Fuzzylogic
Fuzzylogic
Fuzzylogic
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Abstract
Purpose – This paper seeks to describe the development of the fuzzy logic model approach to
decision making and its value for managers by illustrating its application to employee performance
appraisals.
Design/methodology/approach – An extensive literature review provided the framework for the
model development in this research. Performance evaluations represent a critically important decision
that often involves subjective information. Models and heuristic techniques that focus on the use of
different types of information are available; however, with few exceptions, the models are not robust
enough to be applied in a practical, managerially useful manner. Fuzzy logic models provide a
reasonable solution to these common decision situations.
Findings – Fuzzy logic can be a powerful tool for managers to use instead of a traditional
mathematical model when evaluating the performance of personnel or teams. The flexibility of the
model allows the decision maker to introduce vagueness, uncertainty, and subjectivity into the
evaluation system.
Research limitations/implications – This research calls attention to an alternative method of the
performance evaluation system as opposed to the traditional quantitative methods. Future research in
this area is needed to develop a method for relating membership values to linguistic variables in
performance evaluation, as well as testing the sensitivity of membership values and their impact on
the outcome.
Originality/value – This paper provides a simple-to-use fuzzy logic model for establishing a more
meaningful evaluation system.
Keywords Performance appraisal, Fuzzy logic, Decision making, Linguistics
Paper type Research paper
Managers encounter many decisions that require the simultaneous use of different
types of data in their decision-making process. A critical decision area for managers is
the performance evaluation of personnel, whether individually or as a member of a
team. Performance evaluations require and often involve disparate types of
information that are vague, incomplete, objective, and subjective. The importance of International Journal of Productivity
performance evaluation of personnel and its relationship to the firm’s performance is and Performance Management
Vol. 57 No. 3, 2008
well documented in the literature (Lowe, 1986; Katzenbach and Smith, 1993; Kilduff pp. 237-246
et al., 2000; Higgs, 2005). A variety of appraisal techniques are available to measure q Emerald Group Publishing Limited
1741-0401
performance (Chang and Hahn, 2006, Jiang et al., 2001, Armentrout, 1986; Arvey and DOI 10.1108/17410400810857248
IJPPM Murphy, 1998; Sanchez and De La Torre, 1996; Stronge, 1991). In creating and
57,3 implementing an appraisal system, management must determine what the
performance appraisal system will be used for, and then decide on the process to
implement the system. The methods chosen and the instruments used to implement
these methods are crucial in determining whether the organization manages its
performance successfully.
238 These appraisal methods are based on quantitative techniques which provide a
precise output defining the employees’ performance. However, much of the information
related to performance appraisal is not quantifiable and precise with crisp boundaries.
Rather, this information is presented in expressions or words in natural language and
without precision.
A useful approach for examining many real-world problems is fuzzy approximate
reasoning or fuzzy logic. This technique is based on the fuzzy set theory (Zadeh, 1965)
that allows the elements of a set to have varying degrees of membership, from a
non-membership grade of 0 to a full membership of 100 per cent or grade 1. This
smooth gradation of values is what makes fuzzy logic match well with the vagueness
and uncertainty typical of many real world problems. In fuzzy logic, a statement such
as “Sam is old” can be 60 per cent true and 40 per cent false; i.e. Sam has a 0.60 degree
of membership in a set whose elements are considered to be old and a 0.40 degree of
membership in a set of young people. A person can be a member of both sets at the
same time. Although the sum of the degree of membership is 100 per cent in our
example, fuzzy logic does not require it.
For a person to be a member of both old and young sets violates the basic law of
non-contradiction of conventional logic in which an element either belongs (grade: 1) or
does not belong (grade: 0). Fuzzy logic allows this violation by generalizing properties
of traditional sets into fuzzy counterparts, thus providing a greater expressive power
than traditional logic.
Background
Fuzzy set theory (Zadeh, 1965) was developed to address contexts in which decision
makers need to accurately analyze and process information that is imprecise in nature.
Fuzzy sets provide a conceptual framework, as well as an analytical tool to solve real
world problems where there is a lack of specific facts and precision (Baldwin, 1996; Klir
and Yuan, 1995; Kosko, 1991). Since its introduction, fuzzy set and fuzzy logic have
been applied to a wide range of scientific and engineering problems. For example,
fuzzy models have been used to develop microchips that run fuzzy algorithms.
Presently, a variety of consumer products such as television sets, automobiles,
camcorders and cameras use fuzzy logic chips; fuzzy industrial controllers for
smoother operation of trains, automobiles, and elevators are in use today; military
hardware and operations, as well as robotics are using fuzzy logic for better efficiency
(Ross, 2004; Pires and Hoshiau, 2002; Rogers and Hoshiau, 1990; Kosko, 1991).
However, the application of fuzzy set theory and logic to management decisions has
been generally lacking despite its potential value in many common situations (Dorsey
and Coovert, 2003; Alliger et al., 1993). The purpose of this paper is to develop a
framework for the application of fuzzy logic to employee performance appraisal.
Although our example is focused on employee performance appraisal, the model can be
used to evaluate the performance of teams and business units in an organization.
Extensive research during the past 50 years has focused on the value and inherent Fuzzy logic and
problems of employee performance evaluations (Stajkovic and Luthans, 2003). performance
Numerous models and frameworks have been proposed and tested to address the
complexities of dynamic work environments. With regard to the effect of performance evaluation
evaluations on work outcomes, most empirical research have used quantitative,
objective data that is collected systematically as part of an organization’s performance
appraisal process. 239
Fuzzy sets structure and analysis
The most fundamental form of a fuzzy set A in a universe X is:
A ¼ {x; mA ðxÞjx1X}
where mA(x) represents the grade of membership or compatibility function of element x
of X in fuzzy set A. Element x may show a full membership in A (i.e. mA(x) ¼ 1), as well
as partial membership (0 , mA(x) , 1) or non-membership (mA(x) ¼ 0). For example,
the fuzzy linguistic variable leadership can be characterized by terms: very strong,
strong, average, weak, poor, and very poor. Each term is called a linguistic modifier.
Therefore, a fuzzy set is formed when a linguistic variable is combined with a linguistic
modifier (i.e. strong leadership). In our example, each linguistic modifier is linked to a
numerical value on a scale of 1 to 7 that represents the level of leadership. Thus, the
leadership set A and its modifiers can be represented by a fuzzy set as:
A ¼ {1:0j0; 2:0j0:10; 3:0j0:30; 4:0j0:40; 5:0j0:60; 6:0j0:80; 7:0j1:0}:
In this fuzzy set, each element represents a corresponding value in the universe of
discourse and a degree of membership. That is, 7 has a full membership grade of 1
corresponding to very strong leadership, and 1 with a non-membership grade of 0
indicating no leadership as well as 5 with a partial membership grade of 0.60
representing average leadership. Fuzzy set A could also be shown as depicted in
Figure 1. The graph in Figure 1 shows a gradual transition of leadership from very
poor to very strong, as opposed to sudden jumps from one value to another.
Another example of constructing fuzzy sets for linguistic variables is presented in
Figure 2, where three fuzzy sets are used to characterize a person’s performance. The
fuzzy linguistic variable performance can be defined by terms or linguistic modifiers
Figure 1.
Fuzzy set depiction of
leadership
IJPPM
57,3
240
Figure 2.
Fuzzy set structure of
performance
poor, average, outstanding, with the membership value from 0 to 1 describing the level
of performance on a scale from 0 to 5.
In Figure 2, if the norm for performance is average, number 3 represents the highest
level of the term average with a membership grade of 1 and number 4 defines average
with a grade of 0.10 or outstanding with a grade of 0.60. Therefore, number 4 describes
the performance of a person whose performance is 60 per cent outstanding and 10 per
cent average. Figure 2 represents three fuzzy sets:
Poor performance ¼ {0j1:0; 0:50j0:80; 1:0j0:50; 1:50j0:40; 2:0j0:30;
3:0j0:0; 3:50j0:0; 4:0j0:0; 4:50j0:0; 5:0j0:0}
These sets represent the decision maker’s intuitive understanding of the linguistic
variable performance and its modifiers: poor, average, and outstanding.
mC _P1 ðrÞ ¼ {0; 0:40; 0:60; 0:20; 0:10; 0:30} _ {0:30; 0:10; 0:70; 0:80; 0:60; 0:60}
¼ {0:30; 0:40; 0:70; 0:80; 0:60; 0:60}:
The final step is to combine various performances of the employee across all categories
in order to obtain an overall evaluation. This is done by applying the min function to
the set derived from the previous step. Table V shows the overall rating of the
employees once the process is completed.
It is not surprising that employee 7 has been ranked top performer in this example
since the proposed system favors the employee with a high rating in the most
important category. Thus, the higher the relative importance the category is, the more
influence that category has in the final output.
Employee Score
1 0.30
2 0.60
3 0.70
4 0.30
5 0.40
6 0.60 Table V.
7 0.80 Employees overall rating
IJPPM Conclusions
57,3 Traditionally, performance appraisal methods were broken down into two categories
based on the standards for success chosen, comparative methods ranking, or forced
distribution, to rate the overall performance of one employee or a team against that of
other employees or teams. Absolute standards methods, such as rating scales or
management by objective (MBO), rate the employee or team against some objective or
244 management goal(s). In both cases, managers often use a quantitative tool to perform this
task (Miller and Thor, 2006; Capaldo and Zollo, 2001; Smith et al., 1996; Stronge, 1991).
The use of quantitative techniques provides a tool for decision makers to arrive at a
solution that is easily explained and understood. However, many factors used in the
process are subjective and difficult to quantify. Fuzzy logic enables the reviewer or the
decision maker to incorporate information in the evaluation system which is vague and
subjective.
There are several advantages in using the model presented in this paper as opposed
to a traditional and complex quantitative technique. The mathematics is extremely
simple and can be easily computerized using a spreadsheet or a database system. It is
also extremely flexible, allowing the decision maker to use a broad range of linguistic
variables and modifiers for finer discrimination or to make changes to membership
values and/or performance categories. Finally, it is an ideal system when the decision
maker is faced with a series of sub-decisions where available data is based on
vagueness, uncertainty, and opinion. These sub-decisions are then combined into an
overall system for performance evaluation.
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