Adfm Project I
Adfm Project I
Adfm Project I
BRITANNIA
INDUSTRIES
LIMITED
PREPARED BY
GROUP 7
Table of Contents
01 About Us
02 Acknowledgment
03 why Britannia?
07 Valuations
08 Regards
FINANCIAL REPORT
MEET
US
BHAVYA RAJPURIA
DIVIDEND POLICY & REPORT
LIPIKA KASHYAP
WORKING CAPITAL MANAGMENT
& REPORT
PRAPTI KAVTHANKAR
DIVIDEND POLICY & REPORT
SHAUN CARDOZA
COMPANY PROFILE
VIVEK BANSAL
WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
& REPORT
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Weaknesses
Dependency in dairy procurement and manufacturing
through co-packers
Dependency on bakery and biscuit segment
Insufficient Turnover with the dairy segment
Opportunities
Continued investment in a developing country with
an ever-growing competitive market
Opportunity to capture market share in organized
dairy industry
Use of new technological resources
Setting up facilities to achieve self-dependency in
production
Exploring the growing segment of health conscious
consumers
Threats
New Giant Entrant in the market
Continued rising prices of input due to international
issues
Expectation of growth rate cut due to external
factors on emerging markets
FINANCIAL REPORT
PESTLE ANALYSIS
POLITICAL FACTORS
ECONOMIC FACTORS
SOCIAL FACTORS
PESTLE ANALYSIS
TECHNICAL FACTORS:
FMCG FIRMS LIKE BRITANNIA ARE WELL-POSITIONED THANKS TO THE
DEVELOPMENT OF DIGITAL TECHNOLOGIES SUCH AS ARTIFICIAL
INTELLIGENCE (AI), COGNITIVE INTELLIGENCE,
AND THE PRACTICAL SMARTPHONE TREND. ONLINE PURCHASING AND
SELLING OF CONSUMER ITEMS IS CATCHING UP AS E-COMMERCE WEBSITES
AND APPLICATIONS DRAW A LARGE NUMBER OF POTENTIAL AND CURRENT
CUSTOMERS.
IT HAS A COMPETITIVE EDGE OVER OTHER COMPANIES BY OFFERING
PRODUCT BUNDLING ON E-COMMERCE PLATFORMS BECAUSE OF ITS DIVERSE
AND EXPANDING RANGE OF GOODS, WHICH INCLUDES BISCUITS, BREAD,
CAKES, RUSKS, DAIRY, AND MORE. TECHNOLOGY IS REALLY HELPING THE
FIRM EXPAND AND REACH A LARGER TARGET MARKET WHILE MAKING
SIGNIFICANT REVENUES.
LEGAL FACTORS:
IT MAY BE INFLUENCED BY A VARIETY OF LEGAL ISSUES IN ANY COUNTRY
WHERE IT CONDUCTS BUSINESS. THE BUSINESS MAY BE IMPACTED BY
SEVERAL VARIABLES, SUCH AS THE LENGTH OF LEGAL PROCESSES AND THE
DELAY IN TIMELY ENFORCING RULES.
EVEN THE COUNTRY'S LAWS GOVERNING MONOPOLIES AND RESTRICTIVE
TRADE PRACTICES ARE IMPORTANT AND CAN PRESENT BOTH
OPPORTUNITIES AND THREATS IN DIVERSE WAYS.
BRITANNIA MAY BE IMPACTED BY CONSUMER PROTECTION LAWS AND EVEN
INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHTS PROTECTION. FMCG FIRMS MAY BE
INFLUENCED BY CONSUMER PETITIONS AND SEVERAL OTHER LEGAL
CHALLENGES FROM THE GOVERNMENT. LEGAL RESTRICTIONS ON THE
OPERATIONAL LEVEL PLANS ARE NECESSARY FOR BRITANNIA TO CONTINUE
OPERATING.
ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS
ENVIRONMENTAL ORGANISATIONS LIKE NGT AND OTHERS FREQUENTLY
SCRUTINISE BUSINESSES FOR ANTI-ENVIRONMENTAL PRACTICES THAT
CAUSE ENVIRONMENTAL DISRUPTION. CUSTOMER ACTIVISM IS ALSO HAVING
A NEGATIVE IMPACT ON CORPORATE OPERATIONS AND OUTPUT.
MANY NATIONS DO NOT PERMIT THE USE OF PLASTIC FOR PRODUCT
PACKAGING. THIS OCCASIONALLY RESULTS IN EXCESSIVE COSTS AND
EVENTUALLY HAS AN IMPACT ON THE SALES AND REVENUES OF THE
COMPANY.
FINANCIAL REPORT
COMPANY PROFILE
BRITANNIA INDUSTRIES
LIMITED
BRITANNIA INDUSTRIES LIMITED (BIL) IS ONE OF INDIA'S LEADING FMCG COMPANIES.
FOUNDED IN 1892 AND HEADQUARTERED IN KOLKATA, IT IS ONE OF INDIA'S OLDEST
EXISTING COMPANIES AND BEST KNOWN FOR ITS BISCUIT AND BAKERY PRODUCTS. A
BRAND THAT MANY GENERATIONS OF INDIANS HAVE GROWN UP WITH, CHERISHED
AND LOVED IN INDIA AND THE WORLD OVER.
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
FMCG STANDS FOR ‘FAST-MOVING-CONSUMER-GOODS’. THESE ITEMS HAVE A
RELATIVELY SHORTER SHELF LIFE WITH A HIGH TURNOVER, AND CONSUMERS
PURCHASE THEM AT REGULAR INTERVALS. THE FMCG SECTOR IS INDIA’S FOURTH-
LARGEST SECTOR WITH HOUSEHOLD AND PERSONAL CARE ACCOUNTING FOR 50% OF
FMCG SALES IN INDIA. GROWING AWARENESS, EASIER ACCESS, AND CHANGING
LIFESTYLES HAVE BEEN THE KEY GROWTH DRIVERS FOR THE SECTOR. THE FMCG
MARKET REACHED US$ 110 BILLION IN 2020. THE MARKET IS EXPECTED TO REACH US$
220 BILLION BY 2025.
FOOD AND BEVERAGE, HEALTHCARE AND HOUSEHOLD AND PERSONAL CARE ARE THE
MAIN CATERING SEGMENTS OF FMCG IN INDIA. THE URBAN SEGMENT (WHICH
ACCOUNTS FOR A REVENUE SHARE OF AROUND 55%) IS THE LARGEST CONTRIBUTOR
TO THE OVERALL REVENUE GENERATED BY THE FMCG SECTOR IN INDIA. SEMI-URBAN
AND RURAL SEGMENTS ARE GROWING AT A RAPID PACE AND FMCG PRODUCTS
ACCOUNT FOR 50% OF THE TOTAL RURAL SPENDING. RURAL CONSUMPTION OF
BRANDED PRODUCTS HAS INCREASED, LED BY A COMBINATION OF THE INCREASE IN
INCOME AND HIGHER ASPIRATION LEVELS HOWEVER, IN THE LAST FEW YEARS, THE
FMCG MARKET HAS GROWN AT A FASTER PACE IN RURAL INDIA COMPARED TO URBAN
INDIA.
INDIA’S INCREASING INTERNET PENETRATION AND RISING DIGITAL MATURITY ALONG
WITH DEVELOPING INFRASTRUCTURE HAVE HELPED BOOST ONLINE TRANSACTIONS.
MANY FMCG BRANDS PARTNER WITH E-COMMERCE PLATFORMS SUCH AS DUNZO,
FLIPKART, GROFERS, AND BIGBASKET TO DELIVER PRODUCTS TO THE DOORSTEP OF
CONSUMERS DURING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC. THE E-COMMERCE SHARE OF TOTAL
FMCG SALES IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE BY 11% BY 2030. GROWTH IN MODERN RETAIL
HAS AUGMENTED THE GROWTH OF THE ORGANIZED FMCG SECTOR. INFRASTRUCTURE
LIKE MEGA FOOD PARK PROJECTS AND FOOD LABS HAS ATTRACTED INVESTMENT IN
THIS SECTOR. GOVERNMENT-APPROVED SCHEMES HAVE AIDED THE FOOD
PROCESSING INDUSTRY, ESTABLISHING HIGH GROWTH POTENTIAL, IMPROVED EXPORT
CAPABILITIES, AND SIZEABLE EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN THE COUNTRY.
OVER THE PAST 2 DECADES, THE FMCG INDUSTRY HAS UNDERGONE A REMARKABLE
TRANSFORMATION AND IS ESTIMATED TO BE THE FOURTH LARGEST SECTOR IN INDIA.
AS PER REPORTS BY CRISIL, THE SECTOR IS SET FOR DOUBLE-DIGIT GROWTH IN 2022
AT 10-12 PER CENT. AT PRESENT. HERE ARE SOME OF THE DRIVING FACTORS THAT
WILL PLAY AN IMPORTANT ROLE IN THE GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT OF THE SECTOR
IN FY23:
GOVERNMENT INITIATIVES
FINANCIAL REPORT
COMPETITORS
ANALYSIS
7,50,000
5,00,000
2,50,000
0
HUL Nestle Dabur Godrej Britannia
POLICY &
REGULATORY
FRAMEWORK
AS PER MOFPI
3. The Goods and Services Tax (GST) is beneficial for the FMCG industry as
many of the FMCG products such as soap, toothpaste and hair oil now come
under the 18% tax bracket against the previous rate of 23-24%. Also, GST on
food products and hygiene products has been reduced to 0-5% and 12-18%
respectively.
FINANCIAL REPORT
POLICY AND REGULATORY
FRAMEWORK
6. The sector always faced a challenge due to high logistics costs and inefficient supply
chains, which resulted in higher operating costs for the sector. The Prime Minister's Gati
Shakti vision of transforming the logistics space will be quite beneficial for the consumer,
retail and the e-commerce sector. GST is expected to transform logistics in the FMCG
sector into a modern and efficient model as all major corporations are remodelling their
operations into larger logistics and warehousing.
7. India is one of the largest importers of vegetable oil. The launch of a comprehensive
scheme for Oilseeds will increase the domestic production of oilseeds and will result in
reduced dependence on imports, thus, making the F&B sector more resilient.
The implementation of these initiatives will help the consumer and retail sector in
achieving its growth initiatives.
FINANCIAL REPORT
FINANCIAL REPORT
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
STRUCTURE
BRITANNIA CONSIDERS GOOD CORPORATE GOVERNANCE A PRE-REQUISITE
FOR MEETING THE NEEDS AND ASPIRATIONS OF ITS STAKEHOLDERS AND
FIRMLY BELIEVES THAT THE SAME CAN BE ACHIEVED BY MAINTAINING
TRANSPARENCY IN ITS DEALINGS, CREATING ROBUST POLICIES AND
PRACTICES, EFFECTIVE PROCESSES AND SYSTEMS WITH CLEAR
ACCOUNTABILITY, INTEGRITY, TRANSPARENCY GOVERNANCE PRACTICES AND
THE HIGHEST STANDARDS OF GOVERNANCE.
DIVIDEND POLICY
BRITANNIA INDUSTRIES BOARD HAS APPROVED ISSUING BONUS
DEBENTURES AND PAYMENT OF DIVIDENDS TO REWARD ITS
SHAREHOLDERS IN COVID TIMES. ELABORATING ON THE RATIONALE
BEHIND THE STEPS, BRITANNIA INDUSTRIES SAID UPON TAKING INTO
CONSIDERATION ITS CAPABILITY TO GENERATE STRONG CASH FLOW AND
THE ACCUMULATED PROFITS BEING MORE THAN WHAT IS NEEDED TO
FUND ITS FUTURE GROWTH.
FINANCIAL REPORT
DIVIDEND POLICY
BRITANNIA INDUSTRIES HAD LAST SPLIT THE FACE VALUE OF ITS SHARES
FROM RS 2 TO RS 1 IN 2018.
THE SHARE HAS BEEN QUOTED ON AN EX-SPLIT BASIS FROM NOVEMBER 29,
2018. BRITANNIA INDUSTRIES GAVE THE APPROVAL TO SHARE SPLIT IN A 1:2
RATIO TO INCREASE STOCK LIQUIDITY AND AFFORDABILITY FOR SMALL RETAIL
INVESTORS. THE SHARES WITH RS 2 OF FACE VALUE WILL BE SPLIT INTO TWO
EQUITY SHARES OF RS 1 EACH.
FINANCIAL REPORT
DIVIDEND POLICY
THE GRAPH SHOWS THE DPS OF BRITANNIA FROM THE DATA COLLECTED FROM THE YEAR FY
2012-13 TILL FY 2021-22. IT CAN BE OBSERVED FROM THE GRAPH THAT BRITANNIA HAS SEEN A
STEADY INCREASE IN ITS DIVIDEND THROUGH THE YEARS AND A SHARP RISE IN DIVIDENDS IN
YEARS 2021-22 DUE TO THE SPECIAL AND INTERIM DIVIDEND ANNOUNCED IN THE YEAR. THE
COMPANY IS OF THE VIEW THAT THESE EXCESS FUNDS CAN BE OPTIMALLY UTILISED TO
REWARD ITS MEMBERS IN SUCH DIFFICULT AND UNPRECEDENTED TIMES BY WAY OF
DISTRIBUTION.
CONCLUSION
BRITANNIA SHOULD FOLLOW ITS CURRENT DIVIDEND POLICY AS IT FOCUSES ON
INCREASING DIVIDEND PAYMENTS EVERY FINANCIAL YEAR IN ORDER TO INCREASE THE
SATISFACTION OF SHAREHOLDERS OR CREATE GOODWILL AMONG ITS SHAREHOLDERS.
THE REGULAR PAYMENT OF DIVIDENDS HAS ALSO IMPACTED THE SHARE PRICE OF
BRITANNIA SHARES WHICH CAN BE SEEN RISING OVER THE LAST 10 YEARS AND IT HAS
MADE BRITANNIA A TRUSTWORTHY COMPANY FOR INVESTORS.
FINANCIAL REPORT
WORKING CAPITAL
MANAGMENT
WORKING CAPITAL POLICY
INTERPRETATION:
TO CALCULATE WHAT TYPE OF WORKING CAPITAL POLICY BRITANNIA FOLLOWS WE
HAVE ANALYSED 5 YEARS OF DATA FROM THIS WE HAVE INTERPRETED THAT
BRITANNIA SHIFTS FROM A CONSERVATIVE WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT POLICY
TO AN AGGRESSIVE WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT POLICY.
WORKING CAPITAL
MANAGMENT
WORKING CAPITAL POLICY
EXPLANATION:
THE AGGRESSIVE STRATEGY IS ONE OF THE APPROACHES OF WORKING
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT WHEREIN THE COMPANY’S INVESTMENTS IN WORKING
CAPITAL ARE KEPT AT A MINIMUM LEVEL, I.E., LIMITED INVESTMENT IN
CURRENT ASSETS. THIS MEANS THAT THE ENTITY HOLDS LOWER INVENTORY
LEVELS, FOLLOWS STRICT CREDIT POLICIES, KEEPS LESS CASH BALANCE, ETC.
THE WORKING CAPITAL IS KEPT VERY LOW. LOW WORKING CAPITAL RAISES
RISK BUT SAVES THE COST OF INTEREST. GIVEN THAT THIS APPROACH
MINIMIZES THE INTEREST COST, HIGHER PROFITABILITY IS ACHIEVED. BECAUSE
OF THE EXTREMELY TIGHT LIQUIDITY POSITION BEING MAINTAINED, THERE IS
A HIGH RISK OF BANKRUPTCY.
THE TABLE DISCLOSES THAT THE COMPANY WAS DEALING WITH POSITIVE
WORKING CAPITAL EXCEPT DURING MARCH 2021-22 AS CURRENT LIABILITIES
INCREASED DRASTICALLY BY ALMOST 74 PER CENT AS COMPARED TO
CURRENT ASSETS WHICH ROSE BY ONLY 12 PER CENT FROM 2020 TO 2022
OPERATING CYCLE
.
FINANCIAL REPORT
CASH CONVERSION
CYCLE
DEBTOR COLLECTION
PERIOD
DIVIDEND DISCOUNT
MODEL
INTERPRETATION:
BRITANNIA HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY GIVING DIVIDENDS FOR THE LAST FIVE
YEARS AND FINDING THE VALUE USING THE DDM MODEL WOULD GIVE AN
ACCURATE VALUE FOR THE VALUE OF THE FIRM. HERE WE HAVE CALCULATED THE
HIGH GROWTH RATE BY TAKING THE AVERAGE VALUE OF ROE AND DIVIDEND
PAYOUT RATIO OF THE LAST 5 YEARS AND THEN APPLYING THE FORMULA ROE*(1-
DPO). THE STABLE GROWTH RATE IS ASSUMED TO BE 3%. D0 IS CALCULATED BY
TAKING AN AVERAGE OF DPS FOR THE LAST 5 YEARS. THE VALUE OF THE FIRM IS
CALCULATED BY ADDING THE PRESENT VALUE OF THE FORECASTED DIVIDENDS
AND THE PRESENT VALUE FOR THE TERMINAL VALUE I.E RS.1,234.28. AS THE
CURRENT TRADING PRICE IS 4100 IT IS SEEN THAT FIRM’S VALUE THROUGH DDM IS
LOWER THAN THE CURRENT TRADING PRICE, HENCE THE STOCK IS OVERVALUED.
FINANCIAL REPORT
RELATIVE VALUATION
A RELATIVE VALUATION MODEL IS A BUSINESS VALUATION METHOD THAT
COMPARES A COMPANY'S VALUE TO THAT OF ITS COMPETITORS OR INDUSTRY
PEERS TO ASSESS THE FIRM'S FINANCIAL WORTH. RELATIVE VALUATION
MODELS ARE AN ALTERNATIVE TO ABSOLUTE VALUE MODELS, WHICH TRY TO
DETERMINE A COMPANY'S INTRINSIC WORTH BASED ON ITS ESTIMATED
FUTURE FREE CASH FLOWS DISCOUNTED TO THEIR PRESENT VALUE, WITHOUT
ANY REFERENCE TO ANOTHER COMPANY OR INDUSTRY AVERAGE. LIKE
ABSOLUTE VALUE MODELS, INVESTORS MAY USE RELATIVE VALUATION
MODELS WHEN DETERMINING WHETHER A COMPANY'S STOCK IS A GOOD BUY.
FROM THE BALANCE SHEET WE HAVE TAKEN THE ASSETS AT REALISABLE VALUE
AND SUBTRACTED THE TOTAL EXTERNAL LIABILITIES TO CALCULATE THE NET
WORTH OF BRITANNIA. ON DIVIDING THIS BY THE NUMBER OF OUTSTANDING
SHARES WE HAVE DERIVED THE NAV OF THE COMPANY. TO UNDERSTAND IF THE
SHARE PRICE OF A COMPANY IS OVERVALUED OR UNDERVALUED. THEREFORE,
AFTER COMPARING THE NAV OF THIS YEAR WITH THE MARKET PRICE FOR THE
SAME IT CAN BE OBSERVED THAT THE SHARE OF BRITANNIA IS OVERVALUED.
RESIDUAL INCOME
ANALYSIS
ANALYSIS THE VALUE PER SHARE AS PER THE RESIDUAL INCOME MODEL IS RS.
1964.70. THE CURRENT MARKET PRICE AS OF 13TH NOVEMBER 2022 IS RS. 3149.30.
THIS MEANS THAT THE SHARE IS SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED. RESIDUAL INCOME
MODEL IS WIDELY USED WITH COMPANIES THAT DO NOT REGULARLY DISTRIBUTE
REGULAR INCOMES OR DO NOT HAVE A POSITIVE CASH FLOW. AS THAT IS NOT
THE SITUATION WITH BRITANNIA, RESIDUAL INCOME MODEL IS NOT THE BEST
MODEL FOR VALUING THIS STOCK.
FINANCIAL REPORT
IF FCFF ARE BEING USED, THE FIRM’S WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL
(9.08%) IS USED AS THE DISCOUNT RATE BECAUSE ONE MUST TAKE INTO
ACCOUNT THE ENTIRE CAPITAL STRUCTURE OF THE COMPANY. WHEN
PRESENTING THEIR ACTIVITIES, MANAGEMENT OF HIGHLY LEVERAGED
ORGANIZATIONS EMPLOY FCFF. IT IS NECESSARY TO VERIFY THAT THE COMPANY
DOES NOT HAVE A NEGATIVE LEVERED FREE CASH FLOW AS A RESULT OF LARGE
FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS, AS THIS COULD MAKE THE ORGANIZATION
UNSUSTAINABLE IN THE LONG RUN.
WHEN FCFE IS USED, THE FIRM’S COST OF EQUITY (9.19%) SHOULD BE USED AS
THE DISCOUNT RATE BECAUSE IT INVOLVES ONLY THE AMOUNT LEFT FOR EQUITY
INVESTORS. IT ENSURES CALCULATING EQUITY VALUE INSTEAD OF ENTERPRISE
VALUE. FCFE IS OFTEN USED BY EXPERTS TO ASSESS THE VALUE OF A FIRM OR
COMPANY, AND IT CAN BE USED IN PLACE OF DIVIDENDS FOR THIS OBJECTIVE.
PRESENTED AS
PREPARED BY
ADFM FINAL END
SEM PROJECT GROUP 7