reimbursable. To generate sufficient
data and RWE, some DTx organizations are g oing “at-r isk”—being
paid only if a set of predefined health outcomes are being met—v ia
246 Paths to Commercialization
Key Takeaways
• Value is in the eye of the beholder, so DTx innovators must seek to under-
stand potential channel partners’ and payers’ motivations for collaboration so
as to align their proposed pricing model.
• Given the focus and expected use of their solution, DTx innovators should
consider private-as well as public-sector reimbursement; this can be done in
sequence or tandem.
Notes
1. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Out-of-Pocket
Spending: Access to Care and Financial Protection.
2. Defining the needs prioritization for each potential cohort or customer
segment can be inspired by A. H. Maslow’s theory of human motivation and the five
categories of human needs that dictate an individual’s behavior (Maslow, “A Theory
of Human Motivation,” Psychological Review 50, no. 4 (1943), 370–96, https://doi.org
/10.1037/ h0054346).
3. Gleason-Comstock et al., “Willingness to Pay and Willingness to Accept in a
Patient-Centered Blood Pressure Control Study.”
4. Software as a serv ice, also known as “on-demand software,” is a software
licensing and delivery model in which software is licensed on a subscription basis
and delivered via the Internet.
5. Heuvel et al., Pathway to Success in Outcome-Based Contracting.
6. Heuvel et al., Pathway to Success in Outcome-Based Contracting.
7. Henze et al., “Moving Digital Health Forward: Lessons on Business Building.”
8. Prabhu and Menon, “Express Scripts a Pioneer: Launches Curated List of
Digital Therapeutics.”
349-99188_Rothfels_ch01_3P.indd 6
• Conclusion
This chapter was written with the contribution of Dr. Eddie Martucci,
cofounder and CEO of Akili Interactive Labs in the United States.
249
Conclusion 251
Conclusion 253
Conclusion 255
Notes
1. Mobiquity Inc., “COVID-19: Ensuring a Quality Patient Experience with the
Rise of Digitisation in a Healthcare Setting”; Sham, Accenture 2019 Digital Health
Consumer Survey.
2. Ahuja, “The Impact of Artificial Intelligence in Medicine on the Future Role
of the Physician”; Goldhahn et al., “Could Artificial Intelligence Make Doctors
Obsolete?”
3. Gordon, Phillips, and Beresin, “The Doctor–Patient Relationship.”
We are deeply grateful to Chong Yap Seng, Lien Ying Chow Professor in
Medicine and Dean of the Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National
University of Singapore (NUS Medicine). Under his visionary leadership,
WisDM was established to redefine the concept of patient impact through
practice-changing, multidisciplinary health care innovation. We thank
Professor Chong for supporting this book project.
This book is based on the collective experience of our many contribu-
tors and experts who share our belief in the importance of raising aware-
ness about digital therapeutics (DTx), a new class of medicine, but also
about what it takes to develop, validate, and implement a new technol-
ogy, especially in health care settings. We are sincerely grateful for their
contributions and support. Our teams at the Institute for Digital Medi-
cine (WisDM) at NUS Medicine, N.1 Institute for Health, and Depart-
ment of Biomedical Engineering in the College of Design and Engineer-
ing at NUS have immensely contributed to the book by sharing their
expertise. We would like to thank Associate Professor Christopher L.
Asplund, Associate Professor B. T. Thomas Yeo, Associate Professor Ja-
son Kai Wei Lee, and their team members for the privilege of serving as
their collaborators. We would like to thank, too, Gavin Teo for helpful
discussions and for his leadership and dedication toward advancing en-
trepreneurship and innovation in DTx.
The book is also the result of a community of patients and highly tal-
ented and committed researchers, engineers, and clinicians from the
faculties and departments of NUS, NUS Medicine, and the National Uni-
versity Hospital in Singapore. They tirelessly push the boundaries in
health care to improve patients’ lives. We are fortunate to reside within
one of the few ecosystems in the world that seamlessly integrates e very
domain that is essential to realizing health care impact at scale and the
257
258 Acknowledgments
Type 1: Capability of AI
Type 1 classifies AI according to its capabilities and encompasses three
categories: artificial narrow intelligence (ANI), artificial general intelli-
gence (AGI), and artificial super intelligence (ASI). ANI, also referred to as
weak AI, describes AI that powers a machine to perform a particu lar task
but does not enable the machine to have decision-making capacity, and the
259
Type 1: Strong Al
Capability (Artificial General Intelligence)
Super Al
(Artificial Super Intelligence)
Artificial Intelligence
Reactive Al
Limited Memory Al
Type 2:
Functionality
Theory of Mind Al
Self-Aware Al
Figure A.1. Hierarchy of AI. Source: Adapted by permission from Springer Nature:
Zelinka et al., “Artificial Intelligence in Astrophysics,” 3
Weak AI
AI technologies that are commercialized or used in research t oday largely
fall within the category of weak AI. Weak AI is widely leveraged in commer-
cial applications, science, business, and health care. Its most common use is
in programming machines to recognize commands and return searchable
information or to detect patterns in data and classify new data accordingly.
Virtual assistants such as Apple’s Siri, Amazon’s Alexa, and Microsoft’s
Cortana are good examples of this. T hese voice-activated devices “listen”
for what they are “taught” to recognize, classify those cues, and then
produce a more or less accurate response. For instance, when you ask Alexa
260 Appendix A
Strong AI
The next evolutionary stage of AI is the category of strong AI. Strong AI
could endow machines with human-level intelligence but currently only
exists in theory. This category of AI describes the hypothetical intelligence
of a computer program that has the capacity to undertake any intellectual
task a h uman can, such as reasoning, solving puzzles, making judgements,
planning, learning, and communicating, as well as possessing conscious-
ness, objective thoughts, self-awareness, and sentience. In contrast to weak
AI, strong AI does not follow specific cues or commands to respond but
instead processes the data with grouping and association rules to generate
an independent and unpredictable response. What this means in practice is
that t here isn’t a set of predefined responses the machine can choose from
and reply with, which is essentially what Alexa and its peers do. Instead, it
Super AI
The third category of AI is super AI. This is the kind of AI that most people
think of when they talk about robots taking over the world—a common
plotline in science fiction movies and books. In t hese fictional scenarios, AI
surpasses h uman intelligence and ability. Again, super AI is purely specula-
tive at this point and w ill most likely remain an element of science fiction
for the foreseeable f uture.
Type 2: Functionality of AI
Type 2 classifies AI according to its functionalities and has four categories:
reactive AI, limited memory AI, theory of mind AI, and self-aware AI.
While this grouping is independent from the grouping based on capabili-
ties of AI, the functionalities have similar underlying logic and applica-
tions. T
hese four categories of AI are described in more detail below.
Reactive AI
Reactive AI, as the name suggests, has the functionality to “react” to a given
situation and context by doing exactly what it has been programmed to do.
This type of AI cannot form memories or use past experiences to make
decisions. As a result, it does not learn and evolve and is therefore the most
basic type of AI. The most well-known example of reactive AI is the super-
computer Deep Blue created by IBM that was programmed to play chess and
challenge Garry Kasparov, the world chess champion, in 1996 and 1997.2
L imited Memory AI
The functionality of limited memory AI is what the term implies—a
machine that has the capability to retain some information that it has
learned or observed and to use it in conjunction with preprogrammed data.
With this functionality, machines can observe the environment, detect
patterns or changes, and respond accordingly. They do so by applying
previous training on data from big datasets that are stored in the machine’s
262 Appendix A
Theory of Mind AI
Theory of mind AI describes a theoretical AI functionality whereby
machines have decision-making capabilities that are equivalent to h uman
decision-making. With this functionality, machines would be able to un-
derstand and remember not just situations but also emotions and adjust
their behavior just as h
umans do in diff erent social interactions and
contexts. While researchers and scientists are making tremendous leaps
in developing theory of mind AI, we are still some time away from seeing
it in practice. T
here are, however, two well-known sociable robots, Kis-
met, developed by Dr. Cynthia Breazeal from Massachusetts Institute of
Technology in the late 1990s, and Sophia, developed by Hanson Robotics
in 2016, that have been developed using elements of theory of mind AI.
Self-Aware AI
Like theory of mind AI, self-aware AI currently only exists in theory and is
imagined as an extension of theory of mind AI. Self-aware AI machines
would not only be able to recognize and replicate h uman actions but also
think for themselves, form their own desires, and understand their own
feelings. This would be the most complex type of AI and—like super AI—
at present exists only in the realm of science fiction. It is unknown if and
when h umans w ill be capable of developing machines with self-aware AI
functionalities.
Subsets of AI
Now that we have a brief and general understanding of the two types of AI
and their subcategories, let’s have a look at the different subsets of AI in order
to complete our picture of what AI is and how it can be applied, particularly
with respect to DTx. These subsets of AI are loosely categorized by the type of
analytical method or algorithm used to achieve their respective AI capability
and functionality. Figure A.2 illustrates how the subsets of AI relate to each
other and what applications they encompass. Machine learning (ML), and its
own subset, deep learning (DL), are the most common applications of AI
within a health care context and have the potential to be leveraged into DTx.
Figure A.2. Different subsets of AI. Source: Adapted from Zaleha H et al., “Intelligent
Locking System Using Deep Learning for Autonomous Vehicle in Internet of T
hings,” 568
Machine Learning
Within the overarching universe of AI, machine learning is its first and
most common subset. Its foundational purpose is to “teach” computers
how to learn without the necessity to be programmed for specific tasks. To
achieve this, the machines are fed data and equipped with an algorithm
that enables them to learn from the data and then use the insights to make
predictions or other intelligent decisions. In ML models, the data input can
be anything from numbers, to words, to images, to sounds, to even clicks.
Most applications of AI t oday use machine learning in some shape or form.
Delving further, t here are three approaches of machine learning, based
on the expected input and output of the underlying algorithm: supervised
learning, unsupervised learning, and reinforcement learning. An AI model
using supervised learning relies on previously labeled data with the aim of
calculating and predicting an outcome. By comparison, an AI model using
unsupervised learning is trained on unlabeled data and without any
guidance with the aim of discovering underlying patterns. Lastly, an AI
model using reinforcement learning works by interacting with its environ-
ment, with no predefined labeled or unlabeled data, with the aim of
inferring on its own a series of actions and, as the name suggests, reinforc-
ing that learning through f uture iterations. The choice of one or another of
these ML types depends on the problem to be solved.
Deep Learning
Deep learning is one of the most rapidly developing subsets of machine
learning and AI t oday. It describes a machine’s capability to mimic the
workings of the h uman brain and perform human-l ike tasks without
human input. This subset of machine learning is based on a neural network
264 Appendix A
Augmenting Diagnostics
One of the most widely used AI applications in clinical settings is diagnos-
tics, where they are deployed to sift through electronic health record data or
medical scans and discard instances in which t here are no signs of disease,
as well as provide further detail in cases where t here may be a basis for
concern. In d oing so, such applications both save time for busy clinicians
and reduce h uman error that may occur by inadvertently overlooking
problematic cases. In other scenarios, ML and DL algorithms are leveraged
to analyze patient clinical data—such as vital signs, symptoms, images, and
other test results—w ith the aim of predicting probable diagnoses and
outcomes. This is made possible by having previously trained the algo-
rithms to analyze patterns in large patient datasets and to predict suscepti-
bility to developing specific diseases based on t hose patterns, some of which
may be too subtle for clinicians to recognize. Another application of AI in
the context of diagnostics involves training algorithms to recognize
anomalies—such as tumors in biopsies and various imaging modalities. In
fact, a recent review identified t hese AI technologies to have similar or
better accuracy than trained clinicians in detecting disease from medical
images.3 Some examples of AI platforms for augmenting diagnostics include
PathAI (https://w ww.pathai.com), Buoy Health (https://w ww.buoyhealth
.com), and BEHOLD.AI (https://behold.ai).
266 Appendix A
268 Appendix A
This appendix was coauthored with Dr. Geck Hong Yeo, research fellow
at the N.1 Institute for Health (N.1), and Matt Oon, CEO and founder of
Acceset, a Singapore-based social enterprise. Acceset aims to transform
the management of m ental health care through an anonymous text-based
therapy involving trained volunteers overseen by licensed therapists and
psychiatrists. The teams at WisDM and N.1 have been working with Acceset
to develop prospective protocols to validate, through qualitative and quantitative
research, the use of its technology to provide emotional support to Singaporean
youths struggling with anxiety and/or depression.
270
272 Appendix B
274 Appendix B
Conclusion
By translating theoretical and empirical research into the conceptualization,
design, operationalization, and real-world application of DTx, DTx entrepre-
neurs can efficiently and effectively leverage technology to improve the m ental
health of young people and of society as a w hole. We therefore recommend
exploring the role of evidence-based theoretical frameworks as a guide to help
pinpoint features to incorporate in a given solution as well as clinical outcomes
to assess by way of providing evidence for the effectiveness of that solution.
Therefore, in the design stage, we encourage you to think about t hese next
questions as key pointers in applying an EBTF in the design of your solution:
1. What does the evidence-based theory specify to be an effective
component or “active ingredient” of the intervention?
2. What are the key characteristics or features of the solution that
function as the intervention for the gap you are addressing?
3. How do t hese defining characteristics of the solution map onto the
effective components or active ingredients specified by the theory?
4. What are the underlying operating principles, assumptions, and
relations between the effective components or active ingredients
outlined by the evidence-based theory?
5. How does this evidence-based theory explain how different effective
components or active ingredients of your solution interact with one
another in producing an effect to function as an intervention?
The application of an evidence-based theoretical framework should not be
l imited to the conceptualization of your solution but also considered for its
operationalization, as we discuss in Part III of the book.
276 Appendix B
Adler, Nancy E., and Ann E. K. Page, eds. Cancer Care for the Whole Patient:
Meeting Psychosocial Health Needs. Washington, DC: National Academies
Press, 2008. https://w ww.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/ books/NBK4015.
Ahmad, Amar S., Nick Ormiston-Smith, and Peter D. Sasieni. “Trends in
the Lifetime Risk of Developing Cancer in G reat Britain: Comparison of
Risk for those Born from 1930 to 1960.” British Journal of Cancer 112,
no. 5 (2015): 943–47. https://doi.org/10.1038/ bjc.2014.606.
Ahuja, Abhimanyu S. “The Impact of Artificial Intelligence in Medicine on
the F uture Role of the Physician.” PeerJ 7 (2019): e7702. https://doi.org
/10.7717/peerj.7702.
Akili Interactive. “Akili and Shionogi Announce Strategic Partnership to
Develop and Commercialize Digital Therapeutics in Key Asian Markets.”
Press release, March 17, 2019. https://w ww.a kiliinteractive.com/news
-collection/a kili-and-shionogi-announce-strategic-partnership-to
-develop-and-commercialize-digital-therapeutics-in-key-asian-markets.
Akili Interactive. “Akili Announces FDA Clearance of EndeavorRx™ for
Children with ADHD, the First Prescription Treatment Delivered
through a Video Game.” Press release, June 15, 2020. https://w ww
.a kiliinteractive.com/news-collection/a kili-announces-endeavortm
-attention-treatment-is-now-available-for-children-w ith-attention
-deficit-hyperactivity-disorder-adhd-a l3pw.
Alagizy, H. A., M. R. Soltan, S. S. Soliman, N. N. Hegazy, and S. F. Gohar.
“Anxiety, Depression, and Perceived Stress among Breast Cancer
Patients: Single Institute Experience.” M iddle East Current Psychia-
try 27 (2020): 29. https://doi.org/10.1186/s43045- 020- 00036-x.
American Diabetes Association. “The Cost of Diabetes.” March 22, 2018.
https://w ww.diabetes.org /resources/statistics/cost-diabetes.
American Diabetes Association. “Insulin Myths and Facts.” Clinical Diabetes
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277
278 Bibliography
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290 Bibliography
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294 Bibliography
Bibliography 295
296 Bibliography
Bibliography 297
298 Bibliography
Bibliography 299
300 Bibliography
Bibliography 301
302 Bibliography
Bibliography 303
304 Bibliography
305
306 Index
Index 307
308 Index
Index 309
310 Index
Index 311
312 Index
Index 313
349-99188_Rothfels_ch01_3P.indd 6
About the Authors
Dean Ho
Provost’s Chair Professor, Director of the Institute for Digital Medicine (WisDM),
Director of the N.1 Institute for Health, and Head of the Department of Biomedical
Engineering at the National University of Singapore
Dean Ho and collaborators successfully developed and validated CURATE.
AI, a powerf ul artificial intelligence platform that personalizes h uman
treatment for a broad spectrum of indications ranging from oncology to
digital therapeutics and infectious diseases, among o thers.
Ho is an elected fellow of the National Academy of Inventors. He is also
a fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the
American Institute for Medical and Biological Engineering, and the Royal
Society of Chemistry. He was named to the Healthcare Information and
Management Systems Society’s Future50 Class of 2021 for his internation-
ally recognized contributions to digital health and is a subgroup lead in the
World Health Organization’s Working Group on Regulatory Considerations
for AI in Health.
Ho has appeared on the National Geographic Channel’s Known Universe
and Channel News Asia’s The Hidden Layer: Healthcare Trailblazers. His
discoveries have been featured on CNN and NPR and in the Economist,
Forbes, and the Washington Post, among other international news outlets.
He has also served as the president of the board of directors of the Society
Esmond Lim
Yoann Sapanel
Head of Health Innovation, the Institute for Digital Medicine (WisDM) at the
Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore
Yoann Sapanel, passionate about bridging the efficacy-effectiveness gap
for digital therapeutics, is an expert in medical technology development
driven by payer perspectives.
At WisDM, Sapanel aims to foster and accelerate cross-industry,
public–private collaborations to validate, implement, and scale pioneering
pharmacological and digital interventional technologies into the clinic. As
a member of the Singapore Health District initiative, he designs, evaluates,
and drives the implementation of technological solutions within the
community to support resident’s health through life stages.
Prior to that, Sapanel was the head of Health Partnerships at MetLife,
focusing on the development of new products and serv ices grounded in
technology and data for cancer, dementia, and cardiovascular diseases. In
that role, he led the implementation of the world’s first mobile, clinically
valid, neurocognitive assessment test and mobile app for improving brain
health in Japan.
Earlier, Sapanel led the Asia Pacific Center of Excellence for Business
Model Innovation at Medtronic, where he designed, executed, and scaled
the company’s first specialized clinic for the management of heart failure
patients. As program director for Medtronic Asia’s Value-Based Health
Care Council, he was instrumental in advancing the adoption of outcome-
Nicholas Brocklebank
Agata Blasiak
Research Assistant Professor and Head of Digital Health Innovation at the
Institute for Digital Medicine (WisDM) and the N.1 Institute for Health at the
National University Singapore
Agata Blasiak is a developer and implementer of digital health technolo-
gies. She has codeveloped several digital platforms for decentralized health
care that are in the process of being clinically validated and has collabo-
rated with leading health startup innovators. Beyond technical develop-
ment, Blasiak’s research areas of interest are behavioral and societal
aspects of digital health solutions as catalysts for the holistic translation of
inventions into innovations that have a positive impact on patients.
At WisDM and N.1, Blasiak’s work has focused on leveraging CURATE.AI
for personalized dosing in oncology. Her work has also harnessed IDentif.
AI—an AI platform for optimizing combination therapies for infectious
diseases—to rapidly pinpoint actionable drug combinations against
SARS-CoV-2 and other infectious diseases. She has received multiple
awards for her work, including MIT Technology Review recognition as a
member of the Innovators Under 35 Asia Pacific 2021.
Before venturing into the digital health space, Blasiak was a neuroengi-
neer researcher and focused her efforts on molecular neuroengineering and
developing neuroimplants. She holds a BScEng in biotechnology from
Warsaw University of Technology, Poland, and a PhD in bionano interac-
tions from University College Dublin, Ireland.