IDE204 - TimeGPT Generative AI For Time Series

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IDE204

TimeGPT: Generative AI
for time series

Azul Garza
(she/her)
CTO and Co-Founder
Nixtla

© 2023, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Chatgpt by

stable diffusion
by

TimeGPT by
Businesses don’t speak in
images or language; they
speak time series
We are building foundational
AI to understand, classify, and
predict time series
Time series research is
the systematic approach
to unveil the future
It enables anticipating
ocean tides or predicting
closing values of the
Dow Jones
Time series are the DNA
of finance, commerce,
energy, and technology
Nixtla created the most
comphrehensive time series
ecosystem in the world
We learned a lot.
But one insight
stood out.
Forecasting can be
extremely hard,
confusing, and
expensive
We like big problems
We love big solutions
Introducing TimeGPT-1
Generative AI for
Temporal Data
The first foundation
model for time series
TimeGPT-1
TimeGPT is more accurate
Orders of magnitude faster
Fine tunable in your
enterprise data
No machine learning
expertise needed
Simple
The future is for everybody
We launched the beta
8 weeks ago
More than 5,000 companies
signed up
Sectors: Tech, Consultancies,
Retail, Manufacturing,
Finance, Energy, Healthcare.
Some use cases:
Demand forecasting,
inventory management, waste
reduction, anomaly detection,
healthcare, iot, predictive
maintenance, finance, …
We got some unexpected
things too
Predicting circadian rhythms
of cattle and WWE audience
Let’s compare TimeGPT to
VertexAI
NYC Bike Trips: 383 time series
Performance Comparison
Model MSE MAE
TimeGPT (Nixtla) 24.68 20.40
Deep learning model 25.36 21.18
Statistical model 29.16 24.13
Conclusions
TimeGPT:

is 5% more accurate than deep learning model and 20% more accurate
than statistical model.

took 1.6 minutes against 4 hours of deep learning model .

deployment took less than an hour against 8 hours of deep learning model .

only takes two lines of code to be deployed in production.


Thank you! Please complete the session
survey in the mobile app

Go to nixtla.io/#timegpt and submit interest

© 2023, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

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