10 Ep 4 2012-11
10 Ep 4 2012-11
10 Ep 4 2012-11
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THREATS TO FOOD SECURITY AND COMMON AGRICULTURAL POLICY
Mariola Kwasek1
Summary
The aim of this article is presented threats to food security in the context of the CAP after
2013. The main threats to food security are (1) world population growth, (2) the increase
demand for food, (3) food price, (4) the disappearance of the variety of agricultural plant
species (4) the increase in the area of scarcity water and the limitation of the availability of
land and (5) the food losses and food waste. In the face of numerous threats to food security,
the European Union needs a strong Common Agricultural Policy, which could succeed in
feeding the constantly-growing population of a world. The reformed Common Agricultural
Policy should provide food security, not only for the European Union, but on a global scale.
Key words: food security, food safety, threats, Common Agricultural Policy.
JEL: Q56, Q18
Introduction
For centuries food security was interpreted as the possibility of providing food produced
in a given country in full or in the majority to satisfy the demands of all inhabitants. This
meaning of food security has changed, along with development of trade and international
specialty. The rapid growth in worldwide food production and free international trade has
enabled the countries with disadvantageous conditions to purchase the necessary food from
other markets. Access to food depended on incomes, and not national production. Financial
security prevailed over food security. This perspective was influenced by economists who
wanted to treat food and agrarian products just like other goods, and make the volume and
structure of domestic food production subordinate to market regulations and the comparative
costs rule. Only the global crisis in 2007/2008 renewed the debate on food security from the
household, national, regional (e.g. European Union) and global perspectives.
Food security may be achieved only with the simultaneous provision of economic and
social security, as well as maintenance of domestic production at a level ensuring food
accessibility and foreign trade or food reserves and the correct functioning of processing
and distribution. Food security results mainly from systemic and institutional solutions in
1 Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics – National Research Institute, General Economics
Department, Świętokrzyska Street 20, 00-002 Warsaw, E-mail: [email protected]
EP 2012 (59) 4 (701-713) 701
Mariola Kwasek
Food security
Food security is of fundamental importance for human existence. Food security exists
when all people, at all times, have physical, social and economic access to sufficient, safe
and nutritious food that meets their dietary needs and food preferences for an active and
healthy life2.
Food security is ensured when the following three conditions are simultaneously satisfied:
§ Physical food availability – it means that the national food economy ensures meeting
of at least the minimum physiological demand, and imports provide foods in excess
of this minimum demand; the physical availability of food is linked with the need to
maintain food reserves.
§ Economical food availability – it means that the economically weakest households
have access to essential food (due to different types of food aid); a consumer has to
have the purchasing power facilitating the purchase of the essential goods and services
on the market; the purchasing power of a consumer on the food market depends on:
income and food prices as well as the prices of other goods and services.
§ The health value of a single food product (food products free of any substances
harmful to health, e.g. residues of pesticides, antibiotics, dioxins, and harmful
colorants, as well as poisonous substances and pathogenic microorganisms) and
consumer food rations (balanced food rations, e.g. the necessary energy level and
the adequate proportions of nutritive components dependent on age, sex and type
of work)3.
Food safety is an integral part of food security. For the consumer, food safety is the most
important feature of food quality; therefore food law regulates this issue in detail providing
the consumer with the certainty that the purchased food is compliant with his safety
requirements.
2 FAO (2009). The State of Food Insecurity in the World 2009. Economic crises – impacts and
lesson learned. Rome.
3 J. Małysz (2008): Bezpieczeństwo żywnościowe strategiczną potrzebą ludzkości, ALMAMER,
Warszawa.
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THREATS TO FOOD SECURITY AND COMMON AGRICULTURAL POLICY
Codex Alimentarius4 plays an important role in measures ensuring the food safety and
define it as the guarantee that food shall not bring any harm to the consumer’s health if it
is prepared and/or consumed according to the identified purpose.
Food affairs that have taken place at the turn of the 20-21st century, and in recent years
(e.g. mad cow disease, foot-and-mouth disease, glycol in wines, dioxins in fodder and
food, melamine in milk, contamination of cucumbers with mutated E.coli bacteria– EHEC,
industrial salt used in food production) have alerted the European consumer with regards to
all aspects of food quality and safety.
Raised awareness of health threats and food safety among European consumers meant
that satisfying constantly-increasing expectations in this field should be one of the most
important challenges faced by the agrarian production and food industry.
In the European Union, supervision and control over food safety is performed by the Food
and Veterinary Office being a part of Directorate-General for Health and Consumers (DG
SANCO). There are different supervision systems of food quality and safety in individual
Member States of the European Union.
4 The Codex Alimentarius is the most important international organisation dealing with food
safety, consumers’ health and the ensuring of fair practices in food trading. It was founded in
1963 under the Common Programme for Food Standards established by Food and Agriculture
Organisation of the United Nations – FAO, and World Health Organization – WHO.
5 www.census.gov/main/www/popclock.html
EP 2012 (59) 4 (701-713) 703
Mariola Kwasek
Source: International Population Reports WP/02. Global Population Profile: 2002 (2004), U.S.
Government Printing Office, Washington, DC.
In 2025, the number of inhabitants of Asia will reach 4.4 bln (nearly 1.5 bln in China, and
1.4 bln in India), and 1.3 bln in Africa, including over a billion in Sub-Saharan Africa.
The population of Europe will increase to 814 mln, Latin America and Caribbean up
to 690 mln, North America to 388 mln, the Middle East to 280 mln, North Africa up to
211 mln, and Oceania to 40 mln6.
The rapid growth of the world’s population resulting mainly from the high birth rate in
the developing countries, mostly African as well as in some countries of Asia and South
America, means that feeding the population is one of the most important issues in the
modern world. There are serious disproportions in the level of nutrition of the world’s
inhabitants resulting from the uneven distribution of food production (the largest areas of
food demand are not the same as the largest areas of food production) and inadequate
distribution of food, as well as improper political and institutional solutions. It should be
emphasized that climate change causing droughts, floods and other disasters will have a
disadvantageous impact on global food production ability7.
6 International Population Reports WP/02. Global Population Profile: 2002 (2004), U.S.
Government Printing Office, Washington, DC.
7 According to the FAO, 370 million people will be threatened with hunger at the beginning of
2150’s if new land is not immediately implanted with agricultural crops.
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THREATS TO FOOD SECURITY AND COMMON AGRICULTURAL POLICY
2796 kcal daily by each inhabitant of the Earth. However due to unequal access to food,
25% of the world’s population is undernourished, and 10% is starving.
The level of food consumption is strongly related to external environment (the economy).
The higher the level of economic development, the higher the level of food consumption.
Global economic growth results in: increased wealth of the global population, higher demand
of food, and changes in consumption patterns dominated by the consumption of animal
products, especially meat and meat products.
Source: FAOSTAT.
The exact functioning of this mechanism is illustrated by an example the Chinese getting
rich. In 1983-2009, an increase in the consumption of the majority of food products was
observed in China (tab. 1). The consumption of vegetables was the highest (nearly 5 times
higher – up to the level of 321,5 kg per capita/year), and fruit (over 7 times higher – up to the
level of 72,3 kg per capita/year). In the group of animal products, the highest consumption
was related to meat (3.6 higher – up to 58,2 kg per capita/year), fish and seafood (over 5,3
times more – up to the level 31 kg) and milk and diary products (over 7.8 times higher – up
to the level 29,8 kg.
The growth of wealth in developing countries will result in increase demand for food,
including animal products. The higher demand for animal products is particularly disturbing,
because for every ton produced of meat falls to 20 tons of fodder, based mainly on cereals
meat. If global meat consumption is not reduced in the next several decades, we shall be faced
EP 2012 (59) 4 (701-713) 705
Mariola Kwasek
with a global food crisis threatening food security8. The World Bank forecasts that global
demand for food will rise by 50% and for meat by 85%, by 20309.
Food prices
Global food crisis that began with the sudden increase in food prices all over the world at
turn of 2007/ 2008 resulted in an increase in the costs of food product imports (especially in
developing countries dependent on import), and had catastrophic effects on the household
budgets. The increase in prices is being felt the most by the millions of the poorest people. It is
estimated that global food prices can increase by 70-90% by the year 2030, and that’s without
calculating the impact of climate change, which could cause prices to double10.
The food crisis played its part in the increase in the number of undernourished people all
over the world. In 2009, the number of undernourished people exceeded 1 billion11. Why is
it then that in a world where enough food is produced to feed all its inhabitants, one person
out of 7 suffers hunger? Such a large number of undernourished people are blighting the
hope of reaching the first of the Millennium Development Goals – eliminating extreme
poverty and hunger.
Source: FAO (2012): The State of Food Insecurity in the World. Economic growth is necessary
but not sufficient to accelerate reduction of hunger and malnutrition. Rome.
*
projections
On one hand, there is the growing number of undernourished people, while on the other,
the obese, whose number is estimated at around a billion. The worldwide problem of
obesity is connected not only with changes in lifestyle (sedentary way of living, improper
dietary habits, low physical activity, stress), but also with the increase in food prices and its
correlation to nutritive value of food and production costs12.
12 A. Drewnowski (2010): The cost of US foods as related to their nutritive value, Journal of Clinical
Nutrition, 92(5).
13 J. Cotter, R. Tirado (2008): Food Security and Climate Change: The answer is biodiversity,
Greenpeace, United Kingdom.
EP 2012 (59) 4 (701-713) 707
Mariola Kwasek
Source: Giovannucci D., Scherr S., Nierenberg D., Hebebrand Ch., Shapiro J., Milder J., Wheeler
K. (2012): Food and Agriculture: the future of sustainability, A strategic input to the Sustainable
Development in the 21st Century (SD21) project, New York.
The demand for water is growing at an alarming rate due to the larger number of people in
the world. The increase in the demand for water is also a result of changes in consumption
patterns, as well as increases in energy production, especially biofuels. The most water is used
by the inhabitants of Asia, where the population is growing at the quickest rate. For example,
a Chinese inhabitant in 1961 consumed only 4 kg of meat and meat products per capita/year,
in 1983 – 16 kg, while in 2009 as much as 58 kg. It is important to note that the production of
1 kg of beef requires 15 500 litres of water, 1 kg of poultry – 3 900 litres, 1 kg of eggs – 3 300
litres, and 1 kg of wheat – 1 300 litres14.
According to the FAO, the main factor limiting the increase in the production of food all
over the world is water. Agriculture utilises 70% of global resources of fresh water, and
climate changes further aggravate this problem.
A significant increase in demand for food must be met based on the diminishing resources
will not only water but also land. Due to the of soil erosion, depletion of nutrients,
infrastructure development and urbanization of agricultural land area is decreasing. With
so much population growth projected to 2050 will need it to feed on smaller and smaller
area of agricultural land.
The projected level of agricultural land in 2030 will amount to less than 0.22 ha/person
(now an inhabitant of 0.27 ha). The increase in agricultural production must therefore result
from improvements in productivity.
14 Growing a Better Future. Food justice in a resource – constrained world (2011): Oxfam
International.
15 FAO (2011): Global Food Losses and Food Waste, Rome.
EP 2012 (59) 4 (701-713) 709
Mariola Kwasek
The Common Food Policy after 2013 and food security issues
The Common Food Policy is one of the key policies of the European Union, which is
constantly evolving. Just fifty years ago its main goal was the guarantee of the necessary
amount of food for the European inhabitants struggling with the post-war food shortage.
That goal was achieved. However, its side-effect was the overproduction of food.
In the nineties of XX century, one of the most important aims of the Common Agricultural
Policy was the elimination of the production surplus and the increase in the quality
of agricultural and food products, as well as environmental protection. The causes of
the divergence from intensive agriculture to the multi-functional development of the
rural areas were, among others, (1) the overproduction of food, (2) the degradation
of the natural environment caused by chemisation and mechanisation of agriculture,
(3) the depopulation of rural areas, and (4) the crisis caused by mad-cow disease. The
counteraction against those trends was included in the Maastricht Treaty of 1992, in
which the European Union adopted regulations promoting the production of high-quality
food rooted in the environment and tradition.
Currently, the main aim of the Common Agricultural Policy is not only providing enough
food, but also the high-quality food produced in a sustainable manner and in accordance
with the requirements in the fields of environmental protection, water resources, the health
and well-being of animals, the health of plants and public health, all of which simultaneously
guarantee stable agricultural incomes.
The Common Agricultural Policy, with a perspective reaching the year 2020, will be
directed towards raising the competitiveness of European agriculture and the guarantee
of food security, simultaneously promoting high-quality food products, environmental
protection and the development of rural areas.
Food security is becoming a more prominently raised topic during the discussion on the
future of the CAP. This is shown by the Resolution of the European Parliament of 18 January
2011 on recognising agriculture as a strategic sector in the context of food security16. The
Resolution states that, among others:
§ The right to food security is a basic human right and the European Union has a duty to
feed its inhabitants.
§ The guaranteeing an adequate supply of food is an essential component of food security.
§ Supports the formula Food Security – Nutrition – Quality – Proximity – Innovation –
Productivity; believes that in order to achieve this the future CAP should take note of
the public expectations that it should be both an agricultural and a food policy geared
to providing public information about a healthy diet (for example, the realisation of
nutrition programmes such as School Fruit and School Milk in the Member States).
§ The increased drive to develop renewable energy sources must take into account the
Conclusion
In a situation where the global population is growing, as is the global demand for food,
the European Union, as the largest economy and the biggest assistance provider in the
world, may help satisfy that demand. Therefore it is crucial to maintain and improve the
agricultural production capability of the EU and, at the same time, respect the obligations
of the European Union arising from international trade agreements and policy coherence
for development. A strong agricultural sector is necessary for a competitive food industry.
The agriculture of the European Union will not only have to provide more food, but also
improve food quality in conditions of aggravating climate changes (droughts, floods),
the decreased availability of water and land, the disappearance of biodiversity, new plant
and animal diseases, increasing speculation on the markets of agricultural resources, the
growing disproportions in the rate of the natural population growth on the global scale and
the growing requirements of consumers in the area of food safety and food security.
The pursuit of higher quality constitutes an important element of the strategy of the
agriculture and food sector of the EU on the global market, in order to maintain the high level
of competitiveness. High-quality European food is the main principle of the agriculture of
the European Union and plays a key role in the creation of the cultural identity of countries
and regions.
The priority of the Common Agricultural Policy should be the improvement in the efficiency
of agriculture in the EU, while simultaneously improving environmental standards. In this
manner the European Union will guarantee the food self-sufficiency and increase its input
into global food security.
References
1. Cotter, J., Tirado, R. (2008): Food Security and Climate Change: The answer is
biodiversity, Greenpeace, United Kingdom.
2. Drewnowski, A. (2010): The cost of US foods as related to their nutritive value, Journal
of Clinical Nutrition, 92(5).
3. Evans, A. (2009): The Feeding of the Nine Billion. Global Food Security for the 21st
Century. Chatham House, London.
4. FAO (2012): The State of Food Insecurity in the World. Economic growth is necessary
but not sufficient to accelerate reduction of hunger and malnutrition. Rome.
5. FAO (2011): Global Food Losses and Food Waste. Rome.
6. FAO (2010): The State of Food Insecurity in the world. Addressing food insecurity in
protracted crises. Rome.
7. FAO (2009): The State of Food Insecurity In the World 2009. Economic crises – impacts
and lesson learned. Rome.
8. Giovannucci, D., Scherr, S., Nierenberg, D., Hebebrand, Ch., Shapiro, J., Milder, J.,
Wheeler, K. (2012): Food and Agriculture: the future of sustainability. A strategic input
to the Sustainable Development in the 21st Century (SD21) project. New York.
9. Growing a Better Future. Food justice in a resource – constrained world (2011), Oxfam
International.
10. International Population Reports WP/02. Global Population Profile: 2002 (2004), U.S.
Government Printing Office, Washington, DC.
11. Małysz, J. (2008): Bezpieczeństwo żywnościowe strategiczną potrzebą ludzkości.
ALMAMER, Warszawa.
12. Świerczyńska, U. (2008): Przyczyny światowego kryzysu żywnościowego oraz jego
wpływ na najbiedniejsze kraje świata [w:] Globalne ocieplenie i kryzys żywnościowy.
Fundacja Polskie Centrum Pomocy Międzynarodowej, Warszawa.
13. The Resolution of the European Parliament of 18 January 2011 on the recognition of
agriculture as a strategic sector in the context of food security (2010/2112(INI)).
14. www.census.gov/main/www/popclock.html
15. www.faostat.fao.org/site/368/default.aspx#ancor
CONTENT
2. Nešković Slobodan
AN AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AS A SIGNFICANT AREA
OF A STATEGY OF ECONOMY DIPLOMACY OF SERBIA . . . . . . . . . 589
8. Janković Dejan
TERRITORIAL APPROACH TO REGIONAL
RURAL DEVELOPMENT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 675
9. Krstić Snežana, Vukša Slavko, Andžić Slobodan
THE ROLE OF THE NATIONAL BANK IN CREATION
OF PUBLIC DEBT OF INDEPENDENT KINGDOM OF SERBIA . . . . 687