Ch. 5
Ch. 5
Ch. 5
Distributions
1
Discrete Probability Distributions
A Variable: is characteristic or attribute that
can assume different values.
Various letters of the alphabet, such as X,Y, or
Z, are used to represent variables.
Since the variables here are associated with
probability, they are called random variables.
A random variable is a variable whose
values are determined by chance
Discrete Variables: assume values that can
be counted
2
For example: number of children in a family ,
number of student in classroom……etc.
Continuous Variables: assume an infinite
number of values between any two specific
values.
For example: Temperature , Time …..etc.
Example: State whether the variable is
discrete or continuous.
1-The speed of a jet airplane. Continuous
4
Probabilities for the values of X can be determined as follows:
2-
All X 2
3- the standard deviation is X P X
2 2
All X
Example: When a die is tossed
1- construct a probability distribution
2- Calculate the expected value an the
variance
Solution:
1- X 1 2 3 4 5 6
P(X) 1\6 1\6 1\6 1\6 1\6 1\6
2-
21
E (X) X P X 3.5
All X 6
2.92 1.71
Example
A box contains 5 balls. Two are numbered 3, one is numbered
4, and two are numbered 5. The balls are mixed and one is
selected at random. After a ball is selected, its number is
recorded. Then it is replaced. If the experiment is repeated
many times, find the variance and standard deviation of the
numbers on the balls.
Solution
and
Example
A special six-sided die is made in which 3 sides have 6
spots, 2 sides have 4 spots, and 1 side has 1 spot. If the die
is rolled, find the expected value of the number of spots that
Solution
will occur.
Where,
Hence,
Example 2: Public Opinion reported that 5% of
Americans are afraid of being alone in a house at
night. If a random sample of 20 Americans is selected,
find these probabilities by using the binomial table.
a. There are exactly 5 people in the sample who are
afraid of being alone at night.
b. There are at most 3 people in the sample who are
afraid of being alone at night.
c. There are at least 3 people in the sample who are
afraid of being alone at night.
Solution:
a. n=20, x=5, p=0.05, then P(x=5)=0.002
b. n=20, x= 0, 1,2,3 , then
P(x=0)+P(x=1)+P(x=2)+P(x=3)=0.358+0.377+0.189
+0.060=0.984
c. n=20, x= 3, 4, …,20, p=0.05
This problem can best be solved by finding
P(0)+P(1)+P(2) and subtracting from 1.
then the probability equals 1-(P(0)+P(1)+P(2))
=1- (0.358 + 0.377 +0.189)=1- 0.924= 0.076
Example 1: A coin is tossed 4 times. Find the mean,
variance, and standard deviation of the number of heads
that will be obtained.
Solution
The previously example can be solved by using the formulas for
expected value. The distribution is shown.
For the sample, the average number of births that would result in
twins is 160, the variance is 156.8, or 157, and the standard
deviation is 12.5, or 13 if rounded.