Qlfs 2008 - 1 Guide
Qlfs 2008 - 1 Guide
Qlfs 2008 - 1 Guide
Table of contents
1. Background ................................................................................................................................................. 1
2. Objective of this guide................................................................................................................................. 1
3. History of the labour force survey ............................................................................................................... 1
3.1 The October Household Survey (OHS).............................................................................................. 1
3.2 The Labour Force Survey (LFS)......................................................................................................... 1
3.3 The Quarterly Labour Force Survey (QLFS)...................................................................................... 1
4. Objective of the QLFS................................................................................................................................. 2
5. The QLFS survey design ............................................................................................................................ 2
5.1 Introduction......................................................................................................................................... 2
5.2 Survey requirements and design........................................................................................................ 2
5.3 Sample rotation .................................................................................................................................. 2
5.4 Weighting............................................................................................................................................ 3
5.4.1 Non-response adjustment.......................................................................................................... 3
5.4.2 Final survey weights .................................................................................................................. 3
5.5 Estimation........................................................................................................................................... 3
5.6 Reliability of the survey estimates ...................................................................................................... 3
5.6.1 Variance estimation ................................................................................................................... 3
5.6.2 Other measures of precision ..................................................................................................... 4
6. Determining labour market status ............................................................................................................... 5
6.1 Introduction......................................................................................................................................... 5
6.2 The labour force framework ............................................................................................................... 5
6.3 Non-market production activities ........................................................................................................ 6
7. Implementing the labour force framework in the QLFS .............................................................................. 6
7.1 Employment........................................................................................................................................ 7
7.2 Non-market production activities in the QLFS.................................................................................... 8
7.3 Unemployment ................................................................................................................................... 8
7.4 Not economically active...................................................................................................................... 8
8. Data collection........................................................................................................................................... 10
8.1 Introduction....................................................................................................................................... 10
8.2 Real Time Management System (RTMS) ........................................................................................ 10
8.3 Assignment planning system............................................................................................................ 11
8.4 Data collection .................................................................................................................................. 11
8.5 Pre-data collection activities............................................................................................................. 11
8.5.1 Training and refresher training ................................................................................................ 11
8.5.2 Logistics ................................................................................................................................... 11
8.5.3 Publicity.................................................................................................................................... 12
8.5.4 Listing and listing maintenance ............................................................................................... 12
9. Data processing ........................................................................................................................................ 12
9.1 Introduction....................................................................................................................................... 12
9.2 Processing phases ........................................................................................................................... 12
9.2.1 Receiving of questionnaires..................................................................................................... 12
9.2.2 Primary preparation ................................................................................................................. 12
9.2.3 Guillotining ............................................................................................................................... 13
9.2.4 Secondary preparation ............................................................................................................ 13
9.2.5 Scanning .................................................................................................................................. 13
9.2.6 Verification ............................................................................................................................... 13
9.2.7 Electronic coding ..................................................................................................................... 13
9.2.8 Automated editing and imputation ........................................................................................... 13
9.2.9 Master Sample......................................................................................................................... 14
9.3 Electronic systems for processing.................................................................................................... 14
9.3.1 Stores Management System (SMS) ........................................................................................ 14
9.3.2 Scanning system ..................................................................................................................... 14
9.3.3 Electronic coding system ......................................................................................................... 14
9.3.4 Updating and image retrieval system ...................................................................................... 14
9.3.5 Master Sample capturing system ............................................................................................ 14
9.3.6 Head Office Processing System (HOPS) ................................................................................ 14
1. Background
The Quarterly Labour Force Survey (QLFS) is a household-based sample survey conducted by Statistics South
Africa (Stats SA). It collects data on the labour market activity of individuals aged 15 years or older who live in
South Africa.
Starting in 2005, Stats SA undertook a major revision of the Labour Force Survey (LFS). This revision resulted in
changes to the survey methodology, the survey questionnaire, the frequency of data collection and data releases,
and the survey data capture and processing systems. The redesigned labour market survey is the QLFS which was
launched in 2008.
Other documents that provide more detail on various elements of the re-design process are available on the Stats
SA website: www.statssa.gov.za/qlfs/index.asp
As with the OHS, the LFS sample is representative of all provinces and strata (which are District Councils) within
provinces. However, since 2000, Stats SA has used a Master Sample of 3 000 Primary Sampling Units (PSUs)
from the population census as the sampling frame for the LFS. As a result, and unlike the OHSs, the sampling
methodology was consistent in each round of the survey. The intention was that the selected dwelling units would
remain in the sample for five consecutive surveys, with one-fifth of these dwelling units rotating out each round of
the survey. The dwelling unit approach is adopted because households are mobile and cannot easily be tracked.
The unit of sampling is therefore the dwelling unit and the unit of observation is the household.
In addressing these issues, Stats SA decided to embark on a quarterly cycle for the collection of labour market
information. Increasing the frequency of the survey, coupled with the additional requirement to release results in a
timely fashion required the following:
• Continuous data collection.
• Automated data processing system.
A new Master Sample and listing procedures have been developed, new fieldwork procedures have been
implemented, and a shorter core questionnaire and an end-to-end data processing system has also been
developed. These are summarised in this document and greater detail is provided in various documents on the
Stats SA website: www.statssa.gov.za/qlfs/index.asp.
1
Stats SA website @ www.statssa.gov.za/qlfs/index.asp.
This information will be published as core labour market indicators 2 four weeks after the end of each quarter and
an annual report and supplementary data will be published six months after the end of each calendar year.
The sample is based on information collected during the 2001 Population Census conducted by Stats SA. In
preparation for the 2001 census, the country was divided into 80 787 enumeration areas (EAs). Some of these EAs
are small in terms of the number of households that were enumerated in them at the time of Census 2001. Stats
SA’s household-based surveys use a Master Sample which comprises of EAs that are drawn from across the
country. For the purposes of the Master Sample the EAs that contained less than 25 households were excluded
from the sampling frame, and those that contained between 25 and 99 households were combined with other EAs
to form Primary Sampling Units (PSUs). The number of EAs per PSU ranges between one and four. On the other
hand, very large EAs represent two or more PSUs.
The sample is designed to be representative at the provincial level and within provinces at the metro/non-metro
level. Within the metros, the sample is further distributed by geography type. The four geography types are: urban
formal, urban informal, farms and tribal. This implies that for example, that within a metropolitan area the sample is
designed to be representative at the different geography types that may exist within that metro.
The current sample size is 3 080 PSUs. It is equally divided into four sub-groups or panels called rotation groups.
The rotation groups are designed in such a way that each of these groups has the same distribution pattern as that
which is observed in the whole sample. They are numbered from one to four and these numbers also correspond
to the quarters of the year in which the sample will be rotated for the particular group.
The sample for the redesigned Labour Force Survey is based on a stratified two-stage design with probability
proportional to size (PPS) sampling of primary sampling units (PSUs) in the first stage, and sampling of dwelling
units (DUs) with systematic sampling in the second stage.
Each quarter, ¼ of the sampled dwellings rotate out of the sample and are replaced by new dwellings from the
same PSU or the next PSU on the list. A total of 3 080 PSUs were selected for the redesigned LFS, and 770 have
been assigned to each of the four rotation groups.
2
The core QLFS questionnaire was specifically designed for this purpose. Supplements will be developed in due course depending on the
needs of users.
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Statistics South Africa 3 Quarterly Labour Force Survey, August 2008
5.4 Weighting
The sampling weights for the data collected from the sampled households are constructed so that the responses
could be properly expanded to represent the entire civilian population of South Africa. The weights are the result of
calculations involving several factors, including original selection probabilities, adjustment for non-response, and
benchmarking to known population estimates from the Demographic Division of Stats SA.
The base weight is defined as the product of the provincial Inverse Sampling Rate (ISR) and the three adjustment
factors, namely, adjustment factor for informal PSUs, adjustment factor for sub-sampling of growth PSUs and an
adjustment factor to account for small EAs excluded from the sampling frame (i.e. EAs with less than 25
households).
The non-response adjusted weight is the product of the base weight with the non-response adjustment factor given
above. If the PSU level non-response rate is too high the non-response adjustment is applied at the VARUNIT
level, where two VARUNITs have been created by grouping PSUs within strata level. PSU level non-response
adjustment is applied only if the corresponding adjustment factor is less than 1,5.
5.5 Estimation
The final survey weights are used to obtain the estimates for various domains of interest, e.g. number of persons
employed in agriculture in the province of Western Cape, number of females employed in manufacturing, etc. The
estimates of ratios are obtained as ratios of the estimated totals. Thus, survey estimates for any estimation domain
can be computed using the set of final weights for the respondents in the domain of interest.
3 nd
Wolter, K. M. (2007), Introduction to Variance Estimation, 2 Edition, Springer-Verlag: New York.
4
Note that variance estimation methodology was not implemented for the LFS.
Report number: 02-11-01
Statistics South Africa 4 Quarterly Labour Force Survey, August 2008
Standard error
The standard error of an estimator is the square root of its sampling variance. This measure is easier to
interpret since it provides an indication of sampling error using the same scale as the estimate whereas the
variance is based on squared differences. If θˆ is the estimate of a given population parameter θ (e.g., true
employment but unknown) and v(θˆ) is the corresponding estimate of its variance, then the standard error of the
()
estimate is defined as se θˆ = ()
v θˆ .
Coefficient of variation
It is more useful in many situations to assess the size of the standard error relative to the magnitude of the
characteristic being measured. The coefficient of variation ( cv ) provides such a measure. It is the ratio of the
standard error of the survey estimate to the value of the estimate itself expressed as percentage. It is very
useful in comparing the precision of several different survey estimates, where their sizes or scale differ from one
another.
Confidence intervals
The 95 per cent confidence interval is the interval such that there is a 95 per cent probability (chance of 19 out of
20) of the unknown population parameter θ being within the interval. The 95 percent confidence interval is given
() ()
by θˆ ± 1.96 × se θˆ . The lower limit of the interval is θˆ − 1.96 × se θˆ , and the upper limit of the interval
is θˆ + 1.96 × se (θˆ ) . The width 1.96 × se (θˆ ) is known as half-width of the 95 per cent confidence interval. The
smaller the half-width of the confidence interval, the more precise is the survey estimate.
Design effects
Most surveys are based on complex designs involving stratification, and clustering due to multi-stage designs.
Moreover, the weighting involves non-linear adjustments (e.g., non-response and weight calibration adjustments,
etc.). It is crucial that these features of the complex survey design be accounted for in the variance estimation
(Choudhry and Valliant, 2003). The design effect compares the variance of the estimate from the sample design
that was actually implemented to the variance of the estimate that would have been obtained from a simple random
sample (SRS) design. Design effect is another way to evaluate the efficiency of a sample design and the
procedure used to develop the survey estimates. Design effect is defined as the ratio of the variance of an estimate
for a complex sample design and the variance of the estimate under the SRS design with the same sample size.
Kish (1965) introduced the concept of design effect to deal with complex sample designs involving stratification and
clustering. Stratification generally leads to a gain in efficiency over simple random sampling, but clustering leads to
deterioration in the efficiency of the sample design due to positive intra-cluster correlation among units in the
cluster (PSUs in the case of QLFS). To determine the total effect of any complex design on the sampling variance
in comparison to the alternative simple random sample design, the design effect ( deff ) is defined as:
The labour market consists of a supply side and a demand side. The labour supply of the population, referred to as
the economically active population or labour force, has two components: employed persons and unemployed
persons. The labour demand of enterprises consists of two components, filled posts (jobs) and unfilled posts
(vacancies).
As noted by the ILO 5 , statistics of the economically active population, employment, unemployment and
underemployment serve many purposes. They provide measures of labour supply, labour input, the structure of
employment, and the extent to which the available labour time and human resources are actually utilised or not.
Such information is essential for macro-economic and human resources development planning and policy
formulation. When collected at different points in time, the data provide the basis for monitoring current trends and
changes in the labour market and the employment situation, which may be analysed in connection with other
economic and social phenomena to evaluate macro-economic policies. The unemployment rate, in particular, is
widely used as an overall indicator of the current performance of a nation's economy.
Figure 1 shows that the working age population is divided into two broad labour market groups – persons that are
employed and those that are not employed. Persons that are not employed are further divided into those who
are unemployed and those who are inactive.
2. Unemployed 3. Inactive
• Persons who took active • Persons who are available
steps to find work to work but did not take
active steps to find work
(including discouraged
work-seekers)
• And are available to work • Persons who are not
available to work
*Note: The international guidelines suggest that the appropriate age cut-off for inclusion in the labour market is
determined by the national legislation of member countries The QLFS nevertheless collects labour market activity
data for persons aged 65 years and older.
5
Hussmanns, R (ILO Bureau of Statistics) 2007. Measurement of employment, unemployment and underemployment –Current international
standards and issues in their application.
6
Hussmanns, R.; Mehran, F.; Verma, V. 1990: Surveys of economically active population, employment, unemployment and underemployment:
An ILO manual on concepts and methods, ILO, Geneva, 1990.
The international standards mention, however, that these persons should be considered employed only if such
production comprises an important contribution to the total consumption of the household…The important
contribution provision also serves to exclude from the employed population persons who may, for example, be
growing some vegetables in their backyards but whose subsistence does not significantly depend on it. However,
its implementation in labour force surveys is difficult, due to the lack of information on total household consumption
in such surveys. For this reason, some countries have resorted to assessing the importance of household
production for own final use on the basis of information on the volume of labour inputs to such production (number
of hours worked)” 7 . The solution to this problem in the South African context is discussed in Section 7.2.
Non-market production
Yes/No activities No Yes
Note
Yes No
E =Employed
U =Unemployed
U NEA NEA =Not economically active
NOTE: The following persons are not considered as employed and are therefore routed to questions in Section 3 of
the QLFS questionnaire to determine whether they are unemployed or inactive:
1. Persons helping unpaid in their household business that were temporarily absent from such work in the
reference week.
2. Persons who were absent from work in the reference week because of seasonal factors.
3. Persons who were absent from work in the reference week because they had a new job or business to
start at a definite date in the future.
7
Hussmanns R; (ILO Bureau of Statistics), 2007. Measurement of employment, unemployment and underemployment – Current international
standards and issues in their application.
7.1 Employment
The conceptual framework is reflected in the structure of, and skip pattern embedded in the key employment
questions in the QLFS questionnaire (Figure 2). A clear distinction is made between market and non-market
production activities. Market production activities are grouped into one question while non-market production
activities are identified in a separate question. In terms of the latter, provision is also made for all types of non-
market production activities (including fetching wood/water/dung for household use and producing other goods
such as clay pots etc., for household use).
Section 1
All household members including babies
Section 2
Only household members aged 15–64yrs*
*Note: The international guidelines suggest that the appropriate age cut-off for inclusion in the labour market is
determined by the national legislation of member countries The QLFS nevertheless collects labour market activity
data for those aged 65 years and older.
** See the detailed questions in Appendix 1.
As shown in Figure 3, in the QLFS questionnaire, to reduce respondent burden, persons identified as engaged in
market production activities do not answer additional questions about whether or not they were engaged in non-
market production activities during the reference week. Instead, they are routed directly to questions about various
aspects of their work situation in Section 4.
Persons employed in market production activities are those (aged 15-64 years) who during the reference week,
even if it was for only one hour, did any of the following:
a) Worked for a wage, salary, commission or payment in kind (including paid domestic work).
b) Ran any kind of business, big or small, on their own or with one or more partners.
c) Helped without being paid in a business run by another household member. Persons helping unpaid in
such businesses who were temporarily absent in the reference week are not considered as employed,
they are routed eventually to questions about: job search activities; their desire to work; and their
availability to work - to determine whether they are unemployed or inactive.
d) Were temporarily absent from their jobs or businesses to which they would definitely return. They could
have been absent in the reference week but definitely returning to their job if the reason given for their
absence was any of the following: ill-health, vacation leave, caring for family or others; maternity or
paternity leave, other family/community obligations; strike/stay-away/lockout; problems with transport;
bad weather; study or training leave; unrest; temporarily laid off; other reasons. However, as indicated
in Figure 2, there are two groups of individuals that may have been temporarily absent from their jobs
in the reference week who are not considered as being employed as follows:
i) Persons who were absent from work in the reference week because of seasonal factors.
ii) Persons who were absent from work in the reference week because they had a new job or
business to start at a definite date in the future.
Such individuals (i and ii above) are routed to questions in Section 3 of the QLFS questionnaire to determine
whether they are unemployed or inactive.
As noted earlier, the international guidelines require that non-market production activities be included as
employment if they make a substantial contribution to the total consumption of the household. At this juncture, in
light of the difficulty of establishing robust criteria for their inclusion as employment, Stats SA identifies persons
engaged in non-market production activities separately. Among them, the two components are then identified as
follows:
• the unemployed (i.e. persons engaged only in non-market production activities, who actively sought
work and were available for work in the reference period).
• the not economically active (i.e. persons engaged in non-market production activities who did not
engage in any type of job-search activity during the reference period).
7.3 Unemployment
Unemployed persons are those (aged 15–64 years) who:
Persons who stated that they had not looked for work in the reference period because they had already arranged to
take up a job or to start a business at some later date are not required to have actively sought work in the reference
period. They are included as unemployed if they would have been available to start work/business in the previous
week.
Figure 4 shows that among those who fall into the not economically active category, a sub-set is identified as
“discouraged work-seekers” on the basis that they wanted to work and the main reason why they did not try to find
work or start a business in the reference period was any of the following:
Against this background, other labour market indicators that describe various aspects of the employed, the
unemployed and the not economically active are discussed in greater detail – in “Section 10.4 Derived variables” –
of this report.
No
Yes
Yes No
8. Data collection
8.1 Introduction
To facilitate continuous data collection, training and fieldwork monitoring from the regional offices across the
country, permanent field staff (332) were appointed to conduct the QLFS. In addition, 95 contract staff have been
recruited to assist in areas such as listing 8 and the capturing of publicity 9 forms (Table 1).
The appointment of a permanent fieldwork force for the QLFS marks an important break with the past practice of
Stats SA regarding fieldwork for household-based surveys. For the first time, a household-based survey – the
QLFS - will benefit from the continuity and institutional memory that develops through adopting this approach,
which allows for: refresher training; performance monitoring and where necessary remedial action; and
interviewer/respondent rapport to grow over the course of the four interviews.
Provincial staff
Permanent:
Contract:
Two computer systems have been implemented to track and monitor the enumeration process:
i) Real time Management System (RTMS)
ii) Assignment planning system
RTMS Stage 1: Recording of publicity at gate keeper level (police, indunas, street committees, farmers’
unions etc.,) for the Master Sample.
RTMS Stage 2: The tracking and monitoring of PSU listing books from the provinces to Head Office (HO)
as well as through the processing phase,
RTMS Stage 3: Recording of publicity at dwelling unit and household level.
RTMS Stage 4: The tracking and monitoring of the completed questionnaires from the provinces to HO as
well as through the processing phase.
The inclusion of a barcode that is linked to a unique number on each QLFS questionnaire allows the tracking of
questionnaires throughout the survey process.
The unique number is made up as follows:
a) PSU number (the first eight digits).
b) Segment number (the next three digits).
c) Dwelling unit number (the next five digits).
d) Household number (the next two digits).
e) Questionnaire number is the last digit.
8
The initial stages of sample selection end with the selection of Primary Sampling Units (PSU). Once the PSUs have been selected a list
needs to be made of all of the dwelling units in that PSU. From this list a sample of specific dwelling units is selected.
9
The QLFS’s publicity program is vital in reducing non-response. Publicity starts prior to a PSU being brought into the sample (i.e., before the
first interview takes place). Publicity officers visit the PSUs to with two purposes. They make local officials aware that the survey will be taking
place in their area and to seek their endorsement. They also visit each dwelling unit in the sample to inform those living there that they will be
interviewed shortly for the LFS, to answer any questions that they may have about the survey and to encourage them to participate.
The barcode on a completed questionnaire is scanned in the relevant regional office prior to it being sent by courier
to the data processing centre in Pretoria where it is then logged into the store management system. On the basis of
the link between the barcode and the unique number, each questionnaire can then be easily tracked throughout the
system.
The QLFS data collection strategy is based on a ‘0110’ approach. The first digit “0” represents the first week of any
given month. During this week set-up interviews/publicity and listing maintenance is conducted. Data collection is
conducted during the middle two weeks (“11”) of each month (except in January and December). The last week
(“0”) is dedicated to completing the work allocation assigned for that month including the listing of growth areas in
the sampled PSU identified during the first week. In summary, the “0”represents a non-data collection week and the
“1” represents the two weeks of data collection.
The training materials that have been developed in support of the new training initiative are:
The choice of training materials is driven by an analysis of the error patterns revealed by the edit and imputation
module of the Head Office Processing System.
8.5.2 Logistics
The quarterly nature of the survey requires that as soon as questionnaires and listing booklets are completed in the
various regions of each of the nine provinces, they are sent to the Data Processing Center (DPC) in Pretoria. This
facilitates the continuous capture of questionnaires and ultimately the ability to release results four weeks after the
end of the quarter. Completed questionnaires are therefore sent by courier to the DPC twice each week.
8.5.3 Publicity
Publicity or set-up interviews are undertaken with stakeholders each month. These are aimed primarily at creating
awareness about the survey and the presence of Stats SA field-staff in the sampled PSUs.
Field-staff first visit various gatekeepers / access controllers (police stations, indunas, farmers’ unions, street
committees, body corporate members of gated communities etc.,) to obtain permission to work in the area. Having
obtained permission, all dwelling units in the sample are then visited to set up interviews, with the respective
household members, which will be conducted during the subsequent two weeks of data collection. The initial visits
to sampled dwelling units are always conducted in person (face-to-face). Since each sampled dwelling unit is
visited every quarter (for one year), subsequent publicity visits are conducted telephonically where there is scope
for this action.
• The process of blocking in urban formal and some tribal areas: This procedure requires that roads
and streets are used to create the boundaries of blocks. Each of these blocks are then listed
sequentially, ensuring that corner houses / structures are not erroneously omitted or duplicated.
• The process of segmentation in urban informal settlements: There are two phases to
segmentation. Firstly, segment boundaries are created (using gravel roads, foot paths, dirt roads etc.,)
and dwelling unit counts are recorded for each identified segment. Secondly, segment(s) are selected
by methodologists at head office from which a sample of dwelling units is drawn for enumeration. This
procedure was introduced to ensure that the sampled dwelling units could be easily identified to enable
field-staff to return for subsequent visits.
9. Data processing
9.1 Introduction
The purpose of data processing is to ensure that the information collected from the sampled primary sampling
units, dwelling units and households (i.e. the boxes containing QLFS questionnaires) are physically received,
stored and processed. The aim is to produce a clean dataset that has all the information contained in the
questionnaires. Except for the scanning system, all other elements of the data processing system were developed
in-house.
One important innovation that is central to the smooth operation of the entire system is the development of
barcodes that are linked to a unique number on each questionnaire. This information provides the link between the
information recorded in the Master Sample database and other processes such as editing and imputation as well
as weighting and variance estimation.
9.2.3 Guillotining
The purpose of the guillotine process is to cut off the spines of the questionnaires in order to have pages separated
for scanning.
9.2.5 Scanning
The purpose of scanning and recognition is to convert the questionnaires into an electronic format and Tagged
Image File Format (TIFF) images.
9.2.6 Verification
The purpose of scanning verification is to manually correct un-interpretable characters, missing data and errors
detected by validation rules.
10
Details of the editing and imputation system are provided at Stats SA website: www.statssa.gov.za/qlfs/index.asp.
11
Each record represents the information collected about a single respondent regardless of age. While it is possible to link all of the records
belonging to a household (this is, in fact, done just prior to weighting), the records themselves only contain information about the characteristics
and labour market activities of the respondent represented by a given record.
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Statistics South Africa 14 Quarterly Labour Force Survey, August 2008
12
In some statistical programs the word “editing” is used to refer to both “editing” and “imputation as they are described in this note.
Report number: 02-11-01
Statistics South Africa 15 Quarterly Labour Force Survey, August 2008
In addition to the fieldwork and processing details required on the cover page of each questionnaire, the core QLFS
questionnaire has in total 59 questions in Section 1 through to Section 4. The sequencing and phrasing of each
question was tested through behind-the-glass observations and focus-groups in all the official languages. The
questionnaire was also translated into all the official languages for reference during fieldwork. Four field tests using
the new questionnaire were conducted during the period April 2006 to December 2007.
10.3 Analysis
Analysis of the core QLFS results is undertaken on a quarterly basis using a standard tabulation plan than includes
all questions included in the core. As noted earlier, in each quarter there is a 75 per cent overlap of dwelling units,
since 25 per cent of dwelling units in the Master Sample are rotated out each quarter. This ensures stability in the
results (lower variance in estimates of change) and produces more robust estimates. Figure 5 shows that in any
given calendar year, data collected in the first quarter (January to March) are analysed and published by end-April.
In turn, data collected in the second quarter (April to June) are published end-July etc. In addition, an annual report
that provides detailed analysis of the quarterly changes will be published six months after the end of each year.
The requirement to reduce the core QLFS questionnaire to a minimum length to facilitate the quarterly publication
of results has consequences for the analysis of questions that were previously in the questionnaire. These
questions are under review and will be subject to stakeholder consultations. They may well be re-introduced as a
separate supplement on an annual basis. In addition, other supplements will also be undertaken as the need
arises.
13
See Appendix 1 for the actual questionnaire.
Report number: 02-11-01
Statistics South Africa 16 Quarterly Labour Force Survey, August 2008
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Classification questions
The three most important derived variables: employed; unemployed and not economically active; are discussed in
detail in Section 6 of this guide in the context of the conceptual framework. Non-market activities and discouraged
work-seekers are also discussed in Section 6. The classification questions used to derive the three major labour
market components are as follows 14 :
1. Employees who are not registered for income tax and who work in establishments that employ less
than five persons;
2. Employers, own-account workers and persons helping unpaid in their household business who are not
registered for either income tax or value-added tax.
14
See Appendix 1 for the exact questions used in the QLFS questionnaire.
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Statistics South Africa 17 Quarterly Labour Force Survey, August 2008
Employed:
No No
Yes
Informal sector
Employed:
Market production activities (including agriculture)
No No
Informal employment*
The tables in the QLFS tabulation plan will be published in a standard format each quarter. These tables are
populated at various levels of importance: national, province and population group. Small values will not be
published since since these estimates are not reliable. Key labour market indicators and quarterly changes (in
absolute numbers and as percentages) are presented for: employment in market production activities,
unemployment and economic inactivity etc.. These tables also include derived variables such as the unemployment
rate (where non-market production activities are excluded from employment), the labour force participation rate, the
employment-to-population ratio (absorption) and the number of discouraged work-seekers. Persons engaged in
non-market production activities by province are reported separately. Additional tables focusing on other aspects of
the labour market are also included in the QLFS tabulation as follows:
Employed:
Age; highest level of education; marital status; time related under-employment; industry; occupation;
informal sector; informal employment etc.,
Unemployed:
Age, highest level of education; marital status; long-term unemployment; new entrants; re-entrants; job-
leavers; job-losers; previous occupation and industry etc.,
1. A quarterly statistical release which will focus on quarter to quarter changes of key labour market
indicators.
2. An annual report (from June 2009) that will provide in-depth analysis of the data collected throughout
the year.
3. Unit record data sets for the QLFS will also be made available four weeks after the release of results
each quarter.
In addition, revised labour market indicators will be published for the LFS to provide historical continuity. Link
factors will be computed on the basis of an overlap between the QLFS and the LFS for key labour market
variables. The LFS March series will be back cast to March 2001 and published in August 2008 and the September
series will be back cast to September 2001 and published in March 2009.
12.1 Methodology:
a. Development of a new Master Sample with an extended life that can serve the needs of an expanded
household surveys programme.
b. Implementation of a sophisticated rotation scheme to avoid overlap with other surveys.
c. Development of variance estimation procedures to produce tools for the assessment of data quality. In
addition, the new sample will yield estimates with lower sampling variance even though the two sample
sizes are the same.
a. Real time management system (RTMS) for tracking and monitoring publicity and data collection.
b. Store management system to enable the tracking of questionnaires throughout the data processing
phases.
c. Scanning and image retrieval system to enable the rapid verification of questionnaire content.
d. Editing and imputation system to ensure minimised human intervention in the production process.
e. Fully automated bulk coding system for industry and occupation to ensure consistency in the coding
process.
f. Master Sample capturing system to provide an up-to-date electronic database from which unique
samples for each household-based survey can be drawn.
13. Linking the old and the new labour market indicators
13.1 Introduction
As discussed earlier, both the LFS and the QLFS are instruments used for collecting labour market information.
However, the redesign of all survey processes to accommodate the requirements of a quarterly design resulted in
changes to the survey methodology, the sample frame, the frequency of data collection and data releases, the
questionnaire, and the data capture and processing systems.
15
Details of all quality improvements are provided in “Quality improvements in the QLFS by Workstream” at the Stats SA website @
www.statssa.gov.za/qlfs/index.asp.
Report number: 02-11-01
Statistics South Africa 21 Quarterly Labour Force Survey, August 2008
It is not possible to disentangle the various factors throughout the survey process that contribute to the differences
between the results of the LFS and those of the QLFS. However, the structure of the new core QLFS questionnaire
is likely to have played a major role. The new training initiatives, the redesign of the Master Sample and the
continuity gained by having permanent field-staff are also important contributors. In addition, the seamless process
of data processing that requires minimal manual intervention and ensures that questionnaires are processed
continuously such that results can be published four weeks after the end of the quarter are also likely to have made
a substantial contribution.
Conceptually, revising historical LFS data means that the revised LFS data for, say, March 2002 represent Stats
SA’s best estimate of what the QLFS would have shown had it been conducted in, say, Q1, 2002.
The historical revision is carried out in three phases. In the first phase a set of high-level variables is chosen (e.g.,
employed formal sector, employed formal sector, etc). For each of these variables, ratios of the QLFS estimate to
the corresponding LFS estimate are calculated. One set of ratios is obtained from the Q1 overlap of the QLFS (Q1,
2008) and the LFS (March 2008). The second set is from the Q3 overlap of the QLFS (Q3, 2008) and the LFS
(September 2008).
In the second phase, LFS records that contain blanks in the variables for which the ratios were calculated are
purged. Then the historical LFS unit record (micro data) files are re-weighted. This weighting incorporates
population estimates that reflect the population as of the middle of the quarter (as opposed to the last month in the
quarter).
The corresponding vectors from the LFS going back to March 2002 are multiplied by the ratios described above to
obtain historical control totals. These vectors are then adjusted so that they are consistent with the population
control totals as well as with each other (e.g., the various disaggregations of employment add to the same total).
In the third phase the files are re-weighted again. This time, in addition to the conventional control totals, control
totals reflecting the application of the 2008 ratios, are also included.
Historically revised LFS data are then obtained by running tabulations on these re-weighted files.