Draft 2024 Budget Policy Statement
Draft 2024 Budget Policy Statement
Draft 2024 Budget Policy Statement
MEDIUM TERM
18THDECEMBER, 2023
© Budget Policy Statement (BPS) 2024
Tel: +254-20-2252-299
Fax: +254-20-341-082
ii
Draft 2024 Budget Policy Statement
Foreword
The 2024 Budget Policy Statement (BPS), the second to be prepared under the
Kenya Kwanza Administration, reaffirms the priority policies and strategies under
the Bottom-Up Economic Transformation Agenda (BETA) and prioritized in the
Fourth Medium Term Plan of the Vision 2030.
Since coming into office in September 2022, the Government has implemented
bold policy responses to mitigate the negative global and persistent shocks that
have pushed the economy to its lowest vibrant level, and embarked on structural
reforms to stabilize Government finances and the economy. These shocks include,
global supply chain disruptions due to ongoing conflicts in Eastern Europe and the
Israeli-Palestinian war; high interest rates limiting access to credit and exacerbating
debt servicing costs; significant losses and damages due to frequent extreme
weather events; and elevated commodity prices such on petroleum products on
account of increased geopolitical fragmentation and global oil supply cuts.
iii
Draft 2024 Budget Policy Statement
sectors, the rebound in agriculture, and the ongoing implementation of policy
measures to boost economic activity in the priority sectors of the BETA.
Over the next four years, the Government will scale up efforts on policy and
structural reforms under the BETA so as to navigate the global turbulence,
accelerate economic recovery, and address overarching development challenges
namely creating jobs, eradicating poverty and mitigating climate change. As
explained earlier, the Government will accelerate investments in: (i) Human
Capital Development; (ii) Markets; (iii) Domestic Resource Mobilization; (iv)
Reform and Restructure of Institutions; and (v) Digitization so as to coordinate all
the other four areas.
The fiscal policy stance for the FY 2024/25 and the medium term aims to support
the Bottom-Up Economic Transformation Agenda (BETA) through a growth
friendly fiscal consolidation plan. The consolidation will be supported by enhanced
revenue mobilization and rationalization of non-priority expenditure while
protecting capital expenditure. Emphasis will be placed on aggressive revenue
mobilization through a combination of tax administrative and tax policy reforms.
The Government has embarked on the implementation of the Medium-Term
Revenue Strategy (MTRS) that will further strengthen tax revenue mobilization
efforts to over 20.0 percent of GDP over the Medium Term. On the Tax
Administration side, the Authority’s capacity will be scaled up to rely more on
technology to seal leakages; enhancements of iTax and Integrated Customs
Management System (iCMS); and use of e-TIMS (Tax Invoice Management
System). The Government has also scaled up efforts on requiring the various
Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs) to not only mobilize more non-tax
revenues but also transfer resources to exchequer. Eventually, majority of the
MDAs are expected to be self-financing. These policy strategies will expand the
primary surplus in the fiscal framework and stabilize the growth of public debt
thereby boosting the country’s debt sustainability position.
Given the limited resources, the hard sector ceilings provided for the FY 2024/25
Budget and the Medium Term will form the basis of the detailed budget allocations
for submission to Parliament by 30th April 2024. The budgeting for the FY 2024/25
budget, will strictly be developed through a value chain approach under five
clusters for the nine value chains as enumerated earlier. The targeted outcomes of
budget implementation is to bring down the cost of living, increase employment,
enhance equitable distribution of income, social security while also expanding the
tax revenue base, and increasing foreign exchange earnings.
iv
Draft 2024 Budget Policy Statement
Acknowledgement
The 2024 Budget Policy Statement is prepared in compliance with the provisions
of the Public Finance Management Act, 2012. It outlines the strategic priorities of
the Government, highlights the current state of the economy, provides macro-fiscal
outlook over the medium term together with a summary of Government spending
plans as a basis for the FY 2024/25. The publication of the 2024 BPS aims to
improve the public’s understanding of Kenya’s public finances and guide public
debate on economic and development matters.
The Government is keen on fostering prudent management of public resources in
order to support inclusive economic growth and development. In this respect, the
Government has adopted a “hard budget constraint” principle in relation to the
fiscal framework for FY 2023/24. Expenditure requirements arising within the year
will be financed by cutting back on other expenditures thereby maintaining the
expenditure ceilings and primary budget balance as per the fiscal framework. This
policy has been operationalized in the current financial year - new expenditure
requirements which have arisen during the year have been accommodated by an
across the board 10 percent budget cut. Additionally, while preparing this budget,
all proposed Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs) budgets for FY
2024/25 have been scrutinized carefully to ensure quality and alignment to the
Government’s Bottom–Up Economic Transformation Agenda as outlined in this
BPS and the Fourth Medium Term Plan and other strategic interventions of
national interest.
The policy measures outlined in the 2024 BPS are expected to improve economy-
wide efficiencies, create an enabling environment that supports growth in
businesses and investment, reduce the cost of living as well as enhance the
wellbeing of all Kenyans. The tight fiscal stance is expected to reduce debt
vulnerabilities through implementation of reforms to broaden the domestic tax base
and improve tax compliance. Expenditure rationalization will continue to focus on
enhanced efficiency of public investments, better targeting of subsidies and
transfers, addressing weakness in state corporations, and digital delivery of public
services. Social safety nets and fiscal risk management framework will be
enhanced.
The completion of this policy statement was as a result of collective effort by
various MDAs who provided valuable information. We are grateful for their
contributions. We are also grateful for the inputs we received while preparing this
document from the Macro Working Group; stakeholders and the general public
during the Public Sector Hearings in December 2023. A dedicated team in the
National Treasury spent substantial amount of time putting together this BPS. We
are particularly grateful to them for their tireless efforts and dedication.
v
Draft 2024 Budget Policy Statement
Table of Contents
Foreword ............................................................................................................................. iii
Acknowledgement ......................................................................................................................... v
I. SUSTAINING BOTTOM-UP ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION AGENDA ................ 1
1.1 Overview ............................................................................................................................... 1
1.2 Core Pillars ............................................................................................................................3
1.2.1 Agricultural Transformation and Inclusive Growth .......................................................3
1.2.2 Transforming the Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise (MSME) Economy ................4
1.2.3 Housing and Settlement .................................................................................................5
1.2.4 Healthcare ......................................................................................................................6
1.2.5 Digital Superhighway and Creative Economy ............................................................... 7
1.3 Enablers .................................................................................................................................9
1.3.1 Infrastructure..................................................................................................................9
1.3.2 Manufacturing Sector .................................................................................................. 12
1.3.3 Blue Economy ............................................................................................................. 15
1.3.4 The Services Economy ................................................................................................ 15
1.3.5 Environment and Climate Change ............................................................................... 18
1.3.6 Education and Training ................................................................................................ 19
1.3.7 Women Agenda ........................................................................................................... 20
1.3.8 Social Protection .......................................................................................................... 20
1.3.9 Sports, Culture and Arts............................................................................................... 22
1.3.10 Youth Empowerment and Development Agenda ...................................................... 22
1.3.11 Governance ................................................................................................................ 23
1.3.12 Foreign Policy and Regional Integration ................................................................... 25
1.4 Medium Term Revenue Strategy ......................................................................................... 28
1.4.1 Objectives of Medium-Term Revenue Strategy .......................................................... 28
1.4.2 Highlights of Specific Revenue Mobilization Measures .............................................. 29
1.4.3 Implementation of Medium-Term Revenue Strategy .................................................. 31
II. RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS AND MEDIUM-TERM OUTLOOK......... 32
2.1 Overview ............................................................................................................................. 32
2.2 Domestic Economic Developments..................................................................................... 33
2.3 Fiscal Performance .............................................................................................................. 41
2.4 Fiscal Policy ........................................................................................................................ 42
2.5 Economic Outlook ............................................................................................................... 46
2.6 Risks to the Economic Outlook ........................................................................................... 49
III. BUDGET FOR FY 2024/25 AND THE MEDIUM TERM ............................................... 51
3.1 Fiscal Framework for FY 2024/25 and Medium Term Budget ........................................... 51
3.2 FY 2024/25 and Medium-Term Budget Priorities ............................................................... 51
3.3 Budgetary Allocations for the FY 2024/25 and the Medium-Term..................................... 52
3.4 Details of Sector Priorities................................................................................................... 54
vi
Draft 2024 Budget Policy Statement
3.5 Public Participation/ Sector Hearings and Involvement of Stakeholders ............................ 70
IV. COUNTY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT AND DIVISION OF REVENUE ................ 71
4.1 County Governments’ Compliance with Fiscal Responsibility Principles .......................... 71
4.1.1 Allocation to Development Expenditure over the Medium-Term ............................... 72
4.1.2 Actual Development Expenditure over the Medium Term .......................................... 73
4.1.3 Compliance with the Requirement on Expenditure on Wages and Benefits ................ 74
4.2 Enhancement of County Governments’ Own-Source-Revenue .......................................... 74
4.3 Prudent Management of Fiscal Risks .................................................................................. 77
4.3.1 Pending Bills ................................................................................................................ 77
4.3.2 County Governments Capacity Building on Public Finance Management .................. 79
4.4 Division of Revenue for FY 2024/25 .................................................................................. 80
4.5 Intergovernmental Fiscal Transfers ..................................................................................... 81
4.5.1 Additional Allocations ................................................................................................. 81
4.6 Equalization Fund ................................................................................................................ 83
4.7 Emerging Issues and Policy Interventions ........................................................................... 83
4.7.1 Transfer of Functions and Cooperation between National and County Governments . 83
4.7.2 Integrated County Revenue Management System (ICRMS) ....................................... 84
4.7.3 Sharing of Mineral Royalty Revenue with County Governments and Communities .. 84
4.7.4 Revenue from Court Fines emanating from County Legislation ................................. 84
4.7.5 County Governments Public Finance Management ..................................................... 85
4.7.6 Intergovernmental Agreements in respect of the Additional Conditional Allocations 85
4.7.7 Transfer of the Library Services Function ................................................................... 85
ANNEX 1: ADHERENCE TO FISCAL RESPONSIBILITY PRINCIPLES ........................ 86
ANNEX 2: STATEMENT OF SPECIFIC FISCAL RISKS .................................................... 90
ANNEX 3: MEMORANDUM ON HOW RESOLUTIONS BY PARLIAMENT ON
PREVIOUS BUDGET POLICY STATEMENTS HAVE BEEN INCORPORATED ........ 101
Annex Table 1: Macroeconomic Indicators ............................................................................ 106
Annex Table 2: Government Fiscal Operations, Ksh Billion .................................................. 107
Annex Table 3: Government Fiscal Operations, Percent of GDP ........................................... 108
Annex Table 4: Summary of Expenditure by Programmes (Ksh Million) .............................. 109
vii
Draft 2024 Budget Policy Statement
About the Budget Policy Statement
The Budget Policy Statement (BPS) is a Government policy document that sets out
the broad strategic priorities and policy goals to guide the National Government
and the County Governments in preparing their budgets for the subsequent
financial year and over the medium term.
In the document, adherence to the fiscal responsibility principles demonstrates
prudent and transparent management of public resources in line with the
Constitution and the Public Finance Management (PFM) Act, 2012.
Section 25 of the PFM Act, 2012, provides that the National Treasury shall prepare
and submit to the Cabinet the BPS for approval. Subsequently, the approved BPS
is submitted to the Parliament, by the 15th of February each year. Parliament shall,
not later than 14 days after the BPS is submitted, table and discuss a report
containing its recommendations and pass a resolution to adopt it with or without
amendments. The Cabinet Secretary, the National Treasury and Economic
Planning shall take into account resolutions passed by Parliament in finalizing the
budget for the FY 2024/25 and the medium term.
The Budget Policy Statement contains:
(a) an assessment of the current state of the economy, including macroeconomic
forecasts as well as the priorities of the Government current pillars of growth
and strategic directions;
(b) the financial outlook with respect to Government revenue, expenditures and
borrowing for the next financial year and over the medium term;
(c) the proposed expenditure ceilings for the National Government, including
those of Parliament and the Judiciary and indicative transfers to County
Governments;
(d) the fiscal responsibility principles and financial objectives over the medium-
term including limits on total annual debt; and
(e) Statement of Specific Fiscal Risks.
The preparation of the BPS is a consultative process that involves seeking and
taking into account the current Government priorities and challenges in economic
management and the views of: The Commission on Revenue Allocation; County
Governments; Controller of Budget; Parliamentary Service Commission; Judicial
Service Commission; Ministries, Departments and Agencies; the public and any
other interested persons or groups.
viii
Draft 2024 Budget Policy Statement
I. SUSTAINING BOTTOM-UP ECONOMIC
TRANSFORMATION AGENDA
1.1 Overview
1. The 2024 Budget Policy Statement (BPS), the second to be prepared under
the Kenya Kwanza Administration, reaffirms the priority policies and strategies
outlined in the Bottom-Up Economic Transformation Agenda (BETA) and as
prioritized in the Fourth Medium Term Plan of the Vision 2030. Since coming into
office in September 2022, the Government has implemented bold policy responses
to mitigate the negative global and persistent shocks that have pushed the economy
to its lowest vibrant level, and embarked on structural reforms to stabilize
Government finances and the economy. These shocks include, global supply chain
disruptions due to ongoing conflicts in Eastern Europe and the Israeli-Palestinian
war; high interest rates limiting access to credit and exacerbating debt servicing
costs; significant losses and damages due to frequent extreme weather events; and
elevated commodity prices such on petroleum products on account of increased
geopolitical fragmentation and global oil supply cuts.
2. Against this background, the Government continues to implement
interventions and policies to reduce the cost of living and improving livelihoods,
while at the same time fostering a sustainable inclusive economic transformation
through the Bottom-Up Economic Transformation Agenda. This is meant to
reverse the economic recession and ignite economic recovery. This Development
Agenda recognizes the importance of managing the cost of living through well-
functioning markets to enhance productivity, availability and affordability of goods
and services for all citizens. We have noted that market failures in sectors that
supported the economy are glaring. The interventions target five core priority areas
namely: i) Agricultural Transformation and Inclusive Growth; ii) Micro, Small and
Medium Enterprise (MSME) Economy; iii) Housing and Settlement; iv)
Healthcare; and v) Digital Superhighway and Creative Industry.
3. Despite the challenging environment, we have noted significant success
following the various interventions rolled out during the past one year by the
Government. Specifically, economic vibrancy has started. The economy in the first
half of 2023 remains strong at 5.45 percent a demonstration of resilience. This
growth well above estimated global and Sub-Saharan African region average of
2.9 percent and 3.3 percent respectively. The economy is projected to expand by
5.5 percent in 2023 and 2024 from 4.8 percent in 2022. This growth outlook will
be supported by a broad-based private sector growth, continued robust
performance of the services sectors, the rebound in agriculture, and the ongoing
implementation of policy measures to boost economic activity in the priority
sectors of the BETA.
4. Other progress has been realised in the core pillars of the Bottom-Up
Economic Transformation Agenda. In order to support livelihood and businesses,
the Government through the Financial Inclusion Fund, or the Hustlers Fund has
provided access to affordable credit to over 20 million Kenyans and MSMEs at the
bottom of the pyramid and encouraged savings. To ensure food security in the
9. The estimated shortfall of 200,000 urban housing units a year, has led to high
cost for very poor quality housing including slums. In order to bridge the housing
gap, the Government has launched several affordable housing projects across the
country. The construction of 46,792 units in various parts of the country is already
underway, while another 40,000 units are ready to commence construction. A total
of 746,795 housing units are in the pipeline, undergoing various stages of delivery.
10. The Government is also implementing policy and administrative reforms to
lower the cost of construction and improve access to affordable housing finance
while creating jobs and entrepreneurial opportunities to all Kenyans. In this regard,
the Government is structuring affordable long-term housing finance schemes,
including a National Housing Fund and Cooperative Social Housing Schemes, that
will guarantee off take of houses from developers. As part of the process, the
Housing Levy that was enacted in Finance Act, 2023 is providing an off take fund
that will de-risk investors, and offer affordable finance to home-owners, bringing
home ownership within the reach of the majority of urban population.
11. The Affordable Housing Programme is also envisaged as a job creating
economic stimulus that will offset the cutback in public infrastructure spending.
The Programme is expected to create quality jobs for youths, employing graduates
from TVETS, directly in construction sector and indirectly throughout every value
chain in the housing development ecosystem. Already, 50,000 Kenyans, who were
previously unemployed, are now engaged directly and indirectly in this enterprise,
and the numbers will significantly increase as the projects move into the next
phases.
12. Towards this end, the Government will continue to upgrade and support Jua
Kali capacity to produce high quality construction productions by linking it with
technical and vocational education institutions. More jobs will be created with the
formalisation of the Jua Kali clusters, providing products like doors, hinges and
windows. Architects, engineers, quantity surveyors, masons, electricians,
plumbers, transporters, steel and cement factory workers, and hardware merchants
will be partakers of this transformative plan from the bottom up.
13. To support rural housing and settlement, the Government will establish a
Settlement Fund similar to the one that was used to acquire land from settler
farmers after independence. The land purchased by the scheme will be subject to
land use planning where beneficiaries will own transferable residential plots in
planned settlement to stop land fragmentation.
1.2.4 Healthcare
14. The Constitution guarantees Kenyans the right to the highest standards of
health. For this reason, the Kenya Kwanza Administration identified healthcare
delivery as one of the core pillars of the Bottom-Up Economic Transformation
Agenda. In order to deliver Universal Health Coverage, the Government embarked
on various interventions to: i) provide of a fully public financed primary health
care system, an emergency care fund and a health insurance fund that will cover
all Kenyans, ii) install of a digital health management information system, iii) set
up a Fund for improving health facilities; iv) set up an Emergency Medical
Treatment Fund, iv) establish a National Insurance Fund that covers all Kenyans,
and v) avail medical staff who would deliver Universal Health Coverage.
15. Significant progress has been made in the delivery of the universal health
care. Notably, the Government has reformed the National Health Insurance Fund
to meet the urgent needs of Kenyans at the bottom of the socioeconomic structure
by actualizing its purpose as a social medical insurance facility. Health insurance
coverage in Kenya has generally been low at 26 percent, with those at the bottom
of the economic pyramid having the least coverage of less than 5 per cent. Many
Kenyans incur catastrophic expenditures from out-of-pocket healthcare payments,
while many more do not seek care when they fall ill, because they simply cannot
afford. Over the last decade, several measures have been put in place to enhance
the capacity of the National Hospital Insurance Fund to effectively deliver on its
mandate. While these reform initiatives have yielded significant progress, several
gaps remain. Recent analysis shows that, among others, the NHIF operates as a
passive, rather than a strategic purchaser, is plagued by inefficiency and
governance challenges, and is potentially financially unsustainable.
16. To strengthen the legal basis for health financing, health service provision and
achievement of UHC, four new health laws have been enacted. These are: i) Social
Health Insurance Act, 2023; ii) Primary Health Care Act, 2023; iii) Facility
Improvement Financing Act, 2023; and iv) Digital Health Act, 2023. These laws
will usher in and guarantee a new era in the provision of healthcare, covering all
essential services from preventive, promotive, curative, palliative and
rehabilitative services, guaranteeing every Kenyan access to comprehensive and
quality care. The Social Health Insurance Act will among other things, establishes
the publicly financed Primary Health Fund, a fully publicly financed chronic,
emergency and critical illness fund and the Social Health Insurance Fund. Access
to healthcare will no longer be based on ability to pay; it will be based on the health
needs of every Kenyan. The Government will be implementing a per-household
payment system, where a flat rate applies to everyone, regardless of their income.
20. The Government recognizes that digital economy is the emerging frontier of
opportunity, productivity and competitiveness. In order to entrench Kenya’s lead
in digital economy, the Government under the BETA committed to, among other
things: i) promote investment in the digital superhighway and the creative
economy; ii) support extension of National Optic Fibre Backbone infrastructure to
ensure universal broadband availability; and iii) digitize and automate all critical
1.3 Enablers
27. Attainment of Government’s Bottom – Up Economic Transformation Agenda
will be underpinned by sound and innovative policy and structural reforms targeted
at all socio-economic sectors, building efficient infrastructure, climate-change
mitigation mechanisms, as well as foster strict compliance with the Constitution
and the rule of law. This will create a strong and solid foundation for economic
transformation and industrialization as envisaged in the Kenya Vision 2030 and
improve the living conditions of all Kenyans. The following enablers will be
prioritized to enhance the attainment of the Agenda:
1.3.1 Infrastructure
28. Development of critical infrastructure is key to economic growth as well as
key enabler to the implementation of Bottom-Up Economic Transformation
Agenda (BETA). The Government will continue to intensify national and regional
connectivity through water, road, rail, port, energy and fibre-optic infrastructure in
order to achieve socioeconomic transformation in the country, enhance Kenya’s
competitiveness, and facilitate cross-border trade and regional integration.
1.3.1.1 Water
29. In Kenya, more than 90 percent agricultural products are grown in rain-fed
farming systems and only 20 percent of land is deemed suitable for rain-fed
agriculture. The remaining land requires irrigation to ensure optimal production
due to inadequate rainfall. To enhance access to safe water for domestic, irrigation
and industrial use, the Government has made significant progress by developing
the Water (Amendment) Bill, 2023 which seeks to promote private investment in
the water sector through the Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) model. The
1.3.1.2 Roads
30. The Government will continue to strengthen the institutional framework for
road development in order accelerate the speed of completion of new and stalled
road construction projects to cater for the growing population. In order to minimize
waste of resource, the Government will ensure all projects are completed within
two years and no new project to be launched before the ongoing ones are complete.
31. Over the medium term, the Government will prioritize upgrading and
maintaining rural access roads to open up the rural areas to enable farmers to get
their produce to markets faster and cheaply. The Government will also improve
road infrastructure in urban informal settlement and critical national and regional
trunk roads that have the highest immediate economic impact. To streamline
transport accident investigations, the Government will establish the Kenya
Transport Accident Investigation Bureau (KTAIB) as part of institutional and legal
reforms proposed. The Bureau will utilize international best practices and will
pursue safety interventions in road, rail, pipeline and marine transport.
1.3.1.3 Electricity
32. Access to affordable and efficient energy is crucial for the achievement of the
socioeconomic transformation as envisioned in the Bottom-Up Economic
Transformation Agenda and the Kenya’s Vision 2030. While generation capacity
and total electricity connections have increased considerably in the recent years,
electricity in the country remains expensive in comparison to other countries.
33. To reduce electricity prices, the Government has introduced a myriad of
interventions to provide relief for electricity consumers while at the same time
ensure the long-term viability and sustainability of the energy sector. This includes
Renewable Energy Feed-in Tariffs (REFIT), investment in geothermal energy,
rural electrification, and engagement of independent power producers in keeping
with the Renewable Energy Auction Policy. The Government has also lifted the
moratorium on Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) as a way of enhancing the
nation’s energy security through opening up the energy sector for continued
investments.
34. Building on these interventions, the Government has set up a team to evaluate
on how to bring down the cost of electricity to lower the cost of living by the end
of 2023. The Government will continue to support the use of renewable energy.
Kenya has abundant renewable energy sources such as wind, solar, and geothermal
power. By investing in these sources of energy, Kenya can reduce its dependence
on expensive fossil fuels and lower the cost of electricity.
Petroleum
36. Price volatility of petroleum products remains a key challenge for consumers
and economic stability. In order to stabilize consumer prices against unpredictable
swings in global oil prices, the Government has developed a strategy to revive and
commercialize the National Oil Corporation of Kenya (NOCK). Under this
strategy, NOCK will benefit from a partnership that restructures it into three
subsidiaries segmented around the petroleum products value-chain as follows:
NOC Upstream Limited, focused on exploration and upstream production activities
and services; NOC Downstream Limited, focused on marketing and distribution of
petroleum products; and NOC Trading Limited, specializing in holding strategic
stocks of petroleum products for import and export.
37. The Government has also approved the acquisition of the Kenya Petroleum
Refineries Limited (KPRL) by the Kenya Pipeline Company Limited (KPC). This
is expected to enhance petroleum supply chain infrastructure and thereby result in
security of supply and cost efficiency through reduced demurrage costs and
enhanced penetration of LPG usage in the country. This will enhance efficiency
and also foster synergy in the petroleum value chain by optimizing the use of our
existing downstream petroleum infrastructure.
38. Further, to cement the country as a leader in green energy, the Government
has developed the Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) Growth Policy. The Policy
seeks to steer our nation along an irreversible path towards securing the dignity of
all households through the use of safe and affordable LPG. The Policy provides a
pathway for progressively weaning-off the 70 percent of Kenyan households from
using dirty fuels as their primary cooking fuel. The Policy proposes that all housing
developments to have provisions for liquefied petroleum gas reticulation
infrastructure. This provision will be embedded as a prerequisite for approval of
any housing development projects, including those under the Affordable Housing
Programme. The policy further seeks to encompass establishing common-user
LPG import terminals, distributing subsidized LPG cylinders to low-income
households, promoting LPG use in institutions, facilitated by partnerships with
finance institutions, LPG players, and the Ministries of Education and Health.
These measures aim to reduce consumer prices, improve public safety and
contribute to both public health and environmental sustainability.
1.3.2.1 Agro-Processing
45. Kenya remains a leading producer of hides and skins in Africa. The leather
industry has the capacity to deliver 80,000 jobs and 100 billion dollars. To support
the growth of the leather industry in the country, the Government will build on the
ongoing interventions to facilitate local processing of all hides and skins that
include; setting up of leather cottage industries and expansion of existing tanneries;
completing the development of leather parks such as the Kenya Leather Industrial
Park (KLIP) and Kenanie; and supporting establishment of processing clusters in
Isiolo, Wajir, Narok, Ewaso Ng’iro.
46. The Government will continue to support building and construction value
chains, by: initiating the establishment of industrial park for construction materials;
enhancing local manufacturing of construction materials (clinker, cement, cabros,
prefabs) and electrical and electronics fittings, cables and products; and ring
fencing certain components of the low cost housing project for MSMEs.
47. Garments and textiles sector has huge untapped potential of employing
thousands of Kenyans and earning significant foreign exchange. However, the
sector is confronted by y numerous challenges including high cost of labour and
low agricultural productivity that hampers the competitiveness of Kenya’s garment
export. To unlock the potential of the sector, the Government will build on ongoing
measures including: attracting investment in manufacture of garments and
apparels, promoting modernization of textiles mills and cotton ginneries; and
promoting linkage of MSMEs (tailors) with schools, institutions to provide a
market for uniforms.
48. Dairy and livestock economy are sub-sectors are an integral part to the
Government’s plan to improve food security, create jobs and boost exports. To
support value chains under the dairy sub-sector, the Government targets to double
milk production in the next five years to expand opportunities for farmers. The
Government has already put in place a solid plan that will boost increase in
production from 5.2 billion litres to 10 billion litres a year.
49. As part of the process, the Government will modernise Kenya Cooperative
Creameries plants and install milk coolers countrywide so that more milk can be
processed boosting milk quality and income of dairy farmers. The Government will
also eliminate brokers from agricultural value chain using the county aggregation
and industrial parks so that farmers can earn maximum returns from their milk.
Other interventions include: duty free importation of raw materials for manufacture
of animal feeds to lower the cost production and make animal feeds affordable;
50. Currently, Kenyans consumes around 900 metric tonnes of edible oil
annually. Out of this, only 6 percent being produced locally while the rest is
imported, translating to an import bill of around Ksh 120 billion annually. To
reverse this trend, the Government will continue to measures targeted at increasing
the annual production of edible oils from 80,000 metric tonnes to 240,000 metric
tonnes within five years. This will reduce Kenya’s dependence on imports and
saving almost Ksh 100.0 billion spent annually on imports. Towards this end, the
Government will continue to attract investment to support oil cottage industries;
provision of CMFs and processing machinery for small industries; and expand
processing capacity of existing industries.
51. As part of the process, the Government launched dispensing machines made-
in-Kenya dubbed “Mama Pima” geared towards lowering the cost of cooking oil
in August 2023. The machines are expected to provide employment to thousands
of citizens and reduce the cost of the commodity. The initiative showcases the
Government's commitment to addressing the needs of the most economically
disadvantaged citizens and empowering them to improve the quality of life
52. Tea and coffee sub-sectors remain a key sector providing livelihoods to
millions of Kenyans and contributing significant foreign exchange earnings. To
revitalize the sub-sectors, the Government will build on the ongoing efforts
including: reforming the legal and policy frameworks; promotion of value addition
through provision of processing equipment; export market development and export
promotion; and establishment of warehouse for value added tea and coffee in key
development markets.
53. The Government’s reforms in the coffee sector are bearing fruit, with farmers
set to earn four times advance pay for their crop, from a low of Ksh 20 to Ksh 80,
following the allocation of Ksh 4 billion from the Coffee Cherry Fund. Coffee
reforms regulations will give farmers' the necessary representation and weight at
the Nairobi Coffee Auction. These measures are expected to aid ongoing efforts,
including expanding production to new counties and double coffee output in the
next 4 years.
54. The Government is currently restructuring public sugar mills, expediting the
leasing of five companies for rehabilitation and expansion to boost industry
competitiveness before the COMESA sugar safeguards expire. The objective
includes creating a competitive sector, raising farmer incomes and enhancing
80. Social Safety Nets Programs in Kenya play a pivotal role in reducing poverty,
improving social inclusion and enhance economic stability. By providing financial
and non-financial support to vulnerable populations, these programs contribute to
the well-being and resilience of elderly citizens. For this reason, the Government
85. Sports, Culture and Arts sectors are critical for revenue generation by availing
the foreign exchange through a sports economy value chain, inclusive growth and
employment creation. To realize these benefits, the Government continues to
facilitate the development of legal framework, economic institutions, and
organisational mechanisms to promote the effective and sustainable monetisation
of all talent in sports and creative economies.
86. To foster talent development, the Government developed the Sports and
Creative Economy Master Plan, or Talanta Hela. The program is intended to
support and nurture the talents of Kenyan youth, providing them with opportunities
to turn their skills and abilities into viable sources of income. The endpoint of
Talanta Hela is 'pesa mfukoni' or competitive incomes that can sustain livelihoods
and reward talent, dedication, discipline and focus. Talanta Hela program is a
demonstration of the Government’s commitment to turn competitive capabilities
across all sporting disciplines and the expansive spectrum of the creative industry,
including music and dance, film and theatre, fashion and pageantry, digital content
creation as well as literary and fine arts.
87. Over the medium term, the Government will establish a National Academy
by expanding the resident academy at the Moi International Sports Centre-
Kasarani, to incorporate modern training and accommodation facilities that meet
international standards. The Government will also prioritize the completion and
upgrading of stalled/ old sports facilities in optimal utility areas and high potential
talent zones. Currently, the Government is upgrading the Moi International Sports
Centre, Kasarani, Nyayo National Stadium and the Kipchoge Keino Stadium in
Eldoret to provide the infrastructure for international football in Kenya.
1.3.9.2 Culture
1.3.11 Governance
90. To strengthen the framework for governance as envisaged under Article 10
of Constitution on national values and principles of governance, the Government
has approved the Public Relations and Communication Management Bill and the
Statute Law (Miscellaneous Amendments) Bill, 2023. Further, the Government has
identified the significant improvement of productivity in key sectors an urgent
priority of national economic governance efforts. Such improvements require
immense investments and the resources to invest come from revenues. There is
simply no space for wastage and corruption because that would be the recipe for
disastrous failure. In line with this, today, the Cabinet approved the Public Audit
(Amendment) Bill, 2023, which will enhance the Auditor General's independence
and transparency to ensure proper utilization of public resources through audits and
also provide power for fraud investigations.
91. Corruption, wastage, inefficiency and negligence are serious threats to
transformation agenda, and unacceptable practices that have no place in the nation.
To address these challenges, the Government will continue to scale-up the
implementation of the provisions of the Kenya 2010 Constitution, strengthen the
rule of law, increase access to justice, and ensure respect for human rights. As part
of the process, the Government will continue to strengthen various institutions that
are mandated to fight corruption in the country, implement reforms on good
governance and enhance the capacity to recover corruptly acquired assets.
Additionally, enactment of the Assets Declaration and Conflict of Interest Bill will
further tighten Kenya’s anti-corruption policy framework, and eliminate space for
misbehaviour.
92. Kenya has one of the world’s finest human capital with huge potential to drive
socio-economic transformation envisaged under the Bottom-Up Economic
Transformation Agenda and the Kenya Vision 2030. For this reason, the
Government will continue to transform public service sector to make more
responsive to people needs. In particular, the Government will continue to facilitate
Public Service Commission so as to exhibit high levels of productivity, good
governance, diligence and excellent performance.
93. In order to improve human resource management, the Government has
developed a Unified Human Resource (UHR) system—which will consolidate
Human Resource and Payroll data in the Public Service for access through a single
warehouse. Since July 2023, the UHR system is linked to Kenya Revenue
Authority i-Tax to facilitate filing of PAYE tax element associated with individual
employees and total monthly PAYE tax obligation from the State Departments.
The Government will incorporate the other deductions to enable all remittances to
be sent to respective entities including Pension Funds and other employees’
contributions schemes by July 2024.
1.3.11.4 Security
99. The security and safety of all citizens is the Government’s foremost
commitment and most fundamental obligation, without which every other
endeavour including attaining the Bottom-Up Economic Transformation Agenda
is not possible. For this reason, the Government continues to implement reforms
targeted at improving the operational capacities of our security forces to protect
Kenyans against external and internal threats.
100. As part of the process, the Government has increased funding to all security
agencies to improve their operations including addressing the spectre of terrorism
that is a continuing threat, banditry, cattle-rustling and armed lawlessness have
besieged and devastated communities in the Rift Valley, North-Eastern and,
occasionally, parts of Eastern and the Coast regions. As a strategy, the Government
will endeavour to achieve a corrupt free law enforcement sector and restoring
public confidence in the country’s security apparatus. The Government will also
cultivate a culture of open communication and information sharing among different
stakeholders, with a special focus on local communities, to aid in the ongoing
campaign against violent extremism.
101. Cybersecurity threats are becoming a growing concern for Kenyan online
business especially with the rise of payment portals which have rendered them
vulnerable by cybercriminals. To mitigate these risks, the Government will
continue employing a robust security measure, educate business owners, and
collaborate with various actors both state and non-state. The use of electronic
payment systems and inclusion is a critical infrastructure deliberated through a
National Computer and Cybercrimes Coordination Committee (NCCCC).
102. The Government’s commitment to peace initiatives is unwavering as
enshrined within the Global Public Security Framework. The Government aim to
deepen cooperation in peace and security initiatives as well as law enforcement
programs. To ensure peace in the region, the Government launched a security
operation dubbed Operation Maliza Uhalifu North Rift to deal with security
challenges caused by pastoralist militia activity. This has significantly reduced
insecurity across North Rift region. However, its long-term impact is less certain
due to the country’s multiple security challenges and the risk of overstretching
Government security forces. To enhance boarder security, the Government will
earmark more Ports of Entry (PoE) in different parts of the country.
106. To unlock the potential of Kenya’s commercial and trade relations, the
Government will continue developing bilateral cooperation in trade and
investment, agriculture, forestry, capacity development in the public service and
transport and communications, among others. Other MOUs are on
telecommunications and ICT, oil and gas, mining and geology, health
collaboration, capacity building of the Public Service and cooperation of our
respective diplomatic academies.
107. The Government has also set up a highly experienced economic advisory
team to forge the right policies and create an enabling environment for foreign
investors to support Kenya’s economic development agenda. Part of the critical
pillars of the foreign policy and regional integration agenda will include:
i) deepening bilateral ties and work with other countries at various multilateral
fora. Kenya is fully committed to a just and rules-based multilateral order that
works for the betterment of humanity;
ii) ensuring that existing bilateral agreements and memorandums of
understanding (MOUs) are constantly reviewed and updated for maximum
benefit;
iii) ensuring a mutually beneficial partnership that will seek more initiatives,
particularly for vocational training where young Kenyans can acquire critical
innovation skills in agriculture, science and technology, and health systems,
among others;
iv) considering easing entry visa requirements for this category of visitors
including diplomats, legislators, and businesspeople, in order to capitalize on
these opportunities. This would necessitate a reciprocal agreement for us to
ease access to visas into Kenya; and
108. The Government will continue to strengthen Kenya’s profile as regional role
as an anchor state in regional, continental, and global affairs. Underlying Kenya’s
peace and security diplomacy is the recognition of peace and stability as necessary
pre-conditions for development and prosperity. Linked to this, is Kenya’s
conviction that its own stability and economic wellbeing are dependent on the
stability of the sub-region, Africa and the rest of the world. To realize these
benefits, the Government will continue to:
vi) promote the resolution of conflicts by peaceful means drawing on Kenya’s
experiences in mediation, conflict resolution and peacekeeping;
vii) collaborate with other African countries to strengthen the conflict prevention,
management and resolution capacity of regional institutions, including the
East African Community (EAC), Inter Governmental Authority on
Development (IGAD), Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa
(COMESA) and the African Union (AU with the aim of promoting
sustainable peace and development;
viii) support peace efforts by the African Union and the United Nations through
contributing troops and providing leadership in peacekeeping missions within
the continent and globally; and
ix) create conflict analysis and prevention capacity nationally and in the region
through the foreign service academy.
1.3.12.3Global citizenship
1.3.12.4 Diaspora
110. The Government recognizes the huge and untapped potential of Kenyans
living abroad which can contribute to the country’s national socio-economic
transformation as envisaged in the Bottom-Up Economic Transformation Agenda
and the Kenya Vision 20230. For this reason, the Government will implement the
National Diaspora Policy that seeks to engage the Kenyan Diaspora in a more
117. The strategies for boosting revenue collection focus on all the tax heads,
income tax, VAT, excise duty and customs duty. The Strategy also outlines
administrative measures aimed at improving the tax system. The strategic
interventions for each of the tax heads are:
(a) Income Tax
i) Reduce the corporate rate of income tax from the current 30 percent to 25
percent over the Strategy period;
ii) Gradually phase out the preferential corporate tax rates;
iii) Review residential rental income tax regime;
iv) Re-introduce minimum tax;
v) Introduce withholding tax on payments for goods supplied to the
government, similar to services, as an advance tax;
vi) Review and rationalize tax exemptions for corporate entities to expand the
tax base;
vii) Review the personal income tax band structure to improve progressivity;
viii) Review taxation regime of pension from exempt-exempt-tax to exempt-
exempt-exempt, and review upward the exempt contribution threshold; and
ix) Review and rationalize tax exemptions and reliefs on individuals’ income
to expand the tax base.
(b) Value Added Tax
i) Review of the VAT rate downwards;
ii) Review the VAT registration threshold;
iii) Review and rationalize the exempt/zero rated supplies and align with
international best practice;
iv) Explore the introduction of VAT on education services with a threshold to
relieve the lower segment of the society from the tax. However, the
introduction of the VAT will exclude basic education and early childhood
education;
v) Introduce VAT on Insurance services; and
vi) Removal of the threshold for applying VAT input tax apportionment
formula.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook, October 2023. *National Treasury Projection
124. Advanced economies are projected to record a slower growth of 1.5 percent
in 2023 and 1.4 percent in 2024 from 2.6 percent in 2022 mainly driven by lower
growth in the Euro Area. The slowdown in growth in the advanced economies is
as a result of aggressive monetary policy tightening that has contributed to a
significant deterioration of global financial conditions.
125. Growth in the emerging market and developing economies is projected to
decline relatively modestly, from 4.1 percent in 2022 to 4.0 percent in both 2023
and 2024, although with notable shifts across regions. In sub-Saharan Africa,
growth is projected to decline to 3.3 percent in 2023 from 4.0 percent in 2022
reflecting worsening climate change related shocks, inflationary and exchange rate
pressures, and domestic supply issues, including, notably, in the electricity sector.
Growth in the region is expected to rebound to 4.0 percent in 2024, picking up in
138. Growth in private sector credit from the banking system remained resilient
partly reflecting improving business conditions and demand for working capital.
Credit advanced to the private sector grew by 12.2 percent in the year to September
2023 compared to a growth of 12.9 percent in the year to September 2022 (Figure
2.2). Improved credit expansion was registered in various sub-sectors that include
finance and insurance, manufacturing, agriculture and transport and
communication. However, there were fluctuations in the Monthly (month on
month) credit flows to the private sector which amounted to Ksh 47 billion in
September 2023 compared to Ksh 52.4 billion in September 2022.
Figure 2.2: Private Sector Credit
139. Reflecting the tight monetary policy stance and liquidity conditions in the
money market, interest rates increased in the year to November 2023. The
interbank rate increased to 11.4 percent in November 2023 compared to 4.6 percent
in November 2022 while the 91-day Treasury Bills rate increased to 15.4 percent
compared to 9.2 percent over the same period (Figure 2.3). The introduction of the
interest rate corridor, in August 2023, is expected to align the interbank rate to the
Central Bank Rate and thereby improve the transmission of the monetary policy.
Figure 2.3: Short Term Interest Rates, Percent
140. Commercial banks average lending and deposit rates increased in the year to
September 2023 in tandem with the tightening of the monetary policy stance. The
average lending rate increased to 14.0 percent in September 2023 from 12.4 percent
in September 2022 while the average deposit rate increased to 8.6 percent from 6.8
percent over the same period. Consequently, the average interest rate spread
declined to 5.3 percent in September 2023 from 5.6 percent in September 2022.
External Sector Developments
141. The current account deficit improved to USD 4,160.5 million (4.1 percent of
GDP) in September 2023 compared to USD 5,928.1 million (5.3 percent of GDP)
in September 2022. The current account balance was supported by an improvement
in the trade balance account and resilient remittances (Table 2.4).
142. In the year to September 2023, exports contracted by 2.0 percent mainly due
to a decline in horticultural exports particularly cut flowers despite an improvement
in receipts from tea and manufactured exports. The increase in receipts from tea
exports reflects higher prices attributed to lower global supply due to drought amid
resilient demand from traditional markets.
143. On the other hand, imports declined by 13.2 percent in the 12 months to
September 2023, mainly reflecting lower imports of infrastructure related
equipment, manufactured goods, oil, and chemicals. Oil prices remain elevated on
account increased geopolitical fragmentation and global oil supply cuts by major
oil exporters particularly Saudi Arabia and Russia. As a result, the trade account
144. Net receipts on the services account declined by USD 928.2 million to USD
671.8 million in September 2023 compared to a similar period in 2022. This was
mainly on account of a decline in receipts from transport despite an increase in
receipts from tourism as international travel continues to improve. Net Secondary
income remained resilient owing to an increase in remittances which amounted to
USD 4,142 million in the 12 months to September 2023, and were 3.5 percent
higher compared to a similar period in 2022.
145. The capital account balance improved by USD 12.6 million to register a
surplus of USD 144.1 million in September 2023 compared to a surplus of USD
131.5 million in the same period in 2022. Net financial inflows slowed down but
remained vibrant at USD 3,144.8 million in September 2023 compared to USD
4,784.7 million in September 2022. The net financial inflows were mainly in the
form of other investments, financial derivatives, and direct investments. Portfolio
investments registered a net outflow during the period.
146. The overall balance of payments position slowed down to a surplus of USD
1,044.4 million (1.0 percent of GDP) in September 2023 from a surplus of USD
2,225.9 million (2.0 percent of GDP) in September 2022.
Foreign Exchange Reserves
147. The banking system’s foreign exchange holdings remained strong at USD
13,968.3 million in September 2023, an improvement from USD 11,337.4 million
in September 2022. The official foreign exchange reserves held by the Central
Bank stood at USD 7,651.8 million compared to USD 7,787.5 million over the
153. In the domestic secondary bond market, bonds turnover declined by 16.1
percent to Ksh 644.86 billion in September 2023 from Ksh 768.84 billion in
September 2022. In the international market, yields on Kenya’s Eurobonds
decreased by 106.8 basis points at the end of September 2023 compared to
September 2022.
Revenue Performance
156. Revenue collection to October 2023 recorded a slightly higher growth of 13.0
percent compared to a growth of 11.9 percent in October 2022. This revenue
performance is partly explained by rising cost of living which has negatively
affected the business environment. As at end October 2023, the cumulative total
159. Total expenditure and net lending in the period to October 2023 amounted to
Ksh 889.4 billion against a target of Ksh 1,133.9 billion; translating to a shortfall
in expenditure of Ksh 244.6 billion. This was largely on account of below target
disbursement towards development expenditure by Ksh 104.3 billion, recurrent
expenditure by Ksh 81.4 billion and below target disbursement to County
Governments of Ksh 58.8 billion (Table 2.4a).
160. The below target recurrent expenditure as at October 2023 was on account of
below target payments on domestic interest (Ksh 33.3 billion), operations and
maintenance (Ksh 55.5 billion), pensions (15.7 billion), and below target
contributions to civil service pension fund of Ksh 4.9 billion. External interest
payments were above target by Ksh 28 billion due to depreciation of the Kenya
Shilling against the US Dollar. Development expenditures were below target by
Ksh 104.3 billion on account of below target disbursement towards domestically
financed programmes by Ksh 83.9 billion and foreign financed programmes by
Ksh 15.9 billion. Disbursement to County Governments was below target by Ksh
58.8 billion.
161. Fiscal operations of the Government by end of October 2023 resulted in an
overall deficit including grants of Ksh 58.4 billion against a projected deficit of
Ksh 254.7 billion. This deficit was financed through net domestic borrowing of
Ksh 67.8 billion and net foreign repayment of Ksh 31.9 billion.
163. The Government will implement a mix of tax administrative and tax policy
measures in order to boost revenue collection efforts by the Kenya Revenue
Authority (KRA) to Ksh 4.0 trillion over the medium term thereby supporting
economic activity. In particular, the Government will focus on domestic resource
mobilization efforts that include:
i. Implementation of the Finance Act 2023 that targets to boost revenue
collection. This will lead to a tax effort of 16.0% of GDP in FY 2023/24;
Expenditure Reforms
164. The Government will sustain efforts to improve efficiency in public spending
and ensure value for money by: i) eliminating non priority expenditures; ii)
rationalizing tax expenditures; iii) scaling up the use of Public Private Partnerships
financing for commercially viable projects; and iv) rolling out of an end - to - end
e-Government Procurement (e-GP) System to the National and County
Governments in the FY 2024/25 where all public procurement and assets disposal
transactions are undertaken online and are fully compliant with the Public
Procurement and Asset Disposal Act of 2015 and its attendant Regulations 2020.
The developed e-GP system will be interfaced with the Integrated Financial
Management Information System (IFMIS) to process payments of contracted
suppliers. Currently, the Government is piloting the new e-GP system in twelve
(12) MDAs. Once the system is implemented, it is expected to promote savings of
about 10-15 percent of the total Government procurement expenditure, value for
money, efficiency, transparency, audit trail and enhance good governance in our
public procurement.
165. In order to increase efficiency and effectiveness of the public spending, the
Government will continue to implement Public Investment Management
Regulations that aim to streamline initiation, execution and delivery of public
investment projects. Ministries shall be required to finalize ongoing projects before
commencing new projects in order to reduce the Government’s exposure on stalled
projects. Additionally, all PIM approved projects shall be required to factor
environmental and climate related risks including carbon emission and disaster risk
management as part of project appraisal. Going forward, the National Government
will commence rolling out the PIM Regulations to County Governments. Further,
the Government will roll out the Public Investment Management Information
System (PIMIS) to all the Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs). The
System is aimed at improving the management of development projects in the
country. All State Departments, SAGAs and SOEs shall be required to list all the
projects.
168. Consistent with the objective of minimizing costs and risks of public debt, the
Government will mobilize resources mainly from multilateral, bilateral and
commercial sources will be utilized as a last resort to fund the fiscal deficit and
repay maturing external debts while issuance of Treasury bonds and Treasury bills
in the domestic market will be used to fund net domestic financing requirements.
169. More emphasis will be to maximize concessional loans while non-
concessional and commercial external borrowing will be limited to economic
enabler projects that cannot secure concessional financing and are in line with the
Bottom-Up Transformational Agenda of the Government.
170. In light of increased cost of financing, the Government will continue
monitoring the global financial market conditions before accessing the
international capital market for any liability management operations. The
Government will also explore other alternative sources of financing including
climate change financing options, Debt for Nature Swaps, Samurai and Panda
bonds if market and macroeconomic environment allow.
171. The domestic debt market remains one of central funding source to the
Government as it contributes to half of the total funding thus mitigating against
external currency risks. The Government will continue to implement reforms that
are aimed at deepening, improving efficiency and diversify the investor base within
the domestic market.
Act Prel. Act Prel. Act Proj. BPS 2024 BPS 2024 BPS 2024 BPS 2024
Public debt
Nominal central government debt (eop), gross 68.4 68.0 71.4 68.2 65.0 61.6 58.7 56.1
Nominal debt (eop), net of deposits 63.4 64.7 68.0 65.2 62.3 59.2 56.5 54.1
Domestic (gross) 32.8 34.1 33.9 32.8 31.4 30.9 29.9 29.2
Domestic (net) 27.9 30.8 30.5 29.8 28.7 28.5 27.8 27.3
External 35.5 33.9 37.5 35.5 33.6 30.7 28.8 26.8
Memorandum Items:
Nominal GDP (in Ksh Billion) 10,715 12,028 13,368 15,180 17,083 18,948 21,057 23,304
Nominal GDP (in US$ Million) 100,658 109,697 113,421 102,015 114,549 126,619 142,098 155,536
Source of Data: The National Treasury
189. There are downside risks emanating from domestic as well as external
sources. On the domestic front, risks relate to unpredictable weather conditions due
to the impact of climate change which could adversely affect agricultural
production and result to domestic inflationary pressures and food insecurity.
Additionally, tight fiscal space due to the impact of the multiple shocks that have
affected the global and the domestic economy might lead to tight liquidity
conditions for financing the budget.
203. The baseline estimates reflect the current ministerial spending levels in sector
programmes. In the recurrent expenditure category, non-discretionary expenditures
take first charge. These include payment of public debts and interest therein,
salaries and pensions.
204. Development expenditures have been allocated on the basis of the flagship
projects in Vision 2030, the Bottom - Up Economic Transformation Agenda and
the MTP IV priorities. The following criteria was used in apportioning capital
budget:
Suppl Suppl
Estimates Estimates % Share in Total Ministerial
Code Sector No.1 2024 BPS Ceiling No.1 Expenditure
2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27
AGRICULTURE, RURAL & URBAN DEVELOPMENT
010 (ARUD) Sub_Total 98,089.1 87,297.0 95,600.3 97,017.6 4.03 3.49 3.51 3.25
Rec_Gross 32,506.7 29,608.9 31,109.7 32,720.0 1.97 1.79 1.77 1.65
Dev_Gross 65,582.3 57,688.1 64,490.6 64,297.6 8.37 6.76 6.65 6.39
020 ENERGY, INFRASTRUCTURE AND ICT Sub_Total 494,715.3 505,668.0 546,260.5 555,684.6 20.35 20.19 20.04 18.60
Rec_Gross 145,306.0 145,306.0 156,244.5 158,046.6 8.82 8.80 8.89 7.98
Dev_Gross 349,409.3 360,362.0 390,016.0 397,638.0 44.61 42.21 40.25 39.51
GENERAL ECONOMIC AND COMMERCIAL AFFAIRS
030 (GECA) Sub_Total 72,443.0 56,715.2 66,981.5 62,360.8 2.98 2.26 2.46 2.09
Rec_Gross 39,575.5 32,305.2 35,101.9 40,297.0 2.40 1.96 2.00 2.03
Dev_Gross 32,867.5 24,410.0 31,879.6 22,063.8 4.20 2.86 3.29 2.19
040 HEALTH Sub_Total 138,845.9 147,598.9 155,507.7 160,080.8 5.71 5.89 5.70 5.36
Rec_Gross 88,191.2 87,324.2 91,930.2 95,303.5 5.35 5.29 5.23 4.81
Dev_Gross 50,654.6 60,274.7 63,577.5 64,777.3 6.47 7.06 6.56 6.44
050 EDUCATION Sub_Total 689,611.6 666,467.1 724,125.0 782,853.0 28.37 26.61 26.56 26.20
Rec_Gross 655,657.5 638,043.0 685,625.0 745,249.0 39.79 38.66 39.02 37.61
Dev_Gross 33,954.1 28,424.1 38,500.0 37,604.0 4.34 3.33 3.97 3.74
060 GOVERNANCE, JUSTICE, LAW AND ORDER (GJLO) Sub_Total 240,335.8 250,919.2 272,956.5 308,239.0 9.89 10.02 10.01 10.32
Rec_Gross 225,163.4 232,422.7 248,802.1 280,342.8 13.66 14.08 14.16 14.15
Dev_Gross 15,172.5 18,496.6 24,154.4 27,896.2 1.94 2.17 2.49 2.77
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND INTERNATIONAL
070 RELATIONS (PAIR) Sub_Total 299,326.2 346,295.1 385,141.0 518,214.3 12.31 13.83 14.13 17.34
Rec_Gross 182,823.8 199,563.5 214,000.3 325,378.8 11.10 12.09 12.18 16.42
Dev_Gross 116,502.3 146,731.6 171,140.7 192,835.5 14.87 17.19 17.66 19.16
080 NATIONAL SECURITY Sub_Total 199,286.5 243,421.6 249,053.0 260,792.1 8.20 9.72 9.14 8.73
Rec_Gross 196,032.5 204,585.6 208,714.0 215,453.1 11.90 12.40 11.88 10.87
Dev_Gross 3,254.0 38,836.0 40,339.0 45,339.0 0.42 4.55 4.16 4.50
090 SOCIAL PROTECTION, CULTURE AND RECREATION Sub_Total 72,853.5 71,901.8 73,102.7 74,991.5 3.00 2.87 2.68 2.51
Rec_Gross 47,822.2 46,810.5 47,431.3 48,020.4 2.90 2.84 2.70 2.42
Dev_Gross 25,031.3 25,091.3 25,671.4 26,971.1 3.20 2.94 2.65 2.68
ENVIRONMENT PROTECTION, WATER AND
0100 NATURAL RESOURCES Sub_Total 125,516.7 127,965.0 157,600.0 167,719.0 5.16 5.11 5.78 5.61
Rec_Gross 34,724.9 34,549.0 38,306.0 40,672.0 2.11 2.09 2.18 2.05
Dev_Gross 90,791.7 93,416.0 119,294.0 127,047.0 11.59 10.94 12.31 12.62
GRAND TOTAL Sub_Total 2,431,023.4 2,504,248.9 2,726,328.2 2,987,952.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Rec_Gross 1,647,803.7 1,650,518.6 1,757,265.0 1,981,483.2 67.78 65.91 64.46 66.32
Dev_Gross 783,219.7 853,730.3 969,063.2 1,006,469.5 32.22 34.09 35.54 33.68
Source of Data: National Treasury
219. The Health Sector is an important contributor to the national economic growth
through ensuring that all Kenyans are productive and live a healthy life. The
Constitution underscores the “right to health” while the Vision 2030 while the
Vision 2030, the MTP IV as well as the “Bottom-up economic Transformation
Agenda” Agenda recognize provision of equitable, accessible and affordable health
care of the highest attainable standards to all Kenyans.
220. Significant achievements were realized during the FY 2020/21 to FY2022/23
period: Reduction of Prevalence of HIV from 4.3% in 2020 to 3.7 in 2022; new
HIV infections from 32,027 to 22, 154; and AIDS related mortality from 19,486 to
18,473. Kenya made strident efforts to combat Drug-Sensitive tuberculosis
(DSTB), Multi-Drug Resistant Tuberculosis (MRTB) and malaria by developing
new TB drugs, optimization of the existing ones, production of 244,927 units of
bleach (TBCide) and developing, piloting and adopting a new malaria vaccine.
221. The Sector established a diagnostic and reporting centre at KNH in the FY
2020/21, constructed and operationalized an Oxygen plant with a capacity to
produce 1,500 litres of oxygen per minute at Mwai Kibaki Hospital and
development and equiping the Chandaria Cancer and Chronic Diseases Centre
(CCCDC) at Moi Teaching and Referral Hospital (MTRH).
222. In FY 2022/23 over 6,000 primary health workers were trained on early
cancer diagnosis through e-learning platforms on the MOH Virtual Academy and
another 6,500 primary health workers on cervical and breast cancer screening and
treatment of precancerous lesions across the 47 counties. 257 community health
promoters in 10 counties were trained in cancer screening. Through support from
partners 150 thermal ablation devices were distributed in 22 counties.
223. In the FY 2021/22 and 2022/23, 270 healthcare workers were trained on
trauma and injury management. For the FY 2022/2023, 200 Community Health
Promoters (CHP’s) and other community members such as boda boda riders were
trained on prevention of injuries and basic first aid in Nairobi and Nakuru counties.
224. During the period under review, KNH performed specialized surgeries that
include thirty-two (32) major liver resections, increased kidney transplants from
fifteen (15) FY 2021/22 to nineteen (19) in the FY 2022/23. A total of 30,451,
33,523 and 37,307 specialized surgeries were conducted in FY 2020/21, 2021/22
and 2022/23 respectively. These specialized surgeries include maxillofacial,
obstetrics and gynaecology, paediatrics surgery, cardiothoracic surgery,
neurosurgery, plastic surgery, general surgery, ENT surgery, orthopaedic surgery,
ophthalmology. In addition, a total of 16,106 specialized renal services were
provided in the FY 2022/23 that included Continuous Renal Replacement Therapy
(CRRT), Tissue Typing, Venesection, Haemodialysis, Peritoneal dialysis, dialysis
Catheter procedures and Renal Biopsy. The hospital established heart surgery,
cancer treatment, diagnostics and imaging, laboratory medicine, tissue and organ
transplantation, gastroenterology, diabetes and endocrinology centres.
225. In FY 2022/2023, MTRH Laboratory performed 1,426,746 tests against
1,119,596 in FY 2020/2021; 27.43% Improvement over the last 3 years. The
National Security
259. The Sector plays critical role is key Iin creating a conducive environment for
socio-economic and political development. It is therefore a critical actor and
enabler in the realization of Kenya Vision 2030, and the Bottom-up Economic
Transformation Agenda (BETA).
260. The Sector will continue to address contemporary and emerging threats to
national security that undermine peace and development. These include terrorism,
radicalization, human and drug trafficking, money laundering, cyber-crime and
other socio-economic and political challenges.
261. In order to implement the prioritized programmes and minimize the above-
mentioned threats, the Sector has been allocated Ksh 243.4 billion, Ksh 249.1
billion and Ksh 260.8 billion in FY 2024/25, FY 2025/26 and FY 2026/27,
respectively.
Social Protection, Culture and Recreation
262. The Social Protection, Culture and Recreation Sector is comprised of six (6)
sub-sectors namely: - Sports; Culture, the Arts and Heritage; Youth Affairs and
Creative Economy; Labour and Skills Development; Social Protection and Senior
Citizen Affairs, Gender and Affirmative Action. The Sector visualizes on a global
competitive, healthy workforce, Sports, culture and recreation industry, an
endurable impartial and informed society. The strategic roles played by the sector
in the country’s transformation and social economic development agenda include:
274. As indicated in Table 4.1 above, the total County Governments’ approved
Development expenditures over the medium-term account for 37%, 36% and 31%
translating to an average of 35 % of the total budget. Section 107 (2) (b) of the
Public Finance Management Act (PFMA) 2012 requires County Governments to
allocate a minimum of 30 percent of their budget over medium-term to
development expenditure. However, the approved budget of 14 counties, namely
Kajiado, Vihiga, Kisii, Kitui, Kisumu, Mombasa, Bomet, Meru, Nandi, Wajir,
Kiambu, Laikipia, Nairobi and Tharaka Nithi did not conform with this
requirement over the medium term as shown in Figure 4.1 below
Figure 4.1: FY 2022/23 Budgeted Development Expenditure as a Percentage
of Total County Expenditure
284. The National Treasury notes that a number of County Governments are
having challenges in setting realistic revenue targets. To address this, the National
Treasury in collaboration with other stakeholders are planning to roll out a training
on tax analysis and Revenue Forecasting in the next financial year. The team is
currently working on the training module on revenue forecasting.
285. The National Rating Bill was passed by the National Assembly and forwarded
to the Senate on 31st October, 2023 for consideration. The Bill provides for among
others, standards in the way rating and valuation is conducted in the country; how
to deal with properties cross-cutting in more than one County Government;
procedure for claiming and payment of Contribution in Lieu of Rates (CILOR);
and timely updating of valuation rolls by the County Governments. More
importantly, the Bill will repeal the outdated Valuation for Rating Act, Cap 266
and Rating Act, Cap 267 and align the property rating legal regime with the
devolved system of governance.
286. The County Governments (Revenue Raising Process), Bill 2023 provides for
a process by which the County Governments introduce revenue raising measures
in conformity with Article 209 (5) of the Constitution. The Bill has gone through
the First Reading and is currently before Senate.
292. Most of the County Governments owe money to the various pension funds
(LAPTRUST, LAPFUND and County Pension Fund) which have accumulated
over the years. As at 31st August, 2023, the status of pension pending bills
submitted by the different pension schemes to the Retirement Benefits Authority
(RBA) was Ksh. 73.4 billion. A breakdown of the outstanding pension pending
bills is shown in the Table 4.4 below:
293. However, some County Governments are not reflecting these pension
liabilities in their pending bills stock hence posing a great risk that these liabilities
may not be prioritized for payment. There is need for the County Governments to
take stock of all the pension liabilities and ensure proper recording in the stock of
County pending bills. In addition, Counties should prioritize the settling of these
liabilities to ensure County staff do not retire without a pension.
Table 4.4 Outstanding Pension pending bills owed by County Governments
4.3.1.2 Status of Debt owed to Kenya Power & Lighting Company (KPLC)
by County Governments
294. The outstanding pending bills owed to Kenya Power & Lighting Company
(KPLC) by County Governments as at 24th September, 2023 amounts to Ksh
3,492,122,613.47 with Nairobi County Government having the largest outstanding
bill amounting to Ksh 2,171,944,344.79. The amounts have been accumulating
over the years. Consequently, the National Treasury has issued a Circular to
County Governments reminding them to settle debts owed to KPLC and ensure
that these pending bills are included in their budgets and repayment plans in line
with the Public Finance Management Act, 2012 and in order to avoid disrupting
operations and other financial obligations of the Company.
306. Article 6 (2) of the Constitution provides that the governments at the national
and county levels are distinct and interdependent and shall conduct their mutual
relations on the basis of consultation and cooperation. The National Government
is committed in ensuring that intergovernmental relations between the County
Governments and the National Governments are conducted in line with the
Constitutional provisions. Articles 187 and 189 of the Constitution provides for the
transfer of functions and powers between levels of Government as well as
cooperation between the National and County Governments. In this regard, The
National Treasury through an inter-agency taskforce developed the Public Finance
Management (Amendment) Bill, 2023 to operationalize these provisions. The bill
is in the process of being submitted to the Cabinet for approval before its
submission to Parliament.
309. The National Government is committed to ensuring that the mineral royalties
due to the respective County Governments and communities in line with the
Mining Act, 2016 are disbursed. To address this matter, the State Department of
Mining will be forwarding to the National Treasury a framework for sharing the
20% share of mineral royalties among the County Governments for inclusion in
the annual County Governments Additional Allocations Bill. Additionally, the
Ministry of Mining, through a multiagency team is currently finalizing the
development of regulations with respect to the share of mineral royalty revenue
due to communities. The regulations with provide for the transfer and management
of the 10 percent share of mineral royalties due to communities.
1Wages: For teachers and civil servants including the police. The figure includes the funds
allocated for the pension contributory scheme
Source: National Treasury
5. The public debt and obligations remain at sustainable levels though with high
risk of debt distress due to global shocks that has led to a slowdown of economic
growth (IMF Country Report No. 23/266-July 2023). Under external Debt
Sustainability Analysis (DSA), the Present Value of the external debt to GDP ratio
remain sustainable through 2026. However, the Present Value of external debt to
exports and debt service to export ratios breach the sustainability thresholds even
in the medium term due to subdued growth in exports. These ratios are expected to
improve with economic growth recovery boosting growth in Kenya’s export sector
expected to improve external public debt sustainability ratios.
6. The debt service to revenue ratio in 2024 is worsened by the maturity of USD
2.0 billion international sovereign bond in June 2024 (Table 2).
Table 2: Kenya’s External Debt Sustainability
Indicators Thresholds 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
PV of debt–to-GDP 40 27.8 29.5 30.5 29.4 28.0 27.1
ratio
PV of debt-to-exports 180 228.3 220.4 210.8 195.6 181.7 170.3
ratio
PPG Debt service-to- 15 21.2 22.0 31.1 21.7 22.0 19.7
exports ratio
PPG Debt service-to- 18 14.8 16.6 24.9 18.2 19.2 17.6
revenue ratio
Source: IMF Country Report No. 23/266-July 2023
7. Overall, the Present Value (PV) of debt to GDP ratio is projected to remain
above the 55 percent sustainability threshold in the medium-term but will gradually
improve by 2027 (Table 3). The improvement in debt levels is anchored to fiscal
consolidation through broadening the tax revenue base and minimizing overall
expenditures tied to implementation of the fiscal reforms under the IMF Extended
Credit Facility program.
Table 3: Kenya's Public Debt Sustainability Analysis
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Indicators Benchmark
Projections
PV of debt–to-GDP
55 63.1 64.4 61.9 60.2 58.3 56.6
ratio
Source: IMF Country Report No. 23/266-July 2023
5. The reduction of the projected real GDP in 2024 by one percent (from 5.4
percent to 4.4 percent) has the adverse impact of reducing revenue collection by
Ksh 12.6 billion in FY 2024/25. Expenditures would also decline by Ksh 6.2 billion
resulting to an increase in fiscal deficit of Ksh 6.4 billion in the same period. This
shock would persist over the medium term with the decline in revenues more than
the decline in expenditures leading to a higher than projected fiscal deficit.
6. A shock of a one percent increase in the projected inflation rate for 2024, from
5.0 percent to 6.0 percent, would result in an increase in revenues and expenditures
by Ksh 12.8 billion and Ksh 6.9 billion respectively in FY 2024/25. The higher
revenues compared to expenditures would result to an improvement of the fiscal
deficit by Ksh 6.0 billion in FY 2024/25. The impact of the shock would persist
over the medium term thereby improving the fiscal deficit by Ksh 8.1 billion by
FY 2027/28.
7. A 10 percent depreciation of the Kenya shilling to the dollar would have a
higher impact on the revenues as compared to the expenditures. The revenues and
expenditures would increase by Ksh 24.1 billion and Ksh 3.7 billion respectively
in FY 2024/25 thereby reducing the projected fiscal deficit by Ksh 20.3 billion.
The effect of this shock would persist over the medium term with the increase in
revenues offsetting the increase in expenditures leading to a lower than projected
fiscal deficit. Fiscal deficit would reduce by an estimated Ksh 25.8 billion by FY
2027/28.
8. A shock of 10 percent increase in the value of imported goods in the FY
2024/25 would increase revenue collection by Ksh 15.4 billion in the same period.
However, the shock would have a negative effect on revenue collection over the
medium term due to change in consumer behaviour but a negative impact over the
medium term. The shock would not significantly affect expenditures.
9. Overall, if all the four shocks were to hit the economy concurrently in the FY
2024/25, revenues would increase by Ksh 40.0 billion as the movements in
inflation and exchange rate would offset the risk posed by a slowdown in real GDP
growth. The adverse impact of the shocks to expenditures would be significantly
11. Over the period 2019/20-2022/23, the average deviation between the assumed
and provisional actual real GDP growth rates was -0.3 percentage point with a
standard deviation of 0.8 percentage point. With respect to inflation assumptions,
the standard deviation was at 0.7 percentage point over the four years, with the
largest deviation being recorded in FY 2021/22 at 1.3 percent mainly due to the
unanticipated inflationary pressures resulting from external pressures (Table 2).
12. The actual performance of fiscal aggregates against their targets was mainly
below target. Total revenue between FY 2019/20 and FY 2022/23 fell short of its
target by an average of Ksh 68 billion. This shortfall was from both ordinary
revenues by Ksh 24 billion and Ministerial A-I-A of Ksh 44 billion. The average
14. The Kenyan economy slowed down to a growth of 5.2 percent in FY 2022/23
from a growth of 6.2 percent in FY 2021/22 mainly due to three major constraints
affecting the economy during the period. These included the supply constraints of
major products due to conflict between Russia and Ukraine that disrupted global
trade leading to increased fuel, fertiliser and food prices; the lingering effects of
the COVID-19 pandemic; and a severe drought witnessed in the region and most
parts of the country.
15. The economy is projected to recover to 5.6 percent in FY 2023/24 with a 95
percent confidence level ranging between 7.2 percent and 4.0 percent at 0.8 percent
standard deviation. The economy is projected to improve further in FY 2024/25 to
grow by 5.9 percent and at a growth range of around 7.5 percent and 4.2 percent
using the same standard deviation at 95 percent confidence interval (Figure 2).
16. There is a 95 percent chance that the forecasted total revenue of Ksh 3,022.8
billion in FY 2023/24 will be within the actual revenue range of Ksh 3,196.8 billion
18. This section covers specific fiscal risk that Kenya faces and elevates the
importance of effective risk management. The specific fiscal risks include:
a) Fiscal Risks Associated with Public Debt;
b) Crystallization of Contingent Liabilities;
c) Fiscal Risks Related to Devolution; and
d) Other fiscal risks.
25. Contingent liabilities are potential liabilities that may occur depending on the
outcome of uncertain future event. They are not reflected in the BPS financial
position, but must be given adequate disclosure. However, a contingent liability is
only recorded in the financial statements if the contingency is probable and the
amount of the liability can reasonably be estimated. Contingent liability can be
explicit or implicit. Explicit contingent liabilities are specific government
obligations established by law or a contract authorized by law. The Government is
legally mandated to settle such an obligation when it becomes due. On the other
hand, implicit contingent liabilities represent a moral obligation or expected burden
for the Government not in the legal sense, but based on public expectations and
political intervention.
27. Under the State Corporations Act, State Corporations have legal capacity to
contract debts and other liabilities to finance their requirements. Approval to
procure such loans however, must be obtained from the Parent Ministry with the
concurrence of the National Treasury as required under the State Corporations Act.
Government Loans to State Corporations are either direct or on-lent. Direct loans
refer to loans that the Government lends to State Corporations from exchequer
resources while on-lent refer to those loans that the government borrows on behalf
of the SOEs.
28. While Government at times has a stake in state owned enterprises and other
Government investments in public companies, its contractual obligations may be
limited. However, due to the strategic nature of those state-owned enterprises and
public companies in view of the national interest and the overall impact of their
failure to the economy, the Government may be morally obligated to bail out those
state-owned enterprises and public companies in financial distress. This may pose
serious fiscal risk and challenge to budget implementation.
Governance
29. The Government has continued to strengthen corporate governance of State
Corporations through the Mwongozo guidelines and subsequent trainings in the
area of governance. Further, the Government recommended establishment and
operationalization of audit committees and risk management frameworks for
Government entities including State Corporations. The Public Finance
Management Act and the Public Audit Act were geared towards enhancing
effective financial management and oversight for efficient delivery of strategic
objectives by State Corporations. In addition, the Capital Market Authority issued
Regulations under the Capital Market Act (Cap 485) on code of governance
requirements to be observed by companies listed at the NSE. This will enhance
accountability, transparency and full disclosure by Companies listed in NSE which
include Government-linked entities.
Privatization
30. State-Owned Enterprises face a number of challenges including: i) Inadequate
capital for investments and working capital due to dwindling Government
resources to invest in those entities; ii) Limited expertise in Government on
business and commercial operations; iii) Use of outdated technology due to lack of
capital for investments; iv) Dual mandate of regulatory and commercial functions
in some entities; and v) Government crowding out the private sector in production
of goods and provision of services hence lack of competitiveness leading to
inefficiencies; among others
36. As one of the strategic and sustainable approaches towards managing the
current pressed fiscal space in meeting the planned development and investment
targets of the Government, Public Private Partnerships is key in realizing fiscal
affordability and sustainability for public infrastructure funding. This is by
enabling Government access to a more diversified less risky funding, off-balance
sheet financing, providing Government with flexibility to re-allocate its own
revenues to the urgently needed infrastructure development projects. The
39. There are potential fiscal risks stemming from the Public Private Partnership
(PPP) Projects including possible breaching of contract obligations, unfunded
additional obligations and those stemming from movements in inflation and
exchange rate. To mitigate these risks, the Government will reduce implementation
bureaucracy, strengthens PPP institutions, improve governance, promote the
framework for balancing risk with affordability and value for money, while
guaranteeing rapid service delivery through cutting down execution timelines, and
promoting local content for greater national value capture in PPPs. As part of de-
44. In order to fight money laundering, the Government will continue to promote
financial integrity and compliance with international standards, particularly the
Financial Action Taskforce (FATF) Recommendations on Anti Money Laundering
and Combating the Financing of Terrorism (AML/CFT). This initiative will be
achieved through implementation of the AML/CTF National Risk Assessment
Report 2021 recommendations; the National AML/CFT Strategy, and the 2nd
Eastern and Sothern Africa Anti-Money Laundering Group (ESAAMLG) Mutual
Evaluation Report (MER) 2022.
45. In order to addressing the strategic deficiencies identified Mutual Evaluation
Report, 2022, various legislations relating to AML/CFT issues have been amended
through the Anti-Money Laundering and Combating of Terrorism Financing Laws
(Amendment) Act, 2023. These amendments necessitated the alignment and re-
issuance of various Regulations. These included the Proceeds of Crime and Anti-
Money Laundering Regulations, 2023; the Proceeds of Crime and Anti-Money
Laundering (Criminal Assets Recovery Fund) Regulations, 2023; and the
Prevention of Terrorism (Implementation of the United Nations Security Council
Resolutions on Suppression of Terrorism) Regulations, 2023. In this regard, Kenya
has filed a request with the ESAAMLG for Technical Compliance (TC) re-rating
as a result of these amendments. In addition, Kenya has completed the post-
evaluation observation period and the Post-Observation Period Report (POPR) will
be deliberated by the FATF Plenary in February 2024 in respect to the progress
made towards strengthening Kenya’s AML/CFT regime.
46. To address the recommendations in the Mutual Evaluation Report, the Central
Bank of Kenya has taken several actions including: conducting stand-alone
AML/CFT onsite inspections, revising Bank Supervision Operations Manual to
include AML/CFT risk-based supervisions, and undertaking institutional and
sectoral risk assessments.
Introduction
1. Section 25(8) of the Public Finance Management (PFM) Act, 2012 prescribes that the Cabinet Secretary for The National Treasury
shall take into account resolutions passed by Parliament in finalizing the budget for a given financial year. The National Assembly approved
the 2022 Budget Policy Statement and the 2023 Budget Policy Statement 24th February, 2022 and 15th March, 2023, respectively.
2. Section 38(1) (iii) of the PFM Act, 2012 requires the Cabinet Secretary to prepare a memorandum explaining how the resolutions adopted
on the BPS have been taken into account. In this regard, the following Section provides a brief to Parliament on the extent to which the
resolutions of the House on the 2022 BPS and 2023 BPS have been taken into account and the reasons thereof.
1. • The National Treasury ought to prepare the Budget Policy The 2023 Budget Policy Statements has been prepared in line with the
Statement in line with the debt ceiling. debt ceiling of Ksh 10.0 trillion. Public and publicly guaranteed debt in
• The National Treasury ought to amend the debt ceiling to nominal terms as at end December, 2022 was Ksh 9,145.6 billion
enable them implement the budget as proposed, rationalize compared to the statutory public debt limit of Ksh 10,000 billion as per
expenditure or implement revenue enhancing measures. the PFM (National Government) (Amended 2022) Regulations, 2015.
The reforms on the revenue and expenditure side outlined in the 2023
BPS, are expected to result in the reduction of the fiscal deficit including
grants from Ksh 833.9 billion (5.7 percent of GDP) in the FY 2022/23
External Sector
Exports value, goods and services 12.7 12.1 12.7 13.0 14.1 12.8 13.2 12.7 12.3 12.6 11.6 12.7
Imports value, goods and services 21.6 20.6 21.6 21.4 23.3 20.7 21.5 19.7 20.3 19.1 19.3 18.8
Current external balance, including official transfers -4.4 -7.6 -4.4 -4.0 -5.6 -4.1 -5.4 -4.0 -5.6 -4.0 -5.6 -4.0
Gross reserves in months of next yr's imports 5.8 5.5 5.8 5.4 5.8 5.5 5.7 5.5 5.7 5.5 5.9 5.6
Gross reserves in months of this yr's imports 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.0 6.1 6.1
Public debt
Nominal central government debt (eop), gross 71.4 62.0 68.7 68.2 65.8 65.0 62.9 61.6 60.0 58.7 57.1 56.1
Nominal debt (eop), net of deposits 68.0 58.7 65.7 65.2 63.1 62.3 60.5 59.2 57.9 56.5 55.2 54.1
Domestic (gross) 33.9 32.3 32.9 32.8 32.1 31.4 31.7 30.9 30.6 29.9 29.4 29.2
Domestic (net) 30.5 29.0 29.9 29.8 29.4 28.7 29.3 28.5 28.5 27.8 27.5 27.3
External 37.5 29.7 35.8 35.5 33.7 33.6 31.2 30.7 29.4 28.8 27.7 26.8
Memorandum Items:
Nominal GDP (in Ksh Billion) 14,274 16,290 16,132 16,132 18,015 18,015 20,002 20,002 22,180 22,180 24,595 24,595
Nominal GDP (in US$ Million) 107,056 122,057 108,289 108,289 128,428 120,595 140,581 134,321 154,278 148,854 170,410 163,634
Source: National Treasury
Budget Appr.
Prel. Act Proj. BROP 2023 BPS 2024 BROP 2023 BPS 2024 BROP 2023 BPS 2024 BROP 2023 BPS 2024
Estimates Suppl. I
TOTAL REVENUE 2,360.5 2,985.6 3,047.6 3,042.8 3,407.8 3,445.6 3,835.5 3,833.1 4,379.2 4,376.5 4,978.4 4,978.4
Ordinary Revenue 2,041.1 2,571.2 2,576.8 2,596.8 2,918.9 2,958.6 3,294.4 3,294.2 3,776.0 3,775.7 4,305.8 4,305.8
Income Tax 941.6 1,198.5 1,198.5 1,198.5 1,325.7 1,325.7 1,500.1 1,500.1 1,734.5 1,734.5 1,979.0 1,979.0
Import duty (net) 130.1 173.3 173.3 173.3 199.4 199.4 229.0 229.0 258.1 258.1 290.8 290.8
Excise duty 264.5 352.7 352.7 352.7 401.1 401.1 460.0 460.0 521.5 521.5 591.2 591.2
Value Added Tax 550.4 703.3 703.3 703.3 804.7 804.7 926.2 926.2 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,220.0 1,220.0
Investment income 41.3 33.1 38.7 38.7 39.7 39.7 38.1 38.1 42.3 42.3 46.9 46.9
Other 113.2 110.3 110.3 130.3 148.3 188.1 141.0 140.8 158.3 158.1 177.8 177.8
Ministerial Appropriation in Aid 319.4 414.4 470.8 446.0 488.9 486.9 541.1 538.9 603.2 600.8 672.6 672.6
Railway Development Levy 39.9 37.4 37.4 37.4 56.4 56.4 61.5 61.5 67.1 67.1 75.6 75.6
African Union & Int't Subscription Fund 6.2 6.9 6.9 6.9 8.3 8.3 9.2 9.2 10.2 10.2 11.4 11.4
Road Maintenance Levy Transfer to Counties 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Recurrent 213.5 232.8 260.0 260.0 258.4 258.4 286.8 286.8 318.3 318.3 353.3 353.3
Export Promotion Levy (AIA) 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.2 0.0 2.4 0.0 2.7 2.7
PDL - Recurrent 20.5 24.9 54.2 29.4 23.3 23.3 24.9 24.9 26.2 26.2 27.5 27.5
Development/NMS 33.9 46.4 46.4 46.3 64.9 64.9 70.1 70.1 78.5 78.5 88.0 88.0
PDL - Development 5.5 2.8 2.7 2.8 5.8 5.8 6.2 6.2 6.6 6.6 7.1 7.1
Housing Development Levy 63.2 63.2 63.2 69.8 69.8 80.2 80.2 93.8 93.8 106.9 106.9
EXPENDITURE AND NET LENDING 3,221.0 3,746.6 3,981.5 3,904.9 4,257.3 4,198.8 4,627.2 4,506.7 5,174.8 5,137.6 5,786.0 5,823.3
Recurrent expenditure 2,311.6 2,536.3 2,793.9 2,761.3 2,851.0 2,873.6 3,020.0 2,980.0 3,371.2 3,371.2 3,799.9 3,799.9
Interest payments 687.3 775.1 918.8 918.8 966.1 1,008.7 979.4 979.4 1,018.1 1,018.1 1,089.0 1,089.0
Domestic interest 533.1 628.3 646.4 646.4 716.1 747.7 739.9 739.9 791.4 791.4 854.5 854.5
Foreign Interest 154.2 146.9 272.5 272.5 250.0 261.0 239.5 239.5 226.6 226.6 234.5 234.5
Pensions & Other CFS 120.4 165.4 165.4 165.4 181.4 181.4 199.3 199.3 250.3 250.3 287.8 287.8
Pensions 117.1 160.6 160.6 160.6 176.5 176.5 194.2 194.2 244.4 244.4 281.0 281.0
Other CFS 3.3 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.9 5.1 5.1 5.9 5.9 6.8 6.8
Contribution to Civil Service Pension Fund 29.6 28.5 28.5 28.5 31.3 31.3 34.4 34.4 45.7 45.7 49.2 49.2
Net Issues/Net Expenditure 1,234.1 1,302.7 1,360.0 1,352.2 1,382.2 1,362.2 1,486.0 1,446.0 1,702.4 1,702.4 1,981.6 1,981.6
O/W: Wages & Salaries 539.6 584.6 589.5 589.5 645.3 645.3 703.4 703.4 914.9 914.9 983.8 983.8
Free Secondary education 67.6 68.6 71.9 71.9 110.1 110.1 110.1 110.1 116.7 116.7 123.7 123.7
Free Primary Education 14.5 14.4 14.9 14.9 23.4 23.4 23.4 23.4 24.8 24.8 26.3 26.3
Junior Secondary School - Capitation 0.0
IEBC 19.9 4.6 4.3 4.3 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9 7.3 7.3 7.7 7.7
Defense and NIS 172.2 183.3 192.4 190.8 170.0 170.0 170.0 170.0 176.8 176.8 183.9 183.9
Others 388.6 422.4 462.2 456.1 390.4 370.4 436.1 396.1 415.4 415.4 606.9 606.9
Ministerial Recurrent AIA 240.2 264.6 321.1 296.3 290.0 290.0 320.9 320.9 354.7 354.7 392.3 392.3
Development and Net lending 493.7 777.8 762.6 718.6 957.3 881.3 1,129.3 1,068.8 1,246.6 1,209.4 1,390.8 1,428.1
Domestically financed (Gross) 343.8 472.2 455.2 437.7 536.2 529.2 664.4 664.4 715.3 715.3 822.3 822.3
O/W Domestically Financed (Net)/NMS 264.5 322.3 305.5 288.0 339.3 332.3 446.4 446.4 469.2 469.2 544.6 544.6
Ministerial Development AIA 73.8 83.8 83.8 83.7 123.5 123.5 154.8 154.8 145.7 145.7 163.7 163.7
Foreign financed 137.6 280.6 277.6 251.1 390.0 321.0 431.7 371.2 512.7 475.3 554.0 591.4
Net lending 12.3 17.2 18.9 18.9 19.7 19.7 19.7 19.7 4.4 4.4 0.0 0.0
Equalization Fund 0.0 7.9 10.9 10.9 11.4 11.4 13.6 13.6 14.2 14.4 14.4 14.4
County Tranfers 415.8 429.7 423.9 423.9 444.0 438.9 472.9 452.9 552.0 552.0 590.3 590.3
Equitable Share 399.6 385.4 385.4 385.4 406.7 401.6 435.6 415.6 515.1 515.1 553.4 553.4
Conditional Allocation 16.2 44.3 38.5 38.5 37.3 37.3 37.3 37.3 37.0 37.0 37.0 37.0
Contingency Fund 0.0 2.8 1.2 1.2 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
Fiscal Balance (commitment basis excl. grants) -860.5 -761.1 -934.0 -862.1 -849.5 -753.27020 -791.6 -673.6 -795.5 -761.1 -807.6 -844.9
Grants 23.1 42.2 47.4 47.4 49.3 49.3 53.2 53.2 68.6 68.6 73.8 73.8
Fiscal Balance (incl. grants) -837.4 -718.9 -886.6 -814.8 -800.2 -704.0 -738.4 -620.4 -726.9 -692.5 -733.8 -771.2
Adjustment to Cash Basis 37.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Fiscal Balance (incl. grants) Cash Basis -800.4 -718.9 -886.6 -814.8 -800.2 -704.0 -738.4 -620.4 -726.9 -692.5 -733.8 -771.2
Statistical discrepancy -30.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
TOTAL FINANCING 770.3 718.9 886.6 814.8 800.2 704.0 738.4 620.4 726.9 692.5 733.8 771.2
Net Foreign Financing 310.8 131.5 412.1 363.0 296.5 326.2 176.0 103.9 276.1 230.9 292.9 217.7
Disbuserments 548.2 607.1 978.7 996.0 626.2 670.1 602.8 542.4 663.7 626.4 717.2 754.6
Commercial Financing 102.2 270.0 175.1 175.1 151.0 151.0 166.1 166.1 182.7 182.7 200.0 200.0
O/W Export Credit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sovereign Bond & Other Commercial Financing 102.2 270 175.1 175.1 151 151.0 166.1 166.1 182.7 182.7 200.0 200.0
Total Project loans (AIA + Revenue) 136.2 271.6 263.4 236.9 377.6 308.6 415.4 354.9 481.0 443.7 517.2 554.6
o/w: Project loans (AIA) 74.2 149.1 148.7 134.7 263.0 203.0 289.3 233.5 307.6 291.9 330.8 364.8
Project Loans Revenue 62.0 122.5 114.8 102.3 114.6 105.6 126.1 121.4 173.4 151.8 186.4 189.8
Use of IMF SDR Allocation 42.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Programme Loans 266.9 65.4 540.2 583.9 97.6 210.5 21.3 21.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Debt repayment - Principal -237.4 -475.6 -566.7 -633.0 -329.7 -343.9 -426.8 -438.5 -387.7 -395.5 -424.3 -536.9
Net Domestic Financing 459.5 587.4 474.5 451.7 503.7 377.7 562.4 516.5 450.9 461.6 440.9 553.5
Memo items
Gross Debt (Stock) 10,189.5 10,130.4 11,076.1 11,004.3 11,851.0 11,708.3 12,589.4 12,328.7 13,316.3 13,021.2 14,050.1 13,792.3
External Debt 5,357.4 5,065.6 5,769.5 5,720.5 6,066.0 6,046.7 6,242.0 6,150.5 6,518.1 6,381.4 6,811.0 6,599.1
Domestic Debt (gross) 4,832.1 5,064.7 5,306.7 5,283.9 5,785.0 5,661.6 6,347.4 6,178.1 6,798.3 6,639.7 7,239.2 7,193.2
Domestic Debt (net) 4,347.5 4,522.4 4,822.1 4,799.3 5,300.4 5,177.0 5,862.8 5,693.6 6,313.7 6,155.2 6,754.6 6,708.7
Financing gap -67.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Nominal GDP 14,274.4 16,290.3 16,131.5 16,131.5 18,015.2 18,015.2 20,002.3 20,002.3 22,180.5 22,180.5 24,594.5 24,594.5
Source: The National Treasury
Budget Appr.
Prel. Act Proj. BROP 2023 BPS 2024 BROP 2023 BPS 2024 BROP 2023 BPS 2024 BROP 2023 BPS 2024
Estimates Suppl. I
TOTAL REVENUE 16.5 18.3 18.9 18.9 18.9 19.1 19.2 19.2 19.7 19.7 20.2 20.2
Ordinary Revenue 14.3 15.8 16.0 16.1 16.2 16.4 16.5 16.5 17.0 17.0 17.5 17.5
Income Tax 6.6 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.5 7.5 7.8 7.8 8.0 8.0
Import duty (net) 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
Excise duty 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4
Value Added Tax 3.9 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.8 4.8 5.0 5.0
Investment income 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Other 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Ministerial Appropriation in Aid 2.2 2.5 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7
EXPENDITURE AND NET LENDING 22.6 23.0 24.7 24.2 23.6 23.3 23.1 22.5 23.3 23.2 23.5 23.7
Recurrent expenditure 16.2 15.6 17.3 17.1 15.8 16.0 15.1 14.9 15.2 15.2 15.5 15.5
Interest payments 4.8 4.8 5.7 5.7 5.4 5.6 4.9 4.9 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.4
Domestic interest 3.7 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.2 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5
Foreign Interest 1.1 0.9 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Pensions & Other CFS 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2
Pensions 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
Other CFS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Contribution to Civil Service Pension Fund 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Net Issues/Net Expenditure 8.6 8.0 8.4 8.4 7.7 7.6 7.4 7.2 7.7 7.7 8.1 8.1
O/W: Wages & Salaries 3.8 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0
Free Secondary education 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Free Primary Education 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Junior Secondary School - Capitation 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
IEBC 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
KRA 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Defense and NIS 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7
Others 2.7 2.6 2.9 2.8 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.5 2.5
Ministerial Recurrent AIA 1.7 1.6 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6
Ministerial Recurrent AIA - NMS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Development and Net lending 3.5 4.8 4.7 4.5 5.3 4.9 5.6 5.3 5.6 5.5 5.7 5.8
Domestically financed (Gross) 2.4 2.9 2.8 2.7 3.0 2.9 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.3
O/W Domestically Financed (Net)/NMS 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.8 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2
Ministerial Development AIA 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Foreign financed 1.0 1.7 1.7 1.6 2.2 1.8 2.2 1.9 2.3 2.1 2.3 2.4
Net lending 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Equalization Fund 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
County Tranfers 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4
Equitable Share 2.8 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3
Conditional Allocation 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Contingency Fund 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Fiscal Balance (commitment basis excl. grants) -6.0 -4.7 -5.8 -5.3 -4.7 -4.2 -4.0 -3.4 -3.6 -3.4 -3.3 -3.4
Grants 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Fiscal Balance (incl. grants) -5.9 -4.4 -5.5 -5.1 -4.4 -3.9 -3.7 -3.1 -3.3 -3.1 -3.0 -3.1
Adjustment to Cash Basis 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Fiscal Balance (incl. grants) Cash Basis -5.6 -4.4 -5.5 -5.1 -4.4 -3.9 -3.7 -3.1 -3.3 -3.1 -3.0 -3.1
Statistical discrepancy -0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
TOTAL FINANCING 5.4 4.4 5.5 5.1 4.4 3.9 3.7 3.1 3.3 3.1 3.0 3.1
Net Foreign Financing 2.2 0.8 2.6 2.3 1.6 1.8 0.9 0.5 1.2 1.0 1.2 0.9
Disbuserments 3.8 3.7 6.1 6.2 3.5 3.7 3.0 2.7 3.0 2.8 2.9 3.1
Commercial Financing 0.7 1.7 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
O/W Export Credit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sovereign Bond & Other Commercial Financing 0.7 1.7 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
Total Project loans (AIA + Revenue) 1.0 1.7 1.6 1.5 2.1 1.7 2.1 1.8 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.3
o/w: Project loans (AIA) 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.5 1.1 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.5
Project Loans Revenue 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8
Project Loans SGR _Phase I_ AIA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Project Loans SGR _ Phase 2A_AIA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Use of IMF SDR Allocation 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Programme Loans 1.9 0.4 3.3 3.6 0.5 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Debt repayment - Principal -1.7 -2.9 -3.5 -3.9 -1.8 -1.9 -2.1 -2.2 -1.7 -1.8 -1.7 -2.2
Net Domestic Financing 3.2 3.6 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.1 2.8 2.6 2.0 2.1 1.8 2.3
Memo items
Gross Debt (Stock) 71.4 62.2 68.7 68.2 65.8 65.0 62.9 61.6 60.0 58.7 57.1 56.1
External Debt 37.5 31.1 35.8 35.5 33.7 33.6 31.2 30.7 29.4 28.8 27.7 26.8
Domestic Debt (gross) 33.9 31.1 32.9 32.8 32.1 31.4 31.7 30.9 30.6 29.9 29.4 29.2
Domestic Debt (net) 30.5 27.8 29.9 29.8 29.4 28.7 29.3 28.5 28.5 27.8 27.5 27.3
Financing gap -0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Nominal GDP 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0