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    Answer 2021-2022 (SE 2)

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    hoang huy nguyen
    The document contains the answers to problems in probability and statistics. It includes topics such as independence, total probability, PDFs, normal distributions, confidence intervals, hypothesis testing on means and proportions, and linear regression. Various calculations are shown and conclusions are made based on the results.

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    Answer 2021-2022 (SE 2)

    Uploaded by

    hoang huy nguyen
    4 views2 pages
    The document contains the answers to problems in probability and statistics. It includes topics such as independence, total probability, PDFs, normal distributions, confidence intervals, hypothesis testing on means and proportions, and linear regression. Various calculations are shown and conclusions are made based on the results.

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    © © All Rights Reserved

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    The document contains the answers to problems in probability and statistics. It includes topics such as independence, total probability, PDFs, normal distributions, confidence intervals, hypothesis testing on means and proportions, and linear regression. Various calculations are shown and conclusions are made based on the results.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    4 views2 pages

    Answer 2021-2022 (SE 2)

    Uploaded by

    hoang huy nguyen
    The document contains the answers to problems in probability and statistics. It includes topics such as independence, total probability, PDFs, normal distributions, confidence intervals, hypothesis testing on means and proportions, and linear regression. Various calculations are shown and conclusions are made based on the results.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    of 2

    ANSWER

    Problem Part Content Points

    I PROBABILITY 4.50
    1 Independence 1.00
    1 1 1
    P (A) = , P (B) = , P (AB) = 0.75
    6 6 36
    Hence, P (AB) = P (A)P (B), and the independence of A and B is verified. 0.25
    2 Total probability theorem 1.00
    A = "basic model", Ac ="deluxe model", B = "an extended warranty".
    P (B) = P (B/A)P (A) + P (B/Ac )P (Ac ) 0.50
    = 0.6 × 0.65 + 0.85 × 0.35 = 0.6875
    P (AB) 0.65 × 0.6 156
    P (A/B) = = = = 0.5672 0.50
    P (B) 0.6875 275
    3 PDF 1.00
    R∞ R6  x 3 3k 2
    a 1 = −∞ f (x)dx = 0 k 1 − dx = . Then k = . 0.50
    6 2 3
    R6 2  x 3 625
    b p = P (X > 1) = 1 1− dx = = 0.482253086. 0.25
    3 6 1296
    Y ∼ B(7, p), P (Y ≥ 4) = 0.46122749 0.25
    4 Normal distribution X ∼ N (74; 2.32 ) 1.50
       
    77 − 74 71 − 74
    a P (71 ≤ X ≤ 77) = Φ −Φ = 0.807882 0.50
    2.3 2.3
    b P (74 − c < X < 74 + c) = 0.95 0.25
     
     c  −c  c 
    P (74 − c < X < 74 + c) = Φ −Φ = 2Φ − 1 = 0.95 0.50
    2.3 2.3 2.3
    c = 4.508 0.25
    II STATISTICS 5.50
    5 2.50
    a CI for mean 1.50
    We have: n = 18, x = 39.7944, s = 10.4367829. 0.50
    tα/2;n−1 = 2.110 0.25
    Confident interval
    s
    x ± tα/2;n−1 √ = (34.60390072; 44.98498816) 0.75
    n

    b CI for proportion 1.00


    p : the proportion of all American youngsters who are seriously overweight;
    718 0.25
    pb =
    4728
    Confident interval
    r
    pb(1 − pb)
    pb ± zα/2 · = (0.14301; 0.160708) 0.75
    n
    6 2.00
    a Tests about a population mean 1.00
    µ : true average unrestrained compressive strength.
    0.25
    Null hypothesis: H0 : µ = 3300; Alternative hypothesis Ha : µ < 3300
    Test statistic value
    x − µ0
    z= √ = −3.96562 0.25
    σ/ n

    With α = 0.02, and zα = 2.054. Comparision: z < −zα , reject H0 . 0.25


    Conclusion: true average unrestrained compressive strength is less than the
    0.25
    design value of 3300.
    b Inferences Concerning a Difference Between Population Proportions 1.00
    p1 : the proportion of all elementary school teachers who are very satisfied.
    p2 : the proportion of all high school teachers who are very satisfied. 0.25
    Null hypothesis: H0 : p1 = p2 ; Alternative hypothesis Ha : p1 ̸= p2
    Test statistic value:
    pˆ1 − pˆ2
    z=s   = 1.834510791 0.25
    1 1
    p̂q̂ +
    m n

    With α = 0.01, and zα/2 = 2.576. Comparision: |z| < zα/2 , reject Ha . 0.25
    Conclusion: the proportion of all elementary school teachers who are very satis-
    fied does not differ from the proportion of all high school teachers who are very 0.25
    satisfied.
    7 Linear regression 1.00
    Linear regression equation y = a + bx = 335.1595 + 20.63748x. 0.50
    Correlation coefficient: r = 0.880645. Strong correlation 0.25
    If x = 45, then y = 1263.84633. 0.25

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