Logistic Regression

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Logistic Regression

Case Processing Summary


a
Unweighted Cases N Percent
Selected Cases Included in Analysis 33 100.0
Missing Cases 0 .0
Total 33 100.0
Unselected Cases 0 .0
Total 33 100.0
a. If weight is in effect, see classification table for the total number of cases.

Dependent Variable Encoding


Original Value Internal Value
Non WTP 0
WTP 1

Block 0: Beginning Block

Iteration Historya,b,c
Coefficients
Iteration -2 Log likelihood Constant
Step 0 1 44.252 -.424
2 44.252 -.431
3 44.252 -.431
a. Constant is included in the model.
b. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 44.252
c. Estimation terminated at iteration number 3 because
parameter estimates changed by less than .001.

Classification Tablea,b
Predicted
Opini Audit
Observed Non WTP WTP Percentage Correct
Step 0 Opini Audit Non WTP 20 0 100.0
WTP 13 0 .0
Overall Percentage 60.6
a. Constant is included in the model.
b. The cut value is .500

Variables in the Equation


B S.E. Wald df Sig. Exp(B)
Step 0 Constant -.431 .356 1.462 1 .227 .650

Variables not in the Equation


Score df Sig.
Step 0 Variables Wealth 7.395 1 .007
Depend 6.004 1 .014
Expend 9.138 1 .003
Size 3.388 1 .066
Overall Statistics 11.048 4 .026

Block 1: Method = Backward Stepwise (Conditional)

Iteration Historya,b,c,d
Coefficients
Iteration -2 Log likelihood Constant Wealth Depend Expend Size
Step 1 1 32.253 -94.296 .825 -1.847 5.473 -.962
2 30.810 -139.887 .926 -4.055 9.541 -1.280
3 30.689 -159.331 .925 -4.906 11.191 -1.382
4 30.688 -161.895 .923 -4.975 11.366 -1.394
5 30.688 -161.931 .923 -4.975 11.367 -1.394
6 30.688 -161.931 .923 -4.975 11.367 -1.394
Step 2 1 32.585 -100.012 .928 3.838 -1.042
2 31.432 -150.496 1.126 5.886 -1.438
3 31.339 -172.707 1.130 6.816 -1.567
4 31.337 -175.876 1.127 6.949 -1.582
5 31.337 -175.930 1.126 6.952 -1.583
6 31.337 -175.930 1.126 6.952 -1.583
Step 3 1 33.540 -99.193 .633 3.023
2 32.672 -142.370 .740 4.491
3 32.622 -157.512 .736 5.043
4 32.621 -158.966 .734 5.098
5 32.621 -158.977 .734 5.098
6 32.621 -158.977 .734 5.098
Step 4 1 34.374 -116.099 4.196
2 33.370 -166.967 6.037
3 33.298 -185.570 6.711
4 33.297 -187.535 6.782
5 33.297 -187.555 6.783
6 33.297 -187.555 6.783
a. Method: Backward Stepwise (Conditional)
b. Constant is included in the model.
c. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 44.252
d. Estimation terminated at iteration number 6 because parameter estimates changed by less than .001.

Omnibus Tests of Model Coefficients


Chi-square df Sig.
Step 1 Step 13.564 4 .009
Block 13.564 4 .009
Model 13.564 4 .009
Step 2a Step -.649 1 .420
Block 12.914 3 .005
Model 12.914 3 .005
a
Step 3 Step -1.284 1 .257
Block 11.630 2 .003
Model 11.630 2 .003
a
Step 4 Step -.676 1 .411
Block 10.954 1 .001
Model 10.954 1 .001
a. A negative Chi-squares value indicates that the Chi-squares value
has decreased from the previous step.

Model Summary
Cox & Snell R Nagelkerke R
Step -2 Log likelihood Square Square
a
1 30.688 .337 .456
2 31.337a .324 .439
a
3 32.621 .297 .402
a
4 33.297 .282 .383
a. Estimation terminated at iteration number 6 because parameter
estimates changed by less than .001.

Hosmer and Lemeshow Test


Step Chi-square df Sig.
1 12.659 8 .124
2 9.369 8 .312
3 7.343 8 .500
4 4.625 8 .797

Contingency Table for Hosmer and Lemeshow Test


Opini Audit = Non WTP Opini Audit = WTP
Observed Expected Observed Expected Total
Step 1 1 3 2.949 0 .051 3
2 3 2.776 0 .224 3
3 3 2.613 0 .387 3
4 3 2.535 0 .465 3
5 1 2.272 2 .728 3
6 0 1.938 3 1.062 3
7 3 1.700 0 1.300 3
8 2 1.322 1 1.678 3
9 1 1.072 2 1.928 3
10 1 .823 5 5.177 6
Step 2 1 3 2.918 0 .082 3
2 3 2.748 0 .252 3
3 3 2.481 0 .519 3
4 1 2.373 2 .627 3
5 2 2.285 1 .715 3
6 2 2.080 1 .920 3
7 3 1.764 0 1.236 3
8 2 1.490 1 1.510 3
9 0 1.142 3 1.858 3
10 1 .718 5 5.282 6
Step 3 1 3 2.884 0 .116 3
2 3 2.767 0 .233 3
3 3 2.400 0 .600 3
4 2 2.222 1 .778 3
5 1 2.166 2 .834 3
6 1 1.962 2 1.038 3
7 3 1.828 0 1.172 3
8 2 1.698 1 1.302 3
9 1 1.429 2 1.571 3
10 1 .644 5 5.356 6
Step 4 1 3 2.904 0 .096 3
2 3 2.773 0 .227 3
3 2 2.439 1 .561 3
4 2 2.144 1 .856 3
5 2 2.058 1 .942 3
6 2 1.953 1 1.047 3
7 1 1.827 2 1.173 3
8 3 1.594 0 1.406 3
9 1 1.392 2 1.608 3
10 1 .917 5 5.083 6

Classification Tablea
Predicted
Opini Audit
Observed Non WTP WTP Percentage Correct
Step 1 Opini Audit Non WTP 16 4 80.0
WTP 5 8 61.5
Overall Percentage 72.7
Step 2 Opini Audit Non WTP 18 2 90.0
WTP 5 8 61.5
Overall Percentage 78.8
Step 3 Opini Audit Non WTP 19 1 95.0
WTP 6 7 53.8
Overall Percentage 78.8
Step 4 Opini Audit Non WTP 18 2 90.0
WTP 6 7 53.8
Overall Percentage 75.8
a. The cut value is .500
Variables in the Equation
B S.E. Wald df Sig. Exp(B)
Step 1a Wealth .923 1.033 .799 1 .371 2.518
Depend -4.975 6.355 .613 1 .434 .007
Expend 11.367 7.015 2.626 1 .105 86465.346
Size -1.394 1.471 .898 1 .343 .248
Constant -161.931 86.314 3.520 1 .061 .000
a
Step 2 Wealth 1.126 .984 1.311 1 .252 3.085
Expend 6.952 4.016 2.997 1 .083 1044.841
Size -1.583 1.435 1.217 1 .270 .205
Constant -175.930 90.053 3.817 1 .051 .000
a
Step 3 Wealth .734 .925 .630 1 .427 2.084
Expend 5.098 3.297 2.391 1 .122 163.704
Constant -158.977 80.703 3.880 1 .049 .000
Step 4a Expend 6.783 2.880 5.547 1 .019 882.437
Constant -187.555 79.463 5.571 1 .018 .000
a. Variable(s) entered on step 1: Wealth, Depend, Expend, Size.

Model if Term Removeda


Model Log Change in -2 Log
Variable Likelihood Likelihood df Sig. of the Change
Step 1 Wealth -15.760 .833 1 .361
Depend -15.672 .657 1 .418
Expend -17.020 3.351 1 .067
Size -15.815 .942 1 .332
Step 2 Wealth -16.378 1.418 1 .234
Expend -18.194 5.052 1 .025
Size -16.317 1.297 1 .255
Step 3 Wealth -16.652 .683 1 .409
Expend -18.087 3.553 1 .059
Step 4 Expend -22.127 10.957 1 .001
a. Based on conditional parameter estimates

Variables not in the Equation


Score df Sig.
a
Step 2 Variables Depend .624 1 .430
Overall Statistics .624 1 .430
Step 3b Variables Depend .939 1 .333
Size 1.286 1 .257
Overall Statistics 1.857 2 .395
c
Step 4 Variables Wealth .651 1 .420
Depend 1.287 1 .257
Size .559 1 .455
Overall Statistics 2.440 3 .486
a. Variable(s) removed on step 2: Depend.
b. Variable(s) removed on step 3: Size.
c. Variable(s) removed on step 4: Wealth.

Step number: 1

Observed Groups and Predicted Probabilities

4 +
+
I
I
I
I
F I
I
R 3 + N
+
E I N
I
Q I N
I
U I N
I
E 2 +N N N N
+
N IN N N N
I
C IN N N N
I
Y IN N N N
I
1 +N NNN N N NNW N W W W W N N W N NN W
W N W W W W W +
IN NNN N N NNW N W W W W N N W N NN W
W N W W W W W I
IN NNN N N NNW N W W W W N N W N NN W
W N W W W W W I
IN NNN N N NNW N W W W W N N W N NN W
W N W W W W W I
Predicted ---------+---------+---------+---------+---------+---------
+---------+---------+---------+----------
Prob: 0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6
.7 .8 .9 1
Group:
NNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW

Predicted Probability is of Membership for WTP


The Cut Value is .50
Symbols: N - Non WTP
W - WTP
Each Symbol Represents .25 Cases.

Step number: 2

Observed Groups and Predicted Probabilities

4 +
+
I
I
I
I
F I
I
R 3 +
+
E I
I
Q I
I
U I
I
E 2 + N NN W W W W
+
N I N NN W W W W
I
C I N NN W W W W
I
Y I N NN W W W W
I
1 + NNN N NN W NNN W N N N NN N N W
W N WW W W W +
I NNN N NN W NNN W N N N NN N N W
W N WW W W W I
I NNN N NN W NNN W N N N NN N N W
W N WW W W W I
I NNN N NN W NNN W N N N NN N N W
W N WW W W W I
Predicted ---------+---------+---------+---------+---------+---------
+---------+---------+---------+----------
Prob: 0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6
.7 .8 .9 1
Group:
NNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW

Predicted Probability is of Membership for WTP


The Cut Value is .50
Symbols: N - Non WTP
W - WTP
Each Symbol Represents .25 Cases.

Step number: 3

Observed Groups and Predicted Probabilities

4 +
+
I
I
I
I
F I
I
R 3 + W
+
E I W
I
Q I W
I
U I W
I
E 2 + N N N
+
N I N N N
I
C I N N N
I
Y I N N N
I
1 + N NNN N N N N WN NW W NWN NN W N N W W
W N W W W W +
I N NNN N N N N WN NW W NWN NN W N N W W
W N W W W W I
I N NNN N N N N WN NW W NWN NN W N N W W
W N W W W W I
I N NNN N N N N WN NW W NWN NN W N N W W
W N W W W W I
Predicted ---------+---------+---------+---------+---------+---------
+---------+---------+---------+----------
Prob: 0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6
.7 .8 .9 1
Group:
NNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
Predicted Probability is of Membership for WTP
The Cut Value is .50
Symbols: N - Non WTP
W - WTP
Each Symbol Represents .25 Cases.

Step number: 4

Observed Groups and Predicted Probabilities

4 +
+
I
I
I
I
F I
I
R 3 +
+
E I
I
Q I
I
U I
I
E 2 + N W W W W
W W +
N I N W W W W
W W I
C I N W W W W
W W I
Y I N W W W W
W W I
1 + N NN NN N WN N NNN NW N WN N N N W N
W N WW +
I N NN NN N WN N NNN NW N WN N N N W N
W N WW I
I N NN NN N WN N NNN NW N WN N N N W N
W N WW I
I N NN NN N WN N NNN NW N WN N N N W N
W N WW I
Predicted ---------+---------+---------+---------+---------+---------
+---------+---------+---------+----------
Prob: 0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6
.7 .8 .9 1
Group:
NNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW

Predicted Probability is of Membership for WTP


The Cut Value is .50
Symbols: N - Non WTP
W - WTP
Each Symbol Represents .25 Cases.

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